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אגן ים המלח- הערכת מצב ומשמעויות לעתיד
אגן ים המלח- הערכת מצב ומשמעויות לעתיד
il
www.jiis.org.il
www.gsi.gov.il
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..................................................................... (Restoration Costs
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11
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14
UNESCO
e
e
15
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.
16
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19
20
21
e
a
AHAVA
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25
Dead Sea Transform
e
rhomb shaped e
graben
te
graben rift
26
e
e
e
27
28
APC Arab Potash Co. DSW
e
.
e
.
CaSO42H2O
NaCl
CaCO3
29
Hall and Neev, 1974
(HCO3) SO4)
k
(H2S)
30
.
(buffer)
31
Dead
Sea
32
-350
Input (10 m 3)
1500
-400
1050
900
-450
600 - no DSPI
600
-500
300
-600
-650
100
200
300
400
500
Time (yr)
Yechieli et al., 1998
33
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.
~
e
..
V
"
e
t
Debris flow a
34
..
.GSI/18/2004
N
e
35
GSI/18/2004
GSI/18/2004
36
GSI/18/2004 .
37
GSI/18/2004
38
GSI/18/2004
39
GSI/18/2004
40
GSI/18/2004
41
GSI/18/2004
42
e
43
..
e
:
d
GSI/18/2004
"
44
!
Sand Volcanoes
Sand Volcanoes
GSI/18/2004
45
o
o o
o
..
..
<2m
Illite
Smectite
o o
o
o
k o
MW=5.3
46
..
..
interface
47
(1999; 2000a,b) Salameh and El-Naser
GSI/21/2004 GSI/20/2004 GSI/13/2004
..
ek
GSI/18/2004
.
..
48
Current Research, 2002
InSAR
GSI/18/2004
49
Current Research, 2002
GSI/18/2004
50
e ..
DEM
51
GSI/13/2004
52
GSI/13/2004
53
GSI/13/2004
54
GSI/13/2004
55
GSI/13/2004
56
..
57
..
P88
P88
P7
P8
P88
KMgCl36H2O)
..
58
ek
e
59
"
a
a
60
61
salary salarium
(Hecht & Ezer, 1984)
H2S
62
Chimarra
Trichoptera)
Chessman
Poliracuis simplex
..
"
Y e
..
Poliracuis simplex
63
The IUCN Invertebrate Red Data Book, Wells
et al., 1980
EN CR
RE VU
Sterapsis
squamosa
Sterapsis squamosa
64
Por et al., 2001
Dimentman & Por, 1991
N
Reochromis aureus
Aphanius e
mento
Goren & Ortal, 1999
IUCN, 1980
Evans, 1994
..
Aphanius richardsoni
Garra ghorensis
65
O
e
..
e
e
..
66
67
68
e
e
e e
69
..
70
71
e
e
..
72
..
e
..
73
..
..
..
Gazella dorcas
74
H2S
Raz,1983
..
Garra ghorensis
75
SO4
.
..
(Neev & Emery, 1967)
.
..
..
76
(Oren, 1983b
..
primary producer
Dunaliella
Oren, 1983a Halobacterium
Haloarcula marismortii
Halobacterium sodomense
Oren, 1983b
Oren, 1983c, 1985;
Oren, & Shilo, 1982
(Oren, 1993
77
Desulfuvibrio
Desulfuvibrio
Buchalo et al., 2000
Gimnascella marismortui
78
.
a
79
80
81
a
82
a
83
a
84
a
85
a
86
..
87
..
a
a
88
..
a
a
89
.
..
90
..
91
.
..
92
93
94
95
96
97
..
98
..
..
99
..
100
101
102
103
104
105
106
107
108
109
110
111
.
..
1.7%
2,150
8%
10,615
5%
6,870
84%
106,684
100%
126,300
112
113
..
"
d
a
a
a
114
.
Restoration Costs
..
e
115
.
..
e
116
..
.
117
e
e
57,834,772
39,480,282
43,376,079
29,610,212
15
16,430,333
11,215,989
25
117,641,184
80,306,483
48
118
50%
50
113
12
1,357
200
272,000
120
14,000
286,000
119
29,228,205
23,279,623
7,297,498
6,106,239
15
2,060,040
1,696,177
25
38,585,743
31,082,039
48
32.80%
38.70%
9,100,000
6,600,000
38,000,000
31,000,000
15,000,000
12,000,000
53,000,050
43,000,020
5,500,000
6,000,000
6,600,000
9,100,000
12,100,000 15,100,000
..
120
..
TCM - Travel Cost Method
..
CVM - Contingent Valuation Method
121
..
e
.
.
CVM
TCM ..
CVM
TCM
122
..
.
..
