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Key words: Lehman Brothers, Investment bank, market risk, credit risk, liquidity risk,
operational risk, reputational risk, Bankruptcy
Table of Content
Introduction ........................................................................................................... 4
Background ........................................................................................................... 4
Risks in Investment Banking................................................................................. 4
From Boom Years to Crisis ................................................................................... 5
The Strategical Failures ......................................................................................... 6
Exceeding the Risk Limits .................................................................................... 7
Summary of Recommendations ............................................................................ 8
References ........................................................................................................... 10
Further reading .................................................................................................... 11
Introduction
When the investment bank Lehman Brothers fell on 15 September, 2008, it was the largest
bankruptcy ever, and it still is. The bank had assets of $639 billion, which is about as much as
the five subsequently largest bankruptcies combined. The size of the bankruptcy could also be
described as more than one and a half time the gross domestic product of Sweden in 2009.
(Investopedia Staff, 2010)
This report aims to establish an overview of the financial risks included in Lehman Brothers’
business, how they were neglected and finally led to their bankruptcy. Furthermore, to analyze
the risks and give a recommendation of a more sustainable risk approach.
Background
The foundation for Lehman Brothers was laid by the German immigrant Henry Lehman and
his brothers in the 1850s. For the first decades the company traded cotton, but in the
beginning of the 20th century it started with banking and securities trading, eventually
becoming an investment bank. Investing and doing business in growing sectors of the 20th
century as well as going global and acquiring other firms, Lehman Brothers expanded and
became one of the world’s largest investment banks. (Historical Resources, 2010)
Modern investment banks like Lehman are complex institutions with advanced and opaque
structures, with daily transactions of several billion of dollars. The main business areas of
Lehman before the collapse was typical investment banking as well as equities, fixed income,
capital markets and investment management. Their investment banking business provided
financial services such as mergers and acquisitions, underwritings and issuing securities. In
the other business lines, the equity part of Lehman invested in equity around the world while
the fixed income, capital markets and investment management parts concerned various
services and wealth management. Their main revenues came from fees derived from the size
of the transactions or services provided. (Lehman Brothers 2007 Annual Report, 2008).
Summary of Recommendations
In essence, a risk describes the probability and consequence of a negative event. The risks
identified and defined by Lehman Brothers in their own business represented different
scenarios in which the bank would suffer losses due to negative events related to market,
credit, liquidity, operations and reputation respectively. In retrospective, it is clear that all of
these scenarios became reality and were reasons to why the giant bank failed. To answer the
question of what could have been done differently is to see how the risks affected the
company and how they interacted.
It’s likely that the bonus system encouraged the management to take big risks. The operational
errors made when excluding assets in stress tests, exceeding established risk limits and over-
leveraging the balance sheet, may have been fueled by bonus prospects. A banking system
without bonuses is unthinkable for many, but another way to decrease the future bonus-related
risk taking could be to build in a risk-aversion parameter in the bonus criteria. For instance,
no bonuses are rewarded if stress test shows large risks, even if profits are big, although this
requires stress testing to be executed by independent instances.
A lot of market risk could have been avoided if Lehman hadn't invested heavily in correlated
assets. The credit crunch hit largely because of the subprime crisis and it affected both
commercial real estate and leveraged loan assets. Because of the ties between the assets,
Lehman was struck quickly by losses on many fronts. The consequences of a hit in this chain
could have been less fatal if the bank had been operating more diverse and not concentrated
its portfolio. Also, if the firm had focused on damage control early and started to sell troubled
assets earlier, they would have suffered less loss. Instead, they doubled down and hoped for a
quick recovery that never came.
When the firm shifted its strategy towards long-term investments, it made itself vulnerable to
liquidity risks. They became dependent on short-term funding for long-term investments,
which turned out to be a fatal mistake as the credit market dried up and they were stuck with
illiquid assets. The shift also made them much more exposed to credit risk through subprime
loans. They clearly underestimated the probability of massive defaults and the consequences
they would have. To avoid this, they shouldn’t have lent as much and irresponsible and not
owned the whole process from origination to securitization. Also, if they had done better
stress testing and simulations, it is probable that they wouldn’t have changed focus from its
brokerage and financial service business, which are more liquid and less risk-inherent.
The effect of the high leverage ratio was that it made the consequences of the other risks
much deeper. As all the other risk scenarios came true, the leverage made the downfall fast
and unstoppable. It's a reason to why a 158-year old bank could collapse less than a year after
its most profitable year ever. As noted, a more flexible leverage ratio could be a way of
decreasing the risks, although it can be difficult to achieve. The easy solution then is to use a
low and sustainable leverage ratio from the beginning. Also, the government regulation which
changed the maximum leverage ratio can be seen as a big error because it made sky-high
leverage possible.
The firm’s excessive risk taking in the other areas eventually damaged the banks reputation.
Lehman failed when it made the probability and consequences of lost confidence disastrous.
Since reputational and liquidity risks are linked together, a downward spiral was created. The
actors on the financial market didn't trust Lehman with funding for its daily operation when
credit markets dried and this became the lethal blow. At this point, Lehman Brothers couldn’t
have acted much differently than what it did. The wheels had already spun out of control and
the end was inevitable.
References
Lehman Brothers (2008), Lehman Brothers 2007 Annual Report
Norberg, J. (2009) En perfekt storm - Hur staten, kapitalet och du och jag sänkte
världsekonomin
Valukas, A. R., Lehman Brothers Holdings Inc. Chapter 11 Proceedings Examiner’s Report
Chapter 11 Case No.08‐13555, REPORT OF ANTON R. VALUKAS, EXAMINER, Volume I
and III, Jenner & Block LLP . Called “Bankruptcy Report No.08‐13555” in the text.
Niall Ferguson,“Wall Street Lays Another Egg”, Vanity Fair, December 2008, p. 4
http://www.investopedia.com/articles/economics/09/lehman-brothers-collapse.asp
http://www.marketwatch.com/story/lehman-plans-to-jettison-assets-quarterly-loss-hits-39-
billion
Further reading
For those who want to learn more about the subject, there are many sources to chose from.
The book "En perfekt storm: Hur staten, kapitalet och du och jag sänkte världsekonomin"
(availible in English titled "Financial Fiasco: How America's Infatuations with
Homeownership and Easy Money Created the Economic Crisis", (2009)) by Swedish author
and liberal debater Johan Noberg is a good introduction to the financial crisis. It recounts the
crisis, it's buildup and aftermath in a fairly simple way, although it doesn't focus explicitly on
Lehman Brothers.
"A Colossal Failure of Common Sense: The Inside Story of the Collapse of Lehman
Brothers" (2009), written by Lawrence G. McDonald and Patrick Robinson, narrates the
collapse from McDonald's point of view. McDonald served as vice-president of Lehman
Brothers before and during its demise.
Another book, "Too Big to Fail: The Inside Story of How Wall Street and Washington
Fought to Save the Financial System - and Themselves" (2009) by New York Times
reporter Andrew Ross Sorkin tells the story about the financial crisis in 2008, based on
numerous interviews with people from Wall Street. It deals about Lehman Brothers as well as
the other banks.
A BBC Two documentary called "The Bank That Bust The World" is a part of a series about
the financial crisis is and focuses on the Lehman Brother crash. It describes what led to the
bankrupt, as well as the last days and the consequences.
The bankruptcy report by Anton Valukas, ”Lehman Brothers Holdings Inc. Chapter 11
Proceedings Examiner’s Report” also provides much information, although it’s over 2 200
pages. The report is divided into volumes so it is still possible to read on specific topics.