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Managing Facilitating Goods

Factory Wholesaler Distributor Retailer Customer


Replenishment
order
Replenishment
order
Replenishment
order
Customer
order
Production
Delay
Wholesaler
Inventory
Shipping
Delay
Shipping
Delay
Distributor
Inventory
Retailer
Inventory
Item Withdrawn
Learning Objectives
Discuss the role of information technology in managing
inventories.
Describe the functions and costs of an inventory system.
Determine the order quantity.
Determine the reorder point and safety stock for inventory
systems with uncertain demand.
Design a continuous or periodic review inventory-control
system.
Conduct an ABC analysis of inventory items.
Determine the order quantity for the single-period inventory
case.
Describe the rationale behind the retail discounting model.

Role of Inventory in Services
Decoupling inventories
Seasonal inventories
Speculative inventories
Cyclical inventories
In-transit inventories
Safety stocks
Considerations in Inventory Systems
Type of customer demand

Planning time horizon

Replenishment lead time

Constraints and relevant costs
Relevant Inventory Costs
Ordering costs

Receiving and inspections costs

Holding or carrying costs

Shortage costs
Inventory Management Questions
What should be the order quantity
(Q)?
When should an order be placed,
called a reorder point (ROP)?
How much safety stock (SS) should
be maintained?
Inventory Models
Economic Order Quantity (EOQ)
Special Inventory Models
With Quantity Discounts
Planned Shortages
Demand Uncertainty - Safety Stocks
Inventory Control Systems
Continuous-Review (Q,r)
Periodic-Review (order-up-to)
Single Period Inventory Model
Inventory Levels For EOQ Model
0
U
n
i
t
s

o
n

H
a
n
d

Q
Q
D
Time
Annual Costs For EOQ Model
0
100
200
300
400
500
600
700
800
900
0
2
0
4
0
6
0
8
0
1
0
0
1
2
0
1
4
0
Order Quantity, Q
A
n
n
u
a
l

C
o
s
t
,

$
Holding Cost
Ordering Cost
Total Cost
EOQ Formula
Notation
D = demand in units per year
H = holding cost in dollars/unit/year
S = cost of placing an order in dollars
Q = order quantity in units
Total Annual Cost for Purchase Lots

EOQ

TCp S D Q H Q = + ( / ) ( / ) 2
EOQ
DS
H
=
2
Annual Costs for Quantity
Discount Model
0 100 200 300 400 500 600 700
22,000



21000



20000




2000




1000
C = $20.00 C = $19.50 C = $18.75
Order quantity, Q
Inventory Levels For Planned
Shortages Model
Q
Q-K
0
-K
T1 T2
TIME
T
Formulas for Special Models
Quantity Discount Total Cost Model

Model with Planned Shortages




TC CD S D Q I CQ
qd
= + + ( / ) ( / ) 2
TC S
D
Q
H
Q K
Q
B
K
Q
b
= +

+
( )
2 2
2 2
Q
DS
H
H B
B
*
=
+
|
\

|
.
|
2
K Q
H
H B
* *
=
+
|
\

|
.
|
Values for Q* and K* as A
Function of Backorder Cost
B Q* K* Inventory Levels


B
0< < B
B 0
2DS
H
2DS
H
H B
B
+
|
\

|
.
|
undefined
Q
H
H B
*
+

(
Q*
0
0
0
0
Demand During Lead Time
Example
+
+ + =
u=3
o =15 .
u=3 u=3
u=3
o =15 . o =15 .
o
L
= 3
d
L

=12 ROP
s s
Four Days Lead Time
Demand During Lead time
o =15 .
Safety Stock (SS)
Demand During Lead Time (LT) has
Normal Distribution with
-
-
SS with r% service level

Reorder Point

Mean d LT
L
( ) ( ) =
Std Dev LT
L
. .( ) o o =
SS z LT
r
= o
ROP SS d
L
= +
Continuous Review System (Q,r)
Average lead time usage, d
L
Reorder point, ROP
Safety stock, SS
Inventory on hand
EOQ
EOQ
d
1
d
2
d
3
Amount used during first lead time
First lead
time, LT
1
Order 1 placed
LT
2 LT
3
Order 2 placed Order 3 placed
Shipment 1 received
Shipment 2 received Shipment 3 received
Time
Periodic Review System
(order-up-to)
RP RP RP
Review period
First order quantity, Q1
d
1
Q
2
Q
3
d
2
d
3
Target inventory level, TIL
Amount used during
first lead time
Safety stock, SS
First lead time, LT
1
LT
2
LT
3
Order 1 placed Order 2 placed Order 3 placed
Shipment 1 received Shipment 2 received Shipment 3 received
Time
Inventory on Hand
Inventory Control Systems
Continuous Review System




