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: kemiko@hotmail.com
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: 0-2298-0500 : 0-2298-0501
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. 0.5
2544

2546
2
17 2548 .
25,000 100,000
7

842 4,000 5
11
4 1 2546
4% 1 2550
12
2547 2 0.5%8



.

23 2548

2538-2548 8,926
9



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.

80

50-03-003-78-83 new9_V.indd 80

3/10/07 2:11:41 PM

13

14 2550




.
. 15

. 16


...

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50-03-003-78-83 new9_V.indd 81

81

3/10/07 2:11:42 PM

. 3

.



.
3
2544 2548-2549
(

10
3

2550)

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.

82

50-03-003-78-83 new9_V.indd 82

3/10/07 2:11:42 PM



(Dr. Howard Zucker)

0.5
0.1

(Voluntary Licensing)

.

.

.

.

...
51

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on Technology Third World Network

22

10-20

83

50-03-003-78-83 new9_V.indd 83

3/10/07 2:11:45 PM

2546

60
277 167 ( 2546 -
2550)
3



4

62

2545
2549

20
2549 3

(1)
1-5


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4

84

50-03-003-84-85 new9_V.indd 84

3/10/07 2:12:40 PM

2549 42,456
59
2,000 -10,000

2006







10

10





.. 2527
1-2
4

7-8

85

50-03-003-84-85 new9_V.indd 85

3/10/07 2:12:42 PM

86

50-03-003-86-121 new9_V.indd 86

3/10/07 2:13:34 PM

... 120... 120

120...
. ..


4 2547

87

50-03-003-86-121 new9_V.indd 87

3/10/07 2:13:35 PM















20 (.. 2533) 4
7 10 .. 2543
6 (.. 2550) 7 13
.. 2563 11 17
65 1 6

.. 2503-2583
()
18.0

16.6

16.0

14.5

14.0
11.0

12.0
10.0
7.5

8.0
5.8

6.0

4.0

4.0
2.0
0.00

1.2

1.7

2503

2513

2.5

2523

2533

2543

2553

2563

2573

..
2583

: , 2549

88

50-03-003-86-121 new9_V.indd 88

3/10/07 2:13:36 PM


.. 2546 60

65 3
( 60-69 ) 59.1
( 70-79 ) 31.1 ( 80
) 9.8
65



72 60-64
2 3
: , 2549.

..2548 100
28,236 11,751 16,485

2 5
100

28,236


..

..2548-49 ..2548
100 8,000 2,800 5,300

.. 2549
5,800 2,200 3,600
-

: , 2549.

10

20

.. 2590

2






72 (68
75 )

20

89

50-03-003-86-121 new9_V.indd 89

3/10/07 2:13:36 PM

()

(
population dividend)

.. 2533-2563
30
2
( ) 1

90

50-03-003-86-121 new9_V.indd 90

...




14 2525 13

: http://www.maipradabonline.com/maimongkol/lumdoun.htm

.. 2503-2583

100
92.9
90
80
70

85.2
72.0

60

51.3

50

49.9
51.2

40

55.9

49.3
48.3

60.9

65.2

68.5

51.4

30
20
10
0

()

8 3
3 68
3
8
3
3
3
3
8
3
3
250 251 252 253 254 254 255 255 256 25 257 257 258

..

: , 2549

3/10/07 2:13:36 PM


.. 2583
2
16.6 ( 15 )
8.5

:
?

..................................................................

20
..................................................................

1. (
active aging)




( 60-69 )

70
80

2.

91

50-03-003-86-121 new20_W.indd 91

3/20/07 5:08:37 PM










70
60



3.


80

.. 2545

60-64

19.80

18.05

1.75

65-69

16.75

14.90

1.85

70-74

14.14

12.15

1.99

75-79

11.73

9.59

2.14

80-84

10.01

7.62

2.38

85 +

9.38

6.54

2.84

60-64

22.51

19.90

2.61

65-69

18.90

16.22

2.68

70-74

15.65

12.91

2.77

75-79

12.63

9.78

2.85

80-84

10.21

7.20

3.01

85 +

8.73

5.40

3.33

: Rakchanyaban, Uthaithip. 2004. Active Life Expectancy among the Thai Elderly
Population. Ph.D. Thesis, Institute for Population and Social Research, Mahidol University

(
)

92

50-03-003-86-121 new9_V.indd 92

3/10/07 2:13:38 PM

..................................................

..................................................

(
)

.. 2548

: 1,000

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1,690.4

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1.8

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2.5

4.9

7.4

2.

