Professional Documents
Culture Documents
Success Story
Foreword
Havingemergedasthefastestgrowingtelecommarketintheworld,Indiahas
over500milliontelecomsubscribers,withmorethan120millionsubscribers
addedinthelasteightmonths.Theteledensitytoohasshownsignificantincrease
tocrossthe40percentmarkthisyear.ThesuccessoftheIndian
telecommunicationssectorhasbecomethecynosureoftheworldandhasmade
thecountryatrulyattractiveinvestmentdestination.
Thesuccessofthesectorcanbeattributedinnosmallparttothestrong
regulatorysupportprovidedbytheGovernment.Thepolicyinitiativescoupledwith
numerousgrowth-orientedstepstakenbyprivateplayersandotherstakeholders
havecreatedatrulystimulatingenvironment.
Thegrowthofthetelecommunicationsectorhasalsofueledtheinclusivegrowth
agendawiththeindustryseekingtomakeanactivecontributiontothe
developmentofthelessadvancedsectionsofsociety.Todayeveryfifthpersonin
ruralIndiaisconnected;fromwageearnerstoshopkeepers,farmersto
fishermen;mobilephonesarehelpinginincreasingtheirproductivity.
OntheoccasionofIndiaTelecom2009,the4thInternationalConferenceand
Exhibition,theDepartmentofTelecommunicationsispleasedtoreleasethis
reportontheIndiantelecomsuccessstory.CompiledbyKPMGandFICCI,it
providesanoverviewoftheIndiantelecommunicationssectorandwillserveasa
usefulreferencemanualforallstakeholdersincludingregulators,policymakers,
telecomoperatorsandthegeneralpublic.
P. J. Thomas
Secretary
DepartmentofTelecommunications&IT
GovernmentofIndia
NewDelhi
©2009KPMG,anIndianPartnershipandamemberfirmoftheKPMGnetworkofindependentmemberfirmsaffiliatedwithKPMGInternational,aSwisscooperative.Allrightsreserved.
TheFederationofIndianChambersofCommerceandIndustry(FICCI)andKPMG
areproudtopresentthisreporton“IndiaTelecom2009–TelecomforInclusive
Growth”,inassociationwiththeDepartmentofTelecom(DoT).
ThisisanexcitingtimefortheIndiantelecommunicationsindustry.Thesectorhas
witnessedtremendousgrowthoverthelastfewyears,havingaddedmorethan
morethan120millionsubscribersineightmonthsalone.Whilethesuccesssofar
wasdrivenprimarilybyurbanareas,thenextphaseofgrowthisexpectedtohave
astrongruralflavor.Therewillbeastrongfocusonconnectingnewmarketsas
wellasexpandingcurrentmarketsthroughnon-voiceservices.Thispresents
attractiveopportunitiesforallstakeholdersoftheindustry,includingthe
Governmentandprivateplayers.
Thisreportprovidesthereaderwithanoverviewofhowtheindustryhas
developedoverthelastfewyears,withaspecialemphasisonkeytrends
impactingtheindustrytoday.Thisreportalsodiscussestheimpactthatthissector
hashadinpromotingtheagendaofinclusivegrowth.
WeareextremelygratefultotheDepartmentofTelecommunications(DoT)for
providinguswiththisopportunitytoworkwiththemfortheIndiaTelecom2009
event.
Amit Mitra
SecretaryGeneral
FICCI,India
©2009KPMG,anIndianPartnershipandamemberfirmoftheKPMGnetworkofindependentmemberfirmsaffiliatedwithKPMGInternational,aSwisscooperative.Allrightsreserved.
Executive Summary
Overthelastfewyears,Indiahasobservedenviablegrowthinitseconomy,even
inthefaceoftheglobalslowdown.Thestrengtheningdomesticmarketandthe
domesticnatureofinvestmentfinancinghashelpedinminimizingtheimpactof
theglobaleconomiccrisis.Thechangingdemographicsinthecountryhavealso
contributedinmakingthisanattractivemarket,thusattractingsignificant
investmentsfrombothdomesticandinternationalplayers.
Thetelecomindustryspecificallyhashadabigroletoplayintheprogressthat
hasbeenmadebythecountry.TheIndiantelecomsectorhasbeenthefastest
growingintheworldandisnowthesecondlargesttelecommarketglobally.The
eyesoftheworldarenowonIndia,andthepolicymakersandprivateplayersare
workingtogethertoensurethatthetelecomsuccessstorycontinuesatthesame
pace.
Thesuccessofthesectorhaslargelybeendrivenbywirelessservices,with
operatorsreportingtotal(wireline+wireless)additionsofapproximately15million
subscriberseverymonth.Theoverallteledensityhascrossed43.5percent,with
urbanareasapproaching100percentteledensity.1 Clearly,thefocusnowisto
increasepenetrationinruralareastodrivethenextphaseofgrowth.All
stakeholders-includingthegovernment,theregulatorandtheprivateplayers
havetakensignificantinitiativestopromoteruralpenetrationandcontributeto
inclusivegrowth.
Contributingtoalmost70percentofthepopulationandasignificantpieceof
overalldemandforgoodsandservicesinthecountry,ruralIndiahasnowcometo
theforefrontoftheindustry’scollectivefocus.TheGovernmenthasintroduced
specificmeasuresandpoliciesforruralupliftment,includingenhancedprovisions
undertheNationalRuralEmploymentGuaranteeSchemeandtheBharatNirman
Program.Ofparticularinteresttothetelecomindustryaretheprovisionsunder
theUniversalServiceObligationFundwhichpromotethepenetrationoftelecom
infrastructureandservicesinruralareas.
InheraddressinJune2009,PresidentPratibhaPatilannouncedthatthe
government’stargetswillincludearuralteledensityof40percentinthenextfive
yearsandtheexpansionofbroadbandcoveragetoeverypanchayatinthreeyears.
ShealsomentionedthattheschemeforCommonServiceCentresore-kioskswill
berepositionedsoastobeanetworkofpanchayat-levelBharatNirmanCommon
ServiceCentresprovidinggovernmentservicestoruralcitizens.2
1TRAI,November2009;DoT
2http://presidentofindia.nic.in/sp040609.html
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Ithasbeenintriguingtoobservetheimpactthatthetelecomsectorandtherural
populationhavehadoneachother.Whiletheruralareasbenefitedtheindustryby
openingupalargemarket,theindustryinturnplayedasignificantroleinthe
socialandeconomicupliftmentfortheruralpublic.Thesectorhascontributedin
generatingemployment,improvinglocalbusinessesandoverallstandardofliving
byeffectivelyintegratingwiththeeconomiclifecycleofthelocaleconomy.
Telecommanufacturingisanotherfacetofthesectorthathasemergedasahot
topicinindustrycircles.Indiaisfastemergingasahubforglobaltelecom
manufacturingandtheproductionandexportsoftelecomequipmentinthe
countryhavebeenonasteadyrise.Leadingglobalplayershavemadesignificant
investmentsinsettingupmanufacturingandR&DfacilitiesinIndia,withmany
morebeingplanned.
Whilevoiceserviceshavehistoricallybeenthekeyforcebehindtelecomgrowth,
industryobservershaveseenasteadyriseintheuptakeofvalueaddedservices
inrecenttimes.TheABCofVAS-namelyAstrology,BollywoodandCricket–still
continuestodrivetheprimeusageofvalueaddedservices.However,applications
likemobilecommerceareslowlyontheuptakeandareexpectedtogrowfurther
inthecomingyears.Theneedofthehouristodevelopmorelocallyrelevant
content–likenewsalertsinlocallanguages,weatherupdatesandothers–which
willdriveuptheconsumptionofVASevenfurtherinthefuture.
Theindustryisnoweagerlyawaitingsomekeyupcomingregulationsincluding
the3GandBWAauctions,scheduledforearlynextyear.Thesearelikelytohavea
significantpositiveimpactonthesectoranditsgrowthinthenextfewyears.
MobileNumberPortabilityisalsolikelytoberolledoutinthenextfewmonths
whichwillmakethemarketmorecompetitiveandoffertremendousbenefitsto
theconsumers.
Intheshortterm,themarketwillbeunderseverecompetitivepressureas
revenuesarestillprimarilydrivenbyvoice.Thelongtermlooksattractivedueto
anticipatedpotentialofVASandDataservicesaskeydifferentiatorsandrevenue
generators.
TheIndiantelecommunicationsindustryiswellsettobuildfurtheronthesuccess
ofthelastfewyears.Thepolicymakersandtheprivateplayershavesuccessfully
cometogetherwithvariousinitiativestoensurethattheindustrycontinuesto
remainashiningstarforIndia,tothebenefitofall.
©2009KPMG,anIndianPartnershipandamemberfirmoftheKPMGnetworkofindependentmemberfirmsaffiliatedwithKPMGInternational,aSwisscooperative.Allrightsreserved.
Table of contents
Whileagriculture,manufacturingandserviceshavebeenthe
Resurgence in the time of global slowdown…
fundamentalpillarsoftheIndianeconomy,theservices
Theyeargoneby,wasonepackedwithsignificant sectorhasbeentheforerunnerofcontinuedrapidgrowth
developmentsontheworldeconomicfront.Despitethe contributingapproximately57percentoftheGDPin2008-
effectsoftheglobaleconomicturmoil,theIndianeconomy 092.
hasmanagedtoperformrelativelybetterthanits
contemporariesrecordingarealGDPgrowthrateof6.7
percentin2008-091.
Source:RBI,IMF Source:CSO(2009)
1RBI
2CSOEstimates
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The Indian Telecom Success Story | 02
Thecountryisexpectedtoregisteragrowthrateof6 estimatedtobehigherwhencomparedtootherregions
percentin2009-103.Evenattheserates,India’sgrowthis globally.
0.7 1
9.1
9.1
8.2
8.2
6.5
6.5
-3.4
0.7 1.2 UK
Euro
Japan
1.2 Zone
1.1
USA
USA -3.3 China
China -
-0.2
--0.7
India
9
-3.3
-
6.7
6 -6.8
Source:EIUEstimates,EstimatesforIndia:RBI,EconomicSurvey2009
withtheglobaleconomy;structuralstrengthslikeayoung
Reforms have enabled sustained growth
population,skilledmanpower,largedomesticdemandand
Whileliberalizationinindustry,foreigntrade,ForeignDirect presenceofgloballycompetitivefirmshaveattracted
Investments(FDI)hasledtoIndiabecomingwellintegrated significantinvestorattentioninrecentyears.
40
34.4 35.2
35
30 CAGR: 52%
25 22.8
USD Bn
20
15
10 9.0
6.1
4.3
5
0
2003 - 04 2004 - 05 2005 - 06 2006 - 07 2007 - 08* 2008 - 09*
Source:DIPP;*=Provisional;
3RBIEstimates
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‘
03 | The Indian Telecom Success Story
Additionally,positiveeconomicdataandexpectationsofthe equitymarketsthatbeganearlierthisyearhascontinued
globaleconomicdownturnbottomingoutsoonhavealso withIndiaoutperformingotheremerginganddeveloped
revivedtheriskappetite.Consequently,therallyinglobal markets.
Source:DIPP,Apr’2008-Mar’09
Bytheyear2025,Indiaisexpectedtoemergeasoneofthe productivitysupportedbytechnologicalup-gradationand
foremostnationsintheworldpoliticallyandeconomically. greaterintegrationwithglobalflowsoftrade,financeand
India’sresilienceisreflectedinitsstrongfundamentals; technology.
namely,risingforexreserves,highsavingsrate,risein
Note:*Apr-Sep2009 Source:CSO
Source:RBI,DGFT,EconomicSurvey2008-09
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The Indian Telecom Success Story | 04
semi-urbanandruralhouseholdshasledtochanging
Demographic dividend; encouraging demand
consumptionpatterns.
driver
Necessitiessuchasfoodandapparelareexpectedto
Additionally,India’sdemographiccompositionensuresthatit
declineinrelativeimportancetocategoriessuchas
continuestoremainanattractivemarketforinvestments.
communications,education&recreationandhealthcare
Thehigheconomicgrowthinthepastfewyearshas
creatinggreateropportunitiesforpublicprivatepartnerships
resultedinarisingnumberofIndianswithagreater
todriveinvestmentsininfrastructure.
propensitytospend.Thisriseinincomelevelsacrossurban,
Source:CIAWorldFactbook;USCensusBureau;UrbanPovertyReport,2009;KPMGAnalysis
Further,India’sdemographiccompositionaugursfavorably; Theserobustmacroeconomicindicatorsclubbedwith
withnearlyone-halfofthe1.1billionpeoplebelowtheage socio-economicdriversarelikelytohelpthecountrysustain
of25years.Thesizeoftheworkingagepopulationexceeds itsgrowthtrajectory.WhileIndiahasnotbeencompletely
thesizeofthedependentpopulationanditisestimatedthat insulatedformtheimpactoftheglobaldownturn;ithas
itwillremainsountiltheyear2025andperhaps,even shownsizeablesignsofrecoverycomparedtoitspeers
beyond4. withthehelpoffocusedGovernmentintervention.Thekey
driversofeconomicgrowth,namelyconsumptionand
investment,arelikelytoprovidefurtherimpetustoIndia’s
growthstory.
