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02 August 2013

Contents
Introduction .................................................................................................................................3
Value ...........................................................................................................................................4
Conclusion ..................................................................................................................................4
RISK WARNING Ratings and Targets ....................................................................................4
How to use the report .................................................................................................................5
Under Valued .....................................................................6
Aerospace & Defence
Unde r V a lue d ......................................................................6

Automobiles & Parts


Banks
Beverages

Over Valued .........................................................................................6


Under Valued ..................................................................................6

Under Valued ..................................................................................6


Under Valued ....................................................7
Construction & Building Materials

Chemicals

Electronics & Electrical Equipment


Engineering & Machinery
Food & Drug Stores

Under Valued ..................................................7


Under Valued ...............................................................8

Over Valued .......................................................................8


Over Valued ........................................................8

Food Producers & Processors


Under Valued ..............................................................................9
General Retail
Over Valued .........................................................................................9
Health
Over Valued ..........................................................9
Over Valued ...............................................9

Household Goods & Textiles

Information Technology & Hardware


Under Valued ................................................................................... 10
Insurance
Over Valued ..................................................................... 10
Leisure & Hotels
Life Assurance

Under Valued .................................................................... 10


Under Valued ................................................................ 11

Media & Entertainment


Under Valued ...................................................................................... 11
Mining
Under Valued ................................................................................... 11
Oil & Gas
Over Valued .......................................... 12
Under Valued ................................................ 12

Personal Care & Household Products

Pharmaceuticals & Biotechnology


Under Valued ..................................................................... 12
Real Estate - REIT
Under Valued ..................................................................... 13
Real Estate REIS
Software & Computer Services
Speciality & Other Finance
Support Services

Under Valued .................................................... 13


Under Valued .......................................................... 13
Under Valued ..................................................................... 14
Over Valued ....................................................... 14

Telecommunication Services
Over Valued ................................................................................... 15
Transport
Under Valued ....................................................................................... 15
Utilities
DISCLAIMER ........................................................................................................................... 16
RISK WARNING ...................................................................................................................... 17

Intellisys Intelligent Analysis Limited

www.intellisys.uk.com

02 August 2013
+44 20 3239 8994

Page 2 of 17

Introduction
The overriding purpose of this daily report is to provide users with a quick guide that will identify those
shares that merit their investment attention in an increasingly time critical and information noisy trading
environment.
The report is published daily and delivered to the subscribers personal email box, typically, before the
official open of the London Stock Markets.
Putting aside luck, Intellisys recognises that the timing and value of an investment are the two primary
drivers behind a successful portfolio performance.
Timing
Intellisys has invested considerably in identifying what it believes are the key factors that influence
investment timing. Having identified the key parameters, these have been established as rules that reflect
market dynamics and cut through the daily investment noise.
Through this discipline, Intellisys has removed the emotional and sentimental factors as well as the daily
pressures exerted upon primary stock promoters (analysts and traders) to find stories for their investment
meetings.
From an analysis of a years data for 40 stocks within Intellisys stock coverage, the trading indicators
appear to be, on average, about 77% accurate in identifying good trading points as well as some 74%
accurate for overall trend correlation.
The following chart provides an indication the accuracy scores for each of the 40 stocks analysed.
Individual Stock Rating & Trend Accuracy Scores
120.0%

120.0%

110.0%

110.0%

100.0%

100.0%

90.0%

90.0%

80.0%

80.0%

70.0%

70.0%

60.0%

60.0%

50.0%

50.0%

40.0%

40.0%

30.0%

30.0%

20.0%

20.0%
1

9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 30 31 32 33 34 35 36 37 38 39 40
Best Buy/Sell

Trend

Source: Intellisys

Intellisys Intelligent Analysis Limited

www.intellisys.uk.com

02 August 2013
+44 20 3239 8994

Page 3 of 17

Value
A similar discipline has been applied to the process of establishing Target Indications. On a daily basis,
Intellisys analyses as broad an array of historic data from not only the Consolidated Income Statement but
also the Balance Sheet and Cash Flow Statement and then utilises this data within its proprietary valuation
models.
Intellisys architect, Philip Morrish, has successfully applied these disciplines to his investment research for
the last 15+ years. Additionally, these investment valuation techniques lend themselves to accurate crossborder analysis.
The resultant Target is also discounted to a Net Present Value to make the Target as realistically valid as
possible.
Nevertheless, Intellisys recognises that Target Indication delivery is not only a function of market levels but
a management teams ability to establish and maintain a value generating operating environment set
against a constantly changing global background.
The typical investment analysts approach to determining target prices is to start with a modest range of
some 6 8 valuation measures and remove those that are not providing the intuitive result. Intellysis
approach is the opposite we use as many valuation methodologies as possible.
Further, Intellisys recognises that some target Indications may appear strange or extreme. However,
subscribers should not dismiss these outcomes but use them as starting points to challenge their
established or perceived valuation opinion of a stock.
In short, this disciplined approach provides an investment reality check to assist investors from falling in
love with a stock or becoming mesmerised by management cults.
Conclusion
No investment methodology is 100% successful and like all trading and investment systems active position
monitoring is critical for maximised investment performance.
Therefore, Intellisys recommends that its products should be used in conjunction with, and not separate
from subscribers existing investment systems as well as discussing investment options with their financial
advisers.
Philip Morrish (philip.morrish@intellisys.uk.com)

RISK WARNING Ratings and Targets


Intellisys does not make personal recommendations. The information in this publication is provided
solely to enable you to make your own investment decisions. If you are unsure about dealing in shares
and other equity investments, you must contact your financial adviser as these types of investments may
not be suitable for everyone. The value of stocks and shares, and the income from them, can fall as well as
rise and you may not get back the full amount you originally invested. If denominated in a foreign currency,
fluctuations in the exchange rate will also affect the value of stocks and shares and the income from them.
Past performance is not necessarily a guide to future performance.

