Professional Documents
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2 Exercises Vietnamese
2 Exercises Vietnamese
d liu Yn Bi
Thi gian d kin:
2.5 gi
D liu:
Mc tiu:
Sau bi tp ny bn c th:
- hiu c cc chc nng v cc i tng c bn ca phn mm ILWIS
- hin th cc nh dng ng, dng vng v dng raster, v phn tch cc thuc tnh
ca chng
- hin th v phn tch biu ca m hnh s cao c phn gii cao
- thc hin cc php tnh bn n gin.
Gii thiu
Bi tp ny s gii thiu mt cch tng quan cc c im chnh ca ILWIS v cu trc
ca phn mm cng cc biu tng c s dng. Mc tiu ca bi hc ny cng l
tm hiu tp d liu u vo c cho nghin cu th nghim ny, v gii thiu mt s
c im v Yn Bi cng cc tai bin v cc ri ro c lin quan.
Mi mt bi tp s s dng b d liu ring. V vy bn nn sao chp d liu vo cng ca
bn v lu gi trong mi th mc con ring bit. Khng nn s dng d liu ca bi tp trc
bi v c mt s phn s c thay i cho ph hp hn vi bi tp tip theo.
Bi tp v Yn Bi 1 -1
Khi ng ILWIS
Bi tp ny gip bn lm quen vi giao din ILWIS c bn, cng cc i tng
(Objects) v cc vng d liu (Domains) ca ILWIS.
Cc bi tp c trnh by theo cu trc: phn vn bn vit trong cc ng khung mu
xanh trnh by vic thc hin cc hot ng trong GIS, phn vn bn vit ngoi cc
ng khung trnh by cc m t v hng dn.
Hy xem Demo1
c hng
dn
Thuc tnh
M bn
Danh mc cc cng c
Sao chp
Dn
Thay i th mc (cd..)
Xa
Bi tp v Yn Bi 1 -2
Bi tp v Yn Bi 1 -4
YenBai_01 v
Xem Demo2
c hng dn
Xem Demo3
c hng dn
Vng - Areas. c trng ny chim mt din tch nht nh, chng hn mt n v s dng
t (vd. Rng), hoc cc n v a cht v.v.
Cc c tnh khng gian c m t trn c th biu din theo dng s trong hai m hnh
d liu (xem Hnh): m hnh vector hoc m hnh raster.
code
code
x
Column
Key for the vector models:
Area
Row
Line
Row
Row
Point
code
Column
Column
intermediate point
node
3. Domain:
y l hp phn trung tm ca ILWIS. Mt domain xc nh ni dung ca d liu. C
th c 5 dng Domain:
9999999.9,
Bi tp v Yn Bi 1 -6
Khi nim domains rt khc so vi cc phn mm GIS khc v c th gy mt cht lng tng cho ngi
s dng khi mi bt u. Tuy nhin, bn s thy rng y l mt hp phn v cng mnh trong ILWIS.
Domains c lin kt vi cc m hin th (representation) xc nh cch cc d liu
khng gian c hin th nh th no. Bn c th t mnh to mt representation (ch
thc hin c cho domain gi tr v domain nhm lp) hoc bn c th s dng cc
representation chun c.
Hy xem Demo4
c hng dn
T
a
b
l
e
s
a
n
d
h
i
s
t
o
g
4
4. Cc bng v cc honh :
D liu thuc tnh c lu dng bng, lin kt vi d liu khng gian thng qua cc
domain. Ch c domain ch danh v domain nhm lp c bng thuc tnh.
Cc thng tin ng
th k v d liu khng gian c lu trong
cc honh Histograms, bao gm thng tin tn xut (din tch, s lng pixel, s im, cc tuyn
v.v). Cc bng c ct cng c mt domain nhm lp, ch danh hoc gi tr (c th c
mt vi ngoi l).
y cng c cc biu tng ring bit t chc d liu, cho vic phn tch GIS, x
l nh v hin th d liu, nhng ta s khng cp n nhng iu ny ngay by gi.
Xem Demo 5
c hng dn
La chn: Help > Help on this window c thm thng tin chi tit v Bng
S dng Help c thm thng tin v Biu tn s. Ta khng s dng cho
bi tp ny.
o
o
o
o
o
o
H ta ,
Tham chiu trc a,
Cc on ca ng c s ha,
Cc im cha thng tin v n v,
Cc vng c to ra t cc on ng v cc im,
Bn raster c lm t vic raster ha bn vng
v mt bng,
Bi tp v Yn Bi 1 -8
Khm ph d liu u vo
Trong Data catalog bn c th thy cc biu tng ca cc d liu u vo cho phn
gii thiu v vng nghin cu th nghim ny. Cc d liu u vo sau y s gii
thiu mt cch tng quan v d liu chuyn v chng c to ra nh th no.
Tn
Dng
ngha
nh dng
raster
Contour
Bn dng
ng
DEM_01m
Bn raster
D liu nh
QB_cc
D liu cao
Cc yu t chu ri ro
Commune
Bn dng
vng v bng
Buildings_ID
Bn dng
vng v bng
Roads
Bn dng
ng
100_maxh_cla
Bn dng
vng
Rivers
Bn dng
ng
Hin th ton b bn vi nt
Bi tp v Yn Bi 1 -10
T
h
e
l
a
n
d
s
l
i
d
e
s
i
n
Nhng vng ny c v li bng cch s dng gii onh nh a thi k. Trong
bi tp 2, chng ta s ni chi tit cch lm, v cch to nhng bc nh cn thit
gii on.
M QB_cc mt ln na.
Chng bn segment Buildings_ID ln nh phn gii cao bng
cch chn: Layers > Add Layer. S dng trong La chn hin th
(Display options): Segment Map window Representation:
Buildings_ID.
ng ca s
D liu cao
M Hnh S Cao
(Digital Elevation
Model) : thut ng
chung ch cc bn
cao dng s.
Bi tp v Yn Bi 1 -12
Gin nh (Image
stretching): thut ng
Lc l mt k thut x l
nh, cho php ng dng
ln nhng bn c b
mt lin tc nh cc
DEM. Lc nh l mt ma
trn l di chuyn khp
bn v p dng mt
hm no ln pixel m
n tnh ton. (v.d b lc
avg3x3 tnh ton 9 pixel
trong mt ln cho n khi
ton bn c tnh).
Kt qu ca hm c
t vo pixel ca bn
u ra m nm ti trung
tm ma trn. V th gi tr
u ra ca pixel da vo
gi tr ca chnh n v
ca cc pixel ln cn.
Xem Demo 6
c hng dn
Pixel Information :
chnh
M nh QB_cc
Nhp vo nt Thng tin Pixel ( Pixel Information) trn mn hnh
Bi tp v Yn Bi 1 -14
Xem Demo 7
c hng dn
Qu trnh chng xp
(Cross operations):
chng 2 bn raster.
Cc pixel cng mt v
tr ca c 2 bn
c so snh. Kt hp
2 bn to ra mt
bn chng xp
(cross map) v bng
chng xp (cross
table). Bng chng xp
bao gm s kt hp
gi tr, nhm hoc ID
u vo.
Hm tp hp
(Aggregate
functions): rt quan
trng v hu dng
trong ILWIS. Bn c
th ly gi tr tp
hp, v d, trung
bnh hoc tng ca
ton b ct, hoc
mt gi tr cho mi
nhm trong
classname. Bn c
th c thm v hm
tp hp trong hng
dn ca ILWIS.
M bng Use_Cover.
Bi tp 02.A To v gii on nh lp th
k thut s a thi k
Thi gian d kin:
D liu:
Nhim v:
2.5 gi
d liu t th mc:/exercise02
Bi tp ny gip bn bit cch to cc nh stereo t nh my by k thut
s v m hnh s cao. nh lp th c th c hin th bng cch s
dng phng php nh ni mu a sc
Tn
D liu nh
Kiu
ngha
QB_cc
nh Raster
WV_Original
nh Raster
D liu cao
DTM_01m
Bn Raster
D liu khc
Buildings_ID
Bn polygon+bng
Buildings_ID
Builidings
100_Maxh_cia
Bn im
Bn mnh
Bn vng
Hai bn raster u ra
Bi tp chng 2
Hy xem Demo 8
cho phn gii thiu
Bi tp chng 2
Sau khi to georeference trc tip tuyn tnh gn chnh xc, sau
bn c th tip tc bng cch ly mu nh cho georeference chung
c s dng cho tt c cc d liu. Georeference ny c gi l
YenBai_01.
Bi tp chng 2
To cp nh lp th t DEM
Cp nh lp th t DTM:
Gc nhn: Bn raster
u vo c chiu 2 ln,
bn u vo s c ly
mu li thnh bn
raster u ra bn tri v
bn phi. S khc nhau
gia bn raster u ra
bn tri v bn phi c
quyt nh bi mt gc
nhn xc nh. Nh vy gc
nhn ny xc nh gc m
nh bn u ra bn
tri v bn phi c chiu
ln a hnh.
Cch nhn: Bn c th chn
tch gc nhn ny bng
nhau vi c 2 bn u
ra (cc nhn c 2), v d khi
gc nhn c xc nh l
300, th bn u ra bn
tri c chiu nghing 150
tri trn a hnh v bn
bn phi nghing 150.
Bn cn a mt cao
tham kho l cao (ca
DTM) m xut hin ti b
mt mn hnh khi xem cp
nh lp th.
Khi xem cp nh lp th,
gi cao ln ca DTM s
xut hin ngoi mn
hnh, trong khi gi tr
cao nh hn ca DTM s
xut hin trong mn hnh.
Bi tp chng 2
To mt cp nh lp th ca nh Lidar.
C th to mt cp nh lp th ca nh Lidar bng cch s dng chnh
Lidar nh l DEM. V
nh chng ta c th s dng nh bng ca
lidar, tip theo chuyn i trong bc nh v sau to mt cp nh
lp th t n. Cch lm ny s to ra cc cp nh lp th nhng ni
bn c th nh gi d dng a mo khu vc.
reppresentation
Chn cch gin m bn ngh s hin th i tng tt
hn. (chng ti s dng gin gia -5 n 5)
Hin th nh QB_cc.
Chn Layers/Add layers v chn nh WV_01. Stretch t 250
50
La chn li phn bn tri ca ca s hin th hai nh
cui cng. GI bn c th thy QB_cc. Bng cch nhp vo
hp ca WV_01 bt v tt bn c th so snh khu vc nh
nhau trn cng mt nh.
Bn cng c th thm cc bn mnh Buildings_ID
Bi tp chng 2
Thnh lp bn t cp nh lp th
Gii on cp nh s
lp th:
V cp nh lp th c
georeference, nn c th
everlay thng tin vector,
v s dng thng tin 3-D
trong gii on. Bn c
th trc tip s ha trn
nh 3-D. N c th gy ra
mt s kh khn trong
trng hp nhng ni c
s phn ct mnh. Cc file
vector c chiu trn a
hnh khng c cao v
hin th cng mt
cao. Trong trng hp ny
nn s ha cc file vector
trn nh trc giao v so
snh vi nh lp th
Cc cp nh lp th c to t bi tp trc gi c th s dng
gii on s pht trin th v trt l.
Bi tp chng 2
Nu bn cha bao
gi s ha ILWIS
th tt hn khng
nn thay i g.
S c bi tp
khc v s ha
(bi tp 4A v
cch to mt c
s d liu cc yu
t chu ri ro) s
gii thch cch s
ha chi tit
Chnh sa d liu
vector:
C
th
chnh sa bn
polygon, bn
segment v bn
im. Mt bn
polygon c to
bng ng ng
kn v mt im
trong . im ny
cho
phi
c
thuc
tnh
ca
polygon.
Hy
xem
thm
hng dn ILWIS
sng t hn
thay i v tr cc im
chn
cc
tng
Bi tp chng 2
Trong bng lit k khi nhp chut phi trn Buildings, chn
cui edit. T menu ca dng c chnh sa, vo File, check
segment v chn ci u tin Self Overlap. Hiu chnh cc
li sai bng cch s dng cc nt chnh sa.
Kim tra c cc li khc trong File, kim tra segment.
Khi khng cn li no na, ta chuyn i bn thnh bn
polygon. Nhp chut phi vo bng k trn Buildings,
vectorize, segment to polygon s dng bn im cp nht
Buidings_ID gn nhn cc polygons. t tn u ra
Buildings_user. Xem nh bn tri.
Bi tp chng 2
Bi tp 02.B
Ti v d liu ca Shuttle
Radar Topography Mission
(SRTM) & nhp vo ILWIS.
D liu cao 3 cung giy SRTM ton cu c th ti v
min ph t trang web: http://srtm.csi.cgiar.org/. D
l i u
c tin x l n phn
gii
90m/pixel
dng
GeoTIFF.
C
ngh
a l d l i u c
georeference ca h
thng o c ton th gii 1984 v Ellipsoid WGS1984.
D liu SRTM mu t i v l khu vc RiskCity Honduras (tn file:
RiskCity_SRTM). Nu tc ng truyn internet ca bn nhanh, bn hy
th download d liu SRTM cho chnh mnh.
u tin bn la chn SRTM cn ti v bn ton cu; sau bn ti v
d liu ny. D liu sau khi gii nn c th nhp trc tip vo chng trnh
ILWIS. Qu trnh x l sau s tin hnh trong module m hnh Hydro-DEM.
Trong module, chng ta s ph mu bng , mt cch hin th a hnh rt
tt.
A. H ta ca khu vc c ti v
u tin bn la chn h ta trong Lat. / Long. ca khu vc d ti v
t trang web CGIAR.
Yen Bai
X min X max V
Kinh
210 48 20N
UTM
UTM
(Vng 48)
(Vng 48)
500.000
2.200.000
2.790.000
Bi tp chng 2
CH
Ch thc hin khi c ng truyn ln! Hoc
s dng file c dowload cho cc bn
D liu SRTM c ti v t trang web CGIAR-CSI theo cc mnh 5x5 .
Ch rng d liu GeoTIFF c mt dng m rng khc l tif (v vy, khng c
ch Geo) File ny nm trong h ta WGS 84 with Lat. / Long. Phi
chc chn rng trong file *.tif c u file v file *.tfw c gn vi n.
o
o
o
o
10
Bi tp chng 2
M phn mm ILWIS
M ng dn n folder c d liu SRTM ti v v gii nn
Chn trong menu chnh ca ILWIS: File > Import > Via GDAL
Chn ca s nhp d liu SRTM *.TIF; g Tn file xut ra. Ri n:
OK
Hin th d liu SRTM nhy p
vo biu tng Raster Map.
La chn trong ca s Display
Raster map
o Representation:
Elevation 1
o Check Box: Info
o Stretch: Linear
o mc nh tt c cc
gi tr khc
o n: OK
Di chuyn con tr chut vo
bn SRTM DEM. Xut hin
gi tr cao.
Chn Properties bng cch nhp p. c trong ca s
Properties of Raster Map, kch thc pixel (pixel size) v cc gc
ta (Corner Coordinates). Hai gi tr ny vn dng pht
giy, cha phi l gi tr mt trong UTM WGS84. Domain dng
Value
11
Bi tp chng 2
G tn GeoReference
u tin, 3 bn bng c
to bng b lc bng : Bng
W(Ty), Bng(Ty Bc), Bng
N(Bc).
Ba bn ny c gin bng
phng php gin nh tuyn tnh
T hp mu 24-bit c to ra t
nhng bn gin bng ny
12
Bi tp chng 2
A. H ta ca khu vc c ti v
u tin la chn h ta Lat.Long ca khu vc ti v trang web ca GLCF.
Yn Bi
X min X max V
Y min Y max Kinh
V
1040 50 00 E
210 41 00 N
Kinh
1040 57 00 E
210 48 20 N
13
Bi tp chng 2
B.
Nhp vo bc nh chn n
Chn: Download
Mt danh sch c hin th vi tng di nh cho php ti v, xem
trc v file metadata (*.met).
Ti file metadata trc tin. Ti v bng cch: nhp chut phi >
Chn Save target as
Nhim v: M file metadata bng phn mm MS Word v nghin
cu ni dung, nh tn di nh, ngy chp, kch thc pixel, v.v
Ti cc di nh khc vo folder d liu bng Nhp chut phi > Chn
Save target as
Ch dn: u tin ti cc di 2, 3 v 5. Cc di nh ny c th to ra
nh t hp mu chnh xc
Gii nn tt c cc d liu ti v
14
Bi tp chng 2
C.
D.
M phn mm ILWIS.
M ng dn n folder c d liu Landsat ETM t i v v gii
nn.
Chn menu chnh ca ILWIS: File > Import > Via GDAL
Chn ca s Import mt trong cc file *.TIF; g tn file xut ra. Thm
s ca di nh vo trong tn file xut ra. V d nh ETM di 3:
ETM_b3. n: OK
Lm tng t vi cc di nh Landsat ETM gii nn khc
Hin th ca s Properties of Raster ca mt trong cc nh nhp
(nhp chut phi vo biu tng nh raster ). Bn s thy kch
thc pixel (pixel size) l 28,5m v Domain: VALUE. x l cc
di nh Landsat ETM trong ILWIS, Chng phi c Domain l:
Image
Trong ca s Properties of Raster ca di nh u tin, chn danh
sch Domain c ko xung: IMAGE. Sau chn: Apply > OK.
Lp li vi tt c cc di nh khc
hin th mt t hp mu: trong menu chnh ca ILWIS:
Operations > Image Processing > Color Composite
Chn trong ca s Color Composite theo cc di nh sau y:
o Di : ETM_b5
o Di xanh l: ETM_b3
o Di xanh dng: ETM_b2
o G tn bn raster xut ra: ETM_b532
o tt c cc gi tr khc mc nh nh Linear
Stretching, Percentage v RGB
o n: Show
Phng to khu vc Yn Bi v xem qua bc nh.
15
L lt
Chu k lp li/xc sut vt ngng
5
20
36
67
89
99
-
10
10
19
41
65
88
99
-
N = Chu k lp li trong cc nm
20
50
100
200
5
2
1
10
4
2
1
23
10
5
2
40
18
10
5
64
33
26
10
92
64
39
22
99
87
63
39
98
87
63
99
92
99
500
1
2
4
9
18
33
63
86
Bi tp
1. Bn c th pht biu g v xc sut xut hin ca Q50 trong sut 100
nm ti v 5 nm ti?
2. Xc sut xut hin ca Q500 trong sut 2 nm ti?
1000
1
2
5
10
18
39
63
PL =
R
N +1
Eq1
trong :
PL
= xc sut phn bn tri (xc sut ca vic c t cc gi tr
trong chui)
R
= l hng
N
= s lng quan st
3. Xc nh chu k lp li cho mi mt quan st
=
T
1
1
=
PR 1 PL
Eq2
4. Xc nh v tr v i vi mi mt quan st
y=
ln ( ln PL ) Eq3
Bi tp sau y th tc c th c gii quyt vi mt bng tnh sau y:
Bng 1: d liu gc
X l s liu
Trong d liu qua 38 nm. Lu lng ln nht trn nm c rt ra t bng d
liu gc v sau cc bc gii thch trn c thc hin trong bng.
Bng 2: Cc gi tr lu gi v biu Gumbel
PL = e e
T
v =
1
1
=
PR 1 PL
Bi tp
Trong bi tp ny lng ma theo ngy ln nht trn nm ca RiskCity c
la chn N = 50 nm (1951 2001), hy xem bng tnh ExerciseFA-RiskCity.
1. Phn hng cc gi tr lng ma ln nht hng nm t thp n cao. T
, gn hng 1 cho gi tr thp nht v gn hng N cho gi tr cao nht.
2. Tnh ton cho mi mt quan st xc sut phn bn tri theo Eq1.
3. Xc nh chu k lp li cho mi mt quan st dng Eq2
4. Xc nh v tr biu i vi mi mt quan st dng Eq3.
5. in vo trong bng sau:
Ma cho Tr = 10 nm
Tr cho ma = 65mm
Ma cho Tr = 40 nm
Tr cho ma = 65mm
Ma cho Tr = 100 nm
Tr cho ma = 65mm
ng t
QUAN H GUTENBERG-RICHTER
Khi nim: Bng biu , theo thang logart, s lng cc trn ng t ln hn
hoc bng vi mt ln cho trc trong mt khong chu k thi gian tng
phn vi ln , mt c tnh c bn ca tc a chn trong mt khu vc
gi tr b c th c xc nh.
Th tc:
Beno Gutenberg v Charles Richter l hai trong nhiu nh tin phong trong a
chn hc hin i; ng gp to ln cho s pht trin ca khoa hc nh tnh hin
ti. Trong nhng nm 1930, v cng c ghi chp ng t dn tr thnh thc t
trong nhiu khu vc trn th gii, hai nh khoa hc ny m t mt cu trc
trong d liu a chn m lm s lng ng t trong mt khu vc cho trc
(hoc trn ton th gii) trn mt giai on thi gian c sa cha lin quan ti
ln ca cc trn ng t ny. Vic s dng thang ln c pht trin
ca Richter hin nay v cc thit b ghi mi nht pht hin nhiu trn ng
t c ln ln hn 6 s xy ra trong mt khu vc cho trc trn 10 nm,
tng ng vi s lng cc trn ng t ln hn 5 trong khu vc , v.v.
Hot ng ny bao gm hai bi tp c to ra bn lm quen vi mi quan
h Gutenberg Richter, nh kiu c m t bi nhng nh a chn hc. Bi
tp ny c a ra di y. Mi mt bi tp u c b ti liu v cc cu hi
khi qut ring. Hy lm vic trn cc bi tp ny.
Trong bi tp ny, bn s c a mt tp d liu v biu . Mt khi bn
xc nh loi biu no s dng v v c cc d liu, bn c th ty
tnh ton cng thc m t quan h Gutenberd Richter.
Trong bi tp th hai, bn s dng danh mc d liu ng t ca NEIC USGS
lm vic trn d liu ca bn thn t Houduras.
Bi 1. California v th gii
Vic gii thiu ca bn v biu Gutenberg-Richter s tr nn tng i d
dng. D liu s c cung cp; bn ch cn phi xc nh loi biu no
lm, v sau in b d liu lm tr c . Bn s bt u vi d liu t Nam
California, sau v tng cc trn ng t trn th gii tng phn iu ny v
so snh.
i vi min Nam California, tp d liu di y c bin son theo hng
dn sau:
Ngy bt u: 1 thng 1 nm 1987; Ngy kt thc: 31 thng 12 nm
1996.
"Southern California c xc nh l khu vc gia 32 and 36.25 v
Bc v 114.75 and 121 kinh Ty
# ln hn M
3.0
100.000+
4.0
15000
5.0
3000
6.0
100
7.0
20
8.0
L lt
Bi tp: Chu k lp li/ xc sut vt ngng
1. Q50 c xc sut xut hin ln hn trong sut 100 nm ti (87%) hn
trong 5 nm ti (10%)
2. Xc sut qu thp n mc trn lt vi chu k lp li tng ng 500
nm s xy ra vo 2 nm ti l iu khng tn ti.