1,477.8

2,637.5

4,115.3

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575.0

602.7

1,323.7

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35.3

161.7

: , 2548
:

:


.. 2548 2
2548 1 3
()

2548
2.3
9 10
( 2.6 ) 2 3

93

50-03-003-86-121 new9_V.indd 93

3/10/07 2:13:38 PM

 60

2 3



2548
40
4
(.. 2544)
4,900
2544
5,500

2 3

1 3
1

.. 2545
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40
35
25

94

50-03-003-86-121 new9_V.indd 94

.. 2544 2548

()

2544

2548

2544

2548

40.4

39.8

5,534.8

4,918.8

40.1

39.9

6,375.0

5,753.1

41.1

39.8

3,905.8

3,436.2

47.9

46.7

9,153.3

9,863.1

38.1

38.0

3,513.5

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54.2

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13,793.6

18,093.1

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44.7

5,322.8

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: 2, 2544 2548.

36%

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63%

: 41,179
: ..2545. .

7%

91%

2%
: ..2545. .

3/10/07 2:13:39 PM

3%

4%

40%

18%

35%

: ..2545. .

80
68.8

70

57.1

60

51.1

50

46.7

40

38.9
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30

30.5
16.5

20

22.9
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10
0

60 - 64

65 -69

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10.1

75

: ..2545. .

(.. 2545)
63
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( )

50-03-003-86-121 new9_V.indd 95

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57 ( 69
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75
1
10 ()


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60



95

3/10/07 2:13:39 PM

2539
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60

60 62 67

96

50-03-003-86-121 new9_V.indd 96

3/10/07 2:13:39 PM

...................................................................................................





(

11 2543 )

...................................................................................................

60 65

60

(
)









(
)

97

50-03-003-86-121 new9_V.indd 97

3/10/07 2:13:40 PM

3,000
250

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2543
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(.)

21 2,629 (.. 2548)




: : http://brainbank.nesdb.go.th/ , 2547

98

50-03-003-86-121 new9_V.indd 98

3/10/07 2:13:40 PM

99

50-03-003-86-121 new9_V.indd 99

3/10/07 2:13:41 PM

2538 ( 65 )
7
17
19
2545 65
(per capita health expenditure)
10 (per capita
GDP) 80
25 30
100

50-03-003-86-121 new9_V.indd 100

3/10/07 2:13:43 PM

(.) 2542

( )
15
.. 2540-2554 2

..
2540-2554

38.7

40
32.4
30

25.0

20

10.5

10
0

(young-population
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1-4

4
5-1

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15-

29
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: .. 2548, .

60
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50
40
30
20

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10

2.5
15 14,340.9
2540 35,549.7 2554

1.5 (

30
)

18.1

17.4

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1-4

4
5-1

15.5

6.1

2
15-

29
25-

60

: .. 2548, .

.. 2540-2554

..
2550

2554

()

2540

2545

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4,446.0 6,432.4 8,307.7

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()

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()

10,253.6 11,852.4 13,279.6 14,963.1

1.5

14,340.9 20,530.4 29,064.2 35,549.7

2.5

: ( 30 )
: , 2542

101

50-03-003-86-121 new9_V.indd 101

3/10/07 2:13:44 PM

 (epidemiological transition)








3 .. 2546-2547

4 5 9 10

( )

.................................

.................................

2506





2548


.. 2546

102

50-03-003-86-121 new9_V.indd 102

3/10/07 2:13:44 PM

(.
)

.. 2542

40

36.0

35
30

27.6

25
19.4

20
15

14.6

23.4

14.9

10
5
0

60 - 69

70 - 79

80

: UNFPA Country Technical Service Team for East

and South-East Asia, 2006

( 60-69 )
15
( 80 ) 36


28

103

50-03-003-86-121 new9_V.indd 103

3/10/07 2:13:45 PM

 10


..
2542 2558
1,648,685 18 9

412,910 78,622
602,316

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.................................

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( )

104

50-03-003-86-121 new9_V.indd 104

3/10/07 2:13:45 PM

1.

10







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25

716

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20

2.
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18

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598

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28

3.

200

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10



2548
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62 587 6,552

105

50-03-003-86-121 new9_V.indd 105

3/10/07 2:13:46 PM



20 ( 2538)
41,275 - 64,798
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19,972 - 22,191
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:




( 3 4)


1
4

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: ..2545.
.

