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CASA Ratio Research Study
CASA Ratio Research Study
ON
HOW TO IMPROVE CASA RATIO
Introduction
CASA is an integral part of every Indian banker's vocabulary these
days and analysts are busy working on it to gauge bank's
profitability. CASA ratio shows how much deposit a bank has in the
form of current and savings bank deposit in the total deposit. Higher
CASA ratio means less cost of deposits, which results in a better net
interest margin and better operating efficiency of the bank. In this
competitive environment in the banking sector, it is very difficult to
keep the net interest margin high. The depositors are demanding for
the higher rate of interest and the borrowers are asking for more and
more competitive pricing. At present nearly 22% of the deposits are
savings bank accounts and 12% are current accounts, according to the
report of the RBI on the Trends and Progress of banking in India
2008-2009. This is approximately 12 lac crores of deposits in the
Indian banking system in the form of Savings bank or Current
account deposits. The major portion in savings bank deposit balance
is constituted by Individual customers.
With term deposits rates losing attractiveness for people to park
money for longer durations, most banks have reported a significant
surge in their current account savings account (Casa) ratio for the
quarter ended December 31, 2009. Leading the pack is State Bank of
India (SBI), countrys largest commercial bank. The Casa of the bank
has surged to 42.94 per cent as on December 31, 2009, against 36.58
per cent in the corresponding period a year ago, thereby registered a
growth of 29.94 per cent. In the same period, SBI has registered 11.26
per cent growth in overall deposits.
In case of HDFC Bank, the Casa ratio stands at close to 49 per cent as
on December 31, 2009, against 40 per cent as on December 31, 2008.
ICICI Bank, the largest private sector bank in the country, also
reported a similar trend. The Casa ratio in case of ICICI Bank stood at
39.6 per cent at the end of third quarter of the present financial year,
compared with 27.4 per cent on December 31, 2008 and 36.9 per cent
on September 30, 2009.
Methodology
For deciding strategies and tools for improvement of CASA deposits,
it is required to study the trends amongst the Banks and as our Bank
is itself a large institution, within the Bank trends study is also
required for SBI. The following methodology is followed for
conducting this study: (i) Collection of data Data is collected of five banks including State
Bank of India for last 4 years and for December, 09. The other banks
selected for comparison are Punjab National Bank, Bank of Baroda,
HDFC Bank and ICICI bank, for a representative sample from both
public sector and private leading banks. The trends are also
compared with the trend in stock market, gold prices and average
term deposit rates for 1-2 year period.
The data of CASA deposits of the fourteen Circles are also collected
and analysed to understand the trend within the bank in different
part of the country. The trend is compared with the growth in
average number of new accounts opened monthly in both savings
bank and current account.
(ii) Feed back is collected form officers working in different segments
and different geographical areas in relation to the various factors
affecting the CASA deposits and suggestions are obtained regarding
measures to be taken for improving CASA deposits. The total sample
size is 95, which includes officers posted as Branch Manager in P
intensive branches in different Circles, trainers posted in various
State Bank Learning Centres, Branch Managers from different parts
of the country and young Trainee Officers. Their feed back is
analysed to understand how strong are the factors affecting the
CASA deposits.
(iii) On the basis of the trends during the past years and the effect of
the external and internal factors and the suggestions given by the
officers from the cross section of the Bank, few strategies are designes
which may be helpful in improving the CASA deposits.
300000
250000
200000
150000
100000
HDFC Bank
50000
0
Mar, 06
Mar, 07
Mar, 08
Mar, 09
Dec, 09
Fig.1
It is clear from the fig.1 that the CASA deposit of all the major banks
is improving over the year. This is mainly due to economic
development in the country, as more funds become available and
with inflation average monthly expenditure also increases.
