Professional Documents
Culture Documents
2006-2008
DECLARATION
I hereby declare that this dissertation work entitled BETA AND MARKET
CAPITALIZATION is a bonafide study, completed under the guidance and supervision of
Dr. Nagesh Malavalli and submitted in partial fulfilment for the award of MASTERS OF
BUSINESS ADMINISTRATION degree at Bangalore University.
I further declare that this project is the result of my own effort and that it has not been
submitted to any other university/institution for the award of any degree or diploma or any
other similar title of recognition.
I here by certify that project work embodied in the dissertation entitled is the result of an
study undertaken and completed by Mr. Deepak Kumar Gupta bearing Reg No:
06XQCM6020 on ‘BETA AND MARKET CAPITALIZATION under my guidance and
supervision.
I here by certify that this project dissertation report is undertaken and completed by Mr.
Deepak Kumar Gupta bearing Reg. No. 06XQCM6020 on BETA AND MARKET
CAPITALIZATION under the guidance of Dr. Nagesh Malavalli Principal and Finance
Professor, M P Birla Institute of Management, Bangalore.
As students collect accolades in the form of grades for the success in his/her endeavours and
his/her success depends on adequate preparation and in domination and most important of all
the support received from his/her guide. So the accolades I earn of this project, I would like
to share with all those who have played a notable part in its making.
In these two months I have worked on it, I feel indebted to many and extend my heartful
gratitude and profusely thank those people who not only gave assistance to me but also
participated in the making of this project.
I sincerely thank to Dr. Nagesh Malavali (finance) my esteemed project guide, Prof.
Santhanam (statistics) Prof. Satyanarayan (finance) for his valuable advice, assistance and
guidance provided. I also remain grateful to all my friends for their assistance to prepare this
project successfully.
Ressearch Extract 2
ii)Market Capitalization 4
iii) Beta 6
iv)CAPM & APM 8
Bibliography 59
List of Graphs
List of Tables
Table 1 BETA Value of Small Cap and Mid Cap 53
The widely accepted capital asset pricing model (henceforth CAPM) developed by Sharpe
Lintner and Mossin postulates a simple linear relationship between a stock’s expected return
and its risk. However, recent evidence has shown that other factors have a consistent and
significant effect on common stock return. One of the most discussed relationships, and the
main focus of this study, is the one between a company’s size and the return on its stock. This
anomaly, now known as the size effect, has been the focus of recent studies conducted by
Fama and French as well as Daniel and Titman , however the seminal work was performed
by Banz in 1981. His findings show that the size of a firm and the return on its common stock
are inversely related. While Banz’s findings were shown to be accurate and his models
appear to address the possible econometric problems involved, he an not offer a theoretical
foundation for this relationship. Therefore, Banz suggests that size may be a proxy for other
factors that were not tested but are correlated to size.
In my research objective is to find out relation between beta and market
capitalization or firm size. It means during the firm size Small Cap to Mid Cap and Mid Cap
to Large Cap is there any relation with beta. For finding this relation I collect 30 companies
weekely average price data ,market capitalization (in Rs. Cr.) sensex index. From price and
sensex data find out return of share price & market return from both data using excel find out
beta value during different frim size (Small Cap,Mid Cap,Large Cap ) here I assume Small
Cap market capitalization is < 2000 Cr.,Mid Cap 2000 to 10000 Cr.and Large Cap >10000
Cr. I also test the data at level of 5% significance. I found from Small Cap to Mid Cap data is
significant but Mid Cap to Large Cap data is not significant. Our hypothesis is accepted
during Small Cap to Mid Cap beta is related with market capitalization.
Back ground of the study
Market Capitalization:
The “cap” is short for capitalization, which is a measure by which we can classify a
company's size. Although the criteria for the different classifications are not strictly bound, it
is important for investors to understand these terms, which are not only ubiquitous but also
useful for gauging a company's size and riskiness
Market capitalization represents the public consensus on the value of a company's equity. A
corporation, including all of its assets, may be freely bought and sold through purchases and
sales of stock, which will determine the price of the company's shares. Its market
capitalization is this share price multiplied by the number of shares in issue, providing a total
value for the company's shares and thus for the company as a whole.
