부동산포럼 발표자료 E-paper 20111011

-
201
1.10
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EX 3
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Hall
1
2
3
4
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: 2011.10.11(). 13:00~18:00 / : E-hall(3F)

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,
.
: 2011 10 11() 13:00-18:00

: E-hall(3F)
:
:
:
: ,
II
III
IV
12:30-13:00
13:00~13:10
13:10-14:00

14:00-14:50 :
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10
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15:40-16:30
16:30-17:20
17:20-18:00
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18:00
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< >
1.

. . 2006
. 2007-2008
. 1991 ,
2005 60-80% .
.
2.
55-63 2010 .
2010 .
, 1-2
. 2020 3-4
20-30 . ,
.
, .
3.
.
.
.
, .
. ,
.
4.
2006 .

.
.
, 10
.
5.

. ,
. , .
,
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2011. 10. 11 ()
1.
2.
1.
40, 50
40~59 2006 28% 2007
, 2005
, 2006

< 40~59 >
: S&P, Census
2.
40, 50 .
91 .
40~59 1993 29.16%(3,636 2)

< 40~59 >
: ,
4
2.
1990~2005 10~20km
70km 10km, 20km
10km 1994, 1991

2004~2005 10km, 20km , , 30km,
40km ,

< >
<23 >
/
7
0
1990
5
1995
2000
: ,
2005
90 91 92 93 94 95 96 97 98 99 00 01 02 03 04 05
2.

68 . 03 1 1.14

, 90
- 160~170 2000 110-120 . 80-90.
- , 6 2000 4
< >
<, , 1 >
1.20
6,000
_()
_()
5,000
1_%()
1.08
4,000
1.05
1.01
3,000
0.97
:1
2,000
1.10
1.11
1.11 4,588
4,201
3,861
3,781
3,520
1.14
1.13 5,389
1.15
4,726
5,025
4,116 4,436
1.10
1.05
3,545
3,283
3,106
2,965
(1,000)
9,000
7,000
2,559
2,532
2,182
2,109
0.95
1,000
0.90
0.85
7,849
(1,000)
3,500
8,093
8,000
7,343
2,690
6,000
5,000
1.00
3,229
3,299
3,000
7,299 2,882
6,673 2,280
2,500
5,976
2,228
2,156
5,910
5,471
3,000
2,000
1,500
1,224
20
03
19
98
19
93
19
98
19
88
19
83
19
78
19
68
19
63
1,000
()
()
500
1,000
:2003
2,000
4,502
4,000
313
0
0
1971~ 1976~ 1981~ 1986~ 1991~ 1996~ 2001~ 2006~ 2011~
()
1975 1980 1985 1990 1995 2000 2005 2010 2015
:()
2. :
( )

23 , 90
- 2000 2005 5 , 3 (, , ) 15%
3
<2000~2005 >
<1990~1995 >
0.5~1.0%
0.0~0.5%
0.0~0.5%
0.0~0.5%
0.0~0.5%
0.5~1.0%
1.0~2.0%
0.5~1.0%
2.0%
: ,
1.0%
1.0%
0.5~1.0%
1.0~2.0%
2.0%
1.
2.
3. 1
4.
5.
6. ()
1.
35~54 2011
35~54 2010 33.87%(1,665 4)

- 35 1988 , 35~54
2010
- 55 2021 35~54, 2024 35
- 2010 , 2018
< >
60,000
3.5%
()
50,000
<- >
30,000
()
3.0%
25,000
2.5%
40,000
30,000
20,000
2.0%
1.5%
1.0%
20,000
15,000
10,000
0.5%
10,000
0.0%
0
-0.5%
() 1960 1967 1974 1981 1988 1995 2002 2009 2016 2023 2030
:
5,000
0
() 1970 1976 1982 1988 1994 2000 2006 2012 2018 2024 2030
:
2.
1-2 2030 , 3-4 2020
2000 2030 , 1~2
1(20.3 23.7%) 2 (23.1 28.1%)
3~4 2020 9 (852->861) ,
(2030 832)
1-2 3~4
< >
( )
90.0
18,000
4,519
16,000
14,000
12,000
4,564
4,469
3,595
8,000
80.0
4,746
3,785
22.7
26.6
70.0
4,844
3,958
4,380
3,473
3,773
4,109
2010
2015
2020
19.1
60.0
3,866
21.0
50.0
3,244
6,000
2,000
4,733
3,797
10,000
4,000
< >
(%)
100.0
20,000
40.0
5,583
28.1
23.1
30.0
3,083
20.0
2,632
4,713
10.0
23.7
20.3
0.0
0
2000
2005
2025
2030 ()
1
2000
2
2005
2010
5
2015
2020
2025
2030 ()
: , /
10
3. 1
, 1
1 1985 98,896 2005 41 310 , 65
1 1,632 9 4,855 . (4) (5), (8)
1
1 30 1 30 , 65 1
2030
< 1()>
()
< 1()>
(%)
500,000
30
27.1
410,310
1985
400,000
25
20
300,000
18.7
16.0
15
200,000
10
121,375
100,000
79,915
64,139
20,797
26,535
98,896
9,979
: ,
14.0
11.0
10.7
10.2
8.0
6.5
5
11
1985
2005
26.7
2005
4.7
7.3
4.1
5.3
3.9
4.8 4.8
4.4
4.4
7.4
4.
, 2003 15-17
90 , 2003 07 , 09
31.80, 28.90(2010 ) 15 3.5

<>
()
<>
()
225,000
32.50
217,456
200,000
31.61 31.80
30.00
30.87
29.28
28.71 28.90
28.36
27.72
171,780
175,000
163,050
27.50
26.49
25.32
151,252
150,000
25.00
154,880
125,000
22.50
100,000
20.00
1995
2000
2009 2010 ()
2005
1995
2000
2005
2009 2010
: , (2011)
12
5.
,
1980 2.83 2005 1.08 .
(30~34) () 1980 2.67 2005 1.52
.
15~44 2.3
, .
3~4 .
<15~44 >
< (1980~2005)>
()
2.6
1980
1990
2000
2005
()
2.83
1.59
1.47
1.08
97
95
89
81
2.67
1.89
1.71
1.52
()
22
22
25
()
31
33
36
2.5
2.5
2.4
30~34
(%)
30~34
()
2.3
2.3
2.2
2.2
2.1
2
2.3
2.2
2.1
2
1.9
13
: KDI (2009) ,
1982 1985 1988 1991 1994 1997
2000 2003 2006 ()
()
6. ()
2005 , .
2000 2008 , .
2005 99 .

