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19 July 2013

Contents
Introduction .................................................................................................................................3
Value ...........................................................................................................................................4
Conclusion ..................................................................................................................................4
RISK WARNING Ratings and Targets ....................................................................................4
How to use the report .................................................................................................................5
Under Valued .....................................................................6
Aerospace & Defence
Automobiles & Parts
Banks

Under Valued ......................................................................6


Over Valued .........................................................................................6

Beverages
Chemicals

Under Valued ..................................................................................6


Under Valued ..................................................................................6

Construction & Building Materials


Electronics & Electrical Equipment
Engineering & Machinery
Food & Drug Stores

Under Valued ....................................................7


Over Valued ..................................................7

Under Valued ................................................................8


Over Valued .......................................................................8

Over Valued ........................................................8


Food Producers & Processors
Under Valued ..............................................................................9
General Retail
Over Valued .........................................................................................9
Heath
Over Valued ..........................................................9
Over Valued ...............................................9

Household Goods & Textiles

Information Technology & Hardware


Under Valued ................................................................................... 10
Insurance
Over Valued ..................................................................... 10
Leisure & Hotels
Life Assurance

Under Valued .................................................................... 10


Under Valued ................................................................ 11

Media & Entertainment


Under Valued ...................................................................................... 11
Mining
Under Valued ................................................................................... 11
Oil & Gas
Personal Care & Household Products

Over Valued .......................................... 12


Under Valued ................................................ 12

Pharmaceuticals & Biotechnology


Under Valued ............................................................................... 12
Real Estate
Under Valued ..................................................... 13
Software & Computer Services
Speciality & Other Finance
Support Services

Under Valued .......................................................... 13


Under Valued ..................................................................... 14

Over Valued ....................................................... 15


Telecommunication Services
Under
Valued
Transport
................................................................................... 15
Under
Valued
Utilities
....................................................................................... 15

DISCLAIMER ........................................................................................................................... 16
RISK WARNING ...................................................................................................................... 17

Intellisys Intelligent Analysis Limited

www.intellisys.uk.com

19 July 2013
+44 20 3239 8994

Page 2 of 17

Introduction
The overriding purpose of this daily report is to provide users with a quick guide that will identify those
shares that merit their investment attention in an increasingly time critical and information noisy trading
environment.
The report is published daily and delivered to the subscribers personal email box, typically, before the
official open of the London Stock Markets.
Putting aside luck, Intellisys recognises that the timing and value of an investment are the two primary
drivers behind a successful portfolio performance.
Timing
Intellisys has invested considerably in identifying what it believes are the key factors that influence
investment timing. Having identified the key parameters, these have been established as rules that reflect
market dynamics and cut through the daily investment noise.
Through this discipline, Intellisys has removed the emotional and sentimental factors as well as the daily
pressures exerted upon primary stock promoters (analysts and traders) to find stories for their investment
meetings.
From an analysis of a years data for 40 stocks within Intellisys stock coverage, the trading indicators
appear to be, on average, about 77% accurate in identifying good trading points as well as some 74%
accurate for overall trend correlation.
The following chart provides an indication the accuracy scores for each of the 40 stocks analysed.
Individual Stock Rating & Trend Accuracy Scores
120.0%

120.0%

110.0%

110.0%

100.0%

100.0%

90.0%

90.0%

80.0%

80.0%

70.0%

70.0%

60.0%

60.0%

50.0%

50.0%

40.0%

40.0%

30.0%

30.0%

20.0%

20.0%
1

9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 30 31 32 33 34 35 36 37 38 39 40
Best Buy/Sell

Trend

Source: Intellisys

Intellisys Intelligent Analysis Limited

www.intellisys.uk.com

19 July 2013
+44 20 3239 8994

Page 3 of 17

Value
A similar discipline has been applied to the process of establishing Target Indications. On a daily basis,
Intellisys analyses as broad an array of historic data from not only the Consolidated Income Statement but
also the Balance Sheet and Cash Flow Statement and then utilises this data within its proprietary valuation
models.
Intellisys architect, Philip Morrish, has successfully applied these disciplines to his investment research for
the last 15+ years. Additionally, these investment valuation techniques lend themselves to accurate crossborder analysis.
The resultant Target is also discounted to a Net Present Value to make the Target as realistically valid as
possible.
Nevertheless, Intellisys recognises that Target Indication delivery is not only a function of market levels but
a management teams ability to establish and maintain a value generating operating environment set
against a constantly changing global background.
The typical investment analysts approach to determining target prices is to start with a modest range of
some 6 8 valuation measures and remove those that are not providing the intuitive result. Intellysis
approach is the opposite we use as many valuation methodologies as possible.
Further, Intellisys recognises that some target Indications may appear strange or extreme. However,
subscribers should not dismiss these outcomes but use them as starting points to challenge their
established or perceived valuation opinion of a stock.
In short, this disciplined approach provides an investment reality check to assist investors from falling in
love with a stock or becoming mesmerised by management cults.
Conclusion
No investment methodology is 100% successful and like all trading and investment systems active position
monitoring is critical for maximised investment performance.
Therefore, Intellisys recommends that its products should be used in conjunction with, and not separate
from subscribers existing investment systems as well as discussing investment options with their financial
advisers.
Philip Morrish (philip.morrish@intellisys.uk.com)

RISK WARNING Ratings and Targets


Intellisys does not make personal recommendations. The information in this publication is provided
solely to enable you to make your own investment decisions. If you are unsure about dealing in shares
and other equity investments, you must contact your financial adviser as these types of investments may
not be suitable for everyone. The value of stocks and shares, and the income from them, can fall as well as
rise and you may not get back the full amount you originally invested. If denominated in a foreign currency,
fluctuations in the exchange rate will also affect the value of stocks and shares and the income from them.
Past performance is not necessarily a guide to future performance.

