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Distinguish between Primary data and Secondary data. Statistics as a discipline is considered indispensable in almost all spheres of human knowledge. There is hardly any branch of study which does not use statistics. Scientific, social and economic studies use statistics in one form or another. These disciplines makeuse of observations, facts and figures, enquiries and experiments etc. using statistics and statistical methods. Statistics studies almost all aspects in an enquiry. It mainly aims at simplifying the complexity of information collected in an enquiry. It presents data in a simplified form as to make them intelligible. It analyses data and facilitates drawal of conclusions. Now let us briefly discuss some of the important functions of statistics. Presents facts in. simple form: Statistics presents facts and figures in a definite form. That makes the statement logical and convincing than mere description. It condenses the whole mass of figures into a single figure. This makes the problem intelligible. Reduces the Complexity of data: Statistics simplifies the complexity of data. The raw data are unintelligible. We make them simple and intelligible by using different statistical measures. Some such commonly used measures are graphs, averages, dispersions, skewness, kurtosis, correlation and regression etc. These measures help in interpretation and drawing inferences. Therefore, statistics enables to enlarge the horizon of one's knowledge. Facilitates comparison: Comparison between different sets of observation is an important function of statistics. Comparison is necessary to draw conclusions as Professor Boddington rightly points out. the object of statistics is to enable comparison between past and present results to ascertain the reasons for changes, which have taken place and the effect of such changes in future. So to determine the efficiency of any measure comparison is necessary. Statistical devices like averages, ratios, coefficients etc. are used for the purpose of comparison. Testing hypothesis: Formulating and testing of hypothesis is an important function of statistics. This helps in developing new theories. So statistics examines the truth and helps in innovating new ideas. Formulation of Policies : Statistics helps in formulating plans and policies in different fields. Statistical analysis of data forms the beginning of policy formulations. Hence, statistics is essential for planners, economists, scientists and administrators to prepare different plans and programmes. Forecasting : The future is uncertain. Statistics helps in forecasting the trend and tendencies. Statistical techniques are used for predicting the future values of a variable. For example a producer forecasts his future production on the basis of the present demand conditions and his past experiences. Similarly, the planners can forecast the future population etc. considering the present population trends. Derives valid inferences : Statistical methods mainly aim at deriving inferences from an enquiry. Statistical techniques are often used by scholars planners and scientists to evaluate different projects. These MB0040 Page 1
MB0040-STATISTICS FOR MANAGEMENT techniques are also used to draw inferences regarding population parameters on the basis of sample information. Statistics is very helpful in the field of business, research, Education etc., some of the uses of Statistics are: Statistics helps in providing a better understanding and exact description of a phenomenon of nature. Statistics helps in proper and efficient planning of a statistical inquiry in any field of study. Statistical helps in collecting an appropriate quantitative data. Statistics helps in presenting complex data in a suitable tabular, diagrammatic and graphic form for any easy and comprehension of the data. Statistics helps in understanding the nature and pattern of variability of a phenomenon through quantitative observations. Statistics helps in drawing valid inference, along with a measure of their reliability about the population parameters from the sample data Any statistical data can be classified under two categories depending upon the sources utilized. These categories are, 1. Primary data 2. Secondary data Primary Data: Primary data is the one, which is collected by the investigator himself for the purpose of a specific inquiry or study. Such data is original in character and is generated by survey conducted by individuals or research institution or any organisation. 1. The collection of data by the method of personal survey is possible only if the area covered by the investigator is small. Collection of data by sending the enumerator is bound to be expensive. Care should be taken twice that the enumerator record correct information provided by the informants. 2. Collection of primary data by framing a schedules or distributing and collecting questionnaires by post is less expensive and can be completed in shorter time. 3. Suppose the questions are embarrassing or of complicated nature or the questions probe into personnel affairs of individuals, then the schedules may not be filled with accurate and correct information and hence this method is unsuitable 4. The information collected for primary data is mere reliable than those collected from the secondary data. Importance of Primary data cannot be neglected. A research can be conducted without secondary data but a research based on only secondary data is least reliable and may have biases because secondary data has already been manipulated by human beings. In statistical surveys it is necessary to get information from primary sources and work on primary data: for example, the statistical records of female population in a country cannot be based on newspaper, magazine MB0040 Page 2
MB0040-STATISTICS FOR MANAGEMENT and other printed sources. One such sources are old and secondly they contain limited information as well as they can be misleading and biased. Secondary Data: Secondary data are those data which have been already collected and analysed by some earlier agency for its own use; and later the same data are used by a different agency. According to W.A.Neiswanger, A primary source is a publication in which the data are published by the same authority which gathered and analysed them. A secondary source is a publication, reporting the data which have been gathered by other authorities and for which others are responsible. 1. Secondary data is cheap to obtain. Many government publications are relatively cheap and libraries stock quantities of secondary data produced by the government, by companies and other organizations. 2. Large quantities of secondary data can be got through internet. 3. Much of the secondary data available has been collected for many years and therefore it can be used to plot trends. 4. Secondary data is of value to: - The government help in making decisions and planning future policy. Business and industry in areas such as marketing, and sales in order to appreciate the general economic and social conditions and to provide information on competitors. Research organizations by providing social, economical and industrial information. Secondary data can be less valid but its importance is still there. Sometimes it is difficult to obtain primary data; in these cases getting information from secondary sources is easier and possible. Sometimes primary data does not exist in such situation one has to confine the research on secondary data. Sometimes primary data is present but the respondents are not willing to reveal it in such case too secondary data can suffice: for example, if the research is on the psychology of transsexuals first it is difficult to find out transsexuals and second they may not be willing to give information you want for your research, so you can collect data from books or other published sources.