4 CIA,www.india.gov.in
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02. Global Telecommunications Market
Global Telecommunications Market
Telecomremainsasasilverlininginthedarkcloudsof FranceisoneofthetopthreeEuropeancountriesinfiber
recessionhoveringabovetheglobaleconomy.Theglobal deployment.Theincreasedinvestmentinbroadband
telecomservicesmarketispoisedtogenerateUSD1.4 infrastructurealongwithincreasedcompetitionandreduced
trillionin20091,despitetheeconomicslowdown.Emerging priceisdrivingconvergedservices(DualandTriplePlay)and
economieswillstillinvestheavilyinnetworkinfrastructure, boostingIPTVsubscriberbase,makingFrancealeading
whilerecession-hiteconomieswilldelayupgrades.TheAsia- IPTVmarketinEurope.CableTVoperatorsinBrazil&
Pacificregionwillexperiencethehighestgrowthrateinthe Mexicowiththehelpofdualplayandtripleplaypackages
nextfiveyears,atnearly16percent,ledbyChinaand arelookingforwardtodrivetheirARPUsinthetimeto
India2.ThetelecomsectorinLatinAmericaandthe come.InKenya,anISPhasintroducedtripleplayservice
Caribbeanwillgrowby12percent,fueledbyemerging underthebrand‘Zuku’,offeringTV,InternetandVOIP
economiesandtheexpansionofthemiddleclass. services.IntheMiddleEast,Bahrain’s’Batelcohasrolled
outNGNtodriveconvergedservices;whileQatar’sQtelhas
launchedtripleplayunderthebrand‘MOSAIC’.InPoland,
Triple Play to ride on Broadband growth thefixedbroadband(ADSL,Cable)operatorsare
increasinglylookingtodouble-andtriple-playpackages,
Thegrowthofbroadbandaccesshasfueleddemandfor
resultinginanumberofIPTVdeployments.InRussiaalso,
convergedvoice,video,anddataservices-nowknownas
tripleplayistogiveanewfilliptoIPTVdeployments.
the"tripleplay".Togarnernewcustomers,holdontocurrent
ones,andensurerevenuegrowth,today'sprovidersmust
continuetomovetowardofferingthetripleplayasavalue-
addedservicebundle.
1CPIFinancials,“GlobaltelecomservicesmarkettogenerateUSD1.4trillion 2InsightResearch,“GlobalTelecomServicesRevenueForecast:Emerging
in2009”,August2009 MarketOpportunities”,2009
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The Indian Telecom Success Story | 06
Mobile Payment fostering a trend for cashless Rural Expansion to help offset urban saturation
transactions
China,theworld'slargesttelecommarket,attributesits
M-PESAisaninnovativenewmobilepaymentsolutionthat phenomenalgrowthtoruralareas.Thecountry'slargest
enablescustomerstomakesimplefinancialtransactions operator,ChinaMobile,creditsruralareaswithcontributing
throughthemobilephone.TheM-PESAschemereliesonan around50percentofitsmillionsofnewsubscribers.While
applicationinthemobilephoneSIMcard,whichis goingrural,ChinaMobilemanagedtoavoidanAverage
authorizedbyaPINcodeanddoesnotrequireanyspecial RevenuePerUser(ARPU)fallbycreatingademandfor
technology. high-marginvalueaddedservicessuchasSMS,music
downloadsandringtones.
Currently,theserviceismainlyaimedatmobilecustomers
whodonothaveabankaccount,typicallybecausetheydo However,theroadtoruralexpansionwouldhaveseveral
nothaveaccesstoabankortheydonothavesufficient roadblockslikelandacquisition(Lease/Purchase)forBTS,
incometojustifyabankaccount.Themoneyisheldsafely availabilityofcheapandfastbackhaulconnectivity,costs
inabankaccountrunbyM-PESAontheuser’sbehalfand associatedwithsettinguptelecominfrastructure,availability
theuserdoesnothaveanycontactwiththebanknordoes ofadequatepowersupply,higheroperational&
thebankhavetheuser’sdetails.TheM-PESAsystemallows maintenancecostsandlowerpurchasingpowerofrural
customerstodepositandwithdrawcashvialocalagents population.TheOperatorsaretakingadequatestepsto
andtransfermoneytoothermobilephoneusersviaSMS.In counterthesechallenges:
acountrylikeKenyawhere90percentpeopledonothavea
•Micro Financing: GrameenPhoneinBangladesh
bankaccount,theM-PESAservicehasseenadramatic
providesmicrofinanceoptionstosetupVillagePhone
take-upsinceitslaunch.AsofMarch2009,theservicehad
Operators(VPO).GrameenBankprovidesaloanpackage
over6.5mregisteredusers(vs.2.1minMarch2008)with
toselectVPOstopurchaseahandsetandoperatetheir
2mdailytransactionsinKenyaalone.M-PESAisdistributed
VPbusiness.
through8,650retailoutletscountrywide(2,262outletsin
March2008).Thistake-upclearlydemonstratesthedemand •Developing locally relevant content: Qualcomm’s
foreasilyaccessible,securecashpaymentservicesin FisherFriendBREWapplicationhasbeenimplemented
emergingmarkets.Morerecently,commercialM-PESA incoastalTamilNadu.Theapplicationworkson3G
serviceshavebeenintroducedbyRoshan,theleading CDMAhandsetsandgivesfishermanaccesstotimely
mobileoperatorinAfghanistan,andbyVodacominTanzania. weatheralerts,real-timedataonfishmigration,market
pricesandupdatesonrelevantgovernmentschemes
Indianoperatorshavelaunchedsimilarinitiatives.Offerings
andpoliciesinthelocallanguage.
fromsomeoperatorsenableamobilephoneusertosendor
receivemoneyinstantlyusingtheirmobilephoneto •Setting up viable distribution and collection
authorizethetransfer.AccordingtotheGSMAssociation, channels: Mobitel,SriLanka'sNationalMobileservices
mobilemoneyinemergingmarketscouldbringinUSD7.9bn provider,expandeditsruralpenetrationwithatie-upwith
ofsalesforoperatorsby2012.Moneytransferservicesfor theSriLankanPostalDepartment.Asperthedeal,post
handsetownerswithoutabankaccountmaybringin officesandpostmencouldsellMobitelprepaidcardsto
USD5bnoftransactionfeesandtextmessage-linked ruralcustomers.
revenueby2012.Indirectrevenue,includingrevenuefrom
greatercustomerloyalty,willprobablyamounttoUSD2.9bn.
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07 | The Indian Telecom Success Story
InEurope,Telefonica,whichisO2’sparentcompanyhave
outperformed,attributabletothecontinuedsuccessofhigh-
enddevicessuchastheiPhonewhichitcarriesexclusively.
ThemaingrowthengineinJapan,inboththefixedand
mobilesectors,isdataservices.WhenitcomestoMobile
TV,Japanisthelargestsubscriberbaseglobally.
WAP/Internetbrowsing,ring-tonesandmusiccontributes
uptotwothirdsofJapan'sdatarevenues.
• Encouraging entrepreneurial spirit: Pakistan
SouthAfricaontheotherhandisexpectedtowitness
TelecommunicationsAuthority'sRabtaGharinitiative
strongprivateinvestmentintherun-uptothe2010FIFA
encourageruralentrepreneurstosetuplocal
WorldCupandthiswillremainakeydriverforgrowthin
telecentres.PTA,withsupportfromtelecomoperators,
2009.Withmobilepenetrationcrossing100percent,
providestheselocalentrepreneurswithfreeequipment,
operatorsarelookingatalternaterevenuestreams:Mobile
installationandtraining.
broadbandcombinedwithmediacontent.Thelaunchof
•Exploring alternate fuels: EricssonandOrangeGuinea 3G/HSPAprovidesthemwithanopportunityofservice
Conakryrecentlyannouncedthedeploymentofover100 differentiationbyprovidingmobilebroadband,combined
fullysolar-poweredBTSstoprovideconnectivitytorural withmediacontent.InCzechRepublic,themobileoperators
Africa,whichisexpectedtoreduceenergybillsby50 arelookingatcontentandapplicationthroughHSDPAbased
percent. mobilebroadbandandmobileadvertisementasfuture
growthoption.
•Government support: TheIndiangovernmentprovides
asubsidyunderUSOFforcompaniesdevelopingrural
telecominfrastructure.Thegovernmentandtheindustry
havesetupajointinitiativeknownasProjectMOST
(MobileOperatorsSharedTowers)toidentifyruraland
remoteareasnotbeingcoveredbyUSOF.
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‘
The Indian Telecom Success Story | 08
The Asia-pacific region, with India in the lead, will be the key
growth market for global telecom over the next few years
Mostofthetelecomcompaniesinthedevelopedand
emergingmarketshavelaunchedapoints-basedloyalty
China,
program;whileasmallpercentageoptedfordiscounting 19%
theirservices,withtherestchoosingdifferentpromotional
andmarketinginitiatives.Withallplayersfacingchallenges
intermsofincreasingtheirAverageRevenueperUser
(ARPU)andavoidingcustomerchurn,mostareforcedto
implementprogramsontightmargins.
India, 12%
Others,
62%
Asia isaboomingmarketwithcountrieslikeJapanand
SouthKoreaimplementingadvancedtechnologieswhilethe
Chinesemarketispoisedforgrowthafterrestructuringand
Source:EIU
3Glicenseauctions.IndiaandChinacontribute31percent
ofworld’ssubscriberbase;yetthemobilepenetrationrates
arenotashighcomparedtoUSorotherdeveloped
Japan withover30millionbroadbandlinesinplace,isthe
economies.Needlesstomention,furthergrowthis
thirdlargestcountryintheworldaftertheUSandChinain
expectedtobewitnessedinthisregion.
termsofbroadbandusers.Muchofthesuccessof
broadbandinJapanisowedtothestunninggrowthsurge
thatoccurredbackin2003onthebackofDSLbroadband
technology.TherestructuringoftheChinese telecom
markethaschangedthecompetitivelandscapeofthe
country.Withthelargestmobileandbroadbandsubscriber
base,themarkethasstayedrelativelyinsulatedfromthe
globalmeltdown.Postrestructuringandtheawardingof3G
licensesinDecember2008,themarketispoisedforyet
anotherboost.Therestructuringwillprovidehugemarket
opportunitiestocommunicationsequipmentmanufacturers,
thusacceleratingtheall-roundupgradeoftelecomoperation
supportsystems.
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09 | The Indian Telecom Success Story
Source:PyramidResearch,NationalBureauofStatistics,CEIC
Source:PyramidResearch,NationalBureauofStatistics,CEIC
©2009KPMG,anIndianPartnershipandamemberfirmoftheKPMGnetworkofindependentmemberfirmsaffiliatedwithKPMGInternational,aSwisscooperative.Allrightsreserved.
The Indian Telecom Success Story | 10
4TRAI,November2009
5TRAI,April-May2009
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03. Indian Telecommunications Market
Indian Telecommunications Market
Indiahasemergedasoneofthelargestandfastgrowing OverallteledensityinIndiahasrisentothelevelsof
economiesoftheworld.Eveninthetimeofdownturn, approximately43.5percent1.Withalargepopulationyetto
Indianeconomyhasshownconsiderableresistanceleading haveaccesstotelecommunicationmarketthepotentialfor
togrowthacrosstheboardwhenmanyregionsoftheworld thesectorremainslargeespeciallyinnon-urbanareas
hadshownsignificantdeclineingrowth.Thefar-reaching wherewirelineandinternetservicesareyettomake
measuresintroducedbytheGovernmentofIndiaoverthe significantin-roads.Wirelineservicesinparticularareyetto
pastdecadetoliberalizetheIndianmarkethavehelpedthe reachthevastmajoritywithalowteledensityof3.19
businessandregulatoryenvironmenttosuccessfullymove percentand1percent2 inurbanandruralregions
towardsgreatertransparencyandefficiency.Servicessector respectively.Eventhemobileservicesspace,whichhas
hasbeentheprimaryengineforthisgrowth.Telecom seenexponentialgrowthinurbanareas,hasnotreached
industryisoneofthefastestgrowingsectorsofIndian thevastmajorityinruralareaswithatotalwireless
economywithsignificantcontributionfromtheprivate teledensityofapproximately40.31percent3 indicatinga
sector. largeuntappedpotentialforthesector.
Thetelecomsectorcanbedividedintobasic(fixed),mobile Thenumberofinternet/broadbandsubscribershavealso
andinternetservices.Therearealsosomesmaller grownatafastrate;therewere14.05milliontotalinternet
segmentssuchasradiopagingservices,VerySmall subscribersasofJune,2009and6.62millionbroadband
ApertureTerminals(VSATs)andPublicMobileRadioTrunked subscribers.Thesectorhaspotentialforlargegrowthinthe
Services(PMRTS).Indianmobilemarketiscurrentlyoneof future.4
themostattractivetelecommarketacrosstheworld.
1 TelecomServicesPerformanceIndicatorsApril–June2009”,October2009 4 TRAIQuarterlyReportsonTelecomServicesPerformanceIndicators
2 TRAI,November2009
3 TRAI,“TheIndianTelecomServicesPerformanceIndicatorsApril–June
2009”,October2009,TRAI,November2009
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The Indian Telecom Success Story | 12
TheGovernmentofIndiaopenedupmobileservicesto
privateparticipationin1994-95byinvitingbidsforproviding
India, 12% servicesinthefourmetropolitancitiesand18non-metro
Others,
62% circles.Serviceswereintroducedin1995withthehigh
tariffsresultinginpoordemand.TheNationalTelecomPolicy
1999,movedtheindustrytoarevenuesharemodelfrom
USA, 7%
thefixedlicensefeeandthelowertariffsresultedinthe
additionof~12millionsubscribersinthe1999-03period
ascomparedtolessthanamillionsubscribersaddedinthe
1995-99period.Theperiodwascharacterizedbysettingup
ofTelecomRegulatoryAuthorityofIndia(TRAI)in1997.
Source:EIUEstimates
450 427
400
347
350
Subscriber base in mn
300
250 229
200
142
150
100 75
28 47
50 6 11
0
2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 H1'09
Source:TRAIAnnualReportandQuarterlyReportsonTelecomServicesPerformanceIndicators
5TRAI,November2009
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13 | The Indian Telecom Success Story
‘TelecomDisputeSettlementandAppellateTribunal(TDSAT)’ TelecomcirclesinIndiahavebeenclassifiedinto4
wassetupin2000inordertoadjudicatedisputesarising categoriesviz.Metros,CategoryA,BandC.With
betweenlicensorandlicensee;andtohearappealsagainst penetrationratesinmetrosapproaching100percentthe
anydecisionororderofTRAI.TheCallingPartyPaysregime markethereisnearlysaturated.However,thereisstill
wasintroducedin2003-04whichmadeincomingcallsfree. immensepotentialinothercirclecategoriesparticularlyB
andC.
