Quinnipiac University Poll 11/24/15

Peter A.
Brown, Assistant Director,

Quinnipiac University Poll
(203) 535-6203
Rubenstein Associates, Inc.
Public Relations
Contact: Pat Smith (212) 843-8026
FOR RELEASE: NOVEMBER 24, 2015
TRUMP, CRUZ ON TOP IN TOPSY-TURVY IOWA GOP CAUCUS,

QUINNIPIAC UNIVERSITY POLL FINDS;
KEEP SYRIAN REFUGEES OUT, REPUBLICANS SAY 5-1
Donald Trump gets 25 percent of Iowa likely Republican Caucus participants in a too-close-tocall race with Sen. Ted Cruz of Texas who is at 23 percent, double his support from four weeks
ago, according to a Quinnipiac University poll released today. Dr. Ben Carson has 18 percent,
with Sen. Marco Rubio of Florida at 13 percent.
This compares to the results of an October 22 survey by the independent Quinnipiac
(KWIN-uh-pe-ack) University showing Carson at 28 percent, with 20 percent for Trump, Rubio
at 13 percent and Cruz at 10 percent.
One thing that hasnt changed is the poor showing for former Florida Gov. Jeb Bush, who
goes from 5 percent October 22 to 4 percent today.
Today, Sen. Rand Paul is at 5 percent, with Carly Fiorina at 3 percent. No other
candidate tops 2 percent, with 2 percent undecided.
Among Iowa Republican Caucus-goers, 26 percent say they would definitely not
support Bush, with 23 percent saying no way to Trump.
Last month, we said it was Dr. Ben Carsons turn in the spotlight. Today, the spotlight
turns to Sen. Ted Cruz of Texas. The Iowa Republican Caucus has become a two-tiered contest:
Businessman Donald Trump and neurosurgeon Ben Carson lead on the outsider track, and Sens.
Ted Cruz and Marco Rubio lead among party insiders, said Peter A. Brown, assistant director of
the Quinnipiac University Poll.
The other candidates will need miraculous comebacks to crack the top tier with slightly
more than two months before the voting begins.
-more-
Quinnipiac University Poll/November 24, 2015 page 2

Worth remembering, however, is that winning Iowa is no guarantee of success
elsewhere. Former Arkansas Gov. Mike Huckabee won the 2008 caucus and former Sen. Rick
Santorum took the 2012 crown, yet both were quickly gone from those nomination fights as the
primary calendar moved to larger states, Brown added.
Iowa likely Republican Caucus participants give Carson the best favorability rating,
79 15 percent, with 73 15 percent for Cruz, 70 18 percent for Rubio and 59 34 percent for
Trump. Bush has a negative 39 53 percent favorability rating.
The economy and jobs are the most important issues in deciding who they will support,
24 percent of GOP caucus-goers say, with 15 percent each for terrorism and foreign policy, 11
percent for the federal deficit and 10 percent for immigration.
Trump can best handle the economy, 49 percent of Republicans say, with 11 percent
picking Cruz. Carson, Rubio and Fiorina are the choice of 6 percent each.
Trump is tops handling terrorism, 30 percent of Republican Caucus-goers say, with 20
percent for Cruz, 10 percent for Rubio and 7 percent for Bush. Carson, Paul and New Jersey
Gov. Christopher Christie are at 5 percent each.
Cruz is best on foreign policy, 24 percent of Republicans say, with 18 percent for Trump,
15 percent for Rubio and 8 percent for Bush. Carson and Paul are at 6 percent each.
Iowa likely Republican Caucus participants oppose 81 15 percent allowing Syrian
refugees into the U.S. and oppose 82 13 percent allowing them into Iowa.
Republicans support 73 22 percent sending U.S. ground troops to fight ISIS in Iraq and
Syria and say 83 9 percent that the U.S. and its allies are losing the fight against ISIS.
A total of 88 percent of Republicans are very worried or somewhat worried about the
possibility of a terrorist attack in the U.S. similar to the attack in Paris.
One thing almost all Iowa Republicans agree upon is that Syrian refugees should not be
allowed into the United States or into Iowa, Brown said.
From November 16 22, Quinnipiac University surveyed 600 likely Iowa Republican
Caucus participants with a margin of error of +/- 4 percentage points. Live interviewers call land
lines and cell phones.
The Quinnipiac University Poll, directed by Douglas Schwartz, Ph.D., conducts public
opinion surveys in Pennsylvania, New York, New Jersey, Connecticut, Florida, Ohio, Virginia,
Iowa, Colorado and the nation as a public service and for research.
For more information, visit http://www.quinnipiac.edu/polling, call (203) 582-5201, or
follow us on Twitter @QuinnipiacPoll.
1. If the Republican caucus were being held today, and the candidates were Jeb Bush,
Ben Carson, Chris Christie, Ted Cruz, Carly Fiorina, Jim Gilmore, Lindsey Graham,
Mike Huckabee, John Kasich, George Pataki, Rand Paul, Marco Rubio, Rick Santorum, and
Donald Trump, who would you support? (If undecided) If you had to choose today, would you
support Bush, Carson, Christie, Cruz, Fiorina, Gilmore, Graham, Huckabee, Kasich, Pataki,
Paul, Rubio, Santorum, or Trump?
Bush
Carson
Christie
Cruz
Fiorina
Gilmore
Graham
Huckabee
Kasich
Pataki
Paul
Rubio
Santorum
Trump
DK/NA
LIKELY REP CAUCUS-GOERS............................................

