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25 September 2013

Contents
Introduction .................................................................................................................................3
Value ...........................................................................................................................................4
Conclusion ..................................................................................................................................4
RISK WARNING Ratings and Targets ....................................................................................4
How to use the report .................................................................................................................5
Over Valued ....................................................................6
Aerospace & Defence
Over Valued ......................................................................6

Automobiles & Parts


Banks
Beverages

Over Valued .........................................................................................6


Under Valued ..................................................................................6

Under Valued ..................................................................................7


Under Valued ....................................................7
Construction & Building Materials

Chemicals

Electronics & Electrical Equipment


Engineering & Machinery
Food & Drug Stores

Under Valued ..................................................8


Under Valued ...............................................................8

Over Valued .......................................................................8


Over Valued ........................................................8

Food Producers & Processors


Under Valued ..............................................................................9
General Retail
Over Valued .........................................................................................9
Health
Under Valued ..........................................................9
Over Valued ...............................................9

Household Goods & Textiles

Information Technology & Hardware


Under Valued ................................................................................... 10
Insurance
Over Valued ..................................................................... 10
Leisure & Hotels
Life Assurance

Under Valued .................................................................... 10


Under Valued ................................................................ 11

Media & Entertainment


Under Valued ...................................................................................... 11
Mining
Under Valued ................................................................................... 11
Oil & Gas
Over Valued .......................................... 12
Under Valued ................................................ 12

Personal Care & Household Products

Pharmaceuticals & Biotechnology


Under Valued ..................................................................... 12
Real Estate - REIT
Under Valued ..................................................................... 13
Real Estate REIS
Software & Computer Services
Speciality & Other Finance
Support Services

Under Valued .................................................... 13


Under Valued .......................................................... 13
Under Valued ..................................................................... 14
Over Valued ....................................................... 15

Telecommunication Services
Over Valued ................................................................................... 15
Transport
Under Valued ....................................................................................... 15
Utilities
DISCLAIMER ........................................................................................................................... 16
RISK WARNING ...................................................................................................................... 17

Intellisys Intelligent Analysis Limited

www.intellisys.uk.com

25 September 2013
+44 20 3239 8994

Page 2 of 17

Introduction
The overriding purpose of this daily report is to provide users with a quick guide that will identify those
shares that merit their investment attention in an increasingly time critical and information noisy trading
environment.
The report is published daily and delivered to the subscribers personal email box, typically, before the
official open of the London Stock Markets.
Putting aside luck, Intellisys recognises that the timing and value of an investment are the two primary
drivers behind a successful portfolio performance.
Timing
Intellisys has invested considerably in identifying what it believes are the key factors that influence
investment timing. Having identified the key parameters, these have been established as rules that reflect
market dynamics and cut through the daily investment noise.
Through this discipline, Intellisys has removed the emotional and sentimental factors as well as the daily
pressures exerted upon primary stock promoters (analysts and traders) to find stories for their investment
meetings.
From an analysis of a years data for 40 stocks within Intellisys stock coverage, the trading indicators
appear to be, on average, about 77% accurate in identifying good trading points as well as some 74%
accurate for overall trend correlation.
The following chart provides an indication the accuracy scores for each of the 40 stocks analysed.
Individual Stock Rating & Trend Accuracy Scores
120.0%

120.0%

110.0%

110.0%

100.0%

100.0%

90.0%

90.0%

80.0%

80.0%

70.0%

70.0%

60.0%

60.0%

50.0%

50.0%

40.0%

40.0%

30.0%

30.0%

20.0%

20.0%
1

9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 30 31 32 33 34 35 36 37 38 39 40
Best Buy/Sell

Trend

Source: Intellisys

Intellisys Intelligent Analysis Limited

www.intellisys.uk.com

25 September 2013
+44 20 3239 8994

Page 3 of 17

Value
A similar discipline has been applied to the process of establishing Target Indications. On a daily basis,
Intellisys analyses as broad an array of historic data from not only the Consolidated Income Statement but
also the Balance Sheet and Cash Flow Statement and then utilises this data within its proprietary valuation
models.
Intellisys architect, Philip Morrish, has successfully applied these disciplines to his investment research for
the last 15+ years. Additionally, these investment valuation techniques lend themselves to accurate crossborder analysis.
The resultant Target is also discounted to a Net Present Value to make the Target as realistically valid as
possible.
Nevertheless, Intellisys recognises that Target Indication delivery is not only a function of market levels but
a management teams ability to establish and maintain a value generating operating environment set
against a constantly changing global background.
The typical investment analysts approach to determining target prices is to start with a modest range of
some 6 8 valuation measures and remove those that are not providing the intuitive result. Intellysis
approach is the opposite we use as many valuation methodologies as possible.
Further, Intellisys recognises that some target Indications may appear strange or extreme. However,
subscribers should not dismiss these outcomes but use them as starting points to challenge their
established or perceived valuation opinion of a stock.
In short, this disciplined approach provides an investment reality check to assist investors from falling in
love with a stock or becoming mesmerised by management cults.
Conclusion
No investment methodology is 100% successful and like all trading and investment systems active position
monitoring is critical for maximised investment performance.
Therefore, Intellisys recommends that its products should be used in conjunction with, and not separate
from subscribers existing investment systems as well as discussing investment options with their financial
advisers.
Philip Morrish (philip.morrish@intellisys.uk.com)

RISK WARNING Ratings and Targets


Intellisys does not make personal recommendations. The information in this publication is provided
solely to enable you to make your own investment decisions. If you are unsure about dealing in shares
and other equity investments, you must contact your financial adviser as these types of investments may
not be suitable for everyone. The value of stocks and shares, and the income from them, can fall as well as
rise and you may not get back the full amount you originally invested. If denominated in a foreign currency,
fluctuations in the exchange rate will also affect the value of stocks and shares and the income from them.
Past performance is not necessarily a guide to future performance.

