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Corporate Governance
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To cite this document:
Hardjo Koerniadi Chandrasekhar Krishnamurti Alireza Tourani-Rad , (2014),"Corporate governance and the
variability of stock returns", International Journal of Managerial Finance, Vol. 10 Iss 4 pp. 494 - 510
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IJMF
10,4
494
Hardjo Koerniadi
Received 7 August 2012
Revised 27 February 2013
22 May 2013
5 August 2013
3 September 2013
2 October 2013
Accepted 11 October 2013
Chandrasekhar Krishnamurti
Finance Discipline, University of Southern Queensland, Toowoomba,
Australia, and
Alireza Tourani-Rad
Finance Department, Auckland University of Technology, Auckland,
New Zealand
Abstract
Purpose The purpose of this paper is to analyze the impact of firm-level corporate governance
practices on the riskiness of a firms stock returns.
Design/methodology/approach The authors constructed an index of governance quality
incorporating best practices stipulated by regulators. The authors employed regression analysis.
Findings The empirical evidence, using an index of corporate governance, shows that well-governed
New Zealand firms experience lower levels of risk, ceteris paribus. In particular, the results indicate that
corporate governance aspects such as board composition, shareholder rights, and disclosure practices are
associated with lower levels of risk.
Research limitations/implications A limitation of the study is that the corporate governance
index constructed is somewhat arbitrary and due to limitation of data availability the authors may
have excluded some factors such as share trading policy of directors and policies regarding provision
of non-auditing services by auditors. The research supports the view that institutional context could
have an impact on governance outcomes. The work has three implications for managers, investors,
and policy makers. First, the results imply that well-governed firms have lower idiosyncratic risk and
that this reduction is most likely due to the reduction in agency costs and information risk. Second, in
the absence of features like an active corporate control market and stock option based managerial
compensation, managers have little incentives to take on risky projects that increase firm value.
Third, the results suggest that the managers of well-governed firms are not more risk averse with
respect to investment decisions compared to poorly governed firms.
Practical implications The work has practical implications for managers, investors, and policy
makers. Well-governed firms face lower variability in stock returns compared to poorly governed
firms. Firms that have independent boards that protect its shareholders rights and disclose its
governance-related policies experience lower firm-level risk, other things being equal.
Originality/value This study is the first one to examine the impact of a composite measure of
corporate governance quality on stock return variability in a non-US setting. The results suggest that
firms can use specific corporate governance provisions to mitigate firm-level risk. The findings of the
paper are therefore relevant and useful to corporate managers, investors, and policy makers.
Keywords Corporate governance, New Zealand, Stock return variability
Paper type Research paper
1. Introduction
Extant research is of the view that firm-specific risk has a positive impact on a firms
stock returns (Fu, 2009; Goyal and Santa-Clara, 2003). Thus managers must take on
more risk, albeit in a measured way, in order to maximize firm value. However,
oftentimes managerial risk aversion precludes managers from an optimal level of risk
taking. In the absence of incentives, managers tend to behave in a risk-averse manner
foregoing risky projects that potentially increase the value of the firm. Amihud and
Lev (1981) provide another example of managerial risk aversion where managers
mitigate their employment risk by engaging in conglomerate mergers that reduce the
risk of the firm, at the cost of lowering the total value of combined firms.
Managerial compensation and an active market for corporate control have been
shown to provide the incentives for managerial risk taking. Smith and Stulz (1985)
posit that if managerial compensation is a convex function of the value of the firm, then
managers are incentivized to take risk as they will be better off if the firm does not
hedge. Low (2009) finds that managers responded to the regime shift that provided
greater protection from takeovers by lowering the risk of the firm. Furthermore,
the increase in managerial risk aversion is particularly severe in firms with lower CEO
vega values implying that option-like features in managerial compensation can
alleviate managerial risk aversion.
In addition to firm-specific managerial incentives, institutional factors have been
shown to be associated with higher risk taking. John et al. (2008) document a positive
linkage between investor protection and corporate risk taking. Furthermore, they show
that good governance at the firm level is associated with higher risk taking among US
firms. Thus it appears that good governance can mitigate managerial risk aversion.
