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Tim Malloy, Assistant Director,

Quinnipiac University Poll


(203) 645-8043
Rubenstein Associates, Inc.
Public Relations
Contact: Pat Smith (212) 843-8026

FOR RELEASE: DECEMBER 2, 2015

BUMP FOR TRUMP AS CARSON FADES IN REPUBLICAN RACE,


QUINNIPIAC UNIVERSITY NATIONAL POLL FINDS;
CLINTON, SANDERS SURGE IN MATCHUPS WITH GOP LEADERS
Eleven months before the 2016 presidential election, Donald Trump is the undisputed leader in
the Republican field, as Dr. Ben Carson, in a virtual tie with Trump four weeks ago, drops to
third place, according to a Quinnipiac University National poll released today.
On the Democratic side, former Secretary of State Hillary Clinton widens her lead over
Sen. Bernie Sanders of Vermont to 60 30 percent, compared to 53 35 percent in a November
4 survey by the independent Quinnipiac (KWIN-uh-pe-ack) University Poll. Former Maryland
Gov. Martin OMalley has 2 percent, with 6 percent undecided.
Trump gets 27 percent of Republican voters today, with 17 percent for Sen. Marco Rubio
of Florida, 16 percent each for Carson and Sen. Ted Cruz of Texas and 5 percent for former
Florida Gov. Jeb Bush. No other candidate tops 3 percent, with 8 percent undecided.
Last month, Trump had 24 percent, with 23 percent for Carson.
Among Republicans, 26 percent of voters say they would definitely not support Trump,
with 21 percent who would not back Bush.
It doesnt seem to matter what he says or who he offends, whether the facts are
contested or the political correctness is challenged, Donald Trump seems to be wearing
Kevlar, said Tim Malloy, assistant director of the Quinnipiac University Poll.
Dr. Ben Carson, moving to center stage just one month ago, now needs some CPR. The
Doctor sinks. The Donald soars. The GOP, 11 months from the election, has to be thinking,
This could be the guy.
Secretary Hillary Clinton and Sen. Bernie Sanders have to be hoping Trump is the
GOPs guy.
-more-

Quinnipiac University Poll/December 2, 2015 page 2


American voters shift to Clinton as the Democrat gains ground against Republicans:

47 41 percent over Trump, compared to 46 43 percent November 4;


Clinton at 45 percent to Rubios 44 percent, compared to a 46 41 percent Rubio lead
last month;
Clinton tops Cruz 47 42 percent, compared to Cruz at 46 percent to Clintons 43
percent last month;
Clinton at 46 percent to Carsons 43 percent compared to Carsons 50 40 percent lead
last month.
Sanders does just as well, or even better, against top Republicans:

Topping Trump 49 41 percent;


Getting 44 percent to Rubios 43 percent;
Beating Cruz 49 39 percent;
Leading Carson 47 41 percent.
Clinton has a negative 44 51 percent favorability rating. Other favorability ratings are:

Negative 35 57 percent for Trump;


40 33 percent for Carson;
44 31 percent for Sanders;
37 28 percent for Rubio;
33 33 percent for Cruz.
American voters say 60 36 percent that Clinton is not honest and trustworthy. Trump is

not honest and trustworthy, voters say 59 35 percent. Sanders gets the best honesty grades
among top candidates, 59 28 percent, with Carson at 53 34 percent, Rubio at 49 33 percent
and Cruz at 43 39 percent.
All American voters say 63 32 percent, including 69 27 percent among independent
voters, that Clinton would have a good chance of beating the Republican nominee in a head-tohead matchup.
Voters are divided 46 49 percent on whether Trump would have a good chance of
beating the Democratic nominee, with independent voters divided 47 48 percent.
From November 23 30, Quinnipiac University surveyed 1,453 registered voters
nationwide with a margin of error of +/- 2.6 percentage points. Live interviewers call land lines
and cell phones. The survey includes 672 Republicans with a margin of error of +/- 3.8
percentage points and 573 Democrats with a margin of error of +/- 4.1 percentage points.
The Quinnipiac University Poll, directed by Douglas Schwartz, Ph.D., conducts public
opinion surveys in Pennsylvania, New York, New Jersey, Connecticut, Florida, Ohio, Virginia,
Iowa, Colorado and the nation as a public service and for research.
For more information, visit http://www.quinnipiac.edu/polling, call (203) 582-5201, or
follow us on Twitter @QuinnipiacPoll.

1. (If Republican or Republican Leaner) If the Republican primary for President were being
held today, and the candidates were Jeb Bush, Ben Carson, Chris Christie, Ted Cruz, Carly
Fiorina, Jim Gilmore, Lindsey Graham, Mike Huckabee, John Kasich, George Pataki, Rand
Paul, Marco Rubio, Rick Santorum, and Donald Trump, for whom would you vote?
REPUBLICANS/REPUBLICAN LEANERS......................
Wht
POLITICAL PHILOSOPHY
Tea
BrnAgn CONSERVATIVE Mod/
Tot
Party Evang Very
Smwht Lib
Men
Wom
Bush
Carson
Christie
Cruz
Fiorina
Gilmore
Graham
Huckabee
Kasich
Pataki
Paul
Rubio
Santorum
Trump
SMONE ELSE(VOL)
WLDN'T VOTE(VOL)
DK/NA

5%
16
2
16
3
1
2
2
17
27
1
8

1%
17
1
29
3
1
1
12
29
1
5

4%
19
24
2
2
2
13
24
1
8

6%
15
29
2
2
1
11
1
25
8

2%
15
2
14
3
2
1
26
25
1
8

7%
16
4
3
5
1
3
1
3
15
31
2
8

5%
14
2
16
2
1
2
1
1
17
30
2
7

5%
18
2
17
4
1
2
16
1
24
10

MOST IMPORTANT FOR REP PRES NOMINEE Q70


Shares
Strong
Honest/
Values
Leader
Trustworthy
Bush
Carson
Christie
Cruz
Fiorina
Gilmore
Graham
Huckabee
Kasich
Pataki
Paul
Rubio
Santorum
Trump
SMONE ELSE(VOL)
WLDN'T VOTE(VOL)
DK/NA

2%
23
1
15
1
1
2
3
16
1
27
8

2%
10
4
20
3
2
2
15
1
30
2
9

3%
17
1
18
4
1
1
19
21
2
12

Contd

1. (contd)(If Republican or Republican Leaner) If the Republican primary for President


were being held today, and the candidates were Jeb Bush, Ben Carson, Chris Christie,
Ted Cruz, Carly Fiorina, Jim Gilmore, Lindsey Graham, Mike Huckabee, John Kasich,
George Pataki, Rand Paul, Marco Rubio, Rick Santorum, and Donald Trump, for whom would you
vote?
REPUBLICANS/REPUBLICAN LEANERS......................
MOST IMPORTANT ISSUE Q72...........
Economy/
Foreign
Jobs
Terrorism
Policy
Bush
Carson
Christie
Cruz
Fiorina
Gilmore
Graham
Huckabee
Kasich
Pataki
Paul
Rubio
Santorum
Trump
SMONE ELSE(VOL)
WLDN'T VOTE(VOL)
DK/NA

