The document discusses the fallacy of misleading vividness. A young boy recalls two vivid examples of a bear escaping from a local petting zoo and attacking animals. However, the boy fails to consider the many times the bear did not escape, leading him to form an exaggerated view of the likelihood of escape based on these few memorable incidents. The boy is warned that by focusing only on the emotionally vivid examples, and not all the times the bear stayed safely in its cage, he has developed a logically flawed perspective on the true chances of escape.
The document discusses the fallacy of misleading vividness. A young boy recalls two vivid examples of a bear escaping from a local petting zoo and attacking animals. However, the boy fails to consider the many times the bear did not escape, leading him to form an exaggerated view of the likelihood of escape based on these few memorable incidents. The boy is warned that by focusing only on the emotionally vivid examples, and not all the times the bear stayed safely in its cage, he has developed a logically flawed perspective on the true chances of escape.
The document discusses the fallacy of misleading vividness. A young boy recalls two vivid examples of a bear escaping from a local petting zoo and attacking animals. However, the boy fails to consider the many times the bear did not escape, leading him to form an exaggerated view of the likelihood of escape based on these few memorable incidents. The boy is warned that by focusing only on the emotionally vivid examples, and not all the times the bear stayed safely in its cage, he has developed a logically flawed perspective on the true chances of escape.
at my local petting zoo got out and attacked my next door neighbors dog. They got him back in his cage, and the dog was fine, but I didnt go to the petting zoo for twenty years! Then, yesterday, when I finally got enough courage to go there, the bear escaped again! I saw it on facebook! It attacked a woman and her child, and theres no way Im going anywhere near that zoo now! That bear just gets out too often!
Hold on there, Muchacho!
This bear isnt really attacking me and my mom. See, its just a statue, and my mom is exploiting my tender age to get likes on social media. All is well! But I couldnt help but notice a logical fallacy in what you just said. See, the bear at the petting zoo doesnt get out that often. The news doesnt tend to report it when the animals stay in their cages, so you havent paid attention to those days. And now that you have two examples of the bear escaping without any examples of the bear not escaping, you have a poorly constructed view of how likely it is for the bear to escape. Youve put too much weight into the emotionaly