Professional Documents
Culture Documents
ECONOMIC DIGEST
Vol.3 No.2 A joint publication of the Connecticut Department of Labor & the Connecticut Department of Economic and Community Development
● IN THIS ISSUE ●
ECONOMIC DIGEST
Low Water (MLW). Rail service is sq. ft. regional hub facility on the
available. New Haven Harbor is east side of the Airport with plans
also the jet fuel pipeline terminal for additional space. The Roncari The Connecticut Economic Digest is
that serves Bradley International Air Cargo Terminal consists of published monthly by the Connecticut
Airport, and Westover Air Force two adjacent terminal buildings Department of Labor, Office of Research and
Base located in Chicopee, MA. the Connecticut Department of Economic and
containing a total of 90,000 sq.
Community Development, Program Planning
ft. of terminal space close to the & Evaluation Division. Its purpose is to
The Port of Bridgeport provides passenger terminal. U.S. Air- regularly provide users with a comprehensive
facilities for deepwater shipping ports operates an 86,000 sq. ft. source for the most current, up-to-date data
available on the workforce and economy of
and the Bridgeport-Port Jefferson terminal used primarily by the
the state, within perspectives of the region and
Ferry. Logistec Connecticut integrated air cargo/freight nation.
operates the Cilco Terminal forwarding carriers on the north- The views expressed by authors are theirs
which consists of two berths with west side of the Airport. Current alone and do not necessarily reflect those of
a draft of 33 feet MLW, 130,000 available cargo ramp space the Departments of Labor or Economic and
sq. ft. of dry storage space, and amounts to just under 2 million Community Development.
85,000 sq. ft. of refrigerated square feet. To receive this publication free of charge write
to: The Connecticut Economic Digest ,
warehousing with a temperature With a 9,500 ft. runway, Connecticut Department of Labor, Office of
capability to 32 degrees. The Bradley International Airport is Research, 200 Folly Brook Boulevard,
primary cargo handled consists of capable of handling all passenger Wethersfield, CT 06109; or call: (860) 566-
imported bananas, plantains and and cargo aircraft, including B- 7823. Current subscribers who do not wish to
continue receiving the publication or who have
other fruits, forest products, and 747’s, the Russian built AN-225, a change of address are asked to fill out the
other miscellaneous general and the Concorde. In the early information on the back cover and return it to
cargo. 1970’s, when international the above address.
charter operations were at a Contributing DOL Staff: Salvatore DiPillo,
The Port of New London also peak, approximately one thou- Lincoln S. Dyer, Arthur Famiglietti, Noreen
Passardi and Joseph Slepski. Managing
has deepwater ship handling sand nonstop transatlantic Editor: J. Charles Joo. Contributing DECD
capabilities available at the State passenger charters were operated Staff: Todd Bentsen, Sandy Bergin, Kolie
Pier. The State Pier, which annually. More recently, Chang and Mark Prisloe. We would also like
recently was completely rebuilt, Panalpina - - a major interna- to thank our associates at the Connecticut
Center for Economic Analysis, University of
provides two berths alongside a tional freight forwarder – oper- Connecticut, for their contributions to the
1,000 ft. concrete pier with a 35 ated up to six flights weekly with Digest.