Intellisys Intelligent Analysis Limited

www.intellisys.uk.com

25 September 2013
+44 20 3239 8994

Page 4 of 17

How to use the report


This daily report is typically available for download as a PDF from 7am - well in advance of the markets
open - and is based upon previous days closing prices.
We have kept the report deliberately simple for quick reading and identification of the shares most likely to
be active as can be seen from the following:

Longer term action based


upon implied target price
Todays action
Sector

Implied target price


based upon 49
valuation metrics

Closing price

General Retail
Stock
ASHLEY(LAURA) HOLDINGS
BROWN (N) GROUP
BURBERRY GROUP
CARPETRIGHT
DIXONS RETAIL
FINDEL
FRENCH CONNECTN.GROUP
HALFORDS GROUP
JJB SPORTS SUSP - 24/09/12
JD SPORTS FASHION
DARTY
KINGFISHER
MARKS & SPENCER GROUP
MOSS BROTHERS GROUP
MOTHERCARE
NEXT
TED BAKER
TOPPS TILES

Company

Price
29.00
266.70
1136.00
675.00
21.16
6.36
23.50
324.70
0.40
731.00
57.25
269.80
377.90
55.00
212.00
3576.00
951.50
49.25

12M Lo
18.50
222.40
1000.00
375.00
9.36
2.20
19.50
189.00
0.24
570.00
38.00
237.20
302.70
31.25
127.30
2540.00
633.00
21.50

12M Hi
29.50
282.70
1586.00
728.50
21.69
6.55
82.00
342.30
17.00
863.00
110.60
313.80
389.50
55.00
227.00
3644.00
1017.00
51.75

ST Rec
Neutral
Neutral
Neutral
Neutral
Neutral
Neutral
Neutral
Neutral
Neutral
Neutral
Neutral
Neutral
Neutral
Sell
Neutral
Neutral
Neutral
Neutral

Latest 12 month Hi/Lo for


the share price

LT Rec
Neutral
Buy
Sell
Sell
Strong Buy
Sell
Strong Buy
Buy
Sell
Strong Buy
Strong Buy
Buy
Buy
Buy
Sell
Sell
Sell
Sell

Target
30
298
739
268
38
4
112
415
-62
1341
321
365
448
61
97
2798
542
29

Beta
0.72
0.52
1.30
0.97
1.56
0.94
1.05
0.67
0.88
0.47
1.28
0.97
0.74
1.04
0.44
0.72
0.56
1.31

eta measures a shares


volatility/risk relative to
market (see below)

Beta is a measure of a stock's volatility or risk relative to its market. The market has a beta
of 1.0 and individual shares are attributed a beta according to how much they deviate from
the market. This can be summarised as:
eta <1.0

Share should move by less than market (i.e., less risk/lower reward)

eta =1.0

Share should move in line with the market (i.e., market neutral)

eta >1.0

Share should move by more than market (i.e., higher risk/higher reward)

Intellisys Intelligent Analysis Limited

www.intellisys.uk.com

25 September 2013
+44 20 3239 8994

Page 5 of 17

Over Valued

Aerospace & Defence


Stock

Price

12M Lo

12M Hi

ST Rec

LT Rec

AVON RUBBER

527.50

297.50

527.50

Neutral

Neutral

504

0.93

BAE SYSTEMS

450.90

300.80

455.40

Neutral

Buy

620

0.70

CHEMRING GROUP

313.70

217.00

353.30

Neutral

Neutral

337

0.67

COBHAM

293.40

190.10

307.70

Neutral

Neutral

296

0.82

MEGGITT

557.00

366.20

564.00

Neutral

Sell

519

1.25

QINETIQ GROUP

193.00

179.00

211.10

Neutral

Sell

116

0.65

1132.00

822.44

1240.00

Neutral

Buy

1512

0.98

ROLLS-ROYCE HOLDINGS
SENIOR

Target

Beta

272.80

185.90

288.40

Neutral

Neutral

273

1.66

SMITHS GROUP

1395.00

1018.00

1412.00

Neutral

Sell

1217

0.76

ULTRA ELECTRONICS HDG.

1909.00

1505.00

1981.00

Neutral

Sell

1719

0.51

Over Valued

Automobiles & Parts


Stock

Price

12M Lo

12M Hi

ST Rec

LT Rec

Target

Beta

GKN

347.60

201.00

360.70

Neutral

Sell

-1828

1.96

INCHCAPE

610.50

353.30

645.00

Neutral

Strong Buy

2948

1.41

LOOKERS

126.00

71.50

128.50

Neutral

Strong Buy

665

1.22

PENDRAGON

34.25

13.50

35.25

Neutral

Strong Buy

262

1.04

TOROTRAK

27.50

23.50

36.50

Neutral

Sell

13

0.73

Over Valued

Banks
Stock

Price

12M Lo

12M Hi

ST Rec

LT Rec

BARCLAYS

271.45

197.36

308.39

Neutral

Sell

Target
-645

Beta
1.96

HSBC HDG. (ORD $0.50)

685.70

573.30

769.90

Neutral

Buy

843

1.19

LLOYDS BANKING GROUP

74.21

37.01

78.00

Neutral

Sell

1.88

ROYAL BANK OF SCTL.GP.