Bi tp: Phn phi gi tr cc tr bng phng php Gumbel
1,2,3 v 4:
5: cc gi tr c th c tnh chnh xc
Cc gi tr ny c th nh hn thc t v
gi tr ngoi khng c tnh n v v
th xu hng ng ph hp duy tr gi
tr tt hn, hy xem bn di y.
ng t
Bi 1
1.1 v 1.2
1.3: dc ca ng l m
1.4: Log N(M) = a bM
1.5:
Bi 2
Tn
Max_h_5y
Max_h_10y
Max_h_20y
Max_h_50y
Max_h_100y
Max_h_200y
Building_map_segments
DEM10
Building_map_segments
ngha
su mc nc ln nht, chu k lp li
su mc nc ln nht, chu k lp li
su mc nc ln nht, chu k lp li
su mc nc ln nht, chu k lp li
su mc nc ln nht, chu k lp li
su mc nc ln nht, chu k lp li
Bn vecto vi cc khi nh
Cc thng s a l c bn (10m)
Min v cch trnh by ca bn vecto
l
l
l
l
l
l
l
l
l
l
l
l
5 nm
10 nm
20 nm
50 nm
100 nm
200 nm
Cu hi 1:
Bn no ch ra trn lt ln nht v su mc nc ln nht; Ti sao?
ng c hai bn li
in bo bng sau:
Bn
Chu k lp li
Max_h_5y
Max_h_10y
Max_h_20y
Max_h_50y
Max_h_100y
Max_h_200y
5 nm
10 nm
20 nm
50 nm
100 nm
200 nm
Xc sut hng nm
Sau , g:
Hazard_b:=max(prob_50y,prob_100y,prob_200y)
Hy xem kt qu.
ng tt c cc bn .
Cu hi 3a:
Min hin ti ca bn tai bin l g?
Cu hi 3b:
Ti sao khng th chuyn cc bn vi mt min nh vy sang dng vecto?
thc hin vic chuyn i sang dng vecto chng ta phi phn loi bn tai
bin. Trong ILWIS n c gi l slicing. Bc u tin l to mt min xc
nh cc ranh gii lp; sau chng ta slice bn tai bin.
Nhp <OK>
Ca s create domain group hazard c m ra
S dng phm <insert> trn bn phm m ca s add domain item.
G Upper Bound: 0.004 v Name: less than 1/200. Chn <OK>.
B sung cc ranh gii lp sau:
Upper Boundary
Name
Mu
0.004
Nh hn 1/200
0.009
1/200
0.019
1/100
0.049
1/50
0.099
1/20
0.19
1/10
1
1/5
Sau khi b sung ranh gii lp, ng ca s domain group
Trong ca s danh mc ILWIS m lp i in hazard v thay i mu nh
c a ra trong bng
Click chut phi vo bn hazard v chn image processing v sau chn
slicing.
t tn bn mi l: hazard_cla
Chn Domain: hazard
Chn <OK>
M bn mi v thm bn phn mnhbuilding_map_segments
Lu li hazard.
Nhp chut phi vo bn hazard_cla v chn Vectorize v sau l raster
to polygon
Chp nhn cc mc nh v t tn bn u ra hazard_cla
Chn <show> nhn c kt qu.
Phn 2: Cc bn ch th
D liu:
Tn
Dng
ngha
RiskCity_DSM
import
raster
Script
slicing
classify
rising
impulse
duration
sediment
Building_map_segment
Building_map_segment
M hnh s cao
Nhp cc tp asci SOBEK trong ILWIS, thay no_value bng zerovalues v thn cc thng s trc a tiu chun vo tt c cc bn
Phn loi cc bn ln nht
Phn loi bn theo gi to danh sch bn
Tnh ton tc tng mc nc theo m/gi
Tnh ton lc y ln nht theo m2/s
c tnh thi gian l lt
c tnh kh nng trm tch/ra xi tng i ca trn lt
Vector
Min/ i din
Duration
Maxc
Maxh
Maxi
Maxr
Sediment
ttf
DEM10
Ts Ta
Bn Asci
DM1MAXD0.ASC
DM1MAXC0.ASC
DM1TMAXC.ASC
DM1TMAXD.ASC
DM1TWT00.ASC
DM1C0000.asc
DM1C0001.asc
DM1C0002.asc
DM1C.
.
DM1C0048.asc
Bn Asci
DM1D0000.asc
DM1D0001.asc
DM1D0002.asc
DM1D.
.
DM1D0048.asc
Chy file tp lnh Import bng cch g cu lnh sau dng lnh: run import.
iuc
ny
tn cc
mtbn
mt
lc.
Bn
thsthy
c kch thc pixel ln hn cc bn khc
Hy
xem
mt
vi
bn
kt
qu. v chng che ph mt din tch khc.
trong tp d liu (10 mt thay v 1 mt)
iu ny c thc hin nh vic gim thi gian tnh ton trong m hnh SOBEK.
Tp lnh
rem import waterdepth files
M t
Nhp cc file bn ASCI su mc nc hng gi s dng la chn ArcInfo
NAS import cho cc file ASCII. Mt file ILWIS vi tn h000x c to nn.
h000:=ifundef(h000x,0,h000x)
h001:=ifundef(h001x,0,h001x)
.
..
Cc bn tm tt ly cc thng s trc a
setgrf max_hx.mpr dem10.grf
setgrf max_cx.mpr dem10.grf
setgrf ttf.mpr dem10.grf
setgrf tmax_cx.mpr dem10.grf
setgrf tmax_hx.mpr dem10.grf
Cc gi tr khng xc nh trong tt c bn c thay th bng gi tr 0
zero value
max_h:=ifundef(max_hx,0,max_hx)
max_c:=ifundef(max_cx,0,max_cx)
tmax_h:=ifundef(tmax_hx,0,tmax_hx)
tmax_c:=ifundef(tmax_cx,0,tmax_cx)
ttf:=ifundef(ttfx,999,ttfx)
Tt c cc bn trung gian b xa
Cc bn thng s
Vn tc dng chy
Vn tc dng ln nht
t=n
t=4
t=3
t=2
t=1
t=0
Lc y ln nht
Lan truyn l lt
su mc nc
Tc dng
nc ln nht
t=n
Thi gian
t=4
t=3
t=2
t=1
t=0
su
mc nc ln nht
10
2.
Lc y ln nht (n v: m2/s);
Bn ny ch ra lc y ln nht c th xy ra trong sut t lt. Lc y
c tnh ton ti mi mt bc thi gian bng cch nhn su mc nc vi
vn tc dng chy. i vi mi mt pixel, i lng ny i din cho mt lng
dch chuyn ca mt khi nc (trn pixel khi ch ph thuc vo su mc
nc, khi b mt khu vc ca pixel v th tch chiu cao ca nc l khng i).
iu cn bn nm sau thng s ny l mt mnh vn tc dng chy khng
c tnh kh nng nguy him hoc s nguy him i vi con ngi v xe c b cun
ra xa. Nc nng vi vn tc dng chy ln khng c nhiu ng nng hoc lc
xon v cng khng su, nhng thc s vn l dng n c ng s. Dng
nc su, v chy nahnh tuy vy l nhng iu nguy him cho con ngi v
phng tin v nhiu kh nng gy thit hi cho cc i tng nh nh ca v
rung ng. c bit, trong mi trng th thng s ny a ra cc con ph d
tr thnh dng dn nc nht.
4.
11
5.
6.
7.
13
=
Z
Ws
1
.u *
7.1
trong ,
Z
= ch s Rouse
0.01( s p sw ) / sw gd 3
p
1
Ws =
10
1+
2
d
p
7.2
trong :
Ws
= nht ca nc = 1.2*10-6 [m2/s]
sp
= khi lng th tch ca thch anh = 1.65*103 [kg/m3]
sw
= khi lng th tch ca nc =1*103 [kg/m3]
d
= ng knh ht = (trong bi tp ny) 210*10-6 m
g
= gia tc trng trng = 9.81 [m/s2]
Khi cc thng s trong cng thc 7.2 l khng i, Ws gn bng 0,01 m/s i vi
mt ht c ng knh 210 m. Vn tc ct c tnh bng cng thc:
u* =
U
0.37 h
ln
6
6
3.97 x10 xn
7.3
trong :
U
= vn tc dng [m/s]
h
= su mc nc [m]
n
= h s nhm ca Manning
Vn tc dng chy v su mc nc c tnh ton bng m hnh, trong khi
s phn b khng gian ca h s Manning lm mt trong nhng iu kin ranh gii
bit r. Tt c thng s c bit n theo khong thi gian theo hng gi. Qu
14
15
Giao 7 bn : maxh_cla
maxc_cla
maxi_cla
maxr_cla
duration_cla
ttf_cla
sediment_cla
u tin m cc bn c cp trn
B sung thm bn vecto buildings_map_segment
File>creat layout
t tn cho bn xem (v d. maxh )
t scale 1:5000 v nhp <OK>
Nhp vo bn n hot ng
Trong ca s lay-out chn insert trn Menu, chn legend
La chn mt ch gii bn thch hp. Chn <OK>.
Chc chn l tick-box transparent khng c check.
Nhp <OK>
Nu bn mun b sung thm cc thuc tnh bn khc chng hn t l, mi
tn ch hng v.v vo bn
Trong ca s lay-out chn Flie>export to bitmap
t mt tn thch hp v gim phn gii v 40 hoc 50 dpi (m bo rng
kt qu vn c th c c)
Lp li cc bc trn cho 7 bn
Paste c 7 bn trong MS-Word hoc MS-Powerpoint
Cng to mt layout ca bn hazard_cla bn to trong phn 1 v b sung
n vo trong ti liu
Ti liu ny phi c np
16
Gii thiu
Bangladesh c th l quc gia chu nhiu nh hng nht t cc thm ha
t nhin trn th gii, c bit l l l t. Xp x 40% lnh th chu l lt thng
xuyn. Ni y c hn 250 con sng chy quanh nm, trong th c 56 sng
bt ngun bn ngoi lnh th, Ty Tng, n , Butan v Nepal. 90% lng
nc cc con sng bt ngun t cc dng chnh, Ganges, Brahmaputra v
Meghna bt ngun t cc quc gia khc.
Nguyn nhn u tin gy nn l l t ti Bangladesh c lin quan trc tip
hoc gin tip n lng ma ti cc khu vc la vc ca 3 h thng sng
chnh. Lng ma, cng vi tuyt tan t ni Himalaya hnh thnh nn mt dng
c lng nc cc ln trn qua Bangladesh ri chy vo Vnh Bengal.
Ch bn triu mnh trung bnh ph bin ti Vnh Bengal. Do a hnh
lnh th rt thp (mt na quc gia nm di ng ng mc 8 mt), nn thy
triu tc ng rt su vo t lin. Trong sut t gi ma, nc l khng rt
c do nh hng ca thy triu. L lt do lc xoy trn bin xy ra do bi ma
st ca gi trn mt bin dng sng bo vo t lin.
T nm 1960 1981, Bangladesh phi hng chu 63 thm ha vi thit
hi khong 655,000 ngi. Trong s , c 37 trn bo nhit i, c p i
sinh mng ca 386.200 ngi. t l cu i cng xy ra vo nm 1987 v 1988
v cn bo nm 1990 lm cht 140.000 ngi ti b bin Vnh Bengal.
Vic nh gi tai bin l l t ti y l mt n lc quc t, v cn phi
gim st lng ma v lu lng nc sng trn ton b lu vc ca cc con
sng chnh, cng nh ph i gim st mc nc bin v h thng cnh bo bo
nhit i. X l nh s v phn tch cc nh SPOT lin tc bng GIS c th gip
ch c rt nhiu trong vic thnh lp bn tnh trng l lt v xc nh bin
ng ca sng. Khu vc nghin cu che ph ng ba cc con sng Meghan v
Ganges, ty nam th Dhaka.
Vi cc nh t bangladesh ngy ny bn c th nh gi hai iu:
- Gim st s m rng ca ngp lt,
- Gim st bin ng dng sng.
u tin, mt phng php phi c s dng cho vic xc nh chnh xc
b mt nc t cc dng t ph khc c trong nh.
T s bng knh
Mt phng php khc l s dng t s bng knh, l s kt hp cc
bng knh ring l. Phng php ny c u im l nu phn x ph ca cc
loi lp ph trong mt bng knh tng ng nhau, th
t s ca hai bng c
th c s dng phn bit chng.
Bng knh 1
Bng knh 3
Nc
My
Bng
Thm thc vt
t trng
Trung bnh
Cao
Thp
Trung bnh
Cao
Thp
Cao
Thp
Cao
Cao
T s bng knh
3/1
Trung bnh thp
Trung bnh
Trung bnh
Trung bnh cao
Trung bnh
ng ca s graph
Ko bng xung v vit cc gi tr DN ra t phn trm tch y
l (C t
Npcumpct)bng 1 v n 99. ng ca s table li.
Nhp p vo bn raster Mfl87_1w mt ln na, nhng by gi kim tra box
stretch trong hp hi thoi Display Options, v nhp cc gi tr bn va vit ra,
ch cc gi tr nh nht v ln nht. Nhp OK. nh by gi c hin th a dng
hn trong tng mu xm.
ng ca s bn
T menu Operations trong ca s Main, chn Image Processing, Stretch. Hp
hi thoi Stretch c m ra. Chn nh Mfl87_1w l bn u vo. S dng
la chn Linear Stretch, v gi tr phn trm l 1%. Nhp Mfl87_1s l nh u
ra, v nhp bt Show v OK. Sau khi tnh ton hp hi thoi display options m
ra. Chn OK. nh c hin ln. Nhn vo nh bn c th thy n tng t nh
trc , ngoi tr vic khi bn chn trn cc gi tr trong bn , bn s thy
chng c di gi tr t 0 n 255
T File trn thanh Menu, chn Open Pixel Information. Ko v th bn
Mfl87_1w vaf Mfl87_1s vo trong ca s pixel information. Di chuyn chut trn
nh v quan st cc gi tr khc nhau trc v sau khi ko gin
So snh cc biu trc v sau khi ko gin.
ng ca s bn v ca s thng tin pixel.
Thnh lp mt t hp mu gi
Bc u tin l nh gi cc gi tr pixel cho cc loi lp ph khc nhau. iu
ny c thc hin bng cch s dng mt t hp mu t trn lt trung bnh.
Bng knh 1
Bng knh 2
Bng knh 3
Bng 3/Bng 1
Nc
Nc
Nc
Nc
Nc
Thm
Thm
Thm
Thm
Thm
thc
thc
thc
thc
thc
vt
vt
vt
vt
vt
My
My
My
My
My
Bng
Bng
Bng
Bng
Bng
t
t
t
t
t
trng
trng
trng
trng
trng
ng ca s bn v ca s pixel information.
Kt hp ba bn mc nc
By gi bn c ba bn a ra s khc nhau v t/nc trong ba giai
on: ma kh nm 1987, trn lt mnh trung bnh nm 1987, v tr n l l t
thm khc nm 1988. Nhng bn ny s c kt hp thnh mt bn cui
cng s dng Crossing operation.
Tham kho
Alexander, D. (1993). Natural disasters. UCL Press Ltd., University College
London. 632 pp.
Asaduzaman, A.T.M. (1994). A geomorphologic approach to flood hazard
assessment and zonation in Bangladesh, using Remote Sensing and a
geographic information system. MSc thesis, ITC, Department of Earth Resources
Surveys. Enschede. 85 pp.
Maathuis, B.H.P (1993). Flooding Bangladesh: ITC Demo. CZM Toolbox, tools
and applications for Coastal Zone Managment, World Coast Conference 1993,
pp. 15-18 (+demo diskette).
10
Hnh 4: Phn 1.3 Tnh ton t s bng knh v slicing operation, trn lt
trung bnh
11
Hnh 5: Phn 1.3 Tnh ton t s bng knh v slicing operation, trn lt
thm khc
12
13
14
Phn 3.3.C Bi tp 10
1. Gii thiu
Trang 1
2. Thm d d liu u vo
Tn
ETM01b1,b2,b3,b4,
b5,b8
Loi
Raster
Topo_1871, Topo_1908,
Topo_1937, Topo_1992
Raster
Administration
Benchmarks
im
Eleva01
im
Coastlines
Phn mnh
Waterbodies
Roads
Vng
SubsMask
Raster v Vng
StudyArea
Phn mnh
ngha
nh ngy 02/08/2001 bn
theo ch c tng cng,
bands 1 d dn 5 v 8.
phn gii bands 1 n 5 l
30m v band 8 l 15m
Bn a hnh c qut nm
1871, 1908, 1937 v 1992 vi
phn gii pixel l 5
S phn chia qun l thnh ph
Semarang ti kampungs v mt
dn s trong mt bng.
Bn im tiu chun vi tc
ln chm l mm/nm
Bn im cao nm 2001,
ti phn trung tm Semarang vi
n v l mt
ng b c s ha da trn
bn a hnh ca nm 1871 v
1992
Cc thn nc, chng hn nh
bin Java, sng v knh (c s
ha t bn a hnh)
Bn vng ca ng giao
thng chnh
Bn dng raster, vng. Mask
ca vng nghin cu i vi hin
tng ln chm
Bn phn mnh ca ranh gii
khu vc nghin cu
Trang 2
Trang 3
La chn trong ca s Polygon Map: Layers > Display Options > 1pol.
Administration. Trong ca s Display Options Polygon Map bn chn Check
Box Boundaries Only. Chn: OK. Hin ti, bn Administration c hin th
ch vi cc ranh gii bng ng mu .
Trong ca s Polygon Map hy la chn: Layers > Add Layer. By gi bn c
th la chn mt bn b sung vo bn polyogon.
Hy thm cc bn sau ln lt tng bn mt: Topo_1992 hoc
Topo_1871, Topo_1908, Topo_1937 or ETM01b453.
Nghin cu s bin i ng b v s m rng ca thnh ph, so snh vi d
liu trong qu kh.
Bn c th s dng lp qun l (ca s bn tri) n hoc hin th
bn theo la chn ca bn
Ch Bn ch c th ch c b sung nh ETM, hoc bn a hnh vo bn
Administration. iu ny phi lm vi cc ch gii a cht khc nhau.
Trang 4
Trong thnh cng c ca ILWIS la chn: Operations > Interpolation > Point
Interpolation > Moving Average. Trong ca s Moving Average la chn hoc
g vo:
o Point Map: eleva01
o Weight Function:
Linear Decrease
o Weight Exponent: gi tr mc nh
o Limiting Distance: 15.000 (gi tr l mt)
o Output raster Map: Eleva01 (gi tr l mt)
o Georeference: Georef_Subsidence (30 m pixels)
o Value Range: gi tr mc nh
o Precision: 0.01 (gi tr l cm)
o Type for Description: Elevation 2001 vi gi tr mt
o Select: Show
o La chn tt c cc gi tr mc nh trong ca s Display Options Raster
Map
Duyt thng qua bn v nhn vo gi tr st ln cm/nm.
B sung cc lp bn , chng hn roads, waterways, administration.
Trang 5
Trong thnh cng c ca ILWIS la chn: Operations > Interpolation > Point
Interpolation > Moving Average. Trong ca s Moving Average la chn hoc
g vo:
o Point Map: benchmarks
o Select: Subs-cmyr ( ch : la chn hy nhp vo hp nh vi mt v
ng trc tiu chun bn
o Weight Function:
Linear Decrease
o Weight Exponent: gi tr mc nh
o Limiting Distance: 15.000 (gi tr l mt)
o Output raster Map: SubsRate (gi tr l cm/nm)
o Georeference: Georef_Subsidence (30 m pixels)
o Value Range: gi tr mc nh
o Precision: 0.01 (value in cm)
o Type for Description: Subsidence rate in cm/year
o Select: Show
o La chn tt c cc gi tr mc nh trong ca s Display Options Raster
Map
Duyt thng qua bn v nhn vo gi tr st ln cm/nm.
B sung cc lp bn , chng hn roads, waterways, administration.
trong :
ELEVAt0 = cao ti iu kin khi u (file: Eleva01)
Trang 6
Trong ILWIS, cc tnh ton cn thit u da trn cng thc trn, c tin hnh
bng vic s dng Bn tnh ton, c g trong Command Line. Cc cng thc
sau y l:
c mt t ng tt hn v t ai b ln chm t nh th no vo nm 2010,
2019 v 2070 so vi nm 2001, ta hin th bn a hnh nm 1992 v duy t
Pixel Info qua bn , vi cc cao ca 3 nm tng lai c hin th trong ca s
Pixel Info.
Trang 7
7. Hin th kt qu
Bc cui cng ct cc bn ElevaMask 10,19,70 theo cch nh vy,
m hin tng ln xung c biu din trong cc cch vi mu sc p v r rng.
i vi iu ny, c m t lnh vc vi cc bc cao v mu trong bng
cng tn. Bn u ra c a ra tn: Elevation 2010, Elevation 2019,
Elevation 2070.
Trang 8
Nhiu m hnh khc nhau ang c dng tnh h s an ton. Ti y chung ta s s dng
m hnh n gin nht, c gi l m hnh sn dc v hn. M hnh mt chiu ny m
t s n nh ca sn dc vi b mt pht hy ln v hn. C th s dng GIS nh l mt
cch tnh ton c th p dng trn mt pixel c bn. Pixel trong cc bn tham s c th
c coi nh l cc n v ng nht. nh hng ca cc pixel ln cn nhau l khng ng
k, v m hnh c th c s dng tnh ton kh nng n nh ca mi mt pixel c
bit, to nn mt bn tai bin ca h s n nh.
H s n nh c tnh da theo cng thc sau (Brunsden v Prior, 1979):
F=
zsin cos
Bi tp RiskCity 3L2- 1
Nghin cu th nghim RiskCity: nh gi tai bin trt l t theo phng php tin nh
trong :
c = h s ma st (Pa = N/m2)
= trng lng ring ca t (N/m3)
m = zw/z (khng c th nguyn)
w = trng lng th tch ca nc (N/m3)
z = su b mt ph hy di mt t (m)
zw = chiu cao gng nc ngm trn mt ph hy (m)
= nghing ca b mt ph hy (0)
= gc khng ct hu hiu (0)
S hin th d liu u vo
Trong bi tp ny, php phn tch s n nh sn dc c lm bng cch s dng
ch vi hai bn tham s: Soildepth ( dy ca t) v Slope_map (gc dc tnh
bng ).
Chng ta gi s rng:
su ca mt c kh
nng ph hy c xc
nh ti s tip xc ca
t v vt liu phong
ha nm di.
Tt c cc loi t u
c cng mt gi tr lc
dnh, ma st v khi
lng ring.
Bi tp RiskCity 3L2- 2
Nghin cu th nghim RiskCity: nh gi tai bin trt l t theo phng php tin nh
= gc nghing mt sn (0)
= Bn
radian, trong khi bn
Slope_map
Slope li gi tr . V
= gc khng ct hu hiu (0)
= 320
th iu u tin, chng
Tan() = tang ca gc khng ct hu hiu
= 0.625
ta cn chuyn bn
slope t sang radian.