TCM
CVM
123
125
126
127
128
e
129
130
131
132
(?)
(?)
133
I
II
InSAR
SIDE-SCAN SONAR
I
II
III
134
I
II
III
GIS IV
I
II
III
IV
V
135
GIS
I
I
136
137
138
139
R
RP
P
P
RR
RR
RR
RP
RR
RR
+
+
+
+
+
+
+
+
+
+
+
+
+
+
+
+
+
+
+
+
+
+
+
+
+
140
49
RR
RP
P
P
R
P
P
R
13
10
+
+
+
+
+
+
+
+
+
35
38
R RP RR P
141
OLIGOCHAETA
Tubifex tubifex
AMPHIPODA
Echinogammarus sp.
ISOPODA
Asellus
DECAPODA
Potamon
GASTROPODA
Melanopsis buccinoidea
Melanoides tuberculatus
Theodoxus michonii
Heleobia sp.
ACARI
Hydracarina
ODONATA
Zygoptera
Pseudagrion sp.
Anisoptera
Gomphus davidi
HETEROPTERA
Gerridae
Veliidae
COLEOPTERA
Berosus sp.
DIPTERA
Simullidae
Dixidae
Dixella sp.
Chironomidae
Chironomus sp.
Rheotanytarsus
Chironomid ()
Ceratopogonidae
Tabanidae
Culicidae
Tipulidae
Empididae
RANIDAE
Rana ridibunda
BUFONIDAE
Bufo viridis
CYPRINODOTIDAE
CICHLIDAE
Oreochromis aureus
TRICHOPTERA
.
142
Paraechinus aethiopicus
Rhinopoma microphyllum
Rhinopoma hardwickii
Pipistrellus bodenheimeri
Psammomys obesus
Acomys russatus
Canis aureus
Vulpes vulpes
Meles meles
Herpestes ichneumon
Hyaena hyaena
Felis silvestris
Felis chaus
Caracal caracal
Panthera pardus
Procavia capensis
Capra nubiana
Gazella gazella gazella
Isopoda
Turcolana detecta
Microparasellus enot-samar
+
+
Amphipoda
Bogidiella copia
Habraeobogidiela bromleyana
Metacrangonyx ortali
+
+
+
+
+
+
Copepoda
Schizopera dimentmani
Gastropoda
Pseudoamnicula solitaria
Hydrobiidae sp. ( )
+
+
Ostheichthiyes
Aphanius richardsoni
(-)
Crustaceae
. ;Goren & Ortal, 1999; Por et al, 2001; Dimentman & Por, 1991
143
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144
145
p6
p7
p8
p88
146
147
60
50
30
20
10
2002
40
2003
148
60
50
40
30
20
10
2002
2003
60
40
30
20
50
10
2002
2003
149
Ward and Beal, 2000
Willingness
to pay WTP
TCM Travel Cost Method
TCM
Kolstad, 2000
TCM =
Travel Cost Method
TCM
Harold Hotelling
TCM
150
151
Ci= (W/4) * (Ti) + ( Km(i)*1.92*2)+ Night
Ti
i Km(i)
Night
GIS
Vi/Pi=f(Ci ; Si)
i
i Vi
i Pi
Ci
Si
152
dC=600
-
.
.
.
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.
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.
.
-
.
.
.
.
R2 = 0.895
F = 42.655
V = 4.622 - 1.413LndC
R2 = 0.99
F = 561.828
Pvalue = 0.00
Vi = 1.55 - 0.00085dC
.
e
!
153
.
PValue = 0.001
,dC=50
Vtotal = 527.36- 0.498dC
R2 = 0.534
F = 37.85
Sig. = 0.00
Vtotal
dC
Y
X
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154
Vtotal = 1180 - 386.253LndC
R2 = 0.854
F = 194.021
PValue = 0.0004
Vtotal
dC
CVM
155
TCM
Contingent Valuation
Method CVM
U.S Water Resources Council
EPA
Loomis, 1984
WTPi=f(S,T.Q)
I
S
T
Q
156
CVM
CVM
Sig
t value
St. error
Sig
t value
-. -. .
. .
. .
. .
. .
. .
. .
. .
. .
. .
-.
. .
. .
. .
. .
-.
. .
. .
. .
. .
. .
. .
. .
. .
. .
. .
. .
. .
. .
. .
. .
. .
. .
. .
-. -. .