Intellisys Intelligent Analysis Limited

www.intellisys.uk.com

02 August 2013
+44 20 3239 8994

Page 4 of 17

How to use the report


This daily report is typically available for download as a PDF from 7am - well in advance of the markets
open - and is based upon previous days closing prices.
We have kept the report deliberately simple for quick reading and identification of the shares most likely to
be active as can be seen from the following:

Longer term action based


upon implied target price
Todays action
Sector

Implied target
price based upon
49 valuation
metrics

Closing price

General Retail
Stock
ASHLEY(LAURA) HOLDINGS
BROWN (N) GROUP
BURBERRY GROUP
CARPETRIGHT
DIXONS RETAIL
FINDEL
FRENCH CONNECTN.GROUP
HALFORDS GROUP
JJB SPORTS SUSP - 24/09/12
JD SPORTS FASHION
DARTY
KINGFISHER
MARKS & SPENCER GROUP
MOSS BROTHERS GROUP
MOTHERCARE
NEXT
TED BAKER
TOPPS TILES

Company

Price
29.00
266.70
1136.00
675.00
21.16
6.36
23.50
324.70
0.40
731.00
57.25
269.80
377.90
55.00
212.00
3576.00
951.50
49.25

12M Lo
18.50
222.40
1000.00
375.00
9.36
2.20
19.50
189.00
0.24
570.00
38.00
237.20
302.70
31.25
127.30
2540.00
633.00
21.50

12M Hi
29.50
282.70
1586.00
728.50
21.69
6.55
82.00
342.30
17.00
863.00
110.60
313.80
389.50
55.00
227.00
3644.00
1017.00
51.75

ST Rec
Neutral
Neutral
Neutral
Neutral
Neutral
Neutral
Neutral
Neutral
Neutral
Neutral
Neutral
Neutral
Neutral
Sell
Neutral
Neutral
Neutral
Neutral

Latest 12 month Hi/Lo for


the share price

LT Rec
Neutral
Buy
Sell
Sell
Strong Buy
Sell
Strong Buy
Buy
Sell
Strong Buy
Strong Buy
Buy
Buy
Buy
Sell
Sell
Sell
Sell

Target
30
298
739
268
38
4
112
415
-62
1341
321
365
448
61
97
2798
542
29

Beta
0.72
0.52
1.30
0.97
1.56
0.94
1.05
0.67
0.88
0.47
1.28
0.97
0.74
1.04
0.44
0.72
0.56
1.31

eta measures a shares


volatility/risk relative to
market (see below)

Beta is a measure of a stock's volatility or risk relative to its market. The market has a beta
of 1.0 and individual shares are attributed a beta according to how much they deviate from
the market. This can be summarised as:
eta <1.0

Share should move by less than market (i.e., less risk/lower reward)

eta =1.0

Share should move in line with the market (i.e., market neutral)

eta >1.0

Share should move by more than market (i.e., higher risk/higher reward)

Intellisys Intelligent Analysis Limited

www.intellisys.uk.com

02 August 2013
+44 20 3239 8994

Page 5 of 17

Under Valued

Aerospace & Defence


Stock

Price

12M Lo

12M Hi

ST Rec

LT Rec

BAE SYSTEMS

448.70

300.80

448.70

Neutral

Buy

Target
616

Beta
0.68

CHEMRING GROUP

310.00

217.00

414.70

Neutral

Buy

367

0.66

COBHAM

291.90

190.10

293.40

Neutral

Neutral

304

0.83

MEGGITT

555.00

366.20

562.00

Neutral

Neutral

536

1.30

ROLLS-ROYCE HOLDINGS

1192.00

799.39

1240.00

Neutral

Neutral

1181

1.01

SMITHS GROUP

1397.00

1011.00

1397.00

Neutral

Sell

1179

0.77

ULTRA ELECTRONICS HDG.

1823.00

1435.00

1843.00

Neutral

Neutral

1737

0.51

Unde r V a lue d

Automobiles & Parts


Stock

Price

12M Lo

12M Hi

ST Rec

LT Rec

GKN

352.60

201.00

352.60

Neutral

Neutral

345

1.96

INCHCAPE

587.00

353.30

587.00

Neutral

Neutral

616

1.42

LOOKERS

121.75

64.50

122.00

Neutral

Sell

108

1.23

28.00

13.50

28.75

Neutral

Strong Buy

42

1.11

PENDRAGON

Target

Over Valued

Banks
Stock

Beta

Price

12M Lo

12M Hi

ST Rec

LT Rec

Target

Beta

BARCLAYS

291.10

162.30

333.85

Neutral

Sell

-830

1.94

HSBC HDG. (ORD $0.50)

754.20

538.70

769.90

Neutral

Buy

895

1.16

74.00

29.39

74.00

Sell

Sell

1.86

LLOYDS BANKING GROUP


ROYAL BANK OF SCTL.GP.

333.50

204.50

367.80

Neutral

Sell

-124

1.37

STANDARD CHARTERED

1551.00

1228.50

1837.50

Neutral

Strong Buy

3508

1.65

Under Valued

Beverages
Stock

Price

12M Lo

12M Hi

ST Rec

LT Rec

554.00

415.00

588.50

Neutral

Sell

494

0.58

DIAGEO

2077.00

1672.50

2085.00

Neutral

Neutral

2241

0.53

SABMILLER

3284.00

2599.00

3657.00

Neutral

Buy

4395

0.93

BARR (AG)

Target

Beta

Under Valued

Chemicals
Stock

Price

12M Lo

12M Hi

ST Rec

LT Rec

ALENT

371.00

305.00

397.50

Neutral

Buy

461

#NA

AZ ELECTRONIC MATS.(DI)