While one strand of literature ( John et al., 2008; Ferreira and Laux, 2007) emphasizes
the positive aspects of risk taking, another strand emphasizes the existence of agency
costs such as the misuse of free cash flows, managerial opportunism, excessive managerial
compensation, and opaqueness in governance structures (Jensen and Meckling, 1976;
Dechow and Sloan, 1991) which have an adverse effect on a firms value. Bhojraj and
Sengupta (2003) show that firms with stronger governance practices are associated with
superior bond ratings and lower yield, ostensibly due to reduced agency risk.
Thus good governance, in the presence of conducive institutional features, can
enhance managerial risk-taking behavior and increase firm value akin to the good
cholesterol situation prevailing in the medical sciences. Good governance can also
reduce the bad cholesterol aspect of risk, namely, agency costs. We argue that these
costs and therefore bad risks may be minimized by a firm that adopts good
governance. The positive association between corporate governance quality and risk
documented by John et al. (2008) and Ferreira and Laux (2007) indicate that the good
cholesterol effect dominates the bad cholesterol effect in the USA.
In this paper, we extend the literature by examining the association between
corporate governance and risk taking in New Zealand, a country with major
institutional differences with the USA where most current studies have so far been
conducted. The New Zealand capital market is less developed and its corporations
have very high ownership concentration. There hardly exists an active market for
corporate control in New Zealand and executive compensation, with the exception of
a few larger and cross-listed firms, is far less performance based compared to countries
like the USA and the UK. We believe these specific institutional and corporate structures
in New Zealand would have considerable bearing on managerial risk-taking incentives,
weakening the good cholesterol effect. Therefore, we expect the bad cholesterol effect
Variability of
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to dominate. In other words, firms with good corporate governance will have lower
risk, ceteris paribus.
We therefore examine the impact of corporate governance features on the variability
of stock returns as a measure of risk taking. Specifically, we score each firm in our
sample on four components of corporate governance: board composition, shareholding
and compensation issues, shareholder rights issues, and corporate disclosure issues.
We aggregate these component scores to obtain an overall rating for each firm.
Our empirical results show that sub-indices based on board composition, shareholder
rights, and disclosure policy, significantly negatively influence risk, measured by
the standard deviation of monthly market-adjusted returns. There is no relationship
between shareholding and the compensation component of governance on a firms risk.
On balance, we show that in contrast to the USA, the bad cholesterol effect dominates
the good cholesterol effect in New Zealand.
We believe that our study is relevant to academicians and practitioners for the
following reasons. Idiosyncratic risk is not necessarily bad. In fact, shareholders
benefit when managers take deliberate risks when they make investment decisions.
However, governance risk stemming from agency costs detracts from stockholder
wealth maximization. A well-governed firm has a safety net in place for the protection
of minority shareholders. As such, the directors of well-governed firms should be
comfortable with their managers taking more considered risks, other things being equal.
On the other hand, it is possible that managers view current best corporate governance
practice recommendations as unduly restrictive and become more risk averse. Thus the
critical empirical issue is which of these effects is dominant. The insight from our
empirical work is that good governance is associated with lower risk, ostensibly due to
a reduction in agency costs. There is no evidence to indicate that good governance makes
managers more risk averse in the context of investment decisions.
The rest of the paper is organized as follows. In Section 2, we describe the theoretical
underpinnings that drive the relationship between specific corporate governance features
and risk. Based on these, we develop a set of testable hypotheses that form the basis of
our empirical analysis. In Section 3, we describe our Data and Methodology. Our empirical
results are contained in Section 4. Our conclusions are provided in the final section.