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MB0040-STATISTICS FOR MANAGEMENT Q2. Draw a histogram for the following distribution:
Age 0-10 10-20 20-30 30-40 40-50
No. of people
10
15
16 14 12 10 8 6 4 2 0 Frequency
Q3. Find the median value of the following set of values: 45, 32, 31, 46, 40, 28, 27, 37, 36, 41 Arranging in ascending order 27, 28, 31, 32, 36, 37, 40, 41, 45, 46 Median= 36+37/2 = 36.5 MB0040 Page 4
MB0040-STATISTICS FOR MANAGEMENT Q4. Calculate the standard deviation of the following data:
Marks 78-80 80-82 82-84 84-86 86-88 88-90
No. of students
15
26
23
14
X 3 15 26 23 9 4 15 15 15 15 15 15
S=
) /n-1
= 81 =9
Q5. An unbiased coin is tossed six times. What is the probability that the tosses will result in: (i) exactly two heads (ii) at least five heads Q5. Explain briefly the types of sampling. Two categories: probability samples or non-probability samples. PROBABILITY SAMPLES
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SYSTEMATIC SAMPLING
This method of sampling is at first glance very different from SRS. In practice, it is a variant of simple random sampling that involves some listing of elements - every nth element of list is then drawn for inclusion in the sample. Say you have a list of 10,000 people and you want a sample of 1,000. Creating such a sample includes three steps: 1. Divide number of cases in the population by the desired sample size. In this example, dividing 10,000 by 1,000 gives a value of 10. 2. Select a random number between one and the value attained in Step 1. In this example, we choose a number between 1 and 10 - say we pick 7. 3. Starting with case number chosen in Step 2, take every tenth record (7, 17, 27, etc.).
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CLUSTER SAMPLING
In some instances the sampling unit consists of a group or cluster of smaller units that we call elements or subunits (these are the units of analysis for your study). There are two main reasons for the widespread application of cluster sampling. Although the first intention may be to use the elements as sampling units, it is found in many surveys that no reliable list of elements in the population is available and that it would be prohibitively expensive to construct such a list. In many countries there are no complete and updated lists of the people, the houses or the farms in any large geographical region. Even when a list of individual houses is available, economic considerations may point to the choice of a larger cluster unit. For a given size of sample, a small unit usually gives more precise results than a large unit. For example a SRS of 600 houses covers a town more evenly than 20 city blocks containing an average of 30 houses apiece. But greater field costs are incurred in locating 600 houses and in traveling between them than in covering 20 city blocks. When cost is balanced against precision, the larger unit may prove superior. Important things about cluster sampling: 1. Most large scale surveys are done using cluster sampling; 2. Clustering may be combined with stratification, typically by clustering within strata;
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NONPROBABILITY SAMPLING
Social research is often conducted in situations where a researcher cannot select the kinds of probability samples used in large-scale social surveys. For example, say you wanted to study homelessness - there is no list of homeless individuals nor are you likely to create such a list. However, you need to get some kind of a sample of respondents in order to conduct your research. To gather such a sample, you would likely use some form of non-probability sampling. To reiterate, the primary difference between probability methods of sampling and non-probability methods is that in the latter you do not know the likelihood that any element of a population will be selected for study. There are four primary types of non-probability sampling methods:
AVAILABILITY SAMPLING
Availability sampling is a method of choosing subjects who are available or easy to find. This method is also sometimes referred to as haphazard, accidental, or convenience sampling. The primary advantage of the method is that it is very easy to carry out, relative to other methods. A researcher can merely stand out on his/her favorite street corner or in his/her favorite tavern and hand out surveys. One place this used to show up often is in university courses. Years ago, researchers often would conduct surveys of students in their large lecture courses. For example, all students taking introductory sociology courses would have been given a survey and compelled to fill it out. There are some advantages to this design - it is easy to do, particularly with a captive audience, and in some schools you can attain a large number of interviews through this method. The primary problem with availability sampling is that you can never be certain what population the participants in the study represent. The population is unknown, the method for selecting cases is haphazard, and the cases studied probably don't represent any population you could come up with. However, there are some situations in which this kind of design has advantages - for example, survey designers often want to have some people respond to their survey before it is given out in the "real" research setting as a way of making certain the questions make sense to respondents. For this purpose, availability sampling is not a bad way to get a group to take a survey, though in this case
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QUOTA SAMPLING
