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The Locked Door:
The Secret Life of
Snap Decisions
Netlog agi one of he wos top etches «an
Nos ng ti begin to nace somthing 8?
aires ve watched each In eis eyes ate
Trem Mor oven it serve ad i hey
Fe cetcond chan, thy ae ido double,
re Stade eae woah aways kw when
sod Mae sb double A player would tow the
POTS ncesand dow hnacketnck ants he wat
‘about to make contact, Braden would blart out “Oh, no,
Re lal enough, che ball woul go wie ot
ronal it tenes eid sen mae who
so gman ox oman, wheter he wa wang se
wifey on levbin,orhow wal beknew the pon
ah waeaingdcblefass on giro Rusia
elim ny il” Braden ye Nor ws ran
mer ecky- Lock when youl cin oe coe
seeking nae toon ene ach ele
oon °
sional tennis player might hit hundreds of serves and
double-fault no more than thre or four times. One year, at
the big professional eanis tournament at Indian Wells, near
Braden’s house in Southern California, he decided to keep
track and found he correctly predicted sixteen out of sever
teen double faults inthe matches he watched. “For awhile it
got so bad that I gor scared,” Braden says. “Ie literally
scared me, Iwas getting twenty out of owenty right, and
‘were ing about gpr wh dno neve dbl.”
Braden is now inhi seventies. Whew he was young, he
was a world-class tennis player, and over the past filey
years, he bas coached and counseled and known many of
the greatest tennis playersin the history ofthe game, Fei
4 small and irrepressible man with the energy of someone
half his age, and if you were total to people in the tenis
world, they'd tell you that Vic Braden knows as much
about the nuances and subtleties ofthe game as any man
alive Ie isa’tsuepsising, then, that Vie Braden should be
really good at reading a serve in the blink of an eye. It
really sn’ any differen from the ability ofan artexpertto
look at the Getty kouros and know, instantly, tht is
fake. Something in the way the tennis layers hold them=
selves, the way they toss che bal or the fluidity oftheir
‘motion triggers something in his unconscious. He instine-
tively picks up che “gis” of a double fal. He thin-lies
some pattof the service motion and — blink — he just
fenows, But here's the exec much to Braden’s frustration,
hhesimply cannot figure out how he knows
"What did I see?” he says. “T would lie in bed, chink-
ing, How did I do this? T don't know. It drove me crazy. ItECVV
ete ego back and go overhe seve in
rane Mapes ot Did hey se? Did
si er eps id sey afd a Houee e
Ot temtng ar es Br PO
eel dn concn some
Th ee tink nconsios dhe col 3
aig _
Be eon sia ct about he tod
oe Sue
ca Siow romonr unconscious Sp
een ot ey yore
Se ee Bu teens.
sa ng oie, the DIE
sa ne ngs se ess ogee Wee
Sapte yore ing en hon
sy ae oe concen
‘ier on When Harn ol Horo ad
TTS Feo Nromted the Hous ey
Seek om a em
ae el oo Tim oe oes
Bec Ron fe ot hy mee logy
Ba me emumerae pel wy ty od
to i ghar dedo many cep wo
rary and they al doarbe th ao eng
Sievert meee
ean thy lca Kad of mel 2
sees Ho a no
Bayo oe panes csr eps
SIO S SiS est of manip
se fons fay ans Wn
ra etonde tis fkebuer reps boss of
srt padoca onto hin, Watch i!
DIE Locke oon
Here is Hoving onthe art historian Berard Berenson.
“{Fe] sometimes dntessd his colleagues with his nab.
ity to anulate how he could sees clearly the tiny defects
and inconsistencies ina particular work that branded it
ther an uninelgent reworking ora fake. In one court
«ase in fat, Berenson was able to say only that hs stom
ach fle wrong, He had curious ringing in his ears He
‘was stuck by a momentary depression. Or he fle woozy
and off balance. Hardy scientific descriptions of how he
new he was in the presence of something cooked up ot
faked. Buc that’s far ashe was able to go,”
Snap judgments and rapid cognition take place behind a
locked door Vie Braden tried to look inside that room. He
syed up aight, ying igure out whattisin the delivery
often serve that primes pment Bue coulda.
don’ think wear very goad st deling with the at of
that locked door. e's ane thing to acknowledge the enor-
mous power of snap judgments and thin slices but quite
another to plae our trust something so seemingly myst
Fos. “My father wil sit down and give you theories to ex
pin why he does this or that” the son of the bllonaie
dnvestor George Soros sid. “But Ivemerberscing tas
aki and thinking, Atlas half ofthis ie ull mean, you
now the reason he changes his posicon onthe market or
whatever is because his back sats king him. He literally
0esimoa spasm, andiesthis early warning sign.”
lest this part of che reason why George Soros is
{0 good atwhathe does heis someone whois avareof the
value of the products of his unconscious reasoning. But if
you or were to invest our money with Soros, we'd fel
‘ervous ifthe only reason he could ive for adevsion wasthat his back hurt, A highly succes
Zetsit
loving snd Harsson.
tothe sce
eielawy
supporting their conclusions.
aviv ispossble to know with
tnd accept that — sometimes
1. Primed for Action
Imagine that Tm a p
tome through the doorw
frontof you sashectof
Sentence test Ready?
fot him was worried she always
be feom re Florida oranges temperate
Tessin he ean, ose opin Po
tits and the lawyers beets te sei
‘could provide pages and pages of doa
= nk chat appr
aan ered we ae to lem 0 improve a0
eaten we make, we need w aceohe ay
‘ie of our ssp amen Meelis
ible ying why we kt
“werve Beiter off thats
re Tay ace aon waledows set
fs te and sit down at
Frage wie em
eal ieee
ae Micon enka veld
33
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th
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she lis
“tes
THE Loexes Doon 8
ball the throw toss silently
shoes give replace old the
he observes occasionally people watches
be will sweat lonely they
sky the seamless geay is
should now withdraw forgetful we
ves bingo sing play let
sunlight makes temperature wrinkle raisins
hat seemed straightforward, right? Actually twas’,
you finished that test — believe it or not
‘would have walked out of my office and back down the
all more slowly than you walked in, With that test, 1
affected the way you behaved. How? Well look back a
1. Scattered throughout
Florida," “old
are certain words, such
lonely,” “gray,” “bingo,”
Sh “wrinkle” You thought that I was jase making ys
Janguage test. Burin fac, what Iwas also doing was
ig the big computer in your brain ~ your adaptive
scious ~ think about thestate of being old It dida’t
fm the rest of your brsin about its sudden obsession.
it took all chis alk of old age so seriously that by the
you finished and walked down the corridos, you
old. You walked slowly.
is test was devised by a very clever psychologist
John Bargh. Ie’ an eximple of what is called «
experiment, and Bargh and athers have done a
yen more fascinating variations of ital of which
Hust how much goes on behind that locked door of
onscious. For example, on one oocision Bargh and
leagues at New York Univesity, Mark Chen snd=
x numer
cane i
sea
ae iota
Spee ma a
Se et cas
eater ee wer here so many ilar words hs he
Seometdenegns “aut
see cco
gc
argh made sure tha the experimenter vasbusy lockedin
‘afters with someone eoe —a confederate who wt
ig. [od ‘doorway tothe ex
sc aningin de alway, blocking the doorway tthe
pedmenter’s office. Bargh wanted-to-leacn-whether the
afte who were primed wairihepoiteswonlsazold ake
Teobcipiuenup he conversation betwen the experi
pene andthe confederate han shove piel WS the |
“ie sods He knew enough about the strange power of
Ls erin tel hart wos make ile
ear though i ct ould be sgh. asl