J&K
J&K
4.1
4.1mn
mn
36%
36%
HP
HP
3.6 Delhi
Punjab 3.6 mn
mn
15.6 mn 54% 23 mn
55% 133%
Haryana
11 mn UP
UP(W)
(W) North East
43%
43% 21.5
21.5 mn
mn 3.8 mn
UP (E+W) 30%
Rajasthan UP25(E+W)
% Assam
26 mn 25 % UP UP(E)
(E) Bihar
Bihar 6.4 mn
38% 30.2
30.2mn
mn
38% 2424mn
mn 21%
19%
19%
Gujarat
Gujarat MPMP
25.8 West Bengal
25.8mn
mn 22.722.7
mnmn 17.4 mn
44% 17.4 mn WB + kolkata
44% 24% 24% 33%
Orissa
Orissa
Maharashtra 10mn
10 mn Kolkata
33.5 mn 25%
25% 12.4 mn
+ Mumbai
Maharashtra + Mumbai
Mumbai 48%
48%
20.4 mn
110% Andhra Pradesh
33 mn
Metros
Karnataka 40%
25.5 mn Circle A
44% Circle B
Circle C
Tamil Nadu
Kerela 40 mn
18 mn 59%
53%
Source:TRAI,“TheIndianTelecomServicesPerformanceIndicatorsApril–June2009”,October2009,KPMGAnalysis
©2009KPMG,anIndianPartnershipandamemberfirmoftheKPMGnetworkofindependentmemberfirmsaffiliatedwithKPMGInternational,aSwisscooperative.Allrightsreserved.
The Indian Telecom Success Story | 14
Thesubscriberbaseof494.06Million(asofAugust,2009) marketsnearingsaturation,operatorshavebeenactively
iscomprisedof343.24Millionurbansubscribers seekinggrowthinruralIndia.
(teledensityof98.70percent)and150.82Millionrural
subscribers(teledensityof~18.37percent)6.Themarketis
highlycompetitivewitheachtelecomcirclehaving7-8 Wireline Services
operators.Inaddition,thereareseveralnewlicensees
whichareintheprocessofrollingoutservices.Competitive Thetotalnumber7 offixedservicesconnectionsinIndia
intensityinthemarketcontributedtoreductionintariffsand increasedfrom5.81Millionin1991-92to40.8Millionin
launchofinnovativeschemeslikelifetimeprepaidandlow 2006-07.During1999-2000to2001-02,approximately5-6
costhandsetbundlingwhichreducedtheentrycostfora Millioncustomerswereaddedtofixed-lineserviceseach
newsubscriber.WithreducingARPUs,changingeconomic year.However,withthedropinmobiletariffsandincrease
profileofsubscribersandtheneedtomeettheaggressive incoverageofmobileservices,netadditionsinfixed-line
roll-outtargets,theoperatorshavebeenundertremendous subscribersstartedslowingdownfrom2.5Millionin2002-
pressuretobringinoperationalefficiencies.Operatorshave 03goingdownto0.5Millionin2004-05.Duetomobile
beenrealizingefficienciesthroughextensiveoutsourcing substitutionandlowertariffsfromtheyearsfrom2006-07
acrossthetelecomvaluechain.Thishasresultedinlarge to2008-09haveseenadecreasein3.5Millionfixed
scaleopportunityforplayersbelongingtoallthecategories connections.However,thepotentialforwirelineservices
withinthetelecomecosystem.Someoftheprominent remainslargeduetoverylowpenetrationinthewireline
categoriesincludenetworkequipmentvendors,tower industry.Newplayersinthetelecomspacehadhitherto
infrastructurecompanies,telecomimplementationvendors, concentratedonwirelessspaceleadingtolowcompetition
ITvendors. andpromotionofwirelineservices.Greaterpan-India
expansionbyprivateplayerscansignificantlyleadtogrowth
Ithasbeenobservedthatthepastsubscribergrowthhas ofwirelineservices.Inaddition,withcombinedofferingof
beenskewedinfavorofurban.Thelargeruralpopulation internet/broadbandandalliedservicesshowingpromising
baseandlowteledensityindicatesthatthereisstilllarge potential,thesectorcanbouncebackinthefuture.
untappedopportunityintheIndianmarket.Withurban
45 41 42
41 41 41
38 39 38
40
35 33
Subscribers in Mn
30
25
20
15
10
5
0
Mar'01 Mar'02 Mar'03 Mar'04 Mar'05 Mar'06 Mar'07 Mar'08 Mar'09
Source:TRAIAnnualReportandQuarterlyReportsonTelecomServicesPerformanceIndicators,CrisilResearch
6 DepartmentofTelecommunications,TRAI,“TheIndianTelecomServicesPerformanceIndicatorsApril–June2009”,October2009
7 CrisilResearch,“StateoftheIndustry”,October2007
©2009KPMG,anIndianPartnershipandamemberfirmoftheKPMGnetworkofindependentmemberfirmsaffiliatedwithKPMGInternational,aSwisscooperative.Allrightsreserved.
15 | The Indian Telecom Success Story
ThegovernmentofIndiahassettargetsof20Millionfor
Internet Services
broadbandfor2010,fromthecurrentfiguresof7.22Million
InternetsubscriberbaseinIndia(dialupandbroadband), (September,2009),whichrequiresrelookattechnologies
thoughcurrentlyatalowlevelisexperiencingsignificant usedinforbroadbandaccess.Whilethereanumberof
growthforthelast2-3years.Thisgrowthisbeingdrivenby technologiesbeingusedbyserviceproviderstoprovide
growingpopularityofbroadband,increasingusercomfort broadbandservices,DSLcontinuestobethemost
withusageofinternetapplications,continuousfallinPC preferredtechnologyandconstitutesnearly87percentof
prices,cheaperaccessplans. totalbroadbandsubscribers8.Cablemodemtechnology
followswith7.4percentconnections9.Focusonincreasing
Thisgrowthhasbeenaccompaniedbyanassociated
wirelineaccessaswellgreaterfocusontechnologieswhich
increaseinthenumberofinternetuserswhichcanbe
canberolledoutfaster(e.g3GandBWA)orhavesignificant
attributedtogrowthofpublicinternetcafesandmultiple
penetration(cableTVandDTH)cansignificantlyenhancethe
membersofahouseholdaccessinginternet.
adoptionofbroadbandinIndia.
Source:TRAIAnnualReportandQuarterlyReportsonTelecomServicesPerformanceIndicators
8 TRAIQuarterlyReportsonTelecomServicesPerformanceIndicators
9 TRAIQuarterlyReportsonTelecomServicesPerformanceIndicators
©2009KPMG,anIndianPartnershipandamemberfirmoftheKPMGnetworkofindependentmemberfirmsaffiliatedwithKPMGInternational,aSwisscooperative.Allrightsreserved.
The Indian Telecom Success Story | 16
byincreasedoperatorfocusonVASduetocontinuousfallin
Value Added Services
voicetariffs,featurerichhandsets,vernacularcontentand
Currently,VASmarketisworthINR91Billionwhich alsowithincreaseduseradoptionofVASapplications.
translatesintoapproximately8percentofwirelessindustry
revenues.TheshareofVASinwirelessrevenueislikelyto
increaseto11percentby2011.Thisgrowthwouldbedriven
Source:Industryconsensusestimates,KPMGanalysis
Priorto2008,majorityofVASrevenueswereattributableto
Market Split for VAS
SMSandthattooPerson-to-Person.Itisinterestingtonote
thatoverthelast1-2years,non-SMSVAShasbeengaining
importanceandislikelytobecomeadominantcontributor Others
8%
toVASrevenueoverthenextfewyears.In2009,non-P2P
SMSVASaccountedforbetween5and6percentof
Voice Portals
operatorrevenues.Industryprotagonistsenvisagethis
20%
sharetoincreasetoaround8percentoverthenexttwo CRBT
years.Theaddressablemarketfornon-P2PSMSVAShas 45%
historicallybeendominatedbyringtonesandcallerringback
tones(CRBT)whichaccountforaround45percentof
revenues.
P2A SMS & Alerts
18%
GPRS/WAP
Products
9%
Source:IndustryEstimates,InformationInterviews
©2009KPMG,anIndianPartnershipandamemberfirmoftheKPMGnetworkofindependentmemberfirmsaffiliatedwithKPMGInternational,aSwisscooperative.Allrightsreserved.
17 | The Indian Telecom Success Story
enabledhandsets.Atthesametimeoperatorswouldbe
New Frontiers for Growth
activelylookingatproviding3Gservicestootherincome
groupsasthiswillhelpspreadinginvestmentintechnology/
licenseoverawidersubscriberbase.
3G Technology
Whilethelast5yearshavebeentransformationalforIndian
telecomindustry,thenextfewyearslookevenmore Telecom Infrastructure Services
exciting.Oneofthekeyfrontierswhichwouldmakejourney
Infrastructuresharinghasbeenarelativelynewsegment,
incomingyearsexcitingisthelaunchof3Gtechnology.
whichwitnessedsignificantinvestmentandinterestfrom
Inthenearfuture,Indiangovernmentwillbeauctioning theinvestorcommunityinthepasttwoyears.
spectrumforthirdgenerationwirelessservicesforwhicha
Thekeytriggerforinfrastructuresharinghasbeenthe
numberofincumbentsandnewentrantsareexpectedtobe
MobileOperatorSharedTower(MoST)initiative
intherace.Eachtelecomcirclehasadesignatednumberof
implementedbytheDepartmentofTelecom,underwhich
spectrumblocksoutofwhich1blockisreservedforthe
pilotsharedtowerswererolledoutatdifferentlocationsin
staterunoperators.
NewDelhiin2006.Throughthisinitiative,thebusinesscase
Withthelaunchof3Gservicestheoperatorswouldbeable fortowersharingwaslaidoutclearly,andthisresultedin
toproviderichdataservicestoHNI’s,workingprofessionals, significantinterestinadoptionofthetowercompany
enterprisecustomersandyouth.Theywouldbespecifically businessmodel.
targetingcurrentusersof2.5Gand/orownersof3G
©2009KPMG,anIndianPartnershipandamemberfirmoftheKPMGnetworkofindependentmemberfirmsaffiliatedwithKPMGInternational,aSwisscooperative.Allrightsreserved.
The Indian Telecom Success Story | 18
Thebusinesscaseforthetowercompanywasquickly activeinfrastructuresharinginMarch2008.Underthese
establishedaroundthefollowingbenefits,whichmade recommendations,sharingofinfrastructureamongstservice
strongeconomicsenseforOperatorCompanies(OpCos)to providersbasedonthemutualagreementshasbeen
hiveofftowerassetsintotowercompanies. initiated.Infrastructuresharingisnowalsoallowedfor
antenna,feedercable,NodeB,RadioAccessNetwork
•Buildandleasepassiveinfrastructure
(RAN)andtransmissionsystems.Thishasalreadyledto
•Lowercapitalandoperatingexpensesforcarriers towercompaniesofferingend-to-endtowerinfrastructureto
throughassetsharing thenewtelecomoperatorsinclusiveofbackhaulservices,
whichhithertohadbeenasignificantchallengedueto
•Accesstolow-profitabilityruralareaswithoutCapex
inadequatefibreandmicrowavebackhaulcapacityexisting
•Monetisingtowerassetsasaneasierrouteofraising attowerlocations.Weexpectsignificantfurtheractionand
capitaltofundcoreoperations. innovationinthisspacewiththetowercompanieslooking
toofferenhancedportfolioofservicestotelecomoperators.
Thetowerandtelecominfrastructureecosystemisfurther
‘
evolvingwiththeDOT’sassenttorecommendationson
©2009KPMG,anIndianPartnershipandamemberfirmoftheKPMGnetworkofindependentmemberfirmsaffiliatedwithKPMGInternational,aSwisscooperative.Allrightsreserved.
04. Connecting Rural India
Connecting Rural India
Whilemarketsallacrosstheglobewitnessedasignificant believedtobegrowingatafasterrate.Ruralareashouse
reductioninconsumerspending,theruralIndianconsumer nearly71percent3 ofthecountry’spopulationandthus
managedtoremainanattractiveproposition,especiallyin representanenormousconsumerbase.Perhapsevenmore
thedemandforconsumergoodsandtelecomservices. importantly,ruralIndiacontributestoroughly56percentof
Leadingcompaniesacrossindustrysectors,appreciatingthe incomeand64percentofthecountry’sexpenditure4.
enormouspotentialofthismarket,havedevelopeda Clearly,theruralmarketcannotbeignoredanylongerand
focusedstrategytotargetruralIndia. nowfiguresasanonnegotiablesuccessfactorinmany
corporatestrategies.
RuralIndiaisbelievedtocontributealmost45percentofthe
country’sGDP1.Thesegmentreportedlyalsoaccountsfora
significantchunkofdemandformanyconsumergoodsand
servicescompanies.Whilethepercapitaruralconsumption
spendremainsatnearlyhalfoftheurbancounterpart2,itis
1 CreditSuisse,‘IndiaMarketStrategy’,June17,2009
2 CreditSuisse,‘IndiaTelecomsSector’,February23,2009
3 CIA–TheWorldFactbook,2008
4 TRAI,Draftrecommendationson‘AnApproachtoRuralTelephony–
SuggestedMeasuresforanAcceleratedGrowth’,March04,2009
©2009KPMG,anIndianPartnershipandamemberfirmoftheKPMGnetworkofindependentmemberfirmsaffiliatedwithKPMGInternational,aSwisscooperative.Allrightsreserved.