Quota sampling is designed to overcome the most obvious flaw of availability sampling. Rather than taking just anyone, you set quotas to ensure that the sample you get represents certain characteristics in proportion to their prevalence in the population. Note that for this method, you have to know something about the characteristics of the population ahead of time. Say you want to make sure you have a sample proportional to the population in terms of gender - you have to know what percentage of the population is male and female, then collect sample until yours matches. Marketing studies are particularly fond of this form of research design. The primary problem with this form of sampling is that even when we know that a quota sample is representative of the particular characteristics for which quotas have been set, we have no way of knowing if sample is representative in terms of any other characteristics. If we set quotas for gender and age, we are likely to attain a sample with good representativeness on age and gender, but one that may not be very representative in terms of income and education or other factors. Moreover, because researchers can set quotas for only a small fraction of the characteristics relevant to a study quota sampling is really not much better than availability sampling. To reiterate, you must know the characteristics of the entire population to set quotas; otherwise there's not much point to setting up quotas. Finally, interviewers often introduce bias when allowed to self-select respondents, which is usually the case in this form of research. In choosing males 18-25, interviewers are more likely to choose those that are better-dressed, seem more approachable or less threatening. That may be understandable from a practical point of view, but it introduces bias into research findings.
PURPOSIVE SAMPLING
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SNOWBALL SAMPLING
Snowball sampling is a method in which a researcher identifies one member of some population of interest, speaks to him/her, then asks that person to identify others in the population that the researcher might speak to. This person is then asked to refer the researcher to yet another person, and so on. Snowball sampling is very good for cases where members of a special population are difficult to locate. For example, several studies of Mexican migrants in Los Angeles have used snowball sampling to get respondents. The method also has an interesting application to group membership - if you want to look at pattern of recruitment to a community organization over time, you might begin by interviewing fairly recent recruits, asking them who introduced them to the group. Then interview the people named, asking them who recruited them to the group. The method creates a sample with questionable representativeness. A researcher is not sure who is in the sample. In effect snowball sampling often leads the researcher into a realm he/she knows little about. It can be difficult to determine how a sample compares to a larger population. Also, there's an issue of who respondents refer you to - friends refer to friends, less likely to refer to ones they don't like, fear, etc.
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(i)
In statistics, a sample is a subset of a population. Typically, the population is very large, making a census or a complete enumeration of all the values in the population impractical or impossible. The sample represents a subset of manageable size. Samples are collected and statistics are calculated from the samples so that one can make inferences or extrapolations from the sample to the population. This process of collecting information from a sample is referred to as sampling. A complete sample is a set of objects from a parent population that includes ALL such objects that satisfy a set of well-defined selection criteria. For example, a complete sample of Australian men taller than 2m would consist of a list of every Australian male taller than 2m. But it wouldn't include German males, or tall Australian females, or people shorter than 2m. So to compile such a complete sample requires a complete list of the parent population, including data on height, gender, and nationality for each member of that parent population. In the case of human populations, such a complete list is unlikely to exist, but such complete samples are often available in other disciplines, such as complete magnitude-limited samples of astronomical objects. An unbiased sample is a set of objects chosen from a complete sample using a selection process that does not depend on the properties of the objects. For example, an unbiased sample of Australian men taller than 2m might consist of a randomly sampled subset of 1% of Australian males taller than 2m. But one chosen from the electoral register might not be unbiased since, for example, males aged under 18 will not be on the electoral register. In an astronomical context, an unbiased sample might consist of that fraction of a complete sample for which data are available, provided the data availability is not biased by individual source properties. The best way to avoid a biased or unrepresentative sample is to select a random sample, also known as a probability sample. A random sample is defined as a sample where each individual member of the population has a known, non-zero chance of being selected as part of the sample. MB0040 Page 12
MB0040-STATISTICS FOR MANAGEMENT Several types of random samples are simple random samples, systematic samples, stratified random samples, and cluster random samples. (ii) Variable
A variable is a characteristic that may assume more than one set of values to which a numerical measure can be assigned. Height, age, amount of income, province or country of birth, grades obtained at school and type of housing are all examples of variables. Variables may be classified into various categories, some of which are outlined in this section.
