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Worklng aper Anallsa lsulsu oLenslal ualam konfllk korea

osLed on !anuary 12 2011 by Lduardus (Lduard)


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konfllkkorea/


Rale Tr|s
Perrasa|arar yarg rurcu| d| sererarjurg Korea ada|ar perrasa|arar yarg rerdesa| urlu| d|se|esa||ar, |arera oa||
secara |argsurg raupur l|da| |argsurg perrasa|arar lerseoul a|ar reroer||ar pergarur pada ruourgar |rlerras|ora| d|
|aWasar As|a lerulara d| |aWasar As|a T|rur. Korl||| yarg lerjad| d| 3ererarjurg Korea |r| ada|ar ou|l| ryala a|ar adarya
perarg d|rg|r d| |aWasar As|a. 0a|ar per|eroargarrya, perrasa|arar yarg rurcu| d| 3ererarjurg Korea a|ar
reryeoao|ar rurcu|rya oeroaga| |su- |su oaru dar arlara |su yarg salu dergar yarg |a|rrya a|ar sa||rg oerruourgar, oa||
secara |argsurg raupur l|da| |argsurg. urlu| |lu peru||s a|ar reru|a| reroaras salu persalu rergera| |su- |su yarg a|ar
rurcu|.
1. huclear Future.
Pergeroargar ru|||r ada|ar sa|ar salu ras|| dar| |orl||| yarg l|da| |urjurg se|esa| d| 3ererarjurg Korea. Pada 9 0|looer
200, Korea ulara re|a|u|ar percooaar oor ru|||r urlu| perlara |a||rya, ra| |lu|ar yarg rarl|rya a|ar reryeoao|ar
rasyara|al dur|a |eroa|| reroer| perral|ar pada regara |r|.[1| Pergeroargar Nu|||r d| Korea ulara |r| reroer||ar oarya|
darpa| lerradap ruourgar regara |r| dergar p|ra| |uar. 0ergar Arer||a 3er||al r|sa|rya, Korea ulara re|a|u|ar
perselujuar dergar rerg|j|r|ar p|ra| Arer||a urlu| re|a|u|ar |rspe|s| d| Yorg8yor dergar syaral d|oer||arrya oarluar
r|rya|. Nu|||r yarg d|r||||| o|er Korea ulara rer||||| |apas|las urlu| rergrarcur|ar se|urur |ola d| Korea 3e|alar dar
Jeparg. la| |lu |ar yarg reroual para per|rp|r r|||ler urlu| rer|||r|ar u|arg rergera| slraleg| yarg a|ar d|gura|ar urlu|
rergaradap| perarg d| 3ererarjurg Korea dar a|ar reroer||ar lerpal yarg |eo|r oesar oag| regara- regara |a|r, seperl|
Jeparg urlu| ||ul carpur da|ar perarg saudara |r|.[2|
2. 8alance of Power.
8a|arce ol poWer ada|ar sa|ar salu leor| yarg d||eru|a|ar o|er parad|gra rea||s, d|rara leor| lerseoul rergeru|a|ar
oarWa adarya l|rda|ar o|er salu regara urlu| rerg|roarg| l|rda|ar yarg d||a|u|ar o|er regara |a|r urlu| re||rdurg|
regararya dar| regara |a|r lerseoul dergar rerye|roarg|ar |e|ualarrya dergar regara lerseoul, r|sa|rya dergar
rer|rg|al|ar perserjalaar.[3| 0| 3ererarjurg Korea ada regara yarg rerasa rer||||| |eperl|rgar, Arer||a 3er||al,
Jeparg, Korea ulara, Korea 3e|alar, Cr|ra dar Rus|a, ras|rg- ras|rg regara lerseoul oerusara rercegar regara yarg |a|r
urlu| rerdapal|ar |eurlurgar. Arer||a 3er||al d| s|r| sargal reregarg perarar perl|rg d|rara regara |r||ar yarg rarl|rya
a|ar rergalur |ese|roargar poWer d| |aWasar |r|. Cr|ra dar Korea ser|rg|a|| rerasa |raWal|r Arer||a 3er||al rarl|rya a|ar
rergaro|| |eserpalar urlu| rerjad| seouar |e|ualar regerory da|ar |aWasar As|a, serla rerg|j|r|ar Jeparg urlu|
rera|r|ar perarar d| As|a.[1|
Pada Jur| 200Z, Korea ulara re|a|u|ar uj| cooa r|s|| yarg oerjarg|auar 100 |r re|eWal| Korea 3e|alar dar Jeparg.[5| la|
lerseoul a|ar reroaWa darpa| yarg l|da| lerduga pada per|eroargar poWer d| 3ererarjurg Korea. Jeparg, seperl| yarg
||la |elaru| l|da| rer||||| arg|alar perarg. 0|er |arera |lu pergeroargar ru|||r o|er Korea 3e|alar dapal rerjad| sa|ar salu