The Indian Telecom Success Story | 20
Urban Urban
29% 43%
Rural
Rural 57%
71%
Source:CIAWorldFactbook,KPMGAnalysis Source:CIAWorldFactbook,KPMGAnalysis
Inthelastthreeyears,duetoanumberofregulatoryand Theappealoftheruralsegmenthasincreasedwithmore
non-regulatoryfactors,ruralIndiahasexperiencedhigh companieslookingatruralexpansionasaviablemeansto
incomegrowthofapproximately12percentperannum. overcometheimpactoftheslowdown.
Asignificantportionoftheruralpopulationisengagedin
agricultureandagriculture-relatedemploymentactivities.The
Cultivators
impactofanyapplicableregulatoryinitiativesoranynatural 40%
Household
phenomenonlikethedelayedmonsoonisthusfeltbyalarge Industry
4%
sectionofthepopulation.
TheGovernmenthastakenastronginterestinthegrowth
anddevelopmentofruralareas.The2009-10budget,
Agricultural
announcedinthebackdropoftheeconomicslowdown,
Labourers
includedspecificmeasuresforthesocialandeconomic 33%
upliftmentofthissegment,clearlyhighlightingtheintentof
Source:Census,CreditSuisse
thegovernmenttoworkforthebettermentofthecommon
man.
5 CreditSuisse,‘IndiaMarketStrategy’,June17,2009
©2009KPMG,anIndianPartnershipandamemberfirmoftheKPMGnetworkofindependentmemberfirmsaffiliatedwithKPMGInternational,aSwisscooperative.Allrightsreserved.
21 | The Indian Telecom Success Story
Thegovernment’sNationalRuralEmploymentGuarantee connectivity.Forthetelecomsector,thisprogramhas
Scheme(NREGS),forinstance,providesajobguaranteefor providedanimpetustosetupmoretelecomtowersand
adultworkers.Thisinitiativehashelpedover3crore improveruralpenetration.
householdimprovetheirstandardoflivingandhavemore
Initiatedin2003,theUniversalServiceObligationFund
moneyattheirdisposal6.
(USOF)wasestablishedtofulfilltheUniversalService
ThegovernmenthadalsoinitiatedtheBharatNirman Obligationbypromotingthesettingupofinfrastructureto
Programin2005asatime-boundprogramtoupgraderural promoteruralconnectivity.Thefund,managedbytheUSOF
infrastructure.Thisincluded,amongotherthings,provisions Administrator,providessubsidiestoprivateplayers
toimproveruralwatersupply,electrificationandtelecom establishingruraltelecominfrastructure7.
RuralWirelessSubscribers 140.63million
Note:AsofAugust,2009
Source:DepartmentofTelecommunications
6 EnamSecurities,‘BudgetStrategy2009-10’,July06,2009;PressSearch; 8 TRAI;MinistryofUrbanDevelopment
NREGAwebsite 9DepartmentofTelecommunications
7 TRAI,“MeasurestoimprovetelecompenetrationinruralIndia-Thenext100
millionsubscribers”,December16,2008
©2009KPMG,anIndianPartnershipandamemberfirmoftheKPMGnetworkofindependentmemberfirmsaffiliatedwithKPMGInternational,aSwisscooperative.Allrightsreserved.
The Indian Telecom Success Story | 22
Thetelecomsectorhasalsoobservedawideningrural-urban allstakeholdersabouttheimmensegrowthpotentialthat
divide.Urbantelecomadoptionhasfaroutpaceditsrural ruralmarketscanoffer.
counterpart.Thishasleadtoanincreasingawarenessamong
88.7%
63.7%
47.2%
38.0% 37.0%
26.2% 25.6%
21.3%
18.2%
12.7% 14.8%
7.6% 9.1% 9.3%
5.8%
1.7% 1.7% 1.9%
Source:TRAIPerformanceIndicators,July13,2009;TRAI,DraftRecommendationson'AnApproachtoRuralTelephony-SuggestedMeasuresforan
AcceleratedGrowth',March04,2009
Telecomadoption,historically,hadimpliedtheadoptionof fewyears.Anincreasingnumberofprivateoperatorsare
wirelineservices.Thistrend,however,hasmovedtowards alsomakingaconcentratedefforttodriveupwireless
anever-growingadoptionofwirelessservicesoverthelast adoption.
11% 10% 9%
18% 16% 14%
25% 21%
27%
Wireless Wireline
Source:TRAIPerformanceIndicatorReports(2007-2009)
©2009KPMG,anIndianPartnershipandamemberfirmoftheKPMGnetworkofindependentmemberfirmsaffiliatedwithKPMGInternational,aSwisscooperative.Allrightsreserved.
23 | The Indian Telecom Success Story
anytime’serviceandrelievestheexistingpressuresonthe
Rural Telecommunications and the Inclusive
branchexpansion.
Growth Agenda
Inrecognitionofitsmanybenefits,theReserveBankof
Urbandevelopmentalonecannothelpacountryprogressat Indiaissuedanoperatingguidelineonmobilebanking
aquickpace.Theruralagendathusbecomesincreasingly transactionsinOctober2008.Thisguidelineprimarily
importanttoachieveawell-rounded,sustainablegrowth.The addressessecurityovermobilebankingtransfers;however,
Indiangovernmenthasbeenfullyappreciativeofthisand RBIbelievesthatthiscouldbeafeasibleandalternate
hasestablishedastrongagendaforinclusivity. channelfordeliveryofbankingservices.Thisservedasan
indicatorthatmobilebankinghasanimportantparttoplayin
Withaviewtobridgingtheurban-ruraldivideandimproving
expandingbankingservicestoall.
theeconomicstrengthofruralIndia,thegovernmenthas
broughtinclusivegrowthforallsectionsofsocietyontothe Thesuccessofruralmobilebankinginitiativesinother
mainplatform.Telecommunicationsisacriticallynchpinin countriesbodeswellforIndia’saspirationstomakeita
thisendeavorandislikelytobeasuccessfulpartofthis successinthecountry’sruralareas.M-PesaandG-Cashare
agenda.Thegovernmentisstronglypromotingthiseffort twouniversallyknownmobilebankinginitiativesundertaken
throughvariouslarge-sizedbudgetaryallocationsandthe inKenyaandPhilippinesrespectively.Boththesenations
telecommunicationsindustryalsohasaclearagendaofrural haveinfrastructure,bankingandtechnologyconstraintsdue
expansion. towhichlargesectionsofthecountrywere‘unbanked’and
basicbutsafemeanstotransfermoneybetweenindividuals
wasabsent.Usingsimplemobilephonetechnologyand
Mobile Banking and Mobile Commerce SMS,individualscouldtransfermoneyinstantaneouslyand
atfractionofstandardmoneytransfercosts.Money
Indiahasoneofthemostexpansivebankingsystemsinthe
transferscanbemadeacrossthecountryinstantaneouslyat
world.Acombinationofscheduledcommercialbanks,
lessthan1percentofthetransactionvalue12.In2008,1.6
regionalruralbanksandspecializedfinancialinstitutions
millionKenyanshadtransactedoverUSD145millionusing
coveralargesectionofsocietyinIndia.Despitethese
theM-Pesasystemusing1,500intermediarieswhoare
focusedefforts,itisestimatedthatcloseto65percentof
typicallycornershops13.Suchabankingsystemislikelyto
thecountry’spopulationstillfallsinthe“unbanked”
workinIndiaaswellgiventhecurrenttelecommunication
categoryduetovariousreasons,includinggeographical
networkandavailabilityofneighborhoodshopkeeperor
isolationandlackofbasicinfrastructure10.
‘localagents’.
Publicsectorbanks,privatebanksandotherfinancial
Itisimperativethatmobilebankingstandardsarecarrier
institutionshaveconstantlypushedthelimitsoftechnology
agnosticandinteroperabilityismaintained,toensurethe
toreachouttoeverypartofsocietyaswellasmakingtheir
lowestpossiblecostoftransactions.Thecostoftransactions
businesssystemsandprocessesmoreefficientfromacost
canhavealargeimpactoftheeffectivenessofvarious
andtransactionprocessingperspective.However,despite
developmentprojects.Mediareportshavesuggestedthata
nearly76,518branches11 ofscheduledcommercialbanks,
mobilepaymentmechanismforNREGAisduetostartin
thereisstillalongwaytogo.Corebankingsystemshave
variousstates14.Thiscouldbeaneffectiveprovingground
helpedbankstocomputerizetheirrecordsaswellasprovide
formobilebankingandaidsocialinfrastructuredevelopment.
seamlessservicessuchasinternetbanking.Mobilebanking
representsthenextleveloftechnologicalevolutioninthe
bankingindustry.Thisevolutionmakesbanking‘anyplace
10 Mediareports,KPMGanalysis 13 ReportoftheThirdAnnualJointRoundtableonCommunicationsPolicy
11 ReportonTrendandProgressofBankinginIndia,2007-08 2008–AspenInstituteIndia
12 www.safaricom.co.ke 14 http://www.financialexpress.com/news/delhi-firm-in-talks-with-govt-to-
digitise-nrega-payments/514077/
©2009KPMG,anIndianPartnershipandamemberfirmoftheKPMGnetworkofindependentmemberfirmsaffiliatedwithKPMGInternational,aSwisscooperative.Allrightsreserved.
The Indian Telecom Success Story | 24
Anothersignificantareaofgovernancethatcangohandin
handwithtelecommunicationsistheRighttoInformation
Act(RTI)of2005.Thisactprovidestherighttocitizensto
querycentralandstategovernments.Further,theact
requiresthegovernmenttocomputerizesignificantamount
ofinformationmakingitaccessibletothecommonman.
Abilitytoaccessthisinformationthroughtheinternetgives
Indiatheabilitytotrackandreviewvariousaspectsof
15 http://www.bhoomi.kar.nic.in/Bhoomi/Home.htm
©2009KPMG,anIndianPartnershipandamemberfirmoftheKPMGnetworkofindependentmemberfirmsaffiliatedwithKPMGInternational,aSwisscooperative.Allrightsreserved.
25 | The Indian Telecom Success Story
Thispresentsagoodprospectfortheruralpopulationin
Key Challenges in Going Rural16
termsoftheemploymentopportunitiesgenerated.Another
advantageisthattheseopportunitiescanbenefitthe Despitetheinherentattractivenessoftheruralmarket,many
educatedaswellastheuneducatedpeopleduetotherange operatorshavefacedsignificantchallengesinpenetrating
ofskillrequirements.Telecomcompaniesalsoofferdifferent themarket.
internaltrainingprogramstoensurethataruralemployee’s
Acquisition of Customers
skillsareatparwithhisurbancounterpart.
Duetothemanydifferencesexistingbetweentheurbanand
Indiahasalsoseentelecommanufacturingcomingupina
ruralmarkets,itisimpossibletoapplyurbanlearningsand
bigway.Manyinternationalplayersaresettinguptheir
businessmodelsinaruralsetup.Ruralareascomewitha
manufacturingaswellasR&Dfacilitiesinthecountry.
completelydifferentsetofconstraintsandissueswhichthe
Significantinvestmentshavebeenearmarkedforthese
operatorsneedtoaddressinordertoattractthisfreshpool
initiativesandcompaniesarelookingtohirelocaltalentto
ofcustomers.Operatorsfaceanumberofchallengeswhen
bringtheseplanstoasuccessfulconclusion.
itcomestotheacquisitionofruralcustomers.
Anotherinitiativethathasbeenimmenselysuccessfulin
Affordabilityoftelecomservicescontinuestobeakey
generatingemployment,speciallyforruralwomen,isthatof
concerninruralmarkets.Althoughthecostofowningand
theVillagePublicTelephones(VPT).Inmanyvillages,rural
usingtelecomequipmentandserviceshascomedown
womenhavetakenontheentrepreneurialresponsibilityand
considerablyinthelastfewyears,thetypicalruralconsumer
operatelocalVPTs.Notonlydoesthisbenefitthelocality,it
findsithardtoputasidemoneyforwhatisstillbelievedto
alsobringsinadditionalincomefortheVPToperator’s
beadiscretionaryspend.Microfinancingcouldprovidea
household.
possiblesolutionforthisproblem.Tie-upswithstate-owned
Telecom in Education bankscouldenabletheruralconsumerstopurchasetelecom
equipmentandservicesataffordablerates.
UrbanIndiahasalreadywitnessedthebenefitsoftelecom
connectivityinpromotingeducation.Largeuniversitiesoffer Operatorshavealsofoundthatamongtheruralcustomers
distancelearningcoursestostudents,especiallyforhigher whoareabletoaffordtelecomservices,theAverage
educationcourseslikeMBAs. RevenuePerUser(ARPU)remainsquitelow,especially
whencomparedtotheurbancounterparts.Thus,thelow-
Theaspirationwouldbetoreplicatethesuccessoflarge
subscriber,low-volumemarketdoesnotprovideenough
universitiesinurbanareas,totheremoteareasinruralIndia.
incentivesfortheplayerstoventureintotheregionswiththe
Thefirstprioritywouldremaintheprovisionofprimary
revenuesnotjustifyingthecosts.TheruralARPUarenot
educationtoallchildreninthecountry,irrespectiveof
expectedtobedrivenupsolelythroughvoiceservices.Itis
geographicalremoteness.
believedthattheavailabilityofdataserviceswillhavea
TheIndiraGandhiNationalOpenUniversity(IGNOU)has positiveimpactontheruralARPUs.
forayedintothisbyworkingtowardsdevelopingrelevant
distancelearningprogramsforstudentsandproviding
assistanceinfinancialsupportandgrants.
The largely untapped rural market will
drive the next phase of telecom growth in
the country, supported by an enabling
environment and focused initiatives by
16 “3GandBWA–ThenextFrontier”,FICCI,January2009
telecom players
©2009KPMG,anIndianPartnershipandamemberfirmoftheKPMGnetworkofindependentmemberfirmsaffiliatedwithKPMGInternational,aSwisscooperative.Allrightsreserved.