367.90

255.10

369.00

Neutral

Sell

-101

1.39

STANDARD CHARTERED

1536.50

1380.00

1837.50

Neutral

Strong Buy

3346

1.67

Under Valued

Beverages
Stock

Price

12M Lo

12M Hi

ST Rec

LT Rec

BARR (AG)

541.50

432.20

588.50

Neutral

Sell

429

BRITVIC

581.00

349.10

592.00

Neutral

Buy

828

0.73

DIAGEO

2019.50

1739.50

2136.50

Sell

Buy

2357

0.51

SABMILLER

3231.00

2599.00

3657.00

Neutral

Strong Buy

5157

0.89

Intellisys Intelligent Analysis Limited

www.intellisys.uk.com

Target

Beta
0.58

25 September 2013
+44 20 3239 8994

Page 6 of 17

Under Valued

Chemicals
Stock

Price

12M Lo

12M Hi

ST Rec

LT Rec

Target

Beta

ALENT

368.80

305.00

397.50

Neutral

Strong Buy

3776

#NA

AZ ELECTRONIC MATS.(DI)

304.00

240.00

406.40

Neutral

Strong Buy

549

1.11

CARCLO

407.75

342.75

501.00

Neutral

Sell

128

0.74

2738.00

2164.00

2841.00

Neutral

Buy

3269

1.05

CRODA INTERNATIONAL
ELEMENTIS

246.60

204.20

275.00

Neutral

Buy

300

1.07

JOHNSON MATTHEY

2867.00

2190.00

2985.00

Neutral

Buy

4086

1.44

VICTREX

1630.00

1322.00

1765.00

Neutral

Sell

1350

1.16

SYNTHOMER

240.50

146.00

249.20

Neutral

Strong Buy

382

1.05

ZOTEFOAMS

196.50

186.50

225.00

Neutral

Buy

291

1.00

Under Valued

Construction & Building Materials


Stock

Price

12M Lo

12M Hi

ST Rec

LT Rec

ALUMASC GROUP

137.00

77.50

137.00

Neutral

Strong Buy

293

0.55

BALFOUR BEATTY

284.00

207.60

320.80

Neutral

Strong Buy

1095

0.82

BARRATT DEVELOPMENTS

Target

Beta

321.40

168.00

355.20

Neutral

Strong Buy

643

1.67

BELLWAY

1323.00

913.00

1502.00

Neutral

Strong Buy

2993

0.96

BERKELEY GROUP HDG.(THE)

0.55

2059.00

1387.00

2340.00

Neutral

Strong Buy

5240

BOOT (HENRY)

190.00

123.50

201.00

Neutral

Strong Buy

375

0.74

BOVIS HOMES GROUP

752.50

487.00

851.50

Neutral

Strong Buy

1502

1.07

CARILLION

317.20

244.80

331.80

Neutral

Strong Buy

1621

1.06

CLARKE (T)

63.50

40.00

64.63

Neutral

Strong Buy

407

0.76

260.50

226.25

306.00

Neutral

Strong Buy

1173

0.50

CRH

1499.00

1090.00

1540.00

Neutral

Sell

921

1.03

GALLIFORD TRY

1029.00

678.00

1070.00

Neutral

Strong Buy

3106

0.93

KELLER

1059.00

543.00

1161.00

Neutral

Strong Buy

2504

1.28

KIER GROUP

1679.00

1106.00

1683.00

Neutral

Strong Buy

5601

0.99

79.50

50.00

80.00

Neutral

Strong Buy

234

1.08

MARSHALLS

177.50

85.00

184.00

Neutral

Buy

216

1.33

MORGAN SINDALL GROUP

746.00

508.00

746.00

Neutral

Strong Buy

4820

0.70

COSTAIN GROUP

LOW & BONAR

NORCROS

21.75

11.25

21.75

Neutral

Strong Buy

72

1.02

1123.00

685.75

1305.00

Neutral

Strong Buy

2092

0.99

REDROW

236.60

152.90

255.10

Neutral

Strong Buy

479

0.84

SIG

187.80

99.00

193.70

Neutral

Strong Buy

557

1.68

43.00

43.00

287.50

Neutral

Strong Buy

4468

0.89

PERSIMMON

SUPERGLASS HOLDINGS
TAYLOR WIMPEY

102.00

54.30

113.80

Neutral

Strong Buy

238

1.58

TRAVIS PERKINS

1623.00

1030.00

1713.00

Neutral

Strong Buy

4632

1.94

WOLSELEY

3343.00

2635.64

3483.00

Neutral

Strong Buy

6328

1.30

Intellisys Intelligent Analysis Limited

www.intellisys.uk.com

25 September 2013
+44 20 3239 8994

Page 7 of 17

Under Valued

Electronics & Electrical Equipment


Stock

Price

12M Lo

12M Hi

ST Rec

LT Rec

Target

Beta

1161.00

999.50

1399.00

Neutral

Sell

1054

0.67

DOMINO PRINTING SCIENCES

639.00

522.00

717.00

Neutral

Buy

885

1.12

E2V TECHNOLOGIES

140.00

105.50

140.00

Neutral

Strong Buy

287

1.25

INVENSYS

504.50

217.33

509.50

Neutral

Sell

292

1.42

LAIRD

224.40

171.10

249.30

Neutral

Strong Buy

448

2.06

OXFORD INSTRUMENTS

1320.00

1209.00

1752.00

Neutral

Sell

1154

1.11

RENISHAW

1800.00

1494.00

2081.00

Neutral

Buy

2071

1.28

SPECTRIS

2225.00

1549.00

2470.00

Neutral

Buy

2827

1.51

BIOME TECHNOLOGIES

195.00

65.00

303.67

Neutral

Sell

-431

0.76

TT ELECTRONICS

198.50

114.00

200.00

Neutral

Strong Buy

437

1.61

XAAR

777.50

244.13

898.00

Neutral

Sell

419

1.08

DIALIGHT

Under Valued

Engineering & Machinery


Stock

Price

12M Lo

12M Hi

ST Rec

LT Rec

AGA RANGEMASTER GROUP

125.75

54.25

128.00

Neutral

Buy

Target
150

Beta
1.14

BODYCOTE

665.50

345.10

685.00

Neutral

Neutral

658

1.59

CASTINGS

420.00

291.00

450.00

Neutral

Buy

583

0.93

VESUVIUS

453.60

263.19

487.60

Neutral

Strong Buy

1241

2.23

FENNER

407.00

305.90

435.20

Neutral

Buy

580

1.47

HALMA

560.50

410.40

578.00

Neutral

Sell

425

0.79

HILL & SMITH

474.00

364.00

480.00

Neutral

Buy

565

1.31

1457.00

900.00

1513.00

Neutral

Strong Buy

4382

1.39

IMI
MORGAN ADVANCED MATERIAL
ROTORK
SEVERFIELD-ROWEN
SPIRAX-SARCO

309.90

220.30

318.00

Neutral

Strong Buy

509

1.89

2769.00

2229.00

3037.00

Neutral

Strong Buy

4392

1.01

62.25

35.40

76.91

Neutral

Sell

52

0.79

2986.00

1932.53

3090.00

Neutral

Sell

1845

0.81

VITEC GROUP

690.00

559.00

740.00

Neutral

Sell

497

1.34

WEIR GROUP

2381.00

1688.00

2474.00

Neutral

Neutral

2293

1.45

Over Valued

Food & Drug Stores


Stock

Price

12M Lo

12M Hi

ST Rec

LT Rec

GREGGS

437.40

392.10

523.50

Neutral

Strong Buy

810

0.45

MORRISON(WM)SPMKTS.