2. Corporate governance and risk: theoretical underpinnings and
measurement
2.1 Theoretical underpinnings
Recent work by financial economists explicitly recognizes the benefits of firm-specific
risk. Goyal and Santa-Clara (2003) assert that idiosyncratic risk is a good predictor of
future stock returns. Other researchers find an association between idiosyncratic risk
and growth (Campbell et al., 2001; Xu and Malkiel, 2003). Another effect of idiosyncratic
risk is that it provides firm-specific information that contributes to an improvement in
the allocation of resources across firms. Durnev et al. (2004) show that idiosyncratic
volatility is positively associated with more efficient capital budgeting, implying that it
also enhances the efficacy of allocation of resources within the firm. Using US data,
John et al. (2008) find that good governance at the firm level is associated with greater
risk taking.
Extant research supports the view that two firm-level features incentivize firm-level
risk taking. First, Ferreira and Laux (2007) find that firms with fewer anti-takeover
provisions display higher levels of idiosyncratic risk. They also report that trading
interest by institutions, especially those active in merger arbitrage, strengthens the
Variability of
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period. We describe the detailed scoring scheme of our corporate governance indices in
the Appendix. Price data is sourced from DataStream. After deleting firms for which
there were no financial data, the final sample consists of 385 firm year observations.
We provide descriptive statistics for selected variables in Table I. We use 385 firm
year observations covering 88 sample firms. The effects of outliers have been mitigated
by trimming the sample at first and 99th percentiles. Firm-level risk is the dependent
variable and following Cheng (2008) and Adams et al. (2005) is measured in two
ways standard deviation of monthly raw and market-adjusted returns. The market
index used was NZX all index. SD_Raw was calculated as the standard deviation of
monthly stock return from July in a given year to June next year. Adj_SD was
calculated as the standard deviation of market-adjusted monthly stock return.
The mean standard deviation of monthly raw stock return (SD_Raw) is 0.10.
The other dependent variable, standard deviation of monthly market-adjusted return
(Adj_SD) also has a mean of 0.10. The mean standard deviation of monthly market
return (Mkt_SD) is 0.04. The mean return on assets (ROA) is 0.33. The mean of
lagged ROA is 0.32. The average leverage is 1.39 for our sample firms. The average
market-to-book ratio (M/B) of the sample is 2.47. The average market capitalization of
our sample firms is NZ$391.71 million. The average age of our sample firms is 11.63
years. These statistics are similar to other those of comparable New Zealand studies
such as Koerniadi and Tourani-Rad (2012). The average aggregate CGI of our sample
firms is 65.40 out of a maximum 100 marks. The average board composition sub-index
score (BOARD) is 21.55 out of a possible 40 marks. The average shareholding and
compensation sub-index score (COMP) is 12.65 out of a possible 23 marks. The average
shareholder rights sub-index score (RIGHTS) is 19.44 out of a possible 22 marks.
The average disclosure policy sub-index score (DISC) is 11.76 out of a possible 15 marks.
Adj_SD
SD_Raw
Mkt_SD
ROA
LEV
M/B
Size (millions)
AGEa
ROA1
CGI
BOARD
COMP
RIGHTS
DISC
Table I.
Descriptive statistics
Mean
SD
Min
25th
Median
75th
Max
0.10
0.10
0.04
0.33
1.39
2.47
391.71
11.63
0.32
65.40
21.55
12.65
19.44
11.76
0.07
0.07
0.01
5.02
3.54
6.26
1,177.51
11.44
5.01
10.07
7.55
3.34
1.38
2.59
0.02
0.00
0.03
90.50
5.39
24.14
0.19
0.21
90.50
41.00
1.00
2.00
14.00
2.00
0.05
0.05
0.04
0.02
0.42
0.91
26.60
4.34
0.02
58.00
16.00
10.00
20.00
10.00
0.08
0.08
0.04
0.05
0.72
1.40
71.39
8.26
0.05
65.00
20.00
13.00
20.00
12.00
0.11
0.11
0.04
0.08
1.49
2.66
261.79
13.99
0.09
72.00
27.00
15.00
20.00
14.00
0.50
0.49
0.06
1.09
58.67
97.49
11,699.17
61.79
1.09
88.00
40.00
19.00
20.00
15.00
Our descriptive statistics indicate that there is a wide range of variation in the dependent
and key independent variables across firms.