Intellisys Intelligent Analysis Limited

www.intellisys.uk.com

19 July 2013
+44 20 3239 8994

Page 4 of 17

How to use the report


This daily report is typically available for download as a PDF from 7am - well in advance of the markets
open - and is based upon previous days closing prices.
We have kept the report deliberately simple for quick reading and identification of the shares most likely to
be active as can be seen from the following:

Longer term action based


upon implied target price
Todays action
Sector

Implied target
price based upon
49 valuation
metrics

Closing price

General Retail
Stock
ASHLEY(LAURA) HOLDINGS
BROWN (N) GROUP
BURBERRY GROUP
CARPETRIGHT
DIXONS RETAIL
FINDEL
FRENCH CONNECTN.GROUP
HALFORDS GROUP
JJB SPORTS SUSP - 24/09/12
JD SPORTS FASHION
DARTY
KINGFISHER
MARKS & SPENCER GROUP
MOSS BROTHERS GROUP
MOTHERCARE
NEXT
TED BAKER
TOPPS TILES

Company

Price
29.00
266.70
1136.00
675.00
21.16
6.36
23.50
324.70
0.40
731.00
57.25
269.80
377.90
55.00
212.00
3576.00
951.50
49.25

12M Lo
18.50
222.40
1000.00
375.00
9.36
2.20
19.50
189.00
0.24
570.00
38.00
237.20
302.70
31.25
127.30
2540.00
633.00
21.50

12M Hi
29.50
282.70
1586.00
728.50
21.69
6.55
82.00
342.30
17.00
863.00
110.60
313.80
389.50
55.00
227.00
3644.00
1017.00
51.75

ST Rec
Neutral
Neutral
Neutral
Neutral
Neutral
Neutral
Neutral
Neutral
Neutral
Neutral
Neutral
Neutral
Neutral
Sell
Neutral
Neutral
Neutral
Neutral

Latest 12 month Hi/Lo for


the share price

LT Rec
Neutral
Buy
Sell
Sell
Strong Buy
Sell
Strong Buy
Buy
Sell
Strong Buy
Strong Buy
Buy
Buy
Buy
Sell
Sell
Sell
Sell

Target
30
298
739
268
38
4
112
415
-62
1341
321
365
448
61
97
2798
542
29

Beta
0.72
0.52
1.30
0.97
1.56
0.94
1.05
0.67
0.88
0.47
1.28
0.97
0.74
1.04
0.44
0.72
0.56
1.31

eta measures a shares


volatility/risk relative to
market (see below)

Beta is a measure of a stock's volatility or risk relative to its market. The market has a beta
of 1.0 and individual shares are attributed a beta according to how much they deviate from
the market. This can be summarised as:
eta <1.0

Share should move by less than market (i.e., less risk/lower reward)

eta =1.0

Share should move in line with the market (i.e., market neutral)

eta >1.0

Share should move by more than market (i.e., higher risk/higher reward)

Intellisys Intelligent Analysis Limited

www.intellisys.uk.com

19 July 2013
+44 20 3239 8994

Page 5 of 17

Under Valued

Aerospace & Defence


Stock

Price

12M Lo

12M Hi

ST Rec

LT Rec

BAE SYSTEMS

433.70

300.80

433.70

Neutral

Buy

Target
612

Beta
0.68

CHEMRING GROUP

321.10

217.00

414.70

Neutral

Buy

366

0.66

COBHAM

279.90

190.10

293.40

Neutral

Neutral

302

0.83

MEGGITT

549.00

366.20

562.00

Neutral

Neutral

531

1.30

ROLLS-ROYCE HOLDINGS

1200.00

799.39

1225.00

Neutral

Neutral

1164

1.01

SMITHS GROUP

1396.00

1011.00

1396.00

Neutral

Sell

1167

0.77

ULTRA ELECTRONICS HDG.

1819.00

1424.00

1843.00

Neutral

Sell

1725

0.51

Unde r V a lue d

Automobiles & Parts


Stock

Price

12M Lo

12M Hi

ST Rec

LT Rec

GKN

339.20

200.70

339.20

Neutral

Neutral

332

1.96

INCHCAPE

560.50

353.30

577.50

Neutral

Neutral

582

1.42

LOOKERS

110.00

64.50

110.50

Neutral

Sell

101

1.23

27.75

13.50

28.25

Neutral

Buy

39

1.11

PENDRAGON

Target

Over Valued

Banks
Stock

Beta

Price

12M Lo

12M Hi

ST Rec

LT Rec

Target

Beta

BARCLAYS

317.05

150.55

333.85

Neutral

Sell

-823

1.94

HSBC HDG. (ORD $0.50)

741.00

510.60

769.90

Neutral

Buy

862

1.16

70.03

28.76

70.03

Sell

Sell

1.86

LLOYDS BANKING GROUP


ROYAL BANK OF SCTL.GP.

334.40

196.60

367.80

Neutral

Sell

-123

1.37

STANDARD CHARTERED

1534.00

1228.50

1837.50

Neutral

Strong Buy

3382

1.65

Under Valued

Beverages
Stock

Price

12M Lo

12M Hi

ST Rec

LT Rec

554.00

415.00

588.50

Neutral

Sell

491

0.58

DIAGEO

2024.50

1656.00

2085.00

Neutral

Neutral

2206

0.53

SABMILLER

3260.50

2599.00

3657.00

Neutral

Buy

4354

0.93

BARR (AG)

Target

Beta

Under Valued

Chemicals
Stock

Price

12M Lo

12M Hi

ST Rec

LT Rec

ALENT

373.60

305.00

397.50

Neutral

Buy

445

#NA

AZ ELECTRONIC MATS.(DI)