.
Importance:
A common misconception is that the higher the stock price, the larger the company. Stock
price, however, may misrepresent a company's actual worth. If we look at two fairly large
companies, IBM and Microsoft, we see that their stock prices are $29 and $22.75
respectively. Although IBM's stock price is higher, it has approximately 1.73 billion shares
outstanding while MSFT has 10.68 billion. As a result of this difference, we can see that
MSFT ($243.5 billion) is actually quite larger than IBM ($127.8 billion). If we compared the
two companies by solely looking at their stock prices, we would not be comparing their true
values, which are affected by the amount of their outstanding shares. The classification of
companies into different caps also allows investors to gauge the growth versus risk potential.
Historically, large caps have experienced slower growth with lower risk. Meanwhile small
caps have experienced higher growth potential, but with higher risk.
The meaning of "big cap" and "small cap" are generally understood by their names: big-cap
stocks are shares of larger companies and small-cap stocks are shares of smaller companies.
Labels like these, however, are often misleading. Small-cap stocks are often cited as good
investments due to their low valuations and potential to grow into big-cap stocks, but the
definition of small cap has changed over time. What was considered a big-cap stock in 1980
is a small-cap stock today. First, we need to define "cap" which refers to market
capitalization and is calculated by multiplying the price of a stock by the number of shares
outstanding. Generally speaking, this represents the market's estimate of the "value" of the
company; however, it should be noted that while this is the common conception of market
capitalization, to calculate the total market value of a company, you actually need to add the
market value of any of the company's publicly traded bonds .
Some analysts use different numbers and others add micro caps and mega caps, however the
important point is to understand the value of comparing companies of similar size during our
evaluation.
Every successful large-cap company started at one time or another as a small business. Small-
caps give the individual investor a chance to get in on the ground floor. Imagine having had
the foresight to invest in Microsoft when it was only a couple bucks a share! Another reason
to invest in small caps is that most mutual funds place heavy regulations making it difficult
for them to establish meaningful positions. Furthermore, it isn't uncommon form mutual
funds to invest hundreds of millions in one company. Most small-cap companies don't have
the market to support this size of investment. In order to buy a position large enough to make
a difference to their fund's performance, a fund manager would have to buy 20% or more of
the company. Individual investors who have the ability to spot promising companies can get
in before the institutions do. When institutions do get in, they will do so in a big way, buying
many shares and pushing up the share price. Fast growth is another reason to buy a small-cap
company. It is much easier to double revenues of Rs.2 million than it is for a large company
to double Rs.2 billion in revenues.
Mid Cap
Mid cap refers to stocks with a market capitalization of between Rs.2 billion to Rs.10 billion.
As the name implies, a mid-cap is in the middle of the pack. A mid-cap isn't too big, but at
the same time has a relatively decent market cap . In a mid cap portfolio the companies are
often the leaders and innovators in their Industries. They represent the future and their
earnings growth potential is often Greater than that of many larger companies. They often
provide hidden Opportunities and may become “The Blue-Chips of Tomorrow. Investors to
take a long-term view while investing in the equity markets. There is no ‘right time’ to invest
and it is the time one gives to their investments that matters. Investors who are comfortable
with the risk-reward profile of a mid cap scheme will benefit as the smaller companies grow
in size albeit with additional volatility over the years. However, investors need to keep in
mind that while mid cap funds give one an opportunity to go beyond the usual large blue chip
stocks, it is important to remember that mid/small cap stocks can be riskier and more volatile
than established blue chip large cap stocks. Therefore, the risk level of a mid-cap fund could
be higher than that of a fund seeking to invest in stocks of large well-established companies.
