Phan tch d lieu ve viec xay nha mi hang nam, trong o:

Housing : gia tr nha (1000USD)

GNP
: tong thu nhap quoc noi ( Ty USD )
Intrate : Lai suat cam co ( %)
POP
: dan so (1000 ngi)
Unemp : Ty le that nghiep (%)
M hnh 1:
Dependent Variable: HOUSING
Method: Least Squares
Date: 01/18/11 Time: 03:56
Sample: 1963 1985
Included observations: 23
Variable
Coefficient Std. Error
C
5087.434 11045.79
GNP
1.756353 2.139984
INTRATE
-174.6918 61.00066
POP

-33.43369

83.07564

t-Statistic
0.460577
0.820732
-2.863769

Prob.
0.6506
0.4225
0.0103

-0.402449

0.6921

UNEMP
R-squared

79.71988
0.449950

122.5794
0.650353
Mean dependent var

0.5237
1601.100

Adjusted R-squared

0.327716

S.D. dependent var

345.4715

S.E. of regression

283.2621

Akaike info criterion

14.32028

Sum squared resid

1444274.

Schwarz criterion

14.56713

F-statistic

3.681069

Prob(F-statistic)

0.023274

Log likelihood
Durbin-Watson stat

-159.6833
0.793569

M hnh 2:
Dependent Variable: HOUSING
Method: Least Squares
Date: 04/11/12 Time: 11:25
Sample: 1963 1985
Included observations: 23
Variable
Coefficient
C
687.8977
GNP
0.905395
INTRATE
-169.6579
R-squared
0.432101
Adjusted R-squared
0.375311
S.E. of regression
273.0513
Sum squared resid
1491140.
Log likelihood
-160.0505
Durbin-Watson stat
0.831697

Std. Error
382.6818
0.248978
43.83829
Mean dependent var
S.D. dependent var
Akaike info criterion
Schwarz criterion
F-statistic
Prob(F-statistic)

t-Statistic
1.797571
3.636444
-3.870084

Prob.
0.0874
0.0016
0.0010
1601.100

Cho bit =5% . Da vo m hnh 1, tr li cc cu hi sau:

1.
2.
3.
4.
5.
6.
7.
8.

Da vo bng trn vit phng trnh hi quy nghin cu cc nhn t nh hng n ga tr nh.
Nhn xt mc ph hp ca m hnh?
Tm khong c lng cho h s 2 (ng vi bin GNP)?
Kim nh gi thit Ho: 3= - 180?
T l tht nghip c nh hng n ga tr nh hay khng?
Kim nh s ph hp ca hm hi quy?
Bn chn m hnh no trong 2 m hnh 1 v 2?
Trong m hnh 1, kim nh gi thit Ho: 4=5=0 ?