...........................................................................................................

........................................................................................................... 2

........................................................................................................... 3

....................................................................................................................... 8

(
)
()()

()

II

(I)
I
()

()

1
x 5 = 1 1, 1 , 2 , 3 , 4 (3 1 )(3 2 )(3 3 )(3 4 ) =

(1) 81

(2) 162

(3) 121

(4) 242

93 1

2
<>
sin + cos 12
=0
(1 + cos ) x y

x + (1 + sin ) y = 0
93

x, y (1 + cos )(1 + sin ) 1 = 0

<>
a0 , a1 , a2 " b0 , b1 , b2 "
an +1 = an + bn ,

1
bn +1 = bn
2

(n = 0,1, 2,").

an +1
an
= A
bn +1
bn

(1) A

( n = 0,1, 2," )(2 )

(2) A2 A3 Ak k (6 )

Ak (1)

(2)
Ak Ak

0.5
0.
8
9
10
96 A

0.5

4
P y = 2 + x x 2 P x log3 10 P

(1)
(2)
(3)
(4)
(5)

95 2

P
5
20 21
21 (1 )

1200

60000

1000
800

50000

900
800

750
600

600
500
400

400

40000

38100
32200

30000

29250

20000

200

17400
10000

10000
4600
10

20

30

40

50

60

10

()

20

30

40

50

60

()

(1) 30
(2) 30
94

SARS
7 ()5
7

(1) 3
(2) 1
(3) 3 2
(4) 3 2
(5) =1 4
92 8

7
<>
x, y
ABC f ( x, y ) = ax + by a, b

A(12,3) 42 B (6,1)
20
BCDE D E (10, 4) (9, 2)

(1) a, b (4 )
(2) A, D , C ?
(3) f ( x, y ) = ax + by (4 )

(1)
a, b (2)
E AB
BCDE D AC
(3)
f ( x, y ) = ax + by

<>
x, y
ABC f ( x, y ) = ax + by a, b

A(12,3) 42 B (6,1)
20
BCDE D E (10, 4) (9, 2)

(1) a, b (4 )
(2) f ( x, y ) = ax + by (4 )
(3) ABC C ( s, t ) s + 2t = 18 1 s < 10 (5 )

(1)
a, b (2)

BCDE
f ( x, y ) = ax + by
(3)(3)
f ( x, y ) = ax + by C
HJJG
C AD s + 2t = 18 1 s < 10

1.

1-1

2.

2-1 n n

2
2-2 18 = 3 2

6 = 2 3

2
=
3

2
3

n m n, m
3.

3-1
3-2

4.

4-1 i
0
4-2

1. 1-1

2. 2-1

3.

3-1

1.

1-1

2. 2-1
3. 3-1

4.

4-1

5.

5-1

6.

6-1

1.
2.

3.
4.

4-1

5.

5-1

1.

1-1 30D 45D

2.

2-1

3.

3-1

4.
5.
6.
1.

1-1

2.

2-1

3.
4.

4-1

5.

5-1
1 n

10

1.

1-1

2.

2-1

3. 3-1

4.

4-1

1.

1-1

2.
3. 3-1

4.

4-1

5.

5-1

6.

6-1
6-2
6-3

6-4

11

1.
2.
3.
4.

1.

2.()
3.()
4.()

4-1

5.
1.

1-1

2.
3.

4.
5.

5-1

6.

6-1

an = an 1 + f (n)

an = an 1 + an 2

, , f (n) 3

12

1.

1-1
1-2

2.
(

3.
4.

4-1

5.

5-1

6. 6-1 68-95-99.7

13

-()

1.

2. 2-1

3.
4.

3-1
4-1

1. 1-1

2.

2-1 ( transition
matrix )

3.

4.

4-1

5.

5-1

6.

6-1

6-2

14

1. ( 1-1
)

2. ( 2-1
)

2-2

2-3 ()

3.

3-1

15

-()

1.

1-1
1-2

2.
3.

2-1 x
3-1 y y x

3-2

3-3
4. 4-1

4-2
4-3

1.

1-1
1-2

2.

2-1

3.

3-1

4.

1.

1-1

1-2 y = x 2

2. 2-1 ()

x=a x=b
y=0

3.

3-1

16