Beta
Risk is an important consideration in holding any portfolio. The risk in holding securities is
generally associated with the possibility that realised returns will be less than the returns
expected.
Risks can be classified as Systematic risks and Unsystematic risks.
• Unsystematic risks: These are risks that are unique to a firm or industry. Factors
such as management capability, consumer preferences, labour, etc. contribute to
unsystematic risks. Unsystematic risks are controllable by nature and can be
considerably reduced by sufficiently diversifying one's portfolio.
• Systematic risks: These are risks associated with the economic, political, sociological
and other macro-level changes. They affect the entire market as a whole and cannot
be controlled or eliminated merely by diversifying one's portfolio.
Beta is calculated as :
where,
Y is the returns on your portfolio or stock - DEPENDENT VARIABLE
X is the market returns or index - INDEPENDENT VARIABLE
Variance is the square of standard deviation.
Covariance is a statistic that measures how two variables co-vary.
• A beta of 1 indicates that the security's price will move with the market.
• A beta greater than 1 indicates that the security's price will be more volatile than the market.
• A beta less than 1 means that it will be less volatile than the market.
You can think of beta as the tendency of a security's returns to respond to swings in the
market. For example, if a stock's beta is 1.2 it's theoretically 20% more volatile than the
market.
Differences between Beta on Different Resources
When evaluating the different options for finding beta, you may be wondering: Which one is
“right?” There is no right answer. There are several different methods to calculate beta. You
must be aware of how the different resources calculate beta and decide which one is right for
you. The following list highlights some of the major differences:
• Index Used
• Time Frame
• Calculation Method
• Historical Beta
The CAPM
This section presents a derivation of the capital asset pricing model (CAPM). The CAP-
model is a ceteris paribus model. It is only valid within a special set of assumptions. They
are:
• Investors are risk averse individuals who maximize the expected utility of their end of
period wealth. Implication: The model is a one period model.
• Investors have homogenous expectations (beliefs) about asset returns. Implication: all
investors perceive identical opportunity sets. This is, everyone have the same information
at the same time.
• Asset returns are distributed by the normal distribution.
• There exists a risk free asset and investors may borrow or lend unlimited amounts of this
asset at a constant rate: the risk free rate (Rf).
• There is a definite number of assets and their quantities are fixed within the one period
world.
• All assets are perfectly divisible and priced in a perfectly competitive marked. Implication:
e.g. human capital is non-existing (it is not divisible and it can’t be owned as an asset).
• Asset markets are frictionless and information is costless and simultaneously available to
all investors. Implication: the borrowing rate equals the lending rate.
• There are no market imperfections such as taxes, regulations, or restrictions on short
selling
CAPM formula.
SML which is the security market line is a graphical representation of the CAPM model.
This tells us that if a security are priced accurately the expected return of the securities meets
the securities beta at the security market line. However if they are below they line they are
overvalued, but if they are above the line their overvalued.
If APT holds, then a risky asset can be described as satisfying the flowing relation:
Where
Bij is the sensitivity of the asset to factor k, also called factor loading,
And €j is the risky asset’s idiosyncratic random shock with mean zero.
Additionally, the APT can be seen as a "supply side" model, since its beta coefficients reflect
the sensitivity of the underlying asset to economic factors. Thus, factor shocks would cause
structural changes in the asset's expected return, or in the case of stocks, in the firm's
profitability.
On the other side, the capital asset pricing model is considered a “demand side” model. Its
results, although similar to those in the APT, arise from a maximization problem of each
investor’s utility function, and from the resulting market equilibrium ( investors are
considered to be the “consumers” of the assets ).
Literature Review
Small firm effect is a phenomenon where small firms have higher returns on average than
large firms. Such an anomaly would affect the pricing of capital assets.
