Modeli upravljanja zalihama

Model bez dozvoljenog kanjenja

Model sa dozvoljenim kanjenjem








Model sa konanim vremenom isporuke
1
2
m l s
Q q
C Q p p N p
N

| |
= + +
|
\




Model sa nepoznatom tranjom



0 0
( ) 1
z m
z s
p p
p p
P q N N N

=
+
= = +

Teorija redova ekanja TR

Ulazne informacije: period [0, 1], , , S i m Uslov stabilnosti:
S < =

odnosno:
1 <
S

1. VJEROVATNOE:
n
p n P = ) (
za
0
N n

S=1, m =+
) 1 ( =
n
n
p
+ < n 0
S =1, m <+

( )
( )
( )

|
|

\
|
+
=

=
|
|

\
|
+ =
|
|

\
|
m
n
n
n n n
p
p
p
m n
n m
m
p
p
n m
p
p
1
0
0
0
1
0
1
1
1
!
!
1

____________________________________________________________________________
ili:

+
=
m
n
n
n m
m
p
1
0
)! (
!
1
1

0
)! (
!
p
n m
m
p
n
n

=
1 n m
S2, m=+

=

+
=
1
0
0
) ( )! 1 ( !
1
S
n
S n
S S n
p

0
!
p
n
p
n
n
=

S n 1

0
!
p
S S
p
S n
n
n

S n < +
S2, m<+

( )
( )
( )
( )

|
|

\
|
+
=

|
|

\
|

=
|
|

\
|

+
=
|
|

\
|

|
|

\
|
=
|
|

\
|

+
=
|
|

\
|
m
n
n
n
S n
n n
n n n
p
p
p
m n S
n
m
S S
n
p
p
S
n m
p
p
S n
n
m
p
p
n
n m
p
p
1
0
0
0
1
0
0
1
0
1
1
!
! 1
1
1



____________________________________________________________________________
ili:

0
1 1
1
!
1
!
S S m
n n
n
n n S
p
m m
S n
n S S n

= = +
=
| | | |
+ +
| |
\ \




0
p
n
m
p
n
n

|
|

\
|
=
S n 1 ;
0
!
!
p
n
m
S S
n
p
n
S n
n

|
|

\
|
=

m n S
Opte formule:

=
= = <
1
0
) 1 ( ) (
X
n
n
p X n P X n P
i

=
= < =
m
X n
n
p X n P X n P ) ( 1 ) (
za
1 +
1
m X S
S X



1
2 2
m l s m l s m l s
NT Q N
C C C C p Q n p n p p Q p p
N
= + + = + + = + +
2 2
( )
2 2
( )
2 2
m l s z
m l s s z
m l s z
C C C C C
N P N
Qp np n T p n T T p
Q N P N
Qp p p p
P P P

= + + + =

= + + + =

= + + +
*
2 2
2 2
2
l s z l s z
s z s z
l l z z
s s z s s z
z
m m l s
s z
p p p p p p Q
P q
p p p p
p p p p Q
N q
p p p p p p
p
C C C Q p p p Q
p p

+ +
= =
= =
+ +
= + = +
+

3
0 1
( ) ( ) ( ) ( )
N
l m s z l m s z
q q N
C C C C C p N p p N q P q p q N P q
+
= = +
= + + + = + + +

