To: Wulsin for Congress

From: Margie Omero

Momentum Analysis

Date: October 2, 2008

RE: Recent polling results in OH-2

Our recent polling results show support for Republican Jean Schmidt eroding further. In
the 2006 election, Democrat Victoria Wulsin came within 2500 votes of Schmidt. In
their respective 2008 primaries, Wulsin received both a larger percentage and larger vote
total than Schmidt. Our June survey showed a single-digit race with Schmidt far below
majority support, and a recent independent survey again showed Wulsin within single
digits. Our current poll now shows Wulsin and Schmidt tied.

Wulsin & Schmidt tie

27-Jun-08 1-Oct-08 Wulsin and Schmidt are

Change
Wulsin 33 36 2 statistically tied (36%
Schmidt 41 37 -4
Wulsin, 37% Schmidt).
Schmidt’s 8-point lead has
Krikorian 6 11 5
shrunk to only two points.
undec 19 16 -4 For an incumbent to be so
Wulsin-Schmidt adv -8 -2 6 far below majority support
is a clear sign of vulnerability. (Numbers may not add up exactly due to rounding.)

Schmidt’s weakness transcends the party leanings of the district (49% Republican, 34%
Democratic). Wulsin has consolidated Democrats (81% Wulsin) far better than Schmidt
has consolidated her own partisan base (65% Schmidt).

A vulnerable incumbent

In 2007, Karl Rove named Schmidt one of the most vulnerable Congressional
Republicans in the country. Now Victoria Wulsin, buoyed by fundraising and media
success, has the momentum propelling her to November success.

This memo reflects the findings of a survey of 400 likely November 2008 voters in Ohio’s 2nd Congressional
District. Interviews were conducted by telephone September 29-30, 2008. A voter file of registered voters
was used, further screened for likely voters. The margin of error for the sample overall is +/-4.9%. The
margin of error for subgroups is larger. Momentum Analysis is a political opinion research firm based in
Washington, DC.