Diketahui :

Pembangkit Listrik Tenaga Gas (PLTG)

Persentase Kenaikan O&M/kWh Rata-Rata per tahun (%)
Asumsi Capasity factor (%)
Periode Pengembalian Modal + Bunga (Tahun)
Suku Bunga (Annual Interest) (%)
Asumsi Energi yang dijual (%)
Persentase Kenaikan Harga Bahan Bakar Rata-Rata Per Tahun (%)
Persentase Kenaikan Nilai Tukar Rupiah/USD Rata-Rata Per Tahun (%)
Persentase Kenaikan Harga Listrik Indonesia Rata-Rata Per Tahun (%)
Peaking Power Capital Cost ($) per kWh

Tahun

Annual Interest

Nilai Tukar

Harga Listrik

1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
19
20

(KW)
50,000
50,000
50,000
50,000
50,000
50,000
50,000
50,000
50,000
50,000
50,000
50,000
50,000
50,000
50,000
50,000
50,000
50,000
50,000
50,000

(%)
10
10
10
10
10
10
10
10
10
10
10
10
10
10
10
10
10
10
10
10

Rupiah/USD
13,000
13,650
14,333
15,049
15,802
16,592
17,421
18,292
19,207
20,167
21,176
22,234
23,346
24,513
25,739
27,026
28,377
29,796
31,286
32,850

per Tahun (Rp)

1,509.38
1,584.85
1,743.33
1,917.67
2,109.43
2,320.38
2,552.42
2,807.66
3,088.42
3,397.26
3,736.99
4,110.69
4,521.76
4,973.94
5,471.33
6,292.03
7,235.83
8,321.21
9,569.39
11,004.80

tahui :

Capasity Factor

O&M/(kWH)

Fuel

Peaking Power

%
80.00
78.00
75.00
75.00
73.00
73.00
71.00
71.00
71.00
78.00
78.00
78.00
77.00
77.00
74.00
76.00
75.00
73.00
70.00
68.00

IDR
182
209
241
277
318
366
421
484
557
640
736
847
974
1,120
1,288
1,481
1,703
1,959
2,252
2,590

IDR
1,040
1,092
1,147
1,204
1,264
1,327
1,394
1,463
1,537
1,613
1,694
1,779
1,868
1,961
2,059
2,162
2,270
2,384
2,503
2,628

IDR
11,830,000
11,830,000
11,830,000
11,830,000
11,830,000
11,830,000
11,830,000
11,830,000
11,830,000
11,830,000
11,830,000
11,830,000
11,830,000
11,830,000
11,830,000
11,830,000
11,830,000
11,830,000
11,830,000
11,830,000

Nilai
50 MW
15
80
25
10
93
5
5
5
910

Cost per kWh Fuel

USD
Cost per kWh O & M
USD
Peaking Power Capital Costs USD
Faktor Diskonto 8% ,20 Tahun
Faktor Diskonto 12% ,20 Tah

CAPITAL COST

ANNUAL COST

IDR
591,500,000,000
591,500,000,000
591,500,000,000
591,500,000,000
591,500,000,000
591,500,000,000
591,500,000,000
591,500,000,000
591,500,000,000
591,500,000,000
591,500,000,000
591,500,000,000
591,500,000,000
591,500,000,000
591,500,000,000
591,500,000,000
591,500,000,000
591,500,000,000
591,500,000,000
591,500,000,000

IDR
65,164,414,700.40
65,164,414,700.40
65,164,414,700.40
65,164,414,700.40
65,164,414,700.40
65,164,414,700.40
65,164,414,700.40
65,164,414,700.40
65,164,414,700.40
65,164,414,700.40
65,164,414,700.40
65,164,414,700.40
65,164,414,700.40
65,164,414,700.40
65,164,414,700.40
65,164,414,700.40
65,164,414,700.40
65,164,414,700.40
65,164,414,700.40
65,164,414,700.40

0.080
0.014
910
9.818
7.469

JUMLAH KERJA
EFFEKTIF
JAM/ TAHUN
7,008
6,833
6,570
6,570
6,395
6,395
6,220
6,220
6,220
6,833
6,833
6,833
6,745
6,745
6,482
6,658
6,570
6,395
6,132
5,957

IDR
IDR
IDR

1,040 per kWh

182 per kWh
11,830,000 per kW

ENERGI YANG
DIHASILKAN /TAHUN
kWh
350,400,000
341,640,000
328,500,000
328,500,000
319,740,000
319,740,000
310,980,000
310,980,000
310,980,000
341,640,000
341,640,000
341,640,000
337,260,000
337,260,000
324,120,000
332,880,000
328,500,000
319,740,000
306,600,000
297,840,000

ENERGI YANG DIJUAL /TAHUN

COST / kWh

kWh
325,872,000.000
317,725,200.000
305,505,000.000
305,505,000.000
297,358,200.000
297,358,200.000
289,211,400.000
289,211,400.000
289,211,400.000
317,725,200.000
317,725,200.000
317,725,200.000
313,651,800.000
313,651,800.000
301,431,600.000
309,578,400.000
305,505,000.000
297,358,200.000
285,138,000.000
276,991,200.000