310.00

240.00

406.40

Neutral

Strong Buy

563

1.21

CARCLO

374.50

342.75

503.00

Neutral

Sell

150

0.76

2533.00

2164.00

2841.00

Neutral

Buy

3172

1.06

CRODA INTERNATIONAL
ELEMENTIS

Target

Beta

252.70

201.70

275.00

Neutral

Buy

312

1.04

JOHNSON MATTHEY

2883.00

2102.27

2883.00

Neutral

Strong Buy

4410

1.44

VICTREX

1520.00

1239.00

1765.00

Neutral

Sell

1337

1.19

SYNTHOMER

199.10

139.10

225.80

Neutral

Strong Buy

406

1.11

ZOTEFOAMS

212.50

171.50

225.00

Neutral

Buy

304

0.99

Intellisys Intelligent Analysis Limited

www.intellisys.uk.com

02 August 2013
+44 20 3239 8994

Page 6 of 17

Under Valued

Construction & Building Materials


Stock

Price

12M Lo

12M Hi

ST Rec

LT Rec

ALUMASC GROUP

115.50

63.00

118.50

Neutral

Strong Buy

Target
280

Beta

BALFOUR BEATTY

249.00

207.60

320.80

Neutral

Strong Buy

1144

0.83

BARRATT DEVELOPMENTS

334.00

134.10

352.00

Neutral

Strong Buy

614

1.61
1.00

0.52

BELLWAY

1400.00

802.00

1455.00

Neutral

Strong Buy

2886

BERKELEY GROUP HDG.(THE)

2276.00

1387.00

2325.00

Neutral

Strong Buy

3516

0.57

BOOT (HENRY)

187.50

117.00

201.00

Neutral

Strong Buy

368

0.76
1.11

BOVIS HOMES GROUP

800.50

452.00

851.50

Neutral

Strong Buy

1449

CARILLION

300.00

244.80

331.80

Neutral

Strong Buy

1556

1.10

CLARKE (T)

54.38

40.00

61.50

Neutral

Strong Buy

390

0.80

282.25

210.00

306.00

Neutral

Strong Buy

1143

0.51

CRH

COSTAIN GROUP

1405.00

1090.00

1540.00

Neutral

Sell

913

1.05

GALLIFORD TRY

1002.00

610.00

1019.00

Neutral

Strong Buy

2977

0.95

KELLER

1103.00

443.75

1161.00

Neutral

Strong Buy

2408

1.26

KIER GROUP

1487.00

1106.00

1487.00

Neutral

Strong Buy

5385

0.94

70.25

50.00

76.75

Neutral

Strong Buy

227

1.05
1.32

LOW & BONAR


MARSHALLS

150.00

77.00

152.75

Neutral

Buy

205

MORGAN SINDALL GROUP

662.00

508.00

695.00

Neutral

Strong Buy

4576

0.69

16.75

11.00

18.25

Neutral

Strong Buy

61

1.07

NORCROS

1242.00

580.72

1305.00

Neutral

Strong Buy

2018

1.04

REDROW

PERSIMMON

241.20

127.80

253.30

Neutral

Strong Buy

459

0.89

SIG

182.70

93.70

183.00

Neutral

Strong Buy

532

1.72

45.50

43.00

287.50

Neutral

Strong Buy

4284

0.88

107.10

46.15

108.00

Neutral

Strong Buy

229

1.62

SUPERGLASS HOLDINGS
TAYLOR WIMPEY
TRAVIS PERKINS

1713.00

1005.00

1713.00

Neutral

Strong Buy

4452

1.92

WOLSELEY

3237.00

2287.42

3483.00

Neutral

Strong Buy

6054

1.37

Under Valued

Electronics & Electrical Equipment


Stock

Price

12M Lo

12M Hi

ST Rec

LT Rec

1170.00

999.50

1365.00

Neutral

Sell

1038

0.69

DOMINO PRINTING SCIENCES

641.00

522.00

717.00

Neutral

Buy

871

1.16

E2V TECHNOLOGIES

130.00

105.50

137.75

Neutral

Strong Buy

271

1.27

INVENSYS

506.00

217.33

509.50

Neutral

Sell

271

1.36

LAIRD

194.00

171.10

249.30

Neutral

Strong Buy

439

2.12

OXFORD INSTRUMENTS

1400.00

1209.00

1752.00

Neutral

Sell

1279

1.11

RENISHAW

1585.00

1494.00

2081.00

Neutral

Buy

2037

1.30

SPECTRIS

2191.00

1506.00

2470.00

Neutral

Buy

2780

1.52

74.00

74.00

303.67

Neutral

Sell

-516

0.75

TT ELECTRONICS

174.00

114.00

178.50

Neutral

Strong Buy

425

1.61

XAAR

844.00

227.00

898.00

Neutral

Sell

415

1.09

DIALIGHT

BIOME TECHNOLOGIES

Intellisys Intelligent Analysis Limited

www.intellisys.uk.com

Target

Beta

02 August 2013
+44 20 3239 8994

Page 7 of 17

Under Valued

Engineering & Machinery


Stock

Price

12M Lo

12M Hi

ST Rec

LT Rec

AGA RANGEMASTER GROUP

94.50

54.25

94.50

Neutral

Buy

138

1.18

BODYCOTE

631.00

323.70

631.00

Sell

Neutral

620

1.58

CASTINGS

425.00

291.00

425.00

Neutral

Strong Buy

655

0.94

VESUVIUS

440.00

263.19

440.00

Neutral

Strong Buy

1124

2.23

FENNER

348.40

305.90

435.20

Neutral

Strong Buy

540

1.46

HALMA

558.00

398.50

558.00

Neutral

Sell

404

0.77

HILL & SMITH

432.50

302.00

480.00

Neutral

Buy

525

1.36

1422.00

802.50

1422.00

Sell

Strong Buy

4663

1.40

314.50

220.30

314.50

Neutral

Strong Buy

526

1.87

2672.00

2157.00

3037.00

Neutral

Sell

878

1.03

272.80

185.90

281.80

Neutral

Sell

240

1.66

57.50

35.40

80.16

Neutral

Sell

45

0.75

SPIRAX-SARCO

2910.00

1932.53

2928.35

Neutral

Sell

2077

0.84

VITEC GROUP

575.50

559.00

740.00

Neutral

Sell

465

1.41

WEIR GROUP

2203.00

1566.00

2474.00

Neutral

Neutral

2133

1.47

IMI
MORGAN ADVANCED MATERIAL
ROTORK
SENIOR
SEVERFIELD-ROWEN

Target

Over Valued

Food & Drug Stores


Stock

Beta

Price

12M Lo

12M Hi

ST Rec

LT Rec

GREGGS

440.00

398.00

523.50

Neutral

Strong Buy

795

0.43

MORRISON(WM)SPMKTS.