340.00

240.00

406.40

Neutral

Strong Buy

552

1.21

CARCLO

365.75

342.75

503.00

Neutral

Sell

147

0.76

2600.00

2164.00

2841.00

Neutral

Buy

3370

1.06

CRODA INTERNATIONAL
ELEMENTIS

Target

Beta

232.40

191.50

275.00

Neutral

Buy

314

1.04

JOHNSON MATTHEY

2748.00

2080.27

2836.00

Neutral

Strong Buy

4511

1.44

VICTREX

1595.00

1204.00

1765.00

Neutral

Sell

1395

1.19

SYNTHOMER

195.00

137.00

225.80

Neutral

Strong Buy

385

1.11

ZOTEFOAMS

206.00

166.00

225.00

Neutral

Buy

294

0.99

Intellisys Intelligent Analysis Limited

www.intellisys.uk.com

19 July 2013
+44 20 3239 8994

Page 6 of 17

Under Valued

Construction & Building Materials


Stock

Price

12M Lo

12M Hi

ST Rec

LT Rec

ALUMASC GROUP

105.00

61.50

105.00

Neutral

Strong Buy

Target
275

Beta

BALFOUR BEATTY

232.20

207.60

320.80

Neutral

Strong Buy

1140

0.83

BARRATT DEVELOPMENTS

348.40

132.20

352.00

Neutral

Strong Buy

603

1.61
1.00

0.52

BELLWAY

1441.00

801.50

1455.00

Neutral

Strong Buy

2834

BERKELEY GROUP HDG.(THE)

2293.00

1343.00

2325.00

Neutral

Strong Buy

3470

0.57

BOOT (HENRY)

184.50

115.50

201.00

Neutral

Strong Buy

362

0.76
1.11

BOVIS HOMES GROUP

834.00

451.00

851.50

Neutral

Buy

1037

CARILLION

281.20

235.50

331.80

Neutral

Strong Buy

1526

1.10

CLARKE (T)