287.60

248.60

302.50

Neutral

Buy

396

0.37

SAINSBURY (J)

398.00

321.90

400.80

Neutral

Buy

479

0.55

TESCO

374.00

307.90

387.75

Neutral

Sell

200

0.67

95.50

28.63

100.50

Neutral

Sell

60

0.79

THORNTONS

Target

Over Valued

Food Producers & Processors


Stock

Beta

Price

12M Lo

12M Hi

ST Rec

LT Rec

Target

Beta

ASSOCIATED BRIT.FOODS

1856.00

1289.00

2031.00

Neutral

Sell

1642

0.59

CRANSWICK

1179.00

732.50

1189.00

Neutral

Buy

1768

0.31

DAIRY CREST

471.80

332.90

528.50

Neutral

Sell

377

0.88

DEVRO

325.50

289.90

380.00

Neutral

Strong Buy

512

0.36

PREMIER FOODS

143.25

59.75

166.50

Neutral

Strong Buy

248

1.23

TATE & LYLE

768.00

654.50

883.00

Neutral

Strong Buy

1346

0.65

2524.00

2252.00

2885.00

Neutral

Sell

2193

0.50

UNILEVER (UK)

Intellisys Intelligent Analysis Limited

www.intellisys.uk.com

25 September 2013
+44 20 3239 8994

Page 8 of 17

Under Valued

General Retail
Stock

Price

12M Lo

12M Hi

ST Rec

LT Rec

ASHLEY(LAURA) HOLDINGS

26.25

25.00

29.50

Neutral

Strong Buy

46

0.67

529.00

266.40

577.00

Neutral

Neutral

532

0.50

1632.00

1000.00

1667.00

Neutral

Sell

1281

1.29

667.00

585.00

701.50

Neutral

Sell

257

0.87

47.34

19.21

47.34

Neutral

Neutral

45

1.46

233.75

108.00

253.75

Neutral

Sell

154

1.04

BROWN (N) GROUP


BURBERRY GROUP
CARPETRIGHT
DIXONS RETAIL
FINDEL

Target

Beta

32.00

22.75

34.00

Sell

Sell

12

1.03

397.00

259.30

406.00

Neutral

Strong Buy

606

0.71

1053.00

670.00

1053.00

Neutral

Strong Buy

2118

0.51

70.50

39.00

88.25

Neutral

Strong Buy

125

1.22

KINGFISHER

395.50

262.20

420.00

Neutral

Buy

563

0.90

MARKS & SPENCER GROUP

503.50

356.80

513.50

Neutral

Strong Buy

763

0.61

72.25

48.50

74.88

Neutral

Buy

87

0.95

383.75

205.75

492.75

Neutral

Sell

137

0.36

NEXT

5150.00

3444.00

5205.00

Neutral

Neutral

5467

0.59

TED BAKER

1866.00

899.00

2017.00

Neutral

Sell

1077

0.57

86.00

46.00

89.75

Neutral

Neutral

82

1.50

FRENCH CONNECTN.GROUP
HALFORDS GROUP
JD SPORTS FASHION
DARTY

MOSS BROTHERS GROUP


MOTHERCARE

TOPPS TILES

Over Valued

Health
Stock

Price

12M Lo

12M Hi

ST Rec

LT Rec

BIOQUELL

146.50

130.00

160.00

Neutral

Sell

115

0.38

CONSORT MEDICAL

851.50

660.50

863.00

Neutral

Sell

664

0.35

OPTOS

158.00

106.75

222.75

Neutral

Neutral

172

1.18

SMITH & NEPHEW

771.00

638.00

800.00

Neutral

Sell

660

0.40

Beta

Under Valued

Household Goods & Textiles


Stock

Target

Price

12M Lo

12M Hi

ST Rec

LT Rec

GAMES WORKSHOP

788.00

601.00

794.50

Neutral

Neutral

768

0.31

HEADLAM GROUP

398.00

295.00

415.00

Neutral

Buy

456

0.89

80.50

55.25

87.50

Neutral

Sell

49

0.69

HORNBY

Target

Over Valued

Information Technology & Hardware


Stock

Beta

Price

12M Lo

12M Hi

ST Rec

LT Rec

ARM HOLDINGS

993.00

566.00

1097.00

Neutral

Sell

444

0.69

CSR

512.00

312.60

607.00

Neutral

Strong Buy

1560

1.13

FILTRONIC
IMAGINATION TECHNOLOGIES

Target

Beta

64.25

30.75

83.25

Neutral

Buy

84

0.93

350.60

235.10

552.00

Neutral

Sell

241

1.04

SPIRENT COMMUNICATIONS

127.20

118.00

169.20

Neutral

Strong Buy

402

0.90

WOLFSON MICROELECTRONICS

175.50

140.00

226.25

Neutral

Sell

-17

0.93

Intellisys Intelligent Analysis Limited

