2013-01-23

SHENZHEN WORLDUNION PROPERTIES CONSULTANCY CO., LTD.

2012
2013

#2013#
1
2
3
4
5
@ 2012-12-22

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1
2
3
4
@ 2012-12-22

1
2
3
4
5

1
2
3
4

1+12

1+12

PPP
GDP2

GDPG20

GDP

55% 60% 60%

:3

100%
80%
60%

40%
20%

, 75%
, 26%

, 27%

, 24%

0%

2020


GDP
GDP/

2011
35181/

40000
35000
30000

1998
6796/

25000
20000

2011 GDP
35181/1978
92

15000
10000

1978
1979
1980
1981
1982
1983
1984
1985
1986
1987
1988
1989
1990
1991
1992
1993
1994
1995
1996
1997
1998
1999
2000
2001
2002
2003
2004
2005
2006
2007
2008
2009
2010
2011

5000

19780
381/

2012-07

2011-09

2011-04

2010-11

2010-06

2010-01

2009-08

2009-03

2008-10

2008-05

2007-12

2007-07

2007-02

2006-09

2006-04

2005-11

2005-06

2005-01

2012-02

2011
343636

450000
400000
350000
300000
250000
200000
150000
100000
50000
0

2011
3436361978
2111629


2500020052902015
850

22%

46
14%

31-46
64%

15000
10000
5000

2010

2008

2006

2004

2002

2000

1998

1996

1994

1992

1990

1988

1986

1984

1978
343/0
1982

65%226%
31848%
4

1998
5425/

20000

1980

25000
39%2015
47%

2011
21810/

25000

1978

5
3123.4%

5160.9
102011
640

$25000

2005

290

180

2015

850

1170

5.5

60%

M1

40%

30.00%

20%

20.00%

0%

10.00%

-20%

-40%

103

40.00%

07.2 07.5 07.8 07.11 08.3 08.6 08.9 08.12 09.4 09.7 09.10 10.2 10.5 10.8 10.11 11.3 11.6

M1

M1

0.00%

50%

102

40%

101

30%

100

20%

99

10%

98

0%
06.1 06.5 06.9 07.1 07.5 07.9 08.1 08.5 08.9 09.1 09.5 09.9 10.1 10.5 10.9 11.1 11.5

M1

M2

M2

M1M2
M2

2012

2012

%
2.5

300%100%

250% 80%

2.0

200%

150%

1.5

100%
1.0

50%
0%

0.5

60%
40%
20%
0%

-50% -20%

2012/11

2012/09

2012/07

2012/05

2012/03

2012/01

2011/11

2011/09

2011/07

2011/05

2011/03

2011/01

2012-10

2012-07

2012-04

2012-01

2011-10

2011-07

2011-04

2011-01

2010-10

2010-07

2010-04

-100%-40%
2010-01

0.0


1CPI

CPI

CPI:

100%

10%

2CPI3%

80%

8%

3CPI3%5%
60%

6%

40%

4%

4CPI5%

20%

0%

0%

-20%

6 CPICPI5%
CPI
5% -40%

-2%
-4%
1999-01
1999-09
2000-05
2001-01
2001-09
2002-05
2003-01
2003-09
2004-05
2005-01
2005-09
2006-05
2007-01
2007-09
2008-05
2009-01
2009-09
2010-05
2011-01
2011-09
2012-05

5CPI
CPI

2%

2012

120000

2012/11

2012/10

160000

2012/09

2012/08

2012/07

2012/06

2012/05

2012/04

2012/03

2012/02

2012/01

2011/12

2011/11

2011/10

180000

2011/09

2011/08

2011/07

2011/06

2011/05

2011/04

2011/03

2011/02

2011/01

2
2510
151112

152,707

140000

123,909

100000

80000

60000

40000

20000

201209

201207

8.0

201205

201203

5096/

201201

201111

201109

201107

4739/

201105

9.2

201103

201101

201011

201009

5.6

201007

8.5

201005

201003

201001

200911

4000

200909

12000

200907

3654

200905

10000

200903

200901

200811

200809

200807

200805

200803

200801

3
1-118.12.3%5494
7.8%
5494/ 7.8

4474/

8000

2000

7000

6000

5000

4000

6000
3000

8.1(1-11
2.3
2000
1000

20111-10

30%

20121-10

26.2%

25%
18.2%

20%

13.3%

15%

9.0%

10%
5%
0%

-1.2%

-5%

-6.1%

-10%
-15%

-5.7%

-12.6%

6
28
625121120
625121031
625121010
62512920
62512831
62512810
62512720
62512630
62512610
62512520
62512430
6251249
62512319
62512229
6251223
6251229
625125
6251113
6251023
625108
625913
625826
62583
625720

683
317 178 180
662
315 177 180
643
311 175 179
610
306 174 178
590
297 169 173
567
291 163 167
550
284 161 165
536
275 158 162
516
271 155 159
502
258 151 144
480
248 146136
442
230 129130
419
215 117118
389
206 106100
340 182 9186
326 176 8585
300 1576466
258 12246
47
200 103
35
34
10%
157 8730
26
10-15%
11258
18
17
8948
10
8
15-20%
52
36
4
2
27
18
1
20%

28
12611
1120

212

12611
1031

173

12611
1010

118

12611
831

94

12611
720

37 2915

144

12611
920

12611
810

41 34 20

26 2514

212110

17179

66 15137

41 1295

12611
18764
630

10%
10-15%
15-20%
20%

200701
200703
200705
200707
200709
200711
200801
200803
200805
200807
200809
200811
200901
200903
200905
200907
200909
200911
201001
201003
201005
201007
201009
201011
201101
201103
201105
201107
201109
201111
201201
201203
201205
201207
201209
201211