Categorical variables: A categorical variable (also called qualitative variable) is one for which each response can be put into a specific category. These categories must be mutually exclusive and exhaustive. Mutually exclusive means that each possible survey response should belong to only one category, whereas, exhaustive requires that the categories should cover the entire set of possibilities. Categorical variables can be either nominal or ordinal. Nominal variables: A nominal variable is one that describes a name or category. Contrary to ordinal variables, there is no 'natural ordering' of the set of possible names or categories.
Ordinal variables: An ordinal variable is a categorical variable for which the possible categories can be placed in a specific order or in some 'natural' way. Numeric variables: A numeric variable, also known as a quantitative variable, is one that can assume a number of real valuessuch as age or number of people in a household. However, not all variables described by numbers are considered numeric. For example, when you are asked to assign a value from 1 to 5 to express your level of satisfaction, you use numbers, but the variable (satisfaction) is really an ordinal variable. Numeric variables may be either continuous or discrete. Continuous variables: A variable is said to be continuous if it can assume an infinite number of real values. Examples of a continuous variable are distance, age and temperature. The measurement of a continuous variable is restricted by the methods used, or by the accuracy of the measuring instruments. For example, the height of a student is a continuous variable because a student may be 1.6321748755... metres tall. Discrete variables: As opposed to a continuous variable, a discrete variable can only take a finite number of real values. An example of a discrete variable would be the score given by a judge to a gymnast in competition: the range is 0 to 10 and the score is always given to one decimal (e.g., a score of 8.5). (iii) Population Page 13
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MB0040-STATISTICS FOR MANAGEMENT A statistical population is a set of entities concerning which statistical inferences are to be drawn, often based on a random sample taken from the population. For example, if we were interested in generalizations about crows, then we would describe the set of crows that is of interest. Notice that if we choose a population like all crows, we will be limited to observing crows that exist now or will exist in the future. Probably, geography will also constitute a limitation in that our resources for studying crows are also limited. Population is also used to refer to a set of potential measurements or values, including not only cases actually observed but those that are potentially observable. Suppose, for example, we are interested in the set of all adult crows now alive in the county of Cambridge shire, and we want to know the mean weight of these birds. For each bird in the population of crows there is a weight, and the set of these weights is called the population of weights.
A subset of a population is called a subpopulation. If different subpopulations have different properties, the properties and response of the overall population can often be better understood if it is first separated into distinct subpopulations. For instance, a particular medicine may have different effects on different subpopulations, and these effects may be obscured or dismissed if such special subpopulations are not identified and examined in isolation. Similarly, one can often estimate parameters more accurately if one separates out subpopulations: distribution of heights among people is better modeled by considering men and women as separate subpopulations, for instance. Populations consisting of subpopulations can be modeled by mixture models, which combine the distributions within subpopulations into an overall population distribution.
Q2. What are the types of classification of Data? According to Nature 1. Quantitative data- information obtained from numeral variables(e.g. age, bills, etc) 2. Qualitative Data- information obtained from variables in the form of categories, characteristics names or labels or alphanumeric variables (e.g. birthdays, gender etc.) According to Source 1. Primary data- first- hand information (e.g. autobiography, financial statement) 2. Secondary data- second-hand information (e.g. biography, weather forecast from news papers) According to Measurement 1. Discrete data- countable numerical observation.-Whole numbers only has an equal whole number interval obtained through counting(e.g. corporate stocks, etc.) 2. Continuous data-measurable observations. -decimals or fractions obtained through measuring(e.g. bank deposits, volume of liquid etc.)