54.50

40.00

61.50

Neutral

Strong Buy

383

0.80

286.75

202.00

306.00

Neutral

Strong Buy

1123

0.51

CRH

COSTAIN GROUP

1351.00

1090.00

1540.00

Neutral

Sell

912

1.05

GALLIFORD TRY

1019.00

606.00

1019.00

Neutral

Strong Buy

2922

0.95

KELLER

1140.00

397.00

1140.00

Sell

Strong Buy

2368

1.26

KIER GROUP

1395.00

1106.00

1486.00

Neutral

Strong Buy

5277

0.94

65.00

50.00

76.75

Neutral

Strong Buy

223

1.05
1.32

LOW & BONAR


MARSHALLS

142.00

76.00

142.00

Neutral

Buy

201

MORGAN SINDALL GROUP

633.00

508.00

695.00

Neutral

Strong Buy

4497

0.69

16.13

10.63

18.25

Neutral

Strong Buy

60

1.07

NORCROS

1268.00

565.78

1305.00

Neutral

Strong Buy

1984

1.04

REDROW

248.90

125.00

253.30

Neutral

Strong Buy

451

0.89

SIG

182.20

88.85

182.20

Neutral

Strong Buy

523

1.72

45.50

43.00

287.50

Neutral

Strong Buy

4208

0.88

108.00

42.72

108.00

Neutral

Strong Buy

225

1.62

PERSIMMON

SUPERGLASS HOLDINGS
TAYLOR WIMPEY
TRAVIS PERKINS

1696.00

970.50

1696.00

Sell

Strong Buy

4370

1.92

WOLSELEY

3287.00

2237.39

3483.00

Neutral

Strong Buy

5947

1.37

Over Valued

Electronics & Electrical Equipment


Stock

Price

12M Lo

12M Hi

ST Rec

LT Rec

Target

Beta

1064.00

997.00

1365.00

Neutral

Strong Buy

52522

0.69

DOMINO PRINTING SCIENCES

651.50

522.00

717.00

Neutral

Strong Buy

2554

1.16

E2V TECHNOLOGIES

126.50

105.50

137.75

Neutral

Sell

-7105

1.27

INVENSYS

507.00

217.33

509.50

Neutral

Sell

-24632

1.36

LAIRD

190.70

171.10

249.30

Neutral

Sell

-67518

2.12

OXFORD INSTRUMENTS

1340.00

1209.00

1752.00

Neutral

Sell

-17413

1.11

RENISHAW

1580.00

1265.00

2081.00

Neutral

Strong Buy

341867

1.30

SPECTRIS

2035.00

1479.00

2470.00

Neutral

Sell

-1481

1.52

99.50

99.50

303.67

Neutral

Sell

-8

0.75

TT ELECTRONICS

158.00

114.00

178.50

Neutral

Sell

-53941

1.61

XAAR

860.00

227.00

898.00

Neutral

Sell

-274

1.09

DIALIGHT

BIOME TECHNOLOGIES

Intellisys Intelligent Analysis Limited

www.intellisys.uk.com

19 July 2013
+44 20 3239 8994

Page 7 of 17

Under Valued

Engineering & Machinery


Stock

Price

12M Lo

12M Hi

ST Rec

LT Rec

AGA RANGEMASTER GROUP

88.00

54.25

91.75

Neutral

Buy

126

1.18

BODYCOTE

575.00

322.60

575.50

Neutral

Neutral

618

1.58

CASTINGS

407.50

291.00

412.50

Neutral

Strong Buy

646

0.94

VESUVIUS

408.00

263.19

408.00

Neutral

Strong Buy

986

2.23

FENNER

335.10

305.90

435.20

Neutral

Strong Buy

527

1.46

HALMA

525.00

395.50

538.50

Neutral

Sell

368

0.77

HILL & SMITH

439.25

297.00

480.00

Neutral

Buy

505

1.36

1372.00

776.00

1372.00

Neutral

Strong Buy

5376

1.40

292.00

220.30

305.00

Neutral

Strong Buy

754

1.87

2750.00

2132.00

3037.00

Neutral

Sell

1373

1.03

261.90

178.10

281.80

Neutral

Sell

235

1.66
0.75

IMI
MORGAN ADVANCED MATERIAL
ROTORK
SENIOR
SEVERFIELD-ROWEN

Target

Beta

55.25

35.40

80.16

Neutral

Sell

40

SPIRAX-SARCO

2842.00

1903.48

2928.35

Neutral

Sell

2062

0.84

VITEC GROUP

567.00

559.00

740.00

Neutral

Sell

437

1.41

WEIR GROUP

2193.00

1525.00

2474.00

Neutral

Neutral

2096

1.47

Over Valued

Food & Drug Stores


Stock

Price

12M Lo

12M Hi

ST Rec

LT Rec

GREGGS

440.60

398.00

523.50

Neutral

Strong Buy

791

0.43

MORRISON(WM)SPMKTS.

287.00

248.60

296.40

Neutral

Buy

395

0.36

SAINSBURY (J)

391.10

312.50

396.50

Neutral

Buy

481

0.54

TESCO

368.20

307.90

387.75

Neutral

Sell

198

0.66

81.50

22.50

100.50

Neutral

Sell

51

0.82

THORNTONS

Target

Over Valued

Food Producers & Processors


Stock

Beta

Price

12M Lo

12M Hi

ST Rec

LT Rec

Target

Beta

ASSOCIATED BRIT.FOODS

1884.00

1243.00

2031.00

Neutral

Neutral

1867

0.59

CRANSWICK

1175.00

732.50

1178.00

Neutral

Strong Buy

2007

0.35

DAIRY CREST

492.70

327.30

503.50

Neutral

Sell

119

0.89

DEVRO

299.50

278.00

380.00

Neutral

Strong Buy

520

0.34

83.00

54.50

125.75

Neutral

Strong Buy

388

1.22

851.50

634.50

883.00

Neutral

Strong Buy

1392

0.68

2766.00

2140.00

2885.00

Neutral

Sell

1718

0.52

PREMIER FOODS
TATE & LYLE
UNILEVER (UK)

Intellisys Intelligent Analysis Limited

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19 July 2013
+44 20 3239 8994

