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HW re Forecasting

-Individual work.
-Use bond paper and must be typewritten.

(1) Predict the number of customers in Louis Vuitton given the following data:

Day = Customers
01 = 80
02 = 75
03 = 78
04 = 95
05 = 130
06 = 136
07 = 40
08 = 82
09 = 77
10 = 80
11 = 94
12 = 131
13 = 137
14 = 42
15 = ?
16 = ?
17 = ?
18 = ?
19 = ?
20 = ?
21 = ?

Use (a) naive method and (b) 7 day moving average forecast to predict the number of customers for the following
week.

(2) Suppose Louis Vuitton is about to release a new design. What information do you think he would take into
account in forecasting intial sales?

(3) How accurate is the Yahoo! 5 day weather forecast (http://weather.yahoo.com/philippines/national-capital-


region/manila-1199477/)? Support your answer with data.

(4) How has technology had an impact on forecasting?

(5) Explain how flexibility in production systems relates to the forecast horizon and forecast accuracy.

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