foot MLW draft, and dry cargo B-747 all-cargo charters between
storage warehousing. Logistec the U.K., Luxembourg, Mexico
Connecticut is the terminal and Hartford. Connecticut
operator. There are also three Foreign Department of Labor
The State Pier handles general Trade Zones in Connecticut
James P. Butler, Commissioner
cargo consisting primarily of located at or near each of the William R. Bellotti, Deputy Commissioner
forest products, with container ports, and one in Windsor Locks Jean E. Zurbrigen, Deputy Commissioner
services available. An area adjacent to Bradley International
Roger F. Therrien, Director
adjacent to the State Pier is being Airport. Office of Research
used by the Mashantucket 200 Folly Brook Boulevard
Pequots Tribe to operate the Passenger and Cargo Traffic Wethersfield, CT 06109
Phone: (860) 566-7823
Sassacus, a 147 foot high speed The number of passengers to Fax: (860) 566-7963
ferry to be operated between New come through Bradley Airport E-Mail: salvatore.dipillo@po.state.ct.us
London and New York City. The showed a steady increase from
Railtec Pier handles dry bulk 1994 to 1997 (see chart). A five- Connecticut Department
commodities. Ferry operations to percent increase in the number of
Block Island, Fishers Island and passengers traveling through
of Economic and
eastern Long Island are con- Bradley Airport occurred from Community Development
ducted at City Piers located in 1994 to 1996. Passenger traffic James F. Abromaitis, Commissioner
downtown New London. increased one percent in 1997. It Rita Zangari, Deputy Commissioner
is estimated that 1997 cargo Program Planning & Evaluation Division
Bradley International Airport is traffic will show no increase over 505 Hudson Street
DECD
home to ten scheduled all-cargo 1996. ■ Hartford, CT 06106
Phone: (860) 270-8161
airlines and several other charter Fax: (860) 270-8174
RESEARCH
he number of new automo- Definition year of the vehicle falls within the
T bile registrations processed The DMV’s new auto registra- current or past year; and the
in Connecticut rose last year tions count is the number of vehicle was bought only through
after two consecutive years of records processed by the DMV a Connecticut dealer.
decline. The total tally of regis- title system during each month.
trations processed by the Con- Due to varying lags in processing, Historical Trends
necticut Department of Motor these totals do not reflect the Looking at the historical
Vehicles (DMV) stood at 178,599, actual number of vehicles bought trends back to 1963 (the earliest
increasing by 0.6 percent in during a month, but they do year data are available), the
1997. Registration figures have provide a good indication of highest level of registrations was
served as an economic indicator consumer confidence as reflected in 1986, during the height of the
for several decades, and are in new automobile purchases economic boom in the State. As
published every month in the over time. The count comprises the table on page 4 shows, the
Digest on page 7. This article all new vehicles, including those lowest level was seen in 1991,
briefly examines what the data sold as dealer demonstration with only 95,870 registrations
really encompass and how they models, processed during the processed. That year, employ-
have reflected employment trends month that meet the following ment dropped by 68,300, the
at new car dealerships and criteria: the vehicle had no prior worst one-year job decline in 35
aggregate employment trends state title or number; the model years. Then, from 1992 to 1994,
overall.
HOUSING UPDATE
December Housing Permits Up 5.6 %
C ommissioner James F.
Abromaitis of the Connecticut
up 17.4 percent, from 7,714 in
1996, to 9,054 through 1997.
cent showed the greatest per-
centage increase in December
Department of Economic and “The 17.4 percent increase in compared to the same month a
Community Development an- permits – the biggest increase in year ago. Middlesex County
nounced that Connecticut eight years – suggests that the followed with a 48.4 percent
communities authorized 622 new housing sector is also enjoying the increase.
housing units in December 1997, benefits of Connecticut’s economic Fairfield County documented
a 5.6 percent increase compared resurgence,” Commissioner the largest number of new,
to December of 1996 when 589 Abromaitis said. “Of the many authorized units in December
were authorized. recent indications that our with 165. Hartford County
The Department further economy is healthy and growing, followed with 136 units and New
indicated that the 622 units the permit increase is certainly one Haven County had 118 units.
permitted in December 1997 of the strongest.” Danbury led all Connecticut
represent an increase of 10.9 Reports from municipal officials communities with 29 units,
percent from the 561 units throughout the state indicate that followed by North Branford with
permitted in November 1997. Litchfield County with 60.7 per- 27, and Newtown with 21. ■
The total number of permits is
For more information on housing permits, see tables on pages 21-22.
The annual housing permit report for 1996 is available from the Department of Economic and Community Devel-
opment. To obtain a copy, please call (860)270-8161 or fax requests to (860)270-8174.
Employment (000)
1,400
150,000 new car dealers did
1,300
well. The number of
1,200 new jobs at automo-
100,000
bile dealerships shot
1,100
up by 9.2 percent,
Registrations 1,000 after losing almost
50,000
Agg. Emp. 900 25 percent of their
employees between
0 800 1988 and 1991.