Chun b d liu
Trc khi bn bt tay vo phn tch, bn cn xc nh bn Slope_map. Trong tnh
ton bn cn 3 tham s c dn xut t sn dc:
sin(slope) = gc sin ca sn dc
cos(slope) = gc cosin ca sn dc.
cos2(slope) = cos(slope)* cos(slope)
Cc hm ca ILWIS i vi sin v cosin ch hot ng c vi cc gi tr radian,
trong khi bn Slope li gi tr . V th iu u tin, chng ta cn chuyn bn
slope t sang radian. ILWIS c hn Degrad thc hin iu ny:
Degrad(Slope) degrees to radians function: slope*2/360
Bi tp RiskCity 3L2- 3
Nghin cu th nghim RiskCity: nh gi tai bin trt l t theo phng php tin nh
Nghin cu th nghim RiskCity: nh gi tai bin trt l t theo phng php tin nh
Bi tp RiskCity 3L2- 5
Nghin cu th nghim RiskCity: nh gi tai bin trt l t theo phng php tin nh
iu kin kh
u tin bn s tnh h s an ton ca t vi gi thuyt l t kh tuyt i. Trong
trng hp ny tham s m = 0.
Hy nh rng cc tham s khc c cho trong trang trc:
c
11000 Pa
10000 N/m3
11000 N/m3
= Chiu su b mt ph hy di mt t
Bn Soildepth
= quan h zw/z
= gc nghing mt sn (0)
Bn Slope_map
320
Tan()
0.625
Sin()
= Sin gc dc
map Si
Cos()
= cosin gc dc
map Co
cos2()
map Co2
Bi tp RiskCity 3L2- 6
Nghin cu th nghim RiskCity: nh gi tai bin trt l t theo phng php tin nh
= h s an ton thp hn 1
= h s an ton t 1 1.5
= h s an ton ln hn 1.5
Nghin cu th nghim RiskCity: nh gi tai bin trt l t theo phng php tin nh
11000 Pa
10000 N/m3
16000 N/m3
= Chiu su b mt ph hy di mt t
Bn Soildepth
= quan h zw/z
= gc nghing mt sn (0)
Bn Slope_map
320
Tan()
0.625
Sin()
= Sin gc dc
map Si
Cos()
= cosin gc dc
map Co
cos2()
map Co2
Bi tp RiskCity 3L2- 8
Nghin cu th nghim RiskCity: nh gi tai bin trt l t theo phng php tin nh
iu kin bo ha mt phn
Bi tp RiskCity 3L2- 9
Nghin cu th nghim RiskCity: nh gi tai bin trt l t theo phng php tin nh
trong :
c
= Chiu su b mt ph hy di mt t
= gc nghing mt sn (0)
Ah
= t s nc ngm/chiu dy ca t Zw/Z
Zw
Bi tp RiskCity 3L2- 10
Nghin cu th nghim RiskCity: nh gi tai bin trt l t theo phng php tin nh
Bi tp RiskCity 3L2- 11
Nghin cu th nghim RiskCity: nh gi tai bin trt l t theo phng php tin nh
Trong trang ny, bn s thy cc bn Si, Co, Co2, Slrad, Slope_map xut hin nh
th no
Bi tp RiskCity 3L2- 12
Nghin cu th nghim RiskCity: nh gi tai bin trt l t theo phng php tin nh
iu kin kh
Th tc v v kim tra gi tr Fdry, c gii thch ti y:
Bn Fdry
Bi tp RiskCity 3L2- 13
Nghin cu th nghim RiskCity: nh gi tai bin trt l t theo phng php tin nh
?(10000+((110000*10000)*46.5*0.6790*0.625))/(11000*46.5*0.567*0.824)
v c kt qu sau:
Slope_map
Bn Fdry
Slope_map
Bn Fdry
Bi tp RiskCity 3L2- 14
Nghin cu th nghim RiskCity: nh gi tai bin trt l t theo phng php tin nh
Sau khi thc hin slicing Fdry s dng domain Stabil, biu ca Fdryc nhn nh
hinh sau:
Biu ca Fdryc
Biu ca Fsatc
Bi tp RiskCity 3L2- 15
Nghin cu th nghim RiskCity: nh gi tai bin trt l t theo phng php tin nh
iu kin bo ha mt phn
Hin ti chng ta ang xem xt iu kin bo ha mt phn. Trong v d ny, cng
c tnh ton cc kch bn vi m = 0,2; m = 0,5; m = 0,8.
Tn ca bn u ra, cc gi tr gamma v m tng i c a ra trong cng
thc c s dng i vi v d ny:
F02:=fs(12500,0.2)
F05:=fs(14000,0.5)
F08:=fs(15000,0.8)
So snh 5 kch bn trong biu , iu nhn thy d dng l kh nng mt n nh
chung ca khu vc tng cng vi gng nc ngm.
Biu ca kch bn hon chnh (iu kin kh, bo ha mt phn v hon ton)
Bi tp RiskCity 3L2- 16
Nghin cu th nghim RiskCity: nh gi tai bin trt l t theo phng php tin nh
Chng ta gi s rng:
Bin i t cng bin
vi bn thch hc
S dng cc gi tr lc dnh kt v gc ma st
khc nhau
Bi tp RiskCity 3L2- 17
Nghin cu th nghim RiskCity: nh gi tai bin trt l t theo phng php tin nh
Hm Fs_depth l:
Function Fs_depth(Value Gamma,Value M,Value depth) : Value
Begin
Return (10000+((Gamma-M*10000)*depth*Co2*0.652))/(Gamma*depth*Si*Co);
End;
Bi tp RiskCity 3L2- 18
Nghin cu th nghim RiskCity: nh gi tai bin trt l t theo phng php tin nh
G cng thc:
Fs_2m:=Fs_depth(16000,1,2)
Fs_3m:=Fs_depth(16000,1,3)
Fs_5m:=Fs_depth(16000,1,5)
Fs_10m:=Fs_depth(16000,1,10)
S dng chnh xc 0.1, thng s trc a u v trong
phm vi min gi tr 0-100.
Thnh lp bn Fs_2m_c, Fs_3m_c, Fs_5m_c,
Fs_10m_c. (Operations, image processing, slicing, v
s dng domain stabil)
Thnh lp biu .
Bn c kt lun g?C gng gii thch su nh hng
nh th no v ti sao li nh hng n h s an ton
Tm cc gi tr ti hn m
Nghin cu th nghim RiskCity: nh gi tai bin trt l t theo phng php tin nh
Bi tp RiskCity 3L2- 20
Wi
Densclas
ln=
Densmap
Area( Si )
Are( Ni )
ln
Area( Si )
Area( Ni )
trong ,
Wi
Bi tp RiskCity 3L1- 1
D liu u vo
Trong bi tp ny chng ra s s dng bn kim k trt l Landslide_ID,
c s dng trong cc bi tp trc y v mt s cc bn tc nhn, c lit k
trong bng sau:
Tn
D liu tc nhn
Slope_cl
Aspect_cl
Lithology
Soildepth
Landuse
River_dis
Road_dis
D liu trt l
Landslide_ID
Landslide_ID
D liu khc
Building_map_segments
High_res_image
Dng
ngha
Raster
Raster
Raster
Raster
Raster
Raster
Raster
Bn lp sn dc
Bn hng sn (vi cc lp)
Bn thch hc
Bn su ca t
Bn s dng t
Khong cch t sng
Khong cch t ng giao thng
Raster
Bng
Bn segment
Raster
M bn High_res_image v ln bn Landslide_ID. Hy
m mt vi bn tc nhn v kim tra ni dung ca chng.
Bi tp RiskCity 3L1- 2
Active1:=iff(((Activity=a)or(Activity=r))and(Part=s),1,0)
MapCalc v TabCalc:
Dng cng thc tng t c
th c s dng trn cc ct
trong cc bng (c gi l
Table
Calculation hay TabCalc) v
cng nh vy trn bn
trong dng lnh ca ca s
chnh (c gi Map
Calculation hoc MapCalc)
Cc gi tr khng xc nh:
Cc gi tr ny c hin th
bng du hi (?). Du hiu
ny cng hin th cc gi tr
thiu, gi tr n, nm ngoi
vng gi tr hoc khu vc
ngoi vng nghin cu.
M bng Landslide_ID.
Chng ta s ch s dng lp S (dc ng) v cc hot ng A
(Active) v R (ti hot ng). Gi y chng ta to mt ct
trong bng m ti s c mt gi tr 1 v phn cn li mang
gi tr 0. G cng thc sau vo dng lnh trong bng:
Bi tp RiskCity 3L1- 3
Bc 2.5: Bc tip theo l tnh ton tng din tch trt l trong bn
Chn li t menu ca bng: Columns, Aggregation.
Chn ct: AreaAct, Chn hm Sum, chn Group bng ct Slope_cl. B la chn
hp Output Table, v nhp ct u ra Areamapact. Nhn OK. Chn chnh xc
1.0
Bc 2.6: Tnh ton mt trt l trn lp sn dc. G:
Densclas=Areaslopeact/Areasloptot .
Chn chnh xc bng 0.0001
Bc 2.7: Tnh ton mt trt l i vi ton b bn . G:
Densmap=Areamapact/Areamaptot
Chn chnh xc bng 0.0001 v decimal = 4
Bi tp RiskCity 3L1- 4
Kt qu s nh di y:
Bi tp RiskCity 3L1- 5
Bc 4: Thnh lp bn trng s
Trng s t bng c th c dng nh s li bn
La chn t menu chnh trong ILWIS: Operations, Raster operations, Attribute map. La
chn bn raster Slope_cl, bng Slope_cl. Chn attribute: Weight. Chn bn
raster u ra Wslope_cl. Nhn OK.
Hin th bn kt qu Wslope_cl. Ko gin gia -2.5 v +2.5
S dng cng mt th tc vi bn tham s khc Lithology. t tn bng l
Lithology_cl vi domain lythology. Bn kt qu c gi: Wlithology.
Trng s i vi hai bn c th c b sung vi cng thc:
Weight1=Wslope_cl+WLithology
Hin th bn Weight1 v s dng ca s pixel infomation c thng tin t bn
Slope_cl, Wslope_cl, Lithology, Wlithology, Weight1. Xem kt qu
Bi tp RiskCity 3L1- 6
Bi tp RiskCity 3L1- 7
Vic kt lun cc khu vc c lin quan ti cc trt l cng trong bn tai bin l
iu ht sc quan trng. Bn c th thc hin iu ny vi mt cng thc tnh ton
bn . Hy t mnh thit kt mt th tc v mt cng thc. t tn l Final. XKQ
To mt tp lnh cho vic tnh ton t l thnh cng, s dng tp lnh v d sau. Gi
n l : success
Chy success rate script nh sau:
Run success weight
Sau khi chy tp lnh, m bng Activeweight. M Display trong mt biu , ct
percentmap trn trc X, v ct percentlandslide trn trc Y. nh gi cc kt qu
v quyt nh cc gi tr bin ph hp nht chia bn thnh kh nng nhy cm
cao, trung bnh, v thp.
S dng cc bin ny phn loi bn trng s mt ln na
Bi tp RiskCity 3L1- 8
Bi tp RiskCity 3L1- 10
//NOW WE CALCULATE THE FOUR VALUES NPIX1 - NPIX4 AS INDICATED IN THE EXERCISE BOOK. THIS IS
DONE IN THE ATTRIBUTE TABLE
// We correct for the situation when Npix1 - Npix3 might be 0 pixels, and change it into 1 pixel
Tabcalc %1 npix1 =IFF((nslclass>0),nslclass,1)
Tabcalc %1 npix2 = IFF((nslide-nslclass)=0,1,nslide-nslclass)
Tabcalc %1 npix3 = IFF((nclass-nslclass)=0,1,nclass-nslclass)
Tabcalc %1 npix4 = nmap-nslide-nclass+nslclass
//NOW WE CALCULATE THE WEIGHTS IN THE ATTRIBUTE TABLE
Tabcalc %1 wplus {dom=value.dom; vr=-10:10:0.00001} =
LN((npix1/(npix1+npix2))/(npix3/(npix3+npix4)))
Tabcalc %1 wminus {dom=value.dom; vr=-10:10:0.000001} =
LN((npix2/(npix1+npix2))/(npix4/(npix3+npix4)))
//NOW WE CALCULATE THE CONTRAST FACTOR
Tabcalc %1 Cw = wplus-wminus
//NOW WE CALCULATE THE FINAL WEIGHT
//The final weight is the sum of the positive weight and the negative weights of the other classes
Tabcalc %1 WminSum=aggsum(wminus)
Tabcalc %1 Wmap=wplus+Wminsum-Wminus
//NOW WE MAKE AN ATTRIBUTE MAP OF THE FINAL WEIGHTS
w%1.mpr = MapAttribute(%1,%1.Wmap)
calc w%1.mpr
Bi tp RiskCity 3L1- 11
Active1:=iff(((Activity=a)or(Activity=r))and(Part=s),1,0)
109
Bi tp RiskCity 3L1- 12
Bc 4: Thnh lp bn trng s
Ti y c miu t nh gi trng s nh th no trong lithology. Th tc l nh
nhau khi s dng nh gi vi Slope
Bi tp RiskCity 3L1- 13
Bi tp RiskCity 3L1- 14
Doman Susceptibility
Bi tp RiskCity 3L1- 15
Chng ta s gi s rng
i vi cc khu vc c
phn loi l
low_hazard, nhng b
nh hng bi trt l
trong qu kh, th tai
bin c th l
moderate _ trung bnh
Bi tp RiskCity 3L1- 16
Gii thiu
Mt phng php tn sut c s dng nh gi v thnh lp bn tai
bin ng t l phn vng tai bin a chn. y l s phn chia mt khu vc
thnh cc khu vc nh hn m cng mc tai bin. Hai dng phn vng tai bin
a chn ang c l: phng php phn vng v m khi qut (thnh lp bn tai
bin trn t l nh) v phng php phn vng vi m chi tit (trn t l ln).
Phng php th hai cho php cc iu kin a cht v khu vc cc b c xem
xt tnh ton. Phn vng v m ch thng da vo trn ng t ti xy ra v c
ln xc nh, v khng tnh n cc iu kin cc b trong tnh ton.
Bi tp ny gii quyt vi vic s dng GIS cho nh gi tai bin a chn
trn t l ln, s dng hai phng php khc nhau:
Phng php n gin, theo phng php RADIUS, trong Gia tc
mt t cc i - Peak Ground Acceleration c tnh ton cho
cc mt kch bn ng t, v s khuch tn trong t c x l
bng hn hp nhiu gi tr n gin. Phng php ny ch a ra mt
php tinh xp x chung nht v tai bin.
phng php th hai m trong chng tamt ki m nhiu hn v
ph ng t - earthquake spectra, v tnh ton tn s t nhin
ca t, m c s dng phc ha cc khu vc s tri qua s
khuch tn trong t ln ti cc tn s c th tng ng vi cc tn
s t nhin ca nhng dng nh ca nht nh.
Trong mt d n thc t phn vng nh tai bin a chn, phng php th
hai c m rng bng cc tnh ton cc phn ng ph i vi cc ct t khc
nhau, s dng cc bn ghi chuyn ng mnh, v cc ct t m t v c tnh chi
tit. iu ny yu cu mt lng ng k thi gan v d liu u vo, v khng
2. Thm d d liu u vo
Trong catalog d liu, bn s thy cc biu tng ca d liu u vo sn c
cho s gii thiu ny i vi nghin cu th nghim. D liu u vo sau y a
ra mt ci nhn khi qut v d liu chuyn v chng c ly ra nh th no.
Tn
D liu nh
Loi
ngha
Country_Anglyph
nh raster
nh lp th ca t nc trong
RiskCity phn b, c lm t d liu
DRTM
D liu a cht
Geology_country
Bn polygon
Faults_country
Bn phn mnh
Seismic_zones
Bn polygon
ng t
Earthquake_country
Bn dng im
Lithology
Altitue_dif
Bn polygon
Bn raster
Mt bn dng im lin kt vi
mt bng cha cc thng tin v a
im, thi gian, su v ln ca
ng t ti Honduras trong giai
on: 1973-2008
V tr ca trung tm RiskCity
Bn m rng l lt cho chu k lp
li l 100 nm, nhn c t m
hnh ha vi phn mm thy vn
HEC_Ras
Bn thch hc ca RiskCity
Cao cc ta nh.
Bi tp RiskCity 3E - 2
M nh lp th Country_Anaglyp
Thm lp Geology_country. Ch hin th ranh gii, v ch ra vi ng trng
vi dy l 1.
Thm bn phn mnh Fault_systems
Thm bn im City_centre
M Pixel Information v thm bn Geology_country
Dng knh xanh- nhn a hnh v tra cu thng tin a cht bng cch di
chut ton bn
Thm bn t gy Fault_country. Hy xem mi quan h gia a hnh v
t gy. Mt vi t gy c s th hin trn a hnh rt r rng.
Ph ln bn im Earthquakes_country
Trong hp hi thoi nhn OK
M bng Earthquakes_country.
Nhp chut vo biu tng biu . La chn ct Nm - Year cho trc X v
ln - Magnitude cho trc Y.
Ti sao nm 1987 khc nhiu so vi nhng nm cn li?
Hin th su i nghch vi ln
Th nghim nhiu hn vi cc biu ny
ng ca s biu
bng mt bng: C th
Raster ha bn im City_center. S dng ch gii a
m mt bn im
cht georeference v s dng kch c im 20.
bng mt bng v n
Bn c to ra s bao gm 20x20 pixel vi trung tm
da trn mt danh sch
thnh ph v vng cn li khng xc nh.
ta , mi mt im vi
Chy chng trnh khong cch trn bn raster
mt nhn dng ring.
City_center. t tn bn u ra: Distance. S dng
iu ny cho php
chnh xc l 1.
chung ta thc hin cc
Hin th danh sch ng t trn nh ca bn khong
php tnh c bit. iu
cch. By gi bn c th c mi mt trn ng t cch
m chng ta ang tnh
RiskCity bao xa.
ton ti y l khong
ng ca s bn .
cch t mi mt im
n RiskCity bng cch
Bc tip theo l chng ta s c cc gi tr khong cch ca
a gi tr khong cch
t bn Khong cch ng t n RiskCity i vi mi mt trn ng t trong
cho mi mt im. danh mc. Chng ta thc hin iu ny bng cch s dng mt
Chng ta thc hin bng c im c bit ca ILWIS.
lnh:
Mapvalue
N c t bn
Kch chut phi trn bn im Earthquakes_country,
khong cch, s dng
v chn Open as table. Chc chn l bn la chn dng lnh
thng tin ta . Ly kt
trong menu view
qu nhn vi 10-3
Bi tp RiskCity 3E - 5
Bi tp RiskCity 3E - 6
Bi tp RiskCity 3E - 7
Bi tp RiskCity 3E - 8
Bi tp RiskCity 3E - 9
danh
PGA
0.2g
0.4g
Tnh ton gi tr PGA tng t i vi kch bn ny, s dng cng thc sau:
D=(distance^2+7.3^2)^0.5
PGA=10^(0.249*M-Log(D)-0.00255*D-1.02)
Bi tp RiskCity 3E - 11
S khuch i trong t
S khuch i trong t c c tnh bng kt qu ca cc bc trc ,
c kt hp vi mt bn n gin v cc loi t. i vi mi loi t gi tr
khuch i chung t bng di y s c s dng (cc gi tr c tnh da theo
phng php RADIUS). Bn cng s quyt nh p dng cc gi tr ny, sau khi bn
bc.
Bng Cc loi t
M
M t
Tha s khuch i
0
Khng r
1.00
1
cng
0.55
2
mm
0.70
3
t trung bnh
1.00
4
t mm
1.30
Thng tin v t c th c ly t bn a cht (c gi l cc n v
a cht).
Bi tp RiskCity 3E - 12
MMI=1/0.3*(log10(PGA*980)-0.014)
To mt cng thc trong Mapcalc (s dng dng lnh) i vi vic chuyn t PGA
sang MNI v p dng iu ny cho bn PGA c tnh bn trn. t tn bn u
ra l: MNI
Phn loi bn MNI thnh cc lp ca 1 n v (v d. t 0.5-1.5 l lp 1, v.v)
Bi tp RiskCity 3E - 13
f0 =
Vs
4H
Bi tp RiskCity 3E - 14
L thuyt
nh hng nn t mm
S khuch tn trong t mm
Hin tng c bn chu trch nhim cho vic khuch tn vn ng trong cc tng trm
tch mm l vic by cc thn sng trong vt liu mm. iu ny c s tng phn tr
khng gia trm tch mm v gc. Tr khng ca vt liu c xc nh l:
I = Vs.
[1]
trong :
I = Tr khng, kg/m2.s
Vs = vn tc sng ct. m/s
= khi lng th tch, kg/m3
Vn tc sng ct l mt thng s ht sc quan trng trong k thut ng t. Bng trc
gic, yu t ny c th hiu rng mt loi t bn v cht ( hoc t vi vn tc sng ct
cao) hot ng khc bit di s rung lc do ng t. Vn tc sng cn ph thuc vo
module tng bin dng ca t. Module bin dng c th c xc nh trong iu kin
phng th nghim v mt vi mi quan h l thuyt v thc nghim tn ti gia vn tc
sng ct v module bin dng.
Gmax = .Vs2
[2]
trong :
= khi lng th tch, kg/cm3
Vs = vn tc sng ct, m/s
S tng phn trong tr khng xc nh tng nng lng sng c phn x khi sng a
chn qua mt ranh gii lp ni m c tnh vt liu thay i. iu ny c cng thc
ca Zoeppritz (Drijkoningen, 2000) a ra:
R = (I2-I1)/( I2+I1)
trong , R l h s phn x
[3]
Bi tp RiskCity 3E - 15
f0 =
Vs
4H
(c bn)
=
f n (2. n + 1). f 0
(m hc)
trong :
f0 , fn = tn s ca nh u tin v nh th n, Hz
Vs = vn tc sng ct, m/s
H = b dy ca lp t mm, m
Nh bn c th thy trong hnh 4.3.2, cc nh khuch tn c kch thc gim nhanh
chng do t m. Bi chnh iu ny, s khuch tn quan trng nht xy ra ti tn s c
bn. Tn s c bn hoc c tnh khu vc theo giai on c lin quan a ra mt ch s hu
dng ca tn s hoc chu k rung m ti s khuch tn quan trng nht k vng s t c.