290.40

248.60

296.40

Neutral

Buy

398

0.36

SAINSBURY (J)

395.30

320.10

398.50

Neutral

Buy

484

0.54

TESCO

370.25

307.90

387.75

Neutral

Sell

200

0.66

82.50

23.25

100.50

Neutral

Sell

52

0.82

THORNTONS

Target

Over Valued

Food Producers & Processors


Stock

Beta

Price

12M Lo

12M Hi

ST Rec

LT Rec

Target

Beta

ASSOCIATED BRIT.FOODS

1954.00

1267.00

2031.00

Neutral

Sell

1668

0.59

CRANSWICK

1153.00

732.50

1178.00

Neutral

Strong Buy

1817

0.35

DAIRY CREST

500.50

332.90

510.00

Neutral

Sell

365

0.89

DEVRO

327.00

289.90

380.00

Neutral

Strong Buy

539

0.34

91.00

54.50

125.75

Neutral

Strong Buy

247

1.22

846.50

634.50

883.00

Neutral

Strong Buy

1410

0.68

2708.00

2235.00

2885.00

Neutral

Sell

2304

0.52

PREMIER FOODS
TATE & LYLE
UNILEVER (UK)

Intellisys Intelligent Analysis Limited

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02 August 2013
+44 20 3239 8994