63 65 67 69 71 73 75 77 79 81 83 85 87 89 91 93 95 97 Factors that contrib-
Year
uted to the in-
creased demand for
New Auto Total Auto Dealer new automobiles were: the com-
Registrations Employment Employment* bination of record low interest
Year %chg (000's) %chg %chg rates and the end of recession,
1963 118,068 --- 969.3 --- na --- enabling more confident consum-
1964 121,522 2.9 991.2 2.3 na na ers to spend on big ticket items
1965 138,543 14.0 1,032.9 4.2 na na such as new cars; the increasing
1966 135,405 -2.3 1,095.4 6.0 na na trend towards leasing; and the
1967 125,914 -7.0 1,130.1 3.2 na na fact that there were many older
1968 140,541 11.6 1,158.0 2.5 na na cars on the road that owners
1969 137,258 -2.3 1,194.1 3.1 na na wanted or needed to replace.
1970 129,454 -5.7 1,197.5 0.3 na na
1971 139,624 7.9 1,164.3 -2.8 na na To Lead Or Not To Lead
1972 123,952 -11.2 1,190.4 2.2 na na Although the trend in regis-
1973 132,417 6.8 1,238.7 4.1 na na trations in the past has signaled
1974 111,188 -16.0 1,264.0 2.0 na na impending recessions, such as in
1975 113,478 2.1 1,223.4 -3.2 na na 1975 and 1989-92, there have
1976 130,911 15.4 1,239.7 1.3 na na been false signals as well (1966-
1977 141,601 8.2 1,282.3 3.4 na na 67 and 1995-96, see Chart). It
1978 141,658 0.0 1,346.1 5.0 na na was also a fairly good predictor of
1979 136,544 -3.6 1,398.0 3.9 na na the employment trend at new
1980 121,434 -11.1 1,426.9 2.1 na na auto dealerships in the latest
1981 112,621 -7.3 1,438.3 0.8 na na downturn. However, whether or
1982 102,764 -8.8 1,428.5 -0.7 10,978 na not the registrations data will
1983 122,107 18.8 1,444.2 1.1 11,855 8.0 accurately predict future employ-
1984 155,918 27.7 1,517.3 5.1 13,256 11.8 ment turns remains to be seen.
1985 182,147 16.8 1,558.2 2.7 14,455 9.0
1986 189,539 4.1 1,598.4 2.6 15,428 6.7 Floor It, Connecticut!
1987 169,139 -10.8 1,638.2 2.5 16,261 5.4 After declining during the
1988 160,998 -4.8 1,667.4 1.8 16,749 3.0 1989-92 recession, employment
1989 128,997 -19.9 1,665.6 -0.1 16,038 -4.2 at automobile dealerships has
1990 106,157 -17.7 1,623.5 -2.5 14,483 -9.7 been growing for the last five
1991 95,870 -9.7 1,555.2 -4.2 12,602 -13.0 years. If the reversal in automo-
1992 139,225 45.2 1,526.2 -1.9 12,305 -2.4 bile registrations last year is any
1993 176,372 26.7 1,531.1 0.3 12,640 2.7 indication, and interest rates stay
1994 211,724 20.0 1,543.7 0.8 13,439 6.3 low, this year may be even better
1995 189,962 -10.3 1,561.5 1.2 13,600 1.2 for dealers, job seekers in this
1996 177,464 -6.6 1,582.8 1.4 13,720 0.9 industry, new car buyers and the
1997 178,599 0.6 1,613.4 1.9 13,942 1.6 Connecticut economy in general. ■
*1963-81 data not available; 1997-first six months average
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THE CONNECTICUT ECONOMIC DIGEST February 1998
LEADING AND COINCIDENT INDICATORS
LEADING INDEX COINCIDENT INDEX
105 120
Peak
02/89
100
100
95
80
Peak
Trough
03/80
90 06/92
60 Peak Trough
Peak
85 05/74 01/83
12/69
40
80 Trough
Trough
09/75
10/71
75 20
70 72 74 76 78 80 82 84 86 88 90 92 94 96 70 72 74 76 78 80 82 84 86 88 90 92 94 96
The distance from peak to trough, indicated by the shaded areas, measures the duration of an employment cycle recession. The vertical scale in
both charts is an index with 1987=100.