8%
12
3
13
2
1
3
1
2
17
23
1
13

5%
19
1
16
5
1
1
18
29
7

3%
17
5
19
4
1
1
22
1
19
2
4

1A. (If candidate chosen q1) Is your mind made up, or do you think you might change your
mind before the primary?
REPUBLICANS/REPUBLICAN LEANERS...............................
CANDIDATE CHOSEN Q1..........................................
CANDIDATE OF CHOICE Q1.........................
Tot
Carson
Cruz
Rubio
Trump
Made up
Might change
DK/NA

32%
65
2

26%
71
3

33%
65
2

23%
75
2

46%
53
1

2. (If Republican or Republican Leaner) Are there any of these candidates


definitely not support for the Republican nomination for president: Bush,
Christie, Cruz, Fiorina, Gilmore, Graham, Huckabee, Kasich, Pataki, Paul,
or Trump? (Totals may add up to more than 100% because multiple responses
REPUBLICANS/REPUBLICAN LEANERS......................
Wht
POLITICAL PHILOSOPHY
Tea
BrnAgn CONSERVATIVE Mod/
Tot
Party Evang Very
Smwht Lib
Men
Wom
Bush
Carson
Christie
Cruz
Fiorina
Gilmore
Graham
Huckabee
Kasich
Pataki
Paul
Rubio
Santorum
Trump
No/No one
DK/NA

21%
10
13
6
11
9
11
9
13
11
13
5
9
26
30
6

25%
2
13
1
8
9
16
5
16
13
11
5
5
16
32
5

17%
3
9
1
9
4
7
2
9
5
9
3
1
24
32
5

27%
11
14
4
9
13
16
11
21
16
16
7
10
25
28
4

20%
7
14
5
12
8
9
8
11
9
13
4
8
20
34
5

15%
13
11
9
13
8
6
9
7
7
9
5
8
34
27
10

23%
10
15
7
10
9
12
10
14
11
11
6
9
24
31
6

you would
Carson,
Rubio, Santorum,
were allowed)

18%
9
10
4
12
10
10
9
13
11
15
4
9
30
28
6

3. (If Democrat or Democratic Leaner) If the Democratic primary for President were being
held today, and the candidates were Hillary Clinton, Martin O'Malley, and Bernie Sanders,
for whom would you vote?
DEMOCRATS/DEMOCRATIC LEANERS..........
POLITICAL PHILOSOPHY
LIBERAL..... Mod/
Tot
Very
Smwht Cons
Men
Wom
Clinton
O'Malley
Sanders
SMONE ELSE(VOL)
WLDN'T VOTE(VOL)
DK/NA

60%
2
30
1
1
6

48%
47
5

60%
3
33
4

62%
2
24
2
2
8

53%
3
39
1
4

65%
1
23
2
2
8

MOST IMPORTANT FOR DEM PRES NOMINEE Q69...........................


Shares
Strong
Honest/
Right
Values
Leader
Trustworthy
Cares
Experience
Clinton
O'Malley
Sanders
SMONE ELSE(VOL)
WLDN'T VOTE(VOL)
DK/NA

58%
1
31
3
7

70%
3
24
2
2

44%
3
39
5
1
8

53%
1
39
1
6

81%
3
6
9

MOST IMPORTANT ISSUE Q71


Economy/
Foreign
Jobs
Policy
Clinton
O'Malley
Sanders
SMONE ELSE(VOL)
WLDN'T VOTE(VOL)
DK/NA

59%
3
31
2
5

64%
1
23
12

3A. (If candidate chosen q3) Is your mind made up, or do you think you might change your
mind before the primary?
DEMOCRATS/DEMOCRATIC LEANERS........
CANDIDATE CHOSEN Q3.................
CANDIDATE OF CHOICE Q3
Tot
Clinton
Sanders
Mind made up
Might change
DK/NA

57%
41
1

62%
37
2

50%
49
1

4. (If Democrat or Democratic Leaner) Are there any of these candidates you would
definitely not support for the Democratic nomination for president: Clinton, O'Malley, or
Sanders? (Totals may add up to more than 100% because multiple responses were allowed)
DEMOCRATS/DEMOCRATIC LEANERS..........
POLITICAL PHILOSOPHY
LIBERAL..... Mod/
Tot
Very
Smwht Cons
Men
Wom
Clinton
O'Malley
Sanders
No/No one
DK/NA

8%
15
7
60
13

2%
13
78
7

7%
11
5
67
12

11%
17
11
51
14

12%
13
5
63
9

6%
16
9
57
16

5. If the election for President were being held today, and the candidates were
Hillary Clinton the Democrat and Ben Carson the Republican, for whom would you vote?

Clinton
Carson
SMONE ELSE(VOL)
WLDN'T VOTE(VOL)
DK/NA

Clinton
Carson
SMONE ELSE(VOL)
WLDN'T VOTE(VOL)
DK/NA

Tot

Rep

Dem

Ind

Men

Wom

COLLEGE DEG
Yes
No

46%
43
1
6
4

8%
84
1
4
2

89%
7
1
1
2

41%
42
10
6

39%
49
1
7
4

53%
37
1
5
4

54%
39
1
4
1

42%
45
1
7
5

AGE IN YRS..............
18-34 35-49 50-64 65+

WHITE.....
Men
Wom

Wht

Blk

Hsp

49%
37
1
8
5

32%
57
1
5
3

38%
52
1
6
4

82%
12
4
1

74%
15
8
3

51%
42
1
4
2

48%
42
2
5
2

38%
50
1
5
7

43%
46
1
6
4

6. If the election for President were being held today, and the candidates were
Hillary Clinton the Democrat and Donald Trump the Republican, for whom would you vote?

Clinton
Trump
SMONE ELSE(VOL)
WLDN'T VOTE(VOL)
DK/NA

Clinton
Trump
SMONE ELSE(VOL)
WLDN'T VOTE(VOL)
DK/NA

Tot

Rep

Dem

Ind

Men

Wom

COLLEGE DEG
Yes
No

47%
41
2
6
4

7%
82
1
6
4

91%
7
1
1
1

45%
37
4
9
5

39%
49
2
6
3

56%
33
2
5
4

55%
34
2
6
3

44%
45
2
5
4

AGE IN YRS..............
18-34 35-49 50-64 65+

WHITE.....
Men
Wom

Wht

Blk

Hsp

52%
32
3
9
3

31%
57
2
6
4

38%
50
2
6
4

87%
7
4
2

76%
13
5
5

50%
42
2
4
2

49%
44
1
4
3

39%
46
1
6
7

45%
43
2
6
3

7. If the election for President were being held today, and the candidates were
Hillary Clinton the Democrat and Marco Rubio the Republican, for whom would you vote?

Clinton
Rubio
SMONE ELSE(VOL)
WLDN'T VOTE(VOL)
DK/NA

Clinton
Rubio
SMONE ELSE(VOL)
WLDN'T VOTE(VOL)
DK/NA

Tot

Rep

Dem

Ind

Men

Wom

COLLEGE DEG
Yes
No

45%
44
2
5
5

7%
89
1
2
1

87%
8
2
1
2

40%
41
2
10
8

36%
51
2
6
5

53%
37
1
4
4

51%
43
1
3
2

41%
45
2
6
6

AGE IN YRS..............
18-34 35-49 50-64 65+

WHITE.....
Men
Wom

Wht

Blk

Hsp

45%
38
2
8
8

30%
59
2
6
3

36%
54
1
5
4

83%
10
2
5

69%
18
3
5
5

49%
44
2
3
3

47%
43
2
5
3

40%
52
1
3
4

42%
49
1
4
5

8. If the election for President were being held today, and the candidates were
Hillary Clinton the Democrat and Ted Cruz the Republican, for whom would you vote?

