.

28, 2010

514.18
.. , - . ,
.. , ,

.
: ,
, , .

.
- .
, ,
.

.
, . [1]
, ( ),

(). [2, 3, 4]
Maple,
. ,
,
.
.

.
146

.. , ..

.


.
,

. N + 1 ,
N .
, , , k .

[5].
N {Fi ( x , y) = 0} , t = t i . t = t N :
(F1 ( x , y) F2 ( x , y) ) 1k +

F5 ( x , y) F4 ( x , y) + (F3 ( x , y) F2 ( x , y) ) 2 + / 2 k + 3k

(F4 ( x , y) F3 ( x , y) ) 3k

(1)

: F1 , F2 , F3 , F4 - t1 ,
t 2 , t 3 , t 4 ; F5 - t 5 .
(1), Maple
F5 . F5
. 1.
, [7],
,
. ,
"" (. 2), 2- . B ,
A .

147

 . 28, 2010

. 1.

, ,
. : , , .

. 2.

,
: ,
. RP [6]. :
x ( t ) = p;
(2)
148

.. , ..

y( t ) = a cos(t ) + q;
z(t ) = b sin(t ) + b;
: p q .
- :

z( t )

z RP =

x ( t ) + y( t ) + z ( t )

y RP =

y( t )
x ( t ) 2 + y( t ) 2 + z( t ) 2

(3)

FAdB =

1 2
(z RP y& RP z& RP y RP )dt
2 0

(4)

(. 3). x y ,
z .

,
.
.
(.3 ),
(.3 ),
.

. 3. -

149

 . 28, 2010

. :
c=

F
S

(4)

: F ;
S .

Vres= V c

(5)

: V , ,
( , )
. ,
.
.
(. 4).

. 4. , - .

, .
. , , ,
.
150

.. , ..

1. ..,
: . . : 05.01.01 - :
(), 2007.
2. .., : ... - : 05.01.01 - 2007
3. ..,
' : ... . . :
05.01.01 / . - ., 2001.
4. ..,
: ...
. . : 05.01.01 / .
., 2005.
5. .., .., .. // /
.- . 4, 12. - : ,
2001 - C. 15 - 20.
6. ..
. -.: ( , . ", " N 9), 1990, 48 .
7. ., . : . . .: , 1975. - 934 .
.. , ..

.


.
: , , , .
K.V. Rosokha, K.V. Anisimov
Extrapolation of development of forest fires taking into account geometrical parameters of radiation.
In article it is considered methods of forecasting of forest fire taking into account influence of angular coefficients of radiation on a vegetative material.
Keywords: Angular factor of radiation, geometrical model, forest fires,
extrapolation.

151