Source: Connecticut Center for Economic Analysis, University of Connecticut. Developed by Pami Dua [(203) 461-6644,
Stamford Campus (on leave)] and Stephen M. Miller [(860) 486-3853, Storrs Campus]. Kathryn E. Parr [(860) 486-0485, Storrs
Campus] provided research support.
Average manufacturing
MANUFACTURING ACTIVITY
production worker weekly
DEC DEC CHANGE NOV
earnings increased by 4.4 (Not seasonally adjusted) 1997 1996 NO. % 1997
percent, and manufactur- Average Weekly Hours 43.6 43.4 0.2 0.5 43.2
ing output rose by 2.4 Average Hourly Earnings $14.84 $14.21 $0.63 4.4 $14.73
Average Weekly Earnings $647.02 $616.71 $30.31 4.9 $636.34
percent from last Decem- Mfg. Output Index (1982=100)* 121.8 118.9 2.9 2.4 121.9
ber. Production Worker Hours (000s) 6,981 7,003 -22 -0.3 6,931
Productivity Index (1982=100)* 189.3 184.2 5.1 2.8 188.7
Source: Connecticut Department of Labor
*Seasonally adjusted
1,600
May 1,556.8 1,581.0 1,607.0
1,550 Jun 1,556.8 1,584.2 1,613.2
1,500 Jul 1,557.7 1,588.0 1,620.5
Aug 1,561.9 1,591.9 1,620.5
1,450 Sep 1,563.1 1,590.9 1,622.7
1,400 Oct 1,560.8 1,592.5 1,622.3
Nov 1,565.4 1,595.3 1,628.3
83 84 85 86 87 88 89 90 91 92 93 94 95 96 97
Dec 1,567.2 1,596.5 1,632.8
1,750
May 1,709.3 1,717.9 1,741.7
1,700 Jun 1,709.0 1,719.7 1,749.2
1,650 Jul 1,709.1 1,721.6 1,746.6
Aug 1,710.3 1,721.9 1,741.5
1,600 Sep 1,711.1 1,721.5 1,742.9
1,550 Oct 1,709.3 1,724.1 1,739.0
Nov 1,712.4 1,723.3 1,730.0
83 84 85 86 87 88 89 90 91 92 93 94 95 96 97
Dec 1,714.8 1,722.0 1,722.6
AVERAGE WEEKLY INITIAL CLAIMS* (Seasonally adjusted) Month 1995 1996 1997
Jan 4,534 4,651 3,890
9,000
Feb 4,756 4,517 3,795
8,000 Mar 4,790 4,082 3,880
7,000 Apr 4,797 4,274 4,335
6,000 May 4,940 4,334 3,724
Jun 5,579 4,365 4,277
5,000
Jul 5,029 4,349 3,622
4,000 Aug 4,800 4,281 3,858
3,000 Sep 4,803 4,199 3,627
2,000 Oct 4,872 4,166 3,470
83 84 85 86 87 88 89 90 91 92 93 94 95 96 97 Nov 4,986 3,907 3,698
Dec 4,200 4,501 4,298
* The methodology for this series has been revised; See Technical Notes, p.23.
