<90

90-200
200-500
500-1000
>1000

1985

1995

2005E

93
6
1
0
0

80
18
2
0
0

54
41
4
1
0.5

2010

2015F
35
43
19
2
1

<90
90-200
200-500
500-1000
>1000

44.5
42
11.5
1.5
0.7

Population
estimates

1,130,618,000 1,214,464,000 1,294,192,000

Number of persons in each segment

<90
90-200
200-500
500-1000
>1000

610,533,720
463,553,380
45,224,720
11,306,180
5,653,090

Family Size
<90
90-200
200-500
500-1000
>1000

<90
90-200
200-1000
>1000

5
5
5
5
5

540,436,480
510,074,880
139,663,360
18,216,960
8,501,248

452,967,200
556,502,560
245,896,480
25,883,840
12,941,920

2005E
2010F
2015F
Number of households in each segment
122106744
108087296
90593440
92710676
102014976
111300512
9044944
27932672
49179296
2261236
3643392
5176768
1130618
1700249.6
2588384

122106744
92710676
11306180
1130618

108087296
102014976
31576064
1700249.6

90593440
111300512
54356064
2588384

Number of cars
<90
90-200
200-1000

0
3,708,427
3,617,978

0
4,080,599
10,104,340

0
4,452,020
17,393,940

>1000

938,413

1,411,207

2,148,359

8,264,818

15,596,147
7,331,329

23,994,320
8,398,173

Cars Stock Depletion

1995
2,954,000
2,363,200

2000
5,199,000
4,159,200

Total Incremental Demand for 5 years

9,694,529

12,557,373

2020

2025F
22
36
32
9
2

28.5
39.5
25.5
5.5
1.5

1,306,482,000 1,431,272,000

nt
372,347,370
516,060,390
333,152,910
71,856,510
19,597,230

2020F

314,879,840
515,257,920
458,007,040
128,814,480
28,625,440

2025F

ach segment
74469474
103212078
66630582
14371302
3919446

62975968
103051584
91601408
25762896
5725088

74469474
103212078
81001884
3919446

62975968
103051584
117364304
5725088

0
4,128,483
25,920,603

0
4,122,063
37,556,577

3,253,140

4,751,823

33,302,226
9,307,907

46,430,464
13,128,238

2005
8,264,818
8,264,818

2015
15,596,147
15,596,147

17,572,724

28,724,384

kk
kk

<90
90-200
200-500
500-1000
>1000

1985

1995

2005E

93
6
1
0
0

80
18
2
0
0

54
41
4
1
0.5

<90
90-200
200-500
500-1000
>1000
Population
estimates

1,130,618,000

Number of persons in each se

<90
90-200
200-500
500-1000
>1000

610,533,720
463,553,380
45,224,720
11,306,180
5,653,090

2005E
Family ize
<90
90-200
200-500
500-1000
>1000

<90
90-200
200-1000
>1000

Number of households
5
5
5
5
5

122,106,744
92,710,676
9,044,944
2,261,236
1,130,618

122,106,744
92,710,676
11,306,180
1,130,618

Number of
<90
90-200
200-1000

0
3,708,427
3,617,978

>1000

938,413
8,264,818

Cars Stock Depletion

Total Incremental Demand for 5 years

2010

2015F

2020

34.23
42.054
18.582
1.956
0.978
44.115
41.527
11.291
1.478
0.7

28.115
39.027
25.291
5.478
1.489

1,214,464,000

1,294,192,000

1,306,482,000

Number of persons in each segment

535,760,794
504,330,465
137,125,130
17,949,778
8,501,248

443,001,922
544,259,504
240,486,757
25,314,396
12,657,198

2010F
2015F
Number of households in each segment
107,152,159
88,600,384
100,866,093
108,851,901
27,425,026
48,097,351
3,589,956
5,062,879
1,700,250
2,531,440

107,152,159
100,866,093
31,014,982
1,700,250

367,317,414
509,880,730
330,422,363
71,569,084
19,453,517

2020F
73,463,483
101,976,146
66,084,473
14,313,817
3,890,703

88,600,384
108,851,901
53,160,231
2,531,440

73,463,483
101,976,146
80,398,289
3,890,703

0
4,354,076
17,011,274

0
4,079,046
25,727,453

Number of cars
0
4,034,644
9,924,794

1,411,207

2,101,095

3,229,284

15,370,645
7,105,827

23,466,445
8,095,800

33,035,782
9,569,338

2,954,000
2,363,200

2000
5,199,000
4,159,200

2005
8,264,818
8,264,818

9,469,027

12,255,000

17,834,155

1995

11,253,000
8.90%

2025F
22
36
32
9
2

1,431,272,000

314,879,840
515,257,920
458,007,040
128,814,480
28,625,440

2025F
62,975,968
103,051,584
91,601,408
25,762,896
5,725,088

62,975,968
103,051,584
117,364,304
5,725,088

0
4,122,063
37,556,577

4,751,823
46,430,464
13,394,681
2015
15,370,645
15,370,645
28,765,326

Car ownership rate

per 1000 families
0-90
90-200
200-1000
>1000

0
0.04
0.32
0.83

2006
2007
2008
2009
2010

1023000
1178000
1199000
1391000
1565000
6356000

2011
2012
2013
2014
2015

1633000
1907000
2222000
2567000
2924000
11253000

Total

Total

15.15%
1.78%
16.01%
12.51%

4.35%
16.78%
16.52%
15.53%
13.91%

1951
1961
1971
1981
1991
1999
2000
2001
2002

27
88
576
2618
14200
31328
34118
38556
41478

159
310
682
1160
2954
5556
6143
7058
7571

800
700
600
500
400
300
200

1995
2000
1997-1998

4255
6143
5199

100
0

45000
40000
35000
30000
25000
20000
15000
10000
5000
0
1951

Series1
Series2

1951

1961

1971

Series1
Series2

1951 1961 1971 1981 1991 1999 2000 2001 2002