www.intellisys.uk.com

25 September 2013
+44 20 3239 8994

Page 9 of 17

Under Valued

Insurance
Stock

Price

12M Lo

12M Hi

ST Rec

LT Rec

1213.00

1019.00

1416.00

Neutral

Sell

-515

0.52

AMLIN

401.00

364.10

435.10

Neutral

Strong Buy

1551

0.38

BEAZLEY

216.00

167.00

242.70

Neutral

Strong Buy

961

0.52

CATLIN GROUP

489.00

455.30

552.50

Neutral

Neutral

480

0.23

HISCOX

634.50

463.32

660.00

Neutral

Strong Buy

1924

0.42
0.30

ADMIRAL GROUP

Target

Beta

JARDINE LLOYD THOMPSON

945.00

723.00

949.50

Neutral

Buy

1217

RSA INSURANCE GROUP

125.00

107.70

136.30

Neutral

Strong Buy

740

0.35

NOVAE GROUP

520.50

345.00

520.50

Neutral

Strong Buy

3485

0.35

Over Valued

Leisure & Hotels


Stock

Price

12M Lo

12M Hi

ST Rec

LT Rec

Target

Beta

2258.00

2125.00

2628.00

Neutral

Buy

3289

0.95

ENTERPRISE INNS

148.00

62.25

153.80

Neutral

Sell

97

1.65

TUI TRAVEL

356.50

230.10

401.50

Neutral

Strong Buy

691

0.96

FULLER SMITH 'A'

907.00

716.00

969.00

Neutral

Sell

570

0.27

GREENE KING

793.50

587.00

897.50

Neutral

Sell

584

0.89

LADBROKES

188.50

171.00

243.10

Neutral

Buy

250

0.90

1838.00

1524.00

2039.00

Neutral

Sell

1612

1.09

CARNIVAL

ICTL.HTLS.GP.
MILLENNIUM & CPTH.HTLS.

559.00

456.00

582.50

Neutral

Neutral

557

1.36

MITCHELLS & BUTLERS

430.50

286.40

460.00

Sell

Sell

254

0.98

BWIN PARTY DIGITAL ENTM.

120.70

101.30

156.00

Neutral

Sell

59

1.28

15.00

6.15

15.50

Neutral

Strong Buy

66

1.15

161.00

137.30

177.50

Neutral

Strong Buy

549

0.97
0.66

PUNCH TAVERNS
RANK GROUP
RESTAURANT GROUP

543.50

354.40

575.00

Neutral

Sell

372

WETHERSPOON (JD)

739.50

475.50

767.00

Neutral

Sell

655

0.54

WHITBREAD

2992.00

2263.00

3303.00

Neutral

Sell

2078

0.98

WILLIAM HILL

411.00

293.10

494.50

Neutral

Sell

347

0.84

MARSTON'S

152.40

114.20

165.50

Neutral

Sell

10

1.15

Under Valued

Life Assurance
Stock

Price

12M Lo

12M Hi

ST Rec

LT Rec

AVIVA

403.70

294.10

419.80

Neutral

Sell

373

1.18

CHESNARA

275.00

176.50

276.50

Neutral

Strong Buy

533

0.61

LEGAL & GENERAL

202.20

131.40

203.20

Neutral

Strong Buy

504

1.70

OLD MUTUAL

193.80

166.10

221.60

Neutral

Strong Buy

406

1.55

PRUDENTIAL

1179.00

801.50

1232.00

Neutral

Neutral

1213

1.69

620.50

367.10

641.50

Neutral

Strong Buy

6859

0.83

ST.JAMES'S PLACE

Intellisys Intelligent Analysis Limited

www.intellisys.uk.com

Target

Beta

25 September 2013
+44 20 3239 8994

Page 10 of 17

Under Valued

Media & Entertainment


Stock

Price

12M Lo

12M Hi

ST Rec

LT Rec

BLOOMSBURY PBL.

145.75

102.00

149.00

Neutral

Strong Buy

922

0.40

BRITISH SKY BCAST.GROUP

885.50

709.00

899.50

Neutral

Strong Buy

1056

0.46

CENTAUR MEDIA
DAILY MAIL 'A'
EUROMONEY INSTL.INVESTOR

Target

Beta

57.50

31.00

60.00

Neutral

Sell

-42

1.06

788.00

451.25

835.00

Neutral

Strong Buy

3556

1.06

1149.00

747.50

1209.00

Neutral

Strong Buy

5566

0.93

INFORMA

537.50

380.50

545.00

Neutral

Strong Buy

327

1.64

ITE GROUP

275.80

183.50

307.40

Neutral

Buy

201

1.46

ITV

177.30

85.65

183.40

Neutral

Strong Buy

1369

1.46
1.21

JOHNSTON PRESS

14.50

7.70

19.00

Neutral

Buy

720

1280.00

1119.00

1350.00

Neutral

Neutral

309

0.65

PHOTO-ME INTL.