Wht
POLITICAL PHILOSOPHY
Tea
BrnAgn CONSERVATIVE Mod/
COLLEGE DEG
Tot
Party Evang Very
Smwht Lib
Men
Wom
Yes
No
4%
1%
3%
1%
1%
13%
3%
6%
6%
3%
18
18
24
18
20
15
15
23
17
18
2
2
1
4
3
2
3
3
2
23
42
27
38
17
6
21
26
20
25
3
2
3
2
4
4
3
4
4
3
2
1
2
1
3
1
2
1
1
2
1
1
2
1
1
2
5
8
6
3
6
9
8
1
6
5
13
5
8
9
16
15
13
12
18
10
2
1
3
2
1
1
1
2
2
25
23
20
21
26
28
30
17
20
28
2
1
3
1
2
1
4
3
2
Bush
Carson
Christie
Cruz
Fiorina
Gilmore
Graham
Huckabee
Kasich
Pataki
Paul
Rubio
Santorum
Trump
DK/NA
MOST IMPORTANT CHARACTERISTIC Q57...................

Shares
Strong
Honest/
BestChance
Values
Leader
Trustworthy
OfWinning
1%
3%
4%
6%
24
10
21
19
1
1
1
4
37
15
27
25
1
7
1
6
2
1
1
7
4
7
3
6
17
16
20
2
3
18
41
18
16
1
1
1
1
Bush
Carson
Christie
Cruz
Fiorina
Gilmore
Graham
Huckabee
Kasich
Pataki
Paul
Rubio
Santorum
Trump
DK/NA
MOST IMPORTANT ISSUE Q20...............

Economy/
ForgnPlcy/
Jobs
Terrorism
Immigration
6%
4%
1%
18
17
4
1
3
19
27
22
5
4
3
1
2
2
1
5
5
15
16
10
1
1
27
19
55
2
2
MAKES BEST PRESIDENT Q58