Bi tp RiskCity 3E - 16
Chuyn ng b mt
Khi ln n b mt, sng a chn gy ra mt chuyn ng rung lc ti b mt
ny. Kha cnh quan trng nht ca chuyn ng ny l gia tc. Khi mt cu trc phi
chu mt gia tc nht nh, iu s to ra lc xy ra trn cu trc . c tnh vt l
ng sau hin tng ny c gii thch rt n gin bi nh lut 2 ca Newton:
F=m.a
trong :
F = lc, Newton N
m = khi lng vt th, kg
a = gia tc m i tng b tc dng, m/s2
[5]
fn =
1
2
k
M
[6]
Bi tp RiskCity 3E - 17
Phn loi c tnh khu vc theo giai on trong bn phn vng tai bin
Nu chu k t nhin ca mt ta nh tng ng vi chu k t nhin ca lp
ph ti khu vc , th ta nh ny s phi chu thit hi ln do tai bin gy ra.
iu ny c c do gia tc mt t ln l kt qu ca s cng hng trong t.
Bi tp RiskCity 3E - 18
Bng 1
Lp Building
Nmax
M t
Nh n tng
II
Nh n h
III
Vn phng, ta nh cn h
IV
20
>10
Cc ta nh cao tng
Chu k t
nhin (s)
Tn s t
nhin (Hz)
Day, R.W. 2001. Geotechnical Earthquake Engineering Handbook. McGrawHill, 700 pp.
Bi tp RiskCity 3E - 19
C s l thuyt
nh Pinatubo nm trn o Luzon, cch th Manila khong 80km v pha
ng Bc. Ni la ny, theo phng php nh tui K-Ar xp x 1.1 triu nm tui, v
vi phng php nh tui C14 tr nht khong 400 nm BP 1, l ni la tr nht
trong dy Zambales v trong vnh ai ni la min Ty Luzon.
BP = Before present, y l thang thi gian p dng cho kho c, a cht v.v. Mc present c ly l
ngy 1/1/1950. Ngha l 1500 BP = 1500 nm trc 1950 = 450 nm sau CN
Bi tp RiskCity 3V - 1
Bi tp RiskCity 3V -2
Hnh 3: php
Hnh trn:
Phng
lunMt ct ngang ch ra tin trnh xi mn nhanh chng ca trm tch
dng vn ni la; Hnh di: cc m hnh DEM cho cc giai on khc nhau c s
dng trong bi tp ny
Bi tp RiskCity 3V -3
Hin th m hnh s a hnh Dtmpre bng cch kch p vo biu tng trn
bn . Thay i vic trnh by v Pseudo. Nhp OK trong hp hi thoi
Display options. Bn s c hin th ngay trong mu pseudo, c ko
gin gia gi tr nh nht 140m v gi tr ln nht 1740.
Di chuyn con tr trn bn v nhp chut phi thy c gi tr trong
bn .
ng ca s bn li ln na.
H thng sng trc phun tro trong khu vc nghin cu bao gm hai h thng sng
chnh: Sacobia v Pasig. Lu vc sng ln nht l sng Sacobia c chia thnh cc
ph lu: Bc Sacobia thng (9.97 km2), Nam Sacobia thng (11.73 km2), v H
Sacobia (18.12 km2). Lu vc ln th hai l Pasig v n bao gm cc ph lu vc
sau: Bucbuc (5.95 km2), Yangca (4.55 km2), Papatak (6.46 km2), and Timbu (4.94
km2). Cc lu vc nh khc trong khu vc nghin cu l Abacan (2.54 km2), Taug
(6.60 km2), and Sapangbato (5.29 km2).
t nht 6 ln phun tro chnh thc c xc nh thng qua lch s hot ng ca nh
Pinatubo cng vi cc giai on ng yn hng th k hay hng thin nin k. V phun
tro tr nht, trc bin c nm 1991, c tui l 40070 nm BP. Ln phun tro
mnh nht c nh tui l x y ra trong giai on gia 30,390890 v 35,000
nm BP.
Ln phun tro kch pht ny to ra mt dng vn ni la dng qut rng khp trn
pha ng ca ni la
chim mt din tch
rng gp 5 ln trm
tch dng vn ni la
nm 1991. Cc trm
tch ging vi cc qut
rng ln kt thnh mt
khi rng ln t n
20km v pha ng ca
ni la. Cc trm tch
ny ty thuc vo mc
xi mn cao c
minh ha bng cc cu
trc rnh ct su phc
tp ti cc lu vc
Sapangtabo h, Taug
v Timbu. Cc trm
tch dng vn ni la
bn vng mt phn
vo cc ph lu vc sng ca cc sng Abacan, Sacobia v Pasig.
Dng vn ni la bt ngun trc nm 1991 c kh nng xi mn khc lit trong mt
ct thng lu li cc thung ng
l
su t i 200m. Ti cao gia 500 n 200 m
trn mc nc bin, trong khu vc gia sng Pasig v Sacobia, mc dng vn ni
la ny vn c th c nhn ra, hnh thnh mt qut rng ln, trong lu vc
Sapangbato thng. Cc trm tch dng bn ni la mnh mng, rng ln to nn cc
dng a hnh qut aluvi rng ln xung quanh ni la, n che ph phn ln cc khu
vc bn di v hnh thnh nn nhng khu vc nng nghip mu m.
phun tro ca sng Sacobia m c tiu thot qua thung lng sng Abacan, trn
qua ph hy thnh ph Angeles.
Mt bin i ct yu khc trong h thng thy vn din ra trong sng Pasig,
ni m mt ct ca pha Bc lu vc sng Sacobia thng trc khi phun tro c
bt li, v th s m rng ca lu vc trc phun tro ca sng Pasig trn ng phn
thy. Ni y c cc trm tch dng vn ni la che ph dy n 80m. Hn th
na, hin tng cp dng h lu din ra trong khu vc thng ngun ca nhanh
Timbu, bt vo sng Pasig chnh.
u tin, bn hy tnh ton cc thay i trong lu vc c hnh thnh t s
tch t ca trm tch dng vn ni la.
Sacobia
Pasig
Abacan
Taug
Sapangbato Tng
cng
Sacobia
Pasig
Abacan
Taug
Sapangbato
Tng cng
Hnh: Biu mt ct giao nhau ch ra trng thi sau khi phun tro
Bn c th tr hai bn tm ra dy ca dn vn ni la PF:
Pfthick=Dtmerp-Dtmpre.
Gi tr dng trong bn kt qu chng minh khu vc tch t. Gi tr m chng t
ni ming ni la c hnh thnh.
Bi tp RiskCity 3V -8
Bi tp RiskCity 3V -9
Sacobia
Pasig
Abacan
Sacobia
Pasig
Abacan
Taug
Sapangbato
Tng cng
Bi tp RiskCity 3V -10
Taug
Sapangbato Tng
cng
Hnh 3: S mt ct giao nhau ch ra trng thi sau ma ma u tin sau khi phun tro
Cc tnh ton c a ra di y dn xut ra dy ca vt liu b ra tri:
Tng lng xi mn
Ero91=iff(Dtm91<Dtmerp,Dtmerp-Dtm91,0)
Xi mn trong trm tch dng vn ni la:
Eropf91= iff((Ero91>0)and(Dtm91>Dtmpre),DtmerpDtm91,iff((Ero91>0)and(Dtm91<Dtmpre),Dtmerp-Dtmpre,0))
Xi mn trong cc trm tch khc:
Eroot91=iff((Ero91>0)and(Dtm91<Dtmpre),Dtmpre-Dtm91,0)
Lng trmtch nm 1991:
Sed91=iff(Dtm91>Dtmerp,Dtm91-Dtmerp,0)
Vt liu dng vn ni la cn li trong nm 1991:
Pfth91=iff(Dtm91>Dtmerp,Dtmerp-Dtmpre, iff(Dtm91<Dtmpre,0,Dtm91Dtmpre))
hoc
Pfth91=(Dtm91-Dtmpre)-Sed91
v ch s dng cc gi tr dng
Bi tp RiskCity 3V -11
Bi tp RiskCity 3V -12
Bi tp RiskCity 3V -13
Sacobia
Pasig
Abacan
Taug
Sapangbato Tng
cng
Sacobia
Pasig
Abacan
Taug
Sapangbato
Tng cng
Vic tnh ton chnh xc thu c lng xi
mn, tch t v dng vn cn st li trong nm
1992 khng c a ra ti y na, m bn phi
t mnh thnh lp cng thc .
Hnh 4:Biu mt ct giao nhau a ra
trng thi sau ma ma th hai sau phun
tro
Bi tp RiskCity 3V -14
Tng lng xi mn
Ero92=
Xi mn trong trm tch dng vn ni la:
Eropf92=
Xi mn trong cc trm tch khc:
Eroot92=
Lng trmtch nm 1992:
Sed92=
Vt liu dng vn ni la cn li trong nm 1992:
Pfth92=
nht 20m trm tch dng vn th cp nng bng. Bin c khng li ming ni la
th cp r rng do s xi mn tip sau xy ra mnh m, m to ra cc thung
l ng
bng phng rng ln. Hin tng bt dng x y ra trong trn bo Kadiang. Thi
im tng i ca s bt dng c th ti xy dng bng cch hay i ln dng
bn ca c hai knh c xc nh bng cc cm bin m hc trong cc trm gim
st dng bn.
Do l kt qu ca hin tng bt dng ca phn trn ca lu vc sng Sacobia, hin
tng xi mn trong sng Pasia tng ln nhanh chng. Qu trnh xi mn th ng ng
v hai bn sn din ra nhanh chng trong cc trm tch dng vn, vn cn nng
bng, to nn s lng ln cc phun n th cp dc theo sng Pasig. Ti phn thp
hn ca sng Sacobia, cc thung ng
l
b khot su ng k vo trong cc trm tch
dng vn t ti vch thung lng thng ng ti khong 50-80m.
Mc dng vn pha trn gi y b ra la hon ton, v mc th sinh cn st
li ch phn pha ng ca lu vc. Trong cc mc thm thp hn hin tng xi
mn t n nm di trm tch dng vn trc nm 1991 ti mt vi a im.
Kh nng ngn gia nc ca h tm thi gi m i ng k do s lng ng ca
dng bn vo trong nhnh sng Yangca. Cc h khng b ph hy ln xy ra trong
sut nm 1993, t khi p dng bn ti nhnh Yangca b v, to nn cc dng bn
ch yu trong thng lu lu vc Pasig.
Gi y bn c th tnh ton s bin i trong lu vc l kt qu t s tch t cc
trm tch dng vn ni la.
Sau ma ma th hai
nm 1992
Pasig
Abacan
Taug
Sapangbato Tng
cng
Sacobia
Pasig
Abacan
Taug
Sapangbato
Tng cng
Bi tp RiskCity 3V -16
Bi tp la chn
Tham kho
Daag, A. and Van Westen, C.J. (1996). Cartographic modelling of erosion in
pyroclastic flow deposits of Mount Pinatubo, Philippines. ITC Journal 1996-2: 110-124.
Pierson, T.C., Janda, R.J., Umbal, J.V. and Daag, A.S. (1992). Immediate and Long
Term Hazards from Lahars and Excess Sedimentation in Rivers Draining Mt.
Pinatubo, Philippines. United States Geological Water Survey Resources
Investigation Report 92-4039. USGS Vancouber, Washington, 35pp.
Punongbayan, R.S., Tungol, N.M., Arboleda, R.A., DelosReyes, P.J., Isada, M.,
Martinez, M.L., Melosantos, M.L.P., Puertollano, J., Regalado, T.M., Solidum,
R.U., Tubianosa, B.S., Umbal, J.V., Alfonso, R.A. and Remotique, C.T. (1993).
Impacts of the 1993 Lahars and Long-Term Lahar hazards and Risks Around
Pinatubo Volcano. Philippine Institute of Volcanology and Seismology
(PHIVOLCS). PHIVOLCS publication, Quezon City, 72 pp.
Bi tp RiskCity 3V -17
Bng tr li
Cc tai bin ni la ti nh Pinatubo
<Cha hon thin>
Cc cng thc c s dng trong bi tp ny l:
Pfth91:=iff(Dtm91>Dtmerp,Dtmerp-Dtmpre,iff(Dtm91<Dtmpre,0,Dtm91Dtmpre))
Bi tp RiskCity 3V -18
Bi tp RiskCity 3V -19
Bi tp RiskCity 3V -20
S dng hai cng thc i vi Eroot92 v Eropf92, nu bn kim tra kt qu, hai bn
vi nhau v sau khi tr bn kt qu cho xi mn tng cng, nh bn thy trong
nh c mt vi khu vc tt c DEM (tr nm 1992) c cng gi tr. iu ny ngha l
sau dng vn. Vi l do ny ti quyt nh ci thin cng thc trnh by trong
trang trc i vi Eroot92, vi sau y:
Eroot92:= iff((Ero92>0)and(Dtm92<Dtmpre)and(Dtm91>Dtmpre),DtmpreDtm92,iff((Ero92>0)and(Dtm92<Dtmpre)and(Dtm91<=Dtmpre),Dtm91Dtm92,0))
Vn l nh vy nhng vi <=.
Sed92:=iff(Dtm92>Dtm91,Dtm92-Dtm91,0)
Pfth92:=iff(Dtm92>Dtmerp,Dtmerp-Dtmpre,iff(Dtm92<Dtmpre,0,Dtm92Dtmpre))
4.6. Trng thi sau ma ma th ba
Ero93:=iff(Dtm93<Dtm92,Dtm92-Dtm93,0)
Eroot93:=iff((Ero93>0)and(Dtm92<=Dtmpre)and(Dtm93<Dtmpre),Dtm
92Dtm93,iff((Ero93>0)and(Dtm92>Dtmpre)and(Dtm93<Dtmpre),DtmpreDtm93,0))
Eropf93:=iff((Ero93>0)and(Dtm93>Dtmpre),Dtm92Dtm93,iff((Ero93>0)and(Dtm93<Dtmpre)and(Dtm92>Dtmpre),Dtm92Dtmpre,0))
Sed93:=iff(Dtm93>Dtm92,Dtm93-Dtm92,0)
Pfth93:=iff(Dtm93>Dtmerp,Dtmerp-Dtmpre,iff(Dtm93<Dtmpre,0,Dtm93Dtmpre))
Ton b kt qu c lu trong bng Total
Bi tp RiskCity 3V -21
Trong bi tp ny bn
thn chng ta gii hn
n hng trn: nh ca
v dn c. iu ny l
do s hn ch thi gian
ca bi tp. Cng bi
trong thc t y l cc
yu t c xem xt u
tin. Tuy nhin, mt
php nh gi ri ro
hon chnh cng phi
nn nh gi cc tc
ng trc tip v gin
tip ca cc dng khc
ca cc yu t chu ri
ro.
Dn c
Mt dn c, s phn b theo
khng gian, thi gian, phn b
tui, phn b gii, ngi tn tt,
phn b thu nhp
Bi tp RiskCiy 4A - 1
D liu u vo
D liu o vo sau y a ra mt ci nhn khi qut v d liu chuyn v
chng c dn xut nh th no.
Tn
D liu nh
Loi
ngha
High_res_image
nh raster
Bn
raster
D liu nh gi
Geology_country
Cc yu t chu ri ro
Unit_boundaries
Mapping_units_
points
Bn
segmet
Bn
im
Mapping_units
Bn
polygon v
bng
Building_map
Bn
raster
Building_map_
segments
Wards
Bn
segment
Bn
polygon
Roads
Bn
segment
Bi tp RiskCiy 4A - 2
S ha cc n v bn
Nh cp trn, chng ta nghin cu ri ro da trn cc n v bn ,
bao gm mt lot nh ca, vi t nhiu cng mt dng s dng t. Trong bi tp,
chng ta s tp trung vo thnh lp bn cc n v c bn cho vic nh gi ri ro
trong th.. C hai file trong c s d liu l quan trng nht thc hin iu ny
l :
Unit boundaries: bn ny bao gm cc ng ranh gii ca
bn n v s c s dng l n v c s i vi cc yu t chu
ri ro. iu ny c lm thng quan s ha nh phn gii cao. Cc
segment ca dng ng ph c s dng lm c s cho vic s ha.
Mapping_units: Cc polygon ny a ra cc n v bn
c dng thnh lp bn cc yu t chu ri ro, nhng hin gi
l dng polygons. Mi mt n v bn c mt h s xc nh duy
nht, trong bng kt hp, thng tin c th c lu cho mi n v.
Cc n v c th l cc ta nh ln ring bit hoc cc mnh t vi
s dng t c th, mc d hu ht chng l cc nhm nh ca.
Chng ta bt u s ha thc s mnh ca n v bn . C th thc hin theo 3
cch sau:
Bi tp RiskCiy 4A - 3
M bn raster High_res_image.
Trn menu Layerm vo Add Layer v chn bn segment Unit_boundaries.
Gi y bn c th thy cc mnh ca cc n v bn khc nhau trong khu vc
nghin cu. Nh bn thy hu ht cc n v bn u c gii hn bi ng
ph
Bn cng c th thy c hai khu vc c phc ha bng mt ng dy m vn
khng c cc bin n v: mt trung tm thnh ph v mt gn sng. Hy
phng to mt phn ca trung tm thnh ph, c minh ha bng ng mu ta.
Bn c th thy cc n v bn vn thiu.
Trong ca s bn ca High_res_image hy chn Edit/ Edit layer v chn bn
mnh Unit_boundaries
Bn c th thy
khng phi lc
no cng d dng
s ha n v bn
, bi cc ta
nh khng cng
mt kch thc,
v bng ca
chng ng mt
vai tr quan trng
Hy bo m rng cc ng c t m: Unit_boudaries
Khi bn hon thnh s ha mt mnh, hy chn mnh vi biu tng Select Mode (hnh bn
tay) v chn lp chnh xc. Tip theo hy chn biu tng Insert Mode (hnh bt ch) v s
ha mnh sau .
Bi tp RiskCiy 4A - 4
Sau khi hon thnh (mt phn) vic s ha, hy vo menu File v chn Check
Segments. Select Self Overlap. Hy sa cha li. Hy hi gio vin bn c tr
gip trong ln u tin, nu bn cha c kinh nghim thc hin.
Sau kim tra cc segment s dng Dead Ends, and Intersections. Hy sa ton
b cc li.
ng ca s map edior, v ng bn li.
So snh kt qu ca vic s ha vi cc bn ca bn
Polygon ha t cc mnh
Bi tp RiskCiy 4A - 5
Hy m domain Landuse (
)
Hy kim tra cc lp khc nhau, v bn bc vi ngi trong nhm d bn c
mun kt lun cc lp khc hay khng
Trong bng di y, hy minh h a tm quan trng ca cc lp i vi c tnh
dn c v kh nng d b tn thng cho xy dng.
Tn
Com_business
Com_hotel
Com_market
Com_shop
lnd_hazardous
lnd_industries
lnd_waterhouse
lns_fire
lns_hospital
lns_office
lns_poilce
lns_school
Pub_cemetery
M
Com_b
Com_h
Com_m
Com_s
lnd_h
lnd_i
lnd_w
lns_f
lns_h
lns_o
lns_p
lns_s
Pub_g
M t
Vn phng kinh doanh
Khch sn
Khu vc thng mi: khu vc ch
Cc ca hng thng mi v siu th
Cc kho hoc nh xng cha vt liu nguy him
Cc khu cng nghip
Kho hng v phn xng
i cu ha
Bnh vin
Ta nh vn phng
n cnh st
C quan: trng hc
Ngha trang
Bi tp RiskCiy 4A - 6
Pub_cutural
pub_c
Pub_electricity
pub_e
Pub_religious
pub_r
Rec_flat_area
rec_f
Rec_park
rec_p
Rec_stadium
rec_s
Res_large
rec_5
Res_mod_single rec_4
Res_multi
rec_3
Res_small_single rec_2
Res_squatter
rec_1
River
Riv
Khng xc nh
U
Vac_car
vac_c
Trng khng: im xe v nh ch xe bus
Vac_construction vac_u
Khu vc trng khng c chun b cho xy dng
Vac_damaged
vac_d
Khu vc gn y b thit hi do cc bin c tai bin
Vac_shrubs
vac_s
t trng vi cy bi, cy v c
Sau khi th c hin iu ny, chng ta hy xem xt k hn b n Mapping_units
v bn c th xc nh loi s dng t no bng vic gii on cc c im ca
nh.
Trong thc t, bn s
phi tin hnh cng
vic thc a m t
s dng t th tt
hn, hoc bn c th
c mt bn s
dng t ang tn ti.
Tuy nhin cc dng
ny thng qu chung
chung v mt danh
mc c s dng
Dng s dng t
c im nh m bn s dng
phn loi cc lp s dng t
c tnh s lng nh ca
S lng nh ca trn mt n v bn cng l mt thuc tnh ht sc quan
trng rt cn cho nh gi ri ro. Vic c tnh s lng cc ta nh trn mt n v
bn c thc hin theo hai cch, xem xt trng thi ca mi trng ngho d
liu:
Mt cch chnh xc l tnh ton thc s s lng nh ca i vi ton b n v
bn t nh c phn gii cao. Tuy nhin, iu ny tn mt lng thi gian
khng l v cng khng c kh thi.
Mt cch t chnh xc hn l to mt s lng mu trn cc n v bn i
vi mi mt dng s dng t v tnh c s lng nh ca. Sau kch
thc xy dng trung bnh c tnh ton, v i vi cc n v bn ni
Bi tp RiskCiy 4A - 8
M bng buildings_sampled
Bi tp RiskCiy 4A - 9
M bng buildings_sampled.
Bc A: S dng cng thc sau y tnh ton kch thc nh ca trong
n v bn , trong mu c ly ra.
building_size:=iff(buildings_sampled=0,0,area/ buildings_sampled)
chnh xc l 1.
Cng thc ny c ngh
a l N u gi tr trong ct buiding_sampled bng 0
(ngha l khu vc trng v khng c nh ca) th sau kch th c nh ca
bng 0. Nu khng chia khu vc bng s lng mu cc ta nh. Gi y i
vi tt c cc n v bn c ly mu chng ta va tnh kch thc nhl
bao nhiu.
Bc B: Gi chng ta mun bit kch c trung bnh ta nh trn s dng t. Chn
Columns / Aggregation. Chn ct Building_size, v hm Average. Group by:
Pred_landuse. t tn ct u ra: avg_building_size. Hy em v d trn mn hnh
Cc hm kt hp
Cc hm ny kt hp cc gi tr ca mt ct trong bng hin thi. Cc
hm kt hp sau y l sn c: Average, Count, Maximum, Median,
Minimum, Predominant,
Standard deviation, Sum
Ton b cc hm kt hp c th c s dng hp nht cc
gi tr ca ton b ct: bn thu c mt gi tr u ra. i vi
tt c bn ghi, cc gi tr kt hp nh nhau cng hin th
Cc hm kt hp c th c s dng kt hp cc gi tr
trong mt ct trn nhm: s dng ct group by. Sau , i
vi ton b bn ghi c cng tn lp hoc ID trong ct group
by c chn, gi tr kt hp s xut hin.
Cc hm Average, Median, Minimum, Predominant, Standard
deviation c th c s dng tnh trung bnh trng s: s
dng mt ct trng s.
Nu bn khng chn ct group by, bn s thu c mt gi tr
u ra.