Clinton
Cruz
SMONE ELSE(VOL)
WLDN'T VOTE(VOL)
DK/NA

Clinton
Cruz
SMONE ELSE(VOL)
WLDN'T VOTE(VOL)
DK/NA

Tot

Rep

Dem

Ind

Men

Wom

COLLEGE DEG
Yes
No

47%
42
2
5
5

8%
87
1
3

90%
5
2
2
1

43%
39
2
9
7

39%
50
2
5
4

55%
34
1
5
5

55%
38
2
4
2

43%
44
2
5
6

AGE IN YRS..............
18-34 35-49 50-64 65+

WHITE.....
Men
Wom

Wht

Blk

Hsp

51%
33
1
8
7

32%
58
2
4
4

39%
51
2
4
4

84%
9
3
3

72%
17
4
8

50%
42
3
2
3

49%
43
1
5
3

39%
52
1
3
5

45%
45
1
5
4

9. If the election for President were being held today, and the candidates were
Bernie Sanders the Democrat and Ben Carson the Republican, for whom would you vote?

Sanders
Carson
SMONE ELSE(VOL)
WLDN'T VOTE(VOL)
DK/NA

Sanders
Carson
SMONE ELSE(VOL)
WLDN'T VOTE(VOL)
DK/NA

Tot

Rep

Dem

Ind

Men

Wom

COLLEGE DEG
Yes
No

47%
41
1
6
5

11%
81
1
5
3

84%
6
1
5
4

47%
40
2
6
6

41%
48
1
4
5

53%
35
1
7
5

52%
41
1
4
2

45%
42
1
7
6

AGE IN YRS..............
18-34 35-49 50-64 65+

WHITE.....
Men
Wom

Wht

Blk

Hsp

60%
33
1
1
5

35%
57
1
4
3

40%
50
1
5
4

77%
16
1
3
3

72%
13
2
6
7

49%
41
9
1

46%
43
1
5
4

35%
49
2
6
7

46%
43
1
6
4

10. If the election for President were being held today, and the candidates were
Bernie Sanders the Democrat and Donald Trump the Republican, for whom would you vote?

Sanders
Trump
SMONE ELSE(VOL)
WLDN'T VOTE(VOL)
DK/NA

Sanders
Trump
SMONE ELSE(VOL)
WLDN'T VOTE(VOL)
DK/NA

Tot

Rep

Dem

Ind

Men

Wom

COLLEGE DEG
Yes
No

49%
41
1
5
4

11%
80
1
5
3

86%
8
3
2

52%
36
3
4
5

43%
47
2
4
4

55%
35
6
4

56%
36
1
4
3

46%
43
1
5
5

AGE IN YRS..............
18-34 35-49 50-64 65+

WHITE.....
Men
Wom

Wht

Blk

Hsp

62%
29
1
3
5

36%
54
2
4
4

42%
48
1
5
4

82%
13
1
3
2

78%
11
2
3
6

49%
43
1
6
1

48%
45
1
3
3

40%
45
2
7
7

47%
43
6
4

11. If the election for President were being held today, and the candidates were
Bernie Sanders the Democrat and Marco Rubio the Republican, for whom would you vote?

Sanders
Rubio
SMONE ELSE(VOL)
WLDN'T VOTE(VOL)
DK/NA

Sanders
Rubio
SMONE ELSE(VOL)
WLDN'T VOTE(VOL)
DK/NA

Tot

Rep

Dem

Ind

Men

Wom

COLLEGE DEG
Yes
No

44%
43
1
5
6

7%
85
1
3
4

81%
8
1
5
5

45%
39
1
5
9

39%
50
1
3
6

49%
35
1
7
7

48%
44
1
3
5

43%
42
1
6
7

AGE IN YRS..............
18-34 35-49 50-64 65+

WHITE.....
Men
Wom

Wht

Blk

Hsp

59%
33
1
7

33%
58
1
3
4

37%
51
2
4
6

80%
12
3
4

68%
18
6
8

46%
41
2
8
3

43%
44
1
5
6

33%
53
1
5
8

40%
45
2
5
8

12. If the election for President were being held today, and the candidates were
Bernie Sanders the Democrat and Ted Cruz the Republican, for whom would you vote?

Sanders
Cruz
SMONE ELSE(VOL)
WLDN'T VOTE(VOL)
DK/NA

Sanders
Cruz
SMONE ELSE(VOL)
WLDN'T VOTE(VOL)
DK/NA

Tot

Rep

Dem

Ind

Men

Wom

COLLEGE DEG
Yes
No

49%
39
1
5
6

9%
83
1
3
4

87%
4
1
4
4

51%
34
2
5
8

43%
48
2
3
4

54%
31
1
7
7

54%
38
1
3
4

46%
40
2
6
6

AGE IN YRS..............
18-34 35-49 50-64 65+

WHITE.....
Men
Wom

Wht

Blk

Hsp

62%
28
2
1
7

37%
55
2
3
3

41%
48
2
4
5

86%
8
1
3
3

71%
15
2
7
6

50%
36
2
9
3

49%
41
1
5
4

34%
52
1
5
8

45%
39
1
6
8

Q13-24. Summary Table - Is your opinion of [Candidate] favorable, unfavorable or haven't


you heard enough about him/her? Table ranked by net favorability (Favorable Unfavorable).

Sanders
Rubio
Carson
Cruz
Fiorina
Kasich
Clinton
Huckabee
Paul
Christie
Bush
Trump

REGISTERED VOTERS.................
Hvn't
Fav
Unfav hrdEn REF
NetFav
44
31
24
1
13
37
28
34
1
9
40
33
25
1
7
33
33
32
1
0
28
29
42
-1
19
23
57
1
-4
44
51
3
2
-7
29
41
30
1
-12
23
40
36
1
-17
28
48
24
1
-20
32
54
12
2
-22
35
57
5
3
-22

Rubio
Cruz
Carson
Huckabee
Trump
Fiorina
Bush
Christie
Kasich
Paul

REPUBLICANS.......................
Hvn't
Fav
Unfav hrdEn REF
NetFav
66
8
25
1
58
65
9
26
56
67
13
19
1
54
56
18
27
38
64
27
6
3
37
49
17
33
32
53
34
11
2
19
43
31
25
1
12
27
20
52
1
7
32
36
31
1
-4

Clinton
Sanders

DEMOCRATS.........................
Hvn't
Fav
Unfav hrdEn REF
NetFav
85
11
3
1
74
68
7
24
1
61