a|asar o|er Jeparg urlu| reroerlu| sualu arg|alar perarg. 0ar |arera |lu sera||r je|as a|asar rergapa Cr|ra rerasa
lerarcar dergar adarya pergeroargar ru|||r d| Korea ulara, |arera ra| |lu a|ar rerdu|urg oer|eroargrya Jeparg
dergar arg|alar perargrya, ser|rgga d||raWal|r|ar Jeparg dapal rerjad| seouar |e|ualar oaru yarg a|ar rerye|roarg|
|e|ualar Cr|ra d| |aWasar 3ererarjurg Korea |r|.[|
Jeparg da|ar oeroaga| |eserpalar rergeru|a|ar oarWa apao||a lerjad| ur|l||as| arlar dua Korea dar |rsla|as| ru|||r ada d|
regara gaourgar lerseoul, ra|a Jeparg a|ar ru|a| re|a|u|ar pergeroargar ru|||r, yarg da|ar Wa|lu s|rg|al a|ar dapal
d|produ|s| re||ral |erajuar le|ro|og| Jeparg.[Z| 0ergar adarya "Japan o nuo|ear a|ar ada per|eroargar yarg |eo|r |arjul,
d|rara a|ar ada per|oroaar serjala dergar Cr|ra, Ta|War dar Korea 3e|alar, sedarg|ar Pa||slar dar lrd|a a|ar oerusara
urlu| rerperoararu| le|ro|og| ru|||r rere|a.[8|
. Foreign Aid.
8arluar |uar reger| ras|r oer|a|lar eral dergar ru|||r d| Korea ulara. Korea ulara seperl| ||la serua laru, rer|||||
pere|oror|ar yarg sargal ouru| dar sera||r oerlaroar ouru| dergar perga|o|as|ar dara urlu| pergeroargar las|||las
ru|||r. 0ergar ouru|rya pere|oror|ar lerseoul Korea ulara rer||||| |elergarlurgar yarg oesar pada regara- regara |a|r.
Narur, |elergarlurgar |lu ser|rg|a|| d|gura|ar seoaga| |eserpalar, r|sa|rya saja Arer||a 3er||al yarg rerggura|ar
le|arar e|oror| urlu| rergaWas| per|eroargar ru|||r d| Korea ulara. 8arluar lerseoul d|sa|ur|ar arlara |a|r re|a|u| Tre
Federa| Reserve 8ar| d| NeW Yor|, Cerlra| 8ar| ol Rus|a, dar Tre Far Easl Correrc|a| 8ar|.[9| 3eoaga| sa|ar salu regara
yarg perrar rerjajar Korea, Jeparg ser|rg|a|| lelap reroer| oarluar Wa|aupur Korea ulara lerou|l| re|arggar perjarj|ar
dergar rererus|ar pergeroargar ru|||r rere|a. Jeparg oerarggapar oarWa dergar reroer||ar oarluar pada Korea
ulara dapal rer|rg|al|ar pergarurrya alas regara dar rerperoa||| ruourgar ouru| seoaga| War|sar rasa
perarg.[10| Narur, |elergarlurgar Korea ulara lerradap oarluar dar| regara |a|r dapal rerjad| sa|ar salu a|al urlu|
reroual Korea ulara sed|||l |ura| dar rerg|j|r|ar lrlerral|ora| Alor|c Erergy Agercy (lAEA) urlu| re|a|u|ar |rspe|s| alas
las|||las yarg d|r|||||rya.
4. Economy.
Pere|or|ar d| 3ererarjurg Korea a|ar sargal oerruourgar dergar Korea ulara d|rara ada|ar regara yarg pa||rg r|s||r
dergar pere|oror|ar yarg ouru| ras|| dar| Perarg Korea. Pere|oror|ar |r||ar yarg rarl|rya a|ar rerjad| sa|ar salu |su
yarg rerjad| pererlu dar| |eadaar d| 3ererarjurg Korea. Korea ulara dar Korea 3e|alar ser|rg|a|| oer|orl||| oa|| secara
po||l|| raupur r|||ler, rarur Korea 3e|alar ras|r rerasa oerlarggurg jaWao alas pere|oror|ar Korea ulara. Pada larur
2000, r|sa|rya pada rasa perer|rlarar Pres|der K|r, Korea 3e|alar reroarlu pere|ror|ar Korea ulara dergar
rerg|r|r|ar 200.000 lor pupu| yarg oerr||a| se||lar 0 jula do|ar.[11| Pada larur lerseoul |erjasara e|oror| |eo|r
d|ulara|ar o|er Korea 3e|alar, sedarg|ar Korea ulara |eo|r oarya| rerga|o|as||ar dararya urlu| rergeroarg|ar serjala
ru|||r. la| lerseoul yarg reryeoao|ar Korea ulara lelap l|da| rarpu urlu| oarg||l res||pur le|ar rerdapal|ar dar|
oeroaga| p|ra|.
