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9.29 한국 M&A 및 PE 시장 현황 및 당면과제 (김수민)
9.29 한국 M&A 및 PE 시장 현황 및 당면과제 (김수민)
,
MBA, Columbia Business School
M&A
M&A ,
, ,
, , ,
, , , ,
, , ,
SEO
M&A 3-4
M&A , PE
M&A (97-10)
30%
IT bubble/
-22%
SEO
Buy-Out
M&A (97-10)
30%
-22%
M&A
2008 M&A
234
225
223
204
200
159
161
155
139
170
155
142
103
100
90
66
52
'97 '98 '99'00 '01 '02 '03'04 '05'06'07 '08 '09 '10'11.1H
SEO
PE Buy-Out 50%
PE (97-10)
PE
PE deal
PE
302
300
200 194
189
167 164
152
159
144
130
115 116
108
100
80
46
SEO
( ) , M&A,
( )
()
(Secondary)
2000 PE
PEF
, ,
, ,
(Distressed)
(Non-core)
-
(Cash-out)
Growth capital
SEO
M&A
Top 20 (97~10)
Phase I
&
Phase II
Phase III
Note: Top 20 , ,
SEO 20110929-The Bell Academy-M&A Market-Hand Out_v01 9
Source: AVCJ
2006 2008 SI
Top 20 M&A (97-10)
Top 20 deals (in $B)
100%
2.2
8.2
17.7
11.3
15.3
9.8
12.0
12.1
18.3
22.8
15.4
11.6
6.1
8.3
5.8
80
60
40
Other *
Gov't
20
PE
Foreign SI
Korean SI
'97
'98
'99
'00
'01
'02
'03
'04
'05
'06
'07
* ( & )
Note: Top 20 , , .
SEO
Source: AVCJ; Lit. Search; Bain Analysis
'08
'09
'10
'11.1H
Winners Curse
11 8 7002
SEO
Deal Size
(M USD)
Deal
stake
Seller
Buyer
Category
1,800
100%
Anheuser-Busch InBev
Non-core
Doosan Soju
398
100%
Doosan Corp
Lotte Group
Non-core
On media
365
55%
Owner
CJ O shopping
Non-core
TheFaceShop
362
90%
Secondary
Gmarket
353
29%
InterPark
eBay
Non-core
Hana card
333
49%
SK Telecom
Other
323
86%
Distressed
308
49%
Doosan group
Distressed
Kumho Rent-A-Car
250
100%
KT & MBK
Distressed
10 AK global
237
81%
ARD holdings
Distressed
11 Hyundai Corp.
235
50%
KDB,woori bank,creditors
232
39%
13 Jinro
228
13%
Hite Brewery
14 Qrix Holdings
187
70%
Qrix Holdings
Hotel lotte
Hyundai Heavy Industries
consortium
Core Financial Advisors Group
NCUF (National Credit Union
Federation Korea)
TBroad Holdings
15 BC Card
156
31%
Vogo Investment
Non-core
99
100%
Meiya Power
Non-core
17 Novelis Korea
97
14%
IMM PE
Distressed
18 Ssangyong
96
70%
MSPE
GS Holdings
Secondary
89
25%
Hanwha
Cash-out
84
100%
MBK
Cash-out
Oriental Brewery
Post restrABCturing
Distressed
Distressed
Cash-out
Note: *IMM, 4 (Doosan DST, Samhwa Crown & Closure, SRS Korea, Korea Aerospace Industry)
SEO 20110929-The Bell Academy-M&A Market-Hand Out_v01 12
Source: AVCJ, Bain analysis
2010 M&A
Deal
Size
Target
(M USD) stake
Seller
Buyer
Category
4,100
51
Daewoo International
3,009
68
KAMCO
Posco
Post restructuring
Daewoo E&C
2,179
37
Kumho
KDB
Distressed
1,146
100
Non-core carve-out
798
47
Vogo Investment
Distressed
450
70
Distressed
425
100
324
35
263
44
Secondary(Investme
nt exit)