Summary
Kiem (1983) has shown half of the small firms affect in January. The reasoning given by
kiem was that the investors sell securities at the end of the year to establish short term tax
losses for tax purposes this is seasonality in the stock returns, because in the new year stocks
go back to the equilibrium results creating the larger returns. Fama and French (1995)
extended their work to find relationship between firm size and firm earnings. They found that
small firm effect is prevalent and small firms have stronger earnings than larger firms. Sehgal
and Kumar (2002) done study on Indian stock market and they found that small firms have
abnormal returns and more of small firms are having higher relative distress.
Data
Study limits data of BSE 500 stocks and stocks are short listed to 273 on the basis of
continuously trading criteria from January 1991 to January 2002.
Methodology
In order to measure the returns monthly returns are used in the study then Two value
weighted portfolios are constructed on the basis of market value one portfolio including 25
small stocks and other including 25 large stocks out of BSE 500 stocks.
Results
Results shows that the beta of the large firms are more or less equal to the market beta and
priced efficiently while smaller firms beta was less than one . it may be due to poor trading of
the small stocks whereby they are perceived to be less sensitive to the market movement. then
Jensen.s alpha is shows that on an average consistently outperform the market returns but
larger firms generate equal or less returns than market returns.
Conclusion
The descriptive statistics suggests that an average the mean, standard deviation, skewness of
small companies are higher than large firms and the result do not support the infrequent
trading is the main reason behind the small firm effect and differential growth rates between
small firms and large firms ,market index helps to unwind the small firm effect.
This paper investigates the firm size effect in the frame work of multi factor pricing model.
The risk adjusted return between the top five percent and bottom five percent of the NYSE
firms.
Summary
Empirical study of arbitrage pricing model (APT) CHAN (1981) (1983) found that firm size
effect is essentially captured by the factor loading of APT. To interpret the size effect K C
CHAN used the identifiable economic variables directly in a pricing equation. It is omparable
with inter temporal pricing models such as those of MERTON (1973), LONG (1974) ,
COX,INGERSOLL & ROLL (1976) here pricing equation is called as multi factor pricing
equation.
Investigation limits to the time period 1953-1977 and divided these 25 years into 20
overlapping intervals, like 1953 to 1958, 1954 to 1959 so on
Methodology
After ranking the portfolios according to the firm size CHAN used FAMA & MACBETH
(1973) method to test the firm size effect. Then they performed the cross sectional regression
of the 20 portfolios. Then 2 two types of tests are performed with the residuals.
1. Univariate analysis
2. Paired T test
To see if the estimated residuals from the two extreme firm size portfolios are statically
different.
Conclusions
They first explored the feasibility of a multi factor pricing equation as an explanation of the
firm size effect evidence suggests that firm size anomaly is essentially captured by a multi
factor pricing model .the higher average returns of smaller firms are justified by the
additional risks borne in an efficient market.
This study examines the relation between common stock returns, trading activity and market
value .results indicate that although firm size and trading activity are highly correlated,
differences in trading activity are not the underlying reason for the firm size anomaly the
finding of systematic differences in risk adjusted returns across stocks of firms different size.
Summary
Empirical research has revealed systematic differences in risk adjusted returns for the
common stocks of firms of different sizes as measured by the market value of outstanding
common stock BANZ (1981) , REINGANUM because of the small firm trade less frequently
than large firms ,risk measures obtained from daily or weekly returns data may seriously
underestimate the risk associated with holding a portfolio of small firms. Trading activity and
firm size are highly correlated however, no significant difference in mean daily risk adjusted
returns is observed between portfolios of the most actively traded firms and portfolios of the
least actively traded firms.
Common stock returns and trading volume information for the NYSE and AMEX firms
examined in this study and data were obtained from the DATA RESOURCES
INCORPORATED FILE. Then 500 issues were selected for period 1975-1979 then stratified
random sample was employed .to ensure that an equal number of firms from each size decile
was included in the sample for each sample two measures of trading activity were
calculated(1) average daily trading volume ,(2) number of trading days.