Sen/
NvrHeld
Gov
House Office
6%
3%
1%
16
12
21
4
1
26
34
15
2
6
3
1
2
5
13
4
18
18
4
2
3
2
13
13
45
1
3
1
1A. (If candidate chosen q1) Is your mind made up, or do you think you might change your
mind before the caucus?
LIKELY REP CAUCUS-GOERS......................................
CANDIDATE CHOSEN Q1..........................................
CANDIDATE OF CHOICE Q1.........................
Tot
Carson
Cruz
Rubio
Trump
Made up
Might change
DK/NA
41%
58
2
33%
65
1
44%
53
4
22%
78
-
51%
48
1
2. Are there any of these candidates you would definitely not support for the Republican
nomination for president? (Totals may add up to more than 100% because multiple responses
were allowed)
Wht
Tea
COLLEGE DEG
Tot
Party Evang Very
Smwht Lib
Men
Wom
Yes
No
Bush
Carson
Christie
Cruz
Fiorina
Gilmore
Graham
Huckabee
Kasich
Pataki
Paul
Rubio
Santorum
Trump
No/No one
DK/NA
26%
9
14
5
10
11
15
10
19
14
12
7
9
23
27
5
39%
3
19
2
11
12
26
9
29
18
7
12
7
21
27
2
23%
6
14
3
12
12
17
7
24
15
14
5
7
25
26
3
33%
4
16
3
11
16
21
9
26
18
13
8
9
17
28
4
19%
9
10
5
8
8
14
10
16
12
15
5
8
25
28
6
22%
17
15
11
10
8
8
11
11
9
8
9
10
35
24
5
30%
8
16
6
11
10
16
11
21
13
10
9
10
23
27
4
20%
11
11
4
7
14
14
8
18
15
16
4
7
24
27
7
25%
14
15
8
12
14
15
14
20
15
11
6
11
32
23
5
26%
6
13
4
8
10
16
8
19
13
13
7
8
19
29
5
5. Compared to past presidential caucuses in Iowa, how would you describe your level of
enthusiasm about attending a presidential caucus in February 2016; are you more
enthusiastic than usual, less enthusiastic, or about the same as usual?
Wht
Tea
COLLEGE DEG
Tot
Party Evang Very
Smwht Lib
Men
Wom
Yes
No
More
Less
About the same
DK/NA
49%
7
43
1
57%
3
40
-
56%
5
39
1
58%
3
39
1
45%
8
46
-
39%
14
47
1
50%
8
41
1
47%
6
46
-
41%
11
47
1
53%
5
41
-
6. Is your opinion of Jeb Bush favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about
him?
Wht
Tea
COLLEGE DEG
Tot
Party Evang Very
Smwht Lib
Men
Wom
Yes
No
Favorable
Unfavorable
Hvn't hrd enough
REFUSED
39%
53
7
2
18%
76
5
1
38%
54
7
-
37%
57
4
2
39%
52
8
1
44%
46
8
1
33%
59
7
1
48%
43
6
3
45%
47
7
1
36%
56
7
2
7. Is your opinion of Ben Carson favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about
him?
Wht
Tea
COLLEGE DEG
Tot
Party Evang Very
Smwht Lib
Men
Wom
Yes
No
Favorable
Unfavorable
Hvn't hrd enough
REFUSED
79%
15
6
1
87%
7
6
1
85%
9
5
1
90%
7
3
1
76%
16
8
-
64%
28
7
2
80%
13
7
1
77%
17
4
2
71%
23
6
-
82%
10
6
2
8. Is your opinion of Chris Christie favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough
about him?
Wht
Tea
COLLEGE DEG
Tot
Party Evang Very
Smwht Lib
Men
Wom
Yes
No
Favorable
Unfavorable
Hvn't hrd enough
REFUSED
45%
40
13
2
33%
52
15
1
44%
40
14
2
44%
43
11
2
49%
31
17
3
42%
47
11
-
46%
43
10
1
45%
34
18
3
49%
41
9
1
44%
38
16
2
9. Is your opinion of Ted Cruz favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about
him?
Wht
Tea
COLLEGE DEG
Tot
Party Evang Very
Smwht Lib
Men
Wom
Yes
No
Favorable
Unfavorable
Hvn't hrd enough
REFUSED
73%
15
12
1
86%
6
8
-
77%
11
11
1
86%
7
7
-
74%
14
11
-
47%
29
23
1
73%
16
11
-
72%
13
14
1
67%
22
11
-
76%
11
13
1
10. Is your opinion of Carly Fiorina favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough
about her?
Wht
Tea
COLLEGE DEG
Tot
Party Evang Very
Smwht Lib
Men
Wom
Yes
No
Favorable
Unfavorable
Hvn't hrd enough
REFUSED
60%
19
19
2
60%
23
15
2
64%
16
19
1
68%
16
14
2
57%
20
22
2
48%
26
24
2
60%
22
17
2
60%
16
23
2
64%
20
15
2
58%
19
21
2
11. Is your opinion of Jim Gilmore favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough
about him?
Wht
Tea
COLLEGE DEG
Tot
Party Evang Very
Smwht Lib
Men
Wom
Yes
No
Favorable
Unfavorable
Hvn't hrd enough
REFUSED
1%
19
79
1
19
80
1
1%
18
80
1
1%
24
74
1
14
84
2
2%
16
82
-
1%
18
79
1
1%
20
78
1
2%
17
80
1
1%
20
78
1
12. Is your opinion of Lindsey Graham favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough
about him?
Wht
Tea
COLLEGE DEG
Tot
Party Evang Very
Smwht Lib
Men
Wom
Yes
No
Favorable
Unfavorable
Hvn't hrd enough
REFUSED
20%
45
33
2
14%
64
20
1
19%
46
35
1
18%
55
25
2
18%
37
44
1
25%
40
32
3
18%
50
30
2
23%
38
37
2
24%
48
27
1
18%
44
37
2
13. Is your opinion of Mike Huckabee favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough
about him?
Wht
Tea
COLLEGE DEG
Tot
Party Evang Very
Smwht Lib
Men
Wom
Yes
No
Favorable
Unfavorable
Hvn't hrd enough
REFUSED
61%
28
10
1
64%
28
8
-
71%
20
9
1
72%
21
6
-
63%
26
10
1
38%
42
18
2
59%
30
10
1
63%
24
11
1
55%
35
9
1
64%
24
11
1
