Professional Documents
Culture Documents
2006E
2007E
2008E
2009E
2010E
407,338,961.90
496,953,533.52
606,283,310.89
739,665,639.29
902,392,079.93
1,396,070,443.92
1,703,205,941.58 2,077,911,248.73
2,535,051,723.45
3,092,763,102.61
203,794,558.40
248,629,361.25
303,327,820.72
370,059,941.28
451,473,128.36
2,007,203,964.22
2,448,788,836.35 2,987,522,380.35
3,644,777,304.02
4,446,628,310.91
305,845,728.40
141,142,824.80
45,620,089.52
492,608,642.72
373,131,788.65
172,194,246.26
55,656,509.21
600,982,544.12
455,220,782.15
210,076,980.43
67,900,941.24
733,198,703.82
555,369,354.22
256,293,916.13
82,839,148.31
894,502,418.67
677,550,612.15
312,678,577.68
101,063,760.94
1,091,292,950.77
1,514,595,321.50
1,847,806,292.23
2,254,323,676.52
2,750,274,885.36
3,355,335,360.13
273,123,746.50
333,210,970.73
406,517,384.29
495,951,208.83
605,060,474.78
Scenario Summary
Current Values:
LIKELY
Changing Cells:
Discount_Rate
17.0%
17.5%
Terminal_Growth
2.0%
3.0%
COGS
0.59
0.59
EBIT
0.23
0.2
Result Cells:
EQUITY VALUE
$10.79
$10.74
Notes: Current Values column represents values of changing cells at
time Scenario Summary Report was created. Changing cells for each
scenario are highlighted in gray.
WORST
BEST
20.0%
5.0%
0.65
0.3
12.0%
4.0%
0.45
0.18
$10.48
$11.37
($ in thousands)
Total Revenue
Growth Rate
2001
2003
2004
2005
2006E
2007E
2008E
2009E
2010E
$2,508,788,068
4%
$2,183,829,795
-13%
$2,402,700,962
10%
$3,327,022,574
38%
$3,659,724,831
10%
$4,025,697,315
10%
$4,428,267,046
10%
$4,871,093,751
10%
$5,358,203,126
10%
1,459,108,308
60.76%
942,132,803
39%
1,556,741,208
62.05%
952,046,860
38%
1,355,748,848
62.08%
828,080,947
38%
1,378,929,381
57.39%
1,023,771,581
43%
1,768,522,363
53.16%
1,558,500,211
47%
2,159,237,651
59.00%
1,500,487,181
41%
2,375,161,416
59.00%
1,650,535,899
41%
2,612,677,557
59.00%
1,815,589,489
41%
2,873,945,313
59.00%
1,997,148,438
41%
3,161,339,844
59.00%
2,196,863,282
41%
245,887,486
76,595,834
322,483,320
263,258,775
79,926,759
343,185,534
313,669,240
84,329,332
397,998,572
380,755,399
86,698,334
467,453,733
715,141,958
119,006,535
834,148,493
527,000,376
131,750,094
658,750,470
579,700,413
144,925,103
724,625,517
637,670,455
159,417,614
797,088,068
701,437,500
175,359,375
876,796,875
771,581,250
192,895,313
964,476,563
EBIT
% of Sales
619,649,483
26%
608,861,326
24%
430,082,375
20%
556,317,848
23%
724,351,718
22%
841,736,711
23%
925,910,382
23%
1,018,501,421
23%
1,120,351,563
23%
1,232,386,719
23%
COGS
Gross Margin
% of Sales
Depreciation/Amortization
$2,401,241,111
2002
89,884,195
88,012,675
84,682,512
82,078,916
127,658,427
133,737,790
140,218,304
147,144,028
154,545,550
162,455,557
EBITDA
% of Sales
709,533,678
30%
696,874,001
28%
514,764,887
24%
638,396,764
27%
852,010,145
26%
975,474,502
27%
1,066,128,686
26%
1,165,645,449
26%
1,274,897,113
26%
1,394,842,276
26%
Income Taxes
185,894,845
182,658,398
129,024,713
166,895,354
217,305,515
252,521,013
277,773,115
305,550,426
336,105,469
369,716,016
433,754,638
426,202,928
301,057,663
389,422,494
507,046,203
589,215,698
648,137,268
712,950,994
784,246,094
862,670,703
89,884,195
-
88,012,675
343,328,486.00
283,739,051
84,682,512
152,323,527.00
401,232,733
82,078,916
446,275,453.00
29,023,620
127,658,427
510,934,913.00
133,737,790
273,123,747
310,171,601
140,218,304
333,210,971
331,480,390
147,144,028
406,517,384
354,253,093
154,545,550
495,951,209
378,590,280
162,455,557
605,060,475
404,599,433
Add: Depreciation/Amortization
Less: Changes in Working Capital
Less: Capital Expenditures
Net Cash Flow Before Debt
523,638,833
(112,851,934)
(167,816,086)
(3,797,663)
123,769,717
139,658,141
123,664,211
99,324,546
64,250,155
15,466,353
447,401,600
(96,421,680)
(143,383,532)
(3,244,757)
105,749,929
119,325,137
90,276,643
61,951,760
34,240,250
7,042,330
Enterprise Value
622,937,681
Plus: Cash
Less: Interest Debt
Equity Value:
428,563,230.00
221,949,324
$829,551,587