13. Is your opinion of Hillary Clinton favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough
about her?

Favorable
Unfavorable
Hvn't hrd enough
REFUSED

Favorable
Unfavorable
Hvn't hrd enough
REFUSED

Tot

Rep

Dem

Ind

Men

Wom

COLLEGE DEG
Yes
No

44%
51
3
2

9%
89
2
1

85%
11
3
1

38%
56
5
1

36%
59
4
1

52%
43
3
2

50%
46
2
2

41%
54
4
2

AGE IN YRS..............
18-34 35-49 50-64 65+

WHITE.....
Men
Wom

Wht

Blk

Hsp

44%
48
5
3

30%
66
3
1

35%
60
3
1

84%
14
2
-

64%
27
9
-

45%
50
3
2

48%
48
3
-

39%
57
2
2

41%
54
3
2

14. Is your opinion of Ben Carson favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about
him?

Favorable
Unfavorable
Hvn't hrd enough
REFUSED

Favorable
Unfavorable
Hvn't hrd enough
REFUSED

Tot

Rep

Dem

Ind

Men

Wom

COLLEGE DEG
Yes
No

40%
33
25
1

67%
13
19
1

13%
54
33
1

44%
32
22
2

45%
31
24
1

36%
36
26
2

40%
47
13
1

41%
27
31
1

AGE IN YRS..............
18-34 35-49 50-64 65+

WHITE.....
Men
Wom

Wht

Blk

Hsp

31%
32
35
1

49%
30
20
1

45%
34
20
1

22%
45
33
-

20%
25
55
-

37%
39
24
-

42%
36
21
1

49%
26
22
3

41%
38
19
2

15. Is your opinion of Donald Trump favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough
about him?

Favorable
Unfavorable
Hvn't hrd enough
REFUSED

Favorable
Unfavorable
Hvn't hrd enough
REFUSED

Tot

Rep

Dem

Ind

Men

Wom

COLLEGE DEG
Yes
No

35%
57
5
3

64%
27
6
3

10%
86
3
-

31%
60
5
3

41%
52
5
2

29%
63
6
3

27%
67
3
2

39%
53
6
3

AGE IN YRS..............
18-34 35-49 50-64 65+

WHITE.....
Men
Wom

Wht

Blk

Hsp

23%
69
5
3

47%
45
5
2

42%
50
6
3

9%
87
3
1

9%
84
7
-

36%
57
5
2

39%
56
4
1

39%
49
8
4

36%
54
6
3

10

16. Is your opinion of Bernie Sanders favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough
about him?

Favorable
Unfavorable
Hvn't hrd enough
REFUSED

Favorable
Unfavorable
Hvn't hrd enough
REFUSED

Tot

Rep

Dem

Ind

Men

Wom

COLLEGE DEG
Yes
No

44%
31
24
1

15%
58
27
-

68%
7
24
1

47%
29
24
-

41%
36
22
-

46%
26
26
1

49%
31
18
1

41%
31
27
1

AGE IN YRS..............
18-34 35-49 50-64 65+

WHITE.....
Men
Wom

Wht

Blk

Hsp

59%
22
19
-

39%
41
20
1

41%
36
22
1

57%
11
32
-

60%
16
23
-

43%
30
27
-

43%
32
24
1

32%
40
26
1

43%
32
24
1

17. Is your opinion of Marco Rubio favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough
about him?

Favorable
Unfavorable
Hvn't hrd enough
REFUSED

Favorable
Unfavorable
Hvn't hrd enough
REFUSED

Tot

Rep

Dem

Ind

Men

Wom

COLLEGE DEG
Yes
No

37%
28
34
1

66%
8
25
1

15%
51
33
1

36%
23
41
-

42%
28
29
1

32%
28
39
2

43%
33
22
1

34%
25
40
1

AGE IN YRS..............
18-34 35-49 50-64 65+

WHITE.....
Men
Wom

Wht

Blk

Hsp

27%
22
50
1

46%
27
27
1

42%
26
30
2

21%
33
46
-

22%
42
36
-

34%
33
33
-

38%
32
28
2

48%
23
27
2

38%
26
34
2

18. Is your opinion of Ted Cruz favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about
him?

Favorable
Unfavorable
Hvn't hrd enough
REFUSED

Favorable
Unfavorable
Hvn't hrd enough
REFUSED

Tot

Rep

Dem

Ind

Men

Wom

COLLEGE DEG
Yes
No

33%
33
32
1

65%
9
26
-

8%
60
31
1

30%
30
40
-

38%
32
30
1

28%
35
35
1

31%
47
22
1

34%
27
38
1

AGE IN YRS..............
18-34 35-49 50-64 65+

WHITE.....
Men
Wom

Wht

Blk

Hsp

25%
24
51
-

42%
31
26
-

38%
33
28
1

15%
38
47
-

25%
33
41
1

31%
38
30
-

33%
40
25
1

43%
28
26
2

33%
34
31
2

11

19. (Split Sample) Is your opinion of Jeb Bush favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard
enough about him?

Favorable
Unfavorable
Hvn't hrd enough
REFUSED

Tot

Rep

Dem

Ind

Men

Wom

COLLEGE DEG
Yes
No

32%
54
12
2

53%
34
11
2

19%
67
13
2

27%
60
12
1

33%
56
10
1

31%
53
14
2

38%
51
9
2

29%
56
13
1

AGE IN YRS..............
18-34 35-49 50-64 65+
Favorable
Unfavorable
Hvn't hrd enough
REFUSED

24%
55
21
-

32%
54
11
3

32%
59
8
1

35%
51
10
3

20. (Split Sample) Is your opinion of Chris Christie favorable, unfavorable or haven't you
heard enough about him?

Favorable
Unfavorable
Hvn't hrd enough
REFUSED

Tot

Rep

Dem

Ind

Men

Wom

COLLEGE DEG
Yes
No

28%
48
24
1

43%
31
25
1

15%
58
25
1

28%
50
21
1

30%
47
23
1

26%
48
25
2

36%
48
15
1

24%
47
28
1

AGE IN YRS..............
18-34 35-49 50-64 65+
Favorable
Unfavorable
Hvn't hrd enough
REFUSED

23%
42
35
-

21%
53
26
-

30%
53
15
2

36%
40
22
2

21. (Split Sample) Is your opinion of Carly Fiorina favorable, unfavorable or haven't you
heard enough about her?

Favorable
Unfavorable
Hvn't hrd enough
REFUSED

Tot

Rep

Dem

Ind

Men

Wom

COLLEGE DEG
Yes
No

28%
29
42
-

49%
17
33
-

11%
48
41
-

25%
24
50
1

31%
27
42
-

25%
32
43
1

31%
37
31
1

27%
26
48
-

AGE IN YRS..............
18-34 35-49 50-64 65+
Favorable
Unfavorable
Hvn't hrd enough
REFUSED

21%
18
60
1

20%
34
46
-

33%
35
32
-

37%
28
34
1

12

22. (Split Sample) Is your opinion of Mike Huckabee favorable, unfavorable or haven't you
heard enough about him?

Favorable
Unfavorable
Hvn't hrd enough
REFUSED

Tot

Rep

Dem

Ind

Men

Wom

COLLEGE DEG
Yes
No

29%
41
30
1

56%
18
27
-

5%
60
34
1

29%
46
26
-

36%
37
26
1

23%
44
33
1

28%
52
20
1

29%
36
34
1

AGE IN YRS..............
18-34 35-49 50-64 65+
Favorable
Unfavorable
Hvn't hrd enough
REFUSED

19%
26
55
-

32%
47
22
-

25%
51
24
1

40%
37
22
1

23. (Split Sample) Is your opinion of John Kasich favorable, unfavorable or haven't you
heard enough about him?