Page 8 of 17

Under Valued

General Retail
Stock

Price

12M Lo

12M Hi

ST Rec

LT Rec

ASHLEY(LAURA) HOLDINGS

25.50

22.13

29.50

Neutral

Strong Buy

39

0.67

528.00

264.20

528.00

Sell

Sell

463

0.47

1563.00

1000.00

1563.00

Neutral

Sell

1248

1.27

672.50

585.00

701.50

Neutral

Sell

353

0.89

45.01

15.32

46.16

Neutral

Neutral

46

1.46

202.88

58.50

205.00

Neutral

Sell

58

1.05

32.75

19.50

34.00

Sell

Strong Buy

111

1.00

HALFORDS GROUP

369.90

205.50

405.20

Neutral

Buy

517

0.68

JD SPORTS FASHION

879.00

651.00

925.00

Neutral

Strong Buy

1771

0.51

BROWN (N) GROUP


BURBERRY GROUP
CARPETRIGHT
DIXONS RETAIL
FINDEL
FRENCH CONNECTN.GROUP

DARTY

Target

Beta

76.50

39.00

80.00

Neutral

Buy

110

1.19

KINGFISHER

404.90

262.20

404.90

Neutral

Buy

450

0.87

MARKS & SPENCER GROUP

485.10

334.00

485.40

Neutral

Buy

646

0.61

60.75

44.75

71.00

Neutral

Buy

74

0.98

424.00

194.75

492.75

Neutral

Sell

153

0.38

NEXT

5030.00

3320.00

5030.00

Neutral

Neutral

5420

0.59

TED BAKER

1948.00

891.00

1948.00

Sell

Sell

981

0.54

88.00

43.50

89.00

Neutral

Sell

77

1.50

MOSS BROTHERS GROUP


MOTHERCARE

TOPPS TILES

Over Valued

Health
Stock

Price

12M Lo

12M Hi

ST Rec

LT Rec

BIOQUELL

134.00

129.50

160.00

Neutral

Sell

Target
112

0.39

CONSORT MEDICAL

796.00

660.50

839.00

Neutral

Sell

566

0.38

OPTOS

159.50

106.75

222.75

Neutral

Neutral

170

1.23

SMITH & NEPHEW

787.50

638.00

795.00

Neutral

Sell

667

0.44

Over Valued

Household Goods & Textiles


Stock

Beta

Price

12M Lo

12M Hi

ST Rec

LT Rec

GAMES WORKSHOP

792.50

587.50

792.50

Neutral

Neutral

776

0.38

HEADLAM GROUP

387.00

272.50

387.00

Neutral

Sell

327

0.89

80.50

55.25

88.50

Neutral

Buy

112

0.71

HORNBY

Target

Over Valued

Information Technology & Hardware


Stock

Beta

Price

12M Lo

12M Hi

ST Rec

LT Rec

ARM HOLDINGS

889.00

528.00

1097.00

Neutral

Sell

292

0.70

CSR

568.00

308.10

607.00

Neutral

Strong Buy

1555

1.12

FILTRONIC
IMAGINATION TECHNOLOGIES

Target

Beta

61.50

28.38

83.25

Neutral

Sell

52

0.94

246.60

235.10

624.00

Neutral

Buy

317

1.09

SPIRENT COMMUNICATIONS

146.90

118.00

170.00

Neutral

Strong Buy

251

0.94

WOLFSON MICROELECTRONICS

154.00

140.00

230.00

Neutral

Sell

-190

0.96

Intellisys Intelligent Analysis Limited

www.intellisys.uk.com

02 August 2013
+44 20 3239 8994

Page 9 of 17

Under Valued

Insurance
Stock

Price

12M Lo

12M Hi

ST Rec

LT Rec

Target

Beta

1381.00

1019.00

1416.00

Neutral

Sell

-484

0.50

AMLIN

407.10

364.10

435.10

Neutral

Strong Buy

1604

0.39

BEAZLEY

220.70

156.70

242.70

Neutral

Strong Buy

998

0.52

CATLIN GROUP

510.00

424.00

552.50

Neutral

Sell

473

0.22

HISCOX

660.00

452.39

660.00

Sell

Strong Buy

1995

0.41

JARDINE LLOYD THOMPSON

895.00

723.00

917.00

Neutral

Buy

1281

0.33

RSA INSURANCE GROUP

122.90

107.70

136.30

Neutral

Strong Buy

759

0.39

NOVAE GROUP

491.50

345.00

507.50

Neutral

Strong Buy

3589

0.41

ADMIRAL GROUP

Over Valued

Leisure & Hotels


Stock

Price

12M Lo

12M Hi

ST Rec

LT Rec

Target

Beta

2584.00

2092.00

2628.00

Neutral

Buy

3721

0.92

ENTERPRISE INNS

142.20

55.50

142.20

Neutral

Sell

120

1.62

TUI TRAVEL

386.10

182.00

386.10

Neutral

Strong Buy

753

0.96

FULLER SMITH 'A'

955.00

700.50

958.00

Neutral

Sell

637

0.25

GREENE KING

879.00

556.50

886.00

Neutral

Sell

656

0.85

LADBROKES

217.50

156.80

243.10

Neutral

Buy

270

0.87

1907.00

1524.00

2039.00

Neutral

Sell

1698

1.12

CARNIVAL

ICTL.HTLS.GP.
MILLENNIUM & CPTH.HTLS.

554.50

456.00

582.50

Neutral

Neutral

607

1.37

MITCHELLS & BUTLERS

416.80

262.00

426.80

Neutral

Sell

293

0.96

BWIN PARTY DIGITAL ENTM.

141.20

91.90

156.00

Neutral

Sell

66

1.23

12.75

6.10

13.75

Neutral

Strong Buy

78

1.18

160.00

116.00

177.50

Neutral

Strong Buy

583

0.97
0.70

PUNCH TAVERNS
RANK GROUP
RESTAURANT GROUP

531.00

315.50

557.50

Neutral

Sell

402

WETHERSPOON (JD)

707.50

447.90

767.00

Neutral

Neutral

721

0.56

WHITBREAD

3247.00

2067.00

3247.00

Neutral

Sell

2257

0.99

WILLIAM HILL

494.50

271.02

494.50

Neutral

Sell

266

0.79

MARSTON'S

155.80

109.70

164.50

Neutral

Sell

19

1.15

Under Valued

Life Assurance
Stock

Price

12M Lo

12M Hi

ST Rec

LT Rec

AVIVA

377.30

285.20

388.40

Neutral

Sell

351

1.17

CHESNARA

254.00

163.00

270.00

Neutral

Strong Buy

511

0.67

LEGAL & GENERAL

194.90

126.60

194.90

Sell

Strong Buy

489

1.70

OLD MUTUAL

198.10

159.20

221.60

Neutral

Strong Buy

409

1.52

PRUDENTIAL

1187.00

746.00

1203.00

Neutral

Neutral

1202

1.66

624.50

336.20

640.00

Neutral

Strong Buy

6890

0.82

ST.JAMES'S PLACE

Intellisys Intelligent Analysis Limited

www.intellisys.uk.com

Target

Beta

02 August 2013
+44 20 3239 8994

Page 10 of 17

Under Valued

Media & Entertainment


Stock

Price

12M Lo

12M Hi

ST Rec

LT Rec

BLOOMSBURY PBL.

