Estimating Biodiversity Deterioration

Objectives
Understand the effect of deforestation and land use on species diversity especially the direct linkages between them Know the difficulties facing researchers in terms of census and methodology Comprehend the nature and scope biodiversity deterioration and be able to make projections based on available trends

Rainforest Regeneration

http://curriculum.qca.org.uk

Rate of Deforestation
1979 tropical rain forests were down to about 56% of the prehistoric cover.
Being removed at the rate of 75,000 km2 / year

1989 tropical rain forests have been reduced to about 8M km2

Being destroyed at the amount of 142,000 km2 / year (about the size of a football field every second)

Sheer Number Sheer Number Sheer Number Sheer Number Sheer Number Sheer Number Sheer Number Sheer Number Number Number Sheer NumberSheer Sheer Sheer Number Sheer Number Sheer Sheer Number Number Sheer Number Sheer Number Sheer Number Sheer Number Sheer Number Sheer Number Sheer Number Sheer Number Sheer Number Sheer Number

Difficulties in measuring Biodiversity Number Sheer Sheer NumberSheer Number Sheer Sheer Deterioration Number Number Sheer Number

Species Numbers on Earth: Known and Estimated Total

Vertebrates Crustaceans Molluscs

Known Est. Total

Plants
Nematodes Chelicerata Fungi Insects and Myriapods 0 1000 2000 3000 4000 5000 6000 7000 8000 9000
Millenium Ecosystem Assessment

Number of Species (In Thousands)

Model used to estimate biodiversity relation to area

S=
Where

Z CA
S = number of species C = constant A = area z = constant based on mobility

100 500 1000

1500
2000 2500 3000

3500
4000 4500 5000

5500
6000 6500 7000

7500
8000 8500 9000

at z of 0.15

at z of 0.30

9500
10000

The Exponential Decay Model

S(A)=S0

(-zA) e

Where S(A) is the number of species at area A S0 is the initial number of species z is a constant based on species

Species Decline Projection

Millions 10.2 10 9.8 9.97 9.40 9.07 9.02 10

9.6
9.4 9.2 9 8.8 8.6 8.4

198919911993199519971999200120032005200720092011201320152017

elladatort.wordpress.com

elladatort.wordpress.com

elladatort.wordpress.com

~FIN~

elladatort.wordpress.com