14. Is your opinion of John Kasich favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough
about him?
Wht
Tea
COLLEGE DEG
Tot
Party Evang Very
Smwht Lib
Men
Wom
Yes
No
Favorable
Unfavorable
Hvn't hrd enough
REFUSED
22%
39
37
1
12%
58
28
2
21%
43
35
-
22%
51
26
1
24%
32
44
1
20%
28
50
2
23%
43
32
1
22%
33
45
1
29%
37
33
1
19%
41
39
1
15. Is your opinion of George Pataki favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough
about him?
Wht
Tea
COLLEGE DEG
Tot
Party Evang Very
Smwht Lib
Men
Wom
Yes
No
Favorable
Unfavorable
Hvn't hrd enough
REFUSED
5%
36
58
1
4%
39
57
-
6%
32
61
1
7%
43
49
-
3%
32
64
1
5%
27
66
1
5%
38
56
1
6%
33
60
1
7%
38
54
1
4%
35
60
1
16. Is your opinion of Rand Paul favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about
him?
Wht
Tea
COLLEGE DEG
Tot
Party Evang Very
Smwht Lib
Men
Wom
Yes
No
Favorable
Unfavorable
Hvn't hrd enough
REFUSED
41%
44
12
3
53%
37
10
1
42%
44
10
3
46%
42
9
3
41%
42
14
3
33%
52
12
3
49%
40
10
1
30%
52
14
5
41%
47
11
1
41%
43
12
4
17. Is your opinion of Marco Rubio favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough
about him?
Wht
Tea
COLLEGE DEG
Tot
Party Evang Very
Smwht Lib
Men
Wom
Yes
No
Favorable
Unfavorable
Hvn't hrd enough
REFUSED
70%
18
10
2
64%
26
9
2
70%
17
11
2
75%
15
8
1
74%
14
11
2
54%
29
14
2
67%
21
11
1
74%
14
10
3
73%
17
9
1
68%
18
11
2
18. Is your opinion of Rick Santorum favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough
about him?
Wht
Tea
COLLEGE DEG
Tot
Party Evang Very
Smwht Lib
Men
Wom
Yes
No
Favorable
Unfavorable
Hvn't hrd enough
REFUSED
50%
31
17
2
56%
30
13
1
56%
23
19
2
64%
21
14
1
47%
31
20
3
28%
50
20
2
46%
36
16
2
56%
23
19
2
42%
39
18
1
54%
27
17
2
19. Is your opinion of Donald Trump favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough
about him?
Wht
Tea
COLLEGE DEG
Tot
Party Evang Very
Smwht Lib
Men
Wom
Yes
No
Favorable
Unfavorable
Hvn't hrd enough
REFUSED
59%
34
4
2
62%
32
5
1
53%
37
7
3
65%
27
6
2
60%
33
3
4
46%
50
2
2
63%
32
3
2
54%
37
5
4
51%
46
2
1
63%
28
5
3
20. Which of these is the most important issue to you in deciding who to support for the
Republican nomination for President: the economy and jobs, terrorism, immigration, the
federal deficit, health care, foreign policy, climate change, race relations, abortion,
taxes, or gun policy?
Wht
Tea
COLLEGE DEG
Tot
Party Evang Very
Smwht Lib
Men
Wom
Yes
No
Economy and jobs
Terrorism
Immigration
Federal deficit
Health care
Foreign policy
Climate change
Race relations
Abortion
Taxes
Gun policy
DK/NA
24%
15
10
11
4
15
1
6
4
5
5
20%
14
13
12
3
12
9
4
8
6
18%
17
8
11
6
16
2
10
4
5
4
16%
20
11
8
5
15
10
2
7
6
34%
12
9
10
5
15
4
7
3
2
24%
11
11
19
2
14
1
3
2
5
5
4
27%
11
11
13
4
14
5
5
7
4
19%
22
10
8
5
16
2
7
3
2
6
30%
11
13
13
1
12
8
6
2
3
20%
17
9
10
6
17
1
5
4
7
6
21. Regardless of who you are voting for, which Republican candidate do you think can best
handle - the economy?
Wht
Tea
COLLEGE DEG
Tot
Party Evang Very
Smwht Lib
Men
Wom
Yes
No
Bush
Carson
Christie
Cruz
Fiorina
Gilmore
Graham
Huckabee
Kasich
Pataki
Paul
Rubio
Santorum
Trump
DK/NA
5%
6
1
11
6
1
2
5
6
49
5
1%
4
21
3
1
12
3
1
51
3
5%
10
2
12
6
2
1
7
4
46
5
4%
5
19
3
2
1
5
6
50
5
4%
7
3
7
8
1
1
5
6
53
4
11%
7
2
2
10
1
4
6
7
42
8
3%
5
1
12
5
2
2
8
7
53
2
9%
8
1
10
8
1
2
1
6
43
10
9%
6
2
8
7
4
7
9
41
6
3%
6
1
13
6
2
1
5
5
54
5
handle - foreign policy?
Wht
Tea
COLLEGE DEG
Tot
Party Evang Very
Smwht Lib
Men
Wom
Yes
No
Bush
Carson
Christie
Cruz
Fiorina
Gilmore
Graham
Huckabee
Kasich
Pataki
Paul
Rubio
Santorum
Trump
DK/NA
8%
6
2
24
3
2
2
2
6
15
1
18
11
1%
4
1
43
3
2
2
9
10
1
19
6
7%
8
2
30
4
1
2
1
6
12
1
15
10
7%
4
1
37
2
2
1
4
17
1
16
8
7%
5
4
20
4
1
3
2
6
14
1
20
12
14%
11
1
7
3
6
1
3
10
14
17
13
8%
5
2
25
3
3
2
1
9
14
21
7
9%
7
2
24
4
2
1
3
2
17
1
12
17
11%
4
3
22
5
3
1
2
7
19
1
12
9
7%
7
2
25
2
2
2
1
6
13
1
21
12
handle - illegal immigration?
Wht
Tea
COLLEGE DEG
Tot
Party Evang Very
Smwht Lib
Men
Wom
Yes
No
Bush
Carson
Christie
Cruz
Fiorina
Gilmore
Graham
Huckabee
Kasich
Pataki
Paul
Rubio
Santorum
Trump
DK/NA
4%
5
1
20
2
1
1
3
12
45
6
2%
3
35
1
1
2
4
1
47
5
3%
8
1
24
2
2
1
2
10
41
6
1%
4
1
28
1
2
2
8
49
3
4%
5
2
18
2
1
1
3
15
44
5
7%
8
1
9
3
1
4
15
40
13
4%
4
1
18
2
1
1
4
12
49
4
3%
7
2
24
2
1
1
11
40
9
5%
6
2
18
3
1
3
15
1
37
8
3%
5
1
21
1
2
2
10
50
5
handle - social issues, such as abortion and same-sex marriage?
Wht
Tea
COLLEGE DEG
Tot
Party Evang Very
Smwht Lib
Men
Wom
Yes
No
Bush
Carson
Christie
Cruz
Fiorina
Gilmore
Graham
Huckabee
Kasich
Pataki
