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BEM FE UNPAD members consist of 5 persons, of which 3 are women and 2 men.

Suppose that
2 people of 5 executive board members were selected to represent the delegates in a convention /
meeting.
a) What is the probability that the random selection secaa gained 2 person female?
b) What is the probability of 2 people selected were 1 male and 1 female?

Jawaban

a. probabilitas salam satu menit tertentu tidak terdapat panggilan yang masuk dari pelangan :

λ x e− λ
Pr ( x )=
x!
50 e−5
Pr ( x )= =0 ,0067379
0!

b. probabilits selama satu menit lebih dari 5 panggilan masuk?


Pr ( x>5 )=1−{P(0 )+P(1)+P(2)+P(3 )+P(4 )+P(5 )}
λ x e− λ
Pr ( x )=
x!
50 e−5
Pr (0)= =0 , 0067
0!
λ x e− λ
Pr ( x )=
x!
5 0 e−5
Pr (1)= =0 , 0337
0!
x −λ
λ e
Pr ( x )=
x!
5 0 e−5
Pr (2)= =0 , 0842
0!
λ x e− λ
Pr ( x )=
x!
50 e−5
Pr (3)= =0 , 1404
0!
λ x e− λ
Pr ( x )=
x!
5 0 e−5
Pr (4 )= =0 , 1755
0!
λ x e− λ
Pr ( x )=
x!
5 0 e−5
Pr (5)= =0 , 1755
0!
Pr ( x>5 )=1−{0 , 0067+0. 0337+0 ,0842+0 ,1404+0 ,1755+0 ,1755}
Pr ( x>5 )=1−0 , 616=0 , 384

Dengan Menggunakan minitab 14


a) probabilitas salam satu menit tertentu tidak terdapat panggilan yang masuk dari pelangan :
1. Buka Minitab tanpa data
2. Dari menu bar pilih Calc > Probability Distributions > Poisson
3. Pilih Probability ketika kita ingin menemukan probabilitas x = 0
4. Enter 5 di the text box untuk mean
5. Since we do not have a column of data select the radio button for Input Constant and enter 0
6. Click Ok
Minitab output:

Probability Density Function

Poisson with mean = 5

X P(X = x)
0 0.006737

b) probabilits selama satu menit lebih dari 5 panggilan masuk

1. Buka Minitab tanpa data


2. Dari menu bar pilih Calc > Probability Distributions > Poisson
3. Pilih Probability ketika kita ingin menemukan probabilitas x = 0
4. Enter 5 di the text box untuk mean
5. Since we do not have a column of data select the radio button for Input Constant and enter 0
6. Click Ok

Minitab output:

Cumulative Distribution Function

Poisson with mean = 5

X P(X <=x)
5 0,615961

P(X>5) = 1- P(X<=x)
= 1- 0,9159
= 0,384

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