Page 8 of 17

Under Valued

General Retail
Stock

Price

12M Lo

12M Hi

ST Rec

LT Rec

ASHLEY(LAURA) HOLDINGS

25.00

20.50

29.50

Neutral

Buy

35

0.67

507.00

261.70

507.00

Sell

Sell

402

0.47

1532.00

1000.00

1541.00

Neutral

Sell

1093

1.27

693.00

585.00

701.50

Sell

Sell

319

0.89

44.18

14.97

44.18

Neutral

Buy

49

1.46

168.25

55.20

186.00

Neutral

Sell

74

1.05

28.50

19.50

34.00

Sell

Strong Buy

116

1.00

HALFORDS GROUP

374.00

189.00

405.20

Neutral

Buy

559

0.68

JD SPORTS FASHION

877.50

651.00

925.00

Neutral

Strong Buy

1711

0.51

BROWN (N) GROUP


BURBERRY GROUP
CARPETRIGHT
DIXONS RETAIL
FINDEL
FRENCH CONNECTN.GROUP

DARTY

Target

Beta

74.75

38.00

75.00

Neutral

Buy

105

1.19

KINGFISHER

392.90

254.10

392.90

Neutral

Neutral

418

0.87

MARKS & SPENCER GROUP

482.40

317.10

485.00

Sell

Buy

566

0.61

61.50

44.50

71.00

Neutral

Buy

70

0.98

463.00

194.75

492.75

Neutral

Neutral

454

0.38

NEXT

4872.00

3185.00

4872.00

Sell

Neutral

4912

0.59

TED BAKER

1846.00

880.00

1865.00

Sell

Sell

858

0.54

88.00

41.75

89.00

Neutral

Sell

61

1.50

MOSS BROTHERS GROUP


MOTHERCARE

TOPPS TILES

Over Valued

Health
Stock

Price

12M Lo

12M Hi

ST Rec

LT Rec

BIOQUELL

134.00

129.50

160.00

Neutral

Sell

Target
111

0.39

CONSORT MEDICAL

785.00

660.50

839.00

Neutral

Sell

565

0.38

OPTOS

147.25

106.75

222.75

Neutral

Buy

167

1.23

SMITH & NEPHEW

795.00

638.00

795.00

Neutral

Sell

675

0.44

Over Valued

Household Goods & Textiles


Stock

Beta

Price

12M Lo

12M Hi

ST Rec

LT Rec

GAMES WORKSHOP

791.50

571.50

791.50

Neutral

Neutral

769

0.38

HEADLAM GROUP

357.00

265.00

378.75

Neutral

Sell

315

0.89

82.50

55.25

88.50

Neutral

Buy

109

0.71

HORNBY

Target

Over Valued

Information Technology & Hardware


Stock

Beta

Price

12M Lo

12M Hi

ST Rec

LT Rec

ARM HOLDINGS

921.00

481.30

1097.00

Neutral

Sell

453

0.70

CSR

607.00

292.30

607.00

Neutral

Strong Buy

1533

1.12

FILTRONIC
IMAGINATION TECHNOLOGIES

Target

Beta

65.50

28.38

83.25

Neutral

Sell

24

0.94

284.00

273.10

624.00

Neutral

Buy

358

1.09

SPIRENT COMMUNICATIONS

123.00

118.00

170.00

Neutral

Strong Buy

442

0.94

WOLFSON MICROELECTRONICS

153.75

140.00

230.00

Neutral

Sell

-722

0.96

Intellisys Intelligent Analysis Limited

www.intellisys.uk.com

19 July 2013
+44 20 3239 8994

Page 9 of 17

Under Valued

Insurance
Stock

Price

12M Lo

12M Hi

ST Rec

LT Rec

Target

Beta

1384.00

1019.00

1391.00

Neutral

Sell

-576

0.50

AMLIN

417.50

362.80

435.10

Neutral

Strong Buy

1659

0.39

BEAZLEY

242.50

152.60

242.50

Neutral

Strong Buy

1032

0.52

CATLIN GROUP

531.50

424.00

552.50

Neutral

Sell

479

0.22

HISCOX

606.00

428.39

606.00

Neutral

Strong Buy

2060

0.41
0.33

ADMIRAL GROUP

JARDINE LLOYD THOMPSON

878.00

710.50

917.00

Neutral

Buy

1305

RSA INSURANCE GROUP

129.60

107.30

136.30

Neutral

Strong Buy

789

0.39

NOVAE GROUP

490.00

345.00

507.50

Neutral

Strong Buy

3725

0.41

Over Valued

Leisure & Hotels


Stock

Price

12M Lo

12M Hi

ST Rec

LT Rec

Target

Beta

2520.00

2083.00

2628.00

Neutral

Buy

3605

0.92

ENTERPRISE INNS

123.10

55.50

125.30

Neutral

Neutral

117

1.62

TUI TRAVEL

373.70

171.20

376.60

Neutral

Strong Buy

730

0.96

FULLER SMITH 'A'

921.50

700.50

925.00

Neutral

Sell

623

0.25

GREENE KING

871.00

556.50

871.00

Sell

Sell

641

0.85

LADBROKES

201.90

153.80

243.10

Neutral

Buy

268

0.87

1996.00

1524.00

2039.00

Neutral

Sell

1713

1.12

CARNIVAL

ICTL.HTLS.GP.
MILLENNIUM & CPTH.HTLS.

555.00

456.00

582.50

Neutral

Neutral

594

1.37

MITCHELLS & BUTLERS

410.00

253.20

410.00

Sell

Sell

283

0.96

BWIN PARTY DIGITAL ENTM.

127.80

91.90

156.00

Neutral

Sell

62

1.23

13.50

5.61

13.75

Neutral

Strong Buy

77

1.18

162.40

115.00

177.50

Neutral

Strong Buy

585

0.97
0.70

PUNCH TAVERNS
RANK GROUP
RESTAURANT GROUP

557.50

315.50

557.50

Neutral

Sell

398

WETHERSPOON (JD)

667.50

445.00

670.00

Neutral

Neutral

708

0.56

WHITBREAD

3186.00

2047.00

3225.00

Neutral

Sell

2227

0.99

WILLIAM HILL

471.30

268.33

471.30

Neutral

Sell

262

0.79

MARSTON'S

151.30

107.20

154.70

Neutral

Sell

10

1.15

Under Valued

Life Assurance
Stock

Price

12M Lo

12M Hi

ST Rec

LT Rec

AVIVA

372.00

268.30

388.40

Neutral

Sell

350

1.17

CHESNARA

262.75

163.00

270.00

Neutral

Strong Buy

505

0.67

LEGAL & GENERAL

190.80

123.30

190.80

Sell

Strong Buy

480

1.70

OLD MUTUAL

199.00

151.90

221.60

Neutral

Strong Buy

400

1.52

PRUDENTIAL

1151.00

732.50

1203.00

Neutral

Neutral

1172

1.66

597.00

318.20

640.00

Neutral

Strong Buy

6695

0.82

ST.JAMES'S PLACE

Intellisys Intelligent Analysis Limited

www.intellisys.uk.com

Target

Beta

19 July 2013
+44 20 3239 8994

Page 10 of 17

Under Valued

Media & Entertainment


Stock

Price

12M Lo

12M Hi

ST Rec

LT Rec

Target

Beta

BLOOMSBURY PBL.

137.50

102.00

146.50

Neutral

Strong Buy

1143

0.38

BRITISH SKY BCAST.GROUP

845.00

677.50

899.50

Neutral

Strong Buy

1317

0.47

41.00

29.00

60.00

Neutral

Sell

-17

1.02
1.07

CENTAUR MEDIA
DAILY MAIL 'A'

