2013211No.

0031

5 1 115

100732

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010-85195754
www.sdccass.cn

158

100720

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010-84083506

9.8%2010

GDP2016

2006The Chicago Council on Global
Affairs10
6.48.5

6.76.4

9.57.9
52%

60%53% 2010
7.58.62020
7.88
10

The

Chicago Council on Global Affairs, The United States and the Rise of China and India Results of a 2006 Multination Survey of Public
Opinion(Chicago: The Chicago Council on Global Affairs, 2006), p.83, Appendix A.
The Chicago Council on Global Affairs, Global Views 2008 U.S. Public Top Line Report, p.52. See
http://www.ccfr.org/curr_pos.php.
The Chicago Council on Global Affairs, Anxious Americans Seek a New Direction in United States Foreign Policy Results of a 2008 Surv
ey of Public Opinion, (Chicago: The Chicago Council on Global Affairs, 2009), p.23.
01

2013211No.0031

40%5
26%

54%

20082 68%
2008
17%

44%27%
2011
2Gallup70%
Vitally important22%
Important not vital
2007
7

12

%

2007 2 %

2011 2 %

58

70

12

64

59

-5

65

57

-8

55

54

-1

70

52

-18

54

51

-3

42

50

47

48

45

36

39

40

36

-4

28

31

2000
65%10%
200840%

33%10%
2012253%33%

The

Chicago Council on Global Affairs, Constrained Internationalism: Adapting to New Realities, Results of a 2010 National Survey of Am
erican Public Opinion, (Chicago: The Chicago Council on Global Affairs, 2010),p.12.
Constrained Internationalism: Adapting to New Realities, p.18.
Constrained Internationalism: Adapting to New Realities, pp.50-51.
China Tops List of Countries Vitally Important to U.S.; Egypt 9th , Gallup Poll, February 9, 2011. http://www.gallup.com/poll/146039/
7 China-Tops-List-Countries-Vitally-Important-Egypt-9th.aspx.
Lydia Saad, U.S. Surpasses China in Forecast for Economic Powerhouse, Economic confidence in United States surges among Democra
ts, February 16, 2009. http://www.gallup.com/poll/114658/Surpasses-China-Forecast-Economic-Powerhouse.aspx.
02

7%3%
70%

65%

60%
52%

53%

50%

40%
40%

33%

32%

33%

30%
16%

20%

13%

10%
10%
0%

7%

7%

4%
200051821

7%

3%

200821114

3%

2011225

2012225

2000
10%20112012
52%53%

200055%20

200820
200015%20
2008
44%2011201247%46%

10

60%

55%

50%

47%

44%

46%

40%

38%

35%
31%

30%
20%

15%

13%

10%

10%
0%

200051821

10%

8%

200821114

5%

4%

2011225

5%

3%

2012225

20
American Still View China as Worlds Leading Economic Power, Expect China to be leading power in the future, Gallup Poll, Febru
ary 10, 2012. See http://www.gallup.com/poll/152600/Americans-View-China-World-Leading-Economic-Power.aspx.
10 Gallup Poll. http://www.gallup.com/poll/1627/China.aspx
9

03

2013211No.0031

200876%
200660%2/3
50
11

201075%
12

Pew Research Center for the People &

the Press
2008241%
20091127%
13

30%44%
Smithsonian Magazine20104
46%
49% 201135
14

23
200940%
201147%200944%
201136%
200933%2011
15

46%13%
CNNOpinion Research
Corporation20101146%
43%
16

1997

20102ABCWashington
Post
38%2143%
2140%
41%
17

11
12
13

14

15

16

17

04

Anxious Americans Seek a New Direction in United States, p.23.

Constrained Internationalism: Adapting to New Realities, p.30..
U.S. Seen as Less Important, China as More Powerful, December 3, 2009. See http://people-press.org/report/569/americas-place-in
-the-world.
Pew Research Center for the People & the Press, Public Sees a Future Full of Promise and Peril
Life in 2050: Amazing Science, Familiar Threats, overview, survey report, June 22, 2010. see: http://people-press.org/reports/pdf/625.pdf.
Pew Research Center, China See Overtaking U.S. as Global Superpower, Overview, 23-Nation Pew Global Attitudes Survey, July 13,
2011. Also see Andrew Kohut, The World Says China Will Overtake America, The Wall Street Journal, July 14, 2011.
CNN/Opinion Research Corporation Poll. Nov. 11-14, 2010. see http://i2.cdn.turner.com/cnn/2010/images/11/17/rel16f.pdf. 199710
22%49%22%

ABC News/Washington Post Poll. Feb. 4-8, 2010. see http://www.pollingreport.com/china.htm.

20012
201222001
14%

2008214%
2011225%
16%16%
18

2012232%23%10%

2001

18

Jeffrey M. Jones, Americans Continue to Rate Iran as Greatest U.S. Enemy, North Korea, China tie for second; mentions of Iraq down
significantly, Gallup Poll, February 18, 2011.
http://www.gallup.com/poll/146165/Americans-Continue-Rate-Iran-Greatest-Enemy.aspx.
05

2013211No.0031

20121
28%
16%
22%
20

20112%

20087
51%
49%70%
21

30% 201011
58%
22

35%
20111
60%27%
7%22%
43%27%
23

201135
Pew Global Attitudes Project79%
11%
37%
Frank Newport, Americans Still Rate Iran Top U.S. Enemy, China is second on the greatest enemy list, Gallup Poll, February 20,
2012. http://www.gallup.com/poll/152786/Americans-Rate-Iran-Top-Enemy.aspx.
20 Pew Research Center, Public Priorities: Deficit Rising, Terrorism Slipping, Released: January 23, 2012, http://www.people-press.org
/2012/01/23/public-priorities-deficit-rising-terrorism-slipping/?src=prc-headline.
21 http://www.pollingreport.com/china.htm.
22 CNN/Opinion Research Corporation Poll. Nov. 11-14, 2010.Seehttp://i2.cdn.turner.com/cnn/2010/images/11/17/rel16f.pdf. 199710
43%45%
23 The Pew Research Center, Strengthen Ties with China, But Get Tough on Trade, January 12, 2011. see http://people-press.org/repo
rts/pdf/692.pdf.