Paul
Rubio
Santorum
Trump
DK/NA
3%
21
2
20
4
7
1
5
7
4
12
14
1%
19
35
3
8
10
3
2
13
6
2%
25
2
25
4
10
5
5
7
10
6
1%
22
31
2
10
1
4
5
5
12
7
3%
21
4
13
6
8
1
4
8
5
12
15
8%
21
3
8
4
1
1
9
9
3
9
24
3%
20
3
19
3
7
1
8
7
5
13
11
3%
24
1
21
5
7
1
6
3
9
18
5%
22
2
16
5
1
6
2
6
9
3
8
15
2%
20
2
22
4
8
5
6
5
14
13
10
handle - taxes?
Wht
Tea
COLLEGE DEG
Tot
Party Evang Very
Smwht Lib
Men
Wom
Yes
No
Bush
Carson
Christie
Cruz
Fiorina
Gilmore
Graham
Huckabee
Kasich
Pataki
Paul
Rubio
Santorum
Trump
DK/NA
6%
10
3
18
4
2
2
7
5
2
33
8
9
1
33
2
1
1
13
3
1
32
4
5%
15
4
18
4
2
1
7
3
4
29
8
4%
8
2
26
3
1
1
6
5
3
34
8
5%
12
4
14
5
3
2
6
7
2
32
10
13%
13
2
11
4
3
9
5
1
33
7
4%
8
3
20
4
2
2
10
6
2
34
6
9%
15
3
14
3
2
2
4
2
32
13
10%
8
3
15
3
2
4
9
9
1
29
8
4%
12
3
19
4
2
5
4
2
36
9
handle - terrorism?
Wht
Tea
COLLEGE DEG
Tot
Party Evang Very
Smwht Lib
Men
Wom
Yes
No
Bush
Carson
Christie
Cruz
Fiorina
Gilmore
Graham
Huckabee
Kasich
Pataki
Paul
Rubio
Santorum
Trump
DK/NA
7%
5
5
20
2
2
1
1
5
10
1
30
12
2%
3
3
34
2
1
1
9
9
1
30
6
5%
7
4
25
3
1
1
6
9
1
29
10
5%
3
3
31
1
1
3
9
1
34
8
6%
4
6
17
3
2
2
5
10
31
13
11%
9
5
5
2
5
2
10
9
23
18
6%
3
5
20
2
2
1
8
10
34
8
7%
7
4
20
2
2
1
1
1
9
1
24
19
10%
5
6
17
3
3
1
5
13
1
26
11
5%
5
4
22
2
1
2
6
8
1
33
13
27. Would you say that - Marco Rubio is honest and trustworthy or not?
Wht
Tea
COLLEGE DEG
Tot
Party Evang Very
Smwht Lib
Men
Wom
Yes
No
Yes
No
DK/NA
73%
19
8
68%
26
5
74%
17
9
75%
20
5
79%
12
9
61%
28
11
73%
22
5
73%
15
12
75%
18
7
72%
19
9
11
28. Would you say that - Ben Carson is honest and trustworthy or not?
Wht
Tea
COLLEGE DEG
Tot
Party Evang Very
Smwht Lib
Men
Wom
Yes
No
Yes
No
DK/NA
88%
10
2
92%
5
3
95%
4
1
94%
4
1
88%
10
2
78%
19
3
89%
9
2
86%
11
3
84%
13
3
90%
8
2
29. Would you say that - Donald Trump is honest and trustworthy or not?
Wht
Tea
COLLEGE DEG
Tot
Party Evang Very
Smwht Lib
Men
Wom
Yes
No
Yes
No
DK/NA
59%
37
4
61%
36
3
61%
36
3
62%
33
4
58%
37
5
54%
43
3
60%
37
3
57%
36
7
52%
45
3
64%
32
5
30. Would you say that - Ted Cruz is honest and trustworthy or not?
Wht
Tea
COLLEGE DEG
Tot
Party Evang Very
Smwht Lib
Men
Wom
Yes
No
Yes
No
DK/NA
80%
13
7
90%
9
1
87%
6
7
90%
5
4
81%
13
6
60%
29
10
80%
16
4
80%
9
11
80%
15
6
80%
13
7
31. Would you say that - Jeb Bush is honest and trustworthy or not?
Wht
Tea
COLLEGE DEG
Tot
Party Evang Very
Smwht Lib
Men
Wom
Yes
No
Yes
No
DK/NA
64%
33
3
52%
47
1
68%
30
2
62%
36
3
64%
33
3
70%
28
3
59%
40
2
72%
23
5
69%
28
3
62%
35
3
32. Would you say that - Marco Rubio has strong leadership qualities or not?
Wht
Tea
COLLEGE DEG
Tot
Party Evang Very
Smwht Lib
Men
Wom
Yes
No
Yes
No
DK/NA
71%
22
6
69%
26
5
74%
19
8
78%
17
5
70%
23
7
62%
31
8
72%
25
4
71%
18
10
74%
21
5
71%
22
7
12
33. Would you say that - Ben Carson has strong leadership qualities or not?
Wht
Tea
COLLEGE DEG
Tot
Party Evang Very
Smwht Lib
Men
Wom
Yes
No
Yes
No
DK/NA
65%
32
4
73%
23
3
76%
22
3
71%
26
3
62%
34
3
57%
39
4
65%
31
4
64%
33
3
59%
38
4
68%
29
3
34. Would you say that - Donald Trump has strong leadership qualities or not?
Wht
Tea
COLLEGE DEG
Tot
Party Evang Very
Smwht Lib
Men
Wom
Yes
No
Yes
No
DK/NA
83%
17
-
85%
15
1
82%
18
-
83%
17
1
86%
14
-
77%
23
1
81%
18
-
85%
15
-
77%
22
1
86%
14
-
35. Would you say that - Ted Cruz has strong leadership qualities or not?
Wht
Tea
COLLEGE DEG
Tot
Party Evang Very
Smwht Lib
Men
Wom
Yes
No
Yes
No
DK/NA
80%
16
4
88%
10
2
83%
11
5
91%
6
3
83%
14
3
56%
35
9
81%
16
2
78%
14
8
78%
18
4
81%
14
5
36. Would you say that - Jeb Bush has strong leadership qualities or not?
Wht
Tea
COLLEGE DEG
Tot
Party Evang Very
Smwht Lib
Men
Wom
Yes
No
Yes
No
DK/NA
61%
38
2
46%
52
1
62%
37
2
58%
40
2
62%
38
-
65%
34
2
58%
42
1
66%
32
3
64%
33
2
59%
40
1
37. Would you say that - Marco Rubio cares about the needs and problems of people like you
or not?
Wht
Tea
COLLEGE DEG
Tot
Party Evang Very
Smwht Lib
Men
Wom
Yes
No
Yes
No
DK/NA
76%
18
6
69%
27
4
75%
16
8
79%
17
4
79%
15
7
66%
27
7
75%
22
3
77%
13
10
77%
18
5
75%
19
6
13
38. Would you say that - Ben Carson cares about the needs and problems of people like you
or not?
Wht
Tea
COLLEGE DEG
Tot
Party Evang Very
Smwht Lib
Men
Wom
Yes
No
Yes
No
DK/NA
87%
10
3
94%
5
2
95%
3
2
95%
4
1
87%
10
3
75%
20
5
89%
8
3
85%
13
2
85%
12
3
89%
9
3
39. Would you say that - Donald Trump cares about the needs and problems of people like
you or not?
Wht
Tea
COLLEGE DEG
Tot
Party Evang Very
Smwht Lib
Men
Wom
Yes
No
Yes
No
DK/NA
58%
39
3
63%
36
1
55%
41
4
63%
34
2
62%
34
4
43%
55
2