.. 2545
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106

50-03-003-86-121 new9_V.indd 106

3/10/07 2:13:46 PM









( )

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20

.. 2545
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26.9

26.4

26.2

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107

50-03-003-86-121 new9_V.indd 107

3/10/07 2:13:47 PM

.. 2496

20


2
2,500













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108

50-03-003-86-121 new9_V.indd 108

3/10/07 2:13:48 PM

(
)
(.)

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109

50-03-003-86-121 new9_V.indd 109

3/10/07 2:13:49 PM

 4 4 1)
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110

50-03-003-86-121 new9_V.indd 110

3/10/07 2:13:49 PM


.. 2546 11

1.

2.

3.
4.

5.

6.
7.
8.
9.

10.
11.
12.
13.
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500

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2549
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668,300
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111

50-03-003-86-121 new9_V.indd 111

3/10/07 2:13:51 PM

( )
1.




5
2. ( 30
)

30

2 (2545-2564)

1.

2.

3.

4.

5.

: 2 .. 2545 - 2564, http://oppo.opp.go.th

112

50-03-003-86-121 new9_V.indd 112

3/10/07 2:13:51 PM

 19 2549
30
()

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4.

:









(
)


(
)

50-03-003-86-121 new9_V.indd 113

113

3/10/07 2:13:51 PM




( )



2

(+)

+
3%
( 15,000 )
1%

+
3%

+ 2-15%

5,000

15% 300,000

: www.fpo.go.th/fseg/Source/Research/R13/Presentation.ppt 15 2549

.


2


1. (
(defined )
contribution) 3 ()
3
2549 1.2

2.
(defined
benefit)
1


7 /

15 55

15
15 .. 2557 2549
8.9
24

1. (PVD-Provident
Fund)

2-15%
2549
1.8
2. (RMF - Retirement Mutual Fund)

114

50-03-003-86-121 new9_V.indd 114

3/10/07 2:13:53 PM

1.5

1.5

1.5

1.5

3.0

3.0

3.0

1.0

5.0

0.5

0.5

0.25

9.5

5.0

5.0

2.75

:
1,650 15,000
:

5,000
5

15
300,000 2549 70

.....................................

....................................

12 1 3
( 36.68 ) 2 3

115

50-03-003-86-121 new9_V.indd 115

3/10/07 2:13:53 PM


2549

()

()

-
- +

396,910.37
322,395.78

8,882,922

320,762.98

1,176,514

386,251.94

1,801,753

25,475.24

70

.....................................

....................................

116

50-03-003-86-121 new9_V.indd 116

3/10/07 2:13:54 PM

:




2

( )



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( )

117

50-03-003-86-121 new9_V.indd 117

3/10/07 2:13:56 PM

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118

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120

50-03-003-86-121 new9_V.indd 120

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50

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exercise

()

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..........................................................................................................................

120




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50-03-003-86-121 new9_V.indd 121

3/10/07 2:13:59 PM

: 2550

14
1.
.
. .
2548. .. 2547., 1 2548. :
.
Current Therapeutic Research. Clinical and Experimental.Lancet .2005. Global
prevalence of dementia: a Delphi consensus study,Vol.366. December 2005.
2.
. 2545. .. 2545.
. 2546. .. 2546.
. 2547. .. 2547.
.
[http://www.sso.go.th/knowledge/link/36-48.htm]
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2549. 27-29 2549.
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.
.2547.
.
. 2549.
. .
.2549.
.
The new economics foundation. The Unhappiness index. 2006. available online at
http://www.happyplanetindex.org/survey.htm
5.
. 2549.
.2549.
3 .
Noncommunicable Disease and Mental Health. World Health Organization.2002.
Integrated Management of Cardiovascular risk. Report of a WHO Meeting Geneva,
9-12 July 2002.
6.
.2548.
1 .
.2548.
. 2535.
(.) .
. Global Air Monitoring Study : A multi-Country Comparison of
Levels of Indoor Air Pollution in Different Workplaces.Results from Thailand May
2005. .
.2547.
: 2-4 .
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.
. [http://www.pcd.go.th/info_serv/haz_lamp.htm]
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.. 2544, 2547, 2549.
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.. 2547.
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.2548. . ( 293) .. 2548
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com/fda/new/web_cms/topic.php?Top_ID=170&SubCol_ID=56&Col_ID=19&PHPSESSI
D=6741fcefae676c19461426fe5a801e71.
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12.
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thai/research/res06/jun/lbus874.htm.]
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13.
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20. . . . 21 2549.

21. . .
19 2549.
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[2]. :
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Population Studies Center research Report . [Online]. [cited 2006 Aug 23]; Available
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publications/ltc_needs/en/index.html

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