TAYLOR'S COLLEGE VT Wisdom integrity Exel since 969 CAMBRIDGE A LEVEL PROGRAMME A2 TRIAL EXAMINATION AUGUST/SEPTEMBER 2010 (June 2009 Intake) Monday 30 August 2010 8.30 am ~ 9.45 am MATHEMATICS 9709/73 PAPER 7 Probability & Statistics 2 ($2) Thour 15 minutes Additional materials: Answer Bookle/Paper List of formulae (MFO) READ THESE INSTRUCTIONS FIRST Ifyou have been given an Answer Booklet, follow the instructions on the front cover of the Booklet \Wiite your name and class on all the work you hand in ‘Wit in dark blue or black pon on both sides of the paper. ‘You may use a soft pencil for any diagrams or graphs Do not use staples, paper clips, highlighters, glue or correction fluid. Ansiter all the questions. Give non-exact numerical answers correct to 3 significant figures, or 1 decimal place in the case of angles in degrees, unloss a diferent loval of accuracy is spectiad inthe question A the end ofthe examination, fasten all your work securely together ‘Tho number of marks is given in brackets {Jat the end of each question or part question. The total marks for this paper is 50. Questions carrying smaller numbers of marks are printed earlier in the peper, and questions carrying larger humbers of marks later in the paper. The use of an electronic caiculator is expected, where appropriate. You are reminded of the need for clear presentation in your answers. This document consists of § printed pages. © Taylor's College Subang Jaya 2010 [Turn overThe independent random variables.’ and Y are such that ’ has mean 6 and variance 5,2 and Y has a Poisson distribution with mean 10, Find @ EGX-2Y), i] Gi) Var -2Y). B) ‘Ata particular hospital it was found from past records that the probability that a patient does not turn up for an appointment is 0.3 Following a campaign to make patients more aware of the problems caused by missed appointments, a significance test at the 10% level was carried out to decide whether the campaign has been effeetive in reducing the number of patients who did not turn up for an appointment. A random sample of 16 patients was surveyed. (i) Find the eritical region for the test. 0 Gi) Find the probabi in (i if in fact the probability that patient does not turn up for an y of making a Type II error in the test described appointment is now 0.25. A single observation is taken from Poisson distribution with mean jr and used to test the hypothesis j« = 6 against the alternative hypothesis H>6 ‘The critical region is chosen to be x > 11 (3) 6G) (At what significance level is the test carried out? (ii) Find the probability of making a Type Il error if, in fact,‘The continuous random variable X has probability density function given by +bx OSxS2 0 otherwise, where is constant (Show that = 5. 2] (ii) Calculate the mean and variance of X. BI (iii) Determine whether the median of is greater than, less than, or equal to E(X), 12] Customers arrive at a post office al a constant average rate of 0.4 per minute, (i) State an assumption needed to model the number of customers arriving in a given time interval by a Poisson distribution. ( Assuming that the use of a Poisson distribution is justified, i) find the probability that more than 2 customers arrive in a randomly chosen 1-minute interval, (2) (ii) use a suitable approximation to calculate the probability that more than 55 customers arrive in a given two-hour interval 14] [Turn over‘A supermarket’s statistician reports that, over the past three months, the mean amount spent per customer has been £43 with standard deviation of £20. ‘The supermarket carries out a promotion for one week by offering “buy two... get one free” on a range of products which it sells, The management hopes that this will increase the mean amount spent per customer; you may assume that the standard deviation remains unchanged. A random sample of 50 customers visiting the supermarket that week spent a total of £2400, (Write down suitable mull and alternative hypothesis in order to test whether or not the promotion has increased the average level of spending per customer. ul (ii) Explain carefully the use of the Central limit theorem in carrying out this hypothesis test a (iii) Carry out the hypothesis test at the 5% significance level, clearly i stating your conclusion, (iv) Find a 90% confidence interval for the mean amount spent by customers during the period of the promotion, State, giving a reason, whether this is consistent with your conclusion in (iii). (3)‘The mass of tea in ‘Supacuppa’ teabags has a normal distribution with mean 4.1 g and standard deviation 0.12 g. The mass of tea in “Bumpacuppa’ teabags has a normal distribution with mean 5.2 g and standard deviation 0.15 g. The mass of tea in ‘Kupacuppa’ teabags is one and a half times the mass of tea in ‘Supa @ i) Gi) w) ‘uppa’ teabags. Find the probability that a randomly chosen Supacuppa teabag contains more than 4.0 g of tea, Find the probability that, of 4 randomly chosen Supacuppa teabags, one contains more than 4.0 g of tea and the other three contain less than 4.0 g of tea. Pind the probability that the total mass of tea in $ randomly chosen Supacuppa teabags is more than the total mass of tea in 4 randomly. chosen Bumpacuppa teabags. Find the probability that a randomly chosen Kupacuppa teabag, contains less than 6.0 g of tea, By I} BI