Bi tp RiskCiy 4A - 10
Bi tp RiskCiy 4A - 11
c tnh phn b dn s
c tnh ca chng ti
Ngi/nh Bui ngy
20
1
100
0.1
1000
1
10
1
10
1
25
1
20
1
25
1
800
1
100
1
50
1
300
1
0
0
200
0
0
0
500
1
0
0
0
0
20000
0
5
0.2
6
0.2
20
0.2
6
0.2
7
0.3
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
Bui m
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
1
1
0
1
0
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
1
1
1
1
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
c tnh ca bn
Ngi/nh Bui ngy
Bui m
Bi tp RiskCiy 4A - 13
Tr li:
C s phn chia dn
s chnh xc nu bn
so snh ban ngy vi
ban m khng? u
l l do? Lm th no
ci thin c iu
ny?
Giai on
Ban ngy
Ban m
S khc bit
Tng s dn
?183779-143379
p n
Bi tp RiskCiy 4A - 14
4a.1.2
Tn dng s
Quan trng l do
Bi tp RiskCiy 4A - 15
dng t
Com_business
Com_hotel
lnd_hazardous
lnd_industries
lnd_waterhouse
lns_fire
lns_hospital
lns_office
lns_poilce
Vac_car
Vac_construction
Vac_damaged
Vac_shrubs
Tr li:
Dng s dng t
Nh th
Vac_shrubs
Nh th
Khu nhp c
Nh th
Khu nhp c ln
Bi tp RiskCiy 4A - 17
Ngha trang
Cng vin
c tnh ca chng ti
Ngi/nh Bui ngy
20
1
100
0.1
1000
1
10
1
10
1
25
1
20
1
25
1
800
1
100
1
50
1
300
1
0
0
200
0
0
0
500
1
0
0
0
0
20000
0
5
0.2
6
0.2
20
0.2
6
0.2
Bui m
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
1
1
0
1
0
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
1
1
1
1
c tnh ca bn
Ngi/nh Bui ngy
15 1
200 0.2
00 1
20 1
30 0.8
50 0.8
10 0.8
35 0.9
1000 1
60 1
60 1
300 1
20 1
150 0.5
0 0
400 1
20 1
15 1
15000 1
4 0.1
5 0.2
20 0.1
5 0.2
Bi tp RiskCiy 4A - 18
Bui m
0
0.9
0
0
0.1
0.1
0
0.4
0.8
0
0.2
0
0
1
0
0
0.1
0.1
0
1
1
1
1
7
0
0
0
0
0
0
0.3
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
8
0
0
10
5
0
2
Tr li:
y khng phi l s
phn chia dn c
chnh xc v cc kt
qu u da vo vic
c tnh dn c trn
cc lp s dng t.
iu ny c th c
ci thin chnh sa cc
c tnh ny (v d
trong cng mt cch
nh a ra trong bng
trc). Cch tt nht
ci thin s phn
b dn c l bit c
s liu thc, v d t
iu tra dn s
Giai on
Ban ngy
Ban m
S khc bit
Tng s dn
143363
182779
40400
Bi tp RiskCiy 4A - 19
0.4
0
0
1
1
0
1
1
0
0
0.1
0
0
0
Vic nh gi ri ro
vi GIS c th c
thc hin da trn
phng trnh c bn
sau:
Risk = Hazard *
Vulnerability *
Amount of
elements at risk
Ri ro = Tai
bin*Kh nng d
b tn
thng*Lng
cc yu t chu
ri ro.
Trong bi tp ny
bn thn chng ta
gii hn n hng
trn: nh ca v
dn c. iu ny l
do s hn ch thi
gian ca bi tp.
Cng bi trong thc
t y l cc yu t
c xem xt u
tin. Tuy nhin, mt
php nh gi ri ro
hon chnh cng
phi nn nh gi
cc tc ng trc
tip v gin tip ca
cc dng khc ca
cc yu t chu ri
ro.
Cc yu t vt cht
Nh ca: s dng t th, cc
dng xy dng, chiu cao nh ca,
tui th cng trnh, tng khng gian
sn, chi ph di chuyn.
Cc cng trnh k nim v di sn vn
ha
Cc phng tin ti quan trng
Dn c
Mt dn c, s phn b theo
khng gian, thi gian, phn b tui,
phn b gii, ngi tn tt, phn b
thu nhp
H thng truyn dn
Cung cp nc, cung cp in, cung
cp gas, thng tin lin lc, mng
in thoi di ng, h thng cht
thi.
C mt vi l do ti
sao s khc bit cao
bn ch ra s
khc bit thng qua
bn nh ca
khng h cha nh
ca.
iu ngc li cng
c th ng:
c cc khu vc ni
m bn nh ca
ch ra mt ton nh
nhng ti s
khc bit hu nh
bng 0
Tr li:
X
L do kh thi
Cc kt qu ca hm kt hp thng khng c lu
trong cng mt bng, bi cc gi tr c tnh ton cho
ct bng cch bn nhm cc d liu (trong trng hp
ny Mapping_units). Vy nn chng ta s lu cc kt
qu trong mt bng mi m chng ta thnh lp c
domain Mapping_units, v c th c lin kt vi bn
Mapping_units. Hy nh l cc n v bn l cc
n v c s cho vic nh gi ri ro. Chng ta s tnh cc
s kt hp sau y:
S lng nh ca trn mt n v bn
u tin l tng din tch trn n v bn . Chn Columns, Aggregation. Trong ca s va xut
hin, chn cc ty chn sau: Column: Area, Function: Sum, Group by: Mapping_units,
Output_table: Mapping_units_attributes, Output_clumn: Total_vacant_area.
Tip theo l tng din tch t trng trn n v bn . Chn Columns, Aggregation. Trong ca
s va xut hin, chn cc ty chn sau: Column: Areravacant, Funtion: sum, Group by:
Mapping_units, Output_table: Mapping_units_attributes, Output_column:
Total_vacant_area.
Tip na l kch c trung bnh ca nh ca trn n v bn . Chn Columns, Aggregation.
Trong ca s va xut hin, chn cc ty chn sau: Column: Area_building, Funtion:
Average, Group by: Mapping_units, Output_table: Mapping_units_attributes,
Output_column: Avg_Size.
Cui cng l lng nh ca trn n v bn . Chn Columns, Aggregation. Trong ca s va
xut hin, chn cc ty chn sau: Column: Area_building, Funtion: Average, Group by:
Mapping_units, Output_table: Mapping_units_attributes, Output_column: Nr_buildings.
M bng Mapping_units_attributes v kim tra kt qu m bn tnh ton. C bao nhiu
ngi nh trong khu vc ny
Kch c nh
Tr li
tnh ton phn trm din tch t trng trn mt n v bn , chng ta c th dng
php tnh n gin trong bng Mapping_units_attributes:
Percvacant:= Total_vacant_area /Total_area
Trc khi chng ta lm nhiu vic hn vi d liu ny chng ta mun n gin ha bn cao khc
nhau. Khi chng ta ch quan tm n cc khu vc c cc ta nh, ta c th che s khc bit trn ton b
cc khu vc khc. Lm vic vi s lng sn c ng tt hn thay v v i cao thc t ca ta nh. i u
ny lm cho cc hot ng khc tr nn d hn.
tnh ton s lng sn chng ta chia i tng cao
Chng ta coi ca trung bnh ca 1 tng nh ca mi
bng chiu cao sn trung bnh, t ta thu c s lng
kiu nh ca l 3 mt. S c s khc gia cc ngi nh
sn. Chng ta gi s ti y chiu cao sn trung bnh l 3m.
nhng ch c th lm chnh cc hn sau khi i thc a
Bng cch tnh ton biu ca bn Nr_floors bn nh gi c bao nhiu khu vc c 1,2,3 hoc
nhiu tng. Chng ta cn bit s lng ta nh trn mt n v bn trong khu vc vi mt lp ca s
lng sn. iu ny quan trng cho c hai php nh gi ri ro ng t v l lt , v i vi vic nh
gi dn c.
Chng ta c th lm iu bng cch thnh lp ct Boolean (0 hoc 1), ni m mi mt ct biu din
mt gi tr ca s lng sn c th. Sau ta c th tnh c gi tr
Phng php ny
gi nh l mt ngi
nh c s tng c
nh v khng c
to cc phn c
cao khc. V d nh
hin nh
cao nh
S lng
Phn trm
1 tng
2 tng
3 tng
3-10 tng
>10 tng
cao ln nht
.. tng
Ch l c th ghp
mt bng vi mt
biu , bi v biu
, nh gii
thch, c to ra
nh mt phn th
v mt phn ca
bng
Gi chng ta c thng tin chiu cao v khng gian sn trn mt ta nh, nhng chng ta mu n kt hp
iu ny i vi cc n v bn . Chng ta ch c th thc hin iu ny bng cch s dng mt bng
bao gm c hai domain ca n v bn v domain ca cc ta nh.
y l b
ng giao
mapping_units_building m chng ta lm bi tp trc. Nu bn ny khng sn c, bn phi
giao bn mapping_units v bn building_map trc.
Ti sao chng ta
li s dng lnh
Average cho s
lng nh v Sum
cho khng gian
sn
ID n v bn
Tng s sn
S dng hm Sum tnh tng din tch ca cc nh 1,2,3 v nhiu hn 3 tng trn mt
n v bn , v lu kt qu trong bng Mapping_units_buildings
Thc vt
Altitude_dif
Trt l
478037
1558840
L do kh d
476814
1559954
-1.5
Vch trt l
476593
1561467
9.9
Thc vt
477391
1559095
8.7
Cu
479047
1558249
7.2
Nh mi xy
478183
1558158
-2.8
Vch trt l
476323
1560542
-2.1
Vch trt l
L lt ph hy nh ca
Tr li
29679
26551
3128
Trong bng
landuse, c 2 ct
mi c to:
Avg_size_building
v
Std_deviation_build
ing.
Nr_floors
Bn nh ca
Tng nh
Tng s nh = 29238
cao ngi nh
S lng
1 tng
2 tng
3 tng
3-10 tng
>10 tng
5878
11681
7644
3543
29
cao ln nht
18tng
Phn trm
tng s
20.10
39.95
26.14
12.12
0.10
Nh bn bit, tng s
nh nh hn khng ng
k vi gi tr trong bi
tp 3.2.1. Xut hin sai
s ny l bi v cc ngi
nh thp hn 3m khng
c tnh
Ti sao bn li s dng hm Average cho s lng tng nh v hm Sum cho khng gian sn?
C nhng kt qu sai do khi ta tnh ton cc tng nh (Floors) (s lng tng trn mt ngi nh), chng
ta s dng hm Sum trong tp hp ny.
Bng di y ch ra mt s v d v nhng gi nh sai v khng ph hp vi thc t.
ID ca n v bn
Nr_1115 (stadium)
13
371514
nh gi qu cao s
lng tng trung bnh
Nr_1061 (flat_park)
10784
Nr_717 (pub_cemetery)
1212
y l ni chn ct
Nr_331 (river)
6971
Gi tr ny l ca ngi
nh gn vi sng
Loi
ngha
High_res_image
Raster
Airphoto_1998_ortho
Raster
Bng
Mt bn im vi cc v tr ca cc cuc phng vn
c tin hnh i vi 200 nh, trong 100 nh vng
ngp l, 100 trn sn dc.
Bng vi cc kt qu chnh ca bi tp thnh lp bn
Participatory. Bng ny bao gm cc ct lin quan n
thuc tnh nh ca, c tnh dn c, thit hi trt l t
v khi phc cc kch bn l lt.
Bn
segmet
Bn su l lt l kt qu t m hnh l lt nghin
cu cho cc kch bn vi chu k lp li 100, 50 v 10 nm
Bn
polygon
D liu l lt
Flood_100y, Flood50y,
Flood_10y
D liu khc
Buildings
Buildings_situation_1997
Bn
segment
Bi tp RiskCity 4C - 1
Thm bn im PGIS_Location.
M Pixel infomation v thm bn PGIS_Location.
Hy kim tra mt s im ca bn PGIS_Location v thng
tin thuc tnh ca chng, lu trong bng PGIS_survey.
Hy hin th mt vi thuc tnh s dng ca s display options
M bng PGIS_survey.
Bi tp RiskCity 4C - 2
ngha
Tc dng
Landuse
Area_building
Nr_floors
S lng sn
Building_type
Dng nh ca
c dng nh gi kh nng
d b tn thng vt cht
D liu dn c
Nr_adults
S lng ngi t 18 n 60
nh gi c tnh dn c v kh
nng tn thng ca x hi
Nr_old_people
Nr_children
Nr_households
S lng h trn mt nh
Nr_people_daytime
Nr_people_nighttime
Workers
Livelihood
nh gi kh nng tn thng
ca dn c i vi cc kch bn
thi gian khc nhau
c tnh thit hi kinh t
D liu trt l t
Landslide_damage
D liu l lt
Remember_Flood_100y
Remember_Flood_50y
Remember_Flood_10y
Damage_Flood
Thnh lp bn trt l
Cc lp cao mc nc m ngi ta cn nh
c, i vi bin c nm 1998 chu k lp li l 100
nm
Cc lp cao mc nc m ngi ta cn nh
c, i vi bin c nm 1993 chu k lp li l 50
nm
Cc lp cao mc nc m ngi ta cn nh
c, i vi bin c nm 2007 chu k lp li l 10
nm
Mc thit hi c tnh i vi cc ta nh v
thnh phn i vi bin c l lt nm 1998, c
tnh bng s ngi c phng vn
Bi tp RiskCity 4C - 3
Gch sng
tng
Gch bn
Gch XM
BTCT
Gch sng
tng
Gch bn
Gch XM
BTCT
Com_shop
Ins_school
Res_mod_single
Res_multi
Res_small_single
Res_squatter
Vac_Damaged
1 tng
2 tng
3 tng
4 tng
5 tng
> 5 tng
Bi tp RiskCity 4C - 5
Bi tp RiskCity 4C - 6
ph
4. Cc cng nhn k
nng cao v c lp
M t
Nhng ngi ch lao ng cn sc khe v lao ng chn tay hn l k
nng v c o to. Nhm ngh ny bao gm cc hot ng ra v cp
thp thng l ngoi tri, i khi trn cc n v di ng (bao gm t v
xe p) v thng din ra gn khu dn c v di chuy n qu tn km. Cc
cng vic ny c thu nhp hng ngy vi lng bp bnh v khng c quy
nh v nhy cm cao vi iu kin thi tit v l lt. Nhng hot ng tm
thy trong khu vc nghin cu v c phn thnh cc nhm tng
ng: mang vc hng ha, ngi iu vn xe la, sn xut v ng gi
thc phm
Tng ng vi mt nhm lao ng khng chuyn vi k nng hoc kin
thc c bit; cng vic ny nhn cc dch v v lao ng hng ngy,
thng l ngi lm ngh t do, khng c hp ng v quyn li chnh
thc. Cc dch v c thc hin n tng nh hoc ti nh cng nhn v
thng tr thu nhp bp bnh v khng quy tc. Nhng hot ng c
thc hin bi mt nhm cng nhn nhy cm vi cao vi iu kin thi tit
v l lt (xem Hnh). Tuy nhin mt vi ngi trong s h tr cc quyn li
cao hn sau bo v lt trong qu trnh phc hi.
Bao gm cc cng nhn c knng/ c o to thng lm trong iu
kin chnh thc cho cc doanh nghip va v ln, cc ca hng v khu
cng nghip. Hp ng di hn hoc ngn hn tr cho h thu nhp n
nh, thm ch trong sut trn bo hay
l l t; du vy vn khng phi l
tin lng cao.
Bao gm i hc v cc cng nhn c k nng cao v chuyn su h u ht
thi gian h thc hin vic kinh doanh ca mnh hoc c hp th t c
quan chnh ph v khu cng nghip. Thu nhp ca h n nh v u n
v khng chu nh hng ca thi tit, l lt hay bo
Nhm ny c m t bng cc n v gia nh nhn s h tr v kinh t
t ngun ngoi hoc tr cp. Ngi thn lao ng ngoi nc hoc trong
cc thnh ph ln (v d Manila) lun cung cp s h tr bng cch gi
tin hng thng nui sng gia nh t i Naga. Tin gi t cc lao
ng ngoi c xu hng u n v thng c tng ln gip gia
nh h trong cc ln l lt hay bo
Bi tp RiskCity 4C - 7
Tng s ngi
Khng gian sn
trung bnh/ngi
Ban ngy
Ban m
Gi y ta s tnh ton khng gian sn trn ngi trn nh trong sut ban ngy v
ban m.
Trong bng PGIS_survey, hy tnh khng gian sn/ngi ban ngy s dng
phng trnh:
Floorspace_person_day:=Floorspace/nr_people_daytime
(hy chc chn h s chnh xc bng 0.1)
Floorspace_person_night:=Floorspace/nr_people_nighttime
Hy kim tra kt qu ca bn. Dng s dng t no c khng gian
sn/ngi thp nht? Ghi ch xung di 5 dng .
Bi tp RiskCity 4C - 8
Dng s dng t
Thng tin v khng gian sn trn ngi i vi cc kch bn ban ngy v ban m gi
l trung bnh trn dng s dng t. Cc kt qu c lu trong bng Landuse. Sau
ta c th m rng thng tin ny trn phn cn li ca khu vc, i vi cc ta nh
cng dng s dng t.
Tn
Com_business
Com_hotel
Com_market
Com_shop
lnd_hazardous
lnd_industries
lnd_waterhouse
lns_fire
lns_hospital
lns_office
lns_poilce
M t
Bi tp RiskCity 4C - 9
lns_school
Pub_cemetery
Pub_cutural
Pub_electricity
Pub_religious
Rec_flat_area
Rec_park
Rec_stadium
Res_large
Res_mod_single
Res_multi
Res_small_single
Res_squatter
River
Khng xc nh
Vac_car
Vac_construction
Vac_damaged
Vac_shrubs
C quan: trng hc
Ngha trang
C quan: cc ta nh vn ha chng
hn bo tng, nh ht
H thng in
Cc cng trnh tn gio chng hn nh
th, n cha
Gii tr: khu vc bng phng hoc sn
bng
Gii tr: khu vc cng vin
Gii tr: sn vn ng
Dn c: cc ngi nh ln
Dn c: cc h gia nh trung bnh
Dn c: t hp cc ta nh
Dn c: cc h gia nh nh
Dn c: cc ngi nh tng lp thp:
khu vc nhp c
Sng
Trng khng: im xe v nh ch xe
bus
Khu vc trng khng c chun b cho
xy dng
Khu vc gn y b thit hi do cc bin
c tai bin
t trng vi cy bi, cy v c
Dng s dng t
Khu vc dn nhp c
S lng nh
Bi tp RiskCity 4C - 11
Bi tp RiskCity 4C - 12
Mt trong nhng T chc phi chnh ph ang hot ng tch cc trong khu vc ln cn
cng vi c dn a phng gip h trong vic kim sot cc vn trt l
t. H thc hin iu ny bng cch s dng cc cch tip cn sau y:
T chc mt vi cuc hi tho vi a phng hiu v bn bc v cc
vn trt l t v chng nh hng nh th no n cuc sng hng
ngy.
Mt y ban khn cp c thnh lp vi hu ht cc thnh vin hot
ng n t cng ng. Hn 70% h l n. H c kin thc a phng
tt do l ngi ang sng trong khu vc, v cc vn ang xy ra. H
c o to cung cp s tr gip c bn n nhng ngi dn a
phng, v d trong trng hp cc vn y t v vi s sinh . Khi khu
vc qu dc, trong sut ma ma, khng th i li c trn cc con
ng dc nh vy. Mi ngi ang sng trong nhng phn thp hn v
th khng th no di chuyn nh ca h trong trng hp khn cp, v
h nht nh khng th c di chuyn trn cng trong tnh trng khn
cp ti cc trung tm y t nm trn nh sn dc. V th s gip ca
c dn a phng l ti quan trng.
Cc T chc phi chnh ph cung cp cc vt liu xy nh c bn cho
khu vc ln cn v o to vic xy dng cc tng chn n gin c
xy dng gia cc nh. Hnh sau y minh ha iu ny
Bi tp RiskCity 4C - 14
S ngy
Bo ng vng
Bo ng da cam
Bo ng
Nh bn bc trong sut cc cuc hi tho, s khc bit trung bnh 10cm chiu cao
gia nam v n c th xc nh s khc bit trong vic nhn thc v tai bin. gim
thiu s bt tin ny, iu ny c th a ra cc su mc nc c mi ngi
tham gia tn thnh v r rng, hn l a ra cc gi tr tuyt i hoc qu chnh xc.
Bi tp RiskCity 4C - 15
Bi tp RiskCity 4C - 16
Chiu cao mc nc
S ln c cp S ln c cp S ln c cp
n trong bin c n trong bin c n trong bin c
1993
1997
2007
Khng th nh
Khng c l
Mt c
u gi
Hng
Ngc
u
Tng 1
Tng 2
Tng
Ba bin c l lt ny khng th c nh tng t nhau. u l l do cho iu ny?
i vi ba bin c cng nh mt m hnh l c tin hnh, v ba bn chiu cao
mc nc l c to ra: Flood_100y tng ng vi bin b nm 1998, Flood_50y
vi nm 1993 v Flood_10y lin quan n bin c nm 2007.
Bi tp RiskCity 4C - 17
Thp nht
Cao nht
Trung bnh
Bi tp RiskCity 4C - 18
lch chun
3 gi
d liu t th mc :/exercise05a
Trong bi tp ny, chng ta s hc cch thc hin nh gi thit hi do l lt
bng cch s dng hm su-thit hi. Chng s ly t d liu PGIS cc
tham s tnh ton hm su-thit hi .
D liu u vo
D liu cho bi tp ny bao gm cc bn v cc bng lin quan n: 1) Kiu nh ca, 2) su
nc ngp, 3) thng tin lin quan n tc ng ca l lt ln nh ca t iu tra cng cng.
Bng/Bn
Buildings (M/T)
Waterdepth_1998 (M)
Ct
S dng t
Din tch
S tng
Din tch mt sn
su nc ngp
(0.00 m)
Gii thch
Miu t v cc nhm nh ca
Din tch nh ca tnh theo m2
S lng tng
Tng din tch mt sn (mt sn*s tng)
Bn su c tnh ton s dng d liu u
ra ca m hnh m phng l lt HEC-RAS.
PGIS_Survey (T)
PGIS_Location (M)
Bn im ch ra v tr cc im iu tra ca
PGIS
quan n ba trn lt lch s xut hin trong nm 1993, 1998, 2008. Bng ny c 200
v tr phng vn, mi v tr lin quan n mt ta nh; cc ID t F001 n F100 tp
trung vo bin c l lt; mi bn ghi c mt kt qu trung bnh ca cc bn tr li v
nh gi c lng ca tt c cc h gia nh m sng hc t ng sng lc xy ra
thin tai trong cc ngi nh ring. Cc cu hi tp trung mc nc ngp, thit hi gy
ra, tnh trng ca con ngi, xe c, v nh ca trong mi quan h vi cng ca
nc ngp cng ca trn l. Cc cu tr li s c bin din li bng code
cng ng d hiu v d dng tnh ton sau ny.