1~2 , 1~2
. (30 ) . .
< >
<2005 >
35
25
30
25~34
35
25
59.1%
20
24.1%
16.9%
15
10
12.8%
32.7%
54.5%
5
0
82.6%
12.7% 4.7%
-5
-10
01
02
03
66
04
05
06
66~99
07
08
99~132
09
10
13.7%
62.3%
24.0%
10
132~165 165~198 198
0%
20%
40%
60%
80%
100%
: 114
14
1. ,
2. ,
3.
4.
1. ,
(, , , )
, , 60
2004~06 2007
2003 , 2010
2004~06 85
2007 60 , .
.
< ()>
< >
(2000.01.01=100)
(2000.01.01=100)
60
330
60~85
85
330
280
280
230
230
180
180
130
130
80
80
1 6 11 4 9 2 7 12 5 10 3 8 1 6 11 4 9 2 7 12 5 10 3 8 1 6 11 4 9
1 6 11 4 9 2 7 12 5 10 3 8 1 6 11 4 9 2 7 12 5 10 3 8 1 6 11 4 9
2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011
2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011
: 114
:114
16
2. ,
(, , )
, 60~85
2009
2000 , 2008

< ()>
< >
(2000.01.01=100)
60
260
260
240
240
220
220
200
200
180
180
160
160
140
140
120
120
100
100
60~85
85
80
80
1 6 11 4 9 2 7 12 5 10 3 8 1 6 11 4 9 2 7 12 5 10 3 8 1 6 11 4
2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011
: 114
17
(2000.01.01=100)
1 6 11 4 9 2 7 12 5 10 3 8 1 6 11 4 9 2 7 12 5 10 3 8 1 6 11 4
2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011
:114
3. :

.(114 2011 3)
, 2
.

.
< >
1
< >
10.10%
7.50%
9.00%
6.30%
10.1%
7.9%
9.7%
8.4%
19.4%
7.20%
15.10%
10.40%
13.1%
15.6%
8.70%
27.3%
< >
7.10%
9.8%
6.2%
< >
11.20%
9.80%
29.10%
9.10%
14.0%
11.7%
3.5%
6.10%
8.4%
14.00%
7.00%
19.9%
18
12.20%
19.8%
24.4%
4.4%
40km
3.5%
3.5%
3.5%
5.80%
1.2%
2
20km
1
2
10km
,
,
10km
20km
,
,
10km
10km
20km
1
2
19
KTX,
20km
3. :
.
38.6% 37.0% .
-
-
, 1.2%p
< >
( : % )
< >
2010
41.5
39.1
37.0
2010
38.6
2011
34.934.8
23.7
22.3
21.1
2.3 2.5 2.1
20
3. :
37.0
38.6
22.3
2.1
100.0
41.0
38.2
19.2
1.6
100.0
33.3
37.8
26.2
2.7
100.0
36.0
45.3
17.4
1.2
100.0
33.5
42.2
22.9
1.4
100.0
46.2
29.3
20.7
3.8
100.0
20
24.5
43.6
28.7
3.2
100.0
30
32.5
37.6
26.3
3.6
100.0
40
44.9
36.4
18.0
0.7
100.0
50
40.2
41.8
17.5
0.5
100.0
200
36.9
28.6
33.3
1.2
100.0
300
33.7
37.9
23.7
4.7
100.0
400
37.8
35.7
25.3
1.2
100.0
700
37.1
40.6
20.4
1.9
100.0
700
40.2
48.5
10.3
1.0
100.0
99
28.2
32.5
35.7
3.5
100.0
99~132
39.0
37.1
22.0
1.9
100.0
132~165
45.0
47.7
6.7
0.7
100.0
165
25.7
65.7
8.6
0.0
100.0
(:%)
: ,
4.59 (4.56), (4.30)
- 0.03 .

(4.18) (4.11)
-

< >
4.59
09
4.61
4.56
4.59
4.54
10
10
4.57 4.56 4.56
11
(:)
4.47
4.40
4.30 4.30
4.29
4.29
4.19
4.18
4.20
4.17
4.15
4.11
4.10
4.07 4.06
21
4.04
3. :
:
(4.61) ,
(4.28) > (4.08)
.
, /
< >
4.63 4.61 4.61
4.60
09
10
10
11
(:)
4.33
4.28
4.29 4.29
4.19
4.144.15
4.08
4.10
4.08
3.97
4.05
3.96
4.10
3.99
3.99
3.94
3.913.91
3.84
3.88 3.88 3.85

3.78
3.69
3.72
3.64
3.66
22
3. :
: .
4.43 ,
(4.23) > (4.18) > (4.09)
3 0.09
- ,

< >
09
10
10
4.47 4.48 4.45

4.43
(:)
4.33
4.35
4.29
4.23
4.22
4.25 4.24
4.18
4.13
4.10 4.13
4.13 4.14 4.15

4.07
4.09
3.93
23
11
3.97 4.00
3.91
4.
2008 ,
05~07
08 9

( )

< >
(%)
10.0%
9.0%
8.0%
7.0%
6.0%
5.0%
4.0%
3.0%
2.0%
1.0%
0.0%
9 11 1 3 5 7 9 11 1 3 5 7 9 11 1 3 5 7 9 11 1 3 5 7 9 11 1 3 5 7 9 11 1 3 5 7 9 11 1 3 5 7 9 11 1 3 5 7 9 11 1 3 5 7
2002
24
2003
2004
2005
2006
2007
2008
2009
2010
2011
: 114
4.