40%
35%
30%
25%
Bank of Baroda
20%
Punjab National
Bank
15%
ICICI Bank
10%
HDFC Bank
5%
0%
2007
2008
2009
Dec, 09
-5%
Fig.2
All the major banks have shown positive growth during last four
years with the only exception being ICICI bank in 2008-09. The
decline in the CASA deposit of ICICI bank is mainly due to mass
withdrawal of deposits from the bank, the reason being the loss of
reputation of the bank in the domestic market in a particular period
during the year.
60.00
50.00
State Bank Of India
Bank of Baroda
40.00
Punjab National
Bank
30.00
ICICI Bank
HDFC Bank
20.00
10.00
0.00
Mar, 06
Mar, 07
Mar, 08
Mar, 09
Dec, 09
Fig.3
It is evident that HDFC bank is the leader in the CASA deposits
during last 4 years. SBI has maintained a level around 40% in the last
four years. The other major banks also show almost similar trend
through the sample period. The decline is due to the effect of global
recession on the Indian Markets during 2007-08 and 2008-09 period.
(iii) Trend of growth in CASA deposit compared with SENSEX
We can positively relate growth in sensex to the availability of liquid
funds. It is quite visible that CASA deposit showing better growth
when sensex is improving.
45%
40%
20000
40%
39%
17464
13072
30%
27%
14000
27%
26%
12000
20%
18%
9709
10000
20%
10%
17%
14%
15%
15%
15%
10%
16000
25%
25%
20%
15644
34%
35%
18000
14%
8000
ICICI Bank
11%
11%
6000
HDFC Bank
SENSEX
5%
2%
0%
Mar, 07
Mar, 08
-2%
Mar, 09
-5%
4000
2000
Dec, 09
0
Fig.4
(iv)Growth of CASA deposit compared with avg. term dep. rates The CASA deposit of the banks are adversely related to the average
term deposit ratesduring a period. Higher term deposit rates will
adversely affect the growth in CASA deposit. The relationship is
shown in Fig.5.
45%
40%
10
40%
8.5
34%
35%
7.5
30%
7.5
27%
27%
26%
25%
25%
20%
39%
6
20%
20%
18%
17%
15%
14%
14%
ICICI Bank
11%
11%
10%
10%
15%
15%
HDFC Bank
5%
2%
0%
Mar, 07
-2%
Mar, 08
Mar, 09
Dec, 09
-5%
Fig.5
(v) Growth in CASA deposit compared with gold price changes
45%
40%
28.8%
40%
39%
0
34%
35%
19.3%
30%
16.5% 27%
0
20%
17%
15%
15%
10%
20%
18%
15%
10%
26%
25%
25%
20%
27%
14%
14%
ICICI Bank
11%
11%
HDFC Bank
Gold Price change
5%
2%
0%
Mar, 07
Mar, 08
-2%
Mar, 09
-5%
-0.1%
Dec, 09
0
Fig.6
60.00
NEW DELHI
MUMBAI
PATNA
50.00
LUCKNOW
KOLKATA
BHOPAL
40.00
CHENNAI
HYDERABAD
BHUBANESWA
R
BANGALORE
30.00
20.00
Mar'05
Mar'06
Mar'07
Mar'08
Mar'09
Dec'09
Fig.7
Barring a few exception most of the Circles showed the same trend of
growth and decline in the CASA ratio during last five years. The
CASA deposit of the Circles is increasing throughout the period. The
decline in the CASA ratio is due to comparatively more growth in the
term deposits. During the period March 08 to March 09 the average
interest rate in the term deposits was in range of 9.5% to 10.5% .
40000
NE W DE L HI
35000
MUMB AI
30000
P AT NA
L UC K NO W
25000
K O L K AT A
20000
B HO P AL
C HE NNAI
15000
HY DE R AB AD
10000
B HUB ANE S W
AR
B ANG AL O R E
5000
0
Mar'05
Mar'06
Mar'07
Mar'08
Mar'09
Dec '09
Fig.8
The CASA deposits in almost all the Circles have an increasing trend.
The growth is quite significant during March 07 to March 09. But this
was not sufficient to improve the ratio due to even higher growth in
term deposits during the period.