Favorable
Unfavorable
Hvn't hrd enough
REFUSED

Tot

Rep

Dem

Ind

Men

Wom

COLLEGE DEG
Yes
No

19%
23
57
1

27%
20
52
1

16%
26
57
1

17%
20
62
-

23%
25
52
-

14%
21
63
1

21%
26
52
1

18%
21
61
1

AGE IN YRS..............
18-34 35-49 50-64 65+
Favorable
Unfavorable
Hvn't hrd enough
REFUSED

5%
19
76
-

18%
18
63
-

24%
23
52
1

27%
30
42
2

24. (Split Sample) Is your opinion of Rand Paul favorable, unfavorable or haven't you
heard enough about him?

Favorable
Unfavorable
Hvn't hrd enough
REFUSED

Tot

Rep

Dem

Ind

Men

Wom

COLLEGE DEG
Yes
No

23%
40
36
1

32%
36
31
1

10%
50
39
1

26%
36
37
-

29%
42
28
1

17%
39
43
1

27%
49
23
1

20%
36
42
1

AGE IN YRS..............
18-34 35-49 50-64 65+
Favorable
Unfavorable
Hvn't hrd enough
REFUSED

24%
25
50
-

25%
37
38
-

23%
47
29
1

19%
51
29
1

13

33. Would you say that - Hillary Clinton is honest and trustworthy or not?

Yes
No
DK/NA

Yes
No
DK/NA

Tot

Rep

Dem

Ind

Men

Wom

COLLEGE DEG
Yes
No

36%
60
4

7%
91
1

73%
23
3

26%
68
6

30%
67
3

41%
54
5

37%
60
3

35%
61
4

AGE IN YRS..............
18-34 35-49 50-64 65+

WHITE.....
Men
Wom

Wht

Blk

Hsp

38%
57
6

24%
74
2

28%
69
4

65%
31
4

60%
35
5

29%
66
5

40%
58
2

37%
60
3

32%
63
6

34. Would you say that - Donald Trump is honest and trustworthy or not?

Yes
No
DK/NA

Yes
No
DK/NA

Tot

Rep

Dem

Ind

Men

Wom

COLLEGE DEG
Yes
No

35%
59
6

58%
36
6

12%
84
4

36%
57
7

40%
54
5

30%
63
6

29%
67
4

38%
55
7

AGE IN YRS..............
18-34 35-49 50-64 65+

WHITE.....
Men
Wom

Wht

Blk

Hsp

28%
67
5

44%
51
5

41%
53
6

10%
84
6

22%
73
5

33%
62
6

37%
58
5

41%
51
8

38%
55
7

35. Would you say that - Bernie Sanders is honest and trustworthy or not?

Yes
No
DK/NA

Yes
No
DK/NA

Tot

Rep

Dem

Ind

Men

Wom

COLLEGE DEG
Yes
No

59%
28
13

39%
45
17

78%
11
11

64%
25
11

62%
27
11

57%
28
15

68%
22
11

55%
31
14

AGE IN YRS..............
18-34 35-49 50-64 65+

WHITE.....
Men
Wom

Wht

Blk

Hsp

70%
18
12

60%
29
11

57%
29
14

69%
18
13

67%
20
13

58%
28
14

60%
29
10

48%
34
18

54%
29
16

14

36. Would you say that - Ben Carson is honest and trustworthy or not?

Yes
No
DK/NA

Yes
No
DK/NA

Tot

Rep

Dem

Ind

Men

Wom

COLLEGE DEG
Yes
No

53%
34
12

79%
13
8

31%
55
14

54%
33
13

59%
32
9

48%
36
16

52%
41
7

54%
31
15

AGE IN YRS..............
18-34 35-49 50-64 65+

WHITE.....
Men
Wom

Wht

Blk

Hsp

45%
37
17

64%
29
7

58%
31
11

39%
49
13

43%
37
19

49%
40
11

56%
35
9

63%
24
13

52%
33
15

37. Would you say that - Marco Rubio is honest and trustworthy or not?

Yes
No
DK/NA

Yes
No
DK/NA

Tot

Rep

Dem

Ind

Men

Wom

COLLEGE DEG
Yes
No

49%
33
18

74%
12
14

32%
47
20

46%
37
17

54%
35
11

44%
31
24

54%
32
14

47%
34
19

AGE IN YRS..............
18-34 35-49 50-64 65+

WHITE.....
Men
Wom

Wht

Blk

Hsp

42%
33
25

59%
31
10

55%
28
17

31%
48
21

38%
45
17

43%
37
20

51%
36
13

59%
26
15

50%
25
25

38. Would you say that - Ted Cruz is honest and trustworthy or not?

Yes
No
DK/NA

Yes
No
DK/NA

Tot

Rep

Dem

Ind

Men

Wom

COLLEGE DEG
Yes
No

43%
39
17

74%
13
13

18%
63
18

42%
40
18

51%
37
12

36%
42
22

42%
46
13

44%
37
19

AGE IN YRS..............
18-34 35-49 50-64 65+

WHITE.....
Men
Wom

Wht

Blk

Hsp

35%
40
26

56%
34
10

49%
35
17

26%
57
16

28%
54
18

42%
44
14

43%
45
12

52%
30
18

41%
35
23

15

39. Would you say that - Hillary Clinton has strong leadership qualities or not?

Yes
No
DK/NA

Yes
No
DK/NA

Tot

Rep

Dem

Ind

Men

Wom

COLLEGE DEG
Yes
No

60%
38
2

26%
73
1

91%
8
1

62%
35
3

53%
45
2

67%
32
2

65%
34
2

57%
41
2

AGE IN YRS..............
18-34 35-49 50-64 65+

WHITE.....
Men
Wom

Wht

Blk

Hsp

68%
27
5

47%
52
1

52%
46
2

87%
12
1

77%
22
2

59%
40
1

62%
37
1

52%
47
1

58%
39
2

40. Would you say that - Donald Trump has strong leadership qualities or not?

Yes
No
DK/NA

Yes
No
DK/NA

Tot

Rep

Dem

Ind

Men

Wom

COLLEGE DEG
Yes
No

58%
39
2

80%
18
2

35%
63
2

61%
36
2

63%
34
2

54%
44
3

56%
43
1

60%
37
3

AGE IN YRS..............
18-34 35-49 50-64 65+

WHITE.....
Men
Wom

Wht

Blk

Hsp

60%
38
1

67%
31
2

64%
34
2

38%
60
3

38%
60
2

62%
36
2

58%
40
2

52%
43
5

60%
37
3

41. Would you say that - Bernie Sanders has strong leadership qualities or not?

Yes
No
DK/NA

Yes
No
DK/NA

Tot

Rep

Dem

Ind

Men

Wom

COLLEGE DEG
Yes
No

46%
41
13

22%
60
17

68%
21
11

47%
40
13

44%
46
10

48%
36
17

49%
40
11

44%
41
15

AGE IN YRS..............
18-34 35-49 50-64 65+

WHITE.....
Men
Wom

Wht

Blk

Hsp

61%
25
14

39%
50
10

41%
45
14

59%
26
15

62%
26
13

43%
41
16

43%
47
9

35%
48
16

44%
39
17

16

42. Would you say that - Ben Carson has strong leadership qualities or not?

Yes
No
DK/NA

Yes
No
DK/NA

Tot

Rep

Dem

Ind

Men

Wom

COLLEGE DEG
Yes
No

40%
49