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THE CONNECTICUT ECONOMIC DIGEST February 1998
ECONOMIC INDICATOR TRENDS
REAL AVG MANUFACTURING HOURLY EARNINGS (Not seasonally adjusted) Month 1995 1996 1997
Jan $9.28 $9.22 $9.09
9.6
Feb 9.20 9.10 9.06
9.4 Mar 9.17 9.12 9.09
1982-84 Dollars
AVG MANUFACTURING WEEKLY HOURS (Not seasonally adjusted) Month 1995 1996 1997
Jan 42.6 39.1 42.7
45
Feb 42.8 42.6 42.1
44 Mar 43.3 43.0 42.4
43 Apr 41.0 42.0 42.5
42 May 42.9 42.7 42.4
Jun 42.8 43.0 42.5
41
Jul 41.8 42.2 42.1
40 Aug 42.5 42.6 42.2
39 Sep 43.2 43.1 43.0
38 Oct 43.5 42.9 42.8
Nov 43.2 43.2 43.2
83 84 85 86 87 88 89 90 91 92 93 94 95 96 97
Dec 43.5 43.4 43.6
HARTFORD HELP WANTED INDEX (Seasonally adjusted) Month 1995 1996 1997
Jan 32 35 35
120
Feb 35 33 36
100 Mar 36 34 34
Apr 33 34 36
1987=100
80
May 34 35 36
60 Jun 33 36 38
40 Jul 31 34 35
Aug 32 32 34
20 Sep 39 35 36
0 Oct 30 35 35
Nov 32 36 37
83 84 85 86 87 88 89 90 91 92 93 94 95 96 97
Dec 40 35 36
DOL NEWLY REGISTERED EMPLOYERS (12-month moving average) Month 1995 1996 1997
Jan 826 810 833
1,100 Feb 844 794 840
1,000 Mar 833 812 856
Apr 813 813 849
900
May 827 811 856
800 Jun 824 838 848
Jul 819 833 856
700
Aug 821 833 862
600 Sep 822 838 854
500 Oct 823 825 859
Nov 827 825 859
83 84 85 86 87 88 89 90 91 92 93 94 95 96 97
Dec 828 828 852
HEALTH SERVICES EMPLOYMENT (Not seasonally adjusted) Month 1995 1996 1997
Jan 151.1 152.3 156.3
160
Feb 152.6 152.8 155.8
150 Mar 153.1 153.7 156.2
Apr 151.0 153.7 156.3
Thousands
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THE CONNECTICUT ECONOMIC DIGEST February 1998
ECONOMIC INDICATOR TRENDS
PERSONAL INCOME (Seasonally adjusted) Quarter 1996 1997 1998
First 4.4 8.4 5.5
Year-over-year % changes
14
Second 6.9 6.1 6.0
12 Third 6.6 7.1
10 Fourth 6.5 7.0
8
6
4
2
0
84 85 86 87 88 89 90 91 92 93 94 95 96 97 98
14
Second 5.5 7.1 4.4
12 Third 4.5 8.9
10 Fourth 6.8 5.7
8
6
4
2
0
-2
84 85 86 87 88 89 90 91 92 93 94 95 96 97 98
U.S. EMPLOYMENT COST INDEX (Seasonally adjusted) Quarter 1995 1996 1997
First 3.1 2.8 2.8
7 Second 3.0 2.8 2.8
Year-over-year % changes
U.S. CONSUMER PRICE INDEX (Not seasonally adjusted) Month 1996 1997 1998
Jan 2.8 2.7 3.0
7
Feb 2.9 2.7 3.0
Year-over-year % changes
Current month's data are preliminary. Prior months' data have been revised. All data are benchmarked to March 1996.
*Total excludes workers idled due to labor-management disputes. **Includes Indian tribal government employment.
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14
THE CONNECTICUT ECONOMIC DIGEST February 1998
NONFARM EMPLOYMENT ESTIMATES
BRIDGEPORT LMA Not Seasonally Adjusted
DEC DEC CHANGE NOV
1997 1996 NO. % 1997
For further information on the Danbury Labor Market Area contact Arthur Famiglietti at (860) 566-3472.
Current month's data are preliminary. Prior months' data have been revised. All data are benchmarked to March 1996.
*Total excludes workers idled due to labor-management disputes.
For further information on the Danielson Labor Market Area contact Noreen Passardi at (860) 566-3470.
For further information on the Hartford Labor Market Area contact Arthur Famiglietti at (860) 566-3472.
Current month's data are preliminary. Prior months' data have been revised. All data are benchmarked to March 1996.
*Total excludes workers idled due to labor-management disputes.
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THE CONNECTICUT ECONOMIC DIGEST February 1998
NONFARM EMPLOYMENT ESTIMATES
LOWER RIVER LMA Not Seasonally Adjusted
DEC DEC CHANGE NOV
1997 1996 NO. % 1997
Current month's data are preliminary. Prior months' data have been revised. All data are benchmarked to March 1996.
*Total excludes workers idled due to labor-management disputes.
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THE CONNECTICUT ECONOMIC DIGEST February 1998
NONFARM EMPLOYMENT ESTIMATES
TORRINGTON LMA Not Seasonally Adjusted
DEC DEC CHANGE NOV
1997 1996 NO. % 1997
Current month's data are preliminary. Prior months' data have been revised. All data are benchmarked to March 1996.
*Total excludes workers idled due to labor-management disputes.
