L thuyt xc sut v thng k Ton K16EVT Nm hc: 2011-2012 lm bi: 90 pht
s:
27
Cu 1. (3,0 im) Trng lng X (n v: kg) ca mi ni cm in (
)1 l mt LNN c phn phi chun vi = 3,8 kg, v lch chun = 0,2 kg. Sau khi phn phi trong th trng, mt ni cm in c gi l ni cm t yu cu nu c trng lng X tho mn iu kin 3,7 < X < 4,0. (a) Chn mua ngu nhin mt ni cm in. Tnh xc sut chn mua c ni cm t yu cu? (b) Bn Phng chn mua ngu nhin 4 ni cm in trong th trng. i. Tnh xc sut bn Phng chn mua c t nht 2 ni cm t yu cu? ii. Cho bit: mi ni cm t yu cu c gi tin l 800.000 ng, v mi ni cm KHNG t yu cu c gi tin l 350.000 ng. Tm s tin trung bnh m bn Phng phi tr khi chn mua ngu nhin 4 ni cm in? Cho bit: (1) = 0,341; v (0,5) = 0,192. Cu 2. (2,5 im) Trong dp Ging sinh nm 2011, mt ca hng kinh doanh bng n ( ) c hai loi bng n (TT v xu) nh sau: s lng bng n TT chim t l 70 %, v cn li s lng bng n xu, chim t l 100 % 70 % = 30 %. Bit rng: t l s lng bng n mu trong tng s lng bng n TT, tng s lng bng n xu tng ng l 42 % v 82 %. Chn mua ngu nhin 1 (mt) bng n trong ca hng . (a) Tnh xc sut chn mua c bng n mu trong ca hng? (b) Nu chn mua c bng n mu , th kh nng bng n ny thuc v loi no (TT hoc xu) nhiu nht? Cu 3. (4,5 im) iu tra v s lng ngi n mua bng n ti cc ca hng in t, trong mt tun, TP. Nng, ngi ta kho st mt mu gm c 36 ca hng in t. Theo di s ngi n mua, trong mt ngy, v thu c bng s liu sau y: S ngi n mua (xi ) S ca hng (ni )
10 6
40 15
70 12
100 3
(a) Tm trung bnh mu (x), phng sai mu ((
s)2 ), phng sai mu iu chnh (s2 ), v lch mu iu chnh (s)? (b) Vi tin cy 96 %, hy tm khong c lng tin cy cho trung bnh s ngi n mua bng n ti cc ca hng in t, trong mt tun, TP. Nng? (c) C kin cho rng: trung bnh s ngi n mua bng n ti cc ca hng in t, trong mt tun, ti TP. Nng l 72 ngi. Vi mc ngha 5 %, hy kim nh kin l NG hoc SAI? Cho bit: (2,05) = 0,48, (1,96) = 0,475. Yu cu: cc kt qu c lm trn n 3 ch s thp phn, v d: 3,351 54 3,352; 3,351 45 3,351.