QUALITATIVE DATA
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MB0040-STATISTICS FOR MANAGEMENT Qualitative data is a categorical measurement expressed not in terms of numbers, but rather by means of a natural language description. In statistics, it is often used interchangeably with "categorical" data. For example: favorite color = "yellow" height = "tall" Although we may have categories, the categories may have a structure to them. When there is not a natural ordering of the categories, we call these nominal categories. Examples might be gender, race, religion, or sport. When the categories may be ordered, these are called ordinal variables. Categorical variables that judge size (small, medium, large, etc.) are ordinal variables. Attitudes (strongly disagree, disagree, neutral, agree, strongly agree) are also ordinal variables, however we may not know which value is the best or worst of these issues. Note that the distance between these categories is not something we can measure. QUANTITATIVE DATA Quantitative data is a numerical measurement expressed not by means of a natural language description, but rather in terms of numbers. However, not all numbers are continuous and measurable. For example, the social security number is a number, but not something that one can add or subtract. For example: favorite color = "450 nm" height = "1.8 m" Quantitative data always are associated with a scale measure. Probably the most common scale type is the ratio-scale. Observations of this type are on a scale that has a meaningful zero value but also have an equidistant measure (i.e., the difference between 10 and 20 is the same as the difference between 100 and 110). For example, a 10 yearold girl is twice as old as a 5 year-old girl. Since you can measure zero years, time is a ratio-scale variable. Money is another common ratio-scale quantitative measure. Observations that you count are usually ratio-scale (e.g., number of widgets). A more general quantitative measure is the interval scale. Interval scales also have a equidistant measure. However, the doubling principle breaks down in this scale. A temperature of 50 degrees Celsius is not "half as hot" as a temperature of 100, but a difference of 10 degrees indicates the same difference in temperature anywhere along the scale. The Kelvin temperature scale, however, constitutes a ratio scale because on the Kelvin scale zero indicates absolute zero
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MB0040-STATISTICS FOR MANAGEMENT in temperature, the complete absence of heat. So one can say, for example, that 200 degrees Kelvin is twice as hot as 100 degrees Kelvin. PRIMARY DATA Primary data means original data that has been collected specially for the purpose in mind. It means when an authorized organization, investigator or an enumerator collects the data for the first time from the original source. Data collected this way is called primary data. SECONDARY DATA Secondary data is data that has been collected for another purpose. When we use Statistical Method with Primary Data from another purpose for our purpose we refer to it as Secondary Data. It means that one purpose's Primary Data is another purpose's Secondary Data. Secondary data is data that is being reused. Usually in a different context. Q3. Find the (i) arithmetic mean and (ii) range of the following data 15, 77, 22, 21, 19, 26, 20 Arithmetic mean= (15+77+22+21+19+26+20)/7 =140/7 =20 Range = highest number- lowest number/2 = 58/2 =29 Q4. Suppose two houses in a thousand catch fire in a year and there are 2000 houses in a village. What is the probability that: (i) none of the houses catch fire (ii) Atleast one house catch fire Q5. (i) What are the characteristics of Chi-square test? 1. It is not symmetric 2. The shape of the chi-square distribution depends upon the degrees of freedom, just like Students t-distribution. 3. As the number of degrees of freedom increases, the chi-square distribution becomes more symmetric as is illustrated in Figure 1. 4. The values are non-negative. That is, the values of are greater than or equal to 0.
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MB0040-STATISTICS FOR MANAGEMENT 5. This is not a test, but a distribution. The Chi-square distribution, is derived from the Normal distribution. It is the distribution of a sum of squared Normal distributed variables. That is, if all Xi are independent and all have an identical, standard Normal distribution then X^2 = X1*X1 + X2*X2 + X3*X3 + ... + Xv*Xv is Chi-square distributed with v degrees of freedom with mean = v and variance = 2*v. The importance of the Chi-square distribution stems from the fact that it describes the distribution of the Variance of a sample taken from a Normal distributed population. 6. Chi-square is non-negative. Is the ratio of two non-negative values, therefore must be non-negative itself 7. There are many different chi-square distributions, one for each degree of freedom 8. The degrees of freedom when working with a single population variance is n-1. since the chi-square distribution isn't symmetric, the method for looking up left-tail values is different from the method for looking up right tail values.
Area to the right - just use the area given. Area to the left - the table requires the area to the right, so subtract the given area from one and look this area up in the table. Area in both tails - divide the area by two. Look up this area for the right critical value and one minus this area for the left critical value.
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(ii) The data given in the below table shows the production n three shifts and the number of defective goods that turned out in three weeks. Test at 5% level of significance whether the weeks and shifts are independent.
Shift I II III Total 1st week 15 20 25 60 2ndweek 5 10 15 30 3rd week 20 20 20 60 Total 40 50 60 150
Q6. Find Karl Pearsons correlation co-efficient for the data given below table:
X Y 20 22 16 14 12 4 8 12 4 8
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