uj| cooa ru|||r yarg d||a|u|ar o|er p|ra| Korea ulara rurg||r l|da| reroer||ar darpa| |argsurg pada pere|oror|ar, seperl|
perururar drasl|s pada sarar, rarur dapal rer|rg|al|ar rarga eras dar r|rya| dergar oarya|rya |rveslor yarg
rerga||r|ar |rveslas|rya |e eras dar r|rya|, oar|ar dapal rergarggu |aju pere|oror|ar reg|ora| dar apao||a l|da| d|alas|
a|ar oerdarpa| pada per|oror|ar As|a. 0|du|urg dergar sed|||lrya pergarur dar ruourgar Korea ulara dergar dur|a |uar
yarg sargal |ec||, ra|a pergarur ru|||r Korea lerradap dur|a |rlerras|ora| a|ar |eo|r cepal urlu| oera|r|r.[12| 0ergar
adarya uj| cooa ru|||r |r|, Korea ulara ser|rg|a|| d|rug||ar, d|rara pere|oror|arrya sera||r ouru| dar rerdapal eroargo
e|oror| dar| oeroaga| p|ra|. P88 dergar 0eWar Keararararrya oaru- oaru |r| rergeru|a|ar reso|us| yarg |s|rya
rergulu| percooaar ru|||r Korea ulara dar re|ararg e|sporl serjala dar| Korea ulara dar rerpereral eroargo l|rars|a|. La|r
|ag| dergar Jeparg, regara |r| rergurur|ar |arargar perdagargar dergar Korea ulara. 0ergar adarya eroargo |r| sed|||l
oarya| a|ar rerpergarur| pere|oror|ar W||ayar As|a, rarur |arera sed|||lrya |eler||oalar Korea ulara pada pasar g|ooa|
ra|a a|ar sed|||l pu|a pergarur yarg a|ar d|rasa|ar.[13|
Peace and 3ecurity.
Perarg Korea lerjad| seja| larur 1950-1953, rarur r|rgga saal |r| l|da| ada perye|esa|ar yarg rerurju||ar secara je|as
rergera| oaga|rara |e|argsurgar ruourgar arlara dua W||ayar lerseoul. 3eja| larur 1950, |r|s|s yarg lerjad| d|
3ererarjurg Korea rerga|ar| pasarg surul, ser|rg|a|| reraras. Pada saal Korea 3e|alar d|per|rlar o|er K|r 0ae Jurg
d|oual sa|ar salu perjarj|ar perdara|ar yarg oerlujuar urlu| reryalu|ar |eroa|| Korea ulara dar Korea 3e|alar, ya|lu
3ursr|re Po||cy.[11| Narur, l|da| ada pero|caraar |eo|r |arjul rergera| peryaluar |edua W||ayar lerseoul ser|rgga dapal
rerjad| salu |esaluar. Korea ulara reregarg perarar perl|rg d|rara ser|rg|a|| reryeoao|ar |r|s|s d| 3ererarjurg Korea
a||oal pergeroargar ru|||rrya. Korea ulara ser|rg|a|| rer|rg|al|ar |elergargar d| 3ererarjurg Korea dergar l|da|
rerg|rdar|ar arcarar dar| p|ra| |rlerras|ora| urlu| l|da| rerggeroarg|ar ru|||rrya seoaga| serjala dar |e|uar dar| Nor-
Pro||leral|or Trealy (NPT). la| lerseoul rer|rou||ar rea|s| dar| p|ra| Jeparg yarg da|ar ra| |r| a|ar lerarcar slao|||las
|earararrya, dergar reroer| perryalaar a|ar rereroa| apapur ooje| l|da| d||era| yarg ada d| W||ayarrya. 3e|a|r |lu
Arer||a 3er||al dar Korea 3e|alar juga oerea|s| dergar rergada|ar |al|rar r|||ler oersara.[15|
Kerajuar yarg lerjad| da|ar ruourgar arlar '2aor pouer dapal |eroa|| |ag| d|ru|a| dar| ro| a||oal s|luas| yarg lerjad| d|
3ererarjurg Korea, lerulara a||oal ru|||r Korea ulara. Apao||a lerjad| Perarg d| 3ererarjurg Korea se|a|r dapal
rergrarcur|ar regara- regara yarg ler||oal juga rergarggu |eslao||ar po||l|| |rlerras|ora|.[1| Ada oeoerapa ra| yarg dapal
d||a|u|ar urlu| rerjaga perdara|ar dar |eararar d| 3ererarjurg Korea. Perlara, rer|rg|al|ar d|a|og da|ar |aWasar,
ser|rgga sa|ar pergerl|ar d| arlara p|ra|- p|ra| yarg ler||oal dapal lerse|esa||ar. Yarg |edua, Wa|aupur oarya| p|ra|- p|ra|
d| |uar Korea yarg ler||oal rarur, p|ra|- p|ra| lerseoul l|da| rarya rergulara|ar |eperl|rgarrya serala lap| juga oe|erja
sara urlu| rercapa| salu lujuar ulara ya|lu slao|||las d| W||ayar 3ererarjurg Korea dar |ererargar oag| serua p|ra|.[1Z|
ana||sa |n| aoa|an sa|an saru ruas yan o|susun oersa2a rekan |a|nnya oa|a2 perku||anan luounan lnrernas|ona| o| /s|a
Pas|l|k oersa2a Prol. 0o||n 3roun.