2008 ,
08 .

,

< >
(%)
35.00
30.00
25.00
20.00
15.00
10.00
5.00
0.00
-5.00
1 3 5 7 9 11 1 3 5 7 9 11 1 3 5 7 9 11 1 3 5 7 9 11 1 3 5 7 9 11 1 3 5 7 9 11 1 3 5 7 9 11 1 3 5 7 9 11 1 3 5 7 9 11 1 3 5 7 9
2002
25
2003
2004
2005
: 114
* 12
2006
2007
2008
2009
2010
2011
4.
: 1

, . ( )

.
26
2003
2004
2005
2006
2007
2008
2009
2010
2011. 08
9.8
9.7
9.3
8.5
8.4
8.7
8.8
8.2
7.2
3.9
3.6
3.4
3.2
2.8
2.6
2.7
2.8
3.1
28.3
15.5
6.2
15.2
26.1
12.5
2.7
2.2
-1.92

2008

50.7
47.9
46.8
46.1
41.2
37.9
38.3
41.6
50.1
2008
34.5
34.6
33.8
31.0
29.5
29.1
28.7
27.0
24.9
2.3
2.2
2.2
2.2
2.4
2.5
2.5
2.5
2.5
13.4
12.4
11.8
11.5
11.3
11.1
10.9
10.6
9.8
8.3
7.3
6.6
6.6
6.8
6.4
6.2
6.1
5.9
3.7
2.9
1.0
2.2
3.8
10.7
4.0
4.7
4.02
(4% )
65.9
63.2
59.7
61.7
63.3
61.7
60.6
60.6
63.3
60%
15.5
16.6
16.4
15.4
14.3
13.6
13.3
12.7
11.4
7.2
6.3
5.9
6.2
6.6
7.0
7.1
7.1
7.4
7%
: 114
4.
: 2
1~2 3~4
20 2002 1 (72%) , 2 (43%) .
30 2002 3 (51%), 4 (37%) .
2008 1-2 30-50%, 3-4 27-34% .
2000 1~2
. 3~4 .
< 3~4 30 ()>
< 1~2 20 ()>

( : %)
80.00
( : %)
60.00
70.00
50.00
60.00
40.00
50.00
40.00
30.00
30.00
20.00
20.00
10.00
10.00
0.00
0.00
2002
2003
2004
2005
: 114, .
27
2006
2007
2008 ()
2002
2003
2004
2005
2006
2007
2008 ()
1.
2.
1.
2006
2006 . 1998~2002 , 2003~2005
, 2006
05 05 .
2006
< >
< >
(%)
(%)
25%
45%
20%
40%
35%
15%
30%
10%
25%
5%
20%
15%
0%
10%
-5%
5%
-10%
0%
98
99
00
01
02
03
) =++
29
: ,
04
05
06
07
08
09 ()
98
99
00
)
: FRB,
01
02
03
04
05
06
07
08
09 ()
1.
,
GDP
- GDP 2001 2.25 , 2009 3.25
GDP 2008 1.55
2009
< >
<GDP >
()
(%)
18%
3.5
16%
14%
12%
2.5
10%
8%
6%
1.5
4%
2%
0.5
0%
1
0
80
82
84
86
88
90
92
94
96
98
00
02
04
06
08 09
: ,
2007
2008
2009
2010
30
1.
2009 1.52
- 2007 1.38 1.28
- 2004 2007 .
2009 7%
< >
()
< >
(%)
1.6
30%
1.5
25%
1.4
20%
1.3
15%
1.2
10%
1.1
5%
1.0
0.9
0%
0.8
-5%
0.7
-10%
0.6
-15%
97
98
99
00
01
02
03
: , , FRB, , ,
31
04
05
06
07
08
09
98
99
00
01
02
: , FRB, ,
03
04
05
06
07
08
09
2.

- 2000 42%,, 30%, 29%
- 2000 19%->2006 17%
,

< : (2000)>
( : %)
2000
2006
58
70
71
76
78
95
97
81
83
42
30
29
24
22
19
17
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
: Davies, Sandstrom, Shorrocks and Wolff. The World Distribution of Household Wealth" (2008),
32
2.

, 90%
- 10 .
, ,
- ,
-
. , . ( 20%, 40% )
< >
(%)
< >
(%)
100%
7.8%
90%
80%
27.9%
70%
60%
50%
40%
61.4%
30%
20%
10%
100%
90%
80%
70%
60%
50%
40%
30%
20%
10%
0%
47.1%
49.6%
19.4%
24.5%
5.8%
10.1%
4.3%
9.7%
64.0%
60.8%
1999
2008
11.5%
13.8%
15.0%
12.4%
23.1%
26.1%
1999
2008
0%
99
00
01
02
: ,
33
03
04
05
06
07
08
: ( )
: ,
2.

-
- 99 2008

- 50
< >
(%)
< >
100%
90%
80%
70%
60%
50%
40%
30%
20%
10%
0%
99
08
30
34
99
08
40
99
08
99
50
08
60
99
08
70
) (),
(), ()
( )
: ,
30
93.70%
1.30%
5.10%
100.00%
40
92.30%
3.60%
4.10%
100.00%
50
82.50%
6.10%
11.40%
100.00%
60
65.90%
9.00%
25.10%
100.00%
70
44.30%
13.60%
42.10%
100.00%
81.60%
5.70%
12.70%
100.00%
1) (2008)
2) : , , , ,
: ,
1.
2.
1.
, , ,
,

.
, ,
< , , >

,,

36
2..