Methodology
For each of the 4 sample years 3 sets of 10 equally weighted portfolios were constructed, on
the basis of market value, average daily trading volume, number of day.s the firm traded
during the year. Then mean return was calculated by combining portfolio return series for
each of the four years and then taking the arithmetic mean .then risk adjusted returns were
calculated by subtracting from the daily return series the OLS estimate of beta times the
return in market portfolio. Then F test was used whether the mean returns of the smallest firm
size portfolios are equal to the mean returns on largest size portfolios.
Conclusion
Paper addresses the question of whether the firm size effect is explicable in terms of
differences in trading activity between the large and small firms because of either a liquidity
premium associated with small firms or a misassessment of the risk of small firms no
evidence is found consistent with existence of a liquidity premium moreover ,differences in
trading activity do not appear to fully explain the existence of firm size effect through bias in
the estimation of beta.
Methodology
PROBLEM STATEMENT
Every company’s beta is not constant every time. Time to time company’s growth rate
changes, growth rate effect on companies earning per share. Many variables are also effecting
on share price. Many investors calculate expected earning by taking value of beta. Is value of
beta effect the share price, Is there any relation between Beta and Market Capitalization ?
RESEARCH OBJECTIVES
¾ To find out value of Beta & Market Capitalization from stock market
¾ To find out effect of beta with firm size.
STUDY DESIGN
a) Study Type:
The study type is analytical, quantitative and historical. Analytical because facts and existing
information is used for the analysis, Quantitative as relationship is examined by expressing
variables in measurable terms and also Historical as the historical information is used for
analysis and interpretation.
b) Study population:
Population is the daily closing prices of share and SENSEX Index.
c) Sampling frame:
Sampling Frame would be weekly closing prices of share SENSEX Index.
d) Sample:
Sample chosen is daily closing values of NIFTY Index from 01-01-2001 to 10-04-2008.
e) Sampling technique:
Deliberate sampling is used because only particular units are selected from the sampling
frame. Such a selection is undertaken as these units represent the population in a better way
and reflect better relationship with the other variable.
Sample: The research investigation will be limited to a sample size of 30 different sectors
companies (Large Cap, Mid Cap, Small Cap). The sample size is based on simple random
sampling method
Data collection tools: The data would be generated through secondary data from Bombay
Stock Exchange (BSE) and National Stock Exchange (NSE). This would be documented with
meticulous care. Data collected from capitaline.com
In this study SENSEX index has been considered as a proxy for the stock market and
accordingly the closing index values were collected from Jan 1,2001 till April 10, 2008. Here
we calculate the weekly variance from the data taken from above mentiond period .
HYPOTHESES
H0: No correlation between beta and market capitalization.
For presentation of market capitalization used graphs and for beta value presentation used
column chart hypothesis testing used t-Test by excel sheet
T-Test
The t-test assesses whether the means of two groups are statistically different from each
other. This analysis is appropriate whenever you want to compare the means of two groups,
and especially appropriate as the analysis for the post test-only two-group randomized
experimental design.
The t-value will be positive if the first mean is larger than the second and negative if it is
smaller. Once you compute the t-value you have to look it up in a table of significance to test
whether the ratio is large enough to say that the difference between the groups is not likely to
have been a chance finding. To test the significance, you need to set a risk level (called the
alpha level. In most social research, the "rule of thumb" is to set the alpha level at .05. This
means that five times out of a hundred you would find a statistically significant difference
between the means even if there was none (i.e., by "chance"). You also need to determine the
degrees of freedom (df) for the test. In the t-test, the degrees of freedom is the sum of the
persons in both groups minus 2. Given the alpha level, the df, and the t-value, you can look
the t-value up in a standard table of significance (available as an appendix in the back of most
statistics texts) to determine whether the t-value is large enough to be significant. If it is, you
can conclude that the difference between the means for the two groups is different (even
given the variability). Fortunately, statistical computer programs routinely print the
significance test results and save you the trouble of looking them up in a table.