The Indian Telecom Success Story | 26
Currently,thelackoflocallyrelevantcontentisanother purchasingthelandisarduousandexpensive.Similar
challengethatrestrictstelecompenetration.Toincrease problemsarisedueto‘RightofWay’issues.Layingofcable
adoption,itisessentialtodevelopserviceslikenewsinlocal orfibreinruralareasoftengoesacrossmultiplejurisdictions.
languages,weatheralertsforfishermen,comparativemandi Thisinvolvesobtainingtherequisiteapprovalsand
ratesforfarmers,andsuchothers. permissionsfrommultipleauthoritieswhichcouldbecome
laborious.
Anotherfactorthatimpactstheadoptionoftelecomservices
(especiallybroadband),istheprevalentliteracylevels.To Oncesetup,thetelecominfrastructureinvolvesimmense
derivemaximumbenefitsfromtheseservices,itisessential operatingandmaintenanceexpenditures,considerably
fortheconsumerstohavebasicreadingandwritingskillsin higherascomparedtourbanareas.Anumberoffactors
place. contributetothisincludingthelimitedavailabilityofskilled
workforceaswellaspoorroadconnectivity,amongothers.
Theissueofirregularpowersupplyalsoremainsakey
GrameenPhone17 concern.Currently,anumberofvillagesinIndiaeitherdonot
GrameenPhoneinBangladeshisasuccessfulexampleof haveanelectricityconnection,orfacelimitedpower
ruralpenetration.Theirapproachincludes: availability.Abatterybackupisnotasustainablesolution
• ProvidingmicrofinanceoptionstosetupVillagePhone sincethebatteryneedstobechargedregularly.Asaresult,
Operators(VPO).GrameenBankprovidesaloan otherbackupsintheformofdiesel-poweredgenerators
packagetoselectVPOstopurchaseahandsetand needtobemaintainedtopowertheBaseTransceiver
operatetheirVPbusiness Stations.Itisestimatedthatover35percentofaruralcell
• Solicitingheavyinvolvementfromlocals(especially site’snetworkoperatingexpensesareduetothecosts
women)insettingupVillagePhoneoperationsby associatedwithelectricityanddiesel.Theprovisionsunder
pitchingitasanadditionalincomesource theBharatNirmanProgramareexpectedtoaddressthis
• Subsidizingcallchargestoallowlocaloperatorsto concernbyprovidingaregularsupplyofelectricityacross
earnahealthyprofitmargin thecountry.Onealternativewaytoaddresstheconcernof
• Providingrecommendedratecardstoensurethatthe powersupplycouldbetoexploretheviabilityofalternate
localoperatorstayscompetitive sourcesoffuel,includingsolarenergy,windpowerandbio-
• Trainingsonusage,callrates,collectionsandother fuels.Theseprovideacleanandeffectivewayofharnessing
tariffschemes naturalenergy,whilekeepingtheequipmentmaintenance
costatsignificantlylowerlevels.
Infrastructure-Related Challenges
Theconcernofhighcostsassociatedwithsettingupofrural
Inadditiontoacquisitionofcustomers,telecomplayersalso infrastructurecanbewelladdressedthroughinfrastructure
facesomeinfrastructure-relatedroadblockswhilesettingup sharingbetweenthetelecomplayers.Thismodelhasbeen
theirruralinfrastructure.Theseleadtoasteepescalationin fairlysuccessfulinurbanareas,butisyettopickuptraction
coststherebyreducingthefinancialattractivenessofthe inruralareas.
ruralmarket.
Thelackofefficientandlow-costbackhaulconnectivity
Thetelecomsetuprequireslargeamountsoflandforsetting continuestohavealimitingeffectontelecompenetration.
upinfrastructureelementsliketheBaseTransceiverStations Theoptionofdeploymentofopticalfibreisbeingexplored
(BTS).Inmanycases,thelandisownedbyGovernment andislikelytobeabletoresolvethisissue.
bodiesorGramPanchayats,andtheprocessofleasingor
17 "WhatWorks:GrameenTelecom'sVillagePhones",June2001;KPMG
©2009KPMG,anIndianPartnershipandamemberfirmoftheKPMGnetworkofindependentmemberfirmsaffiliatedwithKPMGInternational,aSwisscooperative.Allrightsreserved.
05. Broadband Connectivity
Broadband Connectivity
Broadbandisdefinedasan“alwayson”dataconnection accessibilityandteleworking,higherlaborproductivity,real-
thatisabletosupportinteractiveservices,includinginternet timehealthcare,speedygovernmentclearancesandsuch.
accessandhasthecapabilityofminimumdownloadspeed Realizingthesebenefits,DepartmentofTelecomissued
of256kilobitspersecond(kbps)toanindividualsubscriber. BroadbandPolicy2004,on29thApril2004,inabidto
encouragehighspeedinternetgrowthinthecountryand
Variousstudieshaveindicatedthatbroadbandconnectivity
addressthedemandofapplicationsenablingeconomic
hassignificanteconomicimpact.Thisisprimarilydueto
growth.Thepolicyalsosetanambitiousgrowthpathfor
improvedgrowthinliteracyandvocationalskillsduetoe-
broadbandgrowthinIndiabyfixingstifftargetstobe
initiatives,increasedemploymentofruralyouthdueto
achievedtill2010.
Source:TRAI,BroadbandSubscribers,2009
©2009KPMG,anIndianPartnershipandamemberfirmoftheKPMGnetworkofindependentmemberfirmsaffiliatedwithKPMGInternational,aSwisscooperative.Allrightsreserved.
The Indian Telecom Success Story | 28
Actualbroadbandsubscriberbasehasfallenshortofset withcurrentpenetrationof~0.6percent.PCpenetration
targetswithAugust2009subscriberbaseat7.0millionas continuestobeverylow,andlimitedwirelineinfrastructure
againstanenvisaged9millionby2007!In2007,Indiahad includingRoWchallenges,hightariffsandlackofquality
oneofthelowestbroadbandpenetrationintheworldof webcontentinlocallanguage,havefurtherconstrainedthe
~0.3percent.Whilstthepenetrationhasdoubledsince, growthofbroadband.
Indiacontinuestobeoneoftheleastpenetratedregions
30% 28.5%
25.8%
25% 23.6%
22.4%
Global Broadband penetration
20%
15%
5%
0.6%
0%
UK USA Japan OECD Turkey Mexico India
Source:OECD,BroadbandStatistics,2008
Thesurgeinbroadbandpenetrationisexpectedtobeone
Challenges in adoption of broadband
ofthekeydriversfornextphaseoftelecommunications
growthinthecountry,andbroadbandgrowthseemsto Poorwirelineinfrastructure:Incontrasttodevelopedworld,
havealreadybegunwiththefirstvisiblesignofrisein Indiahasfavoredwirelesstelephonyoverwireline
subscriberbase.During2008,thebroadbandbasehas telephony.InCY08,wirelinesubscribersdeclinedto~38.0
grownby2.7million,whichismorethantwoandahalf millionandwirelineteledensityreducedto~3.4percent.
timesthe1.0millionbroadbandsubscribersaddedduring Thislackofanddeclineofwirelineposesa‘lastmile’
20071.Suchtrendisexpectedtoonlyimprovewith accesschallengeforbroadband,whichispresentlyprovided
broadbandwirelessaccessalleviatinglast-mileconnectivity mainlybyDSLtechnologywhichinturnreliesonthe
concerns,PCpenetrationlikelytoincreaseandbroadband availabilityofcopperloopinlocalnetwork(iewireline
servicesanticipatedtobecomemoreaffordable. network).Tocompoundmattersfurther,majorityofavailable
copperlocalloopsarenotsuitabletosupportbroadband
connectionsduetolonglengthofcablelocalloop,qualityof
cableandmaintenanceconstraints.
1 TRAI,BroadbandSubscribers,2009
©2009KPMG,anIndianPartnershipandamemberfirmoftheKPMGnetworkofindependentmemberfirmsaffiliatedwithKPMGInternational,aSwisscooperative.Allrightsreserved.
29 | The Indian Telecom Success Story
60
49
50 45
41 42
40
38
40
Subscribers (Million)
30
20
10
0
FY07 FY08 FY09 FY10E FY11E FY12E
Wireline
Source:TRAI,KPMGAnalysis
2 Simputer.org 5 Siliconindia.com
3 Zdnet.com
4 Mediareports
©2009KPMG,anIndianPartnershipandamemberfirmoftheKPMGnetworkofindependentmemberfirmsaffiliatedwithKPMGInternational,aSwiss
cooperative.Allrightsreserved.
‘
The Indian Telecom Success Story | 30
©2009KPMG,anIndianPartnershipandamemberfirmoftheKPMGnetworkofindependentmemberfirmsaffiliatedwithKPMGInternational,aSwisscooperative.Allrightsreserved.
31 | The Indian Telecom Success Story
6FICCI-BDAReport,“BusinessModels,ProjectionsandImperatives”, 9 Mediareports,KPMGanalysis
January2009 10 Mediareports
7TRAI,“RecommendationsonGrowthofBroadband”,January2008
8 TRAI,“RecommendationsonGrowthofBroadband”,January2008
©2009KPMG,anIndianPartnershipandamemberfirmoftheKPMGnetworkofindependentmemberfirmsaffiliatedwithKPMGInternational,aSwisscooperative.Allrightsreserved.
The Indian Telecom Success Story | 32
taxes,ticketreservationsfortransportationservices,and benefits.Forexample,high-resolutionpicturesorreal-time
listingsofgovernmentordersandpolicies.Similarinitiatives imagesofcropdiseasescanbetransmittedtoagricultural
havebeentakenbyotherstategovernments.TheCentral expertsinadifferentgeographiclocationforimmediate
Governmentisalsocreatinganenvironmentfor expertadvice,thuscontainingthecropdiseasesfaster.
establishmentofCommonServiceCentres(CSCs)that Therearemanysocialadvantagesofbroadbandsuchas
wouldprovidehighqualityandcost-effectivevideo,voice telecastingofentertainmentprogramsandinfotainment
anddatacontentandservicesintheareasofe-governance, service.Suchentertainmentdeliveredviabroadbandcould
education,health,telemedicine,entertainmentaswellas beaneventforsocialgatheringsinisolatedvillages.
otherprivateservices.
Toconclude,broadbandcansupportvariousapplications
yearbecauseofalackofbasichealthcare.Doctorscanuse Whiletheseapplicationsseemtoholdhugepotential,and
real-timevideoconferencingtodiscusspatientsymptoms havebeensuccessfullypilotedinsomecases,greater
withfarawayexperts,thusprovidingfasterandbettercare accesstobroadbandserviceswouldprovidethenecessary
tothepatients.Oneoftheleadinghospitalsinthecountry triggertoachievewidercoverageandachieveinclusive
havesetuparound45RuralTelemedicineCentresacross growth.
©2009KPMG,anIndianPartnershipandamemberfirmoftheKPMGnetworkofindependentmemberfirmsaffiliatedwithKPMGInternational,aSwisscooperative.Allrightsreserved.
06. Telecom Manufacturing
Telecom Manufacturing
WhileAsiarepresentedslightlyover40percentshareofthe
totalmarket,asignificantportionoftheAsiangrowthcould
beattributedtoChinaandIndiawhichtogetheraccounted
fornearly20percentofthisglobalpie1.
The telecom manufacturing sector is
‘
Fromabroaderperspective,Asia-Pacificregion’s
contributiontoglobalspendingontelecomnetworks
poised for growth due to the impetus
increasedbyfourpercentagepointsduringthattime,while provided by telecom services, with
thatofWesternEuropeandNorthAmericalostsixandfive India having the potential to emerge
percentagepoints,respectively2.
as a global hub for telecom
Indiaisaddingaround14millionnewwirelesssubscriptions
monthonmonth,withSeptember2009aloneseeingan
manufacturing
additionof~15millionsubscribers.AsofSeptember2009,
totalsubscriberbasecatapultedto509.03millionwitha
1iDatePressReleaseonPRLog.com,“TelecomEquipment:AMarketin 3 TRAI,November2009
Transition”,March11,2009 4 TEPC,Policyrecommendationstoincreasedomestictelecomgrowthin
2 iDatePressReleaseonPRLog.com,“TelecomEquipment:AMarketin exportsoftelecomequipmentandservices
Transition”,March11,2009
©2009KPMG,anIndianPartnershipandamemberfirmoftheKPMGnetworkofindependentmemberfirmsaffiliatedwithKPMGInternational,aSwisscooperative.Allrightsreserved.
The Indian Telecom Success Story | 34
600,000
500,000
518,000
400,000
412,700
(INR Million)
300,000
236,560
160,900 178,330
200,000 144,000 140,000
100,000
-
2002 - 03 2003 - 04 2004 - 05 2005 - 06 2006 - 07 2007 - 08 2008 - 09
Source:TEPC
In2003-04,thetelecomequipmentmanufacturingindustry
Key milestones in the sector
postedanegativegrowthrateof3percent(YoY)whereas
by2008-09,theindustryhadgrowntoboastapositive Thefoundationsofdevelopingthetelecomequipment
growthrateof26percent(YoY).Invaluetermsthe manufacturingindustryinIndiawerelaidin1999.
productionoftelecomequipmentsmanufacturedincreased
• 1999: Openingupoftheindustrytoprivatesector
fromINR144,000millionin2002-03toINR518,000million
participation
in2008-09.
• 2005:
Thisgrowthinthetelecomequipmentmanufacturing
industryislargelyattributabletotherapidlygrowingtelecom - FDIceilingintelecomserviceswasraisedfromthe
sector.Otherfavorablefactorssuchaspolicymovestaken existing49percentto74percent
bytheIndiangovernment,incentivesoffered,largetalent
- TheUnionMinistryofCommunicationsand
poolintheresearchanddevelopment(R&D)spaceandlow
InformationTechnologybegantopromoteIndiaasa
laborcostsarefurtherprovidinganimpetustothisindustry.
viableoptionforsettingupmanufacturingplants.This
wasstronglysupportedbyitsfastgrowingtelecom
market,itstalentpoolandthesuccessofthe
BusinessProcessOutsourcing(BPO)industry.