:
:
:
,

1) : ?
2) : . ?
3) : , ? ?
4) :
5) : Location! Location! Location!
37
2..
1) : ?
( ) 1990 62%,,
2003 32.9% . 36.7%. 80% .
. 114% 700 . ,
. , 101% .
.
.
2) : ?
40 80-85%. 60%
.
. 10-20%P .
.
38
2..
3) ? , ?
(Schwabe) . .
25% (25%) . 20%
(LTV) . DTI 40-60%
20-25%
( )
4) :
39
20
10-20
20
30
20-30
40-50
40-50
60
20-30
,,
2..
5)
70-80% ( )
, . 1 .
. , ,

3T .(Talent, Technology, Tolerance) 3T

.

, ,

, , .
40
:
/

2012
2011
2012

17
2007.12
17
2004.05
18
2008.04
IMF
16
2002.12
; ( 2008 12 =100)
2012
2003 4 1Oz 377.48
2011 9 1Oz 1,816.58
2012
20%
2012
50%
3,000
2012
DTI , LTV
/
2012
1 2
250%
360%

6%~35% - 2012
2012

2011
What
&When
()
.

.
- (Roger Bacon, 1214~1294)-
1.
1976,
7,0000 & 52, 2,200
(enemy), (friend)
2.
2000,
& 3
(Margaret Hilda Thatcher, 1925~ ),

(outsider) .
.
.
3.
30 ,
(150) 15
2006,
, 4 256,000 .
80 , 3,000
4.
2001, (36) ,
2009, 3(35).
,
.
5. ,
&
(Miguel de Cervantes, 1547~1616)

<> .
6.
- (Arthur Schopenhauer, 1788~1860) -
7.
, .
&
,
, .
- (Friedrich Wilhelm Nietzsche, 1844~1900) -
8. mentor
40 , (10,000) , 6
3 , ( 50), 3
(Gaius Julius Caesar, BC100~BC44), .

. .
, .
9.
1999, ,
1(188, 57,000) .
.
.
- (David Dreman, 1936~) -
10.
&
(32)
(Slow), (Slow) .
(quick), (quick) .
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11.
3 & ,..,
.
.
. - <>
12. ,
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~~
.
,
.
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()
,
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,
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<No1>

(Carl von Clausewitz, 1780~1831)
<>
.
.
=,
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2004,
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2007,
15 /
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,

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2003,

(Caesar, Gaius Julius, BC100 ~ BC44)
()
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,
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- -
2
10
/ ,
10 !

: (ceo@sangganews.com)
: ()
:

&

TV
TV RTN
TV RTN !

&
/

Contents
01.
02.
03.
04. 10
.
01.
>>>
45,809.141m2
(m2)
55,002
30,965.772m2
23,368.449m2
43,923
40,546
2003
2005
2004
>>> ( )
02.
()

25~49
25~49
100.0
(%)
65
75.0
15-64
0-14
50.0
25.0
0.0
1970 1980 1990 2000 2005 2010 2020 2030 2050
2020
2050
49,956
42,348
36,496
( 73.2%)
22,755
(53.7%)
>>>

(%)
(%)
120
96.2
100
102.2
93.9
78.2
86.1
72.4
89.2
80
64.5
60
56.8
77.4
63.3
57.9
40
20
0
1970 1975 1980 1985 1990 1995 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004
/ /
>>> /
//

2006
2006

BSI
BSI
751 (1995 )
722
(1980 )
59

44
52
79.8
86.0
88.8
91.0
87.3
82.2
101.1
102.1
105.3
104.5
99.0
92.9
83.7
90.7
93.9
95.6
94.7
87.1
836.
90.3
89.2
93.6
90.5
88.5
42
50
38
2001
2002
2003
>>>

(%)
(%)
20
30
40
50
48.9
38.4
64.8
74.9
72.3
2005 5
>>>
55.0
67.2
62.6
2006 8
03.

1
1

()
()

( )
(
)
(
)
,
( , )
>>>

(%)
0.13
0.06
3.30
-
6.16
6.23
6.30
6.16
6.23
6.30
6.16
6.23
6.30
- 0.03 - 0.04
- 40%
- 0.10
- 0.17
- 0.36

- 0.84
1.11
1.11
1.24
2.09
-
-
- 0.89
1.11
1.24
2.09
1.11
1.24
2.09
- 0.04
- 0.11
- 0.13
- 0.16
- /
-
- 0.95
- 1.39
>>>
10 .

(,
,)

- /

(%)
273
108,559
3.97%
594
504,407
8.5%
476
373,016
7.8%
154.5
56,100
3.6%
108.4
63,566
5.9%
98.6
40,409
4.1%
98.8
34,602
3.5%

(/1)
120,692
108,559
0.89
390,320
504,407
1.29
276,000
373,016
1.35
168,188
56,100
0.33
57,482
63,566
1.11
99,479
40,409
0.40
53,881
34,602
0.64
10 .
NOON
CONTENTS

01.
02.
03.
04.

.
.
PROJECT

01
NOON
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
1.
2.
2.
3.
3.
4.
4.
5.
5.
5.
5.
5.
5.
6.

6.
/
6.
/
6.
/
6.
/
6.
/
6.

6.

7.
8.
8.
9.
6

14~15
3052
3663
3663
3816
3358
4121
3960
4426
02
NOON

-
-
-
-
1.

7
,

6 ,
.

1.

1.

,,, ,
.
.
6:4
6:4

1.

1.

, 3:2

..
1.
SWOT
SW
OT
2.

Noon

2005 11 25
06:50~22:00
3
2.