5712
1114.6%07751.6%10446.7%
60%

51.6%

50%
46.7%

40%

30%

20%
14.6%

10%
7.5%

0%

144
10
144144

10
144

23.3%
41.9%

90
90<144
>144

34.7%


120
144

6%
8%

5%

<=90
90<X<=120

4%

120<X<=140

77%

140<X<=160
>160

5% 6%

31%

18%

<=90
90<X<=120

48

120<X<=140
140<X<=160

40%

>160


120
144

4%
19%

4%
40%

<=90

90<X<=120
120<X<=140

33%

140<X<=160
>160

3% 4%

<=90

14%

48

26%

53%

90<X<=120
120<X<=140

140<X<=160
>160


140120-140
144

13%
8%

32%

<=90

90<X<=120

30%

120<X<=140

17%

140<X<=160
>160

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48

4%
37%

<=90
90<X<=120

29%

120<X<=140

22%

140<X<=160
>160


114121
122

+/

1.4
1.2
1.0
0.8
0.6
0.4
0.2

2012Q2

2012Q1

2011Q4

2011Q3

2011Q2

2011Q1

2010Q4

2010Q3

2010Q2

2010Q1

2009Q4

2009Q3

2009Q2

2009Q1

2008Q4

2008Q3

2008Q2

2008Q1

0.0

20121-11

920.32
301
64.9
846.3
1059
305.8
150
420.9
358.6
112
103.5
293
422.86
1271.5
270.7
298.9
290
110
484

800
300
60
800
800
300
165
430
390
120
130
270
300
1215
315
300
320
120
400

101.91%
100.33%
108.00%
105.79%
132.00%
101.93%
90.91%
97.88%
92.00%
93.00%
79.62%
108.52%
138.00%
104.65%
85.94%
99.63%
90.63%
91.67%
121.00%

201211

201210

201209

201208

201207

16

201206

201205

201204

201203

201202

201201

40

14

12

10

201210

201206

201202

201110

201106

-40%

201102

-10%
201010

-20%

201006

0%

201002

10%

200910

20%

200906

200902

100%

200810

60%

200806

200802

201210

201206

201202

201110

201106

201102

201010

201006

201002

200910

200906

200902

70%

200810

200806

200802

80%

50%
60%

40%
40%

30%

20%
0%

2013


25-45

500

%
40% 500

450

35%

450

35

400

400

30%

350

40

30

350

300

25% 300

25

250

20% 250

20

15%

150

10%

100

5%

50

0%
1950
1956
1962
1968
1974
1980
1986
1992
1998
2004
2010
2016
2022
2028
2034
2040
2046

200

15

150

10

100

50
0

0
1950
1955
1960
1965
1970
1975
1980
1985
1990
1995
2000
2005
2010
2015
2020
2025
2030
2035
2040
2045
2050

200


80

13000

20-24

12547.9

25-29

30-34

12231.9

12000

11126.5

11000

10993.1
10035.4

10293.7
10000
9645.4

9821.3

9000

8774.5
9177.2
8254.2

8000

8733.7
8550.8

7975.5

8393.9

9243.0
9021.2
9110.2

8535.5

8605.6

8647.6

2007

2008

2009

8733.7

8535.5

8167.9

7000
2003

2004

2005

2006

2012E

2004

12%

2009

11%

7%

5%
10%

8%
20%

22%

20%
25%

31%

29%


/GNP0914%

/GNP2009
0.9

0.82

0.81

0.8
0.7
0.6
0.5
0.41

0.45
0.39

0.4

0.38

0.34

0.3
0.2

0.14

0.1
0

25000
21810
19109

20000
17175
15781
15000

13786

10000

5000

4283

6280
5425 5854
5160
4839

6860

7703

8472

9422

10493

11759

2011

2010

2009

2008

2007

2006

2005

2004

2003

2002

2001

2000

1999

1998

1997

1996

1995

63%
63%

5%

2%

7%

23%

63%

201404

201401

201310

201307

201304

201301

201210

201207

201204

201201

201110

14000

201107

1.5

201104

201101

201010

201007

201004

201001

200910

200907

200904

200901

200810

8000

200807

16000

200804

200801

200710

200707

200704

200701

200610

200607

200604

6000

200601

200510

200507

2013
1.513
13

1314

1112

12000

10000

08

06

4000

2000


144

>144

120<144

90<120

90

100%
19%

80%

60%

29%
15%

15%

40%

24%

26%

25%

23%

24%

18%

17%

30%

33%

34%

17%
51%

20%

0%


FDI

5.0

4.5

4.0

:2

:10

3.5
3.0

2.5

2.0
1.5
1.0
0.5

2012/11/01

2012/09/01

2012/07/01

2012/05/01

2012/03/01

2012/01/01

2011/11/01

2011/09/01

2011/07/01

2011/05/01

2011/03/01

2011/01/01

2010/11/01

2010/09/01

2010/07/01

2010/05/01

2010/03/01

2010/01/01

2009/11/01

2009/09/01

2009/07/01

2009/05/01

2009/03/01

2009/01/01

2008/11/01

2008/09/01

2008/07/01

0.0


142A

70

A
60

50

40

30

20

10

(10)
0

50

100

150

200

250

300

350

400

450

500

70000.0

25.0%

60000.0

19.2%

20.0%

50000.0

14.2%
40000.0

10.9%
30000.0

20000.0

8.4%

8.4%

11.8%
10.1%

14.8%

14.0%

15.0%

10.7%
10.0%

8.1%

6.7%
5.0%

10000.0

0.0

0.0%
2007

2008

2009

2010

2011

2012Q3

IPO

SHENZHEN WORLDUNION PROPERTIES CONSULTANCY CO.,LTD