61%
37
1
54%
42
5
51%
47
2
62%
35
3
40. Would you say that - Ted Cruz cares about the needs and problems of people like you or
not?
Wht
Tea
COLLEGE DEG
Tot
Party Evang Very
Smwht Lib
Men
Wom
Yes
No
Yes
No
DK/NA
81%
14
5
91%
7
1
86%
9
5
89%
8
3
84%
11
5
61%
29
9
83%
14
3
78%
14
8
76%
20
4
83%
11
5
41. Would you say that - Jeb Bush cares about the needs and problems of people like you or
not?
Wht
Tea
COLLEGE DEG
Tot
Party Evang Very
Smwht Lib
Men
Wom
Yes
No
Yes
No
DK/NA
56%
39
4
39%
58
3
58%
35
7
52%
43
5
58%
38
4
63%
34
3
54%
44
2
60%
32
8
64%
32
4
52%
43
4
42. Would you say that - Marco Rubio has the right kind of experience to be President or
not?
Wht
Tea
COLLEGE DEG
Tot
Party Evang Very
Smwht Lib
Men
Wom
Yes
No
Yes
No
DK/NA
68%
27
5
70%
29
1
74%
21
5
72%
25
3
70%
25
5
57%
35
8
69%
29
2
67%
24
9
68%
28
4
68%
26
6
14
43. Would you say that - Ben Carson has the right kind of experience to be President or
not?
Wht
Tea
COLLEGE DEG
Tot
Party Evang Very
Smwht Lib
Men
Wom
Yes
No
Yes
No
DK/NA
49%
45
5
62%
36
2
57%
38
5
60%
34
5
46%
49
4
33%
61
6
50%
47
4
49%
44
8
46%
49
4
51%
44
6
44. Would you say that - Donald Trump has the right kind of experience to be President or
not?
Wht
Tea
COLLEGE DEG
Tot
Party Evang Very
Smwht Lib
Men
Wom
Yes
No
Yes
No
DK/NA
62%
36
2
65%
33
1
63%
35
2
67%
30
3
61%
38
1
52%
45
3
64%
34
2
58%
39
3
54%
44
2
65%
32
3
45. Would you say that - Ted Cruz has the right kind of experience to be President or not?
Wht
Tea
COLLEGE DEG
Tot
Party Evang Very
Smwht Lib
Men
Wom
Yes
No
Yes
No
DK/NA
75%
19
6
85%
12
2
79%
14
7
86%
10
4
76%
19
5
54%
37
10
75%
21
3
74%
16
9
72%
23
5
76%
17
6
46. Would you say that - Jeb Bush has the right kind of experience to be President or not?
Wht
Tea
COLLEGE DEG
Tot
Party Evang Very
Smwht Lib
Men
Wom
Yes
No
Yes
No
DK/NA
75%
24
1
61%
39
-
77%
23
1
71%
29
-
78%
21
1
80%
20
-
72%
27
1
79%
20
1
81%
18
1
72%
28
-
47. Would you say that - Marco Rubio shares your values or not?
Wht
Tea
COLLEGE DEG
Tot
Party Evang Very
Smwht Lib
Men
Wom
Yes
No
Yes
No
DK/NA
69%
25
7
64%
34
2
69%
23
8
75%
21
4
71%
21
8
54%
36
10
67%
29
4
72%
17
11
73%
20
7
67%
27
6
15
48. Would you say that - Ben Carson shares your values or not?
Wht
Tea
COLLEGE DEG
Tot
Party Evang Very
Smwht Lib
Men
Wom
Yes
No
Yes
No
DK/NA
84%
13
3
91%
7
2
95%
3
2
95%
3
2
82%
15
3
67%
27
7
84%
13
3
83%
13
4
78%
18
4
87%
10
3
49. Would you say that - Donald Trump shares your values or not?
Wht
Tea
COLLEGE DEG
Tot
Party Evang Very
Smwht Lib
Men
Wom
Yes
No
Yes
No
DK/NA
52%
44
4
59%
37
4
49%
49
2
52%
45
3
57%
37
6
44%
55
2
57%
40
4
45%
51
4
41%
56
3
59%
37
4
50. Would you say that - Ted Cruz shares your values or not?
Wht
Tea
COLLEGE DEG
Tot
Party Evang Very
Smwht Lib
Men
Wom
Yes
No
Yes
No
DK/NA
75%
19
6
89%
9
1
81%
13
5
89%
8
3
76%
18
6
50%
39
11
74%
21
5
78%
14
8
72%
22
6
77%
17
6
51. Would you say that - Jeb Bush shares your values or not?
Wht
Tea
COLLEGE DEG
Tot
Party Evang Very
Smwht Lib
Men
Wom
Yes
No
Yes
No
DK/NA
52%
43
5
34%
64
2
49%
44
7
44%
49
7
55%
42
3
65%
33
2
51%
47
2
55%
37
9
60%
34
6
48%
48
4
52. Would you say that - Marco Rubio would have a good chance of defeating the Democratic
nominee in the general election for President or not?
Wht
Tea
COLLEGE DEG
Tot
Party Evang Very
Smwht Lib
Men
Wom
Yes
No
Yes
No
DK/NA
67%
29
4
65%
32
3
68%
27
4
71%
25
4
74%
23
3
48%
46
6
68%
30
3
65%
28
7
69%
26
6
66%
31
3
16
53. Would you say that - Ben Carson would have a good chance of defeating the Democratic
Wht
Tea
COLLEGE DEG
Tot
Party Evang Very
Smwht Lib
Men
Wom
Yes
No
Yes
No
DK/NA
67%
30
3
79%
20
1
75%
23
2
76%
21
3
64%
32
3
55%
42
3
70%
28
2
62%
33
4
60%
38
2
71%
25
4
54. Would you say that - Donald Trump would have a good chance of defeating the Democratic
Wht
Tea
COLLEGE DEG
Tot
Party Evang Very
Smwht Lib
Men
Wom
Yes
No
Yes
No
DK/NA
70%
27
3
73%
24
3
69%
27
4
76%
20
4
70%
29
1
59%
37
4
71%
27
2
69%
26
5
61%
37
2
75%
22
4
55. Would you say that - Ted Cruz would have a good chance of defeating the Democratic
Wht
Tea
COLLEGE DEG
Tot
Party Evang Very
Smwht Lib
Men
Wom
Yes
No
Yes
No
DK/NA
64%
34
2
79%
21
1
72%
26
2
81%
16
3
61%
38
1
37%
61
3
64%
35
2
64%
32
4
60%
38
2
66%
31
3
56. Would you say that - Jeb Bush would have a good chance of defeating the Democratic
Wht
Tea
COLLEGE DEG
Tot
Party Evang Very
Smwht Lib
Men
Wom
Yes
No
Yes
No
DK/NA
31%
65
4
22%
76
2
29%
69
2
27%
66
6
36%
64
-
34%
64
2
31%
66
3
32%
63
5
34%
63
3
30%
67
3
17
57. Thinking about the Republican nominee