The distribution of our sample across industrial sectors is shown in Table II. With the
exception of the consumer sector which contains about a quarter of our sample, there is no
concentration across other industry sectors. In Table III, we present correlation matrix
for aggregate corporate governance and its components as well as other key variables.
The correlation matrix indicates high correlation between the aggregate index and its
components. The components display low correlation between themselves (with the
exception of board and disclosure sub-indices). Thus we are assured that the components
of corporate governance computed assess different aspects of corporate governance
and do not cause serious measurement problems. As expected there is very high
correlation between our dependent variables standard deviation of monthly raw
return and standard deviation of monthly market-adjusted returns (0.98). The correlation
matrix indicates few cases of high correlation with the exception of 0.85 between leverage
and M/B.
Variability of
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501
3.2 Methodology
We conduct panel data regressions using standard deviation of monthly raw and
market-adjusted returns as dependent variables and corporate governance measures
described in the previous section as independent variables. Following Black et al.
(2006) and Klein et al. (2005), we also include a number of control variables such as
standard deviation of monthly market returns, ROA, leverage, M/B, size, and age.
In addition to these control variables we also use dummy variables to control for the effect
of industry affiliation. These control variables capture the potential impact of profitability,
growth potential, leverage, and size on riskiness of the firm. Thus the impact of corporate
governance on risk may be measured after controlling for other factors which could have
an impact on the riskiness of the firm. Our empirical models are as follows:
SD Raw a b1 Corporate Governancei;t b2 Mkt SDt b3 ROAi;t b4 LEVi;t
1
b5 M =Bi;t b6 SIZEi;t b7 AGEi;t b8 ROAi;t1 ei;t
Number of firms
10
2
21
6
3
11
5
5
11
4
10
88
Table II.
Industry affiliation
of sample firms
Table III.
Correlation matrices
0.98
0.18
0.22
0.32
0.27
0.45
0.03
0.13
0.15
0.02
0.03
0.31
0.12
0.18
0.20
0.31
0.27
0.41
0.01
0.13
0.12
0.03
0.04
0.27
0.10
SD_Raw
0.04
0.06
0.01
0.01
0.10
0.10
0.12
0.06
0.14
0.11
0.16
Mkt_SD
0.09
0.24
0.20
0.07
0.46
0.17
0.19
0.05
0.26
0.03
ROA
0.85
0.00
0.14
0.07
0.05
0.07
0.03
0.02
0.02
LEV
0.10
0.15
0.09
0.07
0.06
0.02
0.01
0.01
M/B
0.18
0.13
0.38
0.07
0.26
0.60
0.44
SIZE
0.07
0.01
0.18
0.02
0.13
0.05
AGE
0.17
0.22
0.07
0.27
0.05
ROA1
0.19
0.29
0.40
0.69
BOARD
0.29
0.23
0.48
COMP
502
0.33
0.75
RIGHTS
0.59
DISC
Notes: SD_Raw is standard deviation of monthly raw return; Adj_SD is standard deviation of monthly market-adjusted return; Mkt_SD is standard deviation
of monthly market return; ROA is return on assets; ROA1 is lagged ROA; LEV is total debt/total equity; M/B is market-to-book ratio; SIZE is the natural
logarithm of market equity capital; AGE is the number of years listed; BOARD is the log of board composition index; COMP is the log of compensation policy
index; RIGHTS is the log of shareholder rights index; DISC is the log of disclosure index; CGI is the log of aggregate corporate governance index
SD_Raw
Mkt_SD
ROA
LEV
M/B
SIZE
AGE
ROA1
BOARD
COMP
RIGHTS
DISC
CGI
Adj_SD
IJMF
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The equations below show the components of the two risk measures used:
SD Raw VarRi 1=2 Varai bi Rm ei 1=2 b2i VarRm Varei 1=2 3
Variability of
stock returns
503
Model 1
Model 2
Model 3
Model 4
Model 5
CGI
0.130 (0.007)
BOARD
0.039 (0.006)
COMP
0.007 (0.301)
RIGHTS
0.193 (0.023)
DISC
0.096 (0.002)
Mkt_SD
1.396 (0.000)