12

60%
29
11

20%
68
11

40%
48
11

43%
50
7

36%
48
16

33%
58
9

43%
45
13

AGE IN YRS..............
18-34 35-49 50-64 65+

WHITE.....
Men
Wom

Wht

Blk

Hsp

37%
48
15

46%
49
6

42%
48
11

34%
57
9

26%
52
22

38%
51
11

40%
52
8

44%
44
12

38%
46
16

43. Would you say that - Marco Rubio has strong leadership qualities or not?

Yes
No
DK/NA

Yes
No
DK/NA

Tot

Rep

Dem

Ind

Men

Wom

COLLEGE DEG
Yes
No

47%
36
17

70%
17
13

32%
49
20

43%
40
17

48%
40
12

45%
33
23

54%
34
13

43%
38
19

AGE IN YRS..............
18-34 35-49 50-64 65+

WHITE.....
Men
Wom

Wht

Blk

Hsp

40%
36
24

52%
39
9

51%
33
16

28%
54
18

43%
38
19

44%
37
19

46%
41
13

54%
32
14

49%
27
24

44. Would you say that - Ted Cruz has strong leadership qualities or not?

Yes
No
DK/NA

Yes
No
DK/NA

Tot

Rep

Dem

Ind

Men

Wom

COLLEGE DEG
Yes
No

43%
43
15

69%
17
14

20%
66
15

42%
43
15

47%
43
11

38%
43
19

44%
45
11

42%
42
17

AGE IN YRS..............
18-34 35-49 50-64 65+

WHITE.....
Men
Wom

Wht

Blk

Hsp

40%
37
23

51%
40
9

47%
39
14

25%
58
17

31%
53
17

40%
47
14

41%
48
11

50%
38
12

43%
39
18

17

45. Would you say that - Hillary Clinton cares about the needs and problems of people like
you or not?

Yes
No
DK/NA

Yes
No
DK/NA

Tot

Rep

Dem

Ind

Men

Wom

COLLEGE DEG
Yes
No

46%
51
3

14%
84
2

84%
15
1

40%
56
4

37%
60
2

55%
42
3

50%
47
2

44%
53
3

AGE IN YRS..............
18-34 35-49 50-64 65+

WHITE.....
Men
Wom

Wht

Blk

Hsp

50%
47
3

31%
67
2

38%
59
2

80%
17
3

65%
31
4

42%
54
3

52%
47
1

42%
54
4

46%
51
3

46. Would you say that - Donald Trump cares about the needs and problems of people like
you or not?

Yes
No
DK/NA

Yes
No
DK/NA

Tot

Rep

Dem

Ind

Men

Wom

COLLEGE DEG
Yes
No

36%
59
4

66%
30
4

11%
88
1

33%
60
7

43%
54
3

30%
65
5

30%
66
4

39%
56
4

AGE IN YRS..............
18-34 35-49 50-64 65+

WHITE.....
Men
Wom

Wht

Blk

Hsp

25%
71
4

46%
51
3

42%
53
5

9%
88
2

14%
83
3

33%
63
4

40%
57
3

43%
52
5

38%
56
6

47. Would you say that - Bernie Sanders cares about the needs and problems of people like
you or not?

Yes
No
DK/NA

Yes
No
DK/NA

Tot

Rep

Dem

Ind

Men

Wom

COLLEGE DEG
Yes
No

53%
35
12

26%
59
15

75%
15
10

59%
30
11

55%
37
7

51%
32
16

61%
31
8

49%
37
14

AGE IN YRS..............
18-34 35-49 50-64 65+

WHITE.....
Men
Wom

Wht

Blk

Hsp

68%
21
11

52%
41
6

50%
38
12

66%
21
13

61%
26
13

49%
37
14

57%
35
8

37%
46
17

48%
34
17

18

48. Would you say that - Ben Carson cares about the needs and problems of people like you
or not?

Yes
No
DK/NA

Yes
No
DK/NA

Tot

Rep

Dem

Ind

Men

Wom

COLLEGE DEG
Yes
No

50%
38
13

75%
15
10

25%
64
11

53%
34
13

56%
36
8

44%
39
17

47%
45
9

51%
34
14

AGE IN YRS..............
18-34 35-49 50-64 65+

WHITE.....
Men
Wom

Wht

Blk

Hsp

45%
34
20

61%
33
6

55%
34
11

33%
55
12

35%
49
16

46%
43
11

52%
40
8

56%
32
12

48%
35
17

49. Would you say that - Marco Rubio cares about the needs and problems of people like you
or not?

Yes
No
DK/NA

Yes
No
DK/NA

Tot

Rep

Dem

Ind

Men

Wom

COLLEGE DEG
Yes
No

46%
39
15

76%
14
10

25%
59
15

43%
42
15

52%
39
8

41%
38
21

51%
36
12

44%
40
16

AGE IN YRS..............
18-34 35-49 50-64 65+

WHITE.....
Men
Wom

Wht

Blk

Hsp

41%
36
23

56%
36
8

52%
34
14

26%
57
16

28%
57
15

42%
41
17

47%
43
10

54%
35
12

48%
32
20

50. Would you say that - Ted Cruz cares about the needs and problems of people like you or
not?

Yes
No
DK/NA

Yes
No
DK/NA

Tot

Rep

Dem

Ind

Men

Wom

COLLEGE DEG
Yes
No

42%
43
15

75%
15
10

17%
70
13

39%
43
17

49%
43
9

36%
44
20

39%
50
11

44%
40
16

AGE IN YRS..............
18-34 35-49 50-64 65+

WHITE.....
Men
Wom

Wht

Blk

Hsp

38%
39
23

54%
39
7

48%
39
13

21%
63
15

24%
58
18

41%
47
13

42%
48
10

48%
40
13

42%
38
20

19

51. Would you say that - Hillary Clinton has the right kind of experience to be President
or not?

Yes
No
DK/NA

Yes
No
DK/NA

Tot

Rep

Dem

Ind

Men

Wom

COLLEGE DEG
Yes
No

67%
32
1

34%
64
2

96%
4
-

70%
30
1

62%
38
1

71%
27
2

73%
27
1

64%
35
1

AGE IN YRS..............
18-34 35-49 50-64 65+

WHITE.....
Men
Wom

Wht

Blk

Hsp

77%
21
2

55%
44
-

60%
39
1

93%
7
-

86%
14
1

71%
28
1

67%
32
1

52%
46
2

65%
33
2

52. Would you say that - Donald Trump has the right kind of experience to be President or
not?

Yes
No
DK/NA

Yes
No
DK/NA

Tot

Rep

Dem

Ind

Men

Wom

COLLEGE DEG
Yes
No

34%
63
3

60%
37
3

9%
90
1

32%
64
4

42%
56
2

26%
70
4

28%
71
2

37%
60
3

AGE IN YRS..............
18-34 35-49 50-64 65+

WHITE.....
Men
Wom

Wht

Blk

Hsp

27%
70
3

47%
52
1

40%
58
3

6%
91
3

17%
81
2

33%
65
2

36%
61
2

37%
58
5

32%
64
4

53. Would you say that - Bernie Sanders has the right kind of experience to be President
or not?

Yes
No