( ) ( ) ;
!
q
m
m
P q e q m E q
q

= = =

2. Parametri sistema TR
parametar S=1, m=+ S=1, m<+ S2, m=+
1 ) + ( = r k n

1

) - 1 (
1
-
0
p m

) + ( r
2 ) - ( = k S s

) - 1 ( =
0
p

0
p
) - ( S

3 ) - ( = k n r

- 1
= ) - (
2
n

) p - 1 (
1
-
0

m

0
2
1
) - ( )! 1 - (
p
S S
S

4 ) - ( = ) - ( = r n s S k

= ) 1 (
0
p

) - 1 (
0
p


) + ( =
k r n
V V V

) - 1 (
1


) - ( n m
n

n

5 ) (
k n r
V V V =

) - 1 (

) - ( n m
r

1
=
k
V

1

6
% 100
S
s

100 ) 1 (

0
100 p

) - 1 ( 100
S

% 100
-
S
s S

100

) - 1 ( 100
0
p

S

100

7 ) 0 ( P ) 1 ( 1 = n P

) - 1 ( =
0
p

0
p

0
p

8 ) 1 (n P ) 0 ( - 1 = P

= ) - 1 (
0
p

0
- 1 p

0
- 1 p

9 ) < ( S n P ) ( - 1 = S n P

= ) 1 < (n P

) - 1 ( = =
0
p

0
p
) ( - 1 S n P

10 ) ( S n P ) < ( - 1 = S n P

= ) 1 (n P

= ) - 1 ( =
0
p

0
- 1 p

0
) - ( )! 1 - (
p
S S
S

11 ) ( S n P ) > ( - 1 = S n P

) - 1 ( = ) 1 (
2
n P
0
) m 1 ( p +

) > ( - 1 S n P

12 ) > ( S n P

) ( - 1 = S n P

) 1 + ( = S n P


= ) 1 > (n P

2
= 1) P(n - 1 =


) ( - 1 S n P
0
1
) - ( !
p
S S
S

13
+ < 1 Q

) < ( Q n P
=
) 1 - ( = Q n P

) 1 - > ( - 1 = Q n P

) ( - 1 = Q n P



Q
- 1



n
Q
n
n m
m
p

=
1
0
0
)! (
!
1 + < 1 S Q

1 -
0
0
!
Q
n
n
n
p
=

1 + < 2 + S Q S

) ( - 1 Q n P

14
+ < 0 Q

) ( Q n P
=
) < ( - 1 = Q n P


) 1 - ( - 1 = Q n P

) 1 - > ( = Q n P


Q

) < ( - 1 Q n P

1 + < 1 S Q
je
) < ( - 1 Q n P

_____________
+ < 2 + Q S
je
0
-
) - ( )! 1 - (
p
S S S
S Q
Q

Nastavak PARAMETRI Sistema TR

parametar S=1,
m=+
S=1, m<+ S2, m=+


15
+ < 0 Q


) ( Q n P
=
) > ( - 1 = Q n P

) 1 + ( - 1 = Q n P

) 1 + < ( = Q n P



1 +
- 1
Q

n
Q
n
n m
m
p
=

0
0
)! - (
!
S Q < < 0

0
0
!
Q
n
n
n
p
=

+ < 1 + Q S

) > ( - 1 Q n P



16
+ < 0 Q


) > ( Q n P
=
) ( - 1 = Q n P

) 1 + < ( - 1 = Q n P

) 1 + ( = Q n P



1 + Q

) ( - 1 Q n P

S Q < 0

) ( - 1 Q n P


+ < 1 + Q S

0
-
1
) - ( !
p
S S S
S Q
Q

17
m Q L 0


) ( Q n L P
=
- ) ( = Q n P


) 1 - ( L n P



1 +
-
Q L



n
Q
L n
n m
m
p
=

)! - (
!
0

S Q L 0

!
0
Q
L n
n
n
p
=

Q S ) 1 + ( L 0

(
(

=
+

1
0
1
0
!
) - ( !
- 1
L
n
n
S Q
Q
n
S S S
p

Q L S < 2) + (


0
-
1 1
) - (
p
S S S
S
S Q
Q L Q L

(
(

+ +

18
% 100
-
m
n m


% 100
m
n

nema

nema
100
- 1
0
m
p


100
- 1
- 1
0
|
|

\
|
m
p
nema
nema
Kod Sistema 2 S i + < m
a) Jedine direktne formule su:
) - ( - s S
n
k
n
V
n

= =

,
) - ( - s S
r
k
r
V
r

= =

i

1
=
k
V

b) A ostalo je na osnovu uvijek vaeih
Optih formula:

=
=
m
n
n
p n n
0
,
n
S
n
p n S s =
=

0
) - (
,
n
m
S n
p S n r =
+ =

1
) (
i
r n k - =
I optih formula navedenih na dnu prethodne tabele o vjerovatnoama.