19

06

24

53%

Adversary

1997 9

14

46

32

1999 3

20

48

25

1999 6

18

53

22

2000 3

17

44

26

13

2001 5

19

51

22

2002 2

17

39

33

11

2004 7

14

40

36

10

2005 10

16

45

30

2008 9

19

49

26

2009 11

19

41

30

2011 1

22

43

27

2011
47%33%
11%1998
2001
61%
29%

25

(%)

(%)

(%)

(%)

(%)

2011 1

47

33

11

2001 4

28

37

20

1998 6

39

35

12

201111 25%
major threat42%
minor threat26%
61%
26

15%

Pew Research Center, China Seen Overtaking U.S. as Global Superpower, Pew Global Attitudes Project, July 13, 2011. http://www.
pewglobal.org/2011/07/13/chapter-4-views-of-china/.
25 ABC News/Washington Post Poll. Jan. 13-16, 2011. N=1,053 adults nationwide. http://www.pollingreport.com/china.htm.
26 CBS News Poll. Nov. 6-10, 2011. N=1,182 adults nationwide.

24

07

2013211No.0031

1995
19992001

2011116%
22%55%

27

/
%

2011/1/59

16

55

22

2004/7/818

18

58

13

11

2002/2

16

61

14

2001/5

48

40

2000/3

13

55

19

13

1999/6

50

35

1999/3

13

60

19

1995/8

16

53

22

58%30%

Somewhat important9%53%
28

32%
2012214

71%
27
28

08

http://www.pollingreport.com/china.htm.
http://www.pollingreport.com/china.htm.

Somewhat important,
27%Very important, 44%85%
57%60%
29

30

(%)

(%)

(%)

67 /78

64 /68

63 /77

18 /13

25 /23

24 /17

14 /8

11 /8

12 /5

51%60%

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28%22%
31

76%
78%

(%)

(%)

32

(%)

76

17

66

22

59

29

48

41

46

36

11

51%35%
http://www.gallup.com/poll/152618/Americans-Opinion-Leaders-China-Ties-Friendly.aspx.
bid.
31 81%88%61%
63%Cynthia English,American See Benefits of Close U.
S.-China Relations, Gallup and China Daily Poll, April 17, 2012. http://www.gallup.com/poll/153911/Americans-Benefits-Close-China
-Relations.aspx.
32
29

30

09

2013211No.0031

33

86%

2008767%
20069
34

2010
63%
61%
71%
35

23% 8%
50%
36

38%Mostly Negative
200955%
2009
37

1167%
27%
20111
38

60%27%
58%
53%
39

competitor
200870%

54%
40

66%

Gallup Poll. http://www.gallup.com/poll/1627/China.aspx.

Anxious Americans Seek a New Direction in United States, p.24.
35 Constrained Internationalism: Adapting to New Realities, pp.30-31.
36 Constrained Internationalism: Adapting to New Realities, p.30.
37 The Pew Research Center for the People & the Press, Trends in Political Values and Core Attitudes: 1987-2009 Independents Take C
enter Stage In Obama Era, p.61, Released on Thursday, May 21, 2009. See http://people-press.org/reports/pdf/517.pdf.
38 CNN/Opinion Research Corporation Poll. Nov. 13-15, 2009. See http://www.pollingreport.com/china.htm.
39 Strengthen Ties with China, But Get Tough on Trade, Pew Research Center, Jan.5-9, 2011.
http://pewresearch.org/pubs/1855/china-poll-americans-want-closer-ties-but-tougher-trade-policy.
40
Christopher B. Whitney and David Shambaugh, Soft Power in Asia: Results of a 2008 Multinational Survey of Public OpinionThe Chica
go Council on Global Affairs,2009, p.24, p.25.70%

33
34

10

57%

58%

41

23% 201058%
31%

55%38%
42

200665%
200864%
43

201068%
44

28%
2008
45

5
100
80

65

68

64

60
40

33

29

28

20
0
2006

2008

2010

Anxious Americans Seek a New Direction in United States Foreign Policypp.28-29.

Constrained Internationalism: Adapting to New Realities, pp.51-52.1994199857%

43 The United States and the Rise of China and India, p.37
44 Anxious Americans Seek a New Direction in United States Foreign Policy, pp.24-25.
45 Anxious Americans Seek a New Direction in United States Foreign Policy, p.24 See also Constrained Internationalism: Adapting to New
Realities, p.17.
41

42

11

2013211No.0031

46

20

20

2070

198919951999
2001

20

46

12

Americans, Opinion Leaders See U.S.-China Ties as Friendly, Gallup and China Daily Poll, February 2012. http://www.gallup.com/po
ll/152618/Americans-Opinion-Leaders-China-Ties-Friendly.aspx.

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