7~8
8~9
9~10
10~11
11~12
20
338
655
28
15
14
20~30
878
381
739
346
406
31~40
994
411
431
357
380
41~50
549
416
298
256
227
50
39
104
69
56
65
2,798
1,967
1,565
1,030
1,092
12~1
1~2
2~3
3~4
4~5
20
28
25
23
73
151
20~30
370
376
405
278
361
31~40
345
367
333
342
422
41~50
200
249
244
198
270
50
51
63
38
47
145
994
1,080
1,043
938
1,349
5~6
6~7
7~8
8~9
9~10
20
402
645
530
252
164
20~30
451
549
459
793
501
31~40
511
525
460
520
373
41~50
405
436
410
351
173
50
136
208
201
49
1,905
2.363
2,060
1,965
1,220
2.

/
8~10
20
1/2/1
4,000
20~30
16
4/2/2/2/4/4
20,600
31~40
18
4/2/2/6/2/2/2/
2/2/2
45,200
4/6
15,000
41~50
10
50
48
0
*
84,800 / 48 = 1,766
84,800

84,800 / 2 = 42,400

42400 x 24 = 1,017,600
3
.

1,017,600 x 30 = 30,528,000
2.

730~ 8 30
//
20
20~30
31~40
41~50
50
48%
52%

(41%) (59%)
18% (48%), (52%)
4%
.
20~40

.
3.

1 10~14
4~6
:120~170
7~15
Noon

25
( )
1
4
450
1 10~14
2~5
1 10~14
2~5
:100~150
3~5
:120~170
~8
4.
noon

113-1

113-8
//
B5~15F
B5~11F
10,500
2,881.29
P&H
250
47
03
NOON

-
-
-
-
1.
:
GS25

/

2.

NOON

( )
3.
4.
GS 25

5.

4500
()
1,215,000,000
1,215,000,000
1,215,000,000
1,215,000,000
1,215,000,000
150,000,000
200,000,000
300,000,000
200,000,000
300,000,000
4,000,000
3,500,000
4,000,000
6,000,000
5,000,000
364,500,000
364,500,000
364,500,000
364,500,000
364,500,000
6.5%
6.5%
6.5%
6.5%
6.5%
700,500,000
850,500,000
550,500,000
650,500,000
550,500,000
1,974,375
1,974,375
1,974,375
1,974,375
1,974,375
2,025,625
1,525,625
2,025,625
4,025,625
3,025,625
24,307,500
18,307,500
24,307,500
48,307,500
36,307,500
3.47
2.81
4.42
7.43
6.60
()
1,080,000,000
1,080,000,000
1,080,000,000
1,080,000,000
1,080,000,000
4000
150,000,000
200,000,000
300,000,000
200,000,000
300,000,000
4,000,000
3,500,000
4,000,000
6,000,000
5,000,000
324,000,000
324,000,000
324,000,000
324,000,000
324,000,000
6.5%
6.5%
6.5%
6.5%
6.5%
606,000,000
556,000,000
456,000,000
556,000,000
456,000,000
1,755,000
1,755,000
1,755,000
1,755,000
1,755,000
2,245,000
1,745,000
2,245,000
4,245,000
3,245,000
26,940,000
20,940,000
26,940,000
50,940,000
38,940,000
4.45%
3.77%
5.91
9.16
8.54
5.

4500
()
1,215,000,000
1,215,000,000
1,215,000,000
1,215,000,000
1,215,000,000
150,000,000
200,000,000
300,000,000
200,000,000
300,000,000
4,000,000
3,500,000
4,000,000
6,000,000
5,000,000
364,500,000
364,500,000
364,500,000
364,500,000
364,500,000
6.5%
6.5%
6.5%
6.5%
6.5%
700,500,000
850,500,000
550,500,000
650,500,000
550,500,000
1,974,375
1,974,375
1,974,375
1,974,375
1,974,375
2,025,625
1,525,625
2,025,625
4,025,625
3,025,625
24,307,500
18,307,500
24,307,500
48,307,500
36,307,500
3.47
2.81
4.42
7.43
6.60
->
5.

()
1,080,000,000
1,080,000,000
1,080,000,000
1,080,000,000
1,080,000,000
4000
150,000,000
200,000,000
300,000,000
200,000,000
300,000,000
4,000,000
3,500,000
4,000,000
6,000,000
5,000,000
324,000,000
324,000,000
324,000,000
324,000,000
324,000,000
6.5%
6.5%
6.5%
6.5%
6.5%
606,000,000
556,000,000
456,000,000
556,000,000
456,000,000
1,755,000
1,755,000
1,755,000
1,755,000
1,755,000
2,245,000
1,745,000
2,245,000
4,245,000
3,245,000
26,940,000
20,940,000
26,940,000
50,940,000
38,940,000
4.45%
3.77%
5.91
9.16
8.54

,
.

, NOON

.
-> .
04
NOON
1.
2.
3.
06.

( )

3,200~3,500 .

( )
20% .
( )
80%

.
* : ,,,,
///
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1-1. 1
1-2.
1-3. 1 3
1-4. 1 3
1-5. 10
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1-7. 1
1-8. 1
1-9. 1
1-10. 1
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1-12.
2.
2-1.
2-2.
2-3.
2-4.
2-5. ()
2-6. ()
2-7. ()
2-8. ()
2-9.
2-10
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2-12. (, )
2-13. (,)
2-14. ( )
2-15. ( )
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www.besthouse114.com
2011.10. 11
Never stop creative evolution
1-1. 1
2 1
()
1-2.
: 19801.57%--2000 0.84%--2030 -0.25%
: 80 4.55-95 3.34 05 2.88
10
1-3. 1 3
6,625
9,265
15,890
7,087
7,505
14,592
7,029
6,099
13,128
: 2005 ()
1-4. 1 3
38,062
27,996
66,058
21,255
29,290
50,545
15,483
18,779
34,262
: 2005 ()
1-5. 10
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(, :)