DK/NA

Yes
No
DK/NA

Tot

Rep

Dem

Ind

Men

Wom

COLLEGE DEG
Yes
No

47%
42
11

24%
64
12

68%
21
11

50%
41
9

47%
46
7

48%
37
15

50%
41
9

46%
42
12

AGE IN YRS..............
18-34 35-49 50-64 65+

WHITE.....
Men
Wom

Wht

Blk

Hsp

68%
20
12

44%
49
7

44%
46
10

62%
22
16

59%
29
11

46%
40
13

46%
46
8

30%
58
12

44%
42
13

20

54. Would you say that - Ben Carson has the right kind of experience to be President or
not?

Yes
No
DK/NA

Yes
No
DK/NA

Tot

Rep

Dem

Ind

Men

Wom

COLLEGE DEG
Yes
No

28%
62
10

42%
46
12

14%
76
10

30%
63
7

32%
62
6

24%
62
14

21%
72
6

31%
57
12

AGE IN YRS..............
18-34 35-49 50-64 65+

WHITE.....
Men
Wom

Wht

Blk

Hsp

31%
56
12

34%
60
5

30%
61
9

23%
72
6

21%
62
17

23%
67
10

26%
66
8

34%
56
10

25%
61
14

55. Would you say that - Marco Rubio has the right kind of experience to be President or
not?

Yes
No
DK/NA

Yes
No
DK/NA

Tot

Rep

Dem

Ind

Men

Wom

COLLEGE DEG
Yes
No

43%
41
16

67%
20
12

22%
60
18

46%
39
16

48%
43
9

39%
39
22

48%
40
11

41%
41
18

AGE IN YRS..............
18-34 35-49 50-64 65+

WHITE.....
Men
Wom

Wht

Blk

Hsp

40%
35
25

52%
40
9

48%
38
14

29%
45
26

27%
54
19

43%
38
19

40%
51
9

49%
40
11

44%
37
19

56. Would you say that - Ted Cruz has the right kind of experience to be President or not?

Yes
No
DK/NA

Yes
No
DK/NA

Tot

Rep

Dem

Ind

Men

Wom

COLLEGE DEG
Yes
No

44%
41
15

70%
19
11

21%
63
15

44%
40
16

51%
40
9

38%
42
20

44%
47
9

45%
38
17

AGE IN YRS..............
18-34 35-49 50-64 65+

WHITE.....
Men
Wom

Wht

Blk

Hsp

47%
32
21

55%
37
8

50%
38
13

30%
53
18

24%
49
27

44%
40
16

41%
51
9

47%
40
13

44%
39
17

21

57. Would you say that - Hillary Clinton shares your values or not?

Yes
No
DK/NA

Yes
No
DK/NA

Tot

Rep

Dem

Ind

Men

Wom

COLLEGE DEG
Yes
No

42%
55
3

8%
91
1

84%
15
1

33%
60
6

34%
65
2

51%
45
4

47%
50
3

40%
57
3

AGE IN YRS..............
18-34 35-49 50-64 65+

WHITE.....
Men
Wom

Wht

Blk

Hsp

45%
53
3

27%
71
2

34%
63
3

79%
18
3

65%
35
-

40%
56
4

46%
50
3

38%
60
2

41%
55
4

58. Would you say that - Donald Trump shares your values or not?

Yes
No
DK/NA

Yes
No
DK/NA

Tot

Rep

Dem

Ind

Men

Wom

COLLEGE DEG
Yes
No

35%
61
4

65%
30
4

8%
90
3

32%
62
5

42%
54
3

28%
67
5

27%
70
3

39%
56
5

AGE IN YRS..............
18-34 35-49 50-64 65+

WHITE.....
Men
Wom

Wht

Blk

Hsp

25%
70
5

46%
50
3

41%
55
5

13%
82
5

15%
83
2

34%
64
2

39%
56
5

40%
55
5

35%
59
6

59. Would you say that - Bernie Sanders shares your values or not?

Yes
No
DK/NA

Yes
No
DK/NA

Tot

Rep

Dem

Ind

Men

Wom

COLLEGE DEG
Yes
No

44%
44
12

13%
71
15

73%
17
11

47%
45
9

42%
50
8

46%
38
16

50%
40
10

41%
46
13

AGE IN YRS..............
18-34 35-49 50-64 65+

WHITE.....
Men
Wom

Wht

Blk

Hsp

59%
32
9

39%
54
7

42%
47
12

56%
29
15

59%
32
9

43%
45
12

45%
43
12

30%
54
16

44%
39
17

22

60. Would you say that - Ben Carson shares your values or not?

Yes
No
DK/NA

Yes
No
DK/NA

Tot

Rep

Dem

Ind

Men

Wom

COLLEGE DEG
Yes
No

46%
43
11

75%
14
11

17%
71
12

50%
41
9

53%
41
6

40%
45
15

41%
51
7

49%
39
13

AGE IN YRS..............
18-34 35-49 50-64 65+

WHITE.....
Men
Wom

Wht

Blk

Hsp

44%
38
18

57%
37
6

51%
39
10

32%
55
12

32%
51
17

39%
53
8

49%
42
9

53%
36
11

44%
42
14

61. Would you say that - Marco Rubio shares your values or not?

Yes
No
DK/NA

Yes
No
DK/NA

Tot

Rep

Dem

Ind

Men

Wom

COLLEGE DEG
Yes
No

40%
43
17

71%
15
14

15%
70
15

39%
43
18

46%
43
12

35%
44
21

44%
43
13

39%
43
18

AGE IN YRS..............
18-34 35-49 50-64 65+

WHITE.....
Men
Wom

Wht

Blk

Hsp

32%
42
26

50%
39
11

46%
38
16

18%
65
17

25%
61
14

35%
48
17

41%
45
14

51%
39
11

42%
37
21

62. Would you say that - Ted Cruz shares your values or not?

Yes
No
DK/NA

Yes
No
DK/NA

Tot

Rep

Dem

Ind

Men

Wom

COLLEGE DEG
Yes
No

35%
48
16

68%
15
17

8%
77
15

34%
50
15

44%
45
11

27%
51
22

33%
56
11

37%
44
19

AGE IN YRS..............
18-34 35-49 50-64 65+

WHITE.....
Men
Wom

Wht

Blk

Hsp

27%
51
22

49%
41
10

41%
43
16

15%
72
13

21%
64
15

32%
53
15

36%
49
14

46%
40
14

33%
44
23

23

63. Would you say that - Hillary Clinton would have a good chance of defeating the
Republican nominee in the general election for President or not?

Yes
No
DK/NA

Yes
No
DK/NA

Tot

Rep

Dem

Ind

Men

Wom

COLLEGE DEG
Yes
No

63%
32
5

34%
61
5

87%
10
3

69%
27
5

62%
35
4

64%
30
6

69%
26
6

60%
36
4

AGE IN YRS..............
18-34 35-49 50-64 65+

WHITE.....
Men
Wom

Wht

Blk

Hsp

68%
30
2

56%
40
4

56%
38
5

95%
4
1

73%
22
5

66%
31
3

66%
29
5

52%
39
9

56%
37
7

64. Would you say that - Donald Trump would have a good chance of defeating the Democratic
nominee in the general election for President or not?