35 | The Indian Telecom Success Story
120,000
100,000 110,000
81,310
80,000
(INR Million)
60,000
40,000
15,000 18,980
20,000
4,020 2,500 4,000
Source:TEPC
Until2007-08,significanttelecomequipmentneedswere RealizingthisopportunityacommitmenttothetuneofINR
stillbeingmetthroughimports.AccordingtoGlobalSMT 75,000million(USD1.5billion)inthepasttwoandahalf
andPackaging,over80percentoftheelectronic yearshasbeenmade.Indiaisexpectingfreshcommitments
componentsusedforproductionoftelecomequipment tothetuneofINR100,000million(USD2billion)inthenext
manufacturingareimported.Giventherelativelystable oneyear5.
macro-economicenvironmentandrobustdomestictelecom
TheDepartmentofTelecommunicationshassetatargetof
demandIndiahasemergedafavorabledestinationtoglobal
1.1billionsubscribersby2015.Tomeetthistargetby2015
equipmentmanufacturersforsettinguptheirmanufacturing
andtomeetthedemandcreatedbythetelecomservices
units.
sector,itissaidtelecomequipmentworthINR3,500,000
million–5,000,000millionwillberequiredby2015.
5 ELCINA-AVISTA,EnvisagingtheNextWaveofICTEManufacturinginIndia,
February2009
©2009KPMG,anIndianPartnershipandamemberfirmoftheKPMGnetworkofindependentmemberfirmsaffiliatedwithKPMGInternational,aSwisscooperative.Allrightsreserved.
The Indian Telecom Success Story | 36
Thesetargetsthoughambitiousareastepintheright
How can India inch towards doing so?
direction.Theaimisnotonlytobeaglobaltelecom
Indiahasallthemakingsofagloballycompetitivetelecom manufacturinghubbutalsoensureinclusivegrowthforthe
manufacturingandR&Ddestination.Thisisevidentfrom countryassuchbyfocusingonareaslikeemployment
• AlargeandboomingdomesticmarketwithIndian generation.
operatorsreachingouttotheglobalmarketproviding
Favorablegovernmentinitiativesandtimelypolicychanges
wideraccesstoIndiantelecomcompanies
hasensuredthatIndiahastransformeditselfintoatelecom
• Strongmanagementexperienceincriticalfunctionssuch servicesgiant.ThesameneedstobedonetospeedIndia’s
asSCM,hightechmanufacturingsystems,working transformationtowardsbecomingaglobalmanufacturing
capitalmanagement,valuechainwithEMScompanies, hubthatcancatertothedomesticandglobaltelecom
captivefacilitiesofMNCs(willingtoinvestfurtherin equipmentdemand.
India),auxiliarycomponentmanufacturingbase(e.g.,for
cables,cabinets,shelves,powerelectronics,tooling,
barePCBs,etc.)
A Case-in-Point
• StrongtechnicalandR&Dworkforcehavingexperience
Seamlesseffortstakenbythegovernmenthavecertainly
inR&DcentersofMNCcompanies,ITservice
initializedIndia’stransformationtobecomingaglobal
companiesdoingtelecomprojects,strongacademicand
manufacturinghub.
researchlabsandanincreasingnumberofIndianswho
arereturningbackfromUSA/Europe SriperumbudurinTamilNaduisleadingIndia’s
• Skilled&trainedshopfloorworkforceforelectronics transformationintoaglobaltelecommanufacturinghub.
circuitassembly,testingandintegrationfromwidely DuetotheprogressivepolicyinitiativeoftheGovernment,
availableresourcesfromIndustrialTrainingInstitutesand Sriperumbuduristodaychurningmoremobilephonesthan
Polytechnics. ShenzheninsouthernChina.Thisisnotasmall
• Costadvantagearisingfromlowermanufacturingplant achievement,consideringShenzhenmakesoneoutofeight
establishmentcostandcompetitivelaborcosts. handsetssoldanywhereintheworld.TheclusterofSEZ
unitsemerginginSriperumbudurneedtobesupportedwith
• Availabilityofcapitalfromawellestablishedfinancing
suitabletaxbreaks,world-classpublicinfrastructuresuchas
industryaswellasprivateequitynetwork
expressways,railwaylinksandanairport,andprivate
TheTelecomEquipmentandServicesExportPromotion
amenities,includinghotels,apartments,shoppingmallsand
Council(TEPC)hassetitssightsoncertainmilestones
entertainmentsites.Alreadymanycomponent
tobeachievedbytheyear20146
manufacturershavebegunworkinSriperumbudurtomake
• Exportsgrowthat25percentCAGRovernext5years,
partsandcomponentsforthecellphoneindustry.
reachingoverUSD10Billion
Approximately20,000peopleareestimatedtobeworking
• Domestictelecomproductsgrowthof18percentCAGR inthearea7.
overnext5years
Largeinternationalplayershavemadesignificant
• Employmentgeneration(directandin-direct)of20
investmentsinthecountry,includingthefollowing
million
investmentsinChennaialone:
• Atleast70percentofIndiandomestictelecomneeds
aremetbyproductsmanufacturedinIndia
• AtleastafewIPR-driven,Indianproductcompaniesshould
succeedgloballyandbecomebilliondollarcompanies
6 TEPC,Policyrecommendationstoincreasedomestictelecomgrowthin 7 TEMApressrelease,"TelecomEquipmentProductiontoCrossRs.50,000
exportsoftelecomequipmentandservices Croresin2008-2009",November20,2008
©2009KPMG,anIndianPartnershipandamemberfirmoftheKPMGnetworkofindependentmemberfirmsaffiliatedwithKPMGInternational,aSwisscooperative.Allrightsreserved.
37 | The Indian Telecom Success Story
Mobilehandsetsandcomponentsandelectronic
HonHai(Foxconn) INR5,500million
hardwareandrelatedservices
Source:‘ELCINA-AVISTA,EnvisagingtheNextWaveofICTEManufacturinginIndia,February2009,PressreleasefromTEMAdatedNovember20,2008
Note:TheabovefigureshavebeencalculatedusingexchangerateasINR/USD-50
Globally,therehavebeeninstanceswhereinawell
How can India benefit from becoming a global
developedSEZmodelhassupportedthemanufacturing
industry.ThegovernmentshaveencouragedastrongR&D manufacturing hub?
infrastructuretofacilitatethegrowthinthesector.Fiscal
Indiahaswitnessedfastergrowthinurbanareas,as
measuresandincentivessuchassubsidies,easycredit/
comparedtoruralareas.Thegovernmenthasframed
linesofcreditandtheuseofbi-lateraltradearesomeofthe
inclusivegrowthasoneoftheaspectsoftheirpolicythis
measuresthathavebeenimplementedtoattractforeign
term.Thisorientationismostvisiblymanifestedinthe
investmentandprovideboosttothedomestic
themeoftheEleventhFive-YearPlan,whichrunsfrom2007
manufacturingindustry.
to2012.Thethemeis'towardsfasterandmoreinclusive
Giventhegeographicalspreadofourcountry,itmightbea growth,'whichclearlyreflectstheneedtofindasustainable
goodstrategyforIndiatogoforaphasedandplanned balancebetweengrowthandinclusion.
expansion.PlanningprivateSEZsinstrategiclocationswill
Inclusivegrowthisunderstoodbydifferentpeoplein
fosteranenablingenvironmentforglobalanddomestic
differentways.Forgrowthtobeinclusiveitshouldinvolve
manufacturingmajorstosetupplants.Highquality
keyattributeslike
infrastructureatSEZswillfurtherprovidethenecessary
• Creatingnewandvariedopportunitiestoearna
pushwhichthetelecomequipmentmanufacturingmajors
livelihood
require.
• Providewaystoenhancecapabilitiestoexploitvaried
opportunities
• Providingsecurityagainstapermanentlossoflivelihood
©2009KPMG,anIndianPartnershipandamemberfirmoftheKPMGnetworkofindependentmemberfirmsaffiliatedwithKPMGInternational,aSwisscooperative.Allrightsreserved.
The Indian Telecom Success Story | 38
peopleintheruralareas.Forinstance,settingupofIndia’s opportunityforcreationofIndianIPrightsthroughtelecom
firstruralBPOinKrishnagiribythegovernmentin2007 equipmentindustrywhichcaninturnleadtovalueadditions
undertheFoSTERA(FosteringTechnologiesinRuralIndia) andinnovationsinotherrelatedindustriessuchas
initiativeledtoitstransformation.Thegovernmentplayeda componentsandsemi-conductors.
Additionalincomegeneratingopportunitiesforpeoplein competitivemanufacturingandR&DfromIndiawillnotonly
ruralareaswillmostlikelyleadtotheirchildrenhavinga maketelecomservicesmoreaffordableinIndia,butwill
betteraccesstotheeducationwhichinturncanimprove alsomakeIndiancompaniesmorecompetitiveglobally,and
ourcountry’sliteracyratesandemployability. willbenefitoureconomyinthelong-run.
Accesstobettertechnologyanditsinnovativeapplication Thetelecomequipmentmanufacturingindustrycanthus
canplayaverycriticalroleinimprovingthehealthcare playasignificantroleinacountry’ssocio-economicgrowth
facilitiesinruralIndia.Forinstance,ahospitalcanleverage (especially,developmentofIndia’sruralareas).Itnotonly
telecomconnectivitytoprovidehealthcareservicestorural providesnewavenuesforemployabilitybutalsoensures
areasthroughtele-medicine.Adoctorintheruralareacan developmentofskillsandsecuresagainstlossoflivelihood
remainincontactviaavoiceanddataconnectionwiththe experiencedbytheagriculturalsector.
doctoratthehospital.Thehospitalcanemploytele- Indiaisbuoyedbyarobustdomestictelecomdemand,low
medicinetoassistdoctorsinruralareasastheyanalyseand costmanufacturingcapabilities,andalargetalentpool.With
treatpatients. anadditionalpushfromthegovernmentintheformof
Otherthanbenefitingtheruralareas,telecom necessarypolicyinitiatives,Indiacancatapultitselfintoa
manufacturingcanalsobringalotofpositivesforthe globaltelecomequipmentmanufacturinghub.
countryasawhole. Possessingthecapabilitytogrowaslargeasthe
manufacturingindustrywillaidtheancillaryand industryandcontributetoIndia’sGDPinasignificantway,
componentsindustriesandtherebygenerateemployment theindustrycanpositionIndiaontheglobalmapbutyet
opportunities.Thetelecomsectoremploysover1Million needstobenurturedtofulfillitslatentpotential.
directlyandisestimatedtoemployanother4Million
indirectly8.
8 TEPC,Policyrecommendationstoincreasedomestictelecomgrowthin
exportsoftelecomequipmentandservices
©2009KPMG,anIndianPartnershipandamemberfirmoftheKPMGnetworkofindependentmemberfirmsaffiliatedwithKPMGInternational,aSwisscooperative.Allrightsreserved.
07. Telecom Research & Development
Telecom Research & Development
applicationsrelatedtopromotingbroadbandwireless
Telecom Centres of Excellence
access,ruraleducationalandrurallivelihoodrelated
Inordertobuildcapacitytostrengthenthecapabilityfor applications,valueaddedservicessuchasmobilebased
telecomtechnologyenhancement,theGovernmentofIndia videoconferencing,developmentworkonnextgeneration
initiatedtheconceptofTelecomCentresofExcellence networksetc.Inaddition,theTCOEatIITChennaihasbeen
(TCoE),establishedinaPublicPrivatePartnership(PPP) acceptedbyITU-RasanevaluatorforInternationalMobile
modeinvolvingleadingtelecomcompaniesinIndiaand Telecommunication-Advance(IMT-A)proposalfor4G
leadingeducationalandresearchinstitutionsinthecountry. networks.
Apartfromapplicationorientedresearch,thecentresare
designedtoassistandoffertrainingtocorporatemanagers
forthemanagementofnetworksandservicesaswellas Contract R&D: Laying the foundation
decision-makersoftelecommunicationentitiestomanage
sectorreforms. TheadventofasignificantproportionoftheR&Drevenue
comingIndia'swayinthetechnologyarenainthepastfew
TherearesevenTCoE’sestablishedinthecountryatleading
yearshasbeenintheformofcontractresearch.
academicandresearchinstitutionswiththesupportof
sevenmajortelecomoperators.Eachcentrehasafocused TheEconomistIntelligenceUnit(EIU)hasdefinedIndiaas
areaofexcellence,thusthesevencentrescoverallaspects anR&Dhotspot:aplacewherecompaniescantapinto
oftelecomfromtechnologytodisastermanagementof existingnetworksofscientificandtechnicalexpertise;
telecominfrastructuretocustomercare&businessmodel whichhasgoodlinkstoacademicresearchfacilities;and
innovation.Duringthisyear,around78R&Dprojectswere providesanenvironmentwhereinnovationissupportedand
undertakenbytheTCOE’s.Theseincludedenergyefficient easytocommercialize.1
devicesforruralapplications,useofnon-conventional
sourcesofenergyandenergyefficientpowerconversion,
1 ContractResearchforGlobalFirmsCreatesHotspotsforIT,Telecomand
Biotech,Knowledge@Wharton
©2009KPMG,anIndianPartnershipandamemberfirmoftheKPMGnetworkofindependentmemberfirmsaffiliatedwithKPMGInternational,aSwisscooperative.Allrightsreserved.