Periodic Review System


EOQ
DS
H
ROP SS LT
SS z LT
r
=
= +
=
2

o
RP EOQ
TIL SS RP LT
SS z RP LT
r
=
= + +
= +
/
( )

o
ABC Classification of Inventory
Items
0
10
20
30
40
50
60
70
80
90
100
0
1
0
2
0
3
0
4
0
5
0
6
0
7
0
8
0
9
0
1
0
0
Percentage of inventory items (SKUs)
P
e
r
c
e
n
t
a
g
e

o
f

d
o
l
l
a
r

v
o
l
u
m
e
A B
C
Inventory Items Listed in
Descending Order of Dollar Volume
Monthly Percent of
Unit cost Sales Dollar Dollar Percent of
Inventory Item ($) (units) Volume ($) Volume SKUs Class

Computers 3000 50 150,000 74 20 A
Entertainment center 2500 30 75,000

Television sets 400 60 24,000
Refrigerators 1000 15 15,000 16 30 B
Monitors 200 50 10,000

Stereos 150 60 9,000
Cameras 200 40 8,000
Software 50 100 5,000 10 50 C
Computer disks 5 1000 5,000
CDs 20 200 4,000

Totals 305,000 100 100
Single Period Inventory Model
Newsvendor Problem Example
D = newspapers demanded
p(D) = probability of demand
Q = newspapers stocked
P = selling price of newspaper, $10
C = cost of newspaper, $4
S = salvage value of newspaper, $2
C
u
= unit contribution: P-C = $6
C
o
= unit loss: C-S = $2
Single Period Inventory Model
Expected Value Analysis
Stock Q
p(D) D 6 7 8 9 10

.028 2 4 2 0 -2 -4
.055 3 12 10 8 6 4
.083 4 20 18 16 14 12
.111 5 28 26 24 22 20
.139 6 36 34 32 30 28
.167 7 36 42 40 38 36
.139 8 36 42 48 46 44
.111 9 36 42 48 54 52
.083 10 36 42 48 54 60
.055 11 36 42 48 54 60
.028 12 36 42 48 54 60

Expected Profit $31.54 $34.43 $35.77 $35.99 $35.33

Single Period Inventory Model
Incremental Analysis
E (revenue on last sale) E (loss on last sale)

P ( revenue) (unit revenue) P (loss) (unit loss)

P D Q C P D Q C
u o
( ) ( ) > > <
>
>
| | 1 < > < P D Q C P D Q C
u o
( ) ( )
P D Q
C
C C
u
u o
( ) < s
+

(Critical Fractile)
where:
C
u
= unit contribution from newspaper sale ( opportunity cost of underestimating demand)
C
o
= unit loss from not selling newspaper (cost of overestimating demand)
D = demand
Q = newspaper stocked
Critical fractile for the
newsvendor problem
0 2 4 6 8 10 12 14
Newspaper demand, Q
P
r
o
b
a
b
i
l
i
t
y
P(D<Q)
(C
o
applies)
P(D>Q)
(C
u
applies)
0.722
Retail Discounting Model
S = current selling price
D = discount price
P = profit margin on cost (% markup as decimal)
Y = average number of years to sell entire stock of dogs at
current price (total years to clear stock divided by 2)
N = inventory turns (number of times stock turns in one year)
Loss per item = Gain from revenue
S D = D(PNY)

) 1 ( PNY
S
D
+
=
Topics for Discussion
Discuss the functions of inventory for different
organizations in the supply chain.
How would one find values for inventory costs?
How can information technology create a competitive
advantage through inventory management?
How valid are the assumptions for the EOQ model?
How is a service level determined for inventory
items?
What inventory model would apply to service capacity
such as seats on an aircraft?
Interactive Exercise
The class engages in an estimation of the
cost of a 12-ounce serving of Coke in
various situations (e.g., supermarket,
convenience store, fast-food restaurant,
sit-down restaurant, and ballpark).
What explains the differences?

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