Professional Documents
Culture Documents
Agenda
• Reflections and follow-up
• Essay: “Globalisation privileges the rich more than the poor.”
How far is this true?
• Essay: ‘In today’s globalised world, there are more issues that
divide rather than unite us.’ What are your views?
• The first-aid station: Agreement and tenses
• Content: The globalisation of terrorism
RE: Navigating our global future
• Benot Galarneau: Largely scoped and great but Mr Goldin misses
the trauma our lack of preparation to oil peak will cause. In
the next 20 years, this is the single factor that will affect the
most our civilization.
• Martin Hoskin: Actually, I doubt it to be frank. The price of oil will
rise, cars will get more efficient, the price of oil will rise and
cars will get even more efficient. Gradually the gasoline
engine will be replaced and the price of oil will fall. The
markets send clear signals and the technology responds. The
problem with oil is that the signals were not clear enough -
but that is changing.
• Stefan van Oeckel: Jevons paradox proves actually the opposite
is true, the more efficient cars will get, the price of the fuel
will decrease but the demand will then increase... so more
efficiency is only speeding up the process of running out on
cheap oil. and that is what we have seen since the extraction
of oil... if you'd look at the graphs, you'd see a Gauss-curve,
peaking probably around 2006 - 2008. this is not a hypotheses
but pure fact. the signals were clear back in 1950 when
Hubbert had already made clear his theory.
RE: Navigating our global future
• Second response thread.
• Ragna Birko: "An individual for the first time in the history of
humanity will have the capacity by 2030 to destroy the
planet, to wreck everything, through the creation for example
of a bio-pathogen."
That alone was worth the seven minutes as a wake up call but
I am afraid we won't have to wait for 2030, that threat exists
now. I wish his talk had been longer.
• Kathri Satarasinghe: Well, the capability to wreck everything
exists now and will be more prevalent tomorrow. We need to
genuinely address the issues of global inequality. In today's
world people still die of hunger and world bank, IMF etc.
practice policies that are protectionist to the rich countries. If
we the voters become much more engaged through existing
systems we can change the representatives in any
organisation. I suggest the following.
A) Get rich quickly. Retire early.
B)Pay a lot of time to discuss TED like issues with your or
others children if you can, to raise awareness. They are our
future.
C) Do voluntary work to make the world a better place and to
talk to different sort of people outside your network. If
possible, help third world projects. We can even have an
alternate global support net work of ideas if we try.
D) Be ethical through your conduct.
I did not mean to be prescriptive. Only tried to achieve clarity.
RE: how ideas trump crises
• Greig Oldford: TED is about innovations and new ideas. In my
opinion, this talk introduces nothing new at all. Let's talk
about natural limits to growth, about when growth is good but
also when it is a destructive force, about the inverse
relationship between GDP and self-reported happiness, or the
positive relationship between GDP and natural disasters.
Maybe we could discuss some of the externalities of
globalization, like the subversion of local cultures with western
monoculture, or the dangers of economic under-
diversification. Start to address these weakness with
innovative solutions and you might turn this 14 minute yawn
into a real TED talk.
• Alex Tabarrok: Many of the things in your comment are simply wrong.
The relationship between GDP and self-reported happiness is
positive. Anyone can Google this. Here is a map from the NYTimes
http://www.nytimes.com/imagepages/2008/04/16/business/20080
416_LEONHARDT_GRAPHIC.html
more here
http://www.nytimes.com/2008/04/16/business/16leonhardt.html?
_r=2&oref=slogin
Now growth certainly has negative effects and I could have given
a talk about those but why would you want to hear about
something you evidently already know?
• Owen Richardson: Hello Alex, very cool of you to be participating
in the discussion of your own talk!
Another great thing was all the graphs and figures. Someone
needs to clip the part of the talk on the great depression and
projections and post it on youtube.
• Owen Richardson: But one thing that DOES bother me is
censorship and abuse of human rights in China. As they
become richer and more important in the world, the
opportunity for outside influence to ameliorate those
problems gets lost.
Yes, the world helps China to light its candle and we all get
more light... but will China naturally mature in the process into
a political entity that's not going to go around burning it's own
people and the rest of the world with that candle?
• Alex Tabarrok: Thanks Owen. It's possible that we will have less
influence on China as it gets richer but let's face it we never
had much influence on China when it was communist and
poor. More important I think is that the Chinese people will
have more influence on the Chinese government as they
become richer. In fact, there is some evidence that richer
countries tend to become more democratic over time, South
Korea is a good example.