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Accounting

Rajveer Rawlin
Senior Lecturer, Finance,
MBA (VTU)
Dayananda Sagar Institute
Ratio Analysis

 Why look at ratio analysis?


 How can we make sense out of ratios?

 What are the groups of ratios?

 What are the limitations of ratio


analysis?
 How can we use this to evaluate
profitability, risk, and growth?

2
Why Look at Ratios?

 compare a company’s performance with


itself overtime or a company versus
competitors within its industry
 a basis for evaluating suppliers and
customers
 Useful in historical analysis as well as
projecting performance
End Users of Ratios

 Lenders – judge a company’s ability to


repay loans
 Managers – look at gross margins to keep
costs under control
 Investors can compare their company
against the competition and the rest of the
industry
Making Sense out of Ratios

 Trend Analysis
 How a company does over time

 Peer Group Analysis


 The company vs other competitors

 Industry Comparison
 Company vs the Industry
Categories of Ratios

 Liquidity
 Look at the ability of a company to meet
its short term obligations
 How cash rich a company is will determine
its liquidity
 Can required payments be met?

 2 Ratios

 Current Ratio

 Quick Ratio
Categories of Ratios

 Asset Management
 How effective is the firm in managing it’s
assets?
 How effective is the firm in using its assets
to generate sales?
 3 Ratios

 Total Asset Turnover

 Fixed Asset Turnover

 Inventory Turnover
Categories of Ratios
 Debt Management Ratios
 How is the company financed?
 What is the mix of debt and equity?
 Does it generate enough cash flow to
cover interest payments?
3 Ratios
 Debt Ratio
 Tie Ratio
 Debt to Equity Ratio
Categories of Ratios
 Profitability

 How profitable is the company?


 Is the company generating the right
returns on the assets deployed and
capital invested?
 Are sales high enough to maintain
profitability?
Categories of Ratios
2 Ratios focusing on profit margins
 Gross Profit Margin
 Net Profit Margin

2 Ratios focusing on returns


 Return on Assets
 Return on Equity
Categories of Ratios
 Market Value Ratios
 How is the company’s value reflected in
the stock market?
 Is the company under or over-valued vis a
vis it’s peers
2 Ratios
 Price / Earnings

 Price / Book Value


Income Statement
2007 2008

Sales 5,834,400 7,035,600


COGS 4,980,000 5,800,000
Other expenses 720,000 612,960
Depreciation 116,960 120,000
Tot. op. costs 5,816,960 6,532,960
EBIT 17,440 502,640
Int. expense 176,000 80,000
EBT (158,560) 422,640
Taxes (40%) (63,424) 169,056
Net income (95,136) 253,584
Balance Sheets: Assets
 2007 2008
Cash 7,282 14,000
S-T invest. 20,000 71,632
AR 632,160 878,000
Inventories 1,287,360 1,716,480
 Total CA 1,946,802 2,680,112
 Net FA 939,790 836,840
Total assets 2,886,592 3,516,952
Balance Sheets: Liabilities &
Equity
 2007 2008
Accts. payable 324,000 359,800
Notes payable 720,000 300,000
Accruals 284,960 380,000
 Total CL 1,328,960 1,039,800
Long-term debt 1,000,000 500,000
Common stock 460,000 1,680,936
Ret. earnings 97,632 296,216
 Total equity 557,632 1,977,152
Total L&E 2,886,592 3,516,952
Other Data
 2007 2008
Stock price Rs 6.00 Rs 12.17
# of shares 100,000 250,000
DPS Rs 0.11 Rs 0.22
Lease payments 40,000 40,000
Tax rate 0.4 0.4
Liquidity Ratios
 Current Ratio (CR) = Current Assets (CA)
----------------------------------------

Current Liabilities (CL)


 CR08 = 2680112/1039800 = 2.58
 Quick Ratio (QR) = CA - Inventory
-------------------------------

CL
QR08 = (2680112-1716480)/1039800
= 0.93
Analysis of CR and QR
2008 2007 2006 Ind.
CR 2.58x 1.46x 2.3x 2.7x
QR 0.93x 0.5x 0.8x 1.0x