M cc bn sau y:
1) PGIS_Location: Kim tra thuc tnh m bn c lin kt vi bng
PGIS_Survey.
2) Trong ca s ny thm bn Flood_100y ( trong sut =50) Viewer >
layers > add layer.
3) Thm bn polygon buildings
4) Thm bn polyline Building_situation_1977
Cc ngi nh trong bn 1977 nhng khng c trong bn polygon l cc
ton nh b ph hy hon ton hoc b h hi hon ton v th b b hoang.
C khong bao nhiu ngi nh b ph hy bi trn l nm 1998.
Gi chng ta c th bt u chit xut hm su-thit hi. D liu thit hi c lu
tr bng ny lin quan n trn lt nghim trng xut hin trong 1998, ng cong
su-thit hi c tnh ton da trn c s cc d liu ca bng. u tin bn cn
phi xut d liu bng PGIS_Survey sang Exel. Ch ly nhng bn ghi lin quan n l
lt. Bn c th lm theo 2 cch: bn c th m bng trong ILWIS, chn v copy cc
dng F001 n F100 sau paste chung thnh bng tnh trong Exel; hoc bn c th
xut ton b bng bng cch nhp chut phi vo bng chn export; bn nh l phi
chn file xut ra nh dng DBF. Mt khi bn c bng d liu trong Exel th cn phi
xa cc d liu khng cn thit ca phn bi tp ny. V bng tnh ca bn cn phi
ging nh bng v d di y.
cao mt nc
(m)
0-0.2
0.2-0.5
0.5-1.0
1.0-1.5
1.5-2.5
2.5-3.5
> 3.5
Trng tm ca
khong cao
0.1
0.35
0.75
1.25
2.0
3.0
5
1. Chn gi tr X v chn ni
bn
l u tr ng tm ca
khong mt c chn v
pha trn (cc mu xanh
dng trong bng)
2. Chn gi tr Y v chn ni
bn lu gi tr trung bnh
thit hi cho khong cao
kia v pha trn (cc
mu xanh l trong bng)
Theo cch ny tt c cc khong cao (t mt c chn n 7m hoc hn) v hin
th ln th. Nu bn khng thy ng th, nhp chut phi vo mi cp im
chn format data series, v, trong pattern thm ng . ng th s ging
vi hnh bn di.
Trong
Bi tp nng cao
To
on m lnh trong ILWIS tnh ton cho mi tng c a ra pha di; kim tra cn
thn tn ca mi bn nu bn mun s dng cc on m ny, chng c tnh
ton s dng cc ct v cc bn c tn khng ging vi cc bn u vo ca
bi tp, thch nghi vi cc cu lnh c th l mt bi tp hu ch.
Dutta, D., Herath, S. and Musiake, K., 2003. A mathematical model for flood loss estimation.
Journal of Hydrology, 277(1-2): 24-49.
Krzysztofowicz, R. and Davis, D.R., 1983a. Category-Unit Loss Functions for Flood ForecastResponse System Evaluation. WATER RESOURCES RESEARCH, 19(6): 1476-1480.
Krzysztofowicz, R. and Davis, D.R., 1983b. A Methodology for Evaluation of Flood ForecastResponse Systems 1. WATER RESOURCES RESEARCH, 19(6): 1476.
3 gi
D liu t th mc:/exercise05b
Trong bi tp ny, bn s to mt s thng s ch th cho tn thng x hi,
da vo cc n v hnh chnh khc nhau. Cc bn thng s ch th ca
tn thng t nhin cng c thnh lp, cng nh mt s ch s kh nng.
Cc thng s ch th v tn thng x hi v t nhin c kt hp thnh ch
s tn thng chung s dng trong nh gi a Ch tiu Khng gian
Gii thiu
nh gi a ch tiu khng gian l mt cng ngh m cho php cc bn lin quan
trong vic to quyt nh v cc mc tiu c th (trong trng hp ny l nh gi ri
ro nh lng). y l mt cng c l tng cc nhm to quyt nh r rng, bng
cch s dng cc ch tiu khng gian, m c kt hp v hoch nh cho mc tiu
chung. thc hin cc phn tch trong khu vc nghin cu RiskCity, s dng module
SMCE trong ILWIS (ITC,2001). D liu u vo l mt b cc bn l m t v
khng gian ca cc ch tiu, m c nhm, tiu chun ha v t khi lng trong
cy ch tiu. Nn tng l thuyt nh gi a ch tiu da vo l Qu trnh Phn cp
Phn tch (AHP) c Saaty (1980) pht trin.
Trong cc phn tch cc bc tin hnh nh sau. u tin, vn c cu
trc thnh mt mc tiu chnh (nh gi ri ro nh lng) v mt s cc
mc tiu ph. Cc mc tiu ph quan trng c xc nh l Tn thng x
hi, tn thng cng ng, tn thng t nhin v Kh nng. Tng quan v
cc ch tiu s dng cho mi mc tiu ph c di thiu hnh 4. Mi mc
tiu ph ny c mt s cc ch tiu xc nh m o c hiu sut ca mc
tiu. Mt khi cc ch tiu c xc nh, mt cy ch tiu s c lp ra, n
s th hin s phn cp, mc tiu chnh, mc tiu ph v cc ch tiu. Mi ch
tiu to mt lin kt vi thng tin thuc tnh v khng gian lin quan. Trong
khu vc RiskCity, ch tiu tn thng v ch tiu kh nng c lin kt n 3
cp khng gian khc nhau: n v bn , khu vc v qun trong thnh ph.
V cc ch tiu thng nm trong cc nh dng khc nhau (tn, th t,
khong khng gian v.v) nn chng c tnh t 0 n 1. Cc nhm ch tiu
c t khi lng khc vi nhau, sau cc ch tiu thuc cng mt nhm
v thm ch c chnh cc mc tiu cng c t khi lng, bng cch s
dng hoc phng php so snh tng i hoc phng php xp hng. Mt
khi vic tiu chun ha v t khi lng xong, mt bn ch s tng hp c
tnh ton cho mi mc tiu ph, v thm ch bn ri ro nh lng cng c thnh
lp, v phn chia thnh mt s nhm.
D liu cho bi tp ny c lu tr trong mt s bng m c lin kt vi cc bn
polygon ca ba cp qun l hnh chnh khc nhau: Mapping_units (cp phn chia
nh nht ch yu l cc l nh theo ph), Wards (vng ln cn ca thnh ph) v
(ton b thnh ph chia ra lm 5 qun).
Ba n v hnh chnh ny c c thng tin thuc tnh khc nhau lin quan n tng n
v. V d, thng tin nhn khu ca thnh ph ch c cp qun. Thng tin tht nghip
D liu u vo
D liu sau y c s dng trong bi tp.
Tn
Cc yu t chu ri ro
Mapping_units
Mapping_units
Kiu
Miu t
Polygon
Bng
Wards
Wards
Districts
Districts
Mt mt do cc kiu tai bin khc nhau
Flood_risk_buildings
Seismic_risk_buildings
Technological_risk_buildings
Landslide_risk_buildings
Flood_risk_population
Seismic_risk_ population
Technological_risk_ population
Landslide_risk_ population
D liu khc
High_res_image
Polygon
Cc l nh trong thnh ph
Bng cha thng tin thng k chung v s
ngi nh v ngi dng trong mt l nh
Khu vc trong thnh ph
Bng
Bng
Raster
Bng c kt qu v nh gi mt mt do
ngp lt, ng t, trt l v tai bin k
thut xy dng. y l kt qu ca cc bi
tp trc.
Bng c kt qu v nh gi mt mt do
ngp lt, ng t, trt l v tai bin k
thut xy dng. y l kt qu ca cc bi
tp trc.
nh phn gii cao ca khu vc
Phn trm tr em
Mt dn s ban ngy
Mt dn s ban m
T l bit ch
2. Cc thng s tn thng cng ng (ch ra trong bng 2)
S ngi nm trong vng tai bin l lt, vi cc tn sut lp li khc nhau, v vi c kch bn ngy
v m.
S ngi nm trong vng tai bin trt l, vi nhy cm trt l khc nhau v vi c kch bn
ngy v m.
S ngi nm trong vng tai bin k thut, vi nhy trt l khc nhau v vi c kch bn ngy
v m.
S ngi nh nm trong vng tai bin trt l, vi nhy cm trt l khc nhau.
S ngi nh nm trong vng tai bin k thut, vi nhy cm trt l khc nhau.
Nhn thc
Khu
vc
n v
bn
Bng
Qun
Qun
Qun
Qun
Qun
Ct
Age_under_4
Age_4_to_12
Age_12_18
Age_18_24
Age_24_65
M t
Phn trm
Phn trm
Phn trm
Phn trm
Phn trm
Qun
Age_over_65
Qun
Minor
Khu vc
Nr_buildings
Khu vc
Daytime_population
Khu vc
Nighttime_population
Khu vc
Unemployment
Khu vc
Literacy_rate
n v bn
Pred_landuse
n v bn
PerVacant
n v bn
Percent_single_household
n v bn
Poverty_level
Cc n
v bn
Ch
th:
ro
ri
ng t
cho
con
ngi
Bng
Flood_risk_population
Ct
Day_pop_aff_10_year
Day_pop_aff_50_year
Flood_risk_population
Night_pop_aff_10_year
Night_pop_aff_50_year
Landslide_risk_population
Pop_night_high
Pop_night_moderate
Pop_night_low
Pop_day_high
Pop_day_moderate
Pop_day_low
Technological_risk_population
Pop_day_sc1
Technological_risk_population
Pop_night_sc1
Technological_risk_population
Pop_day_sc2
Technological_risk_population
Pop_night_sc2
Seimic_risk_population
VI_night_pop
VII_ night_pop
VIII_night_pop
IX_ night_pop
VI_day_pop
VII_ day_pop
VIII_ day _pop
IX_ day _pop
Landslide_risk_population
Seimic_risk_population
M t
Lng ngi b nh hng vo ban ngy
bi trn lt trong khong thi gian 10
nm v 50 nm
Lng ngi b nh hng vo ban m
bi trn lt trong khong thi gian 10
nm v 50 nm
S ngi trong nh ca ta nh b sp
di cc trn ng t VI-IX vo ban
ngy
n v
bn
n v
bn
n v
bn
Bng
Flood_risk_buildings
Flood_risk_buildings
Flood_risk_buildings
Flood_risk_buildings
Flood_risk_buildings
Landslide_risk_buildings
Landslide_risk_buildings
Ct
Buildings_5_year
Buildings_10_year
Buildings_25_year
Buildings_50_year
Buildings_100_year
Nr_buildings_high
Nr_buildings_moderate
Landslide_risk_buildings
Techological_buildings
Nr_buildings_low
Nr_buildings_sc1
Techological_buildings
Nr_buildings_sc2
Seismic_risk_building
VI_collapse_max
Seismic_risk_building
VII_collapse_max
Seismic_risk_building
VIII_collapse_max
Seismic_risk_building
IX_collapse_max
M t
S nh b nh hng l lt trong khong 5 nm
S nh b nh hng l lt trong khong 10 nm
S nh b nh hng l lt trong khong 25 nm
S nh b nh hng l lt trong khong 50 nm
S nh b nh hng l lt trong khong 100 nm
S nh nm trong khu vc nhy cm trt l cao
S nh nm trong khu vc nhy cm trt l
trung bnh
S nh nm trong khu vc nhy cm trt l thp
S nh nm trong khu vc b nh hng bi pool
fire
S nh nm trong khu vc b nh hng bi
BLEVE
S nh c cho l b sp di cng ng t
VI
S nh c cho l b sp di cng ng t
VII
S nh c cho l b sp di cng ng t
VIII
S nh c cho l b sp di cng ng t
IX
Bc tin hnh
S dng module SMCE ca ILWIS-GIS
thc hin m hnh bn nh lng.
ng dng SMCE gip v hng dn
ngi dng tin hnh nh gi a ch
tiu trong mt kiu khng gian (ITC,
2001). D liu u vo l mt b cc
bn l m t v khng gian ca cc
ch tiu m c nhm, tiu chun ha
v t khi lng trong cy ch tiu.
D liu u ra l mt hoc nhiu bn
ch s tng hp ch ra vic thc
hin m hnh. Nn tng l thuyt
nh gi a ch tiu da vo l Qu
trnh Phn cp Phn tch (AHP) c
Saaty (1980) pht trin
C bi tp ny s tn
nhiu thi gian hon
thnh. V vy chng ti
ngh hon thnh t nht
phn 1 (ch s tn thng
x hi) v 4 (ch s kh
nng)
A.1. Xc nh vn :
Cy ch tiu c to t cc tiu
chun sau:
Contraint: cc ch tiu ny c
s dng che i khu vc m
khng c mc tiu. Trong trng
hp ny l ni khng c tn
thng x
h i, bi v y
khng c ngi sng.
Tc nhn: l cc ch tiu ng
gp theo cch khc nhau cho
mc tiu (trong trng hp ny
l im d b tn thng x hi).
Chng ta c th nhm chng
thnh mt s mc tiu ph hoc
cc nhm.
Thay i mc tiu:
Social_Vulnerability, v tn ca bn xut
ra ( pha phi) l Social_ Vulnerability.
Nhy
chut
phi
vo
Generic_Social_Vulnerabilily v chn Insert
group. Thm nhm: Age_related, Income
related, Ethnicity related, Social Structure
Related.
Bao gm cc tc nhn khc nhau cho cc ch
tiu, c ch ra di y bng cch nhp chut
phi vo ch tiu c th v chn vo cc tc
nhn khng gian
Tip theo bn phi phn chia d liu khng gian m c lin quan n mi ch tiu m
bn xc nh. Cc d liu ny ch yu l t cc bng, c lin kt vi cc bn
Mapping_units, Wards, v Districts. Tt c d liu lin quan n tui ch c
cp qun. Ch : cc khu vc c mu trong SMCE ngha l d liu cha c xc
nh.
Cu hi
Bn c th kt lun ci g t
m hnh tn thng x
h i
ny
B.1 Chun b bn u vo
Trong bc ny chng ta s to bn cn cho phn tch a ch tiu khng gian.
Trong phn mm SMCE mi bng cha cc ct c dng nh cc ch s v bng ny
c lin kt vi cc bn raster. V hu ht cc bng thuc tnh c kt qu mt mt
ca cng ng v nh ca v lin kt vi bn mapping_units, nn chng ta cn
copy bn ny ra lm nhiu ln, mi bng s hu mt bn .
B.2 To cy ch tiu
Mt khi bn u vo c to ra, bn c th bt u to cy ch tiu v cc phn
tch a ch tiu. V cc bc thc hin c gii thch phn trc, nn chng ti s
khng lp li y mt ln na.
Phn D. Ch s kh nng
Ch s tn thng tng hp cng cha mt ch s lin quan n kh nng. Kh nng
th hin ngun qun l v hot ng r rng v cc b c thc hin gim thiu cc
tc nhn ri ro. Dn n lm gim thiu tn thng. Trong khu vc nghin cu ca
chng ta , chng ti ch s dng mt ch s kh nng duy nht : mc nhn thc,
th hin bng t l bit ch.
Ch s kh nng nn ngc li vi cc ch s tn thng khc. Nh cng thc:
RI RO = TAI BIN * TN THNG
KH NNG
Ngha l trong cc ch tiu tn thng, gi tr cao hn th t n thng ln hn, nhng
chng ta mun ch s kh nng ch ra cho chng ta bit rng gi tr cao hn th kh
nng s tt hn. Sau , khi kt hp cc gi tr, chng ta s chia ch s tn thng
cho ch s kh nng, da theo cng thc trn.
Di mc ngho kh
Tht nghip
H gia nh b m c thn
Khi lng gia cc nhm c coi nh tng ng nhau v c th coi tm quan trng tng ng
nhau khi cc kiu tai bin khc nhau xy ra. Ni cch khc, ch s lng ngi b nh hng (da theo
kiu tiu chun ha c to) mi quyt nh gi tr tn thng cng ng.
Trong khi so snh cc tc nhn, mi kch bn u c so snh theo kiu cng trc t quan trng
hn cc mc cng cao hn tip theo (cho trng hp ng t).
5.5 Ch s kh nng
Di y s ch ra cc phng php nh gi khong cch t mi n v bn ti bnh vin
2. To bn
khi lng
3. Thnh lp bn khong
cch (distance_hopitals)
Chng ta nh gi kho ng cch dc theo ph, theo tng pixel. Chng ta cn bit khong cch gia
mi n v bn v bnh vin. lm nh vy chng ta phi giao cc n v bn vi bn
Distance_hospital. Nhng s c bt c kt qu no v Distance_hospital c tnh dc theo ph, v
khng ct vi cc n v bn . V l do chng ta ph i lm rng t nht l 1 pixel kch c ca n
v bn v cc n v bn ct vi Distance_hospital. Hai nh bn di gii thch cch lm. Ch
n ng ranh gii mu en trong hnh mapping_units.
Cc
n
v
bn
cch
bnh
vin
xa
nht
hu
ht
khu
vc
TyBc
KH NNG THM VO: a vo tnh ton kh nng khc di chuyn xuyn qua n v bn
M bng Landuse, to mt ct mi t tn
l Cross_resistance, s dng domain gi
tr, c di gi tr t -1 n 1, v chnh
xc n 0.1. t gi tr cho mi kiu s
dng t, nh rng 0 l khng i qua c
v 1 l t trng. S dng c gi tr trung
gian. Bn c th s dng cc gi tr c ch
ra bn tri hoc t gn gi tr
Weight_cross:=iff(isundef(Cross_resistance),1,Cross
_resistance)
Vo
operations,
raster
operations,
cross
v
chn
mapping_units_grow, v Distance_hospital_weighted. t tn
bng xut ra l Mapping_units_G_W.
Gi vo bng mapping_units v ghp vi
Distance_hospital_weighted. S dng hm nh nht (minium) v
t tn ct Distance_MU_H_weighted
y khng phi mt phng php hay, v n s ai vi thc t. V vy chng ti ngh s dng phng
php c dng on trc.
ADDITIONAL TIP: Gi chng ta tnh ton khong cch t trm cu ha v n cnh st. Cc bc
lm ging nh s dng cho tnh ton khong cch t bnh vin.
Fire_station
Tnh ton ct Fire_station trong bng mapping_units, theo cng thc sau:
fire_station:=iff(Emergency_centers="fire_station",Emergency_centers,?)
Police_station:
Tnh ton ct Police_station trong bng mapping_units, theo cng thc sau:
Police_station:=iff(Emergency_centers="Police_station",Emergency_centers,?)
To ch s kh nng vi SMCE
nh bn di cho ta thy cch tiu chun ha khong cch ti bnh vin (Distance to hopitals).
a mt gi tr thp vo cc n v bn xa nht, chng ta s dng hm chi ph (cost). Nh bn
thy vi la chn ny hm s ngc vi la chn li ch (benefit)
Ch
ng
thng
trong nh
c h s
gc m
Nh bn thy cch tiu chun ha nhn thc c xu hng ngc vi tiu chun ha khong cch t
bnh vin v thng dng hm li ch (benefit)
Chng ti coi khong cch t bnh vin quan trng hn t l nhn thc. Kim tra hnh di y
Thm
vo
distance_emergency_centers
2
tc
nhn
na:
Distance_policestation, Distance_firestation.
Biu ca qualitative_risk
Age_under_4_MU:=Age_under_4*Nighttime_population/100
Age_4_to_12_MU:=Age_4_to_12*Nighttime_population/100
Age_12_18_MU:=Age_12_18*Nighttime_population/100
Age_18_24_MU:=Age_18_24*Nighttime_population/100
Age_24_65_MU:=Age_24_65*Nighttime_population/100
Age_over_65_MU:=Age_over_65*Nighttime_population/100
Income related
Unemployment_MU:=Unemployment*nighttime_population_per_ward/100
Income related
Minority_groups_MU:=Unemployment*nighttime_population_per_ward/100
Tn thng cng ng
Vi tc nhn ny, cc ch s c trong cp n v bn
Tn thng t nhin
Vi tc nhn ny, cc ch s c trong cp n v bn
Kh nng
Disaster_awareness
Literacy_rate_MU:=Literacy_rate*nighttime_population_per_ward/100
V bn social_vulnerability_MU:
D dng nhn thy rng phn gii ca thng tin c ci thin. Trong Social_Vulnerability, kiu
cc lp ging vi kiu khu vc, v cc gi tr gn nh l khng i, trong khi trong
Social_vulnerability_MU thng tin chi tit hn v bin thin hn.
Nh bn thy kt qu khc v chi tit hn nhiu trong Nhn thc trn trong mi v bn .
Trong nhm tui lin quan (t tn thng x hi) chng ta s xem xt tt c cc ch s to trn. Bao
gm cc nhn t khng gian sau: Age_under_4, Age_4_to_12, Age_12_18, Age_18_24,
Age_24_65, Age_over_65.
Tiu chun ha v t khi lng chng
Gi c th kt hp tt c mi th v to cy Total_vulnerability_MU
G cng thc
Qualitative_risk_MU:=Total_vulnerability_MU/Capacity_Mu
mi
l
qualitative_risk_MU_class.
So snh kt qu vi qualitative_risk_MU_class to bng biu
ca chng
Bi tp 6F: nh gi ri ro l l t.
Thi gian d kin: 3 gi
D liu:
D liu t th mc con :/exercise06F
Mc ch:
Bi tp ny s gii thch lm th no kt hp thng tin v su ca l, v d c
to thnh bi mt m hnh ,
l v i d liu ta nh, nh l v tr, cao, kin trc v
vt liu xy dng to thnh mt nh gi ri ro l l t. Vi 3 kch bn l lt vi cc chu
k lp li khc nhau (10, 50 v 100 nm) th
r i ro s c nh gi. Khi kt thc bi
tp chng ta cng c th hiu c v ti to li cc bc trong kt qu.
Tn
Kiu
ngh a
Raster map
Bn su l
l t t nghin cu m hnh l t
l cho cc kch bn vi chu k
lp li 100, 50 v 10 nm.
Raster map
D liu l l t
Flood_100y, Flood50y,
Flood_10y
D liu v ta nh
Building_map_1998
Bi tp RiskCity 6F-1
Phn 1
Bi tp 6F
RS = PT * PL * V * A
Trong y:
PT L xc sut xy ra theo thi gian (hng nm) ca mt kch bn tai bin c th vi
mt chu k lp li trong mt din tch;
PL L xc sut xy ra theo v tr hoc khng gian ca mt kch bn tai bin c th vi
mt chu k lp li trong mt din tch tc ng cc yu t ti ri ro;
V l tnh nhy cm vt l, nh l cc mc ca nguy him ti mt yu t ti ri ro c th,
cng local gy ra, bi s xy ra kch bn tai bin;
A l s lng ca mt kiu ti ri ro da on c th .
y, quan trng bit rng s lng cc yu t ca th c xc nh trong cc
cch khc nhau, v trong y s lng c xc nh, v ri ro cng c xc nh.