112.50

46.75

112.50

Neutral

Strong Buy

2283

0.85

PINEWOOD SHEPPERTON

294.50

269.00

294.50

Neutral

Strong Buy

732

0.14

36.52

26.85

36.52

Neutral

Strong Buy

346

0.52

STV GROUP

244.00

91.00

262.50

Neutral

Sell

240

0.82

ST.IVES

171.00

76.25

172.00

Neutral

Sell

159

1.49

TRINITY MIRROR

124.25

50.50

128.25

Neutral

Sell

-289

1.58

UBM

725.50

636.00

788.00

Neutral

Strong Buy

1421

1.34

208.00

121.00

208.00

Neutral

Strong Buy

1390

0.83

1292.00

788.00

1296.00

Neutral

Sell

-827

1.25

PEARSON

THOMSON REUTERS

WILMINGTON GROUP
WPP

Under Valued

Mining
Stock

Price

12M Lo

12M Hi

ST Rec

LT Rec

Target

Beta

1545.50

1207.00

2072.00

Neutral

Sell

1272

1.85

ANGLO PACIFIC GROUP

198.50

161.00

290.00

Neutral

Neutral

206

1.09

ANTOFAGASTA

850.00

784.50

1381.00

Neutral

Neutral

833

1.42

1860.00

1666.50

2236.00

Neutral

Strong Buy

2897

1.49

GLENCORE XSTRATA

338.10

256.85

397.85

Neutral

Strong Buy

1015

#NA

LONMIN

328.90

240.84

380.10

Sell

Buy

444

2.05

RANDGOLD RESOURCES

4493.00

3972.00

7775.00

Neutral

Sell

2837

0.48

RIO TINTO

3106.50

2582.00

3757.00

Neutral

Sell

2508

1.55

992.00

1335.00

Neutral

Strong Buy

2768

2.29

ANGLO AMERICAN

BHP BILLITON

VEDANTA RESOURCES

Under Valued

Oil & Gas


Stock

Price

12M Lo

12M Hi

ST Rec

LT Rec

1208.00

1000.50

1350.50

Neutral

Sell

902

0.84

BP

442.30

416.60

483.30

Neutral

Strong Buy

1006

1.03

CAIRN ENERGY

259.40

251.80

296.10

Buy

Sell

-24

1.33

10.00

7.15

12.50

Neutral

Strong Buy

108

0.81

823.50

716.00

941.00

Neutral

Sell

568

1.35

62.50

48.50

81.00

Neutral

Sell

-55

1.33

331.70

321.30

400.20

Buy

Buy

413

1.49

ROYAL DUTCH SHELL B

2150.00

2098.00

2365.00

Neutral

Strong Buy

8381

0.83

SOCO INTERNATIONAL

428.90

319.90

428.90

Neutral

Buy

491

0.52

1065.00

977.00

1468.00

Neutral

Sell

705

1.07

819.50

720.50

915.50

Neutral

Sell

726

1.44

BG GROUP

FORTUNE OIL
HUNTING
JKX OIL & GAS
PREMIER OIL

TULLOW OIL
WOOD GROUP (JOHN)

Intellisys Intelligent Analysis Limited

www.intellisys.uk.com

Target

Beta

25 September 2013
+44 20 3239 8994

Page 11 of 17

Over Valued

Personal Care & Household Products


Stock

Price

12M Lo

12M Hi

ST Rec

LT Rec

MCBRIDE

122.25

101.00

144.60

Neutral

Buy

166

PZ CUSSONS

420.90

300.00

432.50

Neutral

Sell

375

0.71

4546.00

3565.00

4950.00

Neutral

Neutral

4680

0.31

RECKITT BENCKISER GROUP

Beta
0.83

Under Valued

Pharmaceuticals & Biotechnology


Stock

Target

Price

12M Lo

12M Hi

ST Rec

LT Rec

0.41

0.36

3.58

Buy

Sell

-5

0.91

3218.00

2792.50

3521.50

Neutral

Strong Buy

7615

0.49

BTG

387.20

317.50

397.90

Neutral

Sell

159

0.70

DECHRA PHARMACEUTICALS

722.50

569.00

780.00

Neutral

Sell

517

0.18

1603.00

1317.50

1782.00

Neutral

Neutral

1602

0.50
0.53

ARK THERAPEUTICS GP.


ASTRAZENECA

GLAXOSMITHKLINE
OXFORD BIOMEDICA
PHYTOPHARM
SHIRE

Target

Beta

2.20

1.33

2.83

Buy

Sell

-3

51.50

51.50

612.50

Strong Buy

Sell

-271

0.90

2489.00

1727.00

2593.00

Neutral

Sell

1143

0.69

SKYEPHARMA

97.25

43.50

97.25

Neutral

Sell

-14

0.55

VERNALIS

28.75

19.38

31.00

Neutral

Sell

0.84

Under Valued

Real Estate - REIT


Stock

Price

12M Lo

12M Hi

ST Rec

LT Rec

BIG YELLOW GROUP

435.00

311.60

445.00

Neutral

Strong Buy

741

BRITISH LAND

585.00

506.00

658.00

Neutral

Buy

849

1.05

2387.00

1946.00

2542.00

Neutral

Strong Buy

5130

1.24

GREAT PORTLAND ESTATES

541.00

442.20

598.00

Neutral

Strong Buy

1155

1.06

HAMMERSON

504.50

451.00

554.00

Neutral

Buy

572

1.27

INTU PROPERTIES

324.00

300.60

366.00

Neutral

Strong Buy

589

1.14

LAND SECURITIES GROUP

927.00

761.50

994.00

Neutral

Strong Buy

1829

1.16

DERWENT LONDON

LOCAL SHOP.REIT (THE)

Target

Beta
1.18

30.38

24.25

39.25

Neutral

Sell

-174

0.81

LONDONMETRIC PROPERTY

119.70

103.20

119.70

Neutral

Sell

-8

0.34

MCKAY SECURITIES

162.00

131.50

162.00

Neutral

Strong Buy

293

0.65

MUCKLOW (A & J) GROUP

450.00

325.00

500.00

Neutral

Sell

246

0.37

PRIMARY HEALTH PROPS.

328.75

312.50

363.53

Neutral

Sell

113

0.26

47.00

30.69

47.00

Neutral

Sell

-399

0.62

REDEFINE INTL.REIT
SEGRO

307.00

221.60

313.60

Neutral

Sell

-321

1.82

SHAFTESBURY

590.50

522.50

668.00

Neutral

Buy

881

1.04

TOWN CENTRE SECURITIES

225.00

178.75

225.00

Neutral

Sell

1.04

WORKSPACE GROUP

414.70

264.00

475.00

Neutral

Strong Buy

1409

1.02

Intellisys Intelligent Analysis Limited

www.intellisys.uk.com

25 September 2013
+44 20 3239 8994

Page 12 of 17

Under Valued

Real Estate REIS


Stock
CAPITAL & CNTS.PROPS.
CAPITAL & REGIONAL

Price

12M Lo

12M Hi

ST Rec

LT Rec

335.50

213.30

365.60

Neutral

Strong Buy

Target
658

Beta
0.73

41.50

22.75

42.00

Neutral

Sell

-51

0.56

CLS HOLDINGS

1172.00

656.50

1260.00

Neutral

Strong Buy

2844

0.73

DAEJAN HOLDINGS

3711.00

2706.00

4179.00

Neutral

Strong Buy

14383

0.47

DEVELOPMENT SECS.

