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Varivel independente
ou
Varivel explicativa
Varivel dependente
ou
Varivel resposta
Objetivos:
Exemplos:
Varivel Independente
Varivel dependente
Peso corporal
IMS
Peso ao nascer
Peso a desmama
Peso corporal
Rendimento de Carcaa
Quant// fertilizante
Produo de milho
O Modelo matemtico
+ Efeito aleatrio
y = + .x + e
Regresso
Linear
Simples
Parmetros
y = a b. X
b =
SXY
S
(estimativa do beta)
2
X
a = y b x
(estimativa do alfa)
45,0
40,0
35,0
30,0
25,0
20,0
35,0
40,0
y = a b. X
45,0
50,0
b =
55,0
60,0
SXY
S
2
X
65,0
Pe so (Kg)
70,0
a = y b x
9
Soma =
Peso (X)
49,00
65,00
45,00
40,00
55,00
45,00
44,00
47,00
50,00
56,00
496,00
Carcaa (Y) x i x yi y x ix 2 x i x yi y
24,00
-0,60 -3,40
0,36
2,04
40,00
15,40 12,60 237,16
194,04
25,00
-4,60 -2,40
21,16
11,04
23,50
-9,60 -3,90
92,16
37,44
33,50
5,40 6,10
29,16
32,94
22,00
-4,60 -5,40
21,16
24,84
22,50
-5,60 -4,90
31,36
27,44
23,50
-2,60 -3,90
6,76
10,14
25,00
0,40 -2,40
0,16
-0,96
35,00
6,40 7,60
40,96
48,64
274,00
0,0
0,0
480,40
387,60
387,6
SXY
= 43,07 2
43,07
480,4
b
=
=
= 0,807
9
2
Sx =
= 53,38
53,38
Sx
9
496,0
= 49,6
x =
10
274,0
= 27,4
y =
a = yb x = 27,40,807 . 49,6 = 12,62
10
S XY=
10
45,0
40,0
35,0
y =12,620,81 x
30,0
r = 93,15 %
R 2 = 86,77 %
25,0
20,0
35,0
40,0
45,0
50,0
55,0
60,0
65,0
Pe so (Kg)
70,0
11
Carcaa (Kg)
45,0
40,0
35,0
y 10=35
y 10=32,74
30,0
25,0
20,0
35,0
40,0
45,0
50,0
55,0
60,0
65,0
Pe s o (Kg)
70,0
12
e = yy
13
45,0
y =12,620,81 x
40,0
35,0
30,0
25,0
20,0
35,0
40,0
45,0
50,0
55,0
60,0
65,0
70,0
Pes o (Kg)
SQE =
(y
y )
14
45,0
y
=27,4
40,0
35,0
30,0
SQT =
25,0
(y
)2
20,0
35,0
40,0
45,0
50,0
55,0
60,0
65,0
70,0
Pe so (Kg)
15
SQT =
(y
SQE =
(y
y )
Coeficiente de determinao:
)2
2
variao explicada
SQR
=
=
SQT
variao total
0 R2 1
Stela Adami Vayego - DEST/UFPR
16
No Exemplo:
Peso (X)
49,0
65,0
45,0
40,0
55,0
45,0
44,0
47,0
50,0
56,0
Carcaa (Y)
24,0
40,0
25,0
23,5
33,5
22,0
22,5
23,5
25,0
35,0
Mdia de Y
27,4
Soma =
y y
2
y y
-3,4
12,6
-2,4
-3,9
6,1
-5,4
-4,9
-3,9
-2,4
7,6
0
11,56
158,76
5,76
15,21
37,21
29,16
24,01
15,21
5,76
57,76
360,4
SQT =
(y
)2
17
No Exemplo:
Peso (X)
49,0
65,0
45,0
40,0
55,0
45,0
44,0
47,0
50,0
56,0
Carcaa (Y)
24,0
40,0
25,0
23,5
33,5
22,0
22,5
23,5
25,0
35,0
y
27,07
40,03
23,83
19,78
31,93
23,83
23,02
25,45
27,88
32,74
Soma =
y y
-3,07
-0,03
1,17
3,72
1,57
-1,83
-0,52
-1,95
-2,88
2,26
y y 2
9,425
0,001
1,369
13,838
2,465
3,349
0,270
3,803
8,294
5,108
47,922
SQE =
(y
y )
18
No exemplo:
Fonte de variao
SQR = 312,48
(variao explicada)
SQE = 47,92
Variao total
SQT = 360,40
R =
SQR
312,48
=
= 0,867 ou 86,7 %
SQT
360,40
Interpretar
19
erros
(es)
so
independentes
variam
20