PRIMARY VOTE+ RUDD’S/GILLARD’S PERFORMANCE

2007 2010 2010

Percentage Election Jun Jun Jul Jul Jul 30- Aug Percentage Jun Jul Jul Jul 30- Aug
support Nov 24 18-20 25-27 16-18 23-25 Aug 1 6-8 support 18-20 16-18* 23-25* Aug 1* 6-8*
Labor 43.3 35 42 42 40 37 38 Satisfied 36 48 41 42 43
Liberal 36.6 36 37 34 - - - Dissatisfied 55 29 37 40 41
Nationals 5.5 4 3 4 - - - Uncommitted 9 23 22 18 16
Coalition 42.1 40 40 38 42 44 42 Question: Are you satisfied or dissatisfied with the way *Julia Gillard
Kevin Rudd/Julia Gillard is doing his job as Prime Minister?
Greens 7.8 15 10 12 12 12 13
Others 6.8 10 8 8 6 7 7 ABBOTT’S PERFORMANCE
Question: In the federal election for the House of Representatives to 2010
be held on August 21, which one of the following would you vote for? Percentage Jun Jun Jul Jul Jul 30- Aug
support 18-20 25-27 16-18 23-25 Aug 1 6-8
If “uncommitted”, to which one of these do you have a leaning?
* 4% ‘uncommitted’ and 1% ‘refused’ excluded Satisfied 38 42 36 40 44 41
Dissatisfied 49 41 51 46 46 49
TWO-PARTY PREFERRED+ Uncommitted 13 17 13 14 10 10
2007 2010 Question: Are you satisfied or dissatisfied with the way
Percentage
Tony Abbott is doing his job as Leader of the Opposition?
Election Jun Jun Jul Jul Jul 30- Aug
support Nov 24 18-20 25-27 16-18 23-25 Aug 1 6-8
Labor 52.7 52 53 55 52 50 52 BETTER PM
Coalition 47.3 48 47 45 48 50 48 2010
Percentage Jun Jun Jul Jul Jul 30- Aug
Based on preference flow at November 2007 federal election +Excludes NT support 18-20 25-27* 16-18* 23-25* Aug 1* 6-8*

These surveys were conducted on the telephone by trained interviewers in all Rudd/Gillard 46 53 57 50 50 49
states of Australia and in both city and country areas. Telephone numbers and Abbott 37 29 27 34 35 34
the person within the household were selected at random. The data has been
weighted to reflect the population distribution. The latest survey is based on Uncommitted 17 18 16 16 15 17
1712 interviews among voters. The maximum margin of sampling error is plus
or minus 2.4 percentage points. Copyright at all times remains with Newspoll. Question: Who do you think would make the *Julia Gillard
More poll information available at www.newspoll.com.au better PM?

COMMITTED TO VOTING
2004 2007 2010 August 6-8, 2010
Percentage Sep Sep Oct Oct Oct Nov Nov Nov Jul Jul 30- Political support
support Total
3-5 17-19 1-3 6-7 19-21 2-4 16-18 20-22 23-25 Aug 1 Labor Coalition
This is the only party or candidate you 55 58 58 65 60 63 68 72 54 53 57 59 60
would consider voting for on election day
You will probably vote this way but there is 32 31 31 25 30 28 23 21 32 34 32 32 28
a slight chance you may vote for someone else
You could vote this way but there is just as 10 9 9 8 9 8 7 6 11 11 8 7 8
much chance you will vote for someone else
You will probably not vote this way on election day 1 1 1 1 @ @ 1 @ 1 1 1 1 1
Uncommitted 2 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 2 1 2 1 3
Question: How strongly are you committed to voting for the party you indicated earlier? @ Less than 0.5 percent

WINNING THE FEDERAL ELECTION

2004 2007 2010 August 6-8, 2010 Question: Which political
Sep Oct Oct Oct Nov Nov Nov Jul Jul 30- Political support party do you think will
Percentage 17-19 1-3 6-7 19-21 2-4 16-18 20-22 23-25 Aug 1 Total
win the federal election?
support Total Total Total Total Total Total Total Total Total Labor Coalition

Coalition 55 50 58 30 26 24 24 17 23 26 7 49
Labor 25 25 23 52 60 62 64 65 56 50 71 29
Other @ @ 1 @ @ @ @ @ 1 @ 1 @
Uncommitted 20 25 18 18 14 14 12 18 20 24 21 22 @ Less than 0.5 percent