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Whether you also save me like Afzal and Kasab ?

Now those are very old sayings when it is being often told that "Dabb ke vaah te rajj ke khaa" [means:
work hard and get better eating]. Now a days thinking of this thing is like a sin. In today's scenario it is
being told "Khada peeta lahe da baki Ahemadshahe da " [means: The which one ate is good, rest will
not be saved and spent in expenses].

Inflation has risen so much high that it looking like a competition of kites that who's kite is more high
mean to say that which product is most inflated. scenario is going in this way that things of daily needs
are getting costlier day by day and luxury items are getting cheaper due to stiff competition. Then logically
a saying by Mr. Shyam Jagota's [ http://www.facebook.com/shyam.jagota ] comes to my mind that
anyhow a common wants to ask that"whether you also save me like Afzal and Kasab ? "

The common man in this picture is saying this in a shouting tone. And if the answer comes that comes
very late when with the balloon of inflation many people flew away. Or a promise which takes a long time
to get it complete and in between that half of the population will fly along with the ballon of inflation. i will
make you know the common meaning of my these words further, first we should have to know about the
inflation.
Inflation Rate :-
According to the figures released the inflation rate was 18.32 % on food items on 25th December. It
was on 14.44 % a week ago by 25th December. It was on 10.15 % on 13th November. After-all what is
this 18.32 %, 14.44 %, 10.15% ? In a layman's term it is a purchasing power of a person. This purchasing
power increased or decreased to knowing this is a inverse relation. Mean to say that if the sign of a figure
is positive then purchasing power is decreased. If the figure is negative then purchasing power is
increased. In more easy way we can understand in this way, if it is 18.32 % or +18.32% [same thing] then
purchasing power is decreased, if figure is like -18.32 % then purchasing power is increased. now it can
be said easily that on 13th November the inflation which was on 10.15 % has crossed a mark of 18.32 %
on 25th December. We can also say this that purchasing power of a man has been declined to 18.32 %.

After-all how this comes into the picture? What are the base figures of these figures which determines
the whole ?

The mirror is very clear. first we should come to know that how these figures are being determined.
Actually in our country some parameters has been established to measures the inflation. Many factors are
taken into consideration while measuring the inflation but the most important factor is the BASE
YEAR. The prices of the base year are taken as base to measure the inflation. What happens ? The
difference of the prices from base has been taken and divided by the prices of the base year then
multiplied with hundred. the result obtained by this is written in percentage form like 18.32 %. This base
year is changed time to time after some particular interval of time. the base year of current inflation is the
financial year of 2004-05.

Reasons of Inflation :-
As in science their is some reason for happening or not happening similarly economics has the reason
of inflation and deflation. According to economics the prices of the product us decided by force which is
called Demand and Supply. When the demand and supply remains same in proportion then the prices
reached to an equilibrium point. When demand increases and supply decreases or remains constant then
prices rise. When demand decreases and supply increases or remain constant then prices fall. I think this
is the sole reason of increasing or decreasing of prices.

Political noise and dialogism :-


According to chain the next question which comes into picture is that what is reason behind today's
inflation? is demand has increased and supply is constant this time ? or supply is reduced and demand is
constant ?

I don't find any logical reason of inflation in between these two. Just observe, Isn't the prices can be
increased with a wrong intention ? But how ? As in economics as the supply decreases the prices rise
similarly if the availability of products in the market is being reduced or stopped then prices automatically
rises. then only that product will be sold which will be available in the market at that time and on high
rates. see, prices has been risen.

Now the question arises that how this whole is being executed ? There has to be no astonishes that
this whole is done by big market player and hoarders and earns super normal profits. Moreover political
dialogues help these to execute this whole. But how ? Just try to think on the other side of the coin, when
a political leader gives a dialogue that this time produce may be not good because of un-seasonal rain.
Then isn't this a motivation to big market players and hoarders to stock the products in the godowns ?
And in these super normal profits if there may be a share of a Minster, there will be no doubt of being this.
When Mr. Pawar [ http://www.facebook.com/pages/Sharad-Pawar/54640894806?v=info ] gives a
dialogue that the produce has been spoiled in Mahrashtra because of rain and the produce will
remains low in this year. then isn't this a motivation to hoarders to carry on their such filthy acts ? The
point is that that to what degree it was logical to give a dialogue on produced ? Does less produce in one
particular area can make suffer whole of the country ? If there it is then can't the products be imported
from neighbor countries ? If yes, then what is the reason to make public this thing that the produce will
remain low ? Now, isn't this a motivation to hoarders to hoard the stock and rise the prices ?
Then after some days, the renowned economist and the vice president of planning commission of
India S. Montek Singh Ahluwalia [ http://www.facebook.com/pages/Montek-Singh-
Ahluwalia/374082521410?v=info ] gives a political dialogue that the increased prices has brought
financial happiness. Our GDP is increasing and we try that it crosses a mark of 9 % by the end of
this financial year. I ask to S. Ahluwalia that why don;t you say this that the purchasing power of a
common man has been decreased and will be continue day by day ? It is obvious that if the prices will
rise GDP will automatically rise and also you are pointing you want to reach GDP to the mark of 9 %. It
will be very good if the prices will be in control and as well as GDP will increase. Ahluwalia sir, what was
the need to tell public about the GDP as everyone know this fact ? It is looking that you make a dialogue
just for a formality. Readers, now you tell isn't this a motivation to rise the prices and hoard the stock ?

According to me the political dialogism has the highest share of making prices rise rather than other
factors. If this share may be 99 % it will not astonish me. Even the Prime Minister of this country S.
Manmohan Singh [ http://www.facebook.com/pages/Dr-Manmohan-Singh/17780227654?v=info ] has
told that the inflation will be in control by the end of March. These are those easy explanations for
which I've stated upper.

Rise in Petrol prices :-


By when the govt. has deregulated the oil prices to the companies to determine it has anyhow
increased somehow by every month. recently its prices has been increased. If it is analyzed logically then
we can see that there is only $ 1/- barrel in crude oil from last year but current year's petrol prices are far
far away from last year's prices. what is the reason behind that tha is also a very deep thing but the
increased prices of petrol makes what effect on food prices worries me. Inflation will rise anyhow.

The situation reaches to this extent that youngsters are updating these type of statuses on social
networking sites like Facebook [ http://www.facebook.com ] "This is the first time in the history that
needs, comfort and luxuries are available on same price. Onions: Rs. 65/- KG, Petrol: Rs. 65/- liter,
Beer: Rs. 65/- bottle."

One make a sigh of relief that diesel prices are not deregulated and the control of this is in the hands
of govt. and these are not been increased. But there is also a panic that whether they may not increase
that in coming financial budget. if it does so then living of a common man will be battleground.

Then where the thing is mind of the people will come out on their tongue. "whether you also save me
like Afzal and Kasab ? "

- Satinder Shah
Singh

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