121
174
76
111
150
215
93
140
124
177
77
113
109
158
69
100
* : , 2009,
1-7. 1
2002
2004
2006
2007
179,000
55,000
13,000
24,000
87,000
42,000
22,000
11,000
2,631,509
3,003,067
3,239,440
3,298,261
: 19801.57%--2000 0.84%--2030 -0.25%( )

: 80 4.55-95 3.34 05 2.88( )
1-8. 1
: , :
2005
2008
2011
2014
2017
2020
3,187,151
3,357,255
3,531,424
3,709,503
3,907,139
4,109,276
681,416
718,940
755,909
792,513
832,335
871,968
1-9. 1 ( & )
2006
2007
2008
2009
1,183,389
1,290,241
1,348,148
1,299,461
()
941,988
1,045,175
1,109,884
1,102,356
241,401
245,066
238,264
197,105
1,155,688
1,300,732
1,395,349
1,367,335
()
937,943
1,050,932
1,154,902
1,151,450
217,745
249,800
240,447
215,885
2010
(9)
1,312,617
1,085,805
226,812
1,354,472
1,119,095
235,377
1,286,771
1,057,042
229,730
1,314,715
1,082,864
231,851
1-10. 1
1 ( )
:
3,000,000
2,500,000
2,000,000
1,500,000
5%
20%
30%
40%
5%
1,082,864
1,082,864
1,082,864
1,082,864
1,082,864
1,917,136
1,417,136
917,136
417,136
- 82,864
958,568
708,568
458,568
208,568
1,000,000
* :
1-11. 1
1-12. (5)
2.
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4 , 660
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30 (0.5)
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30-60(0.8)
60 (1)
2-3.
150 300
1+
30
30 3m 2m
2-4.
2-5.
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( )
1,500
1,700
2,000
2,300
2,500
60
60
60
60
60
90,000
102,000
120,000
138,000
150,000
45,600
45,600
45,600
45,600
45,600
135,600
147,600
165,600
183,600
195,600
45,000
51,000
60,000
69,000
75,000
90,600
96,600
105,600
114,600
120,600
12,000
12,000
12,000
12,000
12,000
6,780
7,380
8,280
9,180
9,780
85,380
91,980
101,880
111,780
118,380
( , : )
70
70
70
70
70
12
12
12
12
12
840
840
840
840
840
188
213
250
288
313
653
628
590
553
528
9.17
8.19
6.95
5.93
5.35
:60, :200%, : 60%, :120, .
2-6.
() (, :)
( )
1,500
1,700
2,000
2,300
2,500
60
60
60
60
60
90,000
102,000
120,000
138,000
150,000
45,600
45,600
45,600
45,600
45,600
135,600
147,600
165,600
183,600
195,600
45,000
51,000
60,000
69,000
75,000
90,600
96,600
105,600
114,600
120,600
6,780
7,380
8,280
9,180
9,780
97,380
103,980
113,880
123,780
130,380
( ) ( , : )
45
45
45
45
45
30
30
30
30
30
1,350
1,350
1,350
1,350
1,350
188
213
250
288
313
250
250
250
250
250
913
1,138
1,100
1,063
1,038
11.24
13.13
11.59
10.30
9.55
:60, :200%, : 60%, :120, .
2-7.
(, :)

()
())
126,000
770
70
51,800
693
140
17,780
44
9,5
195,580
1,800
26,400
11,000
370
649
11-20
158,180
4.92%
50%
126,000
1,000
80
51,800
900
2%
17,780
44
6%
195,580
26,400
11,000
856
6.49%
9*11
5*20
158,180
2-8.
2( )
1( )
360
36
840
84
1,000
60
1,000
60
324
32
756
75
200
1,200
1,080
600%
540%
30%
70%
70%
30%
60
1,000
60
200
10
1,000
()
()
107
120
70%
30%
600%
30%
70%
540%
10%
90%
480%
10
70%
30%
800%
30%
70%
600%
2-9. &
( )
()
134:1
(40 1)
0.2-0.3
(60 )
60:1
(,:
120:1)
0.5-1
0.5-1
( 3 )
( 1 )
( 1 )

( )

( )

( )

(:80%)

(:20%)
30:0.5
30-60:0.8
60:1
2-10. ()
: (30 150 ),
(30 ) ( )
80
3 17
:960 2,400
4%(), 5%()
: 12-50
:60 1
: 12-50
/:120 1
:200 1
140,000
56,000
9,800
5,600
211,400
84,000
127,400
140,000
2,000
400
70
140(462)
56,000
9,800
5,600
211,400
84,000
36,960
47,040
164,360
2-11. ( )
: (300 ),
(30 ) ( )
()
75
3,500
( 60 )
(11 2%)
60 :5%
60-75 :6%
10 20
85
3,500
60 :3%
(11 2%)
60-85 :4%
2-12. ( )
: , (19 )

: 85
()
-: 1,500
-11 3,500
5.0%, 2
(75 )
- 5.0%, 1
(11 2.0%, 75 )
4-. ( )
()
60
7,000
65-85
9,000
2%
2011
2-13. /
(,:)

()
())
126,000
770
70
140
51,800
693
17,780
315
195,580
63,000
370
11,000
11
121,580
1,800
378
50%
3.73
80
2%
6%
126,000
770
51,800
693
17,780
44
195,580
26,400
11,000
158,180
649
4.92
2-14.
( & )