1.414 (0.000)
1.317 (0.000)
1.317 (0.000)
1.367 (0.000)
ROA
0.005 (0.000) 0.005 (0.000) 0.005 (0.000) 0.005 (0.000) 0.004 (0.000)
LEV
0.001 (0.360)
0.001 (0.622)
0.001 (0.266)
0.001 (0.541)
0.002 (0.143)
M/B
0.002 (0.034)
0.002 (0.014)
0.001 (0.053)
0.002 (0.017)
0.001 (0.178)
SIZE
0.015 (0.000) 0.016 (0.000) 0.017 (0.000) 0.017 (0.000) 0.013 (0.000)
AGE
0.000 (0.314)
0.000 (0.275)
0.000 (0.453)
0.000 (0.443)
0.000 (0.348)
ROA1
0.003 (0.000) 0.003 (0.000) 0.003 (0.000) 0.003 (0.000) 0.003 (0.000)
Intercept
0.446 (0.000)
0.271 (0.000)
0.243 (0.000)
0.489 (0.000)
0.296 (0.000)
Industry Effect
Yes
Yes
Yes
Yes
Yes
Adjusted R2
46.31%
46.33%
45.39%
46.00%
46.66%
Notes: CGI is the log of aggregate corporate governance index; BOARD is the log of board
composition index; COMP is the log of compensation policy index; RIGHTS is the log of shareholder
rights index; DISC is the log of disclosure index; Mkt_SD is standard deviation of monthly market
return; ROA is return on assets; LEV is total debt/total equity; M/B is market to book ratio; SIZE is the
natural logarithm of market equity capital; AGE is the number of years listed;. ROA1 is lagged ROA.
p-values are in parentheses
Table IV.
The association between
standard deviation of
monthly raw returns and
corporate governance
components
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Table V.
The association between
standard deviation of
market-adjusted monthly
returns and corporate
governance components
Model 1
Model 2
Model 3
Model 4
Model 5
CGI
0.102 (0.028)
BOARD
0.030 (0.034)
COMP
0.006 (0.379)
RIGHTS
0.158 (0.055)
DISC
0.092 (0.002)
ROA
0.005 (0.000) 0.005 (0.000) 0.005 (0.000) 0.005 (0.000) 0.004 (0.000)
LEV
0.001 (0.293)
0.001 (0.468)
0.001 (0.229)
0.001 (0.437)
0.002 (0.115)
M/B
0.001 (0.054)
0.002 (0.029)
0.001 (0.073)
0.002 (0.030)
0.001 (0.241)
SIZE
0.018 (0.000) 0.019 (0.000) 0.020 (0.000) 0.020 (0.000) 0.016 (0.000)
AGE
0.000 (0.641)
0.000 (0.602)
0.000 (0.779)
0.000 (0.769)
0.000 (0.662)
ROA1
0.003 (0.000) 0.003 (0.000) 0.003 (0.000) 0.003 (0.000) 0.003 (0.000)
Intercept
0.485 (0.000)
0.347 (0.000)
0.322 (0.000)
0.524 (0.000)
0.376 (0.000)
Industry Effect
Yes
Yes
Yes
Yes
Yes
Adjusted R2
47.23%
47.18%
46.65%
47.07%
47.91%
Notes: CGI is the log of aggregate corporate governance index; BOARD is the log of board
composition index; COMP is the log of compensation policy index; RIGHTS is the log of shareholder
rights index; DISC is the log of disclosure index; ROA is return on assets; LEV is total debt/total equity;
M/B is market to book ratio; SIZE is the natural logarithm of market equity capital; AGE is the number
of years listed; ROA1 is lagged ROA. p-values are in parentheses
CGI
BOARD
COMP
RIGHTS
DISC
ROA
LEV
M/B
SIZE
AGE
ROA1
Intercept
Industry effect
Adjusted R2
Model 1
Model 2
Model 3
Model 4
Model 5
0.061 (0.081)
0.004 (0.000)
0.001 (0.248)
0.001 (0.070)
0.018 (0.000)
0.000 (0.609)
0.003 (0.000)
0.368 (0.000)
Yes
47.0%
0.023 (0.071)
0.004 (0.000)
0.001 (0.336)
0.001 (0.039)
0.019 (0.000)
0.000 (0.620)
0.003 (0.000)
0.321 (0.000)
Yes
47.0%
0.013 (0.465)
0.005 (0.000)
0.001 (0.245)
0.001 (0.064)
0.020 (0.000)
0.000 (0.771)
0.003 (0.000)
0.323 (0.000)
Yes
46.09%
0.008 (0.850)
0.005 (0.000)
0.001 (0.313)
0.001 (0.057)
0.020 (0.000)
0.000 (0.743)
0.003 (0.000)
0.322 (0.000)
Yes
46.64%
0.046 (0.011)
0.004 (0.000)
0.002 (0.142)
0.001 (0.20)
0.017 (0.000)
0.000 (0.599)
0.003 (0.000)
0.307 (0.000)
Yes
46.63%
Notes: CGI is the log of aggregate corporate governance index; BOARD is the log of board
composition index; COMP is the log of compensation policy index; RIGHTS is the log of shareholder
rights index; DISC is the log of disclosure index; ROA is return on assets; LEV is total debt/total equity;
M/B is market to book ratio; SIZE is the natural logarithm of market equity capital; AGE is the number