V d s lng a c th l theo s, nh l s lng cc ta nh (ri ro m cc ta
nh tri qua nguy him), s lng ngi (b thng/ t vong/nh hng), s lng
cc ng giao thng trn mng li b hng. Cc yu t ti ri ro cng c th c
xc nh theo khi nim v kinh t. Sau y, n cng c m t nh l cc thit hi.
c th nh gi nhng thnh phn ny, chng ta cn c thng tin v khng gian
nh l tt c thnh phn thay i theo khng gian, ng
c
nh th i gian. Xc sut xy
ra ca mt kch bn tai bin theo thi gian (PT) cng c mt thnh phn khng gian. V
d mt trn lt vi mt chu k lp li c mt s m rng nht nh, v s bin i v
khng gian ca cng . Khi nim (P L) cho bit xc sut xy ra theo khng gian v nh
hng. N khng lin quan ti tt c cc loi tai bin, v trong nhiu trng hp, xc sut
ny c th c xem l 1, a ti mt kch bn tai bin c th (vd, vng din tch s b lt
vi chu k l 50 nm).
ng ca s bn .
Bi tp RiskCity 6F-2
Bi tp 6F
Cu hi:
Cu lnh ny lm g ?
Xem kt qu.
Cu hi:
Ti sao ct mi thm vo khc vi ct ang c area? gi tr c khc vi mi
hng ?
Cu hi:
C bao nhiu ngi nh b lt hon ton v b mt phn? C bao nhiu ta nh b
tc ng hon ton?
Cu hi
Ri ro xc nh s lng trong cu lnh ny nh th no
Bi tp RiskCity 6F-3
Bi tp 6F
Hai cch m t mt ng cong ri ro. Tri: Cc tn tht vi chu k lp li. Phi : Cc tn tht vi xc sut
hng nm.
C mt vi cch m t cc tn tht v kinh t. Cc tn tht ln nht c th (PML) l tn
tht ln nht c xem l xy ra trong mt chu k lp li c th, nh l 1 ln trong 100
nm, hoc 1ln trong 250 nm. Trong nhng graph trn cho thy PML vi 1 ln trong
1000 nm l 1400. Ri ro c th c m t nh l mt ng cong, trong , mi kch
bn c v vi nhng chu k lp li ca chng hoc xc sut v cc tn tht lin quan.
Mt ng cong ri ro cng c gi l ng cong vt mc tn tht (LEC). Hnh bn
tri c mt u im l, n hin th chu k lp li tt hn, v l phn ln nht ti cc tn
tht. ng cong bn phi c th c s dng trc tip tnh ton cc Tn tht
thng nin trung bnh (AAL). N c lm bng cch tnh vng din tch di ng
cong (guide book, phn 6.5.5).
Chng ta s thm vo phn trm cc ta nh b nh hng tnh ti bng
building _map_1998.
M bng: Building_map_1998
Chn: MAXIMU M.
Cu hi:
Ti sao c nhiu hn 1 bn ghi cho cc ta nh trong bng
building_flooded_010; ti sao hm Maximun l s la chn chnh xc?
Bi tp RiskCity 6F-4
Phn 2
Bi tp 6F
Class Name
0.5
< 0.5 m
0.5 1.0 m
1.0 3.0 m
3.0 6.0 m
99
Code
>6m
Ct 3 bn su l lt vi tn l: flood_010_cla, flood_050_cla
v flood _100_cla.
Brick
Concrete
Bi tp RiskCity 6F-5
Bi tp 6F
Bi tp RiskCity 6F-6
Bi tp 6F
Class name
Code
1.5
1 tng
2.5
2 tng
99
>2 tng
M bng building_map_1998
Nhm ti phn loi s lng cc tng, nh dng l nh sau:
Nr_floors_flood := CLFY(nr_floors,Nr_floors)
Chng ta mun thm vt liu xy dng vo bng. S dng la chn Join trong ct
menu.
Chn bng Building_mat, ct Building_mat v dng join-wizard chp nhn mi
defaults.
Build_type:=code(build_mat)+code(nr_floors_flood)
Mt ct mi c thm vo bng vi 9 code: a1, a2, an, b1, b2, bn, c1, c2
v cn.
Cu hi:
Nhng code ny c ngha g?
a1 =
a2 =
an =
b1 =
b2 =
bn =
c1 =
c2 =
cn =
Bi tp RiskCity 6F-7
Bi tp 6F
Bi tp RiskCity 6F-8
e
s
Cu
hi:
p
Bng
2 chiu m t 9 ng cong nhy cm. Hy v 9 ng cong vo
a
khong trng di y.
c
e
Bi tp RiskCity 6F-9
Bi tp 6F
Bi tp 6F
build_damage_010:=flood_vuln[build_type,flood_010_cla]
Cu hi:
bn output m t g? Ri ro c m t nh th no trong bn ny?
Lt li kt qu ny vi 2 kch bn l lt khc.
Bi tp RiskCity 6F-10
Bi tp 6L: nh gi ri ro do trt l t
Thi gian d kin: 3gi
D liu:
exercise06c
i tng:
Bi tp ny a ra cho bn phng php bn nh lwng nh
gi ri ro trt l t v d nh s dng trt l t t cc giai on khc nhau tnh
ton xc sut theo thi gian v chuyn bn kh nng nhy cm sang bn tai bin.
Cc yu t ny sau c kt hp vi cc yu t chu ri ro dn xut ra bn ri
ro.
D liu u vo
Trong bi tp ny ta s s dng bn nhy cm vi trt l t
(Susceptibility) c thnh lp bng phng php thng k nh trong bi tp 3. i
vi cc yu t chu ri ro ta s dng hai bn : mapping_units biu din cc khi nh
v building_map vi cc ta nh ring l. Bn Landuse_ID cng c yu cu
thay i bn kh nng nhy cm thnh mt bn tai bin, vi cc thng tin trt
l t theo thi gian.
Tn
Loi
Cc yu t chu ri ro
ngha
Mapping_units
Raster
Mapping_units
Bng
Building_map_1998
Building_map_1998
Raster
Mnh
D liu trt l t
Landslide_ID
Raster
Landslide_ID
Bng
Susceptibility
Raster
D liu khc
High_res_image
Raster
Bi tp RiskCity 06L - 1
Bi tp RiskCity: nh gi ri ro do trt l t
C th tnh ton s lng nh trong cc vng tai bin da trn hai dng thng tin: cc
n v bn - mapping units (l cc n v chung c s dng biu din ri
ro) hoc cc ta nh ring l - individual buildings.
Ta hy bt u php phn tch s dng cc n v bn v ph cc yu t ny ln
bn nhy cm vi trt l.
Ch rng:
Hy chc chn
domain ca
tnh nhy cm
ch c 3 lp
(cao, trung
bnh, thp).
Nu bn lm
cc bi tp
trc cho
nhng ngi
dng ILWIS
kinh nghim,
c th bn s
c 4 lp (lp
rt cao)
S lng nh
Lp nhy cm cao
Lp nhy cm TB
Lp nhy cm thp
Bi tp RiskCity 06L - 2
Bi tp RiskCity: nh gi ri ro do trt l t
Ta cng mun c s lng nh trong cc lp cao, trung bnh v thp trong bng thuc
tnh Mapping_units, sau s dng trong vic nh gi ri ro.
S dng cc nh ring l
Cc kt qu thu c cho n gi cn nhiu sai lc bi cc mt mt c a
ra trn n v bn , v khng cho cc ta nh ring l phn b trong cc khu vc
tai bin cao. iu ny c th thc hin c nu ta s dng mt bn du vt xy
dng, ci m ta c trong bn Building_map_1998. Ta s giao bn
Susceptibility vi bn Building_map_1998.
Lp nhy cm cao
Lp nhy cm TB
Lp nhy cm thp
Bi tp RiskCity 06L - 3
Bi tp RiskCity: nh gi ri ro do trt l t
Bi tp RiskCity 06L - 4
Bi tp RiskCity: nh gi ri ro do trt l t
Nu cc hin th ca khu vc nhy cm cao, trung bnh v thp chnh xc, cc bin c
trt l t khc nhau vi cc chu k lp li khc nhau s a ra cc phn phi trt
l trong cc lp ny khc nhau. Xc sut c th c c tnh bng cch nhn xc
sut thi gian (1/lp li/chu k xc sut hng nm) vi xc sut theo thi gian (=c
hi m 1 pixel chu tc ng)
Trung bnh
1/50
46578
46587
2566780
0.01815
1/100
375898
422476
2566780
0.1464
1/200
231863
422476
2566780
0.0903
1/300
190954
845293
2566780
0.0744
1/400
107777
953070
2566780
0.0420
0.02
0.000362
0.01
0.01
0.0033
0.0025
Bi tp RiskCity 06L - 5
Bi tp RiskCity: nh gi ri ro do trt l t
Thp
Bc tip theo l tnh ton xc sut theo thi gian. T khi ta thc hin php
tnh ton thit hi hng nm, chng ta c th n gin s dng 1/chu k lp li c
xc sut xut hin hng nm.
Gi hy tnh ton trong file Excel xc sut theo thi gian trn lp tai bin v
trn chu k lp li, v vit kt qu vo bng.
Tai bin c tnh ton bng cch nhn xc sut thi gian vi xc sut khng
gian. V th y l xc sut hng nm m mt khu vc cho trc s b tn cng bi
mt trt l t vi mt lp tai bin nht nh.
Gi hy tnh ton trong file Excel tai bin trn lp tai bin v trn chu k lp
li, v vit kt qu vo bng.
Bi tp RiskCity 06L - 6
Bi tp RiskCity: nh gi ri ro do trt l t
c tnh thit hi
By gi ta va tnh ton tt c cc hp phn ca ri ro trt l t ta c th
bt u tnh ton ri ro. Vic tnh ton s c thc hin trong bng Mapping_units.
u tin ta s tnh cc thit hi i vi chu k lp li 1/50 nm
100
200
300
400
Risk050_High
Risk050_Moderate
Risk050_Low
Risk100_High
Risk100_Moderate
Risk100_Low
Risk200_High
Risk200_Moderate
Risk200_Low
Risk300_High
Risk300_Moderate
Risk300_Low
Risk400_High
Risk400_Moderate
Risk400_Low
Xc sut
khng
gian
0.0181
0.1672
Kh nng
d b tn
thng
Vuln
Vuln
Vuln
Vuln
Vuln
Vuln
Vuln
Vuln
Vuln
Vuln
Vuln
Vuln
Vuln
Vuln
Vuln
Lng gi tr
Nr_B__high
Nr_B__mod
Nr_B__low
Nr_B__high
Nr_B__mod
Nr_B__low
Nr_B__high
Nr_B__mod
Nr_B__low
Nr_B__high
Nr_B__mod
Nr_B__low
Nr_B__high
Nr_B__mod
Nr_B__low
Bi tp RiskCity 06L - 7
Thit
hi/lp
Thit
hi/kch
bn
Bi tp RiskCity: nh gi ri ro do trt l t
Thnh lp mt ng cong ri ro
Mt khi bn thu c cc thit hi i vi mi mt kch bn trong nm kch bn,
bn c th tnh c cc mi ri ro c th, ri ro tng coonjgg v v c ng cong
ri ro. u tin hy in vo trong bng di y.
Chu k lp li
Thit hi
Cc mi ri ro c
th
Bi tp RiskCity 06L - 8
Bi tp RiskCity: nh gi ri ro do trt l t
S tng
100-500
Khng c nh
1 tng
2 tng
3 tng
4-10 tng
>10 tng
Bi tp RiskCity 06L - 9
500-1000 >1000
Bi tp RiskCity: nh gi ri ro do trt l t
Lp nhy cm cao
Lp nhy cm TB
Lp nhy cm thp
S lng nh
2799
6831
20042
Bi tp RiskCity: nh gi ri ro do trt l t
S dng cc ta nh ring l
Nh trng thi
nhy cm trung bnh
Lp nhy cm cao
Lp nhy cm TB
Lp nhy cm thp
Nh trng thi
nhy cm thp
S lng nh
4426
9645
22019
Nh trng thi
nhy cm cao
Bi tp RiskCity 06L - 11
Bi tp RiskCity: nh gi ri ro do trt l t
Bng vi cc gi tr chnh xc c ch ra di y.
Lp nhy cm cao
Lp nhy cm TB
Lp nhy cm thp
S lng nh
4426
7143
1769
Bi tp RiskCity: nh gi ri ro do trt l t
S dng t
Com_business
Com_hotel
Com_market
Com_shop
lnd_hazardous
lnd_industries
lnd_waterhouse
lns_fire
lns_hospital
lns_office
lns_poilce
lns_school
Pub_cemetery***
Pub_cutural
Pub_electricity
Pub_religious
Rec_flat_area
Rec_park***
Rec_stadium
Res_large
Res_mod_single
Res_multi
Res_small_single
Res_squatter
Vac_car
Vac_construction
Vac_damaged***
Vac_shrubs
Din tch
(m2)
2343
1702
8001
735
4775
4214
1359
987
29692
9410
582
813
0
1707
180
5354
351
0
28578
805
357
685
241
112
832
339
0
352
Cao
17
13
1
149
0
34
130
0
0
2
2
7
0
1
0
0
5
0
0
83
275
118
874
2137
0
72
352
134
Trung bnh
14
23
0
196
4
86
172
0
0
3
13
79
0
1
0
11
17
0
0
317
651
118
2771
4845
0
29
25
237
Thp
476
195
22
3042
31
107
1700
24
2
175
34
163
0
56
1
24
58
4
1
677
2462
1574
6179
4540
44
21
122
197
Bi tp RiskCity 06L - 13
Bi tp RiskCity: nh gi ri ro do trt l t
Biu ca
area_building
Domain Area_building
Bi tp RiskCity 06L - 14
Bi tp RiskCity: nh gi ri ro do trt l t
Biu ca nr_floors
Domain nr_floors
Bi tp RiskCity 06L - 15
Bi tp RiskCity: nh gi ri ro do trt l t
Biu ca bn
Vulnerabilty_volume
Bn Vulnerabilty_volume
Bi tp RiskCity 06L - 16
Bi tp RiskCity: nh gi ri ro do trt l t
Landslide_probability
Bi tp RiskCity 06L - 17
Bi tp RiskCity: nh gi ri ro do trt l t
Bn Vuln
Bi tp RiskCity 06L - 18
D liu u vo
D liu sau c s dng trong bi tp ny.
Tn
Kiu
ngha
Cc yu t ti ri ro
Mapping_units
Raster
Cc ta nh ca thnh ph
Bng bao gm cc thng tin thng k v s ta nh v s ngi
Mapping_units
table
mi ta nh
D liu ng t
File script m s s dng tnh ton tn hi do ng t vi
Thit hi
Script
cc kch bn khc nhau
D liu khc
High_res_image
Raster
nh phn gii cao cho vng nghin cu
Ph thuc vo cng ng t v vng tri ca ta nh, mt ta nh c th c nguy hi
trong sut mt trn ng t t vt nt mnh ti s sp hon ton ca ta nh. Khi c ng
ng t c xem l hng s, cp thit hi lin quan trc tip ti bn ca ta nh,
li lin quan ti kiu kin trc v vt liu . Xem xt tnh nhy cm a chn, v cc ta nh
trong trng hp trong vng nghin cu c chia thnh cc lp.
Bi tp RiskCity 6E -1
To cc ng cong nhy cm
Trong bng di y, cc ph hy, l phn trm ca cc phn nh b ph hy cho nhng
cng ng t khc nhau (trong MMI) cho cc kiu nh khc nhau trong thnh ph, c
a ra. Mi lin h ny c ly bi NSET-Nepal v JICA. Trong bng, 2 cp ph hy c
a ra, chng c nh ngha trong cch sau:
Bi tp RiskCity 6E -2
T bng nhy cm a ra pha trn, c nhiu xc sut khc nhau cho vic kt hp thng
tin: t cc cng khc nhau (VI, VII, VIII and IX) v mt phn hoc s han ton
cc gi tr thp nht v b nht. Chng ta ch tnh mt kch bn: Phn trm ln nhn
ca cc ta nh b sp trong mt trn ng t vi kch bn IX.
Bi tp RiskCity 6E -3
IX_collapse_max:=(N_AD*0.72)+(N_BM*0.41)+(N_BC*0.18)+(N_RCC3*0.3
5)+(N_RCC4*0.3)
t vi cng cp IX?
S dng scirpt Damage v chy n khi s dng cc tham s khc nhau t bng
nhy cm. V d:
Bi tp RiskCity 6E -4
Run damage_input
Hin th kt qu trong mt bng
VI
VII
VIII
IX
Collapse
max
Collapse
min
Trn l thuyt ca cc nghin cu v cc catalog ng t ca mt vng v vi s gip ca cc
m hnh cho s tnh ton ca s suy yu v ng t, n c quyt nh rng cc cng
khc nhau xy ra vi cc chu k lp li sau:
Chu k lp li
VI
10
VII
25
VIII
50
IX
100
Cu hi:
Lc ny, chng ra cho r ng ton b thnh ph s cng cng ng t vi mt kch
bn ng t, n l mt cn ng t c th vi phm vi ln xy ra ti mt khong cch
xc nh t thnh ph. y l mt s gi thuyt ng? Chng ta nn lm g
ci thin
kt qu ny?
Bi tp RiskCity 6E -5
D liu u vo
D liu cho bi tp ny c lu trong mt s bng c th c lin kt bn
polygon cc n v bn . Di y lit kt bng, v ct ca chng v vi biu th
ngha cc dng bng.
Bng
Flood_risk_
buildings
Flood_risk_
population
Landslide_risk_
buildings
Landslide_risk_
Population
Seismic_risk_
buildings
Seismic_risk
population
Ct
ngha
Buildings_5_year
Buildings_10_year
Buildings_25_year
Buildings_50_year
Buildings_100_year
day_pop_aff_10_year
day_pop_aff_50_year
night_pop_aff_10_year
night_pop_aff_50_year
Nr_Buildings_high
Nr_Buildings_moderate
Nr_Buildings_low
Pop_night_high
Pop_night_mod
S lng ngi trong vng tai bin trt l t trung bnh vo ban m
Pop_night_low
Pop_day_high
S lng ngi trong vng tai bin trt l t cao vo ban ngy
Pop_day_moderate
S lng ngi trong vng tai bin trt l t trung bnh vo ban ngy
Pop_day_low
S lng ngi trong vng tai bin trt l t thp vo ban ngy
VI_collapse_max
VII_collapse_max
VIII_collapse_max
IX_collapse_max
VI_night_pop
VI_day_pop
VII_night_pop
VII_day_pop
VIII_night_pop
VIII_day_pop
Bi tp RiskCty 06M - 1
Technological_
risk buildings
Technological_
risk population
IX_night_pop
IX_day_pop
Nr_buildings_sc1
Nr_buildings_sc2
pop_day_sc1
S ngi sng trong khu vc chu nh hng ca chy thng ban ngy
Pop_night_sc1
pop_day_sc2
Pop_night_sc2
cc yu t chi
ri ro
Bng
Ct
Tn ca bn u ra
Flood_risk_ buildings
Buildings_5_year
Flood_5
Buildings_10_year
Flood_10
Buildings_25_year
Flood_25
Buildings_ 50_year
Flood_50
Buildings_ 100_year
Flood_100
Nr_Buildings_high
Landslide_high
Nr_Buildings_moderate
Landslide_moderate
Nr_Buildings_low
Landslide_low
VI_collapse_max
Seismic_VI
VII_collapse_max
Seismic_VII
VIII_collapse_max
Seismic_VIII
IX_collapse_max
Seismic_IX
Nr_buildings_sc1
Technological_sc1
Nr_buildings_sc2
Technological_sc2
Landslide_risk_ buildings
Seismic_risk_ buildings
Technological_risk buildings
Bi tp RiskCity 06M - 2
Kch bn
Flood_risk_
buildings
Chu k lp li l 5 nm
Xc sut
hng nm
0.2
Chu k lp li l 10 nm
0.1
Chu k lp li l 25 nm
0.04
Chu k lp li l 50 nm
0.02
Chu k lp li l 100 nm
0.01
High
Cng VI
Gi nh cha
xc nh
Gi nh cha
xc nh
Gi nh cha
xc nh
0.067
Cng VII
0.029
Cng VIII
0.020
Cng IX
0.017
Cha xc nh
Cha xc nh
Landslide_risk_
buildings
Trung bnh
Thp
Seismic_risk_
buildings
Technological_risk
buildings
Kh nng tn thng nh ca
Cha xc nh, ta ch va chng du
vt tai bin vi nh ca
C, da trn nh ca v ng cong
kh nng tn thng
VI
VII
VIII
IX
Chu k lp li
15
35
50
60
Xc sut hng
nm (P)
S lng nh sp
(= V*A)
Ri ro hng nm
(R = P*V*A)
0.067
1323
88
S dng t th cng c xc nh i vi mi mt n v bn , v c
lu trong bng thuc tnh Mapping_units. c th s dng cc gi tr tn thng
Bi tp RiskCity 06M - 4
Kch bn
5 nm
10 nm
25 nm
50 nm
100 nm
Chu k lp li
10
25
50
100
0.2
0.1
0.04
0.02
0.01
V_5years
V_10years
V_25years
V_50years
V_100years
Xc sut hng nm
(P)
Kh nng tn thn
(trung bnh)
S lng nh sp
(= V*A)
Ri ro hng nm
(R = P*V*A)
33
7
Xc sut
thi gian
50
Pt
0.02
100
0.01
200
0.005
300
0.00333
400
0.0025
Cc thit hi
vi 1 chu k lp
li = tng thit
hi trong cc
khu vc xc
sut cao, trung
bnh v thp.
Xc sut
khng gian
Ps
0.0181
0.00000131
0.00000060
0.1672
0.005739628
0.00000537
0.2575
0.134536362
0.00000859
0.3319
0.293138228
0.00000954
0.3739
0.552257869
0.00001014
Kh nng
d b tn
thng
V
Vuln
Vuln
Vuln
Vuln
Vuln
Vuln
Vuln
Vuln
Vuln
Vuln
Vuln
Vuln
Vuln
Vuln
Vuln
Lng gi tr
Thit
hi/lp
A
Nr_B__high
Nr_B__mod
Nr_B__low
Nr_B__high
Nr_B__mod
Nr_B__low
Nr_B__high
Nr_B__mod
Nr_B__low
Nr_B__high
Nr_B__mod
Nr_B__low
Nr_B__high
Nr_B__mod
Nr_B__low
(Ps*V*A)
13.14
0.0033
0.0003
Thit
hi/kch
bn
13
Da
trn
ngy
thng
c
a
trong
bng
Landslide_results_buildings gi y ta c th thc hin php tnh
s lng k vng nh ca b ph hy i vi mi mt lp tai bin v
vi mi mt kch bn.