798.00

432.25

818.00

Neutral

Strong Buy

4221

1105.00

714.00

1105.00

Neutral

Strong Buy

5991

0.98

INFORMA

504.50

350.40

537.00

Neutral

Sell

-42

1.61

ITE GROUP

295.00

183.50

307.40

Neutral

Strong Buy

327

1.49

ITV

159.00

70.40

161.30

Neutral

Strong Buy

1482

1.44
1.22

EUROMONEY INSTL.INVESTOR

JOHNSTON PRESS

16.63

5.09

19.00

Neutral

Strong Buy

914

1264.00

1119.00

1294.00

Neutral

Strong Buy

438

0.60

92.50

37.00

94.00

Neutral

Strong Buy

2836

0.87

280.00

265.00

350.00

Neutral

Strong Buy

1017

0.12

35.88

26.85

36.45

Neutral

Strong Buy

497

0.51

STV GROUP

151.75

81.50

152.50

Neutral

Sell

305

0.82

ST.IVES

157.00

67.50

166.50

Neutral

Sell

296

1.48

TRINITY MIRROR

120.00

26.50

122.25

Neutral

Sell

-414

1.60

UBM

706.00

588.50

788.00

Neutral

Strong Buy

2595

1.31

WILMINGTON GROUP

164.00

88.00

166.50

Neutral

Strong Buy

1340

0.86

WPP

1210.00

788.00

1210.00

Neutral

Sell

-670

1.28

HIBU

0.26

0.26

1.92

Neutral

Strong Buy

1008

0.98

PEARSON
PHOTO-ME INTL.
PINEWOOD SHEPPERTON
THOMSON REUTERS

Under Valued

Mining
Stock

Price

12M Lo

12M Hi

ST Rec

LT Rec

Target

Beta

1377.50

1207.00

2084.00

Neutral

Sell

1151

1.84

ANGLO PACIFIC GROUP

188.75

161.00

290.00

Neutral

Neutral

186

1.07

ANTOFAGASTA

848.50

784.50

1381.00

Neutral

Sell

698

1.43

1881.00

1666.50

2236.00

Neutral

Buy

2336

1.49

GLENCORE XSTRATA

273.30

256.85

397.85

Neutral

Strong Buy

895

#NA

LONMIN

303.70

240.84

411.96

Sell

Buy

385

2.08

RANDGOLD RESOURCES

4457.00

3972.00

7775.00

Neutral

Sell

2385

0.42

RIO TINTO

2948.50

2582.00

3757.00

Neutral

Sell

2256

1.54

2.90

8.85

Neutral

Strong Buy

131

0.94

832.50

1335.00

Neutral

Strong Buy

2279

2.25

ANGLO AMERICAN

BHP BILLITON

COALFIELD RESOURCES
VEDANTA RESOURCES

1135.00

Under Valued

Oil & Gas


Stock

Price

12M Lo

12M Hi

ST Rec

LT Rec

1197.50

1000.50

1350.50

Neutral

Sell

873

BP

470.40

416.60

483.30

Neutral

Strong Buy

992

1.05

CAIRN ENERGY

270.60

251.80

309.40

Neutral

Sell

-5

1.35

BG GROUP

FORTUNE OIL
HUNTING
JKX OIL & GAS
PREMIER OIL
ROYAL DUTCH SHELL B
SOCO INTERNATIONAL
TULLOW OIL
WOOD GROUP (JOHN)

Beta
0.86

7.64

7.15

12.50

Buy

Strong Buy

99

0.87

836.00

716.00

941.00

Neutral

Sell

547

1.37
1.43

53.00

48.50

97.00

Neutral

Sell

-59

361.40

321.30

401.20

Neutral

Buy

402

1.47

2330.00

2098.00

2366.50

Neutral

Strong Buy

8124

0.86

357.80

310.60

404.30

Buy

Buy

515

0.57

1112.00

977.00

1468.00

Neutral

Sell

697

1.08

906.50

720.50

906.50

Neutral

Sell

711

1.45

Intellisys Intelligent Analysis Limited

www.intellisys.uk.com

Target

19 July 2013
+44 20 3239 8994

Page 11 of 17

Over Valued

Personal Care & Household Products


Stock

Price

12M Lo

12M Hi

ST Rec

LT Rec

MCBRIDE

125.00

101.00

144.60

Neutral

Strong Buy

253

PZ CUSSONS

384.00

297.20

415.60

Neutral

Sell

321

0.68

4693.00

3417.00

4950.00

Neutral

Neutral

4733

0.30

RECKITT BENCKISER GROUP

Beta
0.79

Under Valued

Pharmaceuticals & Biotechnology


Stock

Target

Price

12M Lo

12M Hi

ST Rec

LT Rec

0.44

0.36

3.58

Buy

Sell

-2

0.89

3305.00

2792.50

3521.50

Neutral

Strong Buy

6485

0.49

BTG

392.40

300.30

414.30

Neutral

Sell

198

0.73

DECHRA PHARMACEUTICALS

690.50

473.00

780.00

Neutral

Neutral

722

0.20

1727.00

1317.50

1782.00

Neutral

Neutral

1700

0.51

OXFORD BIOMEDICA

1.43

1.43

2.80

Strong Buy

Sell

0.60

PHYTOPHARM SUSP - 21/05/13

1.33

1.05

12.75

Buy

Strong Buy

0.96

2256.00

1727.00

2256.00

Neutral

Sell

1439

0.66

ARK THERAPEUTICS GP.


ASTRAZENECA

GLAXOSMITHKLINE

SHIRE

Target

Beta

SKYEPHARMA

64.50

43.50

101.50

Neutral

Sell

27

0.68

VERNALIS

19.50

19.50

27.38

Neutral

Sell

10

0.88

Under Valued

Real Estate
Stock

Price

12M Lo

12M Hi

ST Rec

LT Rec

Target

Beta

BIG YELLOW GROUP

420.40

294.90

440.00

Neutral

Strong Buy

1143

1.15

BRITISH LAND

614.00

506.00

658.00

Neutral

Strong Buy

1317

1.05

34.00

22.75

37.00

Sell

Sell

-17

0.68
0.72

CAPITAL & REGIONAL


CLS HOLDINGS

1000.00

645.00

1010.00

Neutral

Strong Buy

4221

DERWENT LONDON

2477.00

1886.00

2542.00

Neutral

Strong Buy

5991

1.21

DEVELOPMENT SECS.

198.25

135.75

209.00

Neutral

Sell

-42

0.92

GRAINGER

171.00

85.50

171.00

Sell

Strong Buy

327

1.54

GREAT PORTLAND ESTATES

586.00

418.80

598.00

Neutral

Strong Buy

1482

1.05
1.24

HAMMERSON

536.50

448.60

554.00

Neutral

Strong Buy

914

HELICAL BAR

284.50

178.00

297.50

Neutral

Strong Buy

438

0.77

LAND SECURITIES GROUP

964.50

761.50

994.00

Neutral

Strong Buy

2836

1.14

INTU PROPERTIES

328.60

300.60

366.00

Neutral

Strong Buy

1017

1.12

MCKAY SECURITIES

147.00

130.50

155.00

Neutral

Strong Buy

497

0.66

MUCKLOW (A & J) GROUP

382.00

325.00

437.50

Neutral

Sell

305

0.36

PRIMARY HEALTH PROPS.

324.50

312.50

363.53

Neutral

Sell

296

0.30

84.50

48.50

87.50

Sell

Sell

-414

1.04
0.73

QUINTAIN ESTATES & DEV.