139.50

102.00

146.50

Neutral

Strong Buy

922

0.38

BRITISH SKY BCAST.GROUP

833.00

709.00

899.50

Buy

Strong Buy

1056

0.47

CENTAUR MEDIA
DAILY MAIL 'A'
EUROMONEY INSTL.INVESTOR

Target

Beta

41.25

30.50

60.00

Neutral

Sell

-42

1.02

817.00

451.25

818.00

Neutral

Strong Buy

3556

1.07

1061.00

717.50

1105.00

Neutral

Strong Buy

5566

0.98

INFORMA

536.00

369.90

537.00

Neutral

Strong Buy

327

1.61

ITE GROUP

284.10

183.50

307.40

Neutral

Buy

201

1.49

ITV

167.70

76.10

168.60

Neutral

Strong Buy

1369

1.44
1.22

JOHNSTON PRESS

16.50

5.20

19.00

Neutral

Buy

720

1344.00

1119.00

1350.00

Neutral

Neutral

309

0.60

94.50

38.75

95.00

Neutral

Strong Buy

2283

0.87

286.50

265.00

288.50

Neutral

Strong Buy

732

0.12

35.76

26.85

36.45

Neutral

Strong Buy

346

0.51

STV GROUP

157.50

81.50

157.50

Neutral

Sell

240

0.82

ST.IVES

166.75

71.00

166.75

Neutral

Sell

159

1.48

TRINITY MIRROR

115.25

36.75

122.25

Neutral

Sell

-289

1.60

UBM

752.50

636.00

788.00

Neutral

Strong Buy

1421

1.31

PEARSON
PHOTO-ME INTL.
PINEWOOD SHEPPERTON
THOMSON REUTERS

WILMINGTON GROUP
WPP

165.50

99.50

166.50

Neutral

Strong Buy

1390

0.86

1202.00

788.00

1210.00

Neutral

Sell

-827

1.28

Under Valued

Mining
Stock

Price

12M Lo

12M Hi

ST Rec

LT Rec

Target

Beta

1483.00

1207.00

2084.00

Neutral

Sell

1244

1.84

ANGLO PACIFIC GROUP

188.00

161.00

290.00

Neutral

Buy

210

1.07

ANTOFAGASTA

913.50

784.50

1381.00

Neutral

Sell

851

1.43

1920.00

1666.50

2236.00

Neutral

Strong Buy

2960

1.49

GLENCORE XSTRATA

289.55

256.85

397.85

Neutral

Strong Buy

1013

#NA

LONMIN

318.10

240.84

411.96

Sell

Buy

437

2.08

RANDGOLD RESOURCES

4914.00

3972.00

7775.00

Neutral

Sell

2891

0.42

RIO TINTO

3038.00

2582.00

3757.00

Neutral

Sell

2439

1.54

861.00

1335.00

Neutral

Strong Buy

2774

2.25

ANGLO AMERICAN

BHP BILLITON

VEDANTA RESOURCES

Under Valued

Oil & Gas


Stock

Price

12M Lo

12M Hi

ST Rec

LT Rec

1198.00

1000.50

1350.50

Neutral

Sell

889

0.86

BP

458.50

416.60

483.30

Neutral

Strong Buy

1003

1.05

CAIRN ENERGY

271.70

251.80

309.40

Neutral

Sell

-22

1.35

7.59

7.15

12.50

Buy

Strong Buy

109

0.87

835.00

716.00

941.00

Neutral

Sell

568

1.37

62.75

48.50

96.00

Neutral

Sell

-59

1.43

BG GROUP

FORTUNE OIL
HUNTING
JKX OIL & GAS
PREMIER OIL
ROYAL DUTCH SHELL B
SOCO INTERNATIONAL
TULLOW OIL
WOOD GROUP (JOHN)

Beta

365.20

321.30

401.20

Neutral

Buy

406

1.47

2218.00

2098.00

2366.50

Neutral

Strong Buy

8232

0.86

369.00

319.90

404.30

Buy

Buy

478

0.57

1066.00

977.00

1468.00

Neutral

Sell

698

1.08

908.50

720.50

908.50

Neutral

Sell

724

1.45

Intellisys Intelligent Analysis Limited

www.intellisys.uk.com

Target

02 August 2013
+44 20 3239 8994

Page 11 of 17

Over Valued

Personal Care & Household Products


Stock

Price

12M Lo

12M Hi

ST Rec

LT Rec

MCBRIDE

134.00

101.00

144.60

Neutral

Strong Buy

260

0.79

PZ CUSSONS

390.10

297.20

415.60

Neutral

Sell

329

0.68

4717.00

3536.00

4950.00

Neutral

Neutral

4756

0.30

RECKITT BENCKISER GROUP

Target

Under Valued

Pharmaceuticals & Biotechnology


Stock

Beta

Price

12M Lo

12M Hi

ST Rec

LT Rec

0.49

0.36

3.58

Buy

Sell

-3

0.89

3334.00

2792.50

3521.50

Neutral

Strong Buy

9078

0.49

BTG

380.00

300.30

397.90

Neutral

Sell

215

0.73

DECHRA PHARMACEUTICALS

677.00

473.00

780.00

Neutral

Buy

927

0.20

1712.50

1317.50

1782.00

Neutral

Buy

1933

0.51

OXFORD BIOMEDICA

1.48

1.33

2.80

Buy

Sell

-2

0.60

PHYTOPHARM SUSP - 21/05/13

1.33

1.05

12.75

Buy

Sell

-6

0.96

2440.00

1727.00

2440.00

Neutral

Sell

1539

0.66

SKYEPHARMA

72.00

43.50

100.50

Neutral

Buy

102

0.68

VERNALIS

22.63

19.38

27.38

Neutral

Sell

11

0.88

ARK THERAPEUTICS GP.


ASTRAZENECA

GLAXOSMITHKLINE

SHIRE

Target

Under Valued

Real Estate - REIT


Stock

Beta

Price

12M Lo

12M Hi

ST Rec

LT Rec

BIG YELLOW GROUP

445.00

300.00

445.00

Neutral

Strong Buy

699

1.15

BRITISH LAND

608.00

506.00

658.00

Neutral

Buy

821

1.05

2463.00

1890.00

2542.00

Neutral

Strong Buy

4782

1.21

GREAT PORTLAND ESTATES

575.00

425.00

598.00

Neutral

Strong Buy

1112

1.05

HAMMERSON

536.00

448.60

554.00

Neutral

Neutral

546

1.24

DERWENT LONDON

Target

Beta

INTU PROPERTIES

333.00

300.60

366.00

Neutral

Strong Buy

538

1.12

LAND SECURITIES GROUP

963.50

761.50

994.00

Neutral

Strong Buy

1726

1.14

25.88

24.25

40.75

Buy

Sell

-159

0.87

LONDONMETRIC PROPERTY

116.50

103.20

121.40

Neutral

Sell

-6

0.30

MCKAY SECURITIES

148.00

131.50

155.00

Neutral

Strong Buy

264

0.66

MUCKLOW (A & J) GROUP

454.50

325.00

454.50

Neutral

Sell

242

0.36

PRIMARY HEALTH PROPS.

345.00

312.50

363.53

Neutral

Sell

105

0.30

41.50

26.11

43.25

Neutral

Sell

-392

0.64

SEGRO

313.60

221.60

313.60

Sell

Sell

-283

1.80

SHAFTESBURY

647.50

516.00

668.00

Neutral

Buy

839

1.02

TOWN CENTRE SECURITIES

200.50

171.12

223.00

Neutral

Sell

10

1.03

0.98

0.70

2.52

Neutral

Sell

-1019

0.96

475.00

245.00

475.00

Neutral

Strong Buy

1225

0.98

LOCAL SHOP.REIT (THE)

REDEFINE INTL.REIT

WARNER ESTATE
WORKSPACE GROUP

Intellisys Intelligent Analysis Limited

www.intellisys.uk.com

02 August 2013
+44 20 3239 8994

Page 12 of 17

Under Valued

Real Estate REIS


Stock

Price

12M Lo

12M Hi

ST Rec

LT Rec

365.60

210.50

365.60

Neutral

Strong Buy

811

35.00

22.75

37.50

Sell

Sell

-55

0.68

CLS HOLDINGS

1101.00

645.00

1120.00

Neutral

Strong Buy

3126

0.72

DAEJAN HOLDINGS

4179.00

2706.00

4179.00

Neutral

Strong Buy

7455

0.42

205.00

137.75

209.00

Neutral

Neutral

198

0.92

CAPITAL & CNTS.PROPS.