BRIDGEPORT LMA Civilian Labor Force 216,200 218,500 -2,300 -1.1 219,000
Employed 205,500 204,200 1,300 0.6 207,700
Unemployed 10,700 14,300 -3,600 -25.2 11,300
Unemployment Rate 5.0 6.6 -1.6 --- 5.1
DANBURY LMA Civilian Labor Force 106,300 107,800 -1,500 -1.4 107,100
Employed 103,600 103,900 -300 -0.3 104,200
Unemployed 2,700 3,900 -1,200 -30.8 2,900
Unemployment Rate 2.6 3.6 -1.0 --- 2.7
DANIELSON LMA Civilian Labor Force 33,400 33,700 -300 -0.9 33,900
Employed 31,200 31,200 0 0.0 31,500
Unemployed 2,200 2,500 -300 -12.0 2,300
Unemployment Rate 6.6 7.4 -0.8 --- 6.9
HARTFORD LMA Civilian Labor Force 585,000 584,200 800 0.1 590,800
Employed 558,900 550,000 8,900 1.6 564,700
Unemployed 26,100 34,100 -8,000 -23.5 26,100
Unemployment Rate 4.5 5.8 -1.3 --- 4.4
LOWER RIVER LMA Civilian Labor Force 12,000 11,900 100 0.8 12,100
Employed 11,600 11,400 200 1.8 11,700
Unemployed 400 500 -100 -20.0 400
Unemployment Rate 3.3 4.4 -1.1 --- 3.3
NEW HAVEN LMA Civilian Labor Force 269,100 270,000 -900 -0.3 272,400
Employed 257,900 255,100 2,800 1.1 260,800
Unemployed 11,200 15,000 -3,800 -25.3 11,600
Unemployment Rate 4.2 5.5 -1.3 --- 4.3
NEW LONDON LMA Civilian Labor Force 153,800 152,800 1,000 0.7 155,800
Employed 146,400 143,700 2,700 1.9 148,000
Unemployed 7,400 9,100 -1,700 -18.7 7,900
Unemployment Rate 4.8 6.0 -1.2 --- 5.0
STAMFORD LMA Civilian Labor Force 192,200 191,600 600 0.3 193,100
Employed 187,000 184,900 2,100 1.1 187,600
Unemployed 5,200 6,700 -1,500 -22.4 5,500
Unemployment Rate 2.7 3.5 -0.8 --- 2.9
TORRINGTON LMA Civilian Labor Force 37,300 37,700 -400 -1.1 37,800
Employed 36,000 36,000 0 0.0 36,600
Unemployed 1,300 1,700 -400 -23.5 1,100
Unemployment Rate 3.5 4.6 -1.1 --- 3.0
WATERBURY LMA Civilian Labor Force 118,600 116,200 2,400 2.1 119,500
Employed 113,100 109,100 4,000 3.7 114,000
Unemployed 5,500 7,200 -1,700 -23.6 5,500
Unemployment Rate 4.7 6.2 -1.5 --- 4.6
UNITED STATES Civilian Labor Force 136,742,000 134,583,000 2,159,000 1.6 136,912,000
Employed 130,785,000 127,903,000 2,882,000 2.3 130,999,000
Unemployed 5,957,000 6,680,000 -723,000 -10.8 5,914,000
Unemployment Rate 4.4 5.0 -0.6 --- 4.3
Current month's data are preliminary. Prior months' data have been revised. All data are benchmarked to March 1996.
