Activities

Critical
Critical

Critical
Critical
Critical

A
B
C
D
E
F
G
H
I
J

Immidiate Optimistic
Predecessor
4
A
3
A
2
C
6
B
4
C
3
D,E
1.5
B
5
H
3
G,I
2

Project Variance
Standard Deviation

9.1111111
3.0184617

Probability 27 Weeks
z=
-0.331295
look at normal z table
prob =

Most
Pessimistic Expected
Probable
Time (tE)
5
12
6
4.5
15
6
3
4
3
8
22
10
6
8
6
4
5
4
3
4.5
3
7
15
8
4
5
4
4
6
4
28

0.3745
37.45%

27

Variance
1.7777778
4
0.1111111
7.1111111
0.4444444
0.1111111
0.25
2.7777778 Start
0.1111111
0
0.4444444

12
0
12
6
0
6
0
0
0

12

12
12
3
15

6
2
8

11

9
2
11
9
15
24

20

20

18

21

19

10

21

13

28

20
0
20

19
2
21

24

24

22

24

24
0
24

28

28

FINISH
28