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ME MO R ANDU M

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Interested Parties Global Strategy Group NY-21 Survey Results November 1, 2012

Bill Owens holds a 7-point lead approaching Election Day


With just one week to go until Election Day, Bill Owens has a significant seven-point lead over challenger Matt Doheny in the race for Congress in New Yorks 21 st Congressional District, according to a recent poll by Global Strategy Group. The poll surveyed 403 likely general election voters between October 21 st and October 23rd 2012 and has a margin of error of +/- 4.9%. Key findings include: At this late stage in the campaign, Bill Owens leads his Republican challenger Matt Doheny. Owens leads Doheny by a 47% to 40% margin with 13% undecided. Owens enjoys much stronger personal ratings in the district than Doheny. Voters in the district have a much better personal impression of Bill Owens than Matt Doheny. Owens holds a net positive rating in personal favorability (44% favorable/29% unfavorable) while Matt Dohenys ratings under water (30% favorable/36% unfavorable). President Obama is poised to win this district. President Obama currently holds a six-point lead, 49% to 43%, over Mitt Romney. Like Owens, Obama (55% favorable/43% unfavorable) holds a significant favorability advantage over Romney (45%/51%). Owens and Obama hold these leads despite the Republican registration advantage in the district. While Republicans have a strong lead in party registration in the 21st Congressional District (47% of those interviewed were registered Republicans versus 29% who were registered Democrats), that does not translate into vote choice in either race due to the significant favorability advantages of the Democratic candidates over their Republican challengers. The bottom line is this: Congressman Bill Owens has a clear advantage over Matt Doheny headed into Election Day. Owens leads Doheny by 7 points and voters have a good impression of their Congressman while most of those who know Matt Doheny say they are unfavorable of the Republican nominee.
NEW YORK WASHINGTON, D.C. HARTFORD LOS ANGELES GLOBALSTRATEGYGROUP.COM