SAVILLS

614.50

365.00

614.50

Neutral

Strong Buy

2595

SHAFTESBURY

637.00

516.00

668.00

Neutral

Strong Buy

1340

1.02

SEGRO

303.50

221.60

303.50

Neutral

Sell

-670

1.80

ST MODWEN PROPS.

298.00

174.00

329.10

Neutral

Strong Buy

1008

1.57

TOWN CENTRE SECURITIES

193.50

162.00

223.00

Neutral

Sell

25

1.03

UNITE GROUP

382.00

207.50

389.00

Neutral

Strong Buy

2251

1.78

WARNER ESTATE
WORKSPACE GROUP

1.00

1.00

2.52

Buy

Sell

-1276

0.96

442.00

242.25

446.90

Neutral

Strong Buy

1580

0.98

Intellisys Intelligent Analysis Limited

www.intellisys.uk.com

19 July 2013
+44 20 3239 8994

Page 12 of 17

Under Valued

Software & Computer Services


Stock

Price

12M Lo

12M Hi

ST Rec

LT Rec

ANITE

135.00

113.00

162.00

Neutral

Neutral

133

0.73

2500.00

1774.96

2588.15

Neutral

Sell

1552

1.49

AVEVA GROUP

Target

Beta

COMPUTACENTER

512.00

332.19

564.10

Neutral

Strong Buy

1435

0.88

KOFAX

335.50

255.00

345.75

Neutral

Neutral

346

1.07

29.25

18.25

29.50

Sell

Sell

26

0.78

MICRO FOCUS INTL.

767.00

529.08

767.00

Neutral

Buy

1071

0.80

PHOENIX IT GROUP

165.50

130.00

222.00

Neutral

Strong Buy

336

0.71

80.00

64.00

85.50

Neutral

Sell

-107

0.49

2080.00

1275.00

2137.00

Neutral

Buy

2290

0.79

357.10

280.06

368.18

Neutral

Buy

460

0.71

INNOVATION GROUP

RM
FIDESSA GROUP
SAGE GROUP

Under Valued

Speciality & Other Finance


Stock

Price

12M Lo

12M Hi

ST Rec

LT Rec

Target

Beta

ABERDEEN ASSET MAN.

414.70

244.80

492.10

Neutral

Strong Buy

1243

1.12

BREWIN DOLPHIN

246.70

144.60

249.50

Neutral

Strong Buy

660

0.69

9100.00

8000.00

11105.00

Neutral

Strong Buy

95593

0.85

CAMELLIA
CHARLES STANLEY GROUP

420.00

256.00

420.00

Neutral

Strong Buy

1434

0.96

CHARLES TAYLOR

185.00

155.00

195.00

Neutral

Strong Buy

1105

0.68

CLOSE BROTHERS GROUP

1065.00

729.00

1107.00

Neutral

Strong Buy

4865

0.85

F&C ASSET MANAGEMENT

98.80

80.10

110.40

Neutral

Sell

74

0.88

4.57

0.55

4.57

Sell

Sell

-127

0.65
1.44

HELPHIRE GROUP
HENDERSON GROUP

172.30

90.55

180.40

Neutral

Strong Buy

808

ICAP

387.90

280.80

401.10

Neutral

Strong Buy

826

1.04

INTERMEDIATE CAPITAL GP.

490.30

252.30

501.50

Neutral

Strong Buy

2232

1.69
1.56

INVESTEC
LONDON STOCK EX.GROUP
MAN GROUP

445.60

358.40

513.50

Neutral

Strong Buy

1715

1590.00

930.00

1590.00

Sell

Strong Buy

6457

1.08

87.70

69.15

134.40

Neutral

Sell

-4816

1.39
0.75

RATHBONE BROTHERS

1679.00

1208.00

1691.00

Neutral

Strong Buy

5514

SCHRODERS

2486.00

1266.00

2560.00

Neutral

Strong Buy

8234

1.27

SCHRODERS NV

1919.00

1016.00

2000.00

Sell

Strong Buy

11261

1.25

Intellisys Intelligent Analysis Limited

www.intellisys.uk.com

19 July 2013
+44 20 3239 8994

Page 13 of 17

Under Valued

Support Services
Stock

Price

12M Lo

12M Hi

ST Rec

LT Rec

ACAL

223.50

157.75

247.50

Neutral

Strong Buy

868

0.90

AGGREKO

1800.00

1557.00

2400.00

Neutral

Strong Buy

4294

1.16

AMEC

1056.00

965.50

1172.00

Neutral

Strong Buy

3426

1.10

730.00

240.50

730.00

Neutral

Buy

1020

1.65

1209.00

844.50

1209.00

Neutral

Strong Buy

2704

0.48

589.00

352.00

589.00

Sell

Strong Buy

2146

0.80

1396.00

1009.00

1396.00

Neutral

Strong Buy

2885

0.52

587.50

215.00

590.00

Neutral

Strong Buy

1479

0.41

1045.00

677.50

1055.00

Neutral

Sell

215

0.53

ASHTEAD GROUP
BABCOCK INTL.
BRITISH POLYTHENE INDS.
BUNZL
UK MAIL GROUP
CAPITA
COMMUNISIS

Target

Beta

68.00

27.33

68.00

Neutral

Strong Buy

495

0.78

COMPASS GROUP

895.50

647.50

910.50

Neutral

Strong Buy

2044

0.74

BERENDSEN

823.50

496.30

823.50

Neutral

Strong Buy

3467

1.04

DE LA RUE

977.00

891.50

1075.00

Neutral

Buy

1460

#NA
0.22

DIGNITY

1564.00

813.50

1568.00

Neutral

Strong Buy

3174

DIPLOMA

606.00

417.10

627.50

Neutral

Strong Buy

1567

0.97

ELECTROCOMP.