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THE CONNECTICUT ECONOMIC DIGEST February 1998
MANUFACTURING HOURS AND EARNINGS
AVG WEEKLY EARNINGS AVG WEEKLY HOURS AVG HOURLY EARNINGS
DEC CHG NOV DEC CHG NOV DEC CHG NOV
(Not seasonally adjusted) 1997 1996 Y/Y 1997 1997 1996 Y/Y 1997 1997 1996 Y/Y 1997
MANUFACTURING $647.02 $616.71 $30.31 $636.34 43.6 43.4 0.2 43.2 $14.84 $14.21 $0.63 $14.73
DURABLE GOODS 664.21 632.34 31.87 656.81 43.9 43.7 0.2 43.7 15.13 14.47 0.66 15.03
Lumber & Furniture 500.41 466.80 33.61 498.38 42.3 41.2 1.1 42.2 11.83 11.33 0.50 11.81
Stone, Clay and Glass 587.81 567.38 20.43 583.34 43.0 42.5 0.5 43.5 13.67 13.35 0.32 13.41
Primary Metals 648.21 582.77 65.44 641.24 46.6 43.2 3.4 46.5 13.91 13.49 0.42 13.79
Fabricated Metals 600.30 587.29 13.01 610.79 43.5 43.6 -0.1 44.1 13.80 13.47 0.33 13.85
Machinery 725.80 682.50 43.30 710.99 46.2 45.5 0.7 45.9 15.71 15.00 0.71 15.49
Electrical Equipment 520.36 502.90 17.45 503.88 42.1 41.7 0.4 41.2 12.36 12.06 0.30 12.23
Trans. Equipment 868.07 802.81 65.26 849.81 44.7 44.7 0.0 44.1 19.42 17.96 1.46 19.27
Instruments 589.80 577.86 11.93 587.29 41.8 42.9 -1.1 41.3 14.11 13.47 0.64 14.22
Miscellaneous Mfg 588.13 566.15 21.97 574.33 41.8 42.6 -0.8 41.8 14.07 13.29 0.78 13.74
NONDUR. GOODS 608.02 580.80 27.22 590.38 43.0 42.8 0.2 42.2 14.14 13.57 0.57 13.99
Food 550.95 526.28 24.67 515.26 43.9 44.6 -0.7 42.2 12.55 11.80 0.75 12.21
Textiles 494.92 450.96 43.96 475.58 43.3 40.3 3.0 42.5 11.43 11.19 0.24 11.19
Apparel 331.11 350.86 -19.75 324.80 39.0 39.6 -0.6 37.9 8.49 8.86 -0.37 8.57
Paper 741.61 722.48 19.13 704.55 47.6 47.5 0.1 46.2 15.58 15.21 0.37 15.25
Printing & Publishing 588.40 568.80 19.60 581.94 40.0 40.0 0.0 39.4 14.71 14.22 0.49 14.77
Chemicals 825.30 771.08 54.22 810.90 45.0 44.7 0.3 45.1 18.34 17.25 1.09 17.98
Rubber & Misc. Plast. 523.31 499.48 23.83 511.77 43.0 42.8 0.2 42.4 12.17 11.67 0.50 12.07
CONSTRUCTION 778.71 745.60 33.11 768.92 40.6 40.0 0.6 40.3 19.18 18.64 0.54 19.08
LMAs AVG WEEKLY EARNINGS AVG WEEKLY HOURS AVG HOURLY EARNINGS
DEC CHG NOV DEC CHG NOV DEC CHG NOV
MANUFACTURING 1997 1996 Y/Y 1997 1997 1996 Y/Y 1997 1997 1996 Y/Y 1997
Bridgeport $686.43 $674.25 $12.18 $650.81 44.2 44.3 -0.1 43.1 $15.53 $15.22 $0.31 $15.10
Danbury 663.49 672.58 -9.09 666.36 44.8 45.2 -0.4 45.3 14.81 14.88 -0.07 14.71
Danielson 476.19 481.89 -5.70 472.89 41.3 40.7 0.6 41.3 11.53 11.84 -0.31 11.45
Hartford 708.52 668.04 40.48 686.21 44.9 44.3 0.6 44.3 15.78 15.08 0.70 15.49
Lower River 535.87 517.50 18.37 543.96 41.0 41.4 -0.4 42.2 13.07 12.50 0.57 12.89
New Haven 627.92 603.94 23.98 613.70 42.6 43.2 -0.6 42.5 14.74 13.98 0.76 14.44
New London 643.06 622.48 20.58 645.20 42.7 42.9 -0.2 42.7 15.06 14.51 0.55 15.11
Stamford 545.76 594.32 -48.56 567.81 40.1 42.3 -2.2 40.5 13.61 14.05 -0.44 14.02
Torrington 565.45 551.10 14.35 562.22 43.0 43.6 -0.6 42.4 13.15 12.64 0.51 13.26
Waterbury 597.08 597.64 -0.56 589.68 44.0 44.7 -0.7 43.2 13.57 13.37 0.20 13.65
Current month's data are preliminary. Prior months' data have been revised. All data are benchmarked to March 1996.
