April 6, 2016

Crime Type
Murder

2014

%
2015 Change

2015
5-Yr. % Change
Avg. from 5-Yr.

35

36

2.9%

37.0

-2.7%

Rape

111

72

-35.1%

100.6

-28.4%

Robbery

709

654

-7.8%

798.4

-18.1%

Agg. Assault

779

900

15.5%

1,048.8

-14.2%

Violent CrimeTotal

1,634

1,662

1.7%

1,984.8

-16.3%

Burglary

2,138

1,762

-17.6%

2,891.0

-39.1%

Larceny

6,105

5,852

-4.1%

7,012.0

-16.5%

596

651

9.2%

641.0

1.6%

8,839

8,265

10,473

9,927

MV Theft
Property Crime Total

Total Part I Crime

-6.5%

10,544.0

-21.6%

-5.2% 12,529.0

-20.8%

Increase in Aggravated Assaults

Up 15.5% overall from 2014
20.3% yearly increase in shooting victims
Menacing 2nd (threats with a weapon) are up 24.5% from 2014

Increase in Shooting Victims

Up roughly 15% from the 5-year and 10-year averages
2nd highest total of individuals shot in a multiple-victim event since 2000

Increase in Motor Vehicle Theft

Up 9.2% from 2014

Year
2015
2014
2013
2012
2011
2010
2009
2008
2007
2006

Aggravated
Assault

Increased 15.5% from 2014 but still 14.2% lower

than the 5-yr avg.

1 ,1 0 4

48.0% of all aggravated assaults involve only a

threat of violence with a weapon (Menacing 2nd)

1 ,1 4 8

1 ,2 7 3

1 ,0 7 1

9 00
779
940

1 ,1 0 3
1 ,1 4 7
1 ,1 9 3

Weapon type in physical assaults:

Note: Due to a reporting change, data prior to

2005 is not comparable to current totalsprevious totals did not count menacing.

Indicative of interpersonal disputes

No actual injury occurs
Consistent level over past 5 years

39.4% involved a knife

33.1% involved a firearm
7.8% involved no weapon

Non-Random Violence: 58.3% of

aggravated assaults
involve a victim and suspect who know each other (acquaintance
or intra-family)
9.4% of all aggravated assaults occur within the family
21.5% of all aggravated assaults involve an intimate partner
Relationship is unknown or not given in 23.7% of cases

Shooting Incidents by Year (2000-2015)

300

250

250
224
211

200
181
150

144

158

197
181
164

171

155
136

128
100

50

204

205

135

Gun Recoveries by Year: 2006-2015

1200

# of Firearms Recovered

1000

800

600

400

200

0
Non-Crime
Crime

2006
517
517

2007
483
445

2008
441
455

2009
421
374

2010
511
441

2011
458
432

2012
573
511

2013
499
557

2014
314
372

2015
603
493

Lowest Part I Crime level in 25 years

Fewer than 10,000 Part I crimes for the 1st time in 25 years
1985-2012: ZERO years with less than 12,000
Lowest Property Crime level in 25 years

80.0% Homicide Clearance Rate

2nd Lowest Violent Crime levels in 10 years; 4th

lowest in 25 years

Robbery, Burglary and Larceny each at

25-year lows
5th consecutive year of Burglary decline after a 15-yr high
Fewer than 700 robberies for the first time in 25 years

Highest Total of Gun Seizures in 10 years

Year
2015
2014
2013
2012
2011
2010
2009
2008
2007
2006
2005
2004
2003
2002
2001

Murder

Clearances:

Weapon Type:

36
35

80.0% (28 out of 35* ) of homicides closed

with arrest by calendar year end
9 additional cases closed from previous years

42
36
31

74.3% involving a firearm, consistent with long-term

average (typically 75-80%)
4 murders (11.4%) involved a knife/cutting instrument
2 murders resulted from a physical beating or blunt object

41
28
42
50
49
53
36
58

Non-Random: Victim knew the suspect in 22 instances

Circumstances:

42
40

* One homicide is counted in the yearly totals

per UCR standards but has been excluded from
the 2015 analysis because the originating
incident occurred in 1999.

At least 51.4% (18/35) cases involved a dispute of some

kind
10 occurred during the immediate aftermath of a
physical altercation

Rochester Homicide: 1985-2015

70

65

64

64
62

60
58
55
53
50

50

49

53

51

50
49

46

Long-Term Average
(1985-2015): 42.9

45
42
40

40

38
36

35

39

42

42

41

40

36

36

36

36
35
31

30

29
26

25

28

27

Homicides

Rolling Average

2015

2014

2013

2012

2011

2010

2009

2008

2007

2006

2005

2004

2003

2002

2001

2000

1999

1998

1997

1996

1995

1994

1993

1992

1991

1990

1989

1988

1987

1986

1985

20

Year
2015
2014
2013
2012
2011
2010
2009
2008
2007
2006
2005
2004
2003
2002
2001

Rape
72

111
86
112

Down 35.1% from 2014 and 28.7% from the 5yr avg.