‘
The Indian Telecom Success Story | 40
TheEIUfurthernotes,"Indiabecameasoftwarehubinthe TheunparalleledgrowthoftheIndianmarket,innovative
1990s.AsalargeAsiancountrywhereEnglishisspoken, telecombusinessmodels,andchallengingenvironmental
wagesaremodestandWesterneducationisavailable,India conditions,makeitidealforinnovationandafocusareafor
hasquicklygrownasanR&Dpowerhouse."Thecost globaltelecomOEMR&D.Theknowledgethatcanbe
advantageofhavingalargepoolofinexpensive,English- gainedintheIndianmarketisinvaluable,andgives
speakingworkersisabigpartofIndia'sattractiveness.The companiesasignificantedge,improvingtheirproduct
possiblecostsavingsfigureshavemadethebusinesscase offeringforIndiancustomersandothersaroundtheworld.
quiteevident.Theavailabilityofgoodqualitytalent,is
TelecomvendorsdoingsignificantbusinessinIndiaare
bolsteredbythepresenceofgoodqualityhigher
designingproductstoaddressthisdemand,allowing
educationaltechnologicalinstitutesandalargenetworkof
increasedscalabilityandtheadditionofnewfunctionalities
governmentresearchlabs.
onexistingplatformswithouttheneedtoreplaceexisting
ThebestresultsforoutsourcedR&Dhavebeenmost legacyequipment.Forexample,productsdevelopedwiththe
evidentinthetechnologysector.India'sleadingtechnology Indianmarketinmindarecapableofexpandingtheircapacity
companiesarebeginningtobuildsustainablecontractR&D fourfoldsimplybyswappingtheplatform’slinecards.
businesses.
India’sclimateisnotableforitsextremetemperaturesand
Withinthetechnologysector,semiconductordesignor moisture-ladensummers.This,coupledwithitsharsh
designofchipsisanareawheremultinationalscameto environmentalconditionsandhighlevelsofairpollution,
Indiaalongtimeago,anditremainsagrowthareaforR&D requiresadditionalqualificationproceduresfortelecom
outsourcing.IndiahasaboutahundredVLSIcompanies, equipment,inadditiontothosespecifiedinexisting
withmorethan5,000engineersprovidingsemiconductor internationalstandards.Inresponsetotheseconditionsand
designservices.2 Manylargesemiconductorcompanies, theresultinglocalandinternationalstandards,vendorshave
includingTexasInstruments,NationalSemiconductors,Intel, begunapplyinganti-sulphurcoatingtocardsdeployedin
AnalogDevices,STMicroelectronics,Cadence,and Indiatoprotectthemfromchemicalsinthecountry’s
MotorolahaveestablishedresearchfacilitiesinIndia. ambientpollutedair.Inaddition,thechippackagingfor
criticalcomponentsisupgradedtoindustrial-gradeto
IndianITcompanieshaveconsiderablenumbersof
sustainawiderrangeoftemperaturelevelsrangingfrom-5
engineersworkingintheareasofVLSIdesignand
Cto80Cdegrees.
embeddedsystemsaswell.WhileVLSIinvolvesthedesign
ofchips,thescopeofembeddedsystemswouldbemuch Theadjustmentsrequiredbythechallengingconditionsin
broader,involvingchipdesign,software,signalprocessing Indiahavealsobeencontributingtoimprovereliability
andoperatingsystems,andisexpectedtobeasignificant elsewhere;flexibilityandscalabilitytheybringwillhelp
opportunityforcontractR&Dproviders.3 increaseavendor’ssuccessaroundtheglobeoffering
operatorsthesamebenefitsofscaleandadaptability
dictatedbytheIndiamarket.
Designed for India Indiaiswithoutquestiononeofthemostcompelling
emergingtelecommarketsintheworld.Duetoitslow-cost,
India’stelecommunicationsinfrastructurecontinuesto
high-qualitynetworksandinnovativemarketing,thecountry
developrapidlytryingtomeetlocalneeds,andtoovercome
isamodelofefficiencyinglobaltelecom.Vendorsworking
awidevarietyofchallengingregionalcharacteristics,local
inIndiabelievethattheirpresencethereandrelationship
customerrequirementsandconditions.Thishelpsvendors
withIndiancompanieswilleventuallybenefitalloftheir
understandthegrowingneedsoftheglobalmarketwith
customersglobally.Multinationalsareincreasinglytaking
regardtoissuessuchasscalability,densityand
noticeofIndiabeyondjustitstalentpoolandviewingitasa
environmentalruggedness.
keyprovinganddevelopmentgroundfortheirR&Defforts.
2 VLSISocietyofIndia
3 IndiaR&D2005organizedbyFICCI:BackgroundPaperpreparedby
Evalueserve
©2009KPMG,anIndianPartnershipandamemberfirmoftheKPMGnetworkofindependentmemberfirmsaffiliatedwithKPMGInternational,aSwisscooperative.Allrightsreserved.
08. Value Added Services
Value Added Services
TheoverallMVASmarketcanbesegmentedeitheronthe
Mobile Value Added Services in India
basisofconsumptionpatternsoronthebasisofthemode
Bornoutofvanillavoiceoperations,MobileValueAdded ofdelivery.Furthermore,themarketmayalsobesegmented
Servicesencompassservicesthatarenotpartofthebasic onthebasisoftheconsumertypei.e.individualor
voiceofferandareavailedseparatelybytheenduser.They enterprise.
areusedasatoolfordifferentiationandallowmobile
operatorstodevelopanotherstreamofsustainablerevenue.
Mobile VAS
Consumer Enterprise
VAS VAS
Entertainment VAS
Text USSD
Communication
©2009KPMG,anIndianPartnershipandamemberfirmoftheKPMGnetworkofindependentmemberfirmsaffiliatedwithKPMGInternational,aSwisscooperative.Allrightsreserved.
The Indian Telecom Success Story | 42
Modes of Delivery
Asoutlinedpreviously,theprimarymodesofdeliveryfor
VASservicesinclude,TextorSMS,InteractiveVoice
Reponses(IVRVoicePortals),GPRS/EDGEandUnstructured
SupplementaryServiceData(USSD).
Text/SMS
Widelyusedbecauseitshandsetagnostic;however,still
dependantonliteracyofsubscribers.
IVRSisakeydeliverymediuminIndia.Althoughitisalmost
non-existentinmostotherdevelopedwirelessmarkets,IVR
maycontinuetoexistinIndia.IVRallowsuserstosurf
(menubased)forservicesandisavailableinalmostallmajor
regionallanguages. Mostlymusic-basedproductssuchasringtonesandCRBT
canbepurchasedofftheshelfthroughthischannel.This
GPRS/EDGE channelhasthepotentialofbecomingasignificantdelivery
mode,particularlyinthelesssophisticatedmarkets.
Alloperatorsarelookingtodriveadoptionratesfortheirdata
services.Keyproductssuchasvideos,streaming,mobileTV,
sophisticatedm-commerceapplications,etccanbe
deliveredonlythroughGPRS/EDGE. The Ecosystem and Value Chain
Retail channel ThusfarindustryprotagonistsfocusedondefiningaTelecom
ecosystemwithMVASbeinganintegralpartofit.However,
Popularizedbyoperatorsthoughtheirexistingretailchannel inrecenttimes,thehighgrowthprospectsofMVASinIndia
wherebyasubscribercanjustwalkinforaparticularservice. aregivingrisetoanentireecosystem1 ofitsown.
©2009KPMG,anIndianPartnershipandamemberfirmoftheKPMGnetworkofindependentmemberfirmsaffiliatedwithKPMGInternational,aSwisscooperative.Allrightsreserved.
43 | The Indian Telecom Success Story
ThecentralpointoftheMVASecosystemremainsthatof
Market Size and Growth
themobileoperators.AlthoughtheVASmodel,incubatedby
theoperators,hastranscendedfroma“walledgarden”toa
EstimatedataroundINR90billionin2009,theMVAS
slightlylesscontrolledversion,mobileoperatorscontinueto
industryinIndiahaswitnessedstronggrowthoverthelast
retainanoverwhelmingmajorityoftherevenuefromVAS
fewyears.ThusfarthecontributionofVASrevenuetototal
relatedservices.
operatorrevenueshasrangedbetween8and9percenton
Giventheimportancethismarkethasgainedoverthelast average.However,withvoiceARPU’ssteadilydecliningand
fewyears,operatorshavestartedtoextendthemselves MOU’spanningoutoverthelastcoupleofyears,the
againbyexploringmargingeneratingsourcesincluding importanceofVAShasincreasedsignificantlyasitisfast
venturingintoin-housecontentaggregationwingsetc.This becominganimportanttoolforARPUstability.
hascreatedsomepressureonvariousbusinessesinthe
Priorto2008,amajorityofVASrevenueswereattributable
MVASecosystemasithasbeguntodriverevenueshares
toSMS’s.However,recenttrendsindicatethatthismixis
lower.
evolving,withgreaterpenetrationofnewservices,
Furthermore,largeInternetportalsalreadyhavemajor availabilityofrelativelyin-expensivefeaturerichhandsets
resourcescommittedfortheprocessingandaggregationof andconsumereducation,VASotherthanSMSisgaining
newsandothercontent,thusalsomakingthemapartofthe importance.Itisfurtherexpectedthatoverthenextfew
overallMVASpie. years,non-SMSVASwouldbecomeadominantcontributor
toVASrevenue.
SMS versus Non-SMS VAS (2009) SMS versus Non-SMS VAS (2011)
Source:Industryconsensusestimates,KPMGanalysis
• P2PSMS’scontinuetobecontrolledbytheoperatoras
Addressable Market
theyareviewedasasubstitutetovoice
Although,theoverallVASpiewasestimatedataroundINR
• Sincetheoperatorprovidestheconnectivityaswellas
90billionin2009,thispieismorerelevantfortheoperators
thesupportfordeliveryoftheservicestotheenduser,a
asitconstitutestheirrevenue.ForotherplayersintheVAS
significantportionofrevenueisretainedbytheoperators
ecosystemthepieisalotsmallerasresultof
andacertainrevenueshareispassedontotheVAS
providersalongthevaluechain.
1 ThomasWeisel,EnamSecuritiesandInterviewswithIndustrySources
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The Indian Telecom Success Story | 44
• Lowentrybarriers
• LowIPRaroundtechnologyandserviceofferings
Source:Industryestimates,Informationinterviews
Key Highlights
• Theshareofnon-P2PsmsVASisexpectedtoincreaseoverthenexttwoyearstoaround8percentofoperator
revenues.
• Revenueshareacrossservicesisexpectedtostabilizeataround25percentonaverageforindependentVAS
companies.
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45 | The Indian Telecom Success Story
Theaddressablemarketfornon-P2PSMSVAShas
historicallybeendominatedbyringtonesandcallerringback
tones(CRBT)whichaccountforaround45percentof
revenues.Voiceportalbasedserviceofferingsarethe
secondlargestcontributortorevenue,accountingforaround
20percentofthenon-P2PSMSVASmarket.Enterprise
solutionsandAlertscontributearound18percenttorevenue
whereasthegaminganddatadrivenservicessegmentis
presentlyatarelativelynascentstageinIndia.Thisis
manifestedinarelativelylowpenetrationofGPRS/WAP
basedproductsandservicesacrosstheVASspectrum. Source:Industryestimates,Informationinterviews
Key Highlights
• CRBT’sandVoicePortalscontinuetobethedrivingforcebehindnon-P2PSMSVASinIndia.
• Otherservices,includinggaminganddatadrivenservicesaregainingprominence,however,theyremainnascentin
comparisonwithringtones.
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The Indian Telecom Success Story | 46
downloadsatpresent.However,otherservices,suchas
Growth Drivers
bankingrelatedproducts,videoondemandetc.maygain
Ashasbeenenumeratedearlier,MVASrevenuesare prominenceintheyearsahead.
expectedtogrowatasignificantpaceoverthenextthree
years.Theprimaryfactorsexpectedtofueltheaforesaid
growthinclude:
1. Subscriberadditions
2. IncreasingconsumerdemandforVAS
3. DecliningARPU’sandmobiletariffs
4. Reductioninhandsetcosts
5. Growingruralmarket
6. Mobilephonebeingconsidereda“new-medium”for
advertising
7. Introductionof3Gbasednetworks
Source:‘MobileValueAddedServices-India’,Netscribes
Subscriber additions
Declining ARPU’s and Mobile Tariffs
Indiaisthesecondlargestmobilemarketintheworldandis
MobilevoicetariffsinIndiaareoneofthelowestglobally.In
alsoamongthefastestgrowingglobally.Thetotalnumberof
ordertoincreaserevenues,telecomoperatorsaretargeting
mobilesubscribersinIndiaincreasedfromaround1million
customersbyreducingtariffsandofferingvoiceservicesat
inMarch1998to392millioninMarch2009,ataCAGRof74
veryattractiveprice.
percent.Astheend-userbaseforMVAScompanies
continuestoexpandoverthenextfewyears,the Theaforesaidlowtariffshaveledtoasignificantdeclinein
addressablepopulationandthusproductpenetrationsfor ARPU’sovertheyears.AsofDecember2008,GSMARPU’s
MVASserviceprovidersareexpectedtobenefit. wereestimatedataroundINR220persubscriberpermonth
asagainstINR316persubscriberpermonthinDecember
2006,representingadeclineofover30percentinashort
ThishasledtogrowthinacceptabilityofMVASamong
consumersastheirwillingnesstopayfordifferenttypesof
serviceshasincreasedsignificantly.Onascaleof0to6,it
hasbeenestimatedthatmobilesubscribersarethemost
willingtopayforringtones,MMS’saswell;asmusic
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47 | The Indian Telecom Success Story
Inordertosustainprofitability,itisessentialforoperatorsto lowertariffsinordertogainmarketshare,theimportanceof
tryandstemthisdecliningARPU.However,withtheentry MVASasatooltostabilizeARPU’sislikelytoincrease
ofanumberofnewtelecomserviceproviders,offeringeven significantlyoverthenextcoupleofyears.
