Sreerampore

Assembly election 2006 Loksabha Election 2004

Left Front TMC* Cong BJP* Left Front TMC* Cong

Jagatballavpur 71947 54360 10326 6300 65657 54105 9803

Domjur 100736 65872 12998 4160 94787 50041 20947
Jangipara 79018 44999 7871 5550 73925 41991 5828
Chanditala 82737 62981 11400 5225 67250 64090 10764
Uttarpara 72788 65523 2798 6675 60384 64671 12166
Sreerampore 31669 36468 25194 3586 26266 27527 37146
Champdani 60731 29759 52977 9120 49883 46922 32542

TOTAL 499626 359962 123564 40616 438152 349347 129196

Mean Percentage of votes for each Party ( till 2006 )

Left Front 45.74%
TMC* 35.10%
Congress 12.47%
BJP* 4.19%

Applying Suitable Formula Prediction for 2009

Total Votes* Left Front TMC* Cong

Jagatballavpur 152729 68597 64978 10069

Domjur 200906 98942 73168 19081
Jangipara 140463 68868 50502 8044
Chanditala 170787 74342 72516 11993
Uttarpara 151765 60350 71621 7921
Sreerampore 103678 28823 33502 32389
Champdani 163714 52459 54881 40989

TOTAL 1084042 452381 421168 130486

Margin : 59,084
31,213 Votes Probable Percentage of votes for each Party ( 2009 )

Left Front 41.73%

TMC* 38.85%
Cong 12.04%
BJP* 4.04%

It is almost certain that TMC+Cong could manage to win these sea

 Red Area :P

TMC alone is capable of winning those

Very Marginal , Anything can happen ( Difference is less than

It is marginal for TMC-Cong alliance

* Approximate Value

1.10.2008 Status : Repetition of the same story….. TMC , Cong < LF but T

In 2004 Santasri Chatterjee [ CPI(M) ] won by 19687 Vo

ha Election 2004 Assembly election 2001

BJP* Left Front TMC* Cong BJP*

6200 63488 53971 10124 6415

4240 94502 61285 16973 4676
5400 65575 52455 6823 5607
5100 70499 58563 11100 5379
6600 69931 64217 7482 6943
3400 29073 35905 30547 3580
11240 57288 29673 42760 11817

42180 450356 356069 125809 44417

rty ( till 2006 )

ion for 2009 ( Assembly constituency-wise Analysis )

BJP*

6515
4431
5664 After De-limitation
5497
7108
3956
10648

43819

ty ( 2009 ) Swing (%)

-4.01%
3.75%
-0.43%
-0.15%

d manage to win these seats , otherwise these are for the LF

 ( Difference is less than 1% of total number of votes)

TMC , Cong < LF but TMC+Cong > LF

] won by 19687 Votes