Bi tp RiskCity 06M - 6
V cc xc sut thi gian thp trong tai bin thp, nn s khng vn g khi b qua
n. Tuy nhin lp tai bin trung bnh, m bao gm cc trt l c rng ln, c th
phn ng do cc bin c kch hot vi chu k lp li ln, cng d n n kt qu s
lng nh ca thit hi ln. nng cao tc tnh ton bn cng c th xem xt
vic thnh lp mt file tp lnh. Mt file tp lnh n gin bao gm mt s cc lnh
bn c th lm trong mt chng trnh bin tp text.
Bi tp RiskCity 06M - 7
50
100
200
300
400 nm
Kch bn 2: Chy p lc
Chu k lp li
50
500
0.1
0.1
S nh chu nh hng
Xc sut hng nm (P)
Kh nng tn thng (trung
bnh) (V)
S nh b ph hy (=V*A)
Ri ro c th hng nm
(R = P*V*A)
Bi tp RiskCity 06M - 9
Bi tp RiskCity 06M - 10
Bi tp RiskCity 06M - 11
VI
VII
VIII
IX
Chu k lp li
15
35
50
60
0.067
0.029
0.020
0.017
1323
4850
8945
10991
88
139
179
183
Xc sut hng
nm (P)
S lng nh sp
(= V*A)
Ri ro hng nm
(R = P*V*A)
ng cong ri ro ng t
Xc sut
VI
VII
ng cong ri
ro ng t
VIII
IX
Thit hi nh ca
Buildings_destroyed_5:=Buildings_5_year*v_5year
Buildings_destroyed_10:=Buildings_10_year*v_10year
Buildings_destroyed_25:=Buildings_25_year*v_25year
Buildings_destroyed_50:=Buildings_50_year*v_50year
Buildings_destroyed_100:=Buildings_100_year*v_100year
Bi tp RiskCity 06M - 12
Kch bn
5 nm
10 nm
25 nm
50 nm
100 nm
Chu k lp li
10
25
50
100
0.2
0.1
0.04
0.02
0.01
V_5years
V_10years
V_25years
V_50years
V_100years
33
74
192
375
1096
11
Xc sut hng nm
(P)
Kh nng tn thn
(trung bnh)
S lng nh sp
(= V*A)
Ri ro hng nm
(R = P*V*A)
Xc sut
ng cong ri ro l lt
ng
cong ri
ro l lt
Thit hi nh ca
Hy xem ng cong ri ro l lt, ta c th d dng suy lun rng sau bin c c chu k lp li 25 nm
(xc sut = 0.04), mi mt s gia nh ca chu k lp li, to ra mt s gia thit hi ln.
so snh ri ro do ng t v L lt, hy xem v d cc bin c c chu k lp li l 50 nm. Cc thit
hi do ng t ln hn 20 ln nhng thit hi do l lt gy ra.
Bi tp RiskCity 06M - 13
nh hng
ca kh
nng
Effectdofbthe
tn
thng
Vulnerability
Gi
thit
Assuming
kh
nng
vulneability=1
tn thng
=1
Bi tp RiskCity 06M - 14
Chu k
lp li
Xc sut
thi gian
Xc sut
khng gian
Pt
Ps
0.0181
0.00000131
0.00000060
0.1672
0.005739628
0.00000537
0.2575
0.134536362
0.00000859
0.3319
0.293138228
0.00000954
0.3739
0.552257869
0.00001014
50
0.02
100
0.01
200
0.005
300
0.00333
400
0.0025
Kh nng
d b tn
thng
V
Vuln
Vuln
Vuln
Vuln
Vuln
Vuln
Vuln
Vuln
Vuln
Vuln
Vuln
Vuln
Vuln
Vuln
Vuln
Lng gi tr
Thit
hi/lp
A
Nr_B__high
Nr_B__mod
Nr_B__low
Nr_B__high
Nr_B__mod
Nr_B__low
Nr_B__high
Nr_B__mod
Nr_B__low
Nr_B__high
Nr_B__mod
Nr_B__low
Nr_B__high
Nr_B__mod
Nr_B__low
(Ps*V*A)
13.14
0.0033
0.0003
121,3830
35,1520
0,0376
186,9390
823,9800
0,0709
240,9520
1795,3540
0,0802
271,4430
3382,3580
0,0840
Bi tp RiskCity 06M - 15
Thit
hi/kch
bn
13
157
1011
2036
3654
50
100
200
300
400 nm
0.02
0.01
0.005
0.0033
0.0025
Cc thit hi nh ca
(PS*V*A)
13
157
1011
2036
3654
Ri ro hng nm
(PT*PS*V*A)
Xc sut
ng cong ri ro trt l t
ng cong ri
ro trt l t
Log (cong tld)
Thit hi nh ca
Kch bn
Kch bn 1:
Chy thng
Kch bn 2:
Chy p lc
Chu k lp li
50
500
828
10843
0,02
0,002
0.1
0.1
82,8
1084,3
1,656
2,1686
S nh chu nh
hng
Xc sut hng
nm (P)
Kh nng tn
thng (trung
bnh) (V)
S nh b ph hy
(=V*A)
Ri ro c th
hng nm
(R = P*V*A)
Bi tp RiskCity 06M - 16
Xc sut
Ri ro k thut
Ri ro k thut
Thit hi nh ca
0.2500
0.2000
Ri risk
ro tng
Total
0.1500
cng
Ri ro ng
Earthquake
Risk
t
Flooding
Ri ro Risk
l lt
0.1000
Ri ro trt l
Landslide
Risk
t
Ri ro k thut
Technological Risk
0.0500
0.0000
0
50000
100000
150000
Bi tp RiskCity 06M - 17
0.0500
0.0450
0.0400
0.0350
Ri risk
ro tng
Total
0.0300
cng
Earthquake
Risk
Ri ro ng
0.0250
0.0200
Flooding
Risk
Ri ro l
lt
0.0150
Landslide
Risk
t
Ri ro trt l
Ri ro k thut
Technological
Risk
0.0100
0.0050
0.0000
0
1000
2000
3000
4000
5000
Xc
sut
probability
ng cong ri
ro tng cng
ng phng
equation
trend line
trnh xu hng
y = 3.996x-0.61
0
40000
80000
120000
Nh
ca destroyed
b ph hy
Building
Bi tp RiskCity 06M - 18
Khong cch trn trc X c tnh bng Xn-X0, trong n l s lng hnh ch nht ta s
dng tnh ton.
Chiu di c s ca cc hnh ch nht c tnh bng cch chia khong bng s lng hnh
ch nht:
x = (Xn-X0)/n
Din tch ca hnh ch nht c tnh bng php nhn c s i vi chiu cao ca cc hnh ch
nht
Area = x*Y,
Trong , Y=f(x)
V d:
D liu xc nh
F(x)
Y=X3
x0
Xn
n
1
2
20
Bi tp RiskCity 06M - 19
X0
Gi tr
X
1
X1
1,05
1,1
1,15
1,2
1,25
1,3
1,35
1,4
10
1,45
11
1,5
12
1,55
13
1,6
14
1,65
15
1,7
16
1,75
17
1,8
18
1,85
K hiu X
19
1,9
20
Xn-1
1,95
Gi tr Y
1
Din tch
ring
0,05
1,157625 0,05788125
1,331
0,06655
1,520875 0,07604375
1,728
0,0864
1,953125 0,09765625
2,197
0,10985
2,460375 0,12301875
2,744
0,1372
3,048625 0,15243125
3,375
0,16875
3,723875 0,18619375
4,096
0,2048
4,492125 0,22460625
4,913
0,24565
5,359375 0,26796875
5,832
0,2916
6,331625 0,31658125
6,859
0,34295
7,414875 0,37074375
Tng
din tch
3,576875
Bi tp RiskCity 06M - 20
Hy kim tra cc kt qu ca bn
Cng th s dng hnh ch nht vi tm ca chng trn
ng cong. iu ny s a ra php c tnh qu ln ca
din tch di ng con ri ro (ngc vi cc tc ng
a ra hnh ch nht xut ) (opposite effect gives the
rectangle inscript).
Mt th tc t c th dng im trung bnh ca hnh ch
nht.
Th tc i vi phng php s dng hnh ch nht trung
bnh c gii thch di t, v ch yu l ging nh
c a trong v d trc, ch thay i gi tr X.
Gi tr
X
1
1,025
1,076890625
Din tch
ring
0,05384453
1,05
1,075
1,242296875
0,06211484
1,1
1,125
1,423828125
0,07119141
1,15
1,175
1,622234375
0,08111172
1,2
1,225
1,838265625
0,09191328
1,25
1,275
2,072671875
0,10363359
1,3
1,325
2,326203125
0,11631016
1,35
1,375
2,599609375
0,12998047
Xk
Gi tr Y
1,4
1,425
2,893640625
0,14468203
1,45
1,475
3,209046875
0,16045234
1,5
1,525
3,546578125
0,17732891
1,55
1,575
3,906984375
0,19534922
1,6
1,625
4,291015625
0,21455078
1,65
1,675
4,699421875
0,23497109
1,7
1,725
5,132953125
0,25664766
1,75
1,775
5,592359375
0,27961797
1,8
1,825
6,078390625
0,30391953
1,85
1,875
6,591796875
0,32958984
1,9
1,925
7,133328125
0,35666641
1,95
1,975
7,703734375
0,38518672
3,7490625
Hnh ch
nht N
X max
113588
X min
33
Xn-X0
113555
100
Equation
Y=3,996x^-0,61
1135,55
Mu X
Gi tr X
Ch : Trc ht, bn hy
sa khong m bn mun
dng, sau bn c th nh
gi x. iu ny ph thuc
vo la chn ca bn, nhng
ti y, ta coi gi tr c cho
trc.
Xk
Gi tr Y
Din tch
ring
1 X0
33
2 X1
1168,55
3 X2
2304,1
4 X3
3439,65
4575,2
5710,75
6846,3
7981,85
9117,4
10
10252,95
11
11388,5
12
12524,05
10820,725
0,013827
13
13659,6
14
14795,15
15
15930,7
16
17066,25
Etc
...
100 Xn
14227,375 0,0117009
15,701291
...
13,28696
Bi tp RiskCity 06M - 22
888,876272
D liu vo
Tn
Raster
Cc khu nh ca thnh ph
Mapping_units
table
Script
Raster
D liu ng t
Damage
D liu khc
High_res_im age
Bi tp RiskCity 6T-1
Nhng endpoint cho 2 kch bn c tnh khi s dng cc phng trnh US Environm ent
Protection Agency (EPA) cho phn tch hu qu c m t di y.
Bi tp RiskCity 6T-2
Pool Fires
Phng trnh EPA c da trn cc nhn t cho d on khong cch ti mt cp
bc x nhit m c th gy ra mc thc hai gy nn m chy t mt s
nguy him 40-giy. Cp bc x nhit c tnh l 5,000 wat mi m2. Phng
trnh cho nh gi khong cch t pool fires ca cht lng gy chy vi cc im
nng trn nhit xung quanh l:
X = Hc
0.0001A
5000 (Hv + Cp (TB - TA ))
X=
2.2 t a R H c Wf
0.67
3.42 x 106
4
0.75
Vi:
X = khong cch ti 5 kilowat mi m2 endpoint (m)
R = Phn s bc x ca sc nng ca s t chy (cho l 0.4)
tA = p sut vn chuyn (cho l 1)
HC = sc nng ca s t chy ca cht lng gy chy (jo ules/kg)
Wf = Khi lng ca cht gy chy trong fireball (kg)
t = Khong thi gian ca Fireball tnh bng giy (D on t cc phng tr nh)
W f < 30,000
30,000 kg
t = 0.45Wf
t = 2.6 Wf
1
3
kg
Wf >
1
6
Tnh kt qu theo cc khong cch endpoint vi 2 kch bn trong Excel da trn thng
tin a ra tr c:
Scenario 1 = . m
Scenario 2 = .. m
Cc bin no quan trng nht trong tnh ton ny, chng nh hng ti kt qu ra sao?
Bi tp RiskCity 6T-3
Scenario_1:=iff(Distance_accident<395,scenario1,?)
Chn dom ain: Accident_scenario
Convert bn khong cch thnh bn tai bin cho kch bn 2 s dng
cng thc sau:
Scenario_2:=iff(Distance_accident<1410,scenario2,?)
Lc ny, chng ta bit nhng vng b nh hng cho c 2 kch bn, chng ta c th tnh
nhng mt mt d on. Chng ta s thc hin bng vic nh gi nhng vng din tch cho
nhng kiu landuse khc nhau. Phng php lm l crossing bn kch bn vi bn
v Urband_landuse, v trong nh dng raster.
Bi tp RiskCity 6T-4
Bi tp RiskCity 6T-5
3 gi
d liu t th mc ph :/exercise07
Sau khi tnh ton mt mt d kin cho cc khong thi gian lp li khc
nhau, v ri ro trung bnh hng nm, gi chng ta c th phn tch cc la
chn khc nhau m chnh quyn a phng phi lm gim bt ri ro,
bng cch dng phn tch chi ph/li nhun c bn.
Kh nng xy
ra hng nm
Ngp lt
ng t
Trt l
K thut
6
0.2
10
0.1
34.4
15
0.0667
25
0.04
35
0.0286
50
0.02
60
0.0167
8.493
100
85.85
199
231.0
0.1519
44.96
338.3
100
0.01
510
2.016
200
0.005
16.49
300
0.003
33.99
400
0.0025
61.93
500
0.002
249.3
L lt
Bin php
Di di nh ca trong vng tai bin l c
khong thi gian lp li 10 nm
Bn chn l
ng t
Trt l
B sung thit b v ng t
Di tn khi vng tai bin ln
K thut
Bin php n nh sn
B tr li cng nghip ha cht
tng lai ca 2 kch bn, xc nh khi lng ri ro gim xung. Trong bn pha
di, mt mt do l lt c ch ra cho v tr hin nay.
2
5
10
25
50
100
200
Mt mt do l
(khng
c
hot
ng gim nh)
6
(theo .10 )
0
19.3
34.4
100
199
510
1134
Kch bn gim nh
mt mt do
l l t I
6
(theo .10 )
Kch bn gim nh
mt mt do l lt II
6
(theo .10 )
0
0
0
100
199
510
1134
0
0
19.3
34.4
100
199
510
Phn
Kh
nng
xy
ra
hng
nm
Mt mt
(theo
0.5
0.2
19.3
10
0.1
34.4
Chu k
lp li
.106)
Khong
cch
trc Y
Khong
cch
trc
X
(theo
.106)
A
B
C
25
0.04
100
50
0.02
199
D
E
100
0.01
510
200
0.005
1134
Tam
gic
(theo
T Trc
Y
.106)
Ch
nht
(theo
.106)
0.3
19.3
2.895
0.2
3.86
0.1
15.1
0.755
0.1
1.51
0.06
65.6
1.968
0.04
2.624
0.02
99
99
0.02
1.90
0.01
311
1.555
0.01
3.11
0.005
624
1.56
9.723
0.005
3.12
16.204
25.927
y l ri ro hng nm, bng
cch ly tng ca cc tam gic
v hnh vung trong th
Phn
Chu
k
lp li
Kh
nng
xy ra hng
nm
Mt mt
(theo
0.5
0.2
19.3
.106)
A
B
10
0.1
34.4
25
0.04
100
50
0.02
199
100
0.01
510
200
0.005
1134
1500
0.0006667
1500
C
D
E
F
G
Khong
cch
trc Y
Trung
bnh
trc X
Mt mt
(theo
0.3
9.65
2.895
0.1
26.85
2.685
0.06
67.2
4.032
0.02
149.5
2.99
0.01
354.5
3.545
0.005
822
4.11
0.004333
1317
5.707
.106)
25.964
Ri ro hng nm trung
6
bnh (theo .10 )
Kch bn 1
Xy
nh
cho
nhng ngi di di
khi vng l lt
S thch ng ca
cc khu vc ti
nh c
Kch bn 2
Xy
dng
bn
ngn l
Thch
ng
ca
lng sng
Thch ng ca cu
Tnh ton nh
th no
S ngi nh X gi
t chung
Gi
tr
tiu
chun
Gi t chung trn
mt ngi nh =
15000
S ngi nh nh X
chi ph ph d
chung
Chi ph ph d
chung
=
1000/ngi nh
S ngi nh X chi
ph
chung
cho
mnh t trn
mt ngi nh
S ngi nh X chi
ph di di
Ch ph chung cho
mnh t trn
mt ngi nh =
10000
Chi ph di di
trung
bnh
=
50.000/ngi nh
Chi ph thch ng
chung/m2 = 20
theo
ph
ng
tnh
10.000.000
tnh
10.000.000
tnh
5.000.000
Gi tr
A
25.000.000
Kch bn 1
S lng nh
Din
vng l
tch
Chi ph chung
(theo )
Chi ph (theo
.106)
A
B
C
D
E
F
Tng s tin
u t
Quan trng:
Chng ta ch ang xem xt kha cnh kinh t ca vic thc hin kch bn 1. Cn nhiu
kha cnh kinh t-x hi: cc cng ng sng trong khu vc s khng bng lng
vi vic di di. H c nhng mi rng buc lch s vi ni h sng, ni h sinh ra v
ln ln, v.v... Nhng kha cnh khng th tnh ton c ny cng cn phi a vo
trong nghin cu nh l kha cnh hon ton kinh t
Kch bn 1
Kch bn 2
Chi ph u t cho
kch bn I_F (theo
.106)
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12-40
10%
10%
10%
10%
10%
10%
10%
10%
10%
10%
0
0
ca
ca
ca
ca
ca
ca
ca
ca
ca
ca
50
50
50
50
50
50
50
50
50
50
=
=
=
=
=
=
=
=
=
=
5
5
5
5
5
5
5
5
5
5
Chi ph hot ng
ca chnh quyn
kim
sot
ln
chim
0.250
0.250 + 5%
0.263+ 5%
0.276+ 5%
0.289+ 5%
0.304+ 5%
0.319+ 5%
0.335+ 5%
0.352+ 5%
0.369+ 5%
0.388+ 5%
v.v
Chi ph u t
cho kch bn II_F
(theo .106)
33% ca 25
33% ca 25
33% ca 25
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
Chi ph bo dng v
duy tr hot ng
hng nm ca kch
bn II
0
0
0
0.5
0.500+ 5%
0.525+ 5%
0.551+ 5%
0.579+ 5%
0.608+ 5%
0.638+ 5%
0.670+ 5%
v.v
Gi tr hin ti rng
Chng ta cn phi nh rng lng tin ging nhau nhng trong tng lai s t gi tr
hn hin ti. V th chng ta cn tnh ton gi tr hin ti rng (NPV).
NPV =
i =1
valuesi
(1 + rate)i
A
D liu
8%
-40.000
8.000
9.200
10.000
12.000
14.500
Cng thc
=NPV (A2,A4:A8)+A3
=NPV(A2,A4:A8, -9000)+A3
B
M t
T l chit khu hng nm. N th hin t l lm pht hoc li sut u t
cnh tranh
Chi ph u t ban u
Tin li nm u tin
Tin li nm th 2
Tin li nm th 3
Tin li nm th 4
Tin li nm th 5
M t (kt qu)
Gi tr hin ti rng ca i tng u t (1922,06)
Gi tr hin ti rng ca i tng u t, c thua l trong 6 nm l 9000
(-3749,47)
Cu hi:
Kch bn l lt khc
Gi ta so snh gi tr NPV v IRR vi cc kch bn gim thiu ri ro khc nhau.
Kch
bn
gim
thiu ri ro l
Kch
bn
gim
thiu I
Kch
bn
gim
thiu II
NPV khi
sut 5%
li
NPV khi li
sut 10%
NPV
khi
sut 20%
li
IRR
34.56
-3.10
-15.58
9%
195.80
91.16
27.32
42%
Cu hi:
Kch bn gim thiu no m bn s khuyn chnh quyn a phng
thc hin?
VI
15
0.067
1323
VII
35
0.28571
4850
VIII
50
0.02
8945
IX
60
0.016667
10991
Vit kt qu vo bng bn di
Kch
bn
gim
thiu
ri ro ng
t
Kch
bn
gim nh
NPV khi li
sut l 5%
NPV khi li
sut l 10%
NPV khi li
sut l 20%
IRR
Gim nh trt l l vic kh thi nhng vng tia bin trt l cao. N bao gm
nhng cng trnh lm n nh sn, nh l s tiu nc sn, tng chn. Tui th
ca cng trnh n nh sn khng th hn 16 nm. V phi bo dng hng nm.
Kch
bn
gim thiu ri
ro trt l
Kch
bn
gim nh
Kch
bn
gim nh
NPV khi li
sut l 5%
NPV khi li
sut l 10%
NPV khi li
sut l 20%
IRR
Tnh gim thiu ri ro/ri ro trnh c cho vic di di cng nghip ha hc,
cng nh chi ph u t v bo dng bng s dng cc bc tng t c
a ra cho cc kch bn l lt. Vit kt qu vo bng.
3 gi
D liu t th mc ph :/exercise07a
Mc ch ca bi tp ny l gip bn s dng thng tin ri ro m bn to ra
trong bi tp trc cho phng chng tnh trng khn cp. Chng ta s m phng
mt tnh trng khn cp din ra RiskCity. Bn s lm vic theo nhm nh l
phng thng tin a l ca chnh quyn a phng v bn phi cung cp cho h
thng tin phn ng li tnh trng khn cp.
Hai thnh vin khc s sn sng h tr trong khi m phng bng cch a
ra cc gi v cch gii quyt cc vn GIS c th.
D liu u vo
Khu vc nghin cu c m phng s dng mt lng ln d liu, lin quan n tai
bin, yu t chu ri ro v mt mt c on trc cho tai bin ng t, l lt, trt
l. D liu ny m phng v tr thc t ni bn khng bin khi no v ci g ang x y
ra, v v th tt c thng tin c c u hu dng.
Bng di y a ra mt danh sch cc d liu quan trng nht
Tn
Yu t chu ri ro
Mapping_units
Kiu
M t
Raster
Building_map_1998
Bn raster
D liu ng t
Seismic_risk
Bng
Earthquakes_country
im
D liu l lt
Flood_risk
Bng
Flood_05year_to
Flood_100year
Flood_10y, flood_50y
Flood_100y
D liu trt l
Landslide_risk
Polygon
v
Raster
Bng
Landslide_susceptibility
Landslide_ID
D liu ri ro k thut
Technological_risk
Raster
Bn polygon
Main_industry
im
D liu khc
High_res_image
Country_anaglyph
City_center
Raster
Raster
im
Trong khi bn vn cn thi gian, quan trng nht nhn ra cc trung tm tnh
trng khn cp chnh. Bn c th tm cc ta nh v s ngi lin quan n trm cu
ha, n cnh st v bnh vin.
Nhn bit thng tin m bn nhn trong tin nhn v thng tin khoa
hc trn bng.