CAPITAL & REGIONAL

DEVELOPMENT SECS.

Target

Beta
0.65

GRAINGER

187.50

91.00

187.50

Sell

Sell

118

1.54

HELICAL BAR

300.00

178.00

302.50

Neutral

Sell

209

0.77

25.00

20.25

29.75

Neutral

Strong Buy

244

0.65

5987.50

4150.00

5987.50

Neutral

Strong Buy

15313

0.72

QUINTAIN ESTATES & DEV.

90.00

49.25

90.50

Sell

Sell

-209

1.04

RAVEN RUSSIA

71.00

61.50

79.75

Neutral

Strong Buy

224

1.51

644.00

370.00

644.00

Neutral

Strong Buy

2325

0.73

86.50

71.50

88.00

Neutral

Strong Buy

391

0.35

LONDON & ASSOCS.PROPS.


MOUNTVIEW ESTATES

SAVILLS
SMART (J)
ST MODWEN PROPS.

333.00

181.75

333.00

Neutral

Strong Buy

651

1.57

UNITE GROUP

403.00

214.75

403.00

Neutral

Strong Buy

1751

1.78

Under Valued

Software & Computer Services


Stock

Price

12M Lo

12M Hi

ST Rec

LT Rec

ANITE

127.10

113.00

162.00

Neutral

Neutral

127

0.73

2446.00

1776.97

2588.15

Neutral

Sell

1502

1.49

COMPUTACENTER

498.00

333.29

564.10

Neutral

Strong Buy

1156

0.88

KOFAX

341.25

260.75

347.25

Neutral

Sell

305

1.07

AVEVA GROUP

INNOVATION GROUP

Target

Beta

29.25

18.50

29.50

Sell

Sell

21

0.78

MICRO FOCUS INTL.

792.00

531.08

796.00

Neutral

Buy

915

0.80

PHOENIX IT GROUP

155.00

130.00

222.00

Neutral

Strong Buy

242

0.71

83.00

64.00

85.50

Neutral

Strong Buy

237

0.49

2003.00

1275.00

2137.00

Neutral

Neutral

2191

0.79

355.00

289.36

368.18

Neutral

Buy

440

0.71

RM
FIDESSA GROUP
SAGE GROUP

Under Valued

Speciality & Other Finance


Stock

Price

12M Lo

12M Hi

ST Rec

LT Rec

ABERDEEN ASSET MAN.

385.00

257.80

492.10

Neutral

Strong Buy

1236

1.12

BREWIN DOLPHIN

260.00

144.60

260.00

Neutral

Strong Buy

654

0.69

9180.00

8000.00

11105.00

Neutral

Strong Buy

95300

0.85

425.00

260.00

426.00

Neutral

Strong Buy

1426

0.96
0.68

CAMELLIA
CHARLES STANLEY GROUP
CHARLES TAYLOR

Target

Beta

187.50

155.00

195.00

Neutral

Strong Buy

1628

CLOSE BROTHERS GROUP

1056.00

743.00

1107.00

Neutral

Strong Buy

4819

0.85

F&C ASSET MANAGEMENT

99.95

87.25

110.40

Neutral

Sell

69

0.88

4.30

0.55

4.57

Sell

Sell

-130

0.65

HENDERSON GROUP

HELPHIRE GROUP

174.00

97.60

180.40

Neutral

Strong Buy

814

1.44

ICAP

403.20

280.80

406.80

Neutral

Strong Buy

813

1.04

INTERMEDIATE CAPITAL GP.

488.50

252.70

501.50

Neutral

Strong Buy

2293

1.69

INVESTEC

449.70

358.40

513.50

Neutral

Strong Buy

1692

1.56

1582.00

930.00

1590.00

Neutral

Strong Buy

6820

1.08

83.55

71.30

134.40

Neutral

Sell

-4909

1.39

RATHBONE BROTHERS

1645.00

1208.00

1691.00

Neutral

Strong Buy

5491

0.75

SCHRODERS

2510.00

1302.00

2560.00

Neutral

Strong Buy

8177

1.27

SCHRODERS NV

1955.00

1040.00

2000.00

Neutral

Strong Buy

10891

1.25

LONDON STOCK EX.GROUP


MAN GROUP

Intellisys Intelligent Analysis Limited

www.intellisys.uk.com

02 August 2013
+44 20 3239 8994

Page 13 of 17

Under Valued

Support Services
Stock

Price

12M Lo

12M Hi

ST Rec

LT Rec

ACAL

247.00

157.75

255.00

Neutral

Strong Buy

880

0.90

AGGREKO

1643.00

1557.00

2400.00

Neutral

Strong Buy

4292

1.16

AMEC

1079.00

965.50

1172.00

Neutral

Strong Buy

3411

1.10

713.00

250.30

730.00

Neutral

Buy

1024

1.65

1177.00

868.50

1209.00

Neutral

Strong Buy

2699

0.48

596.00

358.00

604.00

Neutral

Strong Buy

2427

0.80

1398.00

1009.00

1409.00

Neutral

Strong Buy

2867

0.52

589.00

227.50

593.00

Neutral

Strong Buy

1710

0.41

1041.00

713.00

1057.00

Neutral

Sell

213

0.53

ASHTEAD GROUP
BABCOCK INTL.
BRITISH POLYTHENE INDS.
BUNZL
UK MAIL GROUP
CAPITA
COMMUNISIS

Target

Beta

63.50

29.57

68.00

Neutral

Strong Buy

497

0.78

COMPASS GROUP

903.50

671.50

910.50

Neutral

Strong Buy

2042

0.74

BERENDSEN

818.00

510.00

823.50

Neutral

Strong Buy

3466

1.04

DE LA RUE

985.50

891.50

1075.00

Neutral

Buy

1468

#NA

DIGNITY

1509.00

895.50

1568.00

Neutral

Strong Buy

3142

0.22

DIPLOMA

582.00

418.00

627.50

Neutral

Strong Buy

1569

0.97

ELECTROCOMP.