+()
140
70,000
40*40
(,)
190
26,600
10%
,()
20
2,800
360
5.5%
3,850
200
99,400
210
60%
42,000
()
57,400
+(,3 ,:)
()
1,600
1,440
18.40
880
+(,3 ,:)
16%
66,000
31,680
8,600
40,280
14%
75,429
31,680
18,029
49,709
12%
88,000
31,680
30,600
62,280
10%
105,600
31,680
48,200
79,880
8%
( )
6%
( )
16%
66,000
31,680
8,600
40,280
14%
75,429
31,680
18,029
49,709
12%
88,000
31,680
30,600
62,280
10%
105,600
31,680
48,200
79,880
2-15. ( & )
()
()
70
140,000
20*50
(,)
140*380
53,200
10%
,()
20
1,400
6%
350
5.5%
7,700
6.31
550
()
1,000
900
194,600
50%
70,000
20,000
104,600
+(,3 ,:)

6.31%
104,600
19,800
5%
132,000
19,800
+(,3 , :)
19,800
6.31% 104,600
47,200
27,400
19,800
19,800
7%
( )
4%
( )
8%
( )
3%
( )
9%
( )
2-16.
( / )

()
45
41
1,000
5.5%
248
3,748
8.81%
7%
6%
5%
6%
8.81
28
+(, 3 )
()
4,500
+(, 3 )
3,748
990
990
4,714
990
967
1,957
8%
5,500
990
1,753
2,743
7%
6,600
990
2,853
3,843
6%
8.81%
3,748
990
990
4,125
990
378
1,368
4,714
990
967
1,957
2-17.
( / )

()
1,600
10,500
50
40%
4,200
45
5.5%
578
1,000
5,878
4.9%
5,878
864
5%
5,760
864
21
4.9
24
+(,3 )
+(,3 )
()
864
4.9%
5,878
864
747
7%
( )
4%
( )
8%
( )
3%
( )
9%
( )
118
864
2-18. ///
(2 , 70, 14*60)

()
140,000
56,000
9,800
70,000
135,800
()
140,000
56,000
9,800
()
140,000
756
56,000
350
9,800
70,000
135,800
406((3.59%)
840
(2 , 70, 40*45)

(2 , 70, 22*50)
()
()
1,100
990
350
640(5.66%)
(2 , 70, 80*1.5*20)
()
()
1,800
140,000
1,620
63,000
350
9,800
350
70,000
390
70,000
600
135,800
880(7.78%)
142,800
1,210(10.16%)
()
2,400
2,160
5
?
/ SFC
[ _ ]
SFC
< ?>
I.
II.

-
- (RC, , Steel , ,
, )

-
- (RC, , Steel, , )
- ( )
III.

- Process (, , , , , )
- ( , , ,
)
-
( , , (
) , RC )
IV.
*Appendix
-
- , ,
- RC
2011. 10. 11
2011. 09
SFC
Agenda
I.
II.
III.
1.
1.
1. Process
2.
2.
1-1.
3.
3. ()
1-2.
4.
4.
1-3. / Process
IV.
1.
1-4. (, , )
2.
3.
*Appendix..
I.
1.

1.
2.
(1)
(2)
(3) 330 3
3.
(1) ( ) 3 .
(2) 1 ( ) 660
(3) 19
4.
- : 70%,
500%
- : 50%, 80%+20%()
- : 20%, 40%,
80%, 100%
- : 60%, 120%
- : 20%,
80%,
- : 50%, 100%,
- : 20%, 80%
60%, 120%
( : .)
I.
2.
RC
()
, , ( ),
Steel
()
( 1mm )
I.
3. .
RC
()
Steel
()
, , .
,,,
(,,)
, .
, .
.

.
. .
I.
4.
: , : , : , :
RC
II.
1.
6,000
5,000
4,000
3,000
2,000
1,000
0
2008
II.
2009
10
11
12
2010
10
11
12
2008
2,119
1,989
4,174
5,021
4,452
3,929
3,969
3,248
3,534
4,215
3,198
2,806
42,654
2009
1,510
2,119
4,063
4,975
4,231
4,336
4,014
3,344
4,073
3,839
3,894
3,044
43,442
2010
1,649
1,850
3,804
4,751
4,125
3,907
3,157
2,902
3,823
3,589
2,948
2,556
39,061
2.
: ,
(: ,)
18000
16000
(S/P)
14000
12000
10000
8000
6000
4000
2000
0
'04
'05
'06
'07
'08
'09
(S/P)
2003
'10
II.
3. ()
. 1.
1
2
II.
3. ()
2001-12-26
2003-12-30
2004-12-23
2010-12-31
1,357
9,294
29,263
87,789
LH
1997-02-27
1999-12-31
2002-10-23
2008-12-31
500
3,304
16,660
51,646
LH
LH
2001-12-26
2004-02-07
2004-12-20
2010-07-31
384
2,146
9,274
28,748
2001-04-25
2001-12-14
2002-12-26
2010-12-31
5,694
9,035
40,921
124,326
LH
2004-06-30
2005-12-30
2007-06-28
2011-12-31
758
11,302
31,000
77,500
730
3,406
18,479
57,290
LH
3,324
16,249
49,641
LH
1998-10-07
1999-12-01
2001-02-05
2007-12-31
2001-12-26
2004-03-12
2005-01-05
2011-12-31
2004-12-30
2006-10-09
2009-01-08
2012-12-31
3,651
2,801
14,139
39,591
LH
1997-02-27
2002-02-22
2004-12-20
2008-12-31
578
1,699
10,629
31,531
LH
2004-12-30
2006-08-17
2007-11-12
2011-12-31
3,203
15,708
45,554
LH
202,322
593,616
13,652
49,514
1997-07-22
2000-11-04
2002-04-16
2006-12-31
509
2,055
10,481
32,491
2000-12-29
2003-05-20
2004-12-30
2011-12-31
2,007
9,549
46,054
124,345
LH
2004-12-31
2006-12-11
2007-11-06
2011-12-31
1,550
1,734
22,126
59,729
LH
2012-12-31
1,634
10,850
52,821
151,050
LH
5,700
24,188
131,482
LH
367,615
2004-12-30
2007-03-20
2007-12-31
2011-12-31
1,441
7,005
36,544
102,327
LH
1998-10-07
2003-10-06
2004-12-29
2010-06-30
560
2,056
12,112
35,885
LH
2004-12-03
2005-12-20
2006-12-07
2011-12-31
1,076
1,598
24,139
72,417
LH
3,077
()
1997-02-27
2000-03-31
2002-01-25
10,659
72,795
210,629
2010-12-31
602
2,545
15,402
44,666
LH
2012-12-31
1,660
17,771
90,000
31,035
LH
2,262
20,316
105,402
75,701
II.
4.
1,357 329, 218 (66%),
70(21%) ( )
( )
()
1,357
329
1,028
: 2011. 09.
* :
218
66%
70
21%
11
4%
16
5%
14
4%
329
100%
III. ? 1. Process
Contact
Contact