most important to you: Someone who shares
of people like you, has strong leadership
right kind of experience, or has the best
for president in 2016, which of the following is

your values, cares about the needs and problems
qualities, is honest and trustworthy, has the
chance of winning?

Wht
Tea
COLLEGE DEG
Tot
Party Evang Very
Smwht Lib
Men
Wom
Yes
No
Shares values
Cares needs/problems
Strong leadership
Honest/trustworthy
Right experience
Best chance/winning
DK/NA
21%
8
24
24
4
16
3
35%
4
23
25
1
10
2
28%
9
16
26
3
16
2
29%
5
21
23
3
15
5
16%
8
28
26
4
18
1
13%
16
26
22
5
16
1
23%
11
24
25
4
13
1
19%
5
25
22
4
21
4
21%
5
29
22
5
17
1
21%
11
22
25
3
16
3
58. Generally speaking, what type of candidate makes the best president someone who has
served as a Governor of a state, someone who has served in the U.S. Senate or House of
Representatives, or someone who has never held an elected office?
Wht
Tea
COLLEGE DEG
Tot
Party Evang Very
Smwht Lib
Men
Wom
Yes
No
Governor
U.S. Senate/House
Never held office
DK/NA
42%
15
31
13
35%
15
35
15
45%
15
27
12
42%
12
29
17
45%
16
31
8
37%
19
32
12
41%
14
34
10
42%
16
26
16
50%
15
23
12
38%
15
35
13
82. Do you support or oppose accepting Syrian refugees into the U.S.?
Wht
Tea
COLLEGE DEG
Tot
Party Evang Very
Smwht Lib
Men
Wom
Yes
No
Support
Oppose
DK/NA
15%
81
5
6%
93
1
12%
82
5
7%
90
4
16%
79
5
28%
67
5
15%
82
2
13%
79
8
22%
73
5
10%
86
3
83. Do you support or oppose accepting Syrian refugees into Iowa?