158
et
k
EXXON-
VALDEX
159
CVM
Contingent
Valuation Method (CVM)
CVM
Robert Mitchell
Richard Carson
CVM
160
__
__
__
161
CVM
__
d1
d3
d2
162
ABCE
1 + 1 X 0.25 = 1.25
B A
2 + 3 X0.25 = 2.5
3 + 3 X0.25 = 3.75
4 ++ 4 X0.25 = 5
A'B'C'E'
p
CVM
163
100X1 = 100
200X1/3 ~ 67
B B
100X1/3 ~33
C
B
B E
CVM
164
____________________________________
___________
__________
_________
________________
165
Uromastyx aegyptius
Polyrhachis simplex
167
d
Buchalo, A.S., Nevo, E., Wasser, S.P. and Volz, P.A., 2000. Newly discovered halophilic fungi in the Dead
Sea (Israel). In: J. Seckbach (ed.), Journey to Diverse Microbial Worlds. pp.239-252. Kluwer Academic
Pub., The Netherlands
Dimentmam, C.h. and Por, F.D., 1991. The origin of the subterranean fauna of the Jordan-Dead Sea Rift
Valley: new data. Stygologia 6 (3): 155-164
Evans, M.I. (comp.),1994. Important Bird Areas in the Middle East. Bird Life International.
Goren, M. and Ortal, R.,1999. Biodiversity of the inland water fishes of Israel. Biological Conservation 89: 1-9.
Hecht, A. and Ezer, T., 1984. Currents and waves in the Dead Sea. Isr. Oceanog. Limnol. Research L.T.D.
Haifa report H/1118.
Oren, A. and Shilo, M., 1982. Population dynamics of Dunaliella parva in the Dead Sea, Limnol. Oceanog.
27(2): 201-211.
168
Oren, A., 1983a. Bacteriorhodopsin mediated CO2 photo assimilation in the Dead Sea. Limnol. Oceanog.
28(1): 33-41.
Oren, A., 1983b. Halobacterium sodomense sp. nov., a Dead Sea Halobacterium with an extremely high
magnesium requirement, Int. J. Systematic Bacteriol. 33: 381-386
Oren, A., 1983c. Population dynamics of Halobacteria in the Dead Sea water column. Limnol. Oceanog.
28(6): 1094-1103.
Oren, A., 1985. The rise and decline of a bloom Halobacteria in the Dead Sea, Limnol. Oceanog. 30(4):
911-915.
Oren, A., 1993. The Dead Sea alive again. Experienta 49: 518-522.
Neev, D. and Emery, K.O., 1967. The Dead Sea depositional processes and environment of evaporates,
Geol. Surv. Isr., Bull. 41.
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Wells, S.M., Pyle, R.M. and Collins, N.M., 1980. The IUCN Invertebrate Red Data Book. IUCN.
Boyle, K.J. and Bishop, R.C., 1987. Valuing Wildlife in Benefit-Cost Analyses: A Case Study Endangered
Species. Water Resources Research. 23(5): 943-950
Carson, R.T., Flores N.E. and Mitchell, R.C., 1997. The Theory and Measurement of Passive Use Value, In
I. Bateman and K. Willis, Eds. Valuing Environmental Preferences: Theory and Practice of the Contingent
Valuation Method in the US, EC and Developing Countries. New York: Oxford University Press.
Carson, R.T., Mitchell, R.C., Conway, M.B. and Navrud, S., 1997. Non-Moroccan Values for Rehabilitating
the Fes Medina. Washington: World Bank Report.
Dinar, A., Seidl, P., Olem, H., Jordan, V., Duda, A. and Johnson, R., 1995. Restoring and protecting the
world's Lakes and Reservoirs. World Bank.
Dixon, J. and Sherman, R., 1990. Economics of Protected Areas: A New Look at Benefits and Cost.
Washington: Island Press.
Loomis, J.B., 1987. Balancing Public Trust Resources of Mono Lake and Los Angeles Water Right: An
Economic Approach. Water Resources Research 23 (8): 1449-1456.
Loomis, J.B., 1987. Expanding Contingent Value Sample Estimates to Aggregate Benefit Estimates: Current
Practices and Proposed Solutions. Land Economics 63 (4):396-402.
Mathieu, L.F., Langford, I.H., Keyon, W., 2003. Valuing Marine Parks in a Development Country a Case
Study of the Seychelles. Environment and Development Economic 8: 373-390, Cambridge University Press.
Navrud, S., Pedersen, P.E. and Strand, J., 1995. Valuing our Cultural Heritage: A Contingent Valuation
Study of the Nidaros Cathedral. Landbruksoekonomisk Forum, 2-95, pp. 53-65.
169
Walsh, R.G., Loomis, J.B. and Gilman, R.A.,1984. Valuing Option Existence and Bequest Demands for
Wilderness. Land Economics. 60 (1): 14-29.
U.S. E.P.A, 2002. A Framework for the Economic Assessment of Ecological Benefit.
U.S. E.P.A 2000. OAQPS Economic Analysis Resource Document.
170