253.70

200.00

278.40

Neutral

Strong Buy

955

1.02

ESSENTRA PLC

759.50

460.50

762.00

Neutral

Strong Buy

1427

1.14

G4S

217.00

207.50

313.50

Neutral

Strong Buy

914

0.54

HAYS

103.90

68.20

103.90

Neutral

Strong Buy

472

1.05

HOMESERVE

291.30

185.60

293.60

Neutral

Strong Buy

1003

0.91

INTERSERVE

509.50

319.00

519.00

Neutral

Strong Buy

3804

1.30

3076.00

2691.00

3453.00

Neutral

Strong Buy

4956

0.81

50.00

27.13

50.00

Neutral

Strong Buy

120

1.10
0.68

INTERTEK GROUP
JOHNSON SERVICE GROUP
MANAGEMENT CNSL.GP.

25.88

21.25

32.00

Neutral

Strong Buy

223

MENZIES (JOHN)

729.00

573.00

801.00

Neutral

Strong Buy

1876

1.40

MICHAEL PAGE INTL.

422.00

346.20

451.80

Neutral

Strong Buy

866

1.37

MITIE GROUP

267.80

248.00

300.80

Neutral

Strong Buy

1088

0.50

42.00

42.00

156.00

Buy

Strong Buy

724

0.28

OFFICE2OFFICE

1093.00

670.50

1102.00

Neutral

Strong Buy

2261

0.72

PREMIER FARNELL

PAYPOINT

223.50

165.50

236.30

Neutral

Strong Buy

744

1.40

REGUS

183.20

87.50

186.70

Neutral

Sell

58

1.40

95.95

70.35

100.70

Neutral

Strong Buy

277

1.29

REXAM

488.60

420.70

547.50

Neutral

Strong Buy

1833

0.86

RICARDO

405.00

336.00

431.00

Neutral

Strong Buy

1723

0.87

ROBERT WALTERS

219.25

176.25

234.00

Neutral

Strong Buy

1042

1.19

RPC GROUP

438.40

378.00

477.00

Neutral

Strong Buy

1575

0.79

RPS GROUP

218.50

195.50

274.20

Neutral

Strong Buy

1031

1.51

SERCO GROUP

629.50

535.00

683.50

Neutral

Strong Buy

2449

0.60

SHANKS GROUP

82.75

73.00

98.00

Neutral

Strong Buy

289

1.50

RENTOKIL INITIAL

SPEEDY HIRE
TRIBAL GROUP
TRIFAST
VP
WYG

59.00

22.25

64.75

Neutral

Strong Buy

319

1.23

181.00

82.00

181.00

Neutral

Strong Buy

580

0.64

57.25

40.50

59.25

Neutral

Strong Buy

342

0.94

385.00

287.00

397.00

Neutral

Strong Buy

2183

0.80

89.50

42.00

89.50

Neutral

Strong Buy

631

0.82

Intellisys Intelligent Analysis Limited

www.intellisys.uk.com

19 July 2013
+44 20 3239 8994

Page 14 of 17

Over Valued

Telecommunication Services
Stock
BT GROUP
CABLE & WIRELESS COMMS.
INMARSAT
KCOM GROUP
TELECOM PLUS
VODAFONE GROUP

Price

12M Lo

12M Hi

ST Rec

LT Rec

332.10

210.20

344.00

Neutral

Buy

399

40.65

29.64

46.29

Neutral

Strong Buy

78

0.69

706.00

468.90

749.00

Neutral

Sell

180

0.57

Beta
0.89

83.20

68.25

88.50

Neutral

Buy

110

1.23

1309.00

790.00

1390.00

Neutral

Sell

618

0.03

191.35

154.45

199.90

Neutral

Sell

39

0.51

Under Valued

Transport
Stock

Target

Price

12M Lo

12M Hi

ST Rec

LT Rec

BBA AVIATION

285.00

178.00

291.00

Neutral

Sell

208

1.25

BRAEMAR SHIPPING SVS.

419.88

350.00

430.00

Neutral

Buy

543

1.06

CLARKSON

1870.00

1150.00

1870.00

Sell

Sell

1307

0.84

EASYJET

1406.00

530.00

1406.00

Neutral

Sell

773

0.74

FIRST GROUP

Target

Beta

93.25

92.00

212.39

Neutral

Strong Buy

230

0.91

FISHER(JAMES)& SONS

1060.00

590.00

1110.00

Neutral

Sell

792

0.75

GO-AHEAD GROUP

1595.00

1220.00

1595.00

Neutral

Buy

2186

1.00

NATIONAL EXPRESS

248.10

164.50

248.10

Neutral

Buy

294

1.40
1.33

NORTHGATE

362.75

195.50

369.50

Neutral

Strong Buy

714

STAGECOACH GROUP

331.50

265.90

334.40

Neutral

Buy

423

0.97

69.50

36.25

78.50

Neutral

Sell

-53

0.94

WINCANTON

Under Valued

Utilities
Stock

Price

12M Lo

12M Hi

ST Rec

LT Rec

CENTRICA

381.40

310.80

394.90

Neutral

Buy

534

0.50

NATIONAL GRID

764.50

641.00

847.50

Neutral

Buy

890

0.45

PENNON GROUP

692.00

598.00

796.00

Neutral

Neutral

747

0.61

SSE

1621.00

1294.00

1676.00

Neutral

Buy

2156

0.41

SEVERN TRENT

1761.00

1513.00

2090.00

Neutral

Sell

1484

0.34

720.00

647.00

787.50

Neutral

Neutral

707

0.48

UNITED UTILITIES GROUP

Intellisys Intelligent Analysis Limited

www.intellisys.uk.com

Target

Beta

19 July 2013
+44 20 3239 8994

Page 15 of 17

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