193.00

143.00

209.00

Neutral

Neutral

190

0.98

GRAINGER

173.70

105.10

187.50

Neutral

Sell

107

1.57

HELICAL BAR

292.00

178.00

302.50

Neutral

Sell

199

0.83

33.25

21.50

33.25

Neutral

Strong Buy

221

0.63

6412.50

4350.00

6512.50

Neutral

Strong Buy

14191

0.68
1.02

LONDON & ASSOCS.PROPS.


MOUNTVIEW ESTATES
QUINTAIN ESTATES & DEV.

83.25

51.00

92.00

Sell

Sell

-206

RAVEN RUSSIA

78.25

61.50

79.75

Neutral

Strong Buy

204

1.52

606.00

391.20

664.50

Neutral

Strong Buy

1586

0.69
0.32

SAVILLS

86.50

72.50

90.50

Neutral

Strong Buy

366

ST MODWEN PROPS.

SMART (J)

303.00

194.00

333.00

Neutral

Strong Buy

614

1.63

UNITE GROUP

382.00

250.60

403.00

Neutral

Strong Buy

1597

1.78

Under Valued

Software & Computer Services


Stock

Price

12M Lo

12M Hi

ST Rec

LT Rec

ANITE

114.25

109.60

162.00

Neutral

Buy

145

0.66

2633.00

1939.60

2650.00

Neutral

Sell

1526

1.52

AVEVA GROUP

Target

Beta

COMPUTACENTER

538.00

333.29

564.10

Neutral

Strong Buy

1508

0.90

KOFAX

383.00

260.75

383.00

Neutral

Sell

352

1.04

29.75

20.25

30.25

Neutral

Sell

27

0.81

777.50

543.00

812.50

Neutral

Buy

1065

0.81

PHOENIX IT GROUP

164.75

130.00

184.00

Neutral

Sell

-222

0.73

RM

109.50

64.00

114.25

Neutral

Strong Buy

274

0.54

2009.00

1275.00

2190.00

Neutral

Neutral

2208

0.77

347.10

289.36

368.18

Neutral

Buy

447

0.69

INNOVATION GROUP
MICRO FOCUS INTL.

FIDESSA GROUP
SAGE GROUP

Under Valued

Speciality & Other Finance


Stock

Price

12M Lo

12M Hi

ST Rec

LT Rec

Target

Beta

ABERDEEN ASSET MAN.

393.20

306.80

492.10

Neutral

Strong Buy

1243

1.12

BREWIN DOLPHIN

270.00

168.00

283.00

Neutral

Strong Buy

653

0.69

8700.00

8000.00

11105.00

Neutral

Strong Buy

81901

0.85

CAMELLIA
CHARLES STANLEY GROUP

459.00

260.00

474.00

Neutral

Strong Buy

1432

0.93

CHARLES TAYLOR

220.00

155.00

228.00

Neutral

Strong Buy

1641

0.65

CLOSE BROTHERS GROUP

1189.00

830.00

1189.00

Sell

Strong Buy

4843

0.85

F&C ASSET MANAGEMENT

98.00

90.00

110.40

Neutral

Sell

78

0.86

5.45

0.66

5.70

Sell

Sell

-126

0.61
1.44

HELPHIRE GROUP
HENDERSON GROUP

191.60

107.20

192.30

Neutral

Strong Buy

796

ICAP

395.70

280.80

422.20

Neutral

Strong Buy

833

1.07

INTERMEDIATE CAPITAL GP.

454.90

287.20

501.50

Neutral

Strong Buy

2225

1.70

INVESTEC

407.20

358.40

513.50

Neutral

Strong Buy

2645

1.56

1576.00

930.00

1652.00

Neutral

Strong Buy

6680

1.13

85.20

71.80

134.40

Neutral

Sell

-4857

1.39

RATHBONE BROTHERS

1580.00

1208.00

1691.00

Neutral

Strong Buy

5468

0.71

SCHRODERS

2549.00

1518.00

2631.00

Neutral

Strong Buy

8165

1.30

SCHRODERS NV

2127.00

1176.00

2174.00

Sell

Strong Buy

11329

1.28

LONDON STOCK EX.GROUP


MAN GROUP

Intellisys Intelligent Analysis Limited

www.intellisys.uk.com

25 September 2013
+44 20 3239 8994

Page 13 of 17

Under Valued

Support Services
Stock

Price

12M Lo

12M Hi

ST Rec

LT Rec

ACAL

271.50

157.75

284.00

Neutral

Strong Buy

584

0.83

AGGREKO

1620.00

1557.00

2370.00

Neutral

Strong Buy

3125

1.14

AMEC

1091.00

965.50

1172.00

Neutral

Strong Buy

3148

1.11

651.50

322.90

730.00

Neutral

Buy

925

1.64

1197.00

914.00

1209.00

Neutral

Strong Buy

2465

0.49

ASHTEAD GROUP
BABCOCK INTL.
BRITISH POLYTHENE INDS.

Target

Beta

615.00

372.50

615.00

Sell

Strong Buy

2230

0.80

1358.00

1009.00

1409.00

Neutral

Strong Buy

2638

0.50

570.00

247.00

645.00

Neutral

Strong Buy

1547

0.42

1007.00

713.00

1057.00

Neutral

Strong Buy

1798

0.54

62.00

34.54

68.00

Neutral

Strong Buy

412

0.83

COMPASS GROUP

837.50

671.50

910.50

Neutral

Strong Buy

1884

0.75

BERENDSEN

904.50

543.00

939.00

Neutral

Strong Buy

3224

1.08

DE LA RUE

987.00

891.50

1075.00

Neutral

Strong Buy

2273

#NA

BUNZL
UK MAIL GROUP
CAPITA
COMMUNISIS

DIGNITY

1413.00

902.82

1567.68

Neutral

Buy

1623

0.25

DIPLOMA

636.00

435.00

661.00

Neutral

Strong Buy

1265

0.96

ELECTROCOMP.

