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4/02/2007
" -
142.1.1611

" , ' , '

2.5

!
" 30) 1(
Solow "
Steady State :

Y = K H ( AL)1
1

A L .n
.
.
.

.
.
.
.

s k s h
*
y = A
+
) (n +

) y k 3) .( h'(
?Steady State ?
7) ?Solow'(
, . ) (c Steady
?State ) (Sh ? " .
) 4'(
1
s k = s h = 0.2; = = ; n + = 0.05; A = 5 .
3
) 5'(
) y ( ?
? ? ) 4'(
) * 3) .(y'(
? ) (sk, sh, n .
) 4'(

 ' 30) 2(
':
A L )1 > ( , ) > 0 .(n=0
.
.
.
.
.
.
.
.

Y = K ( AL )

? ? ) 3'(
) y 3) .(k'(
) ye 2) .(ke'(
" ? ) 3'(
k K 7) ? Steady-state'(
y Y 4) ? Steady-state'(
k ? ) 5'(
k Steady-state " ?
) 3'(

' 3 ) 40(
.

.
.
.

,4 ,10%
,3% (1 .2%
(2 . " Harrod-Domar
. ,
.
Solow ) (y .
/ ..
?
? .
?
.


Z B C
=
+
Z
B
C

;Z = B C

X W M
=

X
W
M

W
;
M

= X

Y A
K
L
=
+
) + (1
Y
A
K
L

Harrod-Domar

Solow

Solow

Solow

AK

Y K snY sn
g
=
=
=
Y
K
vY
v

s g = v + s n
K = I K = sY K

k = sy (n + )k

s
y* =

n +

k = sy ( + n + )k
e

&k
) g = sA (n +
k

) ln(1 + a
t