Professional Documents
Culture Documents
ALISON MACKEY
Ohio State University
TYSON B. MACKEY
Ohio State University
JAY B. BARNEY
Ohio State University
Debates continue to rage between those that argue that managers should maximize the present
value of their firms cash flows in making strategic choices and those that argue that,
sometimes, the wealth maximizing interests of a firms equity holders should be abandoned for
the good of a firms other stakeholders. This debate is addressed by proposing a theoretical
model in which the supply of and demand for socially responsible investment opportunities
determines whether these activities will improve, reduce, or have no impact on a firms market
value. The theory shows that managers in publicly traded firms might fund socially
responsible activities that do not maximize the present value of its future cash flows yet still
maximize the market value of their firm.
that reduce the present value of their cash flows, it does not
assume that maximizing the present value of a firms cash
flows and maximizing a firms market value are equivalent.
Such an assumption is only justifiable if all of a firms current
and potential equity holders are solely interested in
maximizing their wealth in making their investment decisions.
If, on the other hand, at least some of these investors have
interests besides simply maximizing their wealth in making
investment decisions, then maximizing the present value of a
firms cash flows and maximizing firm value are no longer
equivalent concepts.
Market Efficiency Assumptions
The model presented here also assumes that capital
markets are semi-strong efficient (Fama, 1970). This means
that publicly available information about the perceived value
of a firms assets will, on average, be reflected in the market
price of those assets. Semi-strong efficiency, in particular,
implies that if firms engage in specific socially responsible
activities in a public way, that current and potential equity
holders will be aware of both the nature of these activities and
their impact on the present value of a firms future cash flows,
and will, on average, adjust their valuation of a firms equities
accordingly.
There is substantial evidence that U.S. capital markets
are, overall, semi-strong efficient (Copeland et al., 1994).
This does not mean that the value of a firms equity always
equals the true underlying value of a firmcertainly there is a
great deal of private information about the value of those
assets (Fama, 1970) and investor decisions are often
systematically non-rational (Tversky & Kahneman, 1974) and
affected by emotions (Schiller, 1999; Shefrin, 2000; Thaler,
1987a; 1987b). However, semi-strong efficiency does suggest
that whatever public information exists about the value of a
firms assets is, on average, likely to be reflected in the price
of those assets (Fama, 1998)3. In this context, semi-strong
efficiency suggests that when a firm publicly pursues socially
responsible activities that reduce the present value of its cash
flows, current and potential investors will factor these actions
and their consequences into decisions about whether or not to
buy or sell this firms stock.
Socially Responsible Activities and Firm Cash Flows
Finally, while acknowledging that some socially
responsible activities can sometimes have a positive impact on
the present value of a firms cash flows (McWilliams &
Siegel, 2001; Waddock & Graves, 1997; Godfrey, 2004), the
model developed here examines the consequences of only
those socially responsible activities that reduce the present
value of a firms cash flows.4 In this way, the model focuses
on a central theoretical issue raised by those that study
3
There continues to be significant debate about the impact of nonrational elements in equity holder decision making on the efficient
capital markets hypothesis (Fama, 1998). The approach adopted here
is to adopt the simple semi-strong efficient capital markets
assumption while acknowledging the importance of extending the
model to include these emotional and cognitive phenomena in the
future.
4
The model is also generalized, later in the paper, to include socially
responsible activities that have no material impact, positive or
negative, on the present value of a firms cash flows.
(5)
DSR = m I
where DSR is the total amount of money controlled by socially
conscious investors in this market. If there are I=200 total
investors in an economy each endowed with m= $50,000 and
25 percent, = .25, are socially conscious investors, then the
total amount of money controlled by socially conscious
investors is $2,500,000.
The total demand for shares of stock in profit maximizing
firms is equal to:
DPM = (1 ) m I (6)
where DPM is the total amount of money controlled by wealth
maximizing investors in this market. If there are I=200 total
investors in an economy each endowed with m= $50,000 and
75 percent, (1- ) = .75, are wealth maximizing investors as
opposed to socially conscious, then the total amount of money
controlled by wealth maximizing investors is $7,500,000.
The price for a share of stock in these two types of firms
is found by dividing the amount of money controlled by
socially conscious and wealth maximizing investors by the
supply of stock of a particular typefor socially responsible
and traditional profit maximizing firms, respectively. This is
done in equations seven and eight.
m I (7)
sN
(1 ) m I
(8)
=
(1 )s N
PSR =
PPM
PSR =
m I (1 ) m I
=
= PPM (9)
(1 )s N
sN
TABLE 1
The Effect of Beginning or Abandoning Socially Responsible Activities on a
Firms Market Value*
Demand > Supply
Supply > Demand
Supply = Demand
A firm begins socially
+
responsible activities
-
______
*The signs of these predictions are derived from Equation 9. Consider, for example, the first column of the table, where
demand > supply. Suppose a firm begins socially responsible activities (row 1). The number of socially responsible firms in
the economy changes from N to N + 1. The price of this firms equity will increase from PPM to PSR if and only if demand
is still greater than supply after this firm switches ( N is greater than or equal to N + 1). The relationship between PPM and
PSR is derived in the following way:
PPM =
mI
(1 ) m I
<
= PSR
(1 ) N s
( N + 1) s
(1 )
<
1 <
(1 ) N
N +1
(1 ) N + N + 1
N +1
=
N +1
N +1
N + > N +1
PSR > PPM
assumption 1
Now, suppose instead, that a firm abandons socially responsible activities (i.e. the number of traditional profit maximizing
, is
firms increases from (1- )N to [(1- )N +1]). After switching, the new price for traditional profit maximizing firms, PPM
less than the original price for traditional profit maximizing firms, PPM :
(1 ) m I
(1 )m I
<
= PPm
= PPm
((1 ) N + 1) s
(1 ) N s
denominator has increased and numerator has not changed
< PSR
PPM
Similar calculations can be conducted for the remaining columns and rows of this table.
Table 2
The Effect of a Firm Changing Its Socially Responsibility Strategy on the
Market Value of Other Firms in the Economy
One firm switches from
One firm switches from
No firm switches
profit maximizing to
socially responsibility to
socially responsibility
profit maximizing
Firm maintains socially
+
0
responsible activities
Firm maintains profit
+
0
maximizing
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