272.90

200.00

280.90

Neutral

Strong Buy

841

0.98

ESSENTRA PLC

760.00

500.50

830.00

Neutral

Strong Buy

1212

1.14

G4S

250.20

207.50

313.50

Neutral

Strong Buy

873

0.47

HAYS

112.80

75.20

113.90

Neutral

Strong Buy

378

1.03

HOMESERVE

259.40

185.60

293.60

Neutral

Strong Buy

887

0.89

INTERSERVE

568.00

349.10

591.50

Neutral

Strong Buy

2960

1.25

INTERTEK GROUP

3374.00

2697.00

3453.00

Neutral

Buy

4258

0.80

JOHNSON SERVICE GROUP

51.50

31.50

51.75

Neutral

Strong Buy

226

1.10

MANAGEMENT CNSL.GP.

26.50

21.25

32.00

Neutral

Strong Buy

176

0.57

MENZIES (JOHN)

795.00

573.00

805.00

Neutral

Strong Buy

1975

1.41

MICHAEL PAGE INTL.

488.20

346.40

502.50

Neutral

Strong Buy

764

1.36

MITIE GROUP

290.40

248.00

300.80

Neutral

Strong Buy

976

0.52

46.00

33.75

139.00

Neutral

Strong Buy

617

0.31

1082.00

716.00

1185.00

Neutral

Strong Buy

1760

0.75

PREMIER FARNELL

214.10

165.50

238.40

Neutral

Strong Buy

526

1.41

REGUS

181.90

96.00

193.40

Neutral

Sell

71

1.38

RENTOKIL INITIAL

109.30

81.30

110.90

Neutral

Strong Buy

437

1.26

OFFICE2OFFICE
PAYPOINT

REXAM

489.10

432.56

547.50

Neutral

Strong Buy

1718

0.84

RICARDO

545.00

349.63

556.50

Neutral

Strong Buy

1543

0.90

ROBERT WALTERS

329.00

187.00

329.00

Neutral

Strong Buy

897

1.15

RPC GROUP

473.40

378.00

477.80

Neutral

Strong Buy

1555

0.81

RPS GROUP

258.30

195.50

274.20

Neutral

Strong Buy

862

1.51

SERCO GROUP

558.00

535.00

683.50

Neutral

Strong Buy

2131

0.60

SHANKS GROUP

95.25

73.00

98.00

Neutral

Strong Buy

347

1.49

SPEEDY HIRE

65.25

28.75

65.50

Neutral

Strong Buy

320

1.18

206.50

92.25

206.50

Sell

Strong Buy

504

0.65

68.50

40.50

70.75

Neutral

Strong Buy

305

0.90

VP

497.25

313.00

499.00

Neutral

Strong Buy

2168

0.79

WYG

108.00

49.50

108.00

Sell

Strong Buy

179

0.82

TRIBAL GROUP
TRIFAST

Intellisys Intelligent Analysis Limited

www.intellisys.uk.com

25 September 2013
+44 20 3239 8994

Page 14 of 17

Over Valued

Telecommunication Services
Stock
BT GROUP
CABLE & WIRELESS COMMS.
INMARSAT
KCOM GROUP
TELECOM PLUS
VODAFONE GROUP

Price

12M Lo

12M Hi

ST Rec

LT Rec

342.50

212.50

348.90

Neutral

Buy

Target
426

39.49

34.31

46.29

Neutral

Strong Buy

79

0.67

716.50

542.50

749.00

Neutral

Sell

257

0.53

0.89

91.50

68.25

91.50

Neutral

Buy

119

1.20

1305.00

821.00

1399.00

Neutral

Sell

805

0.05

213.10

154.45

213.90

Neutral

Sell

123

0.51

Over Valued

Transport
Stock

Beta

Price

12M Lo

12M Hi

ST Rec

LT Rec

BBA AVIATION

305.10

195.70

326.00

Neutral

Sell

220

BRAEMAR SHIPPING SVS.

495.00

350.00

495.00

Neutral

Buy

556

1.06

CLARKSON

2225.00

1150.00

2225.00

Strong Sell

Sell

1251

0.86

EASYJET

1298.00

580.00

1448.00

Neutral

Sell

839

0.77

120.40

92.00

206.76

Neutral

Strong Buy

264

0.88

FISHER(JAMES)& SONS

1090.00

748.00

1148.00

Neutral

Sell

782

0.72

GO-AHEAD GROUP

1670.00

1220.00

1670.00

Neutral

Strong Buy

2843

0.97

FIRST GROUP

Target

Beta
1.22

NATIONAL EXPRESS

257.30

164.50

274.90

Neutral

Sell

240

1.39

NORTHGATE

425.50

239.50

435.00

Neutral

Sell

343

1.34

STAGECOACH GROUP

326.00

265.90

337.60

Neutral

Buy

452

0.97

WINCANTON

100.25

43.75

105.00

Neutral

Strong Buy

269

0.95

Under Valued

Utilities
Stock

Price

12M Lo

12M Hi

ST Rec

LT Rec

CENTRICA

396.70

310.80

402.20

Neutral

Buy

588

0.50

NATIONAL GRID

746.50

682.00

847.50

Neutral

Buy

992

0.45

PENNON GROUP

701.00

598.00

749.50

Neutral

Sell

636

0.63

SSE

1580.00

1364.00

1676.00

Neutral

Buy

2301

0.40

SEVERN TRENT

1811.00

1513.00

2090.00

Neutral

Sell

1529

0.37

703.00

647.00

787.50

Neutral

Neutral

761

0.49

UNITED UTILITIES GROUP

Intellisys Intelligent Analysis Limited

www.intellisys.uk.com

Target

Beta

25 September 2013
+44 20 3239 8994

Page 15 of 17

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