Wht
Tea
COLLEGE DEG
Tot
Party Evang Very
Smwht Lib
Men
Wom
Yes
No
Support
Oppose
DK/NA
13%
82
5
4%
95
1
11%
84
5
6%
91
3
13%
81
6
27%
67
5
14%
84
2
12%
80
8
22%
73
5
8%
88
4
18
84. Would you support or oppose the U.S. sending ground troops to fight ISIS in Iraq and
Syria?
Wht
Tea
COLLEGE DEG
Tot
Party Evang Very
Smwht Lib
Men
Wom
Yes
No
Support
Oppose
DK/NA
73%
22
4
78%
17
5
77%
19
3
78%
18
4
72%
23
4
68%
28
4
76%
21
3
69%
25
6
70%
24
6
75%
22
3
Mltry
HsHld
Support
Oppose
DK/NA
72%
20
8
85. Do you think the United States and its allies are winning or losing the fight against
ISIS?
Wht
Tea
COLLEGE DEG
Tot
Party Evang Very
Smwht Lib
Men
Wom
Yes
No
Winning
Losing
DK/NA
9%
83
7
7%
88
5
8%
86
6
8%
88
5
10%
83
7
12%
76
12
10%
83
7
9%
83
8
8%
82
9
10%
84
6
Mltry
HsHld
Winning
Losing
DK/NA
9%
83
8
86. How worried are you about the possibility of a terrorist attack in the United States,
like the ones that happened recently in Paris; very worried, somewhat worried, not so
worried, or not worried at all?
Wht
Tea
COLLEGE DEG
Tot
Party Evang Very
Smwht Lib
Men
Wom
Yes
No
Very worried
Somewhat worried
Not so worried
Not worried at all
DK/NA
53%
35
8
3
1
59%
31
5
5
-
55%
35
7
3
-
59%
31
7
2
1
55%
35
9
1
-
39%
43
11
7
-
53%
32
10
4
-
53%
39
5
1
1
51%
34
12
2
-
55%
35
5
4
1
19
87. Do the terrorist attacks in Paris make you more likely to support stricter gun laws,
less likely to support stricter gun laws, or don't they make a difference?
Wht
Tea
COLLEGE DEG
Tot
Party Evang Very
Smwht Lib
Men
Wom
Yes
No
More likely
Less likely
No difference
DK/NA
7%
48
43
2
2%
64
31
4
8%
55
36
1
5%
60
31
3
7%
48
44
1
9%
27
63
1
4%
52
43
1
12%
42
43
3
7%
40
52
1
7%
53
38
2
20

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Quinnipiac University Poll 11/24/15

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Peter A.

Brown, Assistant Director,

FOR RELEASE: NOVEMBER 24, 2015

TRUMP, CRUZ ON TOP IN TOPSY-TURVY IOWA GOP CAUCUS,

Quinnipiac University Poll/November 24, 2015 page 2

LIKELY REP CAUCUS-GOERS............................................

MOST IMPORTANT CHARACTERISTIC Q57...................

MOST IMPORTANT ISSUE Q20...............

MAKES BEST PRESIDENT Q58

57. Thinking about the Republican nominee

for president in 2016, which of the following is

LIKELY REP CAUCUS-GOERS............................................

83. Do you support or oppose accepting Syrian refugees into Iowa?

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