242
51
Distressed
237
100
12 KSNet
231
99
13 Ndoors, Inc.
183
80
177
49
15 Celltrion Inc
173
10
166
62
17 Hi mart
151
100
18 Pureun2
102
85
95
100
20 Delkor Corp.
90
90
Secondary
(Investment exit)
Secondary
(Investment exit)
Secondary
(Investment exit)
Mid-cap owner's
cash out
Distressed
Growth Capital
Mid-cap owner's
cash out
Eugene Group
IMM; H&Q
Distressed
Non-core carve-out
SEO
Mid-cap owner's
cash out
Secondary
(Investment exit)
2011
M&A 70%
Deal
Size
Target
(M USD) stake
Seller
Buyer
Category
4,440
35
Post restructuring
222
14
KT Corp.
Investment exit
209
34
KT Capital
Non-core carve-out
145
22
Samsung Electronics
Post restructuring
111
49
Standard Chartered PE
Non-core carve-out
90
33
Growth Capital
69
100
Webzen Inc.
53
N/A
STIC Investments
Growth capital
9 KT Telecop Corp.
48
24
KT Telecop Corp.
KB Investment
Growth Capital
47
100
Undisclosed Seller(s)
KSB AG (Germany)
44
100
44
29
Growth Capital
42
17
Growth capital
40
100
Non-core carve-out
36
N/A
16 Indilinx, Inc.
35
100
17 Leenos Corp.
35
32
Wok-kyu Lee
KTB Securities
35
13
Distressed
31
100
28
40
Growth capital
1 Hyundai E&C
(SkyLife)
Note: Excluded stake swap among affiliates, open market trading, transaction for strategic partnership
SEO 20110929-The Bell Academy-M&A Market-Hand Out_v01 14
Source: AVCJ, Bain analysis
(LP) PEF
PEF
PEF *
(08-10 3Q)
6T
LP PEF
** (08-10 3Q)
6T
5.2
4.1
4.0
10
2.8
2.9
2.0
09
09
08
08
2008
2009
2010
43%
70%
81%
'08
'09
'10
Note: *
** LP - , matching fund; 10 9 ; 08 ; ,
Source: , Lit search, Expert interview
SEO 20110929-The Bell Academy-M&A Market-Hand Out_v01 15
, PE capital overhang ,
M&A (97-10)
PE ()
PE ()
10 capital
overhang
7 *
PE
PEF
40
PEF
30
4.5
3.4
2.7
3
1.7
1.8
1.7
1.6
20
2.5
2.2
2
3.5
1.5
1.0
0.9
'97
'98
'99
'00
'01
'02
'03
'04
'05
'06
'07
'08
'09
'10
PEF deal
0.00
0.01
0.00
0.05
0.13
0.02
0.02
0.58
0.30
0.47
1.67
1.56
1.23
1.21
PEF deal
23
21
20
1
0
10
08~10 PEF
:
11
,
Bain
( )
100%
80
37
80
60
60
40
40
20
0
/
20
Bain
65%
* M&A 20
Source: AVCJ, Bain analysis
2006
2007
2008
2009 ~2010 Q3
/
40%
40%
45%
50%
SEO
60%
IMF ?
Korean M&A market size trend by deal origin (97-10)
30%
Asia financial
crisis
IT bubble collapse/
Credit card crisis
-22%
Global recession
Note: Includes only Korean target and excluded several unrelated type of deal such as disposal of land, equipments and real estate property, and etc.
Source: AVCJ, Bain analysis
SEO 20110929-The Bell Academy-M&A Market-Hand Out_v01 18
M&A
Korean M&A market size trend by deal type (97-10)
30%
-22%
M&A PE Buyer
1 ( ) - ,
. PE
2 SI M&A , PE capital overhang, PE
M&A - 2011-2012 M&A
3
4 ,
Value-Up
5 Value-Up .
-
(- )
6
PE
PE
SEO