Weapon Type:

95

99

97

98
121
92

1 00

86
1 07
84

89.6% involved no weapon (physical only)

4 involved a knife/cutting instrument
1 involved a simulated firearm

Non-Random Violence:

91

No abnormal monthly, weekly, or hourly patterns

70.6% of cases involved a suspect known to the victim

Cases involving a stranger down 6.7% from 2014 and
25.5% from 5-yr average

79.5% of cases occurred indoors

Consistent with 2014 and 5-yr. average

Year
2015
2014
2013
2012
2011
2010
2009
2008
2007
2006
2005
2004
2003
2002
2001

Robbery
654

Lowest Citywide robbery total in 25 years

Down 7.8% from 2014 and 18.1% from

5-yr avg.

7 09
895

Goodman (-23.4%) and Clinton (-15.3%) drove the yearly

decrease
Citywide double-digit decrease from 2014 in Q2 & Q3
(Apr-Sept.)

81 7
755
81 6
846
1 ,0 5 9
1 ,0 3 2
1 ,3 3 2

44.9% involved a firearm

39.5% involved no weapon
9.2% involved a knife

1 ,0 2 6
934
1 ,1 6 6
97 2
921

Weapon Type:

Consistent with 5-year averages

88.4% involved a suspect unknown to the victim
72.6% occurred outdoors
About (49.2%) occur between 3pm-11pm

Year
2015
2014
2013
2012
2011
2010
2009
2008
2007
2006
2005
2004
2003
2002
2001

Burglary

Lowest Citywide Burglary total in

25 years

Down 17.5% from 2014 and 39.1%

from 5-yr avg.

Double-digit year-to-year declines

in each Section

Residential burglaries account for

83.6% of all burglaries citywide

1 ,7 6 2
2 ,1 3 8
2 ,5 0 7
2 ,9 7 8
3 ,3 8 4
3 ,4 4 8
2 ,8 9 9
2 ,8 0 8
2 ,5 8 2
2 ,6 7 3
2 ,7 5 8
2 ,7 2 1
2 ,4 9 7
2 ,4 6 7
2 ,4 5 9

42.5% have no forced entry

20.6% involve unlocked doors or windows
9.9% occur at vacant houses
72.6% of metal thefts occur vacant houses

Year
2015
2014
2013
2012
2011
2010
2009
2008
2007
2006
2005
2004
2003
2002
2001

Larceny
5 ,8 5 2

Lowest Citywide Larceny total in

25 years

Down 4.1% from 2014 and 16.5%

from 5-yr avg.

Car break-ins accounted for 48.7%

of outdoor larcenies (20.8% of all)

6 ,1 0 5
6 ,8 0 4
7 ,6 8 3
6 ,8 4 9
7 ,6 2 0
7 ,1 3 0
7 ,0 6 0
7 ,0 4 4
7 ,9 1 3
8 ,8 2 6
9 ,5 5 1
9 ,7 7 3
9 ,8 5 3
9 ,7 1 9

45.7% occur in a parking garage/lot

47.3% occur on the street

Year
2015
2014
2013
2012
2011
2010
2009
2008
2007
2006
2005
2004
2003
2002
2001

Motor vehicle
theft

Increased 9.2% from 2014 and

1.6% from 5-yr. average

Spiked in Q1 (Jan-Mar): up 41.9%

from 2014

Most common theft locations:

651
596
534
622
7 01
752
962
1 ,2 6 2
1 ,6 5 1
2 ,4 1 3
2 ,2 4 4
3 ,1 8 6
3 ,4 3 8
2 ,8 0 5
2 ,3 1 5

Street 38.0%
Parking Lot 20.6%
Residential Location 20.1%
Commercial Location 7.5%

Rochester Part I Crime: 1985-2015

30,000

27,486
26,875

26,030
25,520

25,000

25,570
23,187

24,444

22,719

22,491
22,585

22,728

20,901

20,000

19,885

18,713

17,742

17,250

17,240
16,911

16,100

15,000

16,156

15,665
15,802

14,049

13,432

13,627

13,352

13,033

12,963

11,808

10,473
10,000

9,927

5,000

2015

2014

2013

2012

2011

2010

2009

2008

2007

2006

2005

2004

2003

2002

2001

2000

1999

1998

1997

1996

1995

1994

1993

1992

1991

1990

1989

1988

1987

1986

1985

Rochester Part I Crimes Per Capita

(Crimes per 100,000 people): 1985-2015

14,000

12,000

11,782.0

11,669.4
11,195.5

10,000

10,845.7

11,038.9

10,363.0

9,845.8

9,797.1
9,247.5

9,613.2

9,350.6

9,033.5
8,449.3

8,617.1

8,156.2
7,999.7

7,849.0

8,000
7,414.5

7,401.2

7,622.0
7,426.3

7,337.7

6,593.1

6,541.3

6,000

6,672.0
6,298.3

6,341.0

6,128.8

5,607.8
4,978.7

4,727.5

4,000

2,000

2015

2014

2013

2012

2011

2010

2009

2008

2007

2006

2005

2004

2003

2002

2001

2000

1999

1998

1997

1996

1995

1994

1993

1992

1991

1990

1989

1988

1987

1986

1985