Null hypothesis is accepted if the T test value is less than t-statistcs value otherwise null
hypothesis is rejected
Graph 1 (In Rs. Cr.)
Till 17/12/2004 company is in Small Cap during 17/12/2004 to 24/11/2006 it is in mid cap
after this company becomes a large cap market capitalization
Interpretation
During Small Cap beta is 0.39269, in Mid Cap beta increase to 0.688571 and in large Cap
beta is 0.433499
Graph 2 (In Rs. Cr.)
Till 03/10/2003 company is in Small Cap during 03/10/2003 to 11/08/2006 it is in mid cap
after this company becomes a large cap market capitalization
Interpretation
During Small Cap beta is 0.784003, in Mid Cap beta decrease to 0.717759 and in large Cap
beta is 0.985093
Graph 3 (In Rs. Cr.)
Till 10/02/2006 company is in mid Cap after this company becomes a large cap market
capitalization.
Interpretation
During Mid Cap beta is 0.102955 and in large Cap beta is 0.251509
Graph 4 (In Rs. Cr.)
Till 19/10/2001 company is in Small Cap during 19/10/2001 to 26/09/2006 it is in Mid Cap
after this company becomes a Large Cap market capitalization.
Interpretation
During Small Cap beta is 0.415687, in Mid Cap beta increase to1.065172 and in large Cap
beta is 0.686199
Graph 5 (In Rs. Cr.)
Till 11/10/2002 company is in Small Cap during 11/10/2002 to 17/02/2006 it is in Mid Cap
after this company becomes a Large Cap market capitalization.
Interpretation
During Small Cap beta is 0.952363, in Mid Cap beta decrease to 0.659383 and in large Cap
beta is 0.409965
Graph 6 (In Rs. Cr.)
Till 01/07/2005 company is in Small Cap during 01/07/2005 to 30/11/2007 it is in Mid Cap
after this company becomes a Large Cap market capitalization.
Interpretation
During Small Cap beta is 0.36754, in Mid Cap beta increase to 0.462269 and in large Cap
beta is 0.689261
Graph 7 (In Rs. Cr.)
Till 24/09/2004 company is in Small Cap during 24/09/2004 to 25/05/2007 it is in Mid Cap
after this company becomes a Large Cap market capitalization.
Interpretation
During Small Cap beta is 1.023907, in Mid Cap beta decrease to 0.773546 and in large Cap
beta is 0.868477
Graph 8 (In Rs. Cr.)
Till 06/01/2006 company is in Small Cap after this company becomes a Mid Cap market
capitalization.
Interpretation
During Small Cap beta is 0.499414, in Mid Cap beta increase to 0.914258
Graph 9 (In Rs. Cr.)
Till 19/03/2003 company is in Small Cap during 19/03/2003 to 20/01/2006 it is in Mid Cap
after this company becomes a Large Cap market capitalization.
Interpretation
During Small Cap beta is 0.469798, in Mid Cap beta decrease to 0.46609 and in large Cap
beta is 0.558339
Graph 10 (In Rs. Cr.)
Till 30/12/2005 company iss in Mid Cap after this company becomes a Large Cap market
capitalization.
Interpretation
During Mid Cap beta is 0.58844 and in large Cap beta is 0.63941
Graph 11 (In Rs. Cr.)
Till 02/11/2005 company is in in Mid Cap after this company becomes a Large Cap market
capitalization.
Interpretation
During Mid Cap beta is 0.477272 and in large Cap beta is 0.5424
Graph 12 (In Rs. Cr.)
Till 28/11/2003 company is in Small Cap during 28/11/2003 to 22/09/2006 it is in Mid Cap
after this company becomes a Large Cap market capitalization.
Interpretation
During Small Cap beta is 0.527826, in Mid Cap beta increase to 0.835481 and in large Cap
beta is 0.410824
Graph 13 (In Rs. Cr.)
