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ARBITRAGE
Arbitrage in Spot Market
A B
GBP /USD
1.4550/1.4560
1.4538/1.4548
Is there an Arbitrage opportunity?
YES: there an Arbitrage
opportunity
i.e Bank A
* *
Bank B *
*
Buy pound from B at 1.4548 and sell to
A at 1.4550.
How can the bank
remove the
Arbitrage
opportunity?
Bank will change quote to:-
A B
GBP /USD 1.4550/1.4560
1.4545/1.4555
e Bank A
* *
Bank B
* *
Buy pound from B at 1.4555 and sell
to A at 1.4550.Loss.No Arbitrage.
SWAPS
Combination of two or more deals.
Spot and fwd simultaneously.
Spot 60 day dollar-euro swap is spot
purchase of dollar and fwd sell of the
same dollar.
Both are fwd then FWD – FWD.
Temp X of one currency for other,
With obligation to reverse deal for
other.
SWAPS
USD/CHF-1.4265/1.4275.
1 MONTH SWAP-15/8.
Means 0.0015/0.0008,.must be added
to the Spot rates.
CALCULATION
USD/CHF-1.4280/1.4283.
Less
Spot rate -1.4265/1.4275
We get the swap margin
- .0015/.0008
i.e.15/8.
SWAP EXAMPLE
Euro-rates:-
CHF/ITL Spot- 755/765.
Euro CHF: 6 – 6 ¼.
Euro LIRA: 15 – 15 1/2.
What swap margin must the bank
quote?
Assume Bank has given Swap rate as
CHF/ITL -760.00.
Bank borrows ITL 760 Million at 15 ½
and deliver customer.
Bank receives CHF 1 Million from
customer and invest in deposit at 6%.
At maturity after 3 month Bank must
pay:-
ITL 760(1+ 0.25(0.1550))million=
ITL 789.45 million.
The CHF deposit would have grown to
CHF 1[1+0.25(0.06)]million=CHF 1.015
million.
The bank will break even if it charges
(789.45/1.015)=777.78 lira per CHF on the
fwd leg of the fwd contract(?).
The bank has thus manufactured a swap
quote from the inter bank deposit market.
PROBLEM - 2