 Signs of improvement from 2007 but still


below the industry average
 Liquidity position is weak as the quick
ratio is < 1 and lower than that of the
industry
Analysis
 CR and QR > 1 are a sign of good financial
health
 However very high CR and or low QR
could mean
 Cash build up
 Under utilization of the firms resources
 Build up in inventory
 Inability to generate sales from it’s inventory
 Slow collection of receivables
Asset Management Ratios
 Fixed Asset Turnover Ratio = Sales
----------------
Net Fixed Assets
 Fixed Asset TO08 = 7035600/836840 = 8.41
 Total Asset Turnover Ratio = Sales
----------------
Total Assets
 Total Asset TO08 = 7035600/ 3516952 = 2.00
Analysis
2008 2007 2006 Ind.
FA TO 8.4x 6.2x 10.0x 7.0x
TA TO 2.0x 2.0x 2.3x 2.5x
 FA turnover exceeds industry average.
Good sign
 TA turnover not up to industry average.
Caused by poor A/R collection and
inventory build up
 These ratios tell us how effectively the
firm is deploying it asset base and long
term fixed assets to generate sales
Inventory Turnover
 Inventory Turnover Ratio = Sales
----------------
Inventories
 Inventory TO08 = 7035600/1716480 =4.1

 Another Inv Ratio is calculated as cost of


goods sold / Inventory

2008 2007 2006 Ind.


Inv. T. 4.1x 4.5x 4.8x 6.1x
Analysis
 The inventory turnover declined from the
last year and is also below industry
average
 Firms Inventory may be becoming
obsolete
 Need better inventory control measures

 Have to translate accumulated inventory


to sales, by reducing turnover time
 Reduce shelf-life for perishable items
Days Sales Outstanding (DSO)

 It is a measure of how fast a company


collects money due in sales from its
customers
 How fast customers pay their bills

 In short, does the firm have a good credit


policy
 High DSO’s are warning signs that a firm
is unable to collect its bills on time
DSO
 DSO = Receivables / (Average Sales/day)
 DSO = Receivables / (Sales/365)
 DSO = 878000 / (7035600/365) = 45.5
 Debtor’s TO Ratio = Sales / (Receivables +
Debtors)
 DSO has been deteriorating and is far below
industry norms
 Poor credit and collection policy, need
improvement

2008 2007 2006 Ind.


DSO 45.5 39.5 37.4 32.0
Creditor and Debtor Turnover

 Debtors Turnover Ratio = Credit Sales


-------------------------
(Debtors + Receivables)

 Creditors Turnover Ratio = Credit


Purchases
-------------------------
(Creditors + Payables)
Debt Management or Leverage Ratios

 Tells you the proportion of debt financing


used
 Right balance must be struck through a
mix of debt and equity
 Too much equity can result in dilution
issues, lower EPS
 Too much debt can pose challenges
stemming from financial risk
Debt Management or Leverage Ratios

 Debt Ratio = Total Liabilities


----------------
Total Assets
 Debt Ratio 08
 = (1039800+500000)/3516952 = 0.44

 TIE = EBIT
-----------------
Int. Exp
 TIE 08 = 502640/80000 =6.3
Debt Management or Leverage Ratios

 Debt to Equity Ratio (D/E) = Total Liab.


-----------------
Sh. Holders EQ
 D/E 08 = (1039800+500000)/1977152
= 0.78
 Debt to equity ratio is < 1
Analysis
 2008 2007 2006 Ind.
 D/A 0.44 0.81 0.55 0.5
 TIE 6.3x 0.1x 3.3x 6.2x
 D/E 0.78 4.18 0.85 0.85

 The company's debt reduction measures


seem to be working
 All debt ratios better than industry levels

 The company seems to have emerged


from serious financial risk it was exposed
to in 2007
Profitability Ratios

 Measure the ability of the firm to generate


profits effectively
 Gross Margin (GM)
 Gross Margin = (Sales – COG)X100/Sales
 Tells you how profitable the firm is after
covering the cost of making the product
 Key measure of a firms financial health
 Negative Gross Margins can mean
 Pricing pressures from competitors are
reducing sales, resulting in discounting
Profitability Ratios

 Variable cost such as material and labour


costs could be rising
 Negative GM’s are a sign of trouble ahead
 Net Profit Margin (NPM)
 The profit remaining after all expenses are
paid
 A bottom-line ratio
 A very important ratio to assess
profitability and compare against the
available competition
Profitability Ratios
 Gross Margin = (Sales – COG)X100/Sales
 GM08 = (7035600-5800000) /7035600 %

