“agyorso4 17:81 FAK om ; goo. ‘85/ RM NO. — WHITE HOUSE STAFFING MEMORANDUM. ate: 9-3-04 1:00 PM [ACTION / CONCURRENCE / GONMENT DUE BY: 9-7-04 10:00 AM. 9-7-04 10:00 AM _ ‘Subject: REVISED. DRAFT MEMO RE. CLIMATE CHANGE. REPORT TO CONGRESS. ACTION FYI ACTION FYI VICE PRESIDENT ws MARBURGER a oe CARD @ MCCLELLAN a a BARTLETT w O MIERS 3 o BENNETT o 1 = MONTGOMERY a oa BOLTEN cg O | PoweLL o a GONNAUGHTON a We RICE cg o ' FRIEDMAN wz O ROVE wt a GAMBATESA Ge speuncs—y GERSON a [1 TOWNSEND ao , GONZALES a O GLERK oa HAGIN a o o HoBsS gw a a KAVANAUGH w oa o MANKIW. df o o REMARKS: SSE FORWARD COMMENTS 70 PFI COONEY, EXTENSION 69531/EAX 62710, BY PLEAS LON TUESDAY, SEPTEMBER 7, 2004, NTH] A COPY TO THE STAFF SECRETARY. ‘THANK YOU. qnnnncnen Brett Kavarauah Asslatant to the Prasigent “and Staff Secretary “Ext, 62702 FAX Ext, 62215 001644 CEQ 01586709/07/08 Draft 2 1 17st FAX 101 tavoe nescrk + doors) WW 2 QCHKET anoenes dgesoas graded, RA US gr Oe, DALY Wurgs we read needs * September _, 2004 WEDD MEMORANDUM FOR THE PRESIDENT ‘THROUGH: MARGARET SPELLINGS a PROM: JAM@S L. CONNAUGHTON AND JOHN 8. MARBURGER, IT ss ow > o> SUBJECT: CLIMATE CHANGE REPORT TO CONGRESS Qe se GOBER AS a ee a ® S$ S Se Purpose SS OHS “To update you on the status of your Administtion’s 5 supporting continued scientific ro apeiron tongterm global climate change, ie excursTe BGS PS Tune 2001 Feport that you equates Tom the National Academy of Scienset, Thal reper ses forth what we know ~ and do not fanw -- about global climate change and has ‘qrealy influenced your Administration's developments astratogic researc yout Fiscal Year 2005 budget. Background Jn your June 11, 2001 speech, you s “My Cabinet-level working Br0 recent, most accurate, and most c eating vite ‘spectrum of views. ‘many theories and suppositions. The ‘Rantemy of Scicnces to provide us tye mestup-to-dte | a, sane 11,2001, you announced new prineples that would guide Your Ad the complex issue of global climate chan; scientific research to address remaining ung 2001 report which you had requested irom i Science: An Analysis of Some Key Jarge uncertaintics in. IRB fe questions relating tothe buildup of greenhonse gases in the climate system.” eam cltmat ince, which i supported by 82 billion sates for foiling his supports oe ge, including @ commitment to prioritize and enhance atiee, These principles reflect the results of the June Jencestititled Climate Change ‘Questiots, The NAS found that “Poking progress > reducing the iil require addressing a number of fundamental projections of future climate wi ‘the atmosphere and the behavior of spoke to the current state of knowledge regarding climate change: thas maf regularly forthe last 10 weeks to roview the rast * ngasive science. They have heard from sclentsis oe fhave reviewed the facts, and they have listened fe ing group asked the highly-respested Nationa} ‘formation about what is known and sis twbat is not kriown on the soiedce of climate change. “pirst, we niow the surface temy Celsius over the past 100 years. 1940s. Cooling from the 1940s to # perature of the earth is warming, Tt has risen by 6 degrees rThove was a warming trend from the 1890s to the Se ods, And then shasply rising temperatures fom he 1970s to today. 015868op/o7/o4 17:52 FAX opp, goos “phere is a natural greenhouse effect that contributes to warming. Greenhouse gases trap heat, 7 ‘and thus warm the earth because they prevent a significant proportion of infrared radiation from ‘escaping into space. Concentration of greenhouse gases, especially CO2, have increased substantially since the beginning of the industrial ‘revolution, And the National Academy of Sciences indicate that the increase is due in large part to human activity. Yet, the Academy's &y sepals ue Tus that We do Hot know how much effect natural Auctuations in climate may have roirwarming. We do not kiiow hot Sur climate could, ox.will change inthe we AA ae We de rot iow chi ‘occur, or even how some of our actions could Jmpact it.... While scientific uncertainties ‘remain, we can begin now to address the factors that contribute to climate change.” You committed to establish the U.S. Climate Change Research Initiative “to study areas of uncertainty ‘and identify priority areas where investments can make a differencg/pirecting the Secretary of Commerce, working with other agencies, “to set priorities for additional investments in climate change research, review such investments, and to improve coordination amongst federal agencies.” Fulfilling {hot cominitment, your Fiscal Year 2005 budget seeks neatly $2 billion in funding for climate change science conducted by 13 federal agencies, up from $1.7 billion in 2002. ‘These federal agencies are implementing the Administration's ten-year Stratagic Plan for the U. S. Climate Change Selence Program (*Sirategic Plan’) thst was released in July 2003 by Seoreteriee Bvane-and-Absabsarorand i “and was praised by the NAS in February 2004 as articulating “s guiding (O ision” and “appropriately ambitious and broed in scope.” pudiek here © onthe broad issue of global climate change, you have directed a gpfprehetisive action plan in your Sune 2001 and February 2002 speeches. In those speeches, youStated a national goal to educe the sresnhouse gus intensity ofthe American economy by 18 pereent from 2002 to 2012 by taking sensible efone now. Also, yotr called for the development of transformational energy technologies 10 seeeuntially reduce emissions in the long term, while preserving a strong evonomy. Your FY 2005 budget proposes $3.8 billion for climate change activities, including nearly $3 billion for research ot arse Fa energy tectnologics (e-e., hydrogen-powered vehicles and power plants, clsan coal, fusion power and carbon eapture and storage methods). : e ‘Submission of Annual Climate Budget Report to Congress On August 25,(vour Secretaries of Energy and Commeres, and your Seignce Adviser, sent to Congress the latest edition of Our Changing Planet, which is 1 Congressionall-iandated (since 1990) — Supplement tothe President's anal budget request, which deseribes the activities, plans, and related budget data of the Climate Change Science Program (CSP). ‘Thi ioe forF and Fee vere vomNBined Tor HE TES HAIG Ti a TWvO- VERT PEROT in Order to HACOFFOTATS eTERIENS OF te2003 Serategic. Plan{aates-above), ‘¢ "TheNew Yori-Bimesgonersilyfindsronti ‘The August 26, 2004 Times ran a story asserting imate change issues newswostby. that certain selected highlights of recent rescarch eee thie 130-page report constituted a “striking shift” in the Administration's “portmyal” of described vate change selence that now “indicated” the connection between human emissions and Mech wanming tends, 1a une 2002, the New York Fimerronerraimostidentieabsiory abet yl jo ‘CSininetaton submiteed x climatereport4ohe Waited Nations? Both stories and.the-edioriale thet “BSS, immedi ‘ur eareful acknowledgement on June 11, 2001 of the potential | :followed.ther ignored yo ‘ tent tr ee nan mfluence on climate, despite significant remsining scientific uncertainties. Thisemissionia the Timerstory allows the charge tar the Ai i shifted.” CEQ 0158699a/o7/0g 17:82 FAX ow @ooe y criticized your Administration’ draft wv gd comment, However, as noted, the NAS Mic tety praised th final plan i February 209% In June 2003, tho Times wiote sony that the ‘ghgegarding global climate change in EPA's ‘White House had “suppressed” certain infor qpoundbresking Report on the Environnteny/ Finallequrees indicate ot the Times is wow developing ony on your reversing a 2000 eampaigh pledge to cotsol by regulation ‘carbon dioxide emissions from power plants. In February 2003, the Times ran a major st ‘Strategic Plan that was undergoing public ‘De Marburger and others have denied that this routine budget aarsibsaent report to Congress represents any shift in seentific knowledge or the “White House” view ae erarence on global climate change. The seieace of global climate change is complex and results caine hacaliiently accurate nor detailed for new policy development or (0 Warr media reports of dramatic breakthroughs or ‘striking shifts ddisefplined process under its new ten-year ‘witich has been praised by the NAS. Inzesponse to follow-up press inquiries, in knowledge. Your Administration is following & Strategie Plan to teduce uncertainties in our knowledge, oe CEQ 015870