of years listed; ROA1 is lagged ROA. p-values are in parentheses
Variability of
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505
Table VI.
The association between
standard deviation of
market-adjusted monthly
returns using an alternate
measure of corporate
governance index
and its components
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attributable to agency costs and information risk. Due to the relatively inactive
corporate control market and the infrequent usage of stock options in managerial
compensation, it appears that managers are not incentivized to take good risk that
enhances stockholder value.
In order to assess the relationship between governance and good risk, we compared
the level of investments in capital expenditures as percentage of book capital between
strong (top 33 percent in overall CG measure) and weak governance (bottom 33 percent)
firms. There was no significant difference. Furthermore, strong governance firms have
significantly higher cash earnings (measured as the sum of income before extraordinary
items interest and deferred taxes and depreciation depreciation expenses divided by
book value of capital) compared to weak governance firms. Thus our results are consistent
with the view that, in the New Zealand set up, managers are not incentivized to take on
risky projects that increase shareholder value. Overall, we are able to conclude that the
lower risk faced by well-governed firms is most likely due to reduction in agency and
information costs and not due to increased risk averseness of managers with respect to
investment decisions.
5. Conclusions
Our empirical results based on 385 firm years show that the aggregate measure of
corporate governance has a negative impact on the risk of a firm. Our empirical results
show that a one standard deviation increase in the CGI reduces standard deviation of
returns by around 1.3 percent. Furthermore, sub-indices based on board composition,
shareholder rights, and disclosure policy have a significant and negative influence on risk.
Our contribution to the literature on the impact of corporate governance on risk is
twofold. First, our research supports the view that institutional context essentially
determines governance outcomes. In the governance-risk-taking relationship, two
features that are prevalent in the USA are largely absent in New Zealand. These are an
active corporate control market and stock option based managerial compensation.
In the absence of these features, it appears that, managers have little incentives to take
on risky projects that increase firm value. Second, our work highlights the importance
of the interplay of regulatory aspects of corporate governance with the functioning
of corporate control market. While prior work has recognized the importance of
institutionalized investor protection features in influencing governance outcomes our
work shows that markets play a significant role and works in tandem with regulation.
Our work has implications for managers, investors, and policy makers. Since
managerial risk taking is a desirable characteristic from the investors point of view, it
appears that regulators and policy makers should consider steps to effectively develop the
market for corporate control. Also, encouragement of stock option oriented managerial
compensation is another measure that policy makers and regulators should consider.
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Appendix
(continued)
509
Table AI.
Components of corporate
governance index
IJMF
10,4
510
Sub-index 3: shareholder rights policy
Re-election of directors
Corresponding author
Dr Chandrasekhar Krishnamurti can be contacted at: chandrasekhar.krishnamurti@usq.edu.au
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