Yes
No
DK/NA

Yes
No
DK/NA

Tot

Rep

Dem

Ind

Men

Wom

COLLEGE DEG
Yes
No

46%
49
5

73%
22
5

20%
77
3

47%
48
5

50%
47
3

43%
50
7

36%
59
5

51%
44
5

AGE IN YRS..............
18-34 35-49 50-64 65+

WHITE.....
Men
Wom

Wht

Blk

Hsp

45%
52
2

55%
41
3

53%
42
6

21%
77
1

18%
74
8

45%
50
5

46%
48
5

47%
46
7

50%
42
8

65. Would you say that - Bernie Sanders would have a good chance of defeating the
Republican nominee in the general election for President or not?

Yes
No
DK/NA

Yes
No
DK/NA

Tot

Rep

Dem

Ind

Men

Wom

COLLEGE DEG
Yes
No

34%
55
10

17%
75
8

49%
39
12

39%
51
10

34%
59
7

34%
52
14

31%
59
10

35%
54
11

AGE IN YRS..............
18-34 35-49 50-64 65+

WHITE.....
Men
Wom

Wht

Blk

Hsp

54%
39
7

30%
64
6

30%
60
10

48%
41
11

53%
32
15

33%
57
10

29%
61
10

23%
64
13

30%
56
15

24

66. Would you say that - Ben Carson would have a good chance of defeating the Democratic
nominee in the general election for President or not?

Yes
No
DK/NA

Yes
No
DK/NA

Tot

Rep

Dem

Ind

Men

Wom

COLLEGE DEG
Yes
No

31%
58
11

55%
34
11

11%
79
9

30%
60
10

35%
57
8

28%
59
13

31%
61
9

32%
57
12

AGE IN YRS..............
18-34 35-49 50-64 65+

WHITE.....
Men
Wom

Wht

Blk

Hsp

28%
59
13

39%
55
6

35%
55
10

16%
80
4

20%
55
25

27%
63
10

35%
58
8

35%
53
12

31%
56
13

67. Would you say that - Marco Rubio would have a good chance of defeating the Democratic
nominee in the general election for President or not?

Yes
No
DK/NA

Yes
No
DK/NA

Tot

Rep

Dem

Ind

Men

Wom

COLLEGE DEG
Yes
No

39%
47
14

63%
25
12

23%
65
11

37%
47
16

43%
47
10

35%
47
18

44%
43
13

37%
49
14

AGE IN YRS..............
18-34 35-49 50-64 65+

WHITE.....
Men
Wom

Wht

Blk

Hsp

30%
50
20

48%
43
9

45%
42
13

19%
72
9

20%
55
25

40%
46
14

39%
49
12

48%
43
9

42%
40
17

68. Would you say that - Ted Cruz would have a good chance of defeating the Democratic
nominee in the general election for President or not?

Yes
No
DK/NA

Yes
No
DK/NA

Tot

Rep

Dem

Ind

Men

Wom

COLLEGE DEG
Yes
No

31%
55
14

59%
28
12

10%
78
11

28%
55
16

34%
56
11

29%
54
18

27%
61
11

33%
51
15

AGE IN YRS..............
18-34 35-49 50-64 65+

WHITE.....
Men
Wom

Wht

Blk

Hsp

21%
57
22

38%
53
9

36%
51
13

11%
80
9

19%
56
25

33%
54
13

31%
60
9

41%
47
12

34%
49
17

25

69. (If Democrat or Democratic Leaner) Thinking about the Democratic nominee for president
in 2016, which of the following is most important to you: Someone who shares your values,
cares about the needs and problems of people like you, has strong leadership qualities, is
honest and trustworthy, has the right kind of experience, or has the best chance of
winning?
DEMOCRATS/DEMOCRATIC LEANERS..........
POLITICAL PHILOSOPHY
LIBERAL..... Mod/
Tot
Very
Smwht Cons
Men
Wom
Shares values
Cares needs/problems
Strong leadership
Honest/trustworthy
Right experience
Best chance/winning
DK/NA

15%
27
19
17
13
6
3

16%
33
10
14
14
13
-

13%
36
11
19
12
7
1

15%
22
25
17
14
4
2

15%
27
13
22
14
7
2

15%
27
23
14
12
5
3

70. (If Republican or Republican Leaner) Thinking about the Republican nominee for
president in 2016, which of the following is most important to you: Someone who shares
your values, cares about the needs and problems of people like you, has strong leadership
qualities, is honest and trustworthy, has the right kind of experience, or has the best
chance of winning?
REPUBLICANS/REPUBLICAN LEANERS......................
Wht
POLITICAL PHILOSOPHY
Tea
BrnAgn CONSERVATIVE Mod/
Tot
Party Evang Very
Smwht Lib
Men
Wom
Shares values
Cares needs/problems
Strong leadership
Honest/trustworthy
Right experience
Best chance/winning
DK/NA

22%
11
26
23
6
8
4

28%
6
28
24
1
5
8

28%
9
23
27
3
7
2

28%
7
24
23
2
10
6

22%
9
31
23
5
8
2

15%
17
24
23
10
6
6

27%
9
23
24
4
7
5

15%
13
31
22
8
9
3

71. (If Democrat or Democratic Leaner) Which of these is the most important issue to you
in deciding who to support for the Democratic nomination for President: the economy and
jobs, terrorism, immigration, the federal deficit, health care, foreign policy, climate
change, race relations, abortion, gun policy or taxes?
DEMOCRATS/DEMOCRATIC LEANERS..........
POLITICAL PHILOSOPHY
LIBERAL..... Mod/
Tot
Very
Smwht Cons
Men
Wom
Economy and jobs
Terrorism
Immigration
Federal deficit
Health care
Foreign policy
Climate change
Race relations
Abortion
Gun policy
Taxes
DK/NA

43%
8
4
3
11
12
8
2
2
3
2
3

40%
3
4
8
14
20
3
2
3
2
-

44%
5
3
7
11
12
2
4
4
1
7

45%
11
4
4
13
11
3
2
2
3
2

48%
5
3
3
10
13
9
2
1
1
4

40%
10
4
2
12
10
7
2
3
3
3
3

26

72. (If Republican or Republican Leaner) Which of these is the most important issue to you
in deciding who to support for the Republican nomination for President: the economy and
jobs, terrorism, immigration, the federal deficit, health care, foreign policy, climate
change, race relations, abortion, gun policy or taxes?
REPUBLICANS/REPUBLICAN LEANERS......................
Wht
POLITICAL PHILOSOPHY
Tea
BrnAgn CONSERVATIVE Mod/
Tot
Party Evang Very
Smwht Lib
Men
Wom
Economy and jobs
Terrorism
Immigration
Federal deficit
Health care
Foreign policy
Climate change
Race relations
Abortion
Gun policy
Taxes
DK/NA

26%
24
8
8
3
17
3
4
3
3

21%
27
14
6
2
16
1
4
4
2
3

24%
24
7
11
2
14
6
5
3
3

23%
22
10
10
1
15
6
6
3
3

26%
27
8
8
3
19
4
1
2
2

28%
23
5
6
5
18
1
6
3
5

30%
19
8
7
2
17
3
6
4
3

20%
31
7
9
5
18
4
2
1
4

27

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