250.10

200.00

278.40

Neutral

Strong Buy

956

1.02

ESSENTRA PLC

786.00

500.50

786.00

Neutral

Strong Buy

1428

1.14

G4S

228.00

207.50

313.50

Buy

Strong Buy

914

0.54

HAYS

103.90

68.20

106.00

Neutral

Strong Buy

472

1.05

HOMESERVE

270.90

185.60

293.60

Neutral

Strong Buy

1005

0.91

INTERSERVE

510.00

319.00

519.00

Neutral

Strong Buy

3789

1.30

3051.00

2697.00

3453.00

Neutral

Strong Buy

4929

0.81

49.13

27.50

50.00

Neutral

Strong Buy

121

1.10
0.68

INTERTEK GROUP
JOHNSON SERVICE GROUP
MANAGEMENT CNSL.GP.

25.25

21.25

32.00

Neutral

Strong Buy

224

MENZIES (JOHN)

733.50

573.00

801.00

Neutral

Strong Buy

1829

1.40

MICHAEL PAGE INTL.

453.40

346.40

453.40

Neutral

Strong Buy

866

1.37

MITIE GROUP

272.90

248.00

300.80

Neutral

Strong Buy

1091

0.50

41.50

40.50

156.00

Buy

Strong Buy

729

0.28

OFFICE2OFFICE

1102.00

670.50

1110.00

Neutral

Strong Buy

2262

0.72

PREMIER FARNELL

PAYPOINT

236.00

165.50

236.30

Neutral

Strong Buy

744

1.40

REGUS

186.00

94.75

186.70

Neutral

Sell

57

1.40

98.10

71.65

100.70

Neutral

Strong Buy

277

1.29

REXAM

506.00

420.70

547.50

Neutral

Strong Buy

1831

0.86

RICARDO

439.75

340.00

439.75

Neutral

Strong Buy

1724

0.87

ROBERT WALTERS

246.25

176.25

246.25

Neutral

Strong Buy

1047

1.19

RPC GROUP

463.00

378.00

477.00

Neutral

Strong Buy

1574

0.79

RPS GROUP

230.00

195.50

274.20

Neutral

Strong Buy

1034

1.51

SERCO GROUP

633.00

535.00

683.50

Neutral

Strong Buy

2444

0.60

SHANKS GROUP

87.00

73.00

98.00

Neutral

Strong Buy

279

1.50

RENTOKIL INITIAL

SPEEDY HIRE
TRIBAL GROUP
TRIFAST
VP
WYG

60.00

23.50

64.75

Neutral

Strong Buy

319

1.23

194.00

82.00

194.50

Neutral

Strong Buy

581

0.64

55.13

40.50

59.25

Neutral

Strong Buy

343

0.94

407.50

295.25

412.50

Neutral

Strong Buy

2376

0.80

91.00

42.00

91.00

Neutral

Strong Buy

637

0.82

Over Valued

Telecommunication Services
Stock
BT GROUP
CABLE & WIRELESS COMMS.
INMARSAT
KCOM GROUP
TELECOM PLUS
VODAFONE GROUP

Price

12M Lo

12M Hi

ST Rec

LT Rec

342.70

212.50

344.00

Neutral

Buy

418

0.89

40.34

29.64

46.29

Neutral

Strong Buy

78

0.69

676.00

484.30

749.00

Neutral

Sell

241

0.57

83.95

68.25

88.50

Neutral

Buy

116

1.23

1331.00

810.00

1390.00

Neutral

Sell

790

0.03

200.20

154.45

200.20

Neutral

Sell

101

0.51

Intellisys Intelligent Analysis Limited

www.intellisys.uk.com

Target

Beta

02 August 2013
+44 20 3239 8994

Page 14 of 17

Over Valued

Transport
Stock

Price

12M Lo

12M Hi

ST Rec

LT Rec

BBA AVIATION

300.00

178.00

300.00

Neutral

Sell

233

1.25

BRAEMAR SHIPPING SVS.

430.00

350.00

452.00

Neutral

Buy

596

1.06

CLARKSON

1885.00

1150.00

1888.00

Neutral

Sell

1336

0.84

EASYJET

1431.00

530.00

1431.00

Neutral

Sell

867

0.74

FIRST GROUP

Target

Beta

103.20

92.00

212.39

Neutral

Strong Buy

284

0.91

FISHER(JAMES)& SONS

1046.00

615.00

1110.00

Neutral

Sell

786

0.75

GO-AHEAD GROUP

1569.00

1220.00

1595.00

Neutral

Strong Buy

2732

1.00

NATIONAL EXPRESS

255.70

164.50

255.70

Neutral

Neutral

249

1.40

NORTHGATE

385.00

199.75

390.00

Neutral

Strong Buy

638

1.33

STAGECOACH GROUP

337.60

265.90

337.60

Neutral

Buy

448

0.97

78.25

43.75

78.50

Neutral

Strong Buy

235

0.94

WINCANTON

Under Valued

Utilities
Stock

Price

12M Lo

12M Hi

ST Rec

LT Rec

CENTRICA

394.20

310.80

394.90

Neutral

Buy

590

NATIONAL GRID

790.50

669.50

847.50

Neutral

Buy

1005

0.45

PENNON GROUP

690.50

598.00

768.00

Neutral

Sell

635

0.61

SSE

1575.00

1312.00

1676.00

Neutral

Buy

2297

0.41

SEVERN TRENT

1777.00

1513.00

2090.00

Neutral

Sell

1542

0.34

722.50

647.00

787.50

Neutral

Neutral

767

0.48

UNITED UTILITIES GROUP

Intellisys Intelligent Analysis Limited

www.intellisys.uk.com

Target

Beta
0.50

02 August 2013
+44 20 3239 8994

Page 15 of 17

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