Till 08/01/2002 company is in Small Cap during 08/03/20032to 26/10/2007 it is in Mid Cap
after this company becomes a Large Cap market capitalization.
Interpreation
During Small Cap beta is 0.191247, in Mid Cap beta increase to 0.23007 and in large Cap
beta is 0.351418
Graph 1 4 (In Rs. Cr.)
Till 06/12/2002 company is in Small Cap during 06/12/2002 to 07/06/2007 it is in Mid Cap
after this company becomes a Large Cap market capitalization.
Interpretation
During Small Cap beta is 0.688394, in Mid Cap beta increase to 0.86612 and in large Cap
beta is 0.5788279
Graph 1 5 (In Rs. Cr.)
Till 25/07/2003 company is in Small Cap during 25/07/2003 to 25/08/2006 it is in Mid Cap
after this company becomes a Large Cap market capitalization.
Interpretation
During Small Cap beta is 0.277884, in Mid Cap beta increase to 0588698 and in large Cap
beta is 0.273424
Graph 16 (In Rs. Cr.)
Till 02/01/2004 company is in Mid Cap after this company becomes a Large Cap market
capitalization.
Interpretation
During Small Cap beta is 0.417145, in Mid Cap beta increase to 0.706879
Graph 17 (In Rs. Cr.)
Till 25/04/2003 company is in Small Cap during 25/04/2003 to 11/05/2007 it is in Mid Cap
after this company becomes a Large Cap market capitalization.
Interpretation
During Small Cap beta is 0.417523, in Mid Cap beta increase to 1.090613 and in large Cap
beta is 0.0.595871
Graph 18 (In Rs. Cr.)
Till 26/08/2005 company is in Small Cap during 26/08/2005 to 01/06/2007 it is in Mid Cap
after this company becomes a Large Cap market capitalization.
Interpretation
During Small Cap beta is 0.363651., in Mid Cap beta increase to 0.736648 and in large Cap
beta is 0.689348
Graph 19 (In Rs. Cr.)
Till 26/12/2003 company is in Mid Cap after this company becomes a Large Cap market
capitalization.
Interpretation
During Mid Cap beta is 0.03417836648 and in large Cap beta is 0.704817
Graph 20 (In Rs. Cr.)
Till 19/08/2005 company is in Mid Cap after this company becomes a Large Cap market
capitalization.
Interpretation
During Mid Cap beta is-0.01558 and in large Cap beta is 0.0.123047
Graph 21 (In Rs. Cr.)
Till 18/01/2002 company is in Small Cap during 18/01/2002 to 28/11/2003 it is in Mid Cap
after this company becomes a Large Cap market capitalization.
Interpretation
During Small Cap beta is 0.612648, in Mid Cap beta increase to 1.241664 and in large Cap
beta is 0.57405
Till 10/01/2003 company is in Small Cap during 10/01/2003 to 25/11/2004 it is in Mid Cap
after this company becomes a Large Cap market capitalization.
Interpretation
During Small Cap beta is 0934142, in Mid Cap beta decrease to 0.844749 and in large Cap
beta is 0.695043
Till 11/02/2005 company is in Small Cap during 11/02/2005 to 17/02/2006 it is in Mid Cap
after this company becomes a Large Cap market capitalization.
Interpretation
During Small Cap beta is 0.761415, in Mid Cap beta increase to 1.056705 and in large Cap
beta is 1.124859
Till 13/02/2004 company is in Mid Cap after this company becomes a Large Cap market
capitalization.
Interpretation
Till 31/10/2003 company is in Small Cap during 31/10/2003 to 18/11/2005 it is in Mid Cap
after this company becomes a Large Cap market capitalization.
Interpretation
During Small Cap beta is 0.412303, in Mid Cap beta increase to 0.52113 and in large Cap
beta is 0.627026
Till 31/12/2003 company is in Small Cap after this company becomes a Mid Cap market
capitalization.