IDR
199.97
205.10
213.30
213.30
219.14
219.14
225.32
225.32
225.32
205.10
205.10
205.10
207.76
207.76
216.18
210.49
213.30
219.14
228.54
235.26

TOTAL COST / kWh

HARGA JUAL / kWh

KEUNTUNGAN

IDR
1,422
1,506
1,601
1,694
1,802
1,913
2,040
2,173
2,319
2,459
2,635
2,831
3,049
3,289
3,563
3,854
4,187
4,561
4,984
5,453
57,333

IDR
1,635.26
1,732.36
1,840.68
1,948.13
2,071.83
2,199.43
2,345.99
2,498.75
2,666.41
2,827.54
3,030.75
3,255.17
3,506.58
3,781.94
4,097.55
4,431.55
4,814.56
5,245.60
5,731.32
6,271.49

IDR
213.30
225.96
240.09
254.10
270.24
286.88
306.00
325.92
347.79
368.81
395.32
424.59
457.38
493.30
534.46
578.03
627.99
684.21
747.56
818.02
8,599.94

Arus Kas Net

Fd rendah

FD tinggi

IDR
74,738,709,468
77,196,809,268
78,869,350,593
83,473,323,262
86,406,064,688
91,727,538,864
95,159,605,357
101,355,797,840
108,156,359,701
126,000,159,953
135,055,691,487
145,056,156,050
154,255,800,243
166,369,151,988
173,230,329,190
192,414,189,547
206,293,592,499
218,768,998,521
229,202,799,025
243,639,168,144

8%
0.926
1.783
2.577
3.312
3.993
4.623
5.206
5.747
6.247
6.710
7.139
7.536
7.904
8.244
8.559
8.851
9.122
9.372
9.604
9.818
Total PV
NPV
IRR

12%
0.893
1.690
2.402
3.037
3.605
4.111
4.564
4.968
5.328
5.650
5.938
6.194
6.424
6.628
6.811
6.974
7.120
7.250
7.366
7.469

PV Rendah
IDR
-522,291,955,032.81
-453,858,089,075.50
-388,253,683,522.34
-315,036,353,357.73
-246,480,583,701.04
-167,443,587,830.28
-96,099,094,510.53
-9,008,229,811.41
84,152,779,052.30
308,015,141,904.65
426,279,691,047.39
555,023,857,415.46
680,184,817,200.34
832,453,571,869.11
941,761,643,656.75
1,163,702,237,047.77
1,341,883,548,900.13
1,509,557,461,800.08
1,658,813,080,829.09
1,800,549,352,839.72
9,103,905,606,721.14
9,103,905,599,713.14
16.09%

PV Tinggi
IDR
-524,758,332,445.25
-461,037,392,337.41
-402,055,819,876.08
-337,991,517,254.66
-280,006,136,799.96
-214,408,087,728.81
-157,191,561,149.84
-87,964,396,329.06
-15,242,915,512.94
120,400,903,734.59
210,460,696,050.88
306,977,830,570.77
399,439,260,758.73
511,194,739,379.42
588,371,772,110.06
750,396,557,900.80
877,310,378,592.51
994,575,239,280.57
1,096,807,817,619.38
1,228,240,946,869.01
4,603,519,983,432.71
4,603,519,976,424.71

Sumber Data ESDM

Tahun
1993
1994
1995
1996
1997
1998
1999
2000
2001
2002
2003
2004
2005
2006
2007
2008
2009
2010
2011
2012
2013
2014

USD/Barrel
17.25
16
17
20
19.1
12.48
17.52
28.39
23.89
24.53
28.65
37.18
53.44
64.27
72.32
97.02
61.58
78.4
111.55
112.73
105.84
96.51
Rata-Rata

Persentase (%)
-7.25%
6.25%
17.65%
-4.50%
-34.66%
40.38%
62.04%
-15.85%
2.68%
16.80%
29.77%
43.73%
20.27%
12.53%
34.15%
-36.53%
27.31%
42.28%
1.06%
-6.11%
-8.82%
11.58%

Harga Minyak Mentah Indonesia U

120
100
80

USD/Barrel

60
40
20
0

Tahun

Sumber Data BI & Kemenkeu

Tahun

entah Indonesia USD/Barrel

Rp/USD

2010
9,087
2011
8,779
2012
9,384
2013
10,459
2014
11,600
Rata-Rata

Nilai Tukar Rupiah/USD

15,000

Tahun

10,000

Rupiah/USD

5,000
0

2010

2011

2012

Tahun

Data BI & Kemenkeu

Persentase
(%)
Selisih
-3.39%
6.89%
11.46%
10.91%
6.47%

ukar Rupiah/USD

2011

2012

Tahun

2013

2014