0.3
350 316 298
297
300 275
0.23 261 264
0.22
239
0.19 250 221 220
United States Dollar
INR/Subscriber/Month
0.17 176
0.16 200 173
159
139
150 122
0.11 111
0.09
0.1 100
0.05
0.03 50
0.02
0
0.0
Aug-07
Aug-08
Dec-06
Dec-07
Dec-08
Jun-07
Jun-08
Feb-07
Apr-07
Feb-08
Apr-08
Oct-07
Oct-08
Brazil
Belgium
Taiwan
Malaysia
China
India
Thailand
France
UK
Italy
GSM CDMA
Source:‘MobileValueAddedServices–India’,Netscribes
Source:Netscribes,KPMGAnalysis
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Telecom for Inclusiv Growth | 48
Medium of advertising
AnotheremergingdriverfortheincreaseduseMVAS
Services and Applications Outlook
servicesisthatofadvertisingdrivenonmobiledevices.
Giventhereachandpenetrationofmobiledevicestoday,
AlthoughentertainmentcontinuestobeadominantMVAS
Companiesareincreasinglyadoptingmobileadvertisingasa
categoryinenduserpreferences,theintroductionof3G
viableoptiontomarketbrandsandproducts.
technologyaswellasthegrowthindemandforM-
Introduction of 3G based applications commercewillboostdemandforinformation/commerce
basedapplications.Thetop10applicationsfor2010are
Theintroductionof3Gisalsoexpectedtoboostmobile
expectedtorevolvearoundMusic,games,UGCandsocial
broadbandpenetrationasitwillallowforhighspeeddata
networking,IVRbasedservices,Mcommerceandlocation
transfer.Thisisexpectedtousherinawidespectrumof
basedservices.
‘
Value Added Services (VAS) will play an important role in
improving the Average Revenue Per User (ARPU) which is
decreasing and affecting operators’ margins
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09. Regulatory and Policy Environment
Regulatory and Policy Environment
TheIndiantelecommunicationsindustryissupportedbya • TheTelecomDisputesSettlementandAppellateTribunal
strongregulatoryframework,whichensuresefficientpolicy (TDSAT)wassetuptoresolvealldisputesbetweena
developmentandexecution.Thegovernmenthasmade licensorandalicensee;twoormoreserviceproviders;
considerableeffortstoensurethatregulationtakescareof betweenaserviceproviderandagroupofconsumers
theinterestsoftheindustry,aswellasthecountryatlarge.
ThetelecomregulatoryframeworkinIndiaconsistsof,
amongothers,thefollowingkeybodies1:
Regulatory Evolution
Thegovernmenthasmadesignificantcontributionstothe
•TheDepartmentofTelecommunication(DoT)isthe
telecomsectorbydevelopingaregulatoryenvironmentthat
licensorandthecentralgoverningbodyforthe
promotesthegrowthofthesector.Severaltelecom
telecommunicationindustry.Itformulatesthepoliciesfor
regulationshavebeenintroducedoverthepastfewdecades
thedevelopmentofthesector,awardstelecomlicenses
toensurethedevelopmentofthetelecomindustry.
andisalsoresponsibleforfrequencymanagement
• TheTelecomRegulatoryAuthorityofIndia(TRAI)
regulatestariffs,advisesthegovernmentabout
introducingnewtechnologiesandtrackstheservice
providerstoensurethattheyadheretotheguidelines
andmeetthequalityofservicebenchmarks
1IBEF,December2008
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The Indian Telecom Success Story | 50
Regulatory Evolution
Source:TRAI,FitchReport,DoT,IBEF,PressSearch
TheNationalTelecomPolicywasannouncedintheyear
1994.Theprimaryobjectivebehindthispolicywastoensure
rapidgrowthofthetelecommunicationsectorsuchthat
everyIndianhasaccesstoatelephoneondemand.Rural
expansionwasandisstilloneofthekeyobjectivesofthis
policy.Worldclassservicequalityandspecialredressalof
customercomplaintsaresomeoftheotherimperative
objectivesofthispolicy2.
Afreshroundofreformswasintroducedintheformofthe
NewTelecomPolicyin1999.Thispolicyessentially
attemptedtoestablishaclearroadmapfortelecomreforms
andexploredtheoptionofopeningupallsegmentsofthe
sectortoprivatesectorparticipation.3 Thekeyfeaturesof
thispolicyincludedthestrengtheningoftheregulatorand
openingupNLDandILDtoprivateparticipants,among
otherfeatures.
TheNTP-99wasamendedin2003topermitalicenseeto
providewirelineandwirelessservicesusinganytechnology
inapredeterminedlicenseareaafterconversiontoa
UniversalAccessServiceLicense(UASL).
2 DoTwebsite
3 DoT,“Auctionof3GandBWASpectrum-RevisedInformationMemorandum”,
October23,2009
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51 | The Indian Telecom Success Story
• Formanufactureoftelecomequipments,100percent
equityinvestmentispermissibleunderautomaticroute.
Current FDI policy for the Telecom Sector5:
• Further,recentlyspecificnormshavebeenlaiddownfor
• ForBasicandcellular,UnifiedAccessServices,National/ computingaforesaidlimitsincaseofdownstream
InternationalLongDistance,V-Sat,PublicMobileRadio investmentsforallsectors(includingtelecomsector).
TrunkedServices(PMRTS),GlobalMobilePersonal
CommunicationsServices(GMPCS)andothervalue
addedtelecomservices,equityinvestmentupto74
percent6 ispermittedwithalimitof49percentunderthe
automaticroute.
4 TRAIwebsite 6 ThisincludesinvestmentsbywayofFDI,FII,NRI,FCCBs,ADRs,GDRs,
5 AtelecomventureinanycaseneedstocomplywithDoTregulations convertiblePreferenceshares,andproportionateforeignequityinIndian
(licensingandotherrequirements) promoters/InvestingCompany)
©2009KPMG,anIndianPartnershipandamemberfirmoftheKPMGnetworkofindependentmemberfirmsaffiliatedwithKPMGInternational,aSwisscooperative.Allrightsreserved.
‘
The Indian Telecom Success Story | 52
The regulatory and policy environment has played a key role in the
development of the Indian telecom sector and, with initiatives like the 3G
spectrum auctions, will be an important contributor to future growth
A snapshot
MNPisexpectedtoberolledoutinmetrosbyearly2010.Thesecond
1 MobileNumberPortability
phasewillbeimplementedbyendof2010
DoTwillcreateawarenessonNGN;TECwillstudyglobalexamplesof
2 NextGenerationNetworks
NGNdeployment
3 3GandBWASpectrum 3GandBWAauctionislikelytotakeplaceinearly2010
Highspeedbroadbandtobemadeavailableatall25lacgrampanchayats
4 GrowthofBroadband
in3years
MobileVirtualNetworkOperators
5 Policieslikelytobeannouncedsoon
andVoiceOverInternetProtocol
Source:‘ConnectingRuralIndia:TheUntappedGrowthOpportunity’,December2008,Mediareports,DoT
7 DoT,“Auctionof3GandBWASpectrum-RevisedInformationMemorandum”,
October23,2009;Mediareports
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53 | The Indian Telecom Success Story
ThelevelofinternetandbroadbandaccessinIndiaislower Broadly,MNPallowsanysubscribertochangehisservice
ascomparedtoglobalstandards.Whilethemobile providerwithoutchanginghismobilephonenumber.At
subscriberbaseisapproaching500million,thebroadband present,ifasubscriberwishestochangeserviceproviders,
userbaseisonlysevenmillionwithanadditional13million thesubscriberwouldlosethebenefitofhavingaknown
internetsubscribers.Notonlyhasthesubscriberbasein mobilephonenumber.Thisformedadeterrentforthe
mobilephoneszoomedpastbroadbandnumbers,thequality subscribertomovebetweenserviceprovidersirrespective
ofbroadbandaccessremainsatrelativelylowlevelsas ofthequalityofserviceandcompetitivepricing.MNPbrings
comparedtocertaincountriesinEastAsia,Europeand outawholenewfacettothishighlycompetitiveindustry
Americas. andwillforcetelecomserviceproviderstoimprovethe
qualityoftheirservicetoavoidlosingsubscribers.
Toaddressthisconcern,thegovernmenthasinitiated
changeswithregardtointernetaccessandbroadband Indianmobilitymarketcanbecharacterizedasonewitha
programsandmadebroadbandinfrastructureandservice verylargesubscriberbase,highgrowthratesandlow
provisioninruralandremoteareaseligibleforsubsidyfrom ARPUs.Themarketishighlycompetitivewith10-12players
theUniversalServiceObligationFund(USOF). operatingineachtelecomcircle,andtheentryofnew
licenseesisexpectedtofurtherintensifythecompetition.All
2010couldbethebreakoutyearforbroadbandaccessin
thismakesforaverypotentcombinationwhichwilllikely
India.Thegovernmenthasinitiatedauctionsforbroadband
driveupthechurnratesonceMNPisintroduced.
wirelessaccessspectrum,tobeheldsoonafterthe3G
auctionsinJanuary,2010.Broadbandwirelessaccess TherealimpactofMNPwilltaketimetorealizeanditwillbe
providesaconvenientwaytoaccesstheinternetand another18to24monthsbeforeanyquantifiedanalysiscan
removestheproblemoflastmilephysicalconnectivitythat bereleased.Amongthevarioussegmentsofsociety,price
plaguedISPandfixedlinetelecomoperators.Withthe sensitivesegmentssuchasstudents,smallbusinessmen
increasinguseofpersonalcomputers,laptopsandother andshopkeepersaremostlikelytobenefitfromMNP.
mobilecomputingdevices,theabilitytousebroadband
accessathomeandonthemove,makesthisanexciting
periodfortheindustry.
Governmenthasannouncedthatmobilenumberportability
willbeimplementedinmetrosandCategoryAcircles,andin
therestofthecountryinaphasedmannerover20108.In
manyways,thiscanbeseenasmaturingelementofthe
Indiantelecomindustryandanaturalstepfortheindustryto
gotowards.
8 TRAIPressrelease–68/2009datedSeptember23,2009
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The Indian Telecom Success Story | 54
9TRAIRecommendationsonMobileVirtualNetworkOperators–August6,
2008
10DoT;TRAI;ISPAI;ResearchOnIndia,‘VoIPMarket-India’,August2009
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The Indian Telecom Success Story | 56
Conclusion
TheworldhasbeenwitnesstothetremendoussuccessoftheIndian
telecommunicationsindustry.Fromtheonset,thesectorhasdisplayedenormous
potentialandplayedanimportantroleindevelopingthecountry’seconomy.The
telecommunicationsindustryhasalsobeenhighlysuccessfulinpromotingthe
publicagendaanddrivinginclusivegrowth.
Thesuccessofthetelecommunicationssectorsofarhadbeenlimitedmoreor
lesstotheurbanareas.Overthelastfewyears,however,theGovernmentaswell
asprivateplayershavebeenmakingaconcentratedattempttoreplicatethe
successesachievedinurbanareastothenewermarketsofruralIndia.Whilevoice
serviceshavetraditionallybeenthekeydriverforthedevelopmentofthesector,
theindustryisnowatthethresholdofthenextbigshiftandispoisedtodrive
growththroughotheravenues.Broadbandconnectivityislikelytoopenupnewer
marketswhileatthesametimeimprovethesocialandeconomicconditionsof
thelowerpenetratedareas.MobileVASisexpectedtobenefitallsectionsof
societywithrelevantcontentbeingdevelopedtoenhancebusinesses,provide
financialassistance,andpromoteeducationandhealthcareforthemasses.The
relativelynewerindustriesoftelecommanufacturingandresearchand
developmentbringwiththemaplethoraofemploymentopportunitiesforall.
TheGovernment,recognizingtheneedsoftheindustry,hasannouncedmany
upcomingregulationsthatareexpectedtofurthergrowtheindustry.This
proactiveregulatoryenvironmenthashadanextremelypositiveimpactandhas
heraldedthenextphaseofdevelopmentforthetelecommunicationssector.
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57 | The Indian Telecom Success Story
About Department of
Telecommunications (DoT)
TheDepartmentofTelecommunicationsoftheGovernmentofIndiaisresponsible
fortelecompolicyformulation,telecomlicensing,wirelessspectrum
management,universalserviceobligation,promotionofInternationalco-operation
intelecommunications,promotionofprivateinvestmentsintelecomsector,
standardizationandresearchinthefieldoftelecommunicationsandadministration
of:
• IndianTelegraphAct,1885
• IndianWirelessTelegraphyAct,1933
• TelecomRegulatoryAuthorityofIndiaAct,1997
FICCIorganizesalargenumberofexhibitions,conferences,seminarsand
businessmeetsforpromotingbusiness.
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The Indian Telecom Success Story | 58
KPMGisaglobalnetworkofprofessionalfirmsprovidingAudit,TaxandAdvisory
services.Weoperatein140countriesandhave135,000peopleworkingin
memberfirmsaroundtheworld.TheindependentmemberfirmsoftheKPMG
networkareaffiliatedwithKPMGInternational,aSwisscooperative.EachKPMG
firmisalegallydistinctandseparateentityanddescribesitselfassuch.
TheIndianmemberfirmsaffiliatedwithKPMGInternationalwereestablishedin
September1993.Asmembersofacohesivebusinessunittheyrespondtoa
Clientserviceenvironmentbyleveragingtheresourcesofaglobalnetworkof
firms,providingdetailedknowledgeoflocallaws,regulations,marketsand
competition.Weprovideservicestoover2,000internationalandnationalclients,
inIndia.KPMGhasofficesinIndiainMumbai,Delhi,Bangalore,Chennai,
Hyderabad,Kolkata,PuneandKochi.ThefirmsinIndiahaveaccesstomorethan
2000Indianandexpatriateprofessionals,manyofwhomareinternationally
trained.Westrivetoproviderapid,performance-based,industry-focusedand
technology-enabledservices,whichreflectasharedknowledgeofglobalandlocal
industriesandourexperienceoftheIndianbusinessenvironment.
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