 GM08 = 28%

 NPM = Net Income X 100 / Sales

 NPM08 = 253584/7035600 % = 3.6%

 These two ratios can be increased by

 Increasing Sales

 Reducing costs
Profitability Ratios
 2008 2007 2006 Ind.
 GM 28% 15% 25% 27%
 NPM 3.6% -1.6% 2.6% 3.6%
 The company’s Gross and Profit margins
recovered from 2007 to reach Industry
levels in 2008
 The company seems to have grown sales
faster than the rise in costs experienced
Return on Assets (ROA)

 Tells you what % of money invested in the


business was returned as profit
 If this ratio is too high, the company may
be sitting on cash and not investing for
the future
 Too low a ratio implies under utilization of
its assets
 ROA = NI / TA = 253584 / 3516952

 ROA08 =7.2%
Return on Equity (ROE)

 Key Ratio
 Serves as a useful comparison parameter
vs the competition and industry
 Tells you how much of the equity invested
is returned as profit
 ROE = NI / Common Equity

 ROE08 = 253584 / (1680936+296216)

 ROE08 = 12.8%
Return on Capital Employed (ROCE)

 Measures the returns generated on the


capital employed by the firm
 Capital Employed = Total Assets – Current
Liabilities
 ROCE = EBIT / Capital Employed

 ROCE08 = 502640 / (3516952-1039800)

 ROCE08 = 20%
Analysis of ROA, ROE & ROCE

 2008 2007 2006 Ind.


 ROA 7.2% -3.3% 6.0% 9.0%
 ROE 12.8% -17.1% 13.3% 18.0%
 ROCE 20% 1% 18% 22%

 Definite Improvement from 2007 but below


industry average
 Reduction in debt has helped the recovery from
2007
 Further debt reductions and cost cutting can help
achieve industry levels
Capital Structure Ratios

 Proprietary Ratio = Share holders Funds /


Total Assets
 Proprietary Ratio08 = (1680936 + 296,216) /
3,516,952
 Proprietary Ratio08 = 0.56 =56%
 Fixed Assets to Net Worth Ratio

 = Fixed Assets / Share Holders Funds

 FANW08 = 836840 / (1680936 + 296,216)

 FANW08 = 0.42 = 42%


Market Related Ratios

 These ratios factor in the current stock


price
 We will look at 3 ratios
 Price / Earnings (P/E)
 Price / Cash Flow (P/CF)
 Price / Book Value (P/BV)
 These tell you how the company is valued
in the market
 Important comparison metrics with the
competition
P/E Ratio

 Price08 = $12.17
 EPS = Net Income / Out. Shares
 EPS08 = Rs 253584/250000 = Rs 1.01
 P/E = Price per share
EPS
 P/E08= 12.17/1.01 = 12
 Higher the growth rate higher the P/E
ratio
 Reference comparison with industry
necessary
P/CF Ratio

 CF per share = (Net Income +Deprec.)


/ Out. Shares
 CF per share08 = (253584 + 120000) /
250000
 CF per share08 = Rs 1.49

 P/CF = Price per share

CF per share
 P/CF08= 12.17/1.49 = 8.14
Price to Book Ratio

 Tells you what a firm is trading relative to


its net worth
 Book Value / Sh = Shareholders Funds /
Out Shares
 BVPS08 = (1680936 + 296,216) / 250000

 BVPS 08 = 7.91

 P/BV = (Price / Sh) / BVPS

 P/BV08 = 12.17/7.91 = 1.54


Analysis
 2008 2007 2006 Ind.
 P/E 12.0x -6.3x 9.7x 14.2x
 P/CF 8.2x 27.5x 8.0x 7.6x
 P/BV 1.5x 1.1x 1.3x 2.9x

 General improvement in ratios from 2007


 Near Industry levels

 Market seems to have recognized the


company's turn around
Dividend Ratios

 Dividend Per Share = Dividends / Shares


(DPS) Outstanding
 DPS 08 = 55000/250000 = 0.22 Rs

 Dividend Payout Ratio (DPR) = DPS/EPS

 DPR 08 = 0.22/1.01 = 0.22 = 22%

 Dividend Yield (DY) = DPS / (MP/Sh)

 DY 08 = 0.22/12.17 = 2%
So Mr Analyst What is your View?

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