MEMORANDUM

TO: Interested Parties

FROM: Hamilton Campaigns
DATE:October 1, 2008
RE: New Mexico 2nd Congressional District Survey Results 1

Key Findings

1. Harry Teague now leads Ed Tinsley in the race for Congress in New Mexico’s
2nd Congressional District. Democrat Harry Teague leads Republican Ed Tinsley
by 5 percentage points (46% Teague – 41% Tinsley -- 13% undecided). In previous
polling, Teague trailed Tinsley by -3 percentage points.

2. Teague’s early communication has helped define him positively. The

percentage of voters who view Harry Teague favorably has increased +13
percentage points since our last poll in June, while at the same time Teague’s
unfavorable rating has actually decreased 7 percentage points (now: 44% favorable
– 17% unfavorable; June: 31% - 24%).

3. Ed Tinsley is still unknown to a majority of voters. Ed Tinsley’s personal image

is essentially the same as it was in June (now: 33% favorable - 17% unfavorable;
June: 36% – 18%). The percentage of voters who are able to rate Tinsley has
actually dropped -4 percentage points since June.

Bottomline
Harry Teague has taken the initiative in the early part of the general election campaign to
strongly define his image to voters. In other years and with other candidates, winning in
this district could be difficult, but Harry Teague has put himself on solid footing to defeat Ed
Tinsley and turn New Mexico’s 2nd Congressional District from red to blue.

1
This memo is based on a survey of 500 registered voters who are likely to vote in the November 2008 general election in New
Mexico’s 2nd Congressional District. Hamilton Campaigns conducted telephone interviewing September 2-5, 2008. The margin of error
for a sample of this size is ±4.4 percentage points, at the 95% confidence level.