[1| rllp://WWW.peacelorur.org.lW/l||eclr|/200peacelorur_po13.pdl d|a|ses pada 20 3epleroer 2009 pada pu|u| 10:5
[2| rllp://WWW.l|resor||re.co.u|/lo|/reWs/Wor|d/as|a/arl|c|e15595.ece d|a|ses pada 20 3epleroer 2009 pada pu|u| 11:03
[3| rllp://WWW.or|larr|ca.cor/E8crec|ed/lop|c/1Z329/oa|arce-ol-poWer d|a|ses pada 20 3epleroer 2009 pada pu|u| 10:58
[1|rllp://Z1.125.153.132/searcr?q=cacre:RZ1NN2LFZREJ:|gcc.ucsd.edu/pdl/po||cypapers/pp15.pdloa|arcepoWeral|orea
per|rsu|aardjapar&cd=1&r|=|d&cl=c|r|d|a|ses pada 20 3epleroer 2009 pada pu|u| 11:10
[5| rllp://puo||c.srrs.cor/rode/3Z221 d|a|ses pada 20 3epleroer 2009 pada pu|u| 11:18
[| rllp://WWW.peacelorur.org.lW/l||eclr|/200peacelorur_po13.pdl d|a|ses pada 20 3epleroer 2009 pada pu|u| 11:33
[Z| rllp://WWW.|oreal|res.co.|r/WWW/reWs/ral|or/2009/03/113_11131.rlr| d|a|ses pada 20 3epleroer 2009 pada pu|u| 11:1
[8| rllp://WWW.las.org/sgp/crs/ru|e/RL3118Z.pdl d|a|ses pada 20 3epleroer 2009 pada pu|u| 11:52
[9|

[10| rllp://WWW.accessry||orary.cor/arl|c|e-101-20Z89218/japar-searcr-|rl|uerce-|orear.rlr| d|a|ses pada 20 3epleroer
2009 pada pu|u| 23:18
[11| rllp://WWW.||e.cor/puo||cal|ors/papers/paper.clr?Researcrl0=38Z d|a|ses pada 21 3epleroer 2009 pada pu|u| 12:15
[12| rllp://|rdores|ar.rl|.org.lW/|rdores|ar/spec|a|/Perspe|l|l/Perspe|l|l_10.rlr d|a|ses pada 21 3epleroer 2009 pada pu|u|
12:1Z
[13| rllp://WWW.surya.co.|d/2009/0/11/ereso|us|-leroaru-d|-poo-eroargo-|orul-d|per|uas.rlr|d|a|ses pada 21 3epleroer 2009
pada pu|u| 12:32
[11| rllp://reWspaper.p|||rar-ra|yal.cor/prpr|rl.prp?r|o=oer|ladela||&|d=59 d|a|ses pada 20 3epleroer 2009 pada pu|u|
23:3Z
[15| lo|d
[1| rllp://puo||c.srrs.cor/rode/3Z221 d|a|ses pada 20 3epleroer 2009 pada pu|u| 11:18
[1Z| rllp://docs.goog|e.cor/gv|eW?a=v&q=cacre:3j85vZ-
l|8cJ:|xr|.r|.|rlr.|l/~|ardrel/corea/proc/02.pdlsecur|ly|r|oreaper|rsu|a&r|=|dd|a|ses pada 21 3epleroer 2009 pada
pu|u| 0:11

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