Interpretation
Till 11/11/2005 company is in Small Cap after this company becomes a Mid Cap market
capitalization.
Interpretation
During Small Cap beta is 0.583434, in Mid Cap beta is 0.537679
Till 08/09/2006 company is in Mid Cap after this company becomes a Large Cap market
capitalization.
Interpretation
During Small Cap beta is 0.737854, in Mid Cap beta is 0.3403
Till 14/08/2003 company is in Small Cap during 14/08/2003 to 07/12/2007 it is in Mid Cap
after this company becomes a Large Cap market capitalization.
Interpretation
During Small Cap beta is 0.430009, in Mid Cap beta increase to 886332 and in large Cap
beta is 0.878786
Till 30/12/2005 company is in Small Cap after this company becomes a Mid Cap market
capitalization.
Interpretation
During Small Cap beta is 0.377851, in Mid Cap beta increase to 0.52113 and in large Cap
beta is 0.0.665401
Till 03/10/2003 company is in Mid Cap after this company becomes a Large Cap market
capitalization.
Interpretation
During Mid Cap beta is 0.211662 and in large Cap beta is 0.150456
Table 2
Variable Variable
1 2
Mean 0.744962 0.542593
Variance 0.049023 0.056143
Observations 23 23
Hypothesized Mean
Difference 0
df 44
t Stat 2.99275
P(T<=t) one-tail 0.00226
t Critical one-tail 1.68023
P(T<=t) two-tail 0.004521
t Critical two-tail 2.015367
Interpretation
Here t -Test Statical value is 2.99275 that is grater than t -Critical value 2.015367
It means our null hypothesis is rejected and our hypothesis is accepted at level of
significance 5% data is significant. So I can say that beta value is effecting firm size.
Beta value at Mid Cap & Large Cap Table 3
Table 4
Variable 1 Variable 2
Mean 0.644129 0.574872
Variance 0.106139 0.056778
Observations 28 28
Pooled Variance 0.081458
Hypothesized Mean Difference 0
Df 54
t Stat 0.907951
P(T<=t) one-tail 0.183969
t Critical one-tail 1.673566
P(T<=t) two-tail 0.367938
t Critical two-tail 2.004881
Interpretation
Here t-Test statical value is 0.907951 that is less than t critical value 2.004881 at the 5% level
of significance the evidence supporting this relationship is extremely weak.
Summary & Conclusion
Smaller firms (in terms of market value of equity) earn higher returns than larger firms of
equivalent risk, where risk is defined in terms of the market beta. Small firm beta is higher
than mid cap. Large companies are retaining a smaller percentage of their earnings than the
small companies . A small company is more likely to reinvest its earning back into the
company causing the retain earning to grow faster and increasing the value of stock. Aslo
small firm not traded daily so its beta is volatile and in Large Cap firm many player trades so
its beta is near to market beta.
In first test Small Cap to Mid cap by t- Test statics value is grater than table value our
hypothsis is accepted means there is some relation between beta and market size.
In second case Mid Cap to Large Cap t-Test value is less than table value, the evidence
supporting this relationship is extremely weak at 5% level of significance.
There may be some reason to not supported strongly relationship with Large Cap one reason
may be my assumption for categories large cap is more than 10000 Cr. Capitalization but
today scenario should be more 50000 cr. Therefore here no difference between mid cap and
large cap. There are several contributing factors and earnings distribution may only be one of
them. This factor can be analyzed further to see how much of the size effect it accounts for.
Once that is established other theories can be approached in a similar manner in hopes of
fully explaining the size effect.
Books
Statistical methods- Levin and Rubin ,
Fundamental of statics - S.C.Gupta
Portfolio Management- Prassana Chandra
Financial Management – Prassnna Chandra
Internet Website
www.capitaline.com
www.prowess.com
www.google.com
www.encyclopedia.com
www.jstor.com
References