●
22
THE CONNECTICUT ECONOMIC DIGEST February 1998
TECHNICAL NOTES
BUSINESS STARTS AND TERMINATIONS
DOL newly registered employers are those businesses newly registered with the Labor Department’s unemployment insurance program
(including reopened accounts) during the month. DOL discontinued employers are those accounts that are terminated due to inactivity (no
employees) or business closure. Registrations and terminations of business entities as recorded with the Secretary of the State are an
indication of new business formation and activity. These registrations include limited liability companies, limited liability partnerships, and
foreign-owned (out-of-state) and domestic-owned (in-state) corporations.
INITIAL CLAIMS
Average weekly initial claims are calculated by dividing the total number of new claims for unemployment insurance received in the month by
the number of weeks in the month. A minor change in methodology takes effect with data published in the March 1997 issue of the DIGEST.
Data have been revised back to January 1980.
The Bureau of Labor Statistics has identified the five towns of Canaan, Kent, North Canaan, Salisbury and Sharon as a separate area for
reporting labor force data. For the convenience of our data users, data for these towns are included in the Torrington Labor Market Area. For
the same purpose, data for the town of Thompson, which is officially part of the Worcester Metropolitan Statistical Area, are included in the
Danielson Labor Market Area. Also, data for Hopkinton and Westerly, Rhode Island are included in the New London Labor Market Area.
UI COVERED WAGES
UI covered wages is the total amount paid to those employees who are covered under the Connecticut’s Unemployment Insurance (UI) law for
services performed during the quarter. The fluctuations in the 1992-93 period reflect the effect of the changes in the tax law and the massive
restructuring in the state’s economy.
Leading Employment Index .......... +1.1 Business Activity Tourism and Travel
Coincident Employment Index ...... +7.6 New Housing Permits .................... +5.6 Tourism Inquiries ............................. -4.4
Electricity Sales .............................. -0.6 Tourism Info Centers .................... +31.4
Total Nonfarm Employment .......... +2.3 Retail Sales ................................... +5.1 Attraction Visitors ........................... +2.2
Construction Contracts Index ....... +12.0 Hotel-Motel Occupancy ................. +3.0
Unemployment .............................. -1.3* New Auto Registrations ................ +21.5 Air Passenger Count ..................... +7.5
Labor Force ..................................... 0.0 Air Cargo Tons .............................. -10.1
Employed ...................................... +1.5 Employment Cost Index (U.S.)
Unemployed ................................. -23.4 Total ............................................... +3.4
Business Starts Wages & Salaries .......................... +3.9
Average Weekly Initial Claims ........ -4.5 Secretary of the State .................. +26.1 Benefit Costs ................................. +2.3
Help Wanted Index -- Hartford ....... +2.9 Dept. of Labor .............................. +41.5
Average Ins. Unempl. Rate ......... -0.62* Consumer Price Index
Business Terminations U.S. City Average ........................... +1.7
Average Weekly Hours, Mfg .......... +0.5 Secretary of the State .................. +29.4 Northeast Region ........................... +1.6
Average Hourly Earnings, Mfg ...... +4.4 Dept. of Labor .............................. +16.3 NY-NJ-Long Island ......................... +2.0
Average Weekly Earnings, Mfg ..... +4.9 Boston-Lawrence-Salem ............... +1.9
Manufacturing Output ................... +2.4 Consumer Confidence
Production Worker Hours ................ -0.3 State Tax Collections ................... +11.7 U.S. ............................................. +17.8
Productivity .................................... +2.8 Corporate Tax ................................. +6.8 New England .............................. +54.4
Personal Income Tax .................... +20.2
Personal Income ............................ +6.0 Real Estate Conveyance Tax .......... +2.8 Interest Rates
UI Covered Wages ......................... +4.4 Sales & Use Tax ............................. +6.5 Prime .......................................... +0.25*
Conventional Mortgage ............... -0.50*
*Percentage point change; **Less than 0.05 percent; NA = Not Available
THE CONNECTICUT
ECONOMIC DIGEST
A joint publication of
The Connecticut Departments of Labor and
Economic and Community Development
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