.
.
()
.
.
.

.
III. ? 1. Process..
,
()
, ,
,

()
,
, ,
, , , , ,
, , , ,

, ,
, ,
()
, ()
III. ? 1. Process..
/ : 100m( 30)
: 11 , 14
- 85(25.7) ,
- ,
200 3
- 100( 30)
- ()
- .
- .
- [] [] [] []
- [] [] [] []
- :
(, , , , , , )
. ?..... 1. Process..
60
day
week
140
20
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
19
20
100
,,
200

300
400
,,
500
,
600
,
700
, ,,,,
800
,
900
III. ? 1. Process.. / Process()
III. ? 1. Process.. ()
( )
* :
* : 1
* : 130~150
III. ? 1. Process.. (/)
(, )
* : , ,
* : 1
* : 50
()
* :
* : 1
* .
KT
,TV
( )

( )
* :
* : 1
(TV,)
22
* :

III. ? 2.
.
.
, ( )

.
, .
III. ? 3. ( )
, ,
, , .
()
()

III. ? 3. ( )
XPS .
EPS .
.
.
III. ? 3. ( )
.
.

FRP
.
.
III. ? 3. ( )
TILT & TURN TILT & SLIDING .

.
U-P.V.C
P.V.C , .
(P.V.C )
U-P.V.C .
AL+
( )
AL+WOOD
( )
WOOD
III. ? 4. ( )
, ,
RC
( )
IV. 1.
RC
()
( : 60)
20
8%
10%
4~5 ( )
5 ( )
20%
25%
1.5
35%
35%
1.5
37%
30%
1~2
1~2
6
: 570 ~ 650/
5
: 550 ~ 630
Appendix
Appendix.
Appendix.
Appendix.
0.1% 5
3~4
Appendix.
Appendix.
-
.
-
-
- : 2 x 4,6,8,10,12 5
- : ++
Appendix.
6m2
*
4.1(18.2%) .
*: 100~150mm
*: 200~350mm
Appendix.

:
+
:
+ + +

:
+ + +

Appendix.
1.
* :
* : ,,
2.
* : 16d, 10d, 8d, 6d
* : , ,
Appendix.

*

.
*
- RC
: = 4 : 6
-
: = 6 : 4
*
, ,
*
.
,
.
.
Appendix.
,
4 - 1.
. .
- 1(58dB)
50dB
Appendix.
.
. . 1.6 .
Faced batts & rolls
Splay-in fiber glass
Poly-Encapsulated insulation
Appendix.

* : STC()
ICC()
( )
Appendix.
,
.
Appendix.
100 .
100
Appendix.
.
-/ /.
Appendix.
.
* .
* :
End of Document
100-756
1 61
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: 2011.10.11(). 13:00~18:00 / : E-hall(3F)

: 2011 10 11() 13:00-18:00

< 40~59 >

< 40~59 >

1971~ 1976~ 1981~ 1986~ 1991~ 1996~ 2001~ 2006~ 2011~

1982 1985 1988 1991 1994 1997

2000 2003 2006 ()

132~165 165~198 198

2.3 2.5 2.1

4.57 4.56 4.56

3.88 3.88 3.85

4.47 4.48 4.45

4.13 4.14 4.15

< 1~2 20 ()>

2003 4 1Oz 377.48

2011 9 1Oz 1,816.58

(Margaret Hilda Thatcher, 1925~ ),

(Miguel de Cervantes, 1547~1616)

- (Arthur Schopenhauer, 1788~1860) -

(Gaius Julius Caesar, BC100~BC44), .

- (Robert Lee Frost, 1874~1963)-

- (Sherwin Rosen, 1938~2001) -

<No 4> No , Yes

1970 1980 1990 2000 2005 2010 2020 2030 2050

26 MBC ' -' 00 .

" 2009 690( 730)

Never stop creative evolution

Never stop creative evolution

Never stop creative evolution

: 19801.57%--2000 0.84%--2030 -0.25%

: 80 4.55-95 3.34 05 2.88

Never stop creative evolution

Never stop creative evolution

Never stop creative evolution

Never stop creative evolution

Never stop creative evolution

: 19801.57%--2000 0.84%--2030 -0.25%( )

Never stop creative evolution

Never stop creative evolution

Never stop creative evolution

Never stop creative evolution

Never stop creative evolution

Never stop creative evolution

Never stop creative evolution

Never stop creative evolution

Never stop creative evolution

Never stop creative evolution

:60, :200%, : 60%, :120, .

Never stop creative evolution

:60, :200%, : 60%, :120, .

Never stop creative evolution

Never stop creative evolution

Never stop creative evolution

Never stop creative evolution

Never stop creative evolution

Never stop creative evolution

Never stop creative evolution

Never stop creative evolution

Never